Aaron Bergman's tweets, July 2024
Every public tweet, reply, quote tweet and retweet that Aaron Bergman (@AaronBergman18 on X, formerly Twitter) posted in July 2024 and has not deleted: 547 posts, oldest first, times in UTC. Each heading links to the original post on X. When Aaron replies to or quotes someone, their tweet appears as a blockquote with their name; those words are theirs, and everything outside the blockquotes is Aaron's.
This page is one month of the complete archive of Aaron Bergman's tweets, which updates automatically every few hours. Previous month: June 2024. Next month: August 2024.
Monday, July 1, 2024
Reply to @UnfinishedOwl, 01:23 UTC · 168 likes
UnfinishedOwl (@UnfinishedOwl): was making sure I said exactly what I wanted to say and being clear and precise. got asked if I was in special ed
(quoting @UnfinishedOwl: @eddieblake448 I was thinking carefully about my answers and being a bit on the slower side, so she asked if I had a learning disability or took special ed classes. apparently after I left the judge chewed her out and then found him guilty (juvenile court, so no jury))
I relate to this. I don’t want to just start yapping! If I do that I’ll probably basically lie bc brain is in next token prediction mode
Reply to @MichaelAArouet, 02:29 UTC · 2 likes
(The tweet being replied to by @MichaelAArouet is no longer available.)
“Reliably”
It’s apples and oranges. Only a handful of card counters reliably beat the house
Tweet, 07:36 UTC · 7 likes
Tf does hawk tuah mean
Reply, 08:16 UTC · 1 like
I am now fully cultured thx
Reply to @arithmoquine, 08:24 UTC · 2 likes
henry (@arithmoquine): the free market is a misaligned superintelligence
This is kinda true but also nation state governments are unambiguously more powerful
If Amazon > US Government a la Chiquita Banana Co, this would hold more real weight
Tweet, 08:46 UTC · 22 likes
Humans really like to make slightly different configurations of wheat flour, water, and salt
Bread (a billion types)
Bagels
Pretzels
Tortillas
Pasta
Crackers
Matzah
Biscuits
Cream of wheat
Beer? (Is fermented wheat a thing?)
Seitan
Breakfast cereal flakes
The list goes on fr
Thread, continued, 08:50 UTC · 5 likes
Claude added:
Dumplings
Wheat berries
Bulgur
Couscous
Kvass
Tweet, 10:22 UTC · 3 likes
Good take (I do think “masculine” is redundant though. It’s just a virtue and one that vibe-associates with other masculine-coded things) https://www.richardhanania.com/p/free-speech-should-be-a-masculine
Reply to @hbdchick, 11:21 UTC · 2 likes
hbd chick (@hbdchick): omg, this is so wrong. ALL of the style guides (harvard, mla, etc.) have guidelines for referencing blog posts! and tweets. and for that matter "personal communication." citations are meant for crediting people for their ideas, not just for referring readers to publications. 🤦🏻♀️
(quoting @EvolOdonata: Sorry dude, non-peer reviewed blog posts are not publications and are therefore not cited. Besides, I do not see that the paper has "clearly" been inspired by your blog post.)
Tweet, 11:53 UTC · 5 likes
Hardware stores are a superstimulus (positive)
Reply to @Aria_Babu, 12:33 UTC · 3 likes
Aria Schrecker (@Aria_Babu): Think tanks seem to have a fair amount of influence (especially in the U.S.), but it's not clear that they sway politics in any particular direction. If we banned them, how do you think the world would change?
They don’t sway politics, they sway policy
Tuesday, July 2, 2024
Reply to @mealreplacer, 01:51 UTC · 2 likes
(The tweet being replied to by @mealreplacer is no longer available.)
I basically endorse this yea
Quote tweet, 02:09 UTC · 6 likes
Evidential decision theory makes this one hard
Quoting adam ✧ ❥ ~ (@adam__isom): "go where the women are" there actually don't exist any spaces that aren't 60%+ male. I don't know how to explain this logically, but it's true
partner dance classes? ha! once upon a time. church? went to a service yesterday, >60% male
what else ya got?! 🤺
Tweet, 02:30 UTC · 45 likes
Dijon mustard is the product of REGULATORY CAPTURE
Tweet, 02:32 UTC
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dijon_mustard
Thread, continued, 02:47 UTC · 3 likes
Fascinating
Tweet, 09:44 UTC · 5 likes
Someone marry this mf
Reply, 10:06 UTC · 10 likes
Veganism but that’s it
Reply to @DeepDishEnjoyer, 18:00 UTC · 304 likes
peepeepoopoo (@DeepDishEnjoyer): Okay as much as I don't love Kamala, why the double standard between her and Donald Trump? There is no world in which Donald is more professional and competent than her
(quoting @DavidSacks: Imagine going through the Cuban Missile Crisis with President Kamala Harris.)
Dare I say sexism
Tweet, 18:32 UTC · 23 likes
Seems bad https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Project_2025
Wednesday, July 3, 2024
Reply to @panickssery, 10:11 UTC · 2 likes
Arjun Panickssery (@panickssery): > I'm a pretty firm atheist, but definitely not at 10^-20 that I would change my mind after extensive deliberation.
That's the crux right: what's the principled way to put probabilities on stuff where nothing in the reference class has happened and you think you can explain why
(quoting @NeelNanda5: @psychosort you would be highly unlikely to be wrong about any of them. This doesn't seem reasonable to me, especially on a belief where a lot of people disagree with you - it's fine to think that those people are wrong, but not at this level of confidence! Another way to…)
Reply, 10:16 UTC · 1 like
Yeah I agree, idk why I put it that low before
Tweet, 11:48 UTC · 9 likes
Wait this is a negative thing for everyone else??
Reply, 12:01 UTC · 1 like
No that particular value was way too low (99.99%) but the general point I still stand by
Reply to @arithmoquine, 12:19 UTC · 208 likes
henry (@arithmoquine): > "a 4.0 GPA CS major can't get employment after graduating"
fixed it for you:
> "hoopjumper spends entire life jumping through hoops and is utterly lost when the trail of hoops to jump through abruptly ends"
I’ll bite the bullet and say “yes, and the second thing is indeed bad”
If you have an economy+society that basically requires employment to have a decent life, getting a job should absolutely be a “hoop” in the sense of not requiring some uncommon level of agency or ingenuity
Tweet, 12:50 UTC · 4 likes
How does it do that
(video, plays on X)
Reply, 18:03 UTC
Not load bearing
(video, plays on X)
Thursday, July 4, 2024
Reply to @edardaman, 04:41 UTC · 3 likes
Emily Dardaman (@edardaman): @AaronBergman18 @arithmoquine This puts into words something I’ve been stumbling around for…years? Five stars
🤝
Reply to @JMannhart, 12:50 UTC · 3 likes
Jonathan Mannhart 🔎 (@JMannhart): @edardaman @AaronBergman18 @arithmoquine I also really enjoyed the tweet. Although I think Aaron could have added spaces before & after the “+“ to improve legibility, as he still had three characters left under the 280 char limit.
Four and a half stars
Unforgivable error imo. -10^10 stars+banned+exiled
Tweet, 16:53 UTC · 8 likes
Man fuck summer
Thread, continued, 17:01 UTC · 6 likes
The world hidden behind a persistent haze of sweat, sunscreen, and sweaty-sunscreen-induced tears
Reply to @JesseTayRiver, 17:17 UTC · 2 likes
Jesse Smith (@JesseTayRiver): @GjMcGowan @AaronBergman18 Yeah seems like someone's being a little dramatic here
Not me
Reply to @austinc3301, 22:42 UTC · 4 likes
Agus 🔸 (@austinc3301): I wish it was just normal to use the word “startup” for entrepreneurial charities
We can use its Spanish counterpart, “comensarriba”
Friday, July 5, 2024
Quote tweet, 00:31 UTC · 125 likes
I totally agree, but here’s some perhaps counterintuitive perspective:
Almost all of human history (pre-agriculture) accounts for a small share of human lives (~2% - not even human life-years)
Quoting Ryan Briggs (@ryancbriggs): This was my main takeaway from the seeing cave paintings in the south of France. They’re around 15,000 years old and it was just chilling to think that for over 10,000 years anatomically modern people were basically stuck living nasty, brutish, and short lives.
Thread, continued, 00:31 UTC · 7 likes
These stats don’t cut one way or the other - they’re just another (probably more important) way of considering the magnitude of the past
Quote tweet, 00:34 UTC · 12 likes
Forget about achievement (for a moment)
There is an absolutely tiny slice of spacetime I’d choose to be born into (probably late 20th century or later if place-agnostic, late 19th in a wealthy country) and even this I’m pretty unsure about
Quoting Nathan 🔎 (@NathanpmYoung): I feel so lucky to have been born in a wealthy safe country. I probably wouldn’t achieve much at all starving or poor.
Thread, continued, 00:34 UTC · 5 likes
It’s the water we swim in but to a first approximation it doesn’t even exist
Reply to @dylanmatt, 00:36 UTC · 2 likes
(The tweet being replied to by @dylanmatt is no longer available.)
Idk plausibly this would be good for the country and world even if it was 40 year old Obama?
Reply to @AlexGodofsky, 00:41 UTC · 10 likes
Alex Godofsky (@AlexGodofsky): 4yo told me that "whenever you say letters to mama it means something sugary"
Smart kid
Reply to @daniel_271828, 10:16 UTC · 3 likes
zzDANIEL_ETH (@daniel_271828): Putting the “LLM” in “Gell-Mann Amnesia”
(quoting @shakoistsLog: Talking to an LLM on something I'm an expert on: "Hmmm, I see why you think that, but you're not *quite* right, and you're wrong in some critical but subtle ways" talking to an LLM on anything else: "Wow you're the smartest person I've ever known, how do you know everything?")
Nice
Reply to @PeterJAngel, 10:28 UTC · 4 likes
Peter🧅📈 (@PeterJAngel): Boooooooo
(quoting @2AvSagas: The city should impose a $1000 environmental and noise fee onto every Blade ride that starts or arrives in NYC.)
Hot take externalities are real and this is fine (I have no idea if $1k is the right amount though)
Reply to @kenthecowboy_, 10:31 UTC · 2 likes
ChiTown Kenny (@kenthecowboy_): @nomanautomata Even better -- Potassium!
(gif, plays on X)
Reply to @kenthecowboy_, 10:34 UTC · 3 likes
ChiTown Kenny (@kenthecowboy_): I didn't wanna go to gym, but then I slammed 400mg of k and now I'm ready to demolish this fucking elliptical
What form/product do u take?
Reply to @louisvarge, 10:41 UTC · 2 likes
Louis Arge (@louisvarge): i went to the hacker space
a sweetheart trans woman greeted me. once i had passed the vibe check, she offered me an estrogen pill. i politely declined. "no thanks, i'm sober"
what are you working on? "digital drugs," i explained
the place looked distinctly like the arcade from mr robot.
"we only communicate through IRC, it's untraceable"
i spent 20 minutes setting up an IRC client
overall it was a good day
What
Reply to @s8mb, 11:03 UTC · 2 likes
Sam Bowman (@s8mb):
Crazy sunburn
Reply to @greenTetra_, 11:23 UTC · 1 like
Tetra (@greenTetra_): alright heres what you gotta know
What’s this from
Quote tweet, 11:59 UTC · 49 likes
Need
Quoting X (@Pteroterror): Currency in Iceland is top tier
Reply to @louisvarge, 12:01 UTC · 2 likes
Louis Arge (@louisvarge): @AaronBergman18 which part is unclear sir
Where do I go to learn about digital drugs
Quote tweet, 12:17 UTC · 6 likes
Let them in
Quoting Crémieux (@cremieuxrecueil): When you ask people which countries they want to move to, America has held the top slot for a long time, and it will likely continue to for the foreseeable future.
Quote tweet, 12:32 UTC · 6 likes
👀
Quoting EA Forum Posts (@EAForumPosts): New popular post from the EA Forum:
"Rethink Priorities' Digital Consciousness Project Announcement" by Bob Fischer + 3 others
https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/yLzHyDvfR6skhwLcZ/rethink-priorities-digital-consciousness-project
Reply to @SpacedOutMatt, 12:44 UTC · 2 likes
Matt 🔸 (@SpacedOutMatt): 30 years old is a minimum estimate of life expectancy over the period (it's using life expectancy at the start). So the actual number is probably a decent bit lower than the 13 billion I get
Oh shit Matt > Claude
Tweet, 12:51 UTC · 125 likes
In hindsight it is incredibly dumb that I avoided taking the bus for 23 years bc I didn’t really know how they worked
Like do u have to pay to get on? (Yes)
Does a Smartrip card work? (Yes for metrobus at least)
How often do they run? (idk but Apple and Google maps tell you)
Thread, continued, 12:51 UTC · 30 likes
Do they stop at every stop or do you actually have to pull the rope thing? (Pull the rope thing)
If you pull the rope thing is that saying that you wanna get off ASAP? (No, pull it to indicate that you want to get off at the next official stop)
Reply to @SpacedOutMatt, 12:56 UTC · 7 likes
Matt 🔸 (@SpacedOutMatt): This is very aaron coded
Wait elaborate I am very curious
Tweet, 13:09 UTC · 10 likes
Means of transportation, ranked
1. Walk
2. Drive
3. Bike/scooter
4. Metro/subway
5. Bus
6. Plane
7. Swim
8. Legit train
9. Legit ship
10. Ferry
11. Fall/jump
12. Run
Tbd: helicopter, teletransporter, wormhole, unicycle
Reply to @NathanpmYoung, 13:19 UTC · 11 likes
Nathan 🔎 (@NathanpmYoung): A letter to my MP.
Curious if this leads to anything. If it does, then it probably doesn't take many of us to offer support to many London MPs.
Top tier civic engagement
Quote tweet, 13:28 UTC · 46 likes
This actually reminds me: when I was 16 a Maryland legislature candidate knocked on my door to try to convince my family to vote for him
I told him I was a single issue animal welfare voter (was I even allowed to vote? Maybe I didn’t use this term) …
Quoting Nathan 🔎 (@NathanpmYoung): A letter to my MP.
Curious if this leads to anything. If it does, then it probably doesn't take many of us to offer support to many London MPs.
Thread, continued, 13:28 UTC · 29 likes
We ended up exchanging a few emails that resulted in him adopting a pretty serious animal welfare platform and putting it on his website
Thread, continued, 13:28 UTC · 37 likes
He lost by a few dozen or hundred votes iirc. Even if he’d won, I have no idea if it would have yielded any actual policy change. I kinda doubt it
Even still, seems like a non-terrible expected altruistic return on a few hours of high schooler time
Thread, continued, 13:28 UTC · 35 likes
Idk if there’s an actual generalizable lesson here
Kinda suspect being cringe-level earnest with state level reps (or the equivalent outside the US) is underrated though
Reply to @ideopunk, 13:28 UTC · 2 likes
(The tweet being replied to by @ideopunk is no longer available.)
Trains can only move along a 1d axis
Sad
Reply to his own earlier tweet, 13:39 UTC · 15 likes
Aaron Bergman, July 5, 2024: Idk if there’s an actual generalizable lesson here Kinda suspect being cringe-level earnest with state level reps (or the equivalent outside the US) is…
Maybe I was 18? That would explain the “single issue voter” thing
Reply to @danielbrottman, 13:53 UTC · 3 likes
daniel brottman 🪷 (@danielbrottman): do you think anyone’s ever been addicted to cold turkey, and then they realized they had to give up cold turkey cold turkey
Turkey cold cut sandwiches were a staple for me before going vegetarian so kinda
Reply to @KompendiaProj, 14:05 UTC · 2 likes
KJ ✨ (@KompendiaProj): @AaronBergman18 @danielbrottman Was the vegetarianism an overnight change? If so then I think we have a winner!!
Yeah iirc
Tweet, 14:14 UTC · 7 likes
Epigenetic inheritance of “trauma” (at least in some senses of that word) actually seems pretty plausible to me
Tweet, 14:34 UTC · 30 likes
I am extremely pro 🔸in bio to indicate donation. Social pressure go brr. Maybe make another one to indicate absolute amounts donated (💰per $25k?)
Reply to @kenthecowboy_, 14:35 UTC · 2 likes
ChiTown Kenny (@kenthecowboy_): @Artoria2e5 @AaronBergman18 I just take the pills from Walmart
Lovely tweet out of context
Reply to @SpacedOutMatt, 15:07 UTC · 3 likes
Matt 🔸 (@SpacedOutMatt):
(quoting @AaronBergman18: @DeepDishEnjoyer Idk who he is. I wanna say classical music guy but also maybe author? 80% it’s one of those, this is the extent of my knowledge)
F
Reply to @SpacedOutMatt, 15:10 UTC · 3 likes
Matt 🔸 (@SpacedOutMatt): @AaronBergman18 It's okay, more than made up for by the good animal welfare takes <3
I was literally about to type “yeah but I have correct takes about {ethics, cause prio, all my other hobbyhorses}”
Reply to @AndyMasley, 18:41 UTC · 4 likes
Andy Masley (@AndyMasley): I think a lot of AI discourse about the current value and abilities of LLMs could be solved if more people just sat down and spent half an hour asking ChatGPT or Claude complex questions about fields they know a lot about
Before reading your second tweet I was unsure which direction you meant for this to point in (although it seems good regardless)
Reply to his own earlier tweet, 18:44 UTC · 12 likes
Aaron Bergman, July 5, 2024: Maybe I was 18? That would explain the “single issue voter” thing
Yeah it was 2018 when I was 18. And he lost by 12 votes! Not even “dozens” - just one of them! https://ballotpedia.org/Samir_Paul
Quote tweet, 18:57 UTC · 5 likes
This is gonna be pretty load-bearing IMO
Afaik it will be the first and only thing of its kind?
Quoting Agus 🔸 (@austinc3301): omg yes
THE WORLDVIEW INVESTIGATIONS TEAM IS SO BACK
Thread, continued, 18:57 UTC · 3 likes
There was the AI Consciousness Report by a bunch of big names including @rgblong but afaict it wasn’t even trying to put quantitative estimates on relevant parameters (eg P(GPT-4 instances can suffer))
https://arxiv.org/pdf/2308.08708
Reply to @DaCaveOfWonders, 19:09 UTC · 2 likes
Tiger Lava Lamp (@DaCaveOfWonders): @AaronBergman18 Not sure my 💰💰💰 in bio is going to come across the right way to someone who doesn't know what it means
Hmm yeah. May I suggest 🔪🩸💉🔞or💦
Reply to @arithmoquine, 19:09 UTC · 2 likes
henry (@arithmoquine): @AaronBergman18 idk,🔸does work to signal *effort* as opposed to effort times wealth, which has value imo
Wait are u saying idk to the diamond or my suggestion to have smth for absolute amounts?
Reply to @arithmoquine, 19:19 UTC · 2 likes
henry (@arithmoquine): @AaronBergman18 your suggestion
I mean the thing that actually matters is (marginal charity goodness per dollar)*(dollar donation), not % of income or wealth donated
(There are a bunch of reasons why I don’t think it makes sense to have an emoji that factors in the first thing but it’s mostly intuitive)
Thread, continued, 19:22 UTC · 2 likes
Ofc % matters a lot for everything besides altruistic impact (eg how generous of a person I think you are), but altruistic impact really matters!
This is the main issue I take I with the GWWC pledge (like messaging hard around % rather than trying to make (possibly a lot) more)
Reply to @heartbulbous, 19:28 UTC · 2 likes
Juan (@heartbulbous): @AaronBergman18 Dustin Moskovitz 💰💰💰💰💰💰💰💰💰💰💰💰💰💰💰💰💰💰💰💰💰💰💰💰💰💰💰💰💰💰💰💰💰💰💰💰💰💰💰💰💰💰💰💰💰💰💰💰💰💰💰💰💰💰💰💰💰💰💰💰💰💰💰💰💰💰💰💰💰💰💰💰💰💰💰💰💰💰💰💰💰💰💰💰💰💰💰💰💰💰💰💰💰💰💰💰💰💰💰💰💰💰💰💰💰💰💰💰💰💰💰💰💰💰💰💰💰💰💰💰💰💰💰💰💰💰💰💰💰💰💰
I miss him
Reply to @nickcammarata, 19:34 UTC · 1 like
Nick (@nickcammarata): or pretend that it has no answer. I think it probably has a very specific and fascinating answer and we just don’t know it yet
I mean it really seems like recursive “why” questions aren’t gonna ground out. Idk if this logically entails “no answer” (maybe there are just infinitely recursive questions each paired with a specific answer) but it sure seems to point that way
Reply to @bayeslord, 19:35 UTC · 4 likes
bayes (@bayeslord): wait no, wtf is existence. why are we here. why is anything here. don’t pretend like you don’t care. these are the deepest questions we can ask
Idk
Reply to @Duderichy, 19:56 UTC · 1 like
the Rich (@Duderichy): I think I just got the ick watching this
(quoting @stoolpresidente: I went full alpha male mode today putting up a fence so peaches couldn't escape)
I guess everyone is dunking bc he’s doing it wrong
I assumed the issue was having a cat or dog and relying on physical barriers to keep them from running away
Reply to @KellerScholl, 20:10 UTC · 2 likes
(The tweet being replied to by @KellerScholl is no longer available.)
Waiting for someone to ask this lol
I don’t plan on taking the pledge in say the next year or so because the worlds in which I’m able to earn decent money ≈ those in which I’m able to (and willing to, and hopefully do) try something a bit more entrepreneurial
Thread, continued, 20:13 UTC · 3 likes
For better or worse the GWWC pledge points in the direction of risk aversion (ie to be able and willing to meet your commitment) which I think is bad for a nontrivial subset of pledgers or would-be pledgers
Thread, continued, 20:14 UTC · 2 likes
I also have pretty radical uncertainty about what the future looks like (personally but in this context mostly at large) so I’m pretty hesitant to make any declaration of any type that has literally no default expiration date
Reply to @KellerScholl, 21:13 UTC · 2 likes
(The tweet being replied to by @KellerScholl is no longer available.)
For better or worse I’m pretty sure (fact check?) the vast majority of EA-inspired giving has been by people with a net worth of say at least $10M at the time of donation
If a person has no intention of trying to make a lot of money (relative to current salary) I agree with
Thread, continued, 21:18 UTC · 2 likes
your six month thing, but basically think the EA etg norms should emphasize risk tolerance way, way more, which probably means more than that for most people, especially those supporting a family
If I heard that someone currently making $150k and supporting a family had
Thread, continued, 21:19 UTC · 2 likes
stopped donating in order to save enough so that they could try founding a startup for a year without their family bearing ~any risk of having to adjust to a lower standard of living, I’d think that was awesome and super high EV
Reply to his own earlier tweet, 21:23 UTC · 5 likes
Aaron Bergman, July 5, 2024: I am extremely pro 🔸in bio to indicate donation. Social pressure go brr. Maybe make another one to indicate absolute amounts donated (💰per $25k?)
I also think some of you should stop giving away tens of thousands of dollars and start trying to make tens of millions or more to give away, even if that means saving instead of donating right now
(Read the whole thread here if interested)
Reply to his own earlier tweet, 21:46 UTC · 13 likes
Aaron Bergman, July 5, 2024: Do they stop at every stop or do you actually have to pull the rope thing? (Pull the rope thing) If you pull the rope thing is that saying that you wanna get…
Yes, you have to actually be visibly waiting at the bus stop! I found this out a few days ago the hard (not that hard) way
Reply to @arithmoquine, 21:52 UTC · 4 likes
henry (@arithmoquine): is pleasure just absence of suffering?
Honestly I can’t believe anyone says this (I’m being facetious), it’s like a claim you’d get by prompting GPT-2 to say something that sounds insightful and Buddhist (but is obviously wrong to anyone who understands what the words mean)
Reply to @arithmoquine, 21:56 UTC · 2 likes
henry (@arithmoquine): @AaronBergman18 this is my view, and why i ask the question (to see if anyone takes it seriously)
“this” being the phrase in ur tweet or my reply?
Reply to @fluxtheorist, 22:31 UTC · 40 likes
(The tweet being replied to by @fluxtheorist is no longer available.)
Horny on x axis / quality of life on y axis is a U shaped curve fr
Thread, continued, 23:07 UTC · 2 likes
Hope ur doing ok brother
Quote tweet, 23:11 UTC · 15 likes
Fuck
Quoting Joe Biden (@JoeBiden): Let me say this as clearly as I can:
I’m the sitting President of the United States.
I’m the nominee of the Democratic party.
I’m staying in the race.
Thread, continued, 23:11 UTC · 4 likes
Can’t say I understand the personal psychology here. Why would you want that stress and responsibility when you could be doing like literally whatever tf you want as a former president?
Reply to @mimi10v3, 23:13 UTC · 4 likes
˚♡⋆mimi ˚♡⋆｡☆∴ (@mimi10v3): life gets easier when i wear the autism earplugs that dampen painfully loud noises ... is there an emotional equivalent to the earplugs?
High dose SSRIs for some and antipsychotics for all. Might not actually like what comes along with “easier” though
Reply to @arithmoquine, 23:20 UTC · 41 likes
henry (@arithmoquine): you eat meat because you don't care about ethics
i eat meat because i do care about ethics, and i accept the repugnant conclusion
we are not the same
Virtually all meat comes from animals who were made worse off by being born
Reply to @zheer_kejlberg, 23:21 UTC · 2 likes
Zheer Kejlberg Al-Mashhadi (@zheer_kejlberg): R friends, I want to do a shiny. I’ve never done a shiny before. What’s the best resource to get started doing a shiny?
ChatGPT+ or Claude Pro (not being sarcastic)
Reply to @arithmoquine, 23:24 UTC · 18 likes
henry (@arithmoquine): @AaronBergman18 i'm shitposting ik
Ah fair, not gonna delete bc this is a real argument people make
Reply to @brundolfsmith, 23:27 UTC · 2 likes
brundolf (@brundolfsmith): Over time vibecamp may become a way of verifying that [handle] is a real person and not an AI
Like in the 1980s when people would have IRL parties to exchange encryption keys
Eventually an AI is gonna pay some guy to show up
Reply to @arithmoquine, 23:31 UTC · 17 likes
henry (@arithmoquine): @AaronBergman18 wait seriously? lmao
Often not put in repugnant conclusion terms tbc but yeah
Tweet, 23:37 UTC · 38 likes
You think this coconut just fell out of a coconut tree?
Saturday, July 6, 2024
Reply to @UWHS75819288, 00:09 UTC · 4 likes
Leontiev (@UWHS75819288): @AaronBergman18 @fluxtheorist Concave up or down?
Down lol
Reply to @lillybilly299, 00:23 UTC · 1 like
Lilly (@lillybilly299): NO. Laws do not exist to compel people to live moral lives. They exist to ensure society functions stably and predictably and provide a framework for resolving conflicts. We do not live in a theocracy or fascist dictatorship wtf
(quoting @SarahTheHaider: On the whole I think laws and norms should be based on what is most good for most people. What we have now is a combination of what is best for the uncommon case: preventing extreme abuse (harm outlier) + and granting maximum individual freedom (benefit outlier).)
Ok but you’re not gonna get “a framework for resolving conflicts” without implicitly taking an ethical stance sometimes
At the end of the day a person either goes to prison or doesn’t go to prison. Either is compatible with a stable society in most cases
Reply to @daniel_271828, 11:40 UTC · 4 likes
zzDANIEL_ETH (@daniel_271828): @AaronBergman18 Coconuts exist in the context of all in which they live and what came before them.
Big if true
Reply to @peterwildeford, 11:40 UTC · 1 like
Peter Wildeford🇺🇸🚀 (@peterwildeford):
Nobody tell him
Reply to @JasonBotterill, 11:42 UTC · 2 likes
JB (@JasonBotterill): @AaronBergman18 bait is so good that I can’t tell if it’s real or not
Lol
Tweet, 14:32 UTC · 33 likes
Petition to destroy the sun
Tweet, 14:39 UTC · 13 likes
We should do the thing where countries give each other large metal objects but without the war first
Reply to @ciphergoth, 14:52 UTC · 4 likes
Paul Crowley (@ciphergoth): @AaronBergman18 Since the beginning of time, Man has yearned to destroy the Sun.
We must honor our ancestors by doing their will
Reply to his own earlier tweet, 19:20 UTC · 7 likes
Aaron Bergman, July 3, 2024: Not load bearing
Load bearing
Reply to @JesseTayRiver, 19:23 UTC · 2 likes
Jesse Smith (@JesseTayRiver): @AaronBergman18 We should just normalize this for friends
I’ll ship u some tin foil origami
Sunday, July 7, 2024
Reply, 01:06 UTC · 1 like
😢
Reply to @michael_nielsen, 01:11 UTC · 1 like
Michael Nielsen (@michael_nielsen): Looking for examples of what might be called intransitive trade - where you’d trade A for B (but not vice versa), B for C (ditto), and C for A (ditto)
Can you think of any?
FWIW this can happen without issue when the trade options take place in different hypothetical universes and the specific things on offer provide relevant information about their value
Quote tweet, 01:48 UTC · 5 likes
Causation is real
Quoting Andy Ayrey (@AndyAyrey): can someone please explain acausality to me, it sounds like a one way trip up the schizo escalator and I need more infohazards
Reply to @hamandcheese, 03:33 UTC · 11 likes
Samuel Hammond 🦉 (@hamandcheese): It is hard for high IQ people to imagine what it's like to be less intelligent, which creates a kind of blindspot for the importance of intelligence per se, analogous to the "burden of knowledge."
(quoting @mattyglesias: High IQ causes left-wing political beliefs which in turn cause denialism about the importance of IQ. https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/S0160289624000254)
People also forget how selected their social and professional network is
Even for more representative groups people might be influenced by, it’s hard to think of one that isn’t biased in the direction you yourself deviate towards (eg public school, any level)
Reply to @ElytraMithra, 07:45 UTC · 2 likes
(The tweet being replied to by @ElytraMithra is no longer available.)
Now that I am actually living in a 75 sq ft room (not including shared bathroom and kitchen and a bit of other common space tbc) I feel extremely qualified to reaffirm that these are perfectly fine
Monday, July 8, 2024
Reply to @frances__lorenz, 00:29 UTC · 1 like
(The tweet being replied to by @frances__lorenz is no longer available.)
Well has anyone
Quote tweet, 00:36 UTC · 4 likes
Ideal writing style
Quoting Rafael Ruiz ⏸️🔸 (@RafaRuizdeLira): Another banger by Richard Chappell. A great read.
Reply to @tasshinfogleman, 00:42 UTC · 3 likes
Friend Tasshin (@tasshinfogleman): what luxury might u buy urself if u had a billion dollars?
Shrimp stunner
Tweet, 01:29 UTC · 21 likes
Museum with a semi-autistic nerd friend tour guide >>
Reply to @slimepriestess, 01:35 UTC · 65 likes
Ra (@slimepriestess): it's the first date, you're eight hours into an acid trip and have already had sex, it's 4am. she pulls out her phone and says she wants to read you this essay called Meditations on Moloch, wyd?
Propose
Tweet, 18:58 UTC · 685 likes
Reply to @NathanB60857242, 18:59 UTC · 46 likes
Nathan Barnard (@NathanB60857242): I find it pretty bizarre that the EA community (on twitter) is adjacent to this kind of complete insanity.
(quoting @eigenrobot: @DanielleFong speaking as a white person i think an optimal legal system would try and most likely hang him i dont expect this expression of support will help the situation in oakland but if it makes you feel less like you're taking crazy pills, you know maybe its the thought…)
I think you should delete this, since “guilt by adjacency” is a really bad and illegitimate reason for something to be bad
Reply to @daniel_271828, 19:00 UTC · 7 likes
zzDANIEL_ETH (@daniel_271828): Choose your fighter
I’d be very pro- US and china competing on drone art and nothing else
Reply to @GarrettPetersen, 19:04 UTC · 33 likes
Dr. Dad, PhD 🔄🔼◀️🔽▶️ (@GarrettPetersen): R? R????
Yes, the best and in fact only legitimate programming language
Thread, continued, 19:05 UTC · 9 likes
Reply to @ryancbriggs, 19:17 UTC · 4 likes
Ryan Briggs (@ryancbriggs):
Based
Quote tweet, 19:22 UTC · 209 likes
I unironically think I could be emperor of the universe and simply not be corrupt
Idk, seems like a skill issue
Quoting Grace (@kindgracekind): They say power corrupts, but I like to think I could be corrupt without having any power at all
Reply to @IsaacKing314, 21:14 UTC · 7 likes
Isaac King 🔎 (@IsaacKing314): @AaronBergman18 @NathanB60857242 I agree with the second part, but I think angrily asking people to delete tweets that you disagree with is *also* bad.
I didn’t intend this to be/come off as angry although I do have a bit of a knack for saying things online that don’t come off as intended
Reply to @IsaacKing314, 21:36 UTC · 6 likes
Isaac King 🔎 (@IsaacKing314): @AaronBergman18 @NathanB60857242 It's just not a productive conversation pattern, and I'd prefer people are open about their views rather than feeling a need to hide them in order to get approval from their subculture.
Thanks, and I think this applies in some cases, but I’m standing by this one because part of what I mean to convey is “I don’t merely disagree - I think *you* would disagree on reflection”
This comes from having spoken to Nathan quite a bit even off of twitter!
Reply to @Rado9910, 21:37 UTC · 2 likes
Rado9910 (@Rado9910): @ContainerEnjoyr @AaronBergman18 I suspect the world would be a much better place if he were, so he probably isn't.
🥰🥰🥰
Reply to @ContainerEnjoyr, 21:37 UTC · 2 likes
Container Enjoyer (@ContainerEnjoyr): @Rado9910 @AaronBergman18 Well, there's a lot of title inflation these days, maybe Emperor is a mid-level role.
Lol
Quote tweet, 21:38 UTC · 8 likes
If this is true, we should change the aphorism to “corruption empowers”
Quoting Isaac King 🔎 (@IsaacKing314): @AaronBergman18 Being non-corrupt with infinite power is one thing. Being non-corrupt when corruptness is necessary to retain power is another.
Tuesday, July 9, 2024
Tweet, 08:08 UTC · 30 likes
Turns out @SpacedOutMatt @absurdlymax @FrostedSapling and @arthur_wright_ exist irl too
Quote tweet, 08:12 UTC · 17 likes
Got word of a cool csv, now you can explore avg big 5 personality traits by city (US only)
http://city-personality.streamlit.app
Quoting Aaron Bergman 🔍 (@AaronBergman18): This is an open invitation to always send me any csv’s u stumble across. Idc how, drive link or url or just paste it into DM or reply
I love a good csv 🙏🏼
Reply to @inesferhumi, 08:56 UTC · 3 likes
Inés (@inesferhumi): OMG but also why is this the darkest and blurriest pic I have ever seen in my life
Asked a guy to take the pic for us - I zoomed in a bit, this is the original which is maybe better
Reply to his own earlier tweet, 09:14 UTC · 2 likes
Aaron Bergman, July 9, 2024: Got word of a cool csv, now you can explore avg big 5 personality traits by city (US only) http://city-personality.streamlit.app
The word came from a lion
Reply to @ohwizenedtortle, 09:14 UTC · 3 likes
oh dandy lion🔸 (@ohwizenedtortle): @AaronBergman18 Wow what a cool dataset to have found!
I repent for my use of passive voice 😔
Reply to @arithmoquine, 09:17 UTC · 13 likes
henry (@arithmoquine): why is there only One (1) qualia research institute. how is this possible
naively one would expect a QRI in every single university
They need more normie aesthetics
Reply to @austinc3301, 09:38 UTC · 2 likes
Agus 🔸 (@austinc3301): For context, not too long ago I tried to hunt down some military researchers to try to get them to share a proprietary caffeine dose response algorithm with me
Ok
Reply to @Thomasdelvasto_, 10:29 UTC · 2 likes
Θωμᾶς del Vasto ✈️ atx 10/10 - 10/19 (@Thomasdelvasto_): @AaronBergman18 Problem is there are a million ways to be corrupt, and a narrow path to being good
I would simply stay in that narrow path
Reply to @SpacedOutMatt, 11:30 UTC · 5 likes
Matt 🔸 (@SpacedOutMatt): More pixels (but also never ask a man to take a photo of you)
What do we think about this version
Reply to @arithmoquine, 13:40 UTC · 3 likes
henry (@arithmoquine): let's fucking go the sun is coming up i have permission to stop trying to fall asleep
I relate to this too much
Reply to @arthur_wright_, 13:54 UTC · 3 likes
Arthur Wrong 🔸 (@arthur_wright_): Shameless self-endorsement: I will be starting full-time next Monday as Effective Altruism DC's Head of Community!! 🎉
If you are an active member I don't already know or would like to get involved, don't hesitate to reach out! My DMs are open, and I'd love to connect.
Congrats!!! I aspire to one day be part of the EA DC community
Reply to @beala, 14:27 UTC · 3 likes
Alex Beal 🆎 (@beala): I was this many years old when I learned "the 21st century" began on Jan 1, 2001. Anyway I found a new thing I can be annoying about.
Wait what
Reply to @eshear, 16:22 UTC · 5 likes
Emmett Shear (@eshear): Power corrupts your world model, it’s not a matter of being “good”
(quoting @eshear: People desire to exercise power. Exercising it through others is just as good, so if you have power other people find ways to attempt to direct your use of that power.)
This sounds plausible but I don’t grok (sorry) it yet lol. POTUS is very powerful. What happens to a presidential candidate-turned-president that “corrupts” their world model (more)?
What does corrupt even mean here?
Quote tweet, 16:24 UTC · 11 likes
Sell me on any of the “power corrupts in some clever non-obvious way independent of one’s character” theses
Quoting Aaron Bergman 🔍 (@AaronBergman18): @eshear This sounds plausible but I don’t grok (sorry) it yet lol. POTUS is very powerful. What happens to a presidential candidate-turned-president that “corrupts” their world model (more)?
What does corrupt even mean here?
Reply to @phenoatypical, 16:25 UTC · 19 likes
Paola (@phenoatypical): I am constantly getting sick, feeling exhausted to a pretty extreme degree, etc., what are some unconventional things I can try to fix this? I have attempted pretty much all of the usual stuff
Blood tests
B12, folate, vit d, CBC, CRP, testosterone and free test if male, TSH, thyroid antibodies, Lyme, probably a bunch more I’m forgetting
Reply to @TrevorVossberg, 16:35 UTC · 2 likes
Trevor Vossberg (@TrevorVossberg): @AaronBergman18 Do you need a clever model? Selection into being successful can bias one’s expectations of likelihood of future success.
Not sure I’d call that “corruption”
Reply to @beala, 17:50 UTC · 3 likes
Alex Beal 🆎 (@beala): Lots of reddit-level takes in this part of twitter that failing at CICO is a skill issue. But I think there's good evidence that "CI" and "CO" aren't independent and the level of correlation varies a lot from person to person.
(quoting @beala: @SpencrGreenberg I think (1) and (3) explain the majority of this, but I'm not sure about the ordering of those two. I think there's good evidence that "calories in" and "calories out" aren't independent, and the variation between individuals is quite large.…)
Cursed discourse
Reply to @absurdlymax, 23:45 UTC · 3 likes
Max Alexander (@absurdlymax): @inesferhumi @SpacedOutMatt @AaronBergman18 @FrostedSapling @arthur_wright_ This is one of the only photos of me online 🥰
Wednesday, July 10, 2024
Tweet, 06:32 UTC · 2 likes
Experiment: which poem do you like better? Poll below
Reply to @ContainerEnjoyr, 07:06 UTC · 5 likes
Container Enjoyer (@ContainerEnjoyr): Is it weird this made me cry? I just want those little chicken dudes to be ok.
(quoting @Lewis_Bollard: The best plant-based chicken nuggets outperformed animal-based nuggets in new blind taste tests! @ImpossibleFoods nuggets and tenders were the top performers. (Still work to do to on plant-based burgers, hot dogs, and bacon, but this is a great start)…)
People who only cry over things that don’t make sense to cry about to 99.99% of the population gang
Reply to @yifever, 07:17 UTC · 3 likes
yifei e/λ (meetmeinshibuya Oct 18) (@yifever): If you're not either
a) in all kinds of psychological pain
b) horny beyond belief
you're not learning optimally and you can be more efficient about it.
These are the 2 optimal emotional states for learning.
I don’t think this is true
Quote tweet, 15:09 UTC · 122 likes
Quoting ThinkingWest (@thinkingwest): Feudalism was actually a pretty good system.
Here’s why:
-everyone had a defined role that served society as a whole: peasants, vassals, and lords all had responsibilities to each other
-it was extremely decentralized
-it’s hierarchy ensured long-term stability
-with hereditary monarchy, it was a lot more difficult for influence peddlers to buy off leaders
-hereditary monarchs’ interests were tied to those of the people since they ruled for life
Reply to @JesseTayRiver, 15:21 UTC · 2 likes
Jesse Smith (@JesseTayRiver): Q for foot scientists or whatever. Every time I lose a toenail the one that grows back is just as ugly as the one it replaced. Pretty sure I'm about to lose another soon - is there anything I can do to make the new one turn out nicely?
Megadose beta carotene and maybe it will permanently become orange
Reply to @NathanpmYoung, 15:53 UTC · 7 likes
Nathan 🔎 (@NathanpmYoung): I don't strongly buy white saviour arguments, but if I did, @GiveDirectly seems to satisfy them.
It's literally giving poor people resources directly. How could one be less white savioury than that?
There are no white savior arguments afaict. There’s just a phrase. Yes sometimes white people do things that literally prevent other people from dying
Quote tweet, 15:57 UTC · 1,295 likes
I am going to stake out my position as a trash can study defender. It probably makes sense to carefully study the effects of even a boring and intuitive policy change that affects ~10⁷ people
Quoting Chris Bakke (@ChrisJBakke): The next time you have imposter syndrome at work, just remember:
Reply to @solarsystern, 16:06 UTC · 541 likes
irα!! (@solarsystern): u might think being one of the boys is about crushing beers and smoking weed and whatever but it's actually about dissecting what their one (1) tinder match of the week meant by heart emoji sparkle emoji
One per week? Must be a 6’7” movie star
Reply, 16:09 UTC · 128 likes
Coase’s "Net effect?" Ghost 🏴🕊️ (@GhostCoase): A meta comment: given the shameful association between intellectuals and Leninism in the 20th century, replication crises, peer-reviewed journal acceptance scandals, suppression of the lab leak hypothesis and so on, academics should at least marginally shift to trial-by-market.
I don’t think McKinsey is academia/intelligentsia
Reply to @tracewoodgrains, 16:12 UTC · 9 likes
Jack (@tracewoodgrains): targets of the admin's ire on Wikipedia, direct or aimed at their publications, include @ohabryka, @aaronsibarium, @clairlemon, @nickgillespie and @MattWelch, @bariweiss, @KelseyTuoc, @sentientist, @Aella_Girl, and most of all @ESYudkowsky and @slatestarcodex.
This is just a list of the most intellectually honest people on the internet
Reply, 16:13 UTC · 1 like
I’d like to think so, at least for some number of good life-years
Quote tweet, 16:29 UTC · 10 likes
Rookie numbers. Gotta get that number up
Quoting henry (@arithmoquine): made http://ratpuritytest.com. enjoy
Quote tweet, 17:07 UTC · 6 likes
Seeing AI stuff on normal TV news is high key uncomfortable for me. I want it to stay on twitter, not leach into the real world
Quoting Brett Adcock (@adcock_brett): Robots in the news
Reply to @amazingmap, 17:14 UTC · 3 likes
Amazing Maps (@amazingmap): Chile is so long that it could serve as a bridge connecting Spain to Canada across the Atlantic Ocean
Construye el puente
Reply to @JesseTayRiver, 21:17 UTC · 1 like
Jesse Smith (@JesseTayRiver): The guy shot around his feet a bunch of times which is just very typical and normal good guy behavior
Philly doesn’t fuck around
Reply to @shauseth, 21:18 UTC · 15 likes
shaurya (@shauseth): wait till you find out a billion is just a thousand of those
Big if true
Tweet, 21:38 UTC · 18 likes
I wonder what salt would taste like if we hadn’t evolved to need it as a nutrient
Probably just “rock” I guess
Quote tweet, 21:43 UTC · 4 likes
Ok wait where did hunter gatherers get their sodium? And they probably needed a lot right?
Quoting Aaron Bergman 🔍 (@AaronBergman18): I wonder what salt would taste like if we hadn’t evolved to need it as a nutrient
Probably just “rock” I guess
Reply to @nocontextmemes, 21:45 UTC · 2 likes
no context memes (@nocontextmemes):
@Laura_k_Duffy
Reply, 22:23 UTC · 9 likes
(The tweet being replied to is no longer available.)
That’s not a log scale
Quote tweet, 23:17 UTC · 69 likes
It’s cool that a few SWEs just solved applied epistemology
Quoting Jay Baxter (@jaybaxter): Community Notes is inspired by approaches like Wikipedia... but I am very happy with our choice to not display notes before they are rated as helpful by people who've disagreed in the past.
As a result, Wikipedia is quite vulnerable to single rogue individuals in a way we aren't
Tweet, 23:42 UTC · 12 likes
Guy who’s vegan except for (humanely killed) screwworms because we need to remind egregious parasites and predators who’s boss
Reply to @PstafarianPrice, 23:45 UTC · 2 likes
Cristine Rice (@PstafarianPrice): Do you respect Scott Alexander?
98th percentile easily on my respect axis
Thursday, July 11, 2024
Tweet, 01:32 UTC · 9 likes
Born to walk around on a beautify sunny fall day // forced to walk in DC summer with 10^10% humidity
Reply to @bijibiji2023, 01:39 UTC · 2 likes
hoff 🧒🏻😻 (@bijibiji2023): @AaronBergman18 I’ve been camping in Delaware for like 30 days and it’s been pretty insane even being from TX
This sounds miserable lmao
Tweet, 01:59 UTC · 9 likes
Ok but, as a straight white man, how *do* I have a brat summer?
Reply to @menhguin, 02:31 UTC · 2 likes
Minh Nhat Nguyen 🦭 (@menhguin): My plans are measured in centuries
Lmao but also based
Reply to @menhguin, 02:31 UTC · 4 likes
Minh Nhat Nguyen 🦭 (@menhguin): I brought up Mr Beast in EA a lot over the past 2-3 years, im gonna pretend i was partly responsible for this
Based
Tweet, 02:33 UTC · 7 likes
PSA at night a bunch of sprinklers go off and nobody stops you from running through them and/or just hanging out near them to reapply water (ie cooling agent)
Reply to his own earlier tweet, 08:35 UTC · 1 like
Aaron Bergman, May 30, 2024: done that and then selectively reported one result with at least a partial implication that this result wasn’t one of 100 possibilities. More generally proxy…
(Kinda forgot about this but we are so back)
50) I think I might finally grok the left's "systemic change" critique of EA:
Reply to @JesseTayRiver, 14:11 UTC · 3 likes
Jesse Smith (@JesseTayRiver): If you believe that cico is true but trivial and find this article illuminating you might not actually hold the view that cico is true
https://www.theatlantic.com/health/archive/2015/09/why-it-was-easier-to-be-skinny-in-the-1980s/407974/
Huh? Holding diet and exercise constant doesn’t mean CO stays the same. Lots of ways for the body to use slightly more or less energy, and going from CI=CO to CI=CO+10 each day yields +1 pound of fat/year, which would explain 20 pounds if this happens (on avg) every day from
Thread, continued, 14:12 UTC · 2 likes
15 to 35
10 calories is really not much, that’s like 15 minutes of just being alive
Reply to @ohwizenedtortle, 14:15 UTC · 3 likes
oh dandy lion🔸 (@ohwizenedtortle): @asbelcas @goblinodds It's 23:23 and I'm desperately trying to fall asleep and despite how much I scroll I'm still awake
Random but thanks for saving my puppy trapped under a truck the other day. I didn’t think anyone could lift it up like that
Reply to @JesseTayRiver, 14:23 UTC · 2 likes
Jesse Smith (@JesseTayRiver): @AaronBergman18 That's not what they're arguing
I just inferred from the screenshots. 0/1
Tweet, 15:21 UTC · 37 likes
.@JesseTayRiver ur famous
Reply to @dissproportion, 15:25 UTC · 3 likes
(The tweet being replied to by @dissproportion is no longer available.)
He’s Canadian so technically…
Tweet, 15:26 UTC · 13 likes
The masculine urge to buy an experimental unregulated aircraft
Thread, continued, 15:27 UTC · 5 likes
Low 5 figures on FB marketplace. I think God wants me to fly
Reply to @mattyglesias, 16:33 UTC · 8 likes
Matthew Yglesias (@mattyglesias): This precrime paper is kind of wild.
.1% of Chicagoans are shot within any 18 months? Wtf?
Reply to @justjoshinyou13, 16:36 UTC · 2 likes
Josh You (@justjoshinyou13): and by "wrote" I mean "generated with AI"
Welcome to hell
Quote tweet, 17:15 UTC · 5 likes
He’s back!!!
Ezra u should come on Pigeon Hour https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/pigeon-hour/id1693154768
Quoting Ezra Klein (@ezraklein): What I’m hearing from congressional Democrats about President Biden is this: He has done nothing to allay their fears. But his defiance — and fury — has been enough to stay their hand.
This is arguably the worst of all worlds: Democrats realize they are drifting toward a grim march to defeat led by a candidate they’ve lost faith in. But they don’t have a plan to do anything about it.
Congressional Democrats aren’t yet at the point where they’re going to abandon Biden en masse. Nor are they at the point where their confidence in him is restored. They need some process that’ll get them to one side or the other, and fast. Here's one suggestion, building off something Senator Bernie Sanders said: https://www.nytimes.com/2024/07/11/opinion/biden-democrats-nomination.html
Friday, July 12, 2024
Quote tweet, 00:22 UTC · 6 likes
I can’t even maintain consistency on whether I’ll show up to a thing happening in less than two hours (this is from yesterday, trades at the bottom)
Quoting Dwarkesh Patel (@dwarkesh_sp): My @ManifoldMarkets portfolio looking pretty good
Thread, continued, 00:22 UTC · 4 likes
Manifold market is actually a pretty good way of keeping people updated about my subjective probability that I show up to something. Recommended for fellow flake risks
Reply to @skooookum, 00:33 UTC · 10 likes
(The tweet being replied to by @skooookum is no longer available.)
How do I delete someone else’s tweet
Quote tweet, 00:45 UTC · 7 likes
I agree but also ELI5 is a dumb prompt/phrase
“Explain to a smart layperson” goes harder
Quoting Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇸🇺🇦🇹🇼 (@Noahpinion): When someone says "explain this to me like I'm a five year old", you should not get mad at them; you should just explain it.
Explaining things in a very simple manner helps *you* get a more complete and solid understanding of the topic.
Reply to @saulmunn, 01:09 UTC · 2 likes
saul munn (@saulmunn): why do most banking apps/websites have such _horrible_ UIs? blocky, hard to find stuff, slow, incredibly unaesthetic, etc
cc @patio11 who maybe has a good answer here
Unlike most websites there is strong incentive to choose a bank for substantive other reasons
Switching banks is annoying
Banks don’t actually want you to use their services beyond depositing money (is this true?)
Competition on interest rates push down profit margins (?)
Thread, continued, 01:12 UTC · 2 likes
If Facebook fucks up, someone gets locked out of their account for a week maybe; if banks screw up they wind up in court and under intense scrutiny (SEC and FDIC among others). So any change has to go through a gazillion checks
Tweet, 01:55 UTC · 45 likes
Reply to @JgaltTweets, 02:00 UTC · 3 likes
JgaltTweets (@JgaltTweets): @AaronBergman18 you can post whatever you want now
Big if true, I’ve posted and deleted this twice already
Reply, 02:42 UTC · 1 like
$11
Tweet, 04:06 UTC · 11 likes
I have an idea but I can’t tell anyone bc that would render it moot 😔
Reply to @randomstring729, 04:14 UTC · 2 likes
(The tweet being replied to by @randomstring729 is no longer available.)
de908996b3d0f96d0592c5f55482b22b7cedee96ac1fb8f26ff9b403a380ac66
Reply to @TylerAlterman, 05:27 UTC · 2 likes
Tyler is finishing a book, slow to reply (@TylerAlterman): Has anyone else here ever been homeless? What would have been a helpful thing to receive from a passerby?
(quoting @TylerAlterman: I’d like to have a little something to give the different homeless folks I encounter every day. What fits these criteria? • Relatively cheap (would probably be giving out at least 5 per day) • Will fit in my messenger bag • Not too hard (for ppl w tooth problems) • Healthy •…)
Apparently socks are gold
Reply to @adam__isom, 06:31 UTC · 3 likes
adam ✧ ❥ ~ (@adam__isom): @AaronBergman18 how many cute jewish bisexuals do you know??
I mean 3 instantly come to mind but definitely more
Quote tweet, 20:51 UTC · 10 likes
Seems bad
Quoting Jamie Bernardi (@The_JBernardi): Well, well, well...
Reply to @littIeramblings, 21:01 UTC · 1 like
sarah (@littIeramblings): nah I got crazier friends than u 😇
😔
Reply to @AMAZlNGNATURE, 21:11 UTC · 3 likes
Nature is Amazing ☘️ (@AMAZlNGNATURE): Touching the void on the most breathtaking ridge of the Dolomites😱
I would simply not do this
Tweet, 23:07 UTC · 4 likes
Mio-like drops but specifically for freshly fallen snow to make it yummy (gonna need aspartame not sugar to get concentrated enough): this one legitimately came to me in a dream
Reply to @ContainerEnjoyr, 23:11 UTC · 2 likes
Container Enjoyer (@ContainerEnjoyr): @AaronBergman18 You're talking about sno cone mix, I believe? Should be available on Amazon prime.
Nooooooooo
Thread, continued, 23:11 UTC · 2 likes
This actually makes sense darn
Reply to @JesseTayRiver, 23:49 UTC · 2 likes
Jesse Smith (@JesseTayRiver): Andy I'm worried you're hanging out with an oddly high number of communists
What % of exurban PA woodworking enthusiasts are communists
Reply to @absurdlymax, 23:50 UTC · 8 likes
Max Alexander (@absurdlymax): You gotta get on EA Spotify the jokes are insane there
Nah EA Google Maps is where it’s really at
Saturday, July 13, 2024
Tweet, 00:42 UTC · 9 likes
I’m skeptical of anyone who really *wants* to be president, a bit like I am (though less so) of people who want to start a company
Huge amounts of power and money seem very instrumentally useful if you want to change the world (ideally for the world’s sake)…
Thread, continued, 00:43 UTC · 8 likes
But ideally I’d want those jobs filled by people who see them as a noble sacrifice, but a sacrifice nonetheless.
This is especially true of POTUS of course
Tweet, 00:49 UTC · 6 likes
Hypothesis: sleep is for all the muscles that rarely got to rest during normal activity in the ancestral environment. Things in the brain just hopped on for the ride, evolutionarily speaking
Thread, continued, 00:49 UTC · 9 likes
Boy I love speculating about things I know very little about
Reply, 02:56 UTC · 1 like
Fair, “skeptical” doesn’t mean like rock solid antipathy
Reply to @RFishBlueFish, 03:02 UTC · 2 likes
Gil (@RFishBlueFish): @AaronBergman18 I am not skeptical about me becoming president. Like I would probably feel that I should offload most decisions to advisors but I’d take the role and get the world’s best advisors (my Twitter feed, only half kidding)
I’d probably take the role too, just for altruistic reasons and I’d probably hate it
Reply to his own earlier tweet, 03:03 UTC · 2 likes
Aaron Bergman, July 13, 2024: But ideally I’d want those jobs filled by people who see them as a noble sacrifice, but a sacrifice nonetheless. This is especially true of POTUS of course
Possible I’m just projecting my own preferences too hard here
Quote tweet, 04:02 UTC · 9 likes
Seems bad
Quoting Mark Carnegie 🛡️ (@iammarkcarnegie): If you don’t think this is a crisis i don’t know what to say to you. H/t @toadmeister @JonHaidt
Reply to @tszzl, 04:08 UTC · 3 likes
roon (@tszzl): twitter was better than http://x.com
I just want her back
Reply to @ohwizenedtortle, 04:10 UTC · 2 likes
oh dandy lion🔸 (@ohwizenedtortle): Google docs is sick of my hedging
😡
Reply to @tszzl, 04:13 UTC · 6 likes
roon (@tszzl): twitter is not about content. twitter is about community and interconnection. it should be run as a bloated service organization disguised as a tech startup rather than a cutthroat business
Ironic that a centibillionaire who at least seems to care about things other than money buying the platform—one of the few things that can create the slack for this to happen in a world of Molochian market forces—seems to have led to or at least accelerated the decline
Thread, continued, 04:16 UTC · 3 likes
I’d guess Musk just guessed wrong about the net financial result of firing a ton of employees and now has to lean harder on engagement/ad revenue to “prove” that he wasn’t wrong after all and is in fact a savant businessman after all
Reply to @bayeslord, 05:52 UTC · 8 likes
bayes (@bayeslord): that seems a bit broad
It seems to check out under anthropic reasoning but doesn’t rule out a scenario where physics has begins fluid and eventually solidifies (afaik)
Quote tweet, 06:29 UTC · 8 likes
Something similar happens to me which is like I say that something bad happened/is happening and then someone tells me not to be ashamed/embarrassed/etc about it
And it’s like “thanks but I’m already not any of those - the underlying thing itself still sucks though”
Quoting Cate Hall (@catehall): My trainer keeps telling me not to be embarrassed at times when it hasn’t occurred to me to be …
Thread, continued, 06:30 UTC · 3 likes
Object level go brr
Reply to @RafaRuizdeLira, 09:56 UTC · 2 likes
Rafael Ruiz ⏸️🔸 (@RafaRuizdeLira): @AaronBergman18 @absurdlymax Those are rookie numbers, I'm an basically an influencer there (six followers)
Poast profile link
Reply to @polisisti, 09:56 UTC · 2 likes
Alessandro (@polisisti): @RafaRuizdeLira @AaronBergman18 @absurdlymax I used to write a review every two weeks or so, so I got enough points that Google sent me some free socks 😊
Lmao
Thread, continued, 09:57 UTC · 2 likes
Post link
Reply to his own earlier tweet, 09:59 UTC · 3 likes
Aaron Bergman, July 13, 2024: Poast profile link
Can we unironically make EA Google maps happen?
Reply to @polisisti, 12:31 UTC · 2 likes
Alessandro (@polisisti): @AaronBergman18 @RafaRuizdeLira @absurdlymax link to... socks?? that's not how the internet works, Aaron!
(I'm sure I'm misunderstanding)
You can share ur reviewer profile but obv do not waste time on this lol
Quote tweet, 14:09 UTC · 15 likes
What is the best non-illegal way to fuck with this? I’m being serious
Is there anything I can put a .pdf extension on that will fuck up whatever the backend is?
Quoting no longer respecting gardenias (@NLRG_it): did you know you can sign up for project 2025?
Reply to @ContainerEnjoyr, 14:24 UTC · 5 likes
Container Enjoyer (@ContainerEnjoyr): @AaronBergman18 There are better ways to engage with people you disagree with.
But just for the record, PDFs can contain images of absolutely any content or nature, even if the recipient would find it distasteful.
But like, don't, I think. Disagreement is enough. I've made errors too. Be kind.
I think you should be kind and respectful to people, not Google forms. I think P2025 is sufficiently illiberal and norm breaking that abnormal, adversarial behavior is warranted. I’m open to being wrong about this ofc
Reply to his own earlier tweet, 14:25 UTC · 6 likes
Aaron Bergman, July 13, 2024: What is the best non-illegal way to fuck with this? I’m being serious Is there anything I can put a .pdf extension on that will fuck up whatever the backend is?
Convince me I shouldn’t, if you like
Reply to @MatjazLeonardis, 14:49 UTC · 7 likes
Matjaž Leonardis (@MatjazLeonardis): Does a person whose misery/depression is unrelated with their circumstances actually exist?
“Unrelated” is an awfully high bar but “basically not caused by” - yes definitely
Tweet, 14:57 UTC · 8 likes
Amazon didn’t even try
Reply to @livgorton, 19:11 UTC · 2 likes
Liv (@livgorton): could someone make GPUs cheaper? thanks.
I can do a couple floating point operations for free
Sunday, July 14, 2024
Reply, 01:36 UTC
Fr? Have you told that story somewhere?
Tweet, 01:48 UTC · 13 likes
At the simulator conference someone is presenting “On the sensitivity of long run lightcone-scale simulacra outcomes to micro-scale random deviation”
Tweet, 01:56 UTC · 18 likes
Orange man bad
Reply to @univrsw3th4rt, 17:37 UTC · 2 likes
universe sweetheart 💓🌈💭 (@univrsw3th4rt): time to indulge my curiosity once again: why do you follow me?
Idk
Reply, 17:44 UTC · 1 like
https://x.com/aaronbergman18/status/1700867333839872209
Quote tweet, 18:04 UTC · 55 likes
Extremely good use of money by givewell (not kidding at all tbc)
All EA charities should do this, and probably more
Quoting Tim Hua 🇺🇦 (@Tim_Hua_): I gave @GiveWell ten thousand dollars and all I got was this hat
Thread, continued, 18:10 UTC · 27 likes
Signaling merch is the charitable equivalent of hiring more IRS officers
Reply to @writemeganwrite, 18:19 UTC · 2 likes
megan (@writemeganwrite): I took a selfie with a frog. Maybe you need to see something kinda silly & not-heavy tonight. 🖤
Frog: I just took a selfie with a mythical beast
Monday, July 15, 2024
Quote tweet, 01:16 UTC · 5 likes
Presidents used to be smart
Quoting Alexey Guzey (@alexeyguzey):
Tweet, 02:18 UTC · 9 likes
Being a domestic ss/military sniper must be crazy. Like there’s a 99% chance you’ll never do anything but boy u gotta be ready for those 4 unlikely seconds
Tweet, 02:30 UTC · 3 likes
Hot take [take about the heat]
Tweet, 02:31 UTC · 86 likes
Air conditioning appreciation thread
Thread, continued, 02:32 UTC · 7 likes
Thanks air conditioning
Thread, continued, 02:32 UTC · 14 likes
We should have military-like norms around HVAC people. Discounts, “thank you for your service,” clapping when they board, etc
Thread, continued, 02:33 UTC · 5 likes
Refrigerant chemicals should be geopolitically as important as uranium
Thread, continued, 02:34 UTC · 3 likes
That’s all I got (for now)
Reply to @JgaltTweets, 02:38 UTC · 1 like
JgaltTweets (@JgaltTweets): @AaronBergman18 praise him
Thank u Mr Carter 🫡
Reply to @getjonwithit, 02:45 UTC · 3 likes
Jonathan Gorard (@getjonwithit): "Quantum mechanics is just thermodynamics in imaginary time."
It sounds like a hand-wavy, quasi-philosophical statement. But with a brief dive into the relationship(s) between hyperbolic and parabolic PDEs, it becomes possible to formalize it mathematically. (1/16)
PDE = partial differential equation for my fellow ignorant ppl
Reply to @NoahTopper, 02:55 UTC · 3 likes
Quinoah 🔍⏸️ (@NoahTopper): @RafaRuizdeLira https://x.com/aaronbergman18/status/1783521332312801720?s=46
Apparently it just simplifies to an expression that is exactly pi if you integrate from -inf to inf but it integrates from -e to e
Which kinda should be illegal ya
Tweet, 03:08 UTC · 21 likes
Kinda wild how rare assassination attempts are in the US. The US specifically because:
- big country with lots of people
- lots of guns
- highly polarized
- politics is objectively quite important and is considered as such
Thread, continued, 03:08 UTC · 13 likes
- we’re over-the-top and extreme in like every other domain relative to other developed countries
It’s kinda a white pill on humans tbh
Quote tweet, 03:24 UTC · 2,321 likes
The US will spend a quadrillion dollars on education reform and still not implement the three things that actually work:
- Phonics
- Free school lunches (breakfast too? Idk)
- A/C
Quoting Alessandro (@polisisti): @AaronBergman18 Air conditioning: the best thing for cognition since, like, sleeping adequately
Thread, continued, 03:24 UTC · 39 likes
Article the screenshot is from https://qz.com/1291997/heat-makes-it-harder-for-students-to-learn-and-thats-why-every-school-needs-air-conditioning
Thread, continued, 03:24 UTC · 27 likes
Paper it references https://www.nber.org/system/files/working_papers/w24639/w24639.pdf
Thread, continued, 03:30 UTC · 28 likes
3/5 which is not great under “mastery based grading” I assume
Tweet, 04:33 UTC · 22 likes
“Nothing ever happens” is one of my least favorite memes from people I otherwise like
Thread, continued, 04:33 UTC · 9 likes
I actually think I get it
Like for upper middle class intelligentsia-type online people in the West we’ve seen lots of claims about how important X or Y is/will be and then lo and behold our lives don’t actually change
Thread, continued, 04:33 UTC · 11 likes
Examples:
- crispr
- Trump elected
- cultured meat for vegetarians
- Brexit (possible counterexample if you think it slowed growth)
- even AI to some degree. I’d really like to submit some CT scans to an AI that is robustly better than human radiologists, but someone I can’t yet
Thread, continued, 04:33 UTC · 11 likes
Two problems with it:
1) you’re in an extremely selected bubble
2) more importantly, way too hard on empiricism/induction in a way that is bad for making predictions or policy. It’s totally fine and directionally sorta correct to joke about, terrible to actually lean on
Tweet, 05:09 UTC · 4 likes
Should I go for a walk at 1am
Reply, 05:13 UTC · 1 like
Hmm this could be a good investment
Reply to @Mira___Mira, 05:44 UTC · 3 likes
Mira (@Mira___Mira): "Nothing ever happens" if you're not very perceptive.
Every 5 years lots of stuff is happening all the time.
CS, math, science, companies, products, etc.But if you live in a cage deep underground in Kansas, you aren't looking so you'll miss it all.
I can hardly keep up!
(quoting @AaronBergman18: “Nothing ever happens” is one of my least favorite memes from people I otherwise like)
I feel like this is kinda the point though - like that list of “things” not cashing out as nontrivial changes to people’s lives is what the statement is supposed to allege (or at least this is my interpretation of it)
Reply to @larsiusprime, 05:52 UTC · 2 likes
Lars Doucet (@larsiusprime): There are multiple kinds of suffering.
“virtuous” suffering where people praise you for soldiering on.
“Invisible” suffering where nobody cares
And *wretched* suffering, where people hate you *because* of your suffering
There’s a related axis which is like “does the thing that looks virtuous to do in your situation actually help?”
Sometimes it makes things worse
Quote tweet, 06:32 UTC · 5 likes
I actually think it would be better just to implement straight away, but an especially EA thing to do would be to run a study: @GiveWell or whomever sends merch to all their donors in Chicago, Dallas, and Toronto and compare to however many peer cities they can identify
Quoting Aaron Bergman 🔍 (@AaronBergman18): Extremely good use of money by givewell (not kidding at all tbc)
All EA charities should do this, and probably more
Reply, 06:34 UTC · 3 likes
Coase’s "Net effect?" Ghost 🏴🕊️ (@GhostCoase): @AaronBergman18 The methodologically soundest research repeatedly finds general gun levels have no statistically significant net impact on homicide rates, so it’s not particularly surprising that US assassination rates are not highly common.
https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/S004723521400107X
My prior on this being true (as in there is really a trivial, zero, or negative effect) is pretty low
I have a cached take that gun density is like the main determinant here but don’t even remember why I believe that
Anyway 👀
Reply to @parafactual, 06:35 UTC · 3 likes
You (@parafactual): what's the best drug combination with which to produce a ridiculously high rate of bangers?
Idk but I’d speculate stim + psychedelic
Which specifically idk even harder
Tweet, 06:58 UTC · 13 likes
Manifold markets is maybe better thought of as an innovative voting platform than a kinda fake prediction market
Thread, continued, 07:05 UTC · 4 likes
Yeah this is true, good terminology kinda doesn’t exist insofar as the connotation of “prediction market” implies trading with money or something like it
Reply, 10:48 UTC · 14 likes
Coase’s "Net effect?" Ghost 🏴🕊️ (@GhostCoase): @AaronBergman18 What are phonics?
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Phonics
Reply to @whittomd, 10:51 UTC · 41 likes
Derek Whittom (@whittomd): @AaronBergman18 They don’t teach phonics in schools anymore?
My knowledge is extremely limited but I have inferred from the fact that this is a culture war-adjacent thing now that it’s not universal
Reply to @SpencerKSchiff, 18:32 UTC · 31 likes
Spencer Schiff (@SpencerKSchiff): There probably isn’t a good economic case for the A/C thing anymore. The money would be better spent on AI infrastructure. Improving education wouldn’t pay out for years (once the students are in the workforce) but the intelligence explosion will be underway by then
From an EA perspective yeah there’s no way this is the literal best use of money
But in terms of state and federal budgets it probably checks out as much better than idk like a ton of shit that legislatures actually allocate money to
Reply to @NielsHoven, 21:53 UTC · 13 likes
Niels Hoven 🐮 (@NielsHoven): Phonics is still quite controversial although starting to gain in popularity again. It’s least popular in progressive districts due to its association with George Bush’s push for evidence-supported teaching methods
Love to own the GOP by making it harder for poor kids to learn how to read
Tuesday, July 16, 2024
Reply to @amelapay, 02:12 UTC · 7 likes
Pamela J. Hobart (@amelapay): I’m sorry what
Oral/nasal oxytocin doesn’t cross the blood brain barrier afaik
Reply to @austinc3301, 10:50 UTC · 1 like
Agus 🔸 (@austinc3301): Part of what I like about AI Safety is that it’s a field where I feel like I can work every day to make a difference even on very big, important problems
But sometimes things like these happen and I am forced to remember how much is completely out of our hands
(quoting @JDVance: There are undoubtedly risks related to AI. One of the biggest: A partisan group of crazy people use AI to infect every part of the information economy with left wing bias. Gemini can’t produce accurate history. ChatGPT promotes genocidal concepts. The solution is open source)
Oy vey
Reply to @WillowChem, 10:54 UTC · 1 like
MagpAI (@WillowChem): Increasingly looks like I'll be moving to Sheffield
@littIeramblings
Quote tweet, 12:07 UTC · 10 likes
Wait what
I feel like this could use some actual journalism
Quoting Canderous Ordoliberal 🐊 (@butleriano): Afghan embassies are so cool. They don’t even have a government in exile but they’re still there, handling consular duties and issuing visas that the Taliban has to accept because nobody is going to let them open an embassy.
Reply to @Aella_Girl, 22:08 UTC · 9 likes
Aella (@Aella_Girl): new blog post - I looked at a bunch of escort listings to see what sort of stuff correlates with charging more money.
1/
Reply to @hplemke, 22:13 UTC · 2 likes
Harrison Lemke (@hplemke): chatgpt writes in the exact voice of a bright college freshman who didn't do the reading and that tells you a lot about the people who are impressed with it
@peterwildeford an imposter
Reply to @ilex_ulmus, 22:21 UTC · 6 likes
Holly ⏸️ Elmore (@ilex_ulmus): I keep seeing the cave again when I close my eyes and I feel so safe and supported in the still, solid dark. I really liked this cave.
(quoting @ilex_ulmus: I’m claustrophilic and I have had this craving to visit a cave for months. So yesterday we went for a crawl in Moaning Caverns! It was so much fun—highly recommend 😃)
Caves and the ocean - humans were not meant to go there
Reply to @btdrawer, 22:28 UTC · 2 likes
(The tweet being replied to by @btdrawer is no longer available.)
It seems I’ve attracted Forbidden Places Twitter
Reply to @kindgracekind, 22:30 UTC · 4 likes
Grace (@kindgracekind): Tautologies are always true
Big if true
Reply to @AndyMasley, 22:53 UTC · 14 likes
Andy Masley (@AndyMasley): The Acquired episode about Lockheed Martin did not disappoint
Saw this recently at the Air and Space museum. Cool plane
Reply to @polisisti, 22:53 UTC · 4 likes
Alessandro (@polisisti): seems like one could solve this by simply expanding Ohio
Real
Quote tweet, 23:16 UTC · 17 likes
Humans were meant to go into the mountains for a Quest every once in a while. Lakes are ok. Rivers ok if slow. Then retvrn to the village. Sorry I don’t make the rules
Quoting Aaron Bergman 🔍 (@AaronBergman18): @ilex_ulmus Caves and the ocean - humans were not meant to go there
Reply to @hplemke, 23:35 UTC · 3 likes
Harrison Lemke (@hplemke): @AaronBergman18 @peterwildeford i run busytown. who are you
I’m Aaron
Wednesday, July 17, 2024
Reply to @RFishBlueFish, 04:20 UTC · 4 likes
Gil (@RFishBlueFish): @hplemke @AaronBergman18 @peterwildeford Aaron how the fuck did you get Marianne Williamson to follow you
I defended her once on here idk lol
Tweet, 04:51 UTC · 6 likes
Ngl I have no idea what the party conventions are for
Reply, 05:02 UTC · 1 like
Do they have any “official” functions politically, though? I feel like they’re talked about as though they do
Tweet, 05:17 UTC · 4 likes
POV: you go to the Air and Space Museum one time
(video, plays on X)
Thursday, July 18, 2024
Quote tweet, 01:01 UTC · 26 likes
Dang 30 years ago I would have had *zero* hinge matches
Quoting Someone:
Reply to @menhguin, 02:20 UTC · 2 likes
Minh Nhat Nguyen 🦭 (@menhguin): @Kat__Woods Kat's most innovative addition to EA is introducing a concept called extroversion
Huge innovation
Reply to @KatSpartz, 02:21 UTC · 3 likes
Kat Spartz ⏸️ 🔶 (@KatSpartz): I immediately like people more if they spontaneously call me
It's an indicator of reasonableness.
Has anyone called you since tweeting this?
Tweet, 03:37 UTC · 91 likes
I’m anti-anti-calling the secret service the ss
Like really we have to give up 1/676 two letter acronyms for all of eternity? Context cues go brr, cmon
Reply to @tylertracy321, 05:37 UTC · 4 likes
Tyler Tracy (@tylertracy321): In the gym with a bunch of EAs and one of them asks exercise is the most tractable and neglected
Probably 10 second deadhangs on a 12-20mm edge? A lot of rock climbing performance depends on just that. Pretty easy/low effort way to get good at a sport
Reply to @helloitslynne, 06:56 UTC · 13 likes
(The tweet being replied to by @helloitslynne is no longer available.)
I can’t believe I’m being a normie about this but accurately assessing this kind of thing and then acting accordingly (so deferring if it’s nbd for you but a bigger deal for them and expecting the same) just seems like normal good relationship dynamics
Reply to @ilex_ulmus, 07:04 UTC · 2 likes
Holly ⏸️ Elmore (@ilex_ulmus): You're misunderstanding-- she loves preference strength monsters
Typical (me misunderstanding things)
Reply to @helloitslynne, 07:08 UTC · 2 likes
lynne (@helloitslynne): @ilex_ulmus @AaronBergman18 You’re prob right and I’m not familiar with the term
What’s a preference strength monster?
I think it’s a play on “utility monster” which is a thing from moral philosophy of like a being who could potentially experience much more happiness than anyone else
So this would be someone who just has very strong preferences, thereby generally dominating those of others
Reply to @ohwizenedtortle, 07:09 UTC · 5 likes
oh dandy lion🔸 (@ohwizenedtortle): I think you're misunderstanding-- Holly is joking
😔 I live amid epistemic chaos
Tweet, 07:26 UTC · 6 likes
Maybe they should let Biden be VP
Reply to @bustyjeacs, 07:31 UTC · 4 likes
Justin Beaconsfield (@bustyjeacs): @AaronBergman18 I dunno. There are sports teams out there retiring two-digit numbers.
Jackie Robinson kinda cooked tho
Reply to @arithmoquine, 07:32 UTC · 2 likes
henry (@arithmoquine):
image attached
(quoting @CaudilloXIV: every male selfie is a cry for help)
@absurdlymax
Tweet, 07:39 UTC · 12 likes
Fuck I don’t want to go to the beach
But I shall oblige
Let the beachpoasting commence
Reply, 07:57 UTC · 4 likes
Coase’s "Net effect?" Ghost 🏴🕊️ (@GhostCoase): @AaronBergman18 I think I will be going to the beach with a friend today as well.
If it wasn’t for the sand, heat, humidity, and single motel room for four adults (nuclear family, I’m the youngest) it wouldn’t be so bad
Reply to @arithmoquine, 10:21 UTC · 5 likes
henry (@arithmoquine): damn i'm getting a new Major Character Development like twice a day rn
this is what i get for trying to skip the "being a teenager" life arc. some parts of the plot even i can't deviate too far from, and will occur no matter what
I’m curious to hear more, but if you just wanna vaguepost that is very understandable
Reply to @chercher_ai, 10:25 UTC · 28 likes
☯️ 🐻 (@chercher_ai): Being someone else is as different as being on psilocybin
Do we have good reason to think differences in “brain organization” are congruent to differences in subjective experience?
Reply to @NoahTopper, 17:26 UTC · 2 likes
Quinoah 🔍⏸️ (@NoahTopper): @AaronBergman18 @helloitslynne “Nooooo! You can’t make interpersonal utility comparisons! It’s not logically sound! 😭😭😭” Watch me
🤝
Friday, July 19, 2024
Reply to his own earlier tweet, 14:12 UTC · 7 likes
Aaron Bergman, July 18, 2024: Fuck I don’t want to go to the beach But I shall oblige Let the beachpoasting commence
Ngl this doesn’t really inspire me to act
Thread, continued, 14:24 UTC · 4 likes
It’s a beautiful day to stay at a safe distance from sand and walk around listening to podcasts
Reply to @absurdlymax, 14:52 UTC · 4 likes
Max Alexander (@absurdlymax): Wow what an incredible ad
I’m buying
Tweet, 16:01 UTC · 29 likes
Simp welfare
Thread, continued, 16:01 UTC · 3 likes
Creds @absurdlymax
Reply to @sarah_micheleg, 16:21 UTC · 2 likes
(The tweet being replied to by @sarah_micheleg is no longer available.)
@JesseTayRiver how much to add plumbing? I’m only 95% kidding
Tweet, 16:25 UTC · 8 likes
Have you ever created (“trained”) an AI model?
Reply to @slimepriestess, 16:38 UTC · 14 likes
Ra (@slimepriestess): @AaronBergman18 if someone handed me a cool million to train a model i would, but anything i could afford to train would be shit compared to existing models.
You can always make terrible models for fun (this took 12 hours on an m1 MBP)
(video, plays on X)
Reply to his own earlier tweet, 17:08 UTC · 8 likes
Aaron Bergman, July 19, 2024: It’s a beautiful day to stay at a safe distance from sand and walk around listening to podcasts
Ok fine I’m actually going to the beach
Thread, continued, 17:09 UTC · 4 likes
(Going for the SBF look)
Thread, continued, 18:13 UTC · 6 likes
Atlantic Ocean is quite a bit colder than the Arlington VA public pool. Who do I complain to
Tweet, 19:50 UTC · 1 like
Glad I went to the actual beach as a reminder of why I dislike the beach (sand =B-, ocean = B-, wet sand = F)
Thread, continued, 19:53 UTC · 45 likes
Honestly sunburns are pretty based because it gives you an immediate reason to wear sunscreen. Could you imagine if sun exposure only caused cancer with no near-term effect? The culture wars over it would be crazy
Reply to @NoahTopper, 20:10 UTC · 4 likes
Quinoah 🔍⏸️ (@NoahTopper): @AaronBergman18 I don’t burn easily, am I fucked?
Idk how much this means you’re just not taking the relevant kind of damage for cancer either
Tweet, 21:12 UTC · 15 likes
Has anyone proposed the USG buy a majority stake of TSMC and move operations to the US?
(Obligatory: idk what I’m talking about)
Thread, continued, 21:12 UTC · 5 likes
Plausibly it would be a good use of money even if the investments was written off as spending
But also plausibly it would cause the stock prices to rise pretty and be a net fiscal win? Being in Taiwan *per se* can't possibly be good for the net present value of the firm
Thread, continued, 21:12 UTC · 5 likes
There's an Everettian branch or two where SBF personally does this
Reply to @peterwildeford, 21:55 UTC · 2 likes
Peter Wildeford🇺🇸🚀 (@peterwildeford): The US gov is already doing all the parts of this that make sense https://www.commerce.gov/news/press-releases/2024/04/biden-harris-administration-announces-preliminary-terms-tsmc-expanded
Based
Tweet, 22:01 UTC · 10 likes
Tragically I am away, but DC people FYI there is a ~protest (“encouragement gathering”?) tomorrow at 3pm asking Biden not to run https://bit.ly/PTTRally
Reply to his own earlier tweet, 23:26 UTC · 3 likes
Aaron Bergman, July 19, 2024: Honestly sunburns are pretty based because it gives you an immediate reason to wear sunscreen. Could you imagine if sun exposure only caused cancer with no…
Scared away a duck ☹️
(video, plays on X)
Tweet, 23:31 UTC · 2 likes
I hope there’s a Chinese Michael Lewis to write this book
(video, plays on X)
Saturday, July 20, 2024
Tweet, 00:22 UTC · 8 likes
Maybe this exists but there’s a blog (/LessWrong) post to be written about when “testing on the training set” doesn’t actually matter (ie shouldn’t be written off as fake performance)
Reply to @austinc3301, 00:47 UTC · 3 likes
Agus 🔸 (@austinc3301): wdym
This is proving weirdly hard to answer to my satisfaction but some misc points:
- simply memorizing a lot of information can be very powerful. Like consider a language model that really does just perfectly connect the dots in gazillion-dimension space so it will always get the
Reply, 03:01 UTC · 1 like
There is absolutely a niche for LinkedIn shitposting that is not being filled
Could be you
Tweet, 03:15 UTC · 11 likes
Has R ever caused a global polycrisis? I didn’t think so
Reply to @StatsLime, 04:10 UTC · 2 likes
Max ⏸️ Limelihood 🔸🔸🔸 (@StatsLime): @AaronBergman18 What do you think the replication crisis is
Only python and stata users affected
Reply to @focusfronting, 04:20 UTC · 431 likes
(The tweet being replied to by @focusfronting is no longer available.)
This would be peak self-actualization for me
Tweet, 12:25 UTC · 55 likes
Sister’s bf is named Sam. We’re about to become unfathomably wealthy and then entangled in a world-historic scandal
Quote tweet, 12:35 UTC · 8 likes
Bro has more rizz than me
Quoting Matt Bateman (@mbateman): What happens when you set up a 4yo, whose writing norms are informed by rudimentary phonics and an obsession with stickers...
...with the ability to text her friend, also a 4yo, whose writing norms are informed by obsessively copying out track listings from the backs of CDs?
Reply to @JgaltTweets, 12:36 UTC · 6 likes
JgaltTweets (@JgaltTweets): 1. Never put anything in writing
2. Do not join the wire fraud group chat
3. Always have an escape plane
I’m definitely naming our three person gc Wire Fraud if it ever exists
Reply to his own earlier tweet, 13:03 UTC · 14 likes
Aaron Bergman, July 19, 2024: Scared away a duck ☹️
> family event
> everyone compliments my shirt
> it is the only clothing item I own that I had zero part in acquiring
Reply to @seconds_0, 14:46 UTC · 1 like
0.005 Seconds (3/694) (@seconds_0): At a teen event at a mensa convention at Disney world
Based
Reply to @keccers, 20:02 UTC · 3 likes
(The tweet being replied to by @keccers is no longer available.)
Should I be? I’ve been under the impression it’s roughly as bad as drinking till you pass out
Which in turn seems to me like nbd to do a single digit number of times in your life but maybe I’m wrong about this
Reply to @ElytraMithra, 20:36 UTC · 2 likes
(The tweet being replied to by @ElytraMithra is no longer available.)
Idk
Tweet, 21:10 UTC · 5 likes
@qwweryo and I met up today and chatted a bunch
We concluded that it is very strange and mysterious how little money AI safety gets relative to everything else in light of the expressed opinions of self-described effective altruists
Thread, continued, 21:10 UTC · 4 likes
This is perpetually a take of mine wrt to animal welfare (we also agreed on this btw)
Thread, continued, 21:10 UTC · 4 likes
To name names a bit, it seems like most of this issue stems from OpenPhil just not being rational/deliberate/strategic at the level of resource allocation between the GHW and GCR cause areas (and human vs animal wellbeing, I’d add)
Thread, continued, 21:11 UTC · 2 likes
Ofc maybe strategic deliberation has happened in private but to state the obvious this would clash a bit with the rest of its ethos and record
Reply, 21:19 UTC · 1 like
Seems bad
Reply to @mattparlmer, 21:20 UTC · 2 likes
mattparlmer 🪐 🌷 (@mattparlmer): Around a third of the commercial buildings in my neighborhood are straight up vacant, more like half if you count the ones being parked as a “gallery” or similar unproductive function
At this point I think govt needs to force landlords to sell properties that they won’t fill
Obligatory: land value tax
Reply to @burny_tech, 21:29 UTC · 2 likes
Burny - Effective Curiosity (@burny_tech): @TonyTheLion2500 applied math
Applied philosophy
Quote tweet, 21:40 UTC · 9 likes
If you thought you didn’t know how to code, congrats now you do
Ask ChatGPT or Claude to walk you through how to do everything. Lots of implicit knowledge (“what app do you open?”) but the LLMs have it all
Quoting Benjamin (@bschne): Code-o-phobia is real — I constantly see clearly smart people who use visual programming like tools get incredibly scared at any mention of writing five lines of Code™, when it would in fact be 10x more ergonomic for their use case after even a brief learning period
Thread, continued, 21:40 UTC · 5 likes
Probably one unspoken barrier is just figuring out like what the space of possibilities is, which is really not obvious
Tweet, 22:01 UTC · 2 likes
There is a paper to be written on the philosophy and topology/geometry/algebraic modeling of mini golf
Bad mini-golf courses use geometry to funnel the balls toward or away from especially good OR bad places for a player’s ball to be…
Thread, continued, 22:03 UTC · 2 likes
so like the worst possible configurations are
1) a cone surrounded by a reservoir that inevitably leads to the hole (so tapping the ball in any direction at all leads to a hole in 1
Thread, continued, 22:04 UTC · 2 likes
2) a very tall cone where you start from the bottom with the hole on top, such that only a perfect, very difficult shot works at all, and when it works it works perfectly (ie can never make the final shot easier with intermediate shots)
Thread, continued, 22:11 UTC · 3 likes
The best possible hole (in this one respect) is a perfectly flat course
The Fundamental Problem of Mini Golf Design is how to distort the courses with obstacles and such such that novelty/aesthetics/variance in difficulty/etc are high while the influence of mere gravity is low
Sunday, July 21, 2024
Reply to @frances__lorenz, 11:51 UTC · 4 likes
(The tweet being replied to by @frances__lorenz is no longer available.)
U can always do some regressions for fun ✨🥰
Reply to @Mira___Mira, 13:13 UTC · 4 likes
Mira (@Mira___Mira):
Fixed
Reply to @Aella_Girl, 14:18 UTC · 6 likes
Aella (@Aella_Girl): I'm staunchly anti ruching, poplin, crepe, cutout, ruffle, taupe, collar, denim, bell sleeves, and most print.
I'm pro platform, knit, kilim, micromodal, embroidery, color blocking, bishop sleeves, and crochet.
I recognize two of these terms
Reply to @thoth_iv, 14:54 UTC · 9 likes
Thŏth (@thoth_iv): Are EAs generally aware that Lightcone CEO O. Habryka recently said, "I have definitely taken actions within the bounds of what seems reasonable that have aimed at getting the EA community to shut down or disappear (and will probably continue to do so)." Thoughts?
@ohabryka is there a good place I can learn more about why you think this?
Gotta be the most blatant dissonance in my worldview rn
Reply to @AndyMasley, 15:46 UTC · 6 likes
Andy Masley (@AndyMasley): In college I made a simple test for my beliefs about foreign policy and when war is justified. Any beliefs about US foreign policy have to justify the North invading the South in the Civil War, and America getting involved in World War 2. If they don't, they're wrong.
Civil war is a bit tougher, no? Slavery was not a core motivation for the original invasion afaik
Quote tweet, 15:51 UTC · 21 likes
Rich strategy for lots of things
Do your beliefs about affirmative action rule out early 20th century Jewish quotas?
Do your beliefs about the legitimacy of protest tactics justify consumer boycotts of apartheid South Africa?
Quoting Andy Masley (@AndyMasley): In college I made a simple test for my beliefs about foreign policy and when war is justified. Any beliefs about US foreign policy have to justify the North invading the South in the Civil War, and America getting involved in World War 2. If they don't, they're wrong.
Thread, continued, 15:51 UTC · 5 likes
Ofc you might end up biting the bullet on some things like this. God knows I am a fan of bullet biting when the bullets are in fact good to eat
Tweet, 15:54 UTC · 10 likes
Almost unironically the democrats should pick @JesseTayRiver
Thread, continued, 15:54 UTC · 5 likes
The cyberbullying will continue until campaign enrollment improves
Reply to @GjMcGowan, 16:01 UTC · 2 likes
George McGowan (@GjMcGowan): @AndyMasley @AaronBergman18 omg it wasn’t about slavery??? I thought it was and it was only confederates who thought otherwise???
Secession was largely indeed about slavery, initially the north was not committed to ending it though (just to keeping the union)
Eventually the war became functionally over the fate of slavery in the south
Other ppl who aren’t history dunces should correct me
Reply to @AndyMasley, 16:03 UTC · 3 likes
Andy Masley (@AndyMasley): It's a little complicated:
-Secession was about slavery. Contemporary apologists for the Confederacy lie about that.
-Original motivation for invading the South was preserving the Union.
-A lot of Northerners including Lincoln were very interested in eventually ending slavery
Sorry Andy, lost by 5s. Great minds, many such cases, etc
Reply to @shinboson, 16:06 UTC · 2 likes
𝞍 Shin Megami Boson 𝞍 (@shinboson): @retarded_whore I strongly suspect that if they truly had no sacred cows they’d act much less like nerds and more like Machiavelli’s prince
Nothing being sacred doesn’t mean nothing is important or valuable or good
Like in some literal sense no I don’t think anything is sacred (but I am a sort of moral realist, and think some things really are important, valuable, and good)
Reply to @shinboson, 16:06 UTC · 2 likes
𝞍 Shin Megami Boson 𝞍 (@shinboson): What are the sacred cows of rationalism?
Tweet, 16:10 UTC · 29 likes
100 pages of reading a day is a lot, and quality/retention trades off significantly with quantity
Tweet, 17:08 UTC · 8 likes
Finally signed up for the Claude API. Here are a few Tweets Sonnet 3.5 thinks I would write based
Thread, continued, 17:08 UTC · 8 likes
I think the most underrated part of the "AI will kill us all" narrative is that it's just so fucking boring
Like if I'm gonna die in some cool sci-fi way I'd prefer it be like "a rogue nanotech swarm eats all the oxygen" or "we accidentally create a black hole" or smth
Thread, continued, 17:08 UTC · 5 likes
I think the happiest I've ever been was when I was 12 and my dad told me he'd take me to the bookstore and let me pick out any book I wanted
Thread, continued, 17:08 UTC · 13 likes
I think I'm gonna start saying "I'm not sure" instead of "I don't know" bc the latter feels like it implies I have no relevant info or thoughts at all
Thread, continued, 17:09 UTC · 6 likes
Hypothesis: You can get a very decent proxy for how much someone currently cares about longevity by asking how many days this year they've eaten blueberries/other berries
Thread, continued, 17:09 UTC · 5 likes
^that was a good one. Using 400 example tweets, total cost $.06
Thread, continued, 17:10 UTC · 3 likes
Rate limiting with the boys
Thread, continued, 17:10 UTC · 3 likes
Alright lets try Opus now
Thread, continued, 17:19 UTC · 4 likes
Idk who needs to hear this but if you're a guy and you're not getting matches on Hinge, it's probably because your photos suck
[this cost $.30]
Thread, continued, 17:23 UTC · 2 likes
The Haiku ones are weirdly better
Each costs about half a cent (using 400 examples)
Thread, continued, 17:24 UTC · 4 likes
How do I become a professional debater? Like someone who gets paid to show up and argue contrarian positions in front of audiences
Quote tweet, 18:11 UTC · 6 likes
The unreasonable effectiveness of my followers
Quoting Aaron Bergman 🔍 (@AaronBergman18): Tragically I am away, but DC people FYI there is a ~protest (“encouragement gathering”?) tomorrow at 3pm asking Biden not to run https://bit.ly/PTTRally
Tweet, 18:12 UTC · 10 likes
Common @ezraklein W
Reply to @beala, 18:20 UTC · 2 likes
Alex Beal 🆎 (@beala): Honestly these are indistinguishable from the genuine article.
Oh no I really am this lame
Tweet, 20:40 UTC · 7 likes
Apparently my dad’s pickup line (which worked, hence me) was “I’m here to deliver some materials”
Monday, July 22, 2024
Reply to @calebwatney, 01:31 UTC · 2 likes
Caleb Watney (@calebwatney): Ezra, realizing he can leave Twitter again
Noooo Ezra stay
Reply to @Kirsten3531, 01:42 UTC · 2 likes
Kirsten (@Kirsten3531): Categories of economists I've heard of:
1 international development randomistas
2 used to work for the British government
3 the freakonomics guys
4 behavioural economists
5 edgelords at George Mason University
6 Acemoglu
So many fun other categories to explore
- econometrics bro
- hired by Amazon to optimize pricing
- competent civil servant at [basically any federal agency]
- Chinese TA who knows their shit
- guy from the 18-19th century discovering shit
- @jenniferdoleac
Tweet, 03:55 UTC · 4 likes
Feeling like I might actually be pathologically inept with respect to social cues. Fuck
Tweet, 14:40 UTC · 5 likes
Hey did u guys know that the FDA has determined that no significant difference has been shown between milk derived from rBST treated and non-rBST treated cows
Thread, continued, 14:43 UTC · 2 likes
It will be funny if actually nobody knows this
Tweet, 15:15 UTC · 10 likes
Nobody:
Nobody in history: never tried to feed a baby exclusively almond milk
Almond milk container: this product is NOT to be used as baby formula
Reply to @dgant, 15:22 UTC · 2 likes
Dan Gant ⚡ PurpleWave ⚡ Games (@dgant): @AaronBergman18 the number of people jailed each year for killing their children by feeding them some kind of malnourishment says otherwise
Shoot
Tweet, 16:26 UTC · 12 likes
I genuinely do not understand how people deny the hard problem of consciousness from the direction of eliminativism (while apparently NOT biting the bullet on an extremely strong form of illusionism)
Either qualia are fake (ie “illusory”) or they’re real and mysterious
Thread, continued, 16:26 UTC · 7 likes
Not uniquely mysterious - just as mysterious as all apparently fundamental phenomena like electromagnetism
Tweet, 16:47 UTC · 9 likes
Aaron don’t wear his shirt inside out for a whole day difficulty impossible
Tweet, 16:50 UTC · 12 likes
Hypothesis: @absurdlymax and @arithmoquine are the same person
Reply to @arithmoquine, 16:54 UTC · 3 likes
henry (@arithmoquine): another henry alt has been identified
(quoting @AaronBergman18: Hypothesis: @absurdlymax and @arithmoquine are the same person)
@absurdlymax big if true
Reply to @JesseTayRiver, 17:29 UTC · 3 likes
Jesse Smith (@JesseTayRiver): @GjMcGowan @AaronBergman18
Real picture of Jesse running a 2:39 mile
Reply to @RethinkPriors, 22:57 UTC · 4 likes
Rethink Priorities (@RethinkPriors): How should you split resources in light of moral uncertainty? Rethink Priorities’ Moral Parliament Tool can help you think through your decision: https://bit.ly/RP-moral-parliament.
@austinc3301 u?
Tuesday, July 23, 2024
Reply to @Littoral_Gecko, 01:39 UTC · 3 likes
A Gecko🦎 (@Littoral_Gecko): @AaronBergman18 Is this another one of the AI generated ones? ;P
No but it is legitimately interesting that you can’t tell
Quote tweet, 01:41 UTC · 8 likes
Reverse Turing test has been passed
Quoting Aaron Bergman 🔍 (@AaronBergman18): @Littoral_Gecko No but it is legitimately interesting that you can’t tell
Quote tweet, 02:38 UTC · 12 likes
This is a good example of how empiricism goes wrong. Let’s just assume the claim is correct (which I don’t doubt)
You can and should still do mechanistic and systems-level reasoning as a complement to empirical studies, which are hard, expensive, long, and often bad
Quoting Crémieux (@cremieuxrecueil): The "evidence" base for vitamin D is observational.
There is basically no convincing experimental evidence that vitamin D supplementation helps people.
Thread, continued, 02:38 UTC · 5 likes
Tbc I’m not arguing for vitamin d supplementation
I *am* claiming you can have good reason to take it despite the above assumption
Thread, continued, 02:38 UTC · 4 likes
We *know* (u know what I mean) that vitamin d has a bunch of functions at the cellular level, and that it’s necessary for humans (like without any vitamin d you will die)
Thread, continued, 02:38 UTC · 6 likes
In the absence of directionally strong empirical evidence, it makes perfect sense to think about non-empirical evidence like the above and idk a better term to use than “think it through”
Thread, continued, 02:38 UTC · 3 likes
So like consider the financial cost, lab results, and whether there’s mechanistic or empirical reasons to think it could be actively harmful at some given dose
Thread, continued, 02:38 UTC · 3 likes
(As an extreme example, I strongly advise against consuming a literal kilogram of pure vitamin d, idgaf how deficient you are)
Thread, continued, 02:38 UTC · 2 likes
Also heuristics like “don’t ingest arbitrary molecules” or “do ingest micronutrients you are deficient in according to lab results and the guidelines on UpToDate” might point one way or another
And then decide
Reply to @JohnHolbein1, 03:21 UTC · 28 likes
John B. Holbein (@JohnHolbein1): timeless
Semicolons are underrated
Tweet, 14:42 UTC · 20 likes
.@QualyThe r u still alive
Quote tweet, 14:48 UTC · 1 like
Endorse
Quoting thermo (@DionysianAgent):
Reply, 14:50 UTC · 2 likes
Coase’s "Net effect?" Ghost 🏴🕊️ (@GhostCoase): Their name was too similar to “qualia”. An illusionist killed them.
😢
Tweet, 16:30 UTC · 8 likes
Half the time the prescription-industrial complex is like “sorry we can’t provide this drug that a chemistry grad student could synthesize if they weren’t worried about legality, the DEA gave us a small number this year”
Thread, continued, 16:30 UTC · 4 likes
and half the time it’s like “molecule discovered in 2004 that takes an army of cracked PhDs and billions of dollars of post-industrial scientific infrastructure to create? Ready for pickup 14 minutes after telemedicine visit”
Tweet, 17:36 UTC · 9 likes
Goal: maximize interpersonal agreeableness subject to an intellectual disagreeableness constraint
Quote tweet, 17:48 UTC · 3 likes
If you don’t make a podcast your personality for significant chunks of time are you really even alive
Quoting Andy Masley (@AndyMasley): Can tell my personality for the next month or so is going to be 70% just the Acquired podcast
Tweet, 17:57 UTC · 65 likes
AI gfs but they just tell you to do things you already know you need to do but realistically are gonna get to them way quicker if a girl asks you
Thread, continued, 17:57 UTC · 8 likes
So a todo list app
Reply to @JosephPolitano, 17:58 UTC
Joey Politano 🏳️🌈 (@JosephPolitano): This is probably going to be the worst year for DC housing permits since the Great Recession by the way. Unless things improve there's a chance the city could come in sub-1000 units. It's a total disaster.
What site is this?
Reply to @gmiller, 23:22 UTC · 1 like
Geoffrey Miller (@gmiller): Because Kamala has held substantial political power for 30 years, and she's accomplished nothing notable with that power -- apart from further advancing her own power.
Have you seen the other guy
Wednesday, July 24, 2024
Quote tweet, 13:19 UTC · 2 likes
I don’t think I have a ton in common with Donald Trump, but I was legit taken aback because this part also describes me extremely well!
(video, plays on X)
Quoting Walter Masterson (@waltermasterson): This is the best explanation of Donald Trump talking about “Hannibal Lecter”.
Thread, continued, 13:20 UTC · 3 likes
This is the thing!!!
I guess a difference is that I sorta try to stay on topic which clashes with the phenomenon, and Trump just rides the tiger
Reply to @ohwizenedtortle, 13:29 UTC · 2 likes
oh dandy lion🔸 (@ohwizenedtortle): looking for people who are specifically higher than average non-autistic person, but likely not autistic
image attached
image attached
(quoting @StefanFSchubert: Study finds that "the more similar two persons are in autistic traits, the higher is the perceived quality of their friendship...higher interpersonal similarity of autistic traits was associated with higher measures of closeness, acceptance and help."…)
Skill issue (wide error bars tho, I didn’t know what to answer for many of them)
Reply to @JesseTayRiver, 13:45 UTC · 2 likes
Jesse Smith (@JesseTayRiver): @ohwizenedtortle How's your aerobic exercise level?
Thread, continued, 13:45 UTC · 2 likes
Reply, 14:51 UTC · 1 like
Because of overdiagnosis?
Reply, 15:55 UTC
Like it’s really helpful to know if you’re b12 deficient. You can fix that in a week whereas revamping your nutrition without that kind of info might not even fix the issue at all, and if it does it will take months at least
Quote tweet, 16:14 UTC · 42 likes
People just say things
Quoting ThePeoplesElbow (@Idris_Elbow_): All girls are either a cheese girl or a pickle girl
Reply to @polisisti, 17:16 UTC · 2 likes
Alessandro (@polisisti): @AaronBergman18 all EAs are either screwworm EAs or Guinea worm EAs
Anti-longtermist: or brainworm EAs
Reply, 17:17 UTC
Combine them for a delicious treat 😊
Reply to @littIeramblings, 17:35 UTC · 2 likes
sarah (@littIeramblings): this is wrong I’m both
Many such cases
Reply to @frances__lorenz, 17:39 UTC · 3 likes
(The tweet being replied to by @frances__lorenz is no longer available.)
Reply to @Aella_Girl, 17:41 UTC
Aella (@Aella_Girl): Peoples rankings of how erotic various emotions are, split out by themselves vs others feeling it
Hello to everyone else scanning the legend for “women, finds erotic in others”
Reply to @mattyglesias, 17:48 UTC · 3 likes
Matthew Yglesias (@mattyglesias): Everyone seems fine with the switch except Republicans.
(quoting @elonmusk: Shouldn’t the nominee be decided by a party vote? Democracy etc …)
This is a bad counter argument. If everyone’s cool with it they should be cool with an election to show that!
Quote tweet, 17:49 UTC · 7 likes
They should give this job to me and then I will tell you who’s in the right and probably not actually help with reconciliation
Quoting bri (@br___ian): Can you, like, hire someone who is very emotionally skilled to help navigate complex family dynamics?
Reply to @mealreplacer, 17:52 UTC · 3 likes
(The tweet being replied to by @mealreplacer is no longer available.)
I think it’s just being a stochastic parrot
Thursday, July 25, 2024
Reply to @daniel_271828, 07:07 UTC · 3 likes
zzDANIEL_ETH (@daniel_271828): Ah, yes, this tweet naturally was liked by the three people it features: roon, Aaron, and *squints* a red panda
Name a better trio
Reply to @christineist, 15:46 UTC · 7 likes
christine (@christineist): do you have any default rules for your life? like "no bread" or "always go on 2 dates" something
Sleep on it before spending >$100 on something
Tweet, 16:52 UTC · 29 likes
So uh does anyone know what Kamala Harris thinks about anything important?
Priority no. 1 is beating Trump tbc but I’m still curious
Reply to @timfduffy, 16:57 UTC · 4 likes
Tim Duffy (@timfduffy): Seems her housing policy is "subsidize demand" which isn't great. I think she was for M4A too?
Oh well. Still gonna vote for her and everyone else should too
Reply to @RandomSprint, 17:08 UTC · 4 likes
RandomSprint🧭 (@RandomSprint): In 2020 she said she wanted to ban fracking and offshore drilling. She's an r slur, and I hope she is humiliated in the election.
Have you seen the other guy
Reply to @RandomSprint, 17:16 UTC · 2 likes
RandomSprint🧭 (@RandomSprint): Yeah. The first three years of his presidency were some of the best ever. I'd love to have that again. I'm not rolling the dice on an insane energy policy that would doom us.
Energy policy isn’t foreign policy, president can’t unilaterally act and for better or worse neither can agency heads post-Chevron
Reply, 17:17 UTC · 1 like
I don’t want to brush this off as trivial but having a genuinely authoritarian-power-hungry amoral narcissist possibly during the singularity sounds much worse than idk the DOI denying some fracking permits or whatever she’d get away with (assuming you’re right about this bc idk)
Reply, 17:33 UTC · 3 likes
Coase’s "Net effect?" Ghost 🏴🕊️ (@GhostCoase): @AaronBergman18 She gives me the distinct impression of not thinking much, apart from, of course, her own power, fame and "legacy".
Quote tweet, 17:35 UTC · 9 likes
This is dumb and the kind of discourse that doesn’t actually contain any relevant signal - I don’t think it’s crazy to talk about the personal character of potential POTUS (one bullet away) but this isn’t that
Quoting manny (@mannyfidel): the "JD Vance had sex with a couch" saga, explained
Tweet, 17:58 UTC
Like from the inside, I’m sure it feels like these object level considerations are good reason not to support Kamala or whoever the dem nominee is
This is plausibly right (under your own endorsed beliefs) except for 2016 and now because Donald Trump really is uniquely bad
Reply, 18:06 UTC · 1 like
I will absolutely defend this kind of procedure as epistemically legitimate
This is true for almost all topics and almost all people FWIW
Reply to @gmiller, 18:10 UTC · 2 likes
Geoffrey Miller (@gmiller): If you don't know what Kamala thinks about anything, why are you so sure that she's better than Trump?
Seems epistemically reckless.
Deleting this to amend it - I don’t think this is true actually. I *do* think there will be a subset of people (like Klein) who will make the case loudly enough for me to think and reconsider
Reply to @NathanB60857242, 18:32 UTC · 7 likes
Nathan Barnard (@NathanB60857242): @AaronBergman18 @RandomSprint (this is a bad take vis-a-vis chevron, agency heads were already contrainsed by major questions doctrine, and their interpretation of law still had to pass the permissible standard (which sometimes bit) and the reasonableness standard (which bit very rarely))
Nathan plz stop being knowledgeable, ur embarrassing me on twitter dot com
Tweet, 23:35 UTC · 12 likes
For presidential elections, things the president can do unilaterally should be treated as fundamentally different from everything else
Thread, continued, 23:35 UTC · 7 likes
Like currently foreign policy and healthcare policy are lumped together into a platform and seem to be of a natural category but they’re not
Thread, continued, 23:35 UTC · 3 likes
Yes the president matters for lots of things but it’s silly debating what their ideal healthcare policy is (to some extent unless they loudly and publicly say it’s the single biggest priority that they’re trying to make their campaign a referendum on)
Reply to @halogen1048576, 23:46 UTC · 1 like
🇨🇦halogen (@halogen1048576): @AaronBergman18 Aaron elect me and I'll pass an executive order to mandate this
Ok sounds like a plan👍
Quote tweet, 23:57 UTC · 5 likes
My inclination is that this is good, and I still lean that way, but I don’t think “safety-pilled people get more money in the worlds where AI is super important” should be brushed off/ignored
Quoting Dan Hendrycks (@hendrycks): To send a clear signal, I am choosing to divest from my equity stake in Gray Swan AI. I will continue my work as an advisor, without pay.
My goal is to make AI systems safe. I do this work on principle to promote the public interest, and that’s why I’ve chosen voluntarily to divest and work unpaid. I also sent a similar signal in the past by choosing to advise xAI without equity. I won’t let billionaire VCs distract the political conversation from the critical question: should AI developers of >$100M models be accountable for implementing safety testing and commonsense safeguards to protect the public from extreme risks? If the billionaire VC opposition to commonsense AI safety wants to show their motives are pure, let them follow suit.
Friday, July 26, 2024
Reply to @parafactual, 00:48 UTC · 3 likes
You (@parafactual): what do you think :)
Lol why no aspartame? Idk l-dopa seems kinda scary, I feel like normal stimulants are both better understood and have better effects
Sorry :(
Maybe there’s still a market for this lol
Reply to @parafactual, 00:50 UTC · 2 likes
You (@parafactual): @AaronBergman18 i feel like i should clarify that this was a joke lol. i do not think it would be a good idea
Right. Duh
Reply to @christineist, 00:59 UTC · 4 likes
christine (@christineist): "Ask yourself what other people seem weirdly bad at"
really like this framing of talent by @sashachapin !
Unironically, decoupling
Reply to @SelonNerias, 15:38 UTC · 2 likes
Selon Nerias (@SelonNerias): Blue light filter at night
@SpacedOutMatt’s computer screen
Reply to @SelonNerias, 15:52 UTC · 3 likes
Selon Nerias (@SelonNerias): @AaronBergman18 @goblinodds @SpacedOutMatt Should be all of us f.lux is awesome, though it doesn't fix all of the problems with using devices at night
I am ur worst nightmare and will advocate for a moors law of nits in computer screens. Brightness/acc
Quote tweet, 17:11 UTC · 13 likes
Quoting Aaron Bergman 🔍 (@AaronBergman18): Girls really do be having theory of mind
Reply to @AndyMasley, 17:23 UTC · 7 likes
Andy Masley (@AndyMasley): I'm open to AI risk being 0%, but people are so bad at thinking about how big of a deal 1% risk is. Remember a very popular info graphic in February 2020 saying we shouldn't worry about COVID because it "Only has a 2% fatality rate." COVID wasn't a Pascalian situation either.
(quoting @gabriel_weil: A 1% or 0.38% chance of human extinction is NOT Pascalian! Would you get on a plane with a 1/300 chance of crashing? Would you put all of humanity on it?)
Pretty hard to take seriously anyone who says .0001% (1 in a million) by 2030
Maybe that’s your inside view, fine, absolutely no way that should be your all-things-considered
Reply to @panchromaticity, 17:41 UTC · 3 likes
Xenia 🔍💎 (@panchromaticity): @goblinodds yes
What
Reply to @goblinodds, 17:41 UTC · 3 likes
𝖜𝖔𝖒𝖇𝖑𝖊 𝖜𝖎𝖙𝖍𝖔𝖚𝖙 𝖆 𝖈𝖆𝖚𝖘𝖊 (@goblinodds): @panchromaticity reeeee
Same
Quote tweet, 17:42 UTC · 6 likes
Big if true and I’m getting word that it’s true so probably big
Quoting Aella (@Aella_Girl): Omg ok I just realized that maybe when people refer to rumors being spread, that they mean people who are claiming things confidently without disclaiming it's a rumor??
I always thought rumors and legends meant stuff you say like "the legend says" or "rumor says"
Quote tweet, 17:55 UTC · 2 likes
We need more zippers in all domains of life. I’m zipper-pilled
Quoting Matt Bateman (@mbateman): Obsessed with this zipper truck that moves the barrier between northbound/southbound lanes on the Golden Gate Bridge
Tweet, 19:00 UTC · 9 likes
Dear British people: there are like $30 things on Amazon that do this for u (blow a slightly ice water mist on u) and probably work better than this setup
Might find these worth buying even if you don’t wanna buy legit A/C
Tweet, 19:41 UTC · 52 likes
Reply to @ESYudkowsky, 20:19 UTC · 4 likes
Eliezer Yudkowsky ⏹️ (@ESYudkowsky): Neither Ozempic nor Mounjaro did anything helpful for me. Maintaining my weight still requires fasting 1 month for every 2 months that I eat enough for my brain to work. Saying this so that anyone else stuck in a worse trap than usual knows they're not alone.
(quoting @IterIntellectus: wait, so it really is the miracle drug?! ozempic, so far, seems to be effective with: - type 2 diabetes - obesity - cardiovascular disease - metabolic liver disease - kidney disease - inflammation-related conditions - neurodegenerative diseases (alzheimer's and parkinson's) -…)
Damn
Quote tweet, 20:22 UTC · 105 likes
I know this isn’t universal but many of the smartest people I know have serious physical issue(s)
Kinda sucks seeing what I interpret as genetic tradeoffs having hands come for your friends (and unidirectional parasocial acquaintances)
Quoting Eliezer Yudkowsky ⏹️ (@ESYudkowsky): Neither Ozempic nor Mounjaro did anything helpful for me. Maintaining my weight still requires fasting 1 month for every 2 months that I eat enough for my brain to work. Saying this so that anyone else stuck in a worse trap than usual knows they're not alone.
Reply to @SpacedOutMatt, 20:54 UTC · 5 likes
Matt 🔸 (@SpacedOutMatt): My hunch is that they’re ~uncorrelated and you’re seeing Berkson’s paradox in who your acquaintances are
I mean my prior on there being a trade off is pretty high (or else there has to be a reason smarter is bad all else equal)
Also idk friendships are somewhat selective/zero sum but way less than monog relationships or college admissions
Reply to @codetaur, 20:56 UTC · 4 likes
Codetaur (@codetaur): do you bring up ending predation on the first date?
I’m pretty sure not *all* of them
Reply to @NoahTopper, 21:03 UTC · 4 likes
Quinoah 🔍⏸️ (@NoahTopper): @just_cameron @AaronBergman18
People say this and then need to use pip, brew, conda, npm, pipx, cargo, pip3, wheel, bash commands, virtual environments, paths to specific versions of their language, and specific numbers of spaces to run a regression
Reply to @SpacedOutMatt, 21:05 UTC · 2 likes
Matt 🔸 (@SpacedOutMatt): My priors lean the other way - bad things hurt you both intellectually and physically (consider lead exposure for example)
Simpsons paradox go brr. It’s just that both things are true and within a given population and environment it’s an empirical question which dominates
Reply to @JamesDowell2, 21:50 UTC · 1 like
J. D. (@JamesDowell2): I've noticed this too, but IDK if this is an example because keeping weight on at all costs is a VERY adaptive trait in the evolutionary context for humans. Whereas some other "nerd" stereotypes (poor eyesight) are not
FWIW obesity isn’t a common example that I’m thinking of
Reply to @NoahTopper, 22:12 UTC · 2 likes
Quinoah 🔍⏸️ (@NoahTopper): Real text from a friend I slept through. Damn.
F
Reply to @StefanFSchubert, 22:35 UTC
Stefan Schubert (@StefanFSchubert): Intelligence is positively associated with height
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Height_and_intelligence#Statistics
Also seems negatively associated with obesity (in any case, that would be my intuition)
Tbc I’m not making a claim about the overall correlation and which effect dominates
My slightly more nuanced best guess is that genetics is very high dimensional, and there are a few extremely specific paths that get you ~free IQ points and many more that get you costly ones
Reply, 22:58 UTC
Haha cold water go brr
Reply to @norvid_studies, 22:59 UTC · 3 likes
norvid_studies (@norvid_studies): prior wars: all good things correlate vs all good things trade off with each other
(quoting @AaronBergman18: @SpacedOutMatt I mean my prior on there being a trade off is pretty high (or else there has to be a reason smarter is bad all else equal) Also idk friendships are somewhat selective/zero sum but way less than monog relationships or college admissions)
Synthesis: the tails come apart
Saturday, July 27, 2024
Reply to @stefaesthesia, 13:02 UTC · 3 likes
stef 🫴 (@stefaesthesia): a lot of people these days could benefit from reading @waitbutwhy's book and trying to climb a rung or two
Top rung: being Julia Galef
Reply to @kennedymwavu, 13:15 UTC · 3 likes
Mwavu Kennedy (@kennedymwavu): yes.
image attached
(quoting @just_cameron: Very confused by how people write R code sometimes. Y'all understand that it is not a good development experience, right? It is actually Very Bad)
Reply to @absurdlymax, 17:52 UTC · 2 likes
Max Alexander (@absurdlymax): @FrostedSapling @JesseTayRiver @AaronBergman18 I think he got in trouble with his roommate for this
Lol
Reply to @peterwildeford, 18:14 UTC · 3 likes
Peter Wildeford🇺🇸🚀 (@peterwildeford): When you can finally use AI to talk to a whale, what are you going to ask?
How’s it goin
Reply, 18:16 UTC · 7 likes
I am this. My real family and my twitter moots
Reply to @NoahTopper, 18:28 UTC · 1 like
Quinoah 🔍⏸️ (@NoahTopper): @AaronBergman18 @plemy11 Reverse that. Your real family and your biological family.
Right
Reply, 19:02 UTC · 2 likes
@SpacedOutMatt plane discourse
Tweet, 19:07 UTC · 70 likes
Talked to a self-identified e/acc irl a few weeks ago
Great guy, mostly good takes, just wrong on a few key questions that looked basically like “what you would say if you were assigned that side in debate club”
Reply to @GarrettPetersen, 19:08 UTC · 3 likes
Dr. Dad, PhD 🔄🔼◀️🔽▶️ (@GarrettPetersen): What's your gender? || Without looking it up, do you confidently know the name of the scientist who discovered the process that made most of the nitrogen in your body?
Imma guess Krebs bc that cycle has nitrogen vibes
Thread, continued, 19:09 UTC · 2 likes
F
Tweet, 23:51 UTC · 22 likes
Orange man bad
Quote tweet, 23:53 UTC · 10 likes
I’ve been listening to Avril lately. She does kinda slap
Quoting AvrilRLavigne Today (Fan Account) (@AvrilRLToday): .|📈 Avril Lavigne's "I'm With You" had its biggest streaming day ever on Spotify yesterday (July 25, 2024), with over +219,143 streams!
Sunday, July 28, 2024
Tweet, 05:37 UTC · 25 likes
I’m such a blueberrypilled blueberrycel 🫐
Thread, continued, 05:49 UTC · 3 likes
Very plausible my recent blueberry arc is directly downstream of AI Aaron’s tweet
Reply to @Trail_Cams, 06:30 UTC · 1 like
trailcam (@Trail_Cams):
@RafaRuizdeLira
Reply to @ohwizenedtortle, 07:29 UTC · 1 like
oh dandy lion🔸 (@ohwizenedtortle): Does anyone want to see Stranger Things in the UK with me this Saturday 27th Jul? https://uk.strangerthingsonstage.com/
Ya but realistically flying to the UK just for this would be financially irresponsible
Reply to @GailJ808, 18:15 UTC · 2 likes
GailJ307 🌸🦬🤠 (@GailJ808): @leamaric Never mind that is Japanese so double fox paw lol
Bone apple teeth
Tweet, 19:58 UTC · 2 likes
Old black woman on the bus has a piece of paper with “TRUMP GIRL” taped to her sunhat
Tweet, 20:55 UTC · 5 likes
Let the doxycycline sunburns begin
Monday, July 29, 2024
Reply to @nomanautomata, 01:14 UTC · 7 likes
(The tweet being replied to by @nomanautomata is no longer available.)
No this seems pretty distinct
Quote tweet, 01:35 UTC · 14 likes
People love personality tests I guess
Get ur special (3⁵ = 243 different archetypes) at https://aaronbergman.neocities.org/abc
Quoting Aaron Bergman 🔍 (@AaronBergman18): Here’s the Bergman Brain Classifier (each is a continuous scale but you can bin into high and low if you want)
1) hedonic set point
2) hedonic variance
3) cringe tolerance
4) decoupling tendency
5) salience of social world
Thread, continued, 01:35 UTC · 3 likes
Thanks to Claude for doing all the work for me so this took all of 5-10 mins
Thread, continued, 01:36 UTC · 2 likes
Seems pretty correct lol
Quote tweet, 03:37 UTC · 4 likes
Some goodnight tweets from AI Aaron (using 400 examples, Sonnet 3.5, about $0.015 each...)
Quoting Aaron Bergman 🔍 (@AaronBergman18): Finally signed up for the Claude API. Here are a few Tweets Sonnet 3.5 thinks I would write based
Thread, continued, 03:37 UTC · 1 like
Hypothesis: the "Midwest nice" stereotype is mostly driven by the fact that people from the Midwest are more likely to be in situations where they're interacting with strangers (e.g. at a gas station) than people from other regions
Thread, continued, 03:37 UTC · 2 likes
Gonna be a contrarian and say that the "I'm not sure if I should say this but…" thing is good actually
Thread, continued, 03:37 UTC · 1 like
Idea: a bot that tweets the same thing every day but with a different word replaced by a synonym each day
Tweet, 03:37 UTC
Hypothesis: if you're in a situation where you're trying to figure out if you're in a simulation, the correct prior is ~50%, not ~0% or ~1 in a billion
[Human Aaron note: I'm not sure what I think about this]
Thread, continued, 03:37 UTC · 3 likes
I'm going to start saying "based" as a response to things I agree with. I'm not sure what it means but I think it's positive.
Thread, continued, 03:37 UTC · 2 likes
Hypothesis: there's a big difference in how much people actually care about privacy vs how much they say they care about privacy
Tweet, 03:37 UTC · 1 like
Idea: a "Schelling point" for how much to tip on a given transaction is the amount that would make the total a round number
Like if the bill is $17.34, the Schelling tip is $2.66
Thread, continued, 03:37 UTC · 2 likes
Honestly I think the most important thing I learned in college is that the standard for "knowing how to do something" is way lower than I thought
[Human Aaron note: idk about college but I think I endorse in general]
Thread, continued, 03:37 UTC · 2 likes
Tbh I think I'm gonna start using AI to write my tweets
[Human Aaron note: lol - good one to end on]
Quote tweet, 10:14 UTC · 13 likes
We need more toddler GoPro footage
Quoting Matt Bateman (@mbateman): 25 min of following 1yo, sped up 10x to 2.5 min
Nearly zero interference or even interaction as he severally pursued his little side quests
I love this age
Reply to @birchlse, 14:31 UTC · 4 likes
Jonathan Birch (@birchlse): 🦀🐝🧠🤖 How should we make decisions when faced with systems of uncertain sentience? My new book The Edge of Sentience: Risk and Precaution in Humans, Other Animals, and AI is available online for free at https://academic.oup.com/book/57949. Please download it! Just click on PDF to get a PDF of the whole book. Individual chapters are also available as PDFs - just click on whichever chapters you want. The book is completely free to everyone and I'm grateful for all shares and forwards.
Have you considered making this an audiobook? (Could be totally unofficial, just put the audio file somewhere)
Tuesday, July 30, 2024
Reply to @BootsPlatypus, 00:54 UTC · 1 like
Platypussy in Bio (@BootsPlatypus): @AaronBergman18 What does salience of social world mean?
Like how much things like reputation, status, social dynamics, other people’s feelings, and other people in general take up your attention and other mental resources
Reply to @KelseyTuoc, 02:21 UTC · 2 likes
Kelsey Piper (@KelseyTuoc): I also get really irritated by "you should send your kids to bad public schools because people like you doing that is what makes them into good public schools". I'm willing to make a lot of sacrifices for my community. Wronging my kids isn't one of them.
Stay strong Kelsey ✊
(gif, plays on X)
Tweet, 02:30 UTC · 311 likes
If school choice was the status quo and someone wrote a think piece that was like “actually your zip code should determine where u get to go to school unless you are very wealthy” it would (rightly) be seen as insane
Quote tweet, 11:33 UTC · 2 likes
Good thread and many such cases
Quoting Someone:
Tweet, 12:57 UTC · 3 likes
Wxird
Reply, 13:21 UTC · 1 like
🦐
Reply to @NathanpmYoung, 13:40 UTC · 2 likes
Nathan 🔎 (@NathanpmYoung): What has the EA movement changed its mind on in the last two years?
I'd appreciate answers. https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/fDpNz83DBoBHwFAPM/in-the-last-2-years-what-surprising-ideas-has-ea-championed
Ask it prospectively (maybe I will but feel free to)
In two years, what will the movement have changed its mind about?
Tweet, 18:05 UTC · 11 likes
I like this feature but someone should make an app that lets you set on a continuous how much you care about directness vs smelling the flowers
Quote tweet, 20:59 UTC · 34 likes
I could be convinced in specific cases with a compelling enough story, but I am awfully skeptical of policies (by whomever - not just gov’t) whose theory of change is some version of “directly make things worse for some people because of hypothesized nth order positive effects”
Quoting Kelsey Piper (@KelseyTuoc): I also get really irritated by "you should send your kids to bad public schools because people like you doing that is what makes them into good public schools". I'm willing to make a lot of sacrifices for my community. Wronging my kids isn't one of them.
Thread, continued, 20:59 UTC · 7 likes
I’m most sympathetic to the story when the people being harmed have the direct and unambiguous ability to change the thing: skin in the game
Thread, continued, 21:03 UTC · 8 likes
This isn’t deontological—it’s coming from a place of “predicting the downstream effects of anything is extremely hard, and the summation of all such effects is zero until proven otherwise”
Tweet, 22:16 UTC · 8 likes
I’m guessing Anthropic and OpenAI don’t want you to know this bc you’re paying a flat $20 and their inference costs would go up, but the models work better with images of pdf pages than actual pdfs (or any formatted/styled text)
Reply, 22:41 UTC
Im sure there is something online. I have a python script that does this which might be small enough to fit in a tweet…
Thread, continued, 22:42 UTC · 1 like
nah a bit too long
Quote tweet, 22:47 UTC · 5 likes
GitHub is out, sharing code via screenshot on twitter is in
Quoting Aaron Bergman 🔍 (@AaronBergman18): @justjoshinyou13 nah a bit too long
Reply to @RandomSprint, 23:03 UTC · 19 likes
RandomSprint🧭 (@RandomSprint): My 4 yo son, walking into my office, "Are you still working?"
"Yeah, bud."
"How many more buttons do you have to press?"
Well?
Wednesday, July 31, 2024
Reply, 01:24 UTC · 1 like
The people demand to see the consensus worst notes just for fun
Reply to @coeff_giving, 02:09 UTC · 3 likes
Coefficient Giving (@coeff_giving): Through corporate campaigning, the Open Wing Alliance has achieved some of the most significant cage-free welfare wins of the century. We’re proud to support their groundbreaking work. https://www.openphilanthropy.org/research/how-the-open-wing-alliance-has-helped-free-hundreds-of-millions-of-chickens-from-cages/
Nice 🐥
Reply to @PeterJAngel, 02:21 UTC · 4 likes
Peter🧅📈 (@PeterJAngel): Tough on crime and tough on the causes of crime (men)
There’s only one gender that could cause me to commit a felony and it’s sure not that one
Reply to @ines__circle, 13:51 UTC · 2 likes
(The tweet being replied to by @ines__circle is no longer available.)
Big if true
Reply to @Lewis_Bollard, 19:21 UTC · 6 likes
Lewis Bollard (@Lewis_Bollard): For decades, animal advocates lobbied to stop the worst abuses of farm animals -- with limited results.
Then they changed strategy and achieved wins that have already benefited hundreds of millions of animals, and are set to benefit billions more.
Here's the story... 🧵
(quoting @coeff_giving: Through corporate campaigning, the Open Wing Alliance has achieved some of the most significant cage-free welfare wins of the century. We’re proud to support their groundbreaking work.…)
Based
Reply to @amtcastle, 23:23 UTC · 4 likes
Andrew Mountcastle 🦞 (@amtcastle): Meanwhile, in Maine news
Poast frog
Quote tweet, 23:40 UTC · 12 likes
Here’s the article https://www.bangordailynews.com/2024/07/30/outdoors/wildlife/maine-teen-blue-frog-n6hjn1me0n/
Quoting Andrew Mountcastle 🦞 (@amtcastle): Meanwhile, in Maine news
Thread, continued, 23:41 UTC · 7 likes
This is the frog in question
Reply to @amtcastle, 23:41 UTC · 11 likes
Andrew Mountcastle 🦞 (@amtcastle): Meanwhile, in Maine news
Article and frog https://www.bangordailynews.com/2024/07/30/outdoors/wildlife/maine-teen-blue-frog-n6hjn1me0n/
Reply to his own earlier tweet, 23:43 UTC · 4 likes
Aaron Bergman, July 31, 2024: This is the frog in question
Based
Reply to @00aarti, 23:50 UTC · 3 likes
Aarti (@00aarti): My old landlord just informed the washing machine soap tray was not clean enough to his standards….goodbye security deposit 💸
Sue
End of July 2024. Previous month: June 2024. Next month: August 2024. Back to the archive index.