Aaron Bergman's tweets, December 2023
Every public tweet, reply, quote tweet and retweet that Aaron Bergman (@AaronBergman18 on X, formerly Twitter) posted in December 2023 and has not deleted: 881 posts, oldest first, times in UTC. Each heading links to the original post on X. When Aaron replies to or quotes someone, their tweet appears as a blockquote with their name; those words are theirs, and everything outside the blockquotes is Aaron's.
This page is one month of the complete archive of Aaron Bergman's tweets, which updates automatically every few hours. Previous month: November 2023. Next month: January 2024.
Friday, December 1, 2023
Reply to @alistair___s, 03:48 UTC · 1 like
Alistair Stewart (@alistair___s): @SpacedOutMatt @ModerateMarcel @AaronBergman18 This is the single thing I dislike most about the EA community: the self-congratulatory celebration of distancing oneself from suffering / moral harm
Spend two minutes reading about what shrimps actually endure and ask yourself if this meme is still funny https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/nGrmemHzQvBpnXkNX/what-matters-to-shrimps-factors-affecting-shrimp-welfare-in
The meme is doing the exact opposite? It’s literally about reducing shrimp suffering
Reply to @lisatomic5, 04:00 UTC · 298 likes
lisatomic (@lisatomic5): kids play *with* technology in a funny way
like mine just made a discord server for their made up onion-worshipping religion and put a bot in there as pastor, they're currently pretending to be little onion cult evangelists and inviting family to the server
Sounds like a cool guy (gender neutral but guessing son)
Tweet, 04:07 UTC · 4 likes
Huh https://open.substack.com/pub/astralcodexten/p/links-for-november-2023
Tweet, 04:14 UTC · 12 likes
I am anti anti Canadian MAID and will defend this position
Reply, 04:38 UTC · 1 like
Wait why
Reply to @tomchapin, 10:47 UTC · 1 like
Thomas H. Chapin IV (@tomchapin): The non-profit has a stated goal of creating AGI for the benefit and ownership of all of humanity, right?
Letting a for-profit company onto the board is like letting the foxes guard the henhouse.
Yes
Reply to @bijibiji2023, 18:00 UTC · 1 like
hoff 🧒🏻😻 (@bijibiji2023): These are times that ironically make me feel very alone and like I wish I had someone to protect me. So I seek out men and like 50% of the time they’re fucking psychopaths and I’m a dumb whore so I give them way too much info because I have a good feeling about this one! 😍
Some stat like “4% of males are psychopaths but psychopaths make up 40% of the solicitations women receive”
Reply to @absurdlymax, 18:06 UTC · 3 likes
Max Alexander (@absurdlymax):
Dog
Reply to @absurdlymax, 18:19 UTC · 2 likes
Max Alexander (@absurdlymax): @inesferhumi @pearl_please I don't know about others, but I'm picking up on some subtle chemistry between these two
Ship
Reply to @alt_truistic, 18:33 UTC · 2 likes
(The tweet being replied to by @alt_truistic is no longer available.)
Bc FDA police state
Quote tweet, 18:49 UTC · 22 likes
I don’t really have an object level take on whether Altman is an adept sociopath, but in light of SBF + maybe Sama I have a theory:
Quoting Shakeel (@ShakeelHashim): "Some of the board’s six members found Altman manipulative and conniving ... “They felt Sam had lied,” a person familiar with the board’s discussions said." 👀
Thread, continued, 18:49 UTC · 9 likes
Basically our intuitions about scheming/sociopathy/earnestness/manipulation/etc. are designed to balance false positives and false negatives
But evolution was doing this mostly in the context of a few hundred people at most
Thread, continued, 18:49 UTC · 13 likes
But in the modern world where competent sociopathy gives you lots of status and power and therefore fame among all 8 billion people, +6 standard deviation ability at manipulation will exist in the sample of people we might encounter, but fail to trigger our
Thread, continued, 18:49 UTC · 14 likes
“This guy seems sketchy” intuition which is calibrated to identify only maybe +3 sd level manipulation (lest we get too many false positives)
Thread, continued, 18:49 UTC · 27 likes
So all this is to say that among people you know of because they’ve become powerful and successful (rather than just being ur brother’s friend or whatever) you may need to be extra cynical when judging the degree to which these people are manipulative vs earnest
Reply to @alt_truistic, 18:50 UTC · 1 like
(The tweet being replied to by @alt_truistic is no longer available.)
Ya I guess people who are naturally chronically hypomanic but they aren’t super common
Reply to @edardaman, 19:02 UTC · 11 likes
Emily Dardaman (@edardaman): Folks in relationships: Do you like debating politics/philosophy/religion? Does your partner?
Lol wonder what % of the Y/Y should really be Y/N
Quote tweet, 19:04 UTC · 38 likes
Y/Y bf N/Y gf
Quoting Emily Dardaman (@edardaman): Folks in relationships: Do you like debating politics/philosophy/religion? Does your partner?
Reply to @paulg, 19:24 UTC · 3 likes
Paul Graham (@paulg): 92% of grades in Women's, Gender, and Sexuality Studies classes at Yale are A or A-, vs 55% in Mathematics. The math majors must just not be as smart. (Table via @sfmcguire79.)
Lol if this is basically true in general (say for US t50), it would explain how tightly packed near the top suma/magna/cum laude were for my class
I did econ, math, and philosophy and was like “how tf are 15% of my classmates getting basically perfect grades all the time?”
Reply to @a_real_society, 22:04 UTC · 3 likes
society (@a_real_society): The masculine urge to buy $200k worth of cattle
How many does that buy?
Quote tweet, 22:12 UTC · 6 likes
“[Even a total utilitarian] might nevertheless conclude that some instantiations of suffering cannot be offset or justified by even an arbitrarily large amount of wellbeing.”
Quoting hunter* (@y2khunter): what opinion will you defend like this?
Thread, continued, 22:12 UTC · 3 likes
https://www.aaronbergman.net/p/my-case-for-suffering-leaning-ethics
Thread, continued, 22:12 UTC · 4 likes
Also if anyone says the letters “vnm” ur bloodline will be cursed for all of eternity
Reply to @a_real_society, 22:13 UTC · 2 likes
society (@a_real_society): @AaronBergman18 Like 120, so actually I might want $300k worth
Wait a whole cow is only like 2k?! New pet just dropped
Reply to @M4IDENL3SS, 22:14 UTC · 2 likes
void ☾ (@M4IDENL3SS): @a_real_society turbo based honestly
Fr
Reply to @SpacedOutMatt, 22:56 UTC · 2 likes
Matt 🔸 (@SpacedOutMatt): @absurdlymax Is it bad that I like that decor a lot
*steals ur dog*
Reply to @NathanpmYoung, 22:59 UTC · 2 likes
Nathan 🔎 (@NathanpmYoung): What forecasts would you read if they existed?
P(gf)
Reply to @tszzl, 23:05 UTC · 6 likes
roon (@tszzl): what’s the mitigation for finding overwhelming amounts of beauty in everything?
High dose antipsychotics
Reply to @EpistemicHope, 23:16 UTC · 1 like
Eli Tyre (@EpistemicHope): @alexeyguzey, do you still endorse this?
Are particularly anti-GW, or particularly pro-other stuff?
(I'm thinking through donations right now.)
FWIW I think GiveWell’s recs are very clearly not the best place to give for reasons described in this post https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/btTeBHKGkmRyD5sFK/open-phil-should-allocate-most-neartermist-funding-to-animal
Reply to @psychiel, 23:26 UTC · 2 likes
Mariven (@psychiel): v*m is often deployed too hastily, but a genuine issue w/ lexicographic utility is with gambles—would you spin a wheel with 3^^^3 slots, all labeled "lifelong bliss for all beings", but a single one *also* labeled "you get tortured for a week first"? I can't intuit rejecting this
Honestly idk if I’d spin it (for behavioral econ irrationality reasons) but I endorse not spinning it
Would you accept a week of torture in exchange for living 3^^^3 lives of bliss after?
Saturday, December 2, 2023
Reply, 00:43 UTC
Assuming you’d answer the same though for the selfishly phrased one, I think (and really, my core claim is) that it such a choice us fundamentally irrational, and to the extent you’d make the choice beforehand it reflects a failure to appreciate how bad suffering can be…
Thread, continued, 00:43 UTC
This is the crux though and I know other smart people (eg @freed_dfilan) bite the bullet and have the opposite view
Reply, 02:57 UTC
Isn’t *obviously* wrong or trivially refuted
Reply to @gwern, 03:49 UTC · 3 likes
(The tweet being replied to by @gwern is no longer available.)
+1
Reply to @littIeramblings, 16:25 UTC · 9 likes
(The tweet being replied to by @littIeramblings is no longer available.)
He’s right
Reply to @RuxandraTeslo, 16:30 UTC · 1 like
Ruxandra Teslo 🧬 (@RuxandraTeslo): Imagine being a medieval peasant. You wake up in this misty cold, you don’t have heating. You don’t have electricity either so no light after 4pm. How did people even survive
Bro they didn’t even have 4pm (like the concept)
Quote tweet, 16:36 UTC · 8 likes
Semaglitude + dextroamphetamine combo would go hard
Quoting the Rich (@Duderichy): they fucking did it, they invented the everything drug
Reply to @QualyThe, 16:37 UTC · 12 likes
Qualy the lightbulb (@QualyThe): Post Christmas gift ideas for the effective altruist in your life (genuine)
Cash
Reply to @QualyThe, 16:38 UTC · 9 likes
Qualy the lightbulb (@QualyThe): Post Christmas gift ideas for the effective altruist in your life (genuine)
A legitimate prescription pad so u can write in any medication
Reply to @littIeramblings, 16:49 UTC · 2 likes
sarah (@littIeramblings): Yeah a lot of ppl seem to think this, maybe I was showing my ignorance here
There’s nothing EA ppl like better than signaling their intellectual openness by siding with like the inventor of factory farming or the people who stole money from GiveDirectly on something
Tweet, 17:07 UTC · 44 likes
Ik I’m econ brain poisoned bc my next thought immediately after “huh I kinda have a beard” was “and it’s a plausibly exogenous beard bc I ran out of shaving cream several days ago and never really intended for this to occur!”
Thread, continued, 17:08 UTC · 4 likes
(It’s not a legit beard, just stubble)
Sunday, December 3, 2023
Quote tweet, 00:55 UTC · 10 likes
Thanks to those who sent me screenshots even though they weren't included in v1.0 bc I wanted it to be just EA org rejections 😌
Quoting Aaron Bergman 🔍 (@AaronBergman18): @ChanaMessinger I’m making a collage of my rejection emails 😌. It’s in progress rn (screenshots very welcome)
Reply to @bryan_johnson, 07:06 UTC · 4 likes
Bryan Johnson (@bryan_johnson): Excited to be an @extropic investor and to build with @beffjezos. After 4.5 billion years, this is our moment.
(quoting @beffjezos: Hey everyone, serious post for a second. As you may have seen, I have unfortunately gotten my identity and stealth startup doxxed by reporters via voice forensics and web sleuthing. As the day has finally come, I thought I’d share more about who I am. I’ve kept my identity…)
Oy vey
Tweet, 07:10 UTC · 2 likes
New Tulsa just dropped?
Reply to @Noahpinion, 09:44 UTC · 3 likes
Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇸🇺🇦🇹🇼 (@Noahpinion): Why do so many ace people work for quant trading firms
How does one even get this information? Like without actually working at a quant firm lol
Reply to @rgblong, 09:58 UTC · 6 likes
Robert Long (@rgblong): I love this classic but I just realized - and idk what this says about me - I don’t really know what “life is excruciatingly meaningful” is / means.
Perhaps I do not know that feeling
(quoting @visakanv: this is the heart of philosophy, all else is commentary 🧐)
Idk whether emotionally internalizing this is a good idea, but u are one of a few people (afaik) working on one of the most morally important questions in the universe
Reply to @diviacaroline, 10:44 UTC · 2 likes
Divia Eden 🔍 (@diviacaroline): Violet, our fifth and (almost certainly final) baby is finally here! I’m so happy 😍, and it was even my easiest labor yet (not that I would ever call labor easy)!
She got here 20min before our midwife did, and practically slept though her own birth :-)
image attached
image attached
(quoting @WilliamAEden: Everyone please welcome Violet Lillian Eden to the world :) She was born at 2:20 AM today right here at home after a fast labor. She is the fifth addition to our family, and also our last 🥲 She came out like the others, 8 lbs 6 oz 20” long and a full head of dark hair! 😍)
Congrats!! 🐥
Reply to @alistair___s, 13:10 UTC · 3 likes
Alistair Stewart (@alistair___s): @SpacedOutMatt @AaronBergman18 @ModerateMarcel Okay imagine the same meme but with two dead humans who had previously had similar capacity for realising welfare as shrimp (e.g. had been in a state of partial arousal as per screenshot), whose deaths were eased by an EA intervention - would you be happy making that?
This is not worth either of ur time and u guys should simply coexist with different intuitions about the quasi-moral aesthetics of memes
Reply to @austinc3301, 20:41 UTC · 6 likes
Agus 🔸 (@austinc3301): louder for the people in the back
(quoting @ryancareyai: To those who say "we cannot reason statistically about events that have never happened before, so we should not worry about the hypothetical possibility of AI", you also need not worry about a warhead being placed on an ICBM. Or anything new happening generally.)
2️⃣ THOSE 👥 WHO SAY WE CANNOT REASON 🧐 STATISTICALLY 🔢 ABOUT EVENTS 🔮 THAT HAVE NEVER HAPPENED BEFORE 🤷♂️ SO WE SHOULD NOT 🙉WORRY ABOUT THE HYPOTHETICAL POSSIBILITY 💭 OF AI', YOU ALSO NEED NOT 🚫 WORRY ABOUT A WARHEAD 💣BEING PLACED ON AN 🚀 OR ANYTHING 🆕 HAPPENING GENERALLY
Reply, 20:46 UTC · 1 like
44
Reply to @austinc3301, 21:55 UTC
Agus 🔸 (@austinc3301): @AaronBergman18 Thanks Aaron
👍
Monday, December 4, 2023
Reply, 00:22 UTC
Steal one for me plz
Reply to @alexeyguzey, 03:51 UTC · 3 likes
Alexey Guzey (@alexeyguzey): EA and e/acc are both singleton ideologies.
They reject the ugliness and complexity of the world, substituting it for a single meme function to maximize.
If you want to the future to be bright and to win, reject singletons & embrace truth.
Gotta be one of the falsest false equivalences I’ve seen
Quote tweet, 05:10 UTC · 6 likes
New Tulsa?
Quoting Massimo (@Rainmaker1973): The town of Whittier, Alaska, is known for having nearly the entire population living in a single apartment building.
The building is called Begich Towers, a 14-story apartment complex that houses about 90% of the town's residents (total: 272). This has earned Whittier the nickname of a "town under one roof".
The building, originally constructed as an army barracks, now serves as a cozy condominium featuring a post office, general store, police station, laundromat, health clinic, mayor's office, and a heated indoor pool.
Whittier, Alaska is accessible only by air or through a single-lane tunnel that stretches over two miles through neighboring Maynard Mountain. The town's weather conditions can be harsh during winter, making the Begich Towers a convenient and practical living solution for the residents.
In addition to the Begich Towers, there is a second condo building in the town where the remaining residents live. The town's school and gym are located in a separate structure but are connected to the Begich Towers by a tunnel, allowing for easy access during the winter months.
Quote tweet, 05:23 UTC · 8 likes
SBF deja vu, maybe
Quoting Gary Marcus (@GaryMarcus): Remember how Sam Altman told the US Senate he had no “direct” investment in OpenAI? and how they gushed over his apparent selflessness?
👉He didn’t mention that (presumably) he had equity in YC which likely has equity in OpenAI.
And now this:
👉“OpenAI Agreed to Buy $51 Million of AI Chips From a Startup Backed by CEO Sam Altman”#candor
Reply to @davidmanheim, 12:36 UTC · 1 like
David Manheim (@davidmanheim): @AaronBergman18 @alexeyguzey I think it's pointing to something real - that many EAs (unfortunately) have a view that there is a single coherent type of goodness which they need to be maximizing, and they have a sufficiently accurate approximation of that vision of good.
Huge difference between, to put it in familiar terms, utility functions with a single input and those with a single output
Yeah at some level you implicitly do need to compare possible worlds on a single dimension because like you only get to choose one…
Reply to @robertwiblin, 12:39 UTC · 9 likes
Rob Wiblin (@robertwiblin): The NYT really phoning it in today LOL.
I wanna be an internet philosopher
Reply to @daniellellecco, 13:14 UTC · 2 likes
(The tweet being replied to by @daniellellecco is no longer available.)
“Getting good grades is the easiest thing in the world” - me until abstract algebra
Reply to @robertwiblin, 13:16 UTC · 8 likes
(The tweet being replied to by @robertwiblin is no longer available.)
Great insights for my CEO application 🙏🏼
Tweet, 14:48 UTC · 11 likes
If I was a micro professor who had a lesson on Hotelling’s Law (Wikipedia below), I’d be so excited rn
Thread, continued, 14:48 UTC · 1 like
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hotelling's_law
Reply to @NoahTopper, 18:36 UTC · 2 likes
Quinoah 🔍⏸️ (@NoahTopper): @AaronBergman18 @danielleboccell My A- in Abstract Algebra 2 still haunts me
Well neither of us got a B
Reply to @AaronDorshow, 18:41 UTC · 1 like
Aaron Dorshow (@AaronDorshow): @AaronBergman18 FYI I think I went to the Premium Barber shop and it was pretty good
BREAKING: Arlington, VA beats SF, Berkeley, Oxford, London, Boston, DC, and NYC as most important EA Hub
Reply to @gelionexists, 18:47 UTC · 2 likes
GE Lion (@gelionexists): @AaronBergman18 Idk about +6 SD man, it was pretty obvious to anyone who knew the basics of who Sam altman was (stakes in yc).
You don't get that rich working for charity.
If anything this is a -3 SD judgement for the average senator
I wasn’t super precise before - the axis I meant was like “ability to come across as sincere/pro-social” and the population being something like sociopaths (idk the technical meaning of the term)
Reply to his own earlier tweet, 18:49 UTC · 3 likes
Aaron Bergman, December 1, 2023: So all this is to say that among people you know of because they’ve become powerful and successful (rather than just being ur brother’s friend or whatever) you…
To clarify
Quote tweet, 18:58 UTC · 9 likes
Now I’m wondering what determines the equilibrium distance between clusters like this
Like there isn’t one big barbershop cluster in St. Louis to serve all of the US. What is the equal and opposite market force (or is it a non-elegant smorgasbord of factors)?
Quoting Aaron Bergman 🔍 (@AaronBergman18): If I was a micro professor who had a lesson on Hotelling’s Law (Wikipedia below), I’d be so excited rn
Tuesday, December 5, 2023
Reply to @bijibiji2023, 14:58 UTC · 5 likes
hoff 🧒🏻😻 (@bijibiji2023): Does anyone else have a really hard time switching between reading yiddish and hebrew? Any tips? I’m struggling lmao
Yes bc I don’t know either language
Reply to @RafaRuizdeLira, 15:24 UTC · 5 likes
Rafael Ruiz ⏸️🔸 (@RafaRuizdeLira): Bear
(quoting @BearPosting: )
Bear
Reply to @NathanpmYoung, 18:31 UTC · 13 likes
Nathan 🔎 (@NathanpmYoung): What are vegan recipes that you like when you are feeling?
- Sad
- LazyIn particular, when I am in my normal "bad vegan" mode, this is when I eat meat, because meat is tasty even when you are sad and lazy.
Tasty, low prep suggestions.
My specialty: crisped rice in almond reduction
1) put Rice Krispies into concave container (eg bowl)
2) add almond milk to taste
3) (optional) garnish with protein powder of choice
Wednesday, December 6, 2023
Reply to @robertwiblin, 06:52 UTC · 8 likes
(The tweet being replied to by @robertwiblin is no longer available.)
Steve Jobs foregoing modern cancer treatment
Reply to @pearl_please, 10:36 UTC · 1 like
(The tweet being replied to by @pearl_please is no longer available.)
RIP 🪦
(And get well soon)
Also fuck bicycles fr, sinister technology
Reply to @SpacedOutMatt, 14:49 UTC · 2 likes
Matt 🔸 (@SpacedOutMatt): Trying to make inter-cause cost-effectiveness comparisons like
Eh ik it’s a meme but I think this is basically wrong, in the sense that it really doesn’t come down to “how many shrimp equals one human” as anything like the deciding or relevant factor
For one thing the standard set of human focused near term charities…
Thread, continued, 14:51 UTC · 3 likes
fundamentally are not evaluated on the basis of suffering reduction (plausibly eg reducing malaria infections does indeed reduce human suffering, but afaik that’s not what ever gets studied
Whereas ea animal charities (rightly IMO) don’t care about deaths per se
Thread, continued, 14:56 UTC · 2 likes
But more importantly IMO, the hard part is weighing a bundle of mostly-strong but still extremely qualitative arguments for AI risk and how various interventions might improve things (hedonically, by reducing suffering or increasing wellbeing) vs
Thread, continued, 14:57 UTC · 3 likes
like helping a bajillion chickens or a bajillion² shrimp
Reply to @SpacedOutMatt, 15:38 UTC · 2 likes
Matt 🔸 (@SpacedOutMatt): Okay very fair. Please accept this more accurate meme as compensation for your time
Haha haha. YES
Reply to @pearl_please, 15:46 UTC · 1 like
(The tweet being replied to by @pearl_please is no longer available.)
P(u found* a religion) just skyrocketed
*as in founder, not discover
Reply to @exdiegesis, 16:03 UTC · 2 likes
Hope (@exdiegesis): let me know if you (or maybe @AaronBergman18!?) make/find an app for quickly browsing & converting LW/EAF posts into audio-files. (must be able to pause & rewind via BT headphones, otherwise i lose 90% of listening-value.) even better if can do it w textbook-chapters!
This is a thing!! https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/the-nonlinear-library/id1587343144
Reply to @AFraserUrq, 22:50 UTC · 2 likes
Alastair Fraser-Urquhart (@AFraserUrq): it’s time
To light sheet music on fire?
Reply to @HannahPosted, 23:55 UTC · 2 likes
(The tweet being replied to by @HannahPosted is no longer available.)
Tf is a shower curtain liner
Reply to @catehall, 23:57 UTC · 3 likes
Cate Hall 🔸 (@catehall): What is the best argument that transformative AI is >10 years away?
Interest rates aren’t insane rn
Thursday, December 7, 2023
Tweet, 00:07 UTC · 1 like
Maybe, but one vibe-matching saying we should not revive is “life isn’t fair” (or anything with a similar meaning)
Like yes, this is trivially true as a description, but it’s ~always used in a normative-ish way (“your complaint is illegitimate”)
Reply to @absurdlymax, 00:23 UTC · 1 like
Max Alexander (@absurdlymax): @adamrisom Tbh I feel like I do a bit of image washing by being an EA
Dude u don’t even have an image (in the sense of a non anonymized online presence) lol
Reply, 06:09 UTC · 1 like
RIP🪦
Quote tweet, 06:12 UTC · 7 likes
Yeah - a low proportion of cases are legit perhaps, but if you’re good at discriminating you wind up reading @TheZvi’s 10^10 word blog posts
Quoting exfatloss🥛 (@exfatloss): Many such cases
Reply to @bijibiji2023, 06:14 UTC · 1 like
hoff 🧒🏻😻 (@bijibiji2023): @AaronBergman18 A good friendly pfp Aaron , u look like a very effective altruist
Lol thank u - my main update here (given several very positive bits of unprompted feedback) is that my intuition about pfp is basically nonexistent and cannot be trusted
Reply to @natalia__coelho, 06:44 UTC · 2 likes
(The tweet being replied to by @natalia__coelho is no longer available.)
Sure
- high relative intelligence (I’m guessing this predicts good discrimination)
- very high relative scout mindset (/whatever a more neutral academic term would be) both personally and in my peers/community
…
Reply to @Noahpinion, 06:54 UTC · 3 likes
Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇸🇺🇦🇹🇼 (@Noahpinion): Is this AI-generated, or does Kyle Rittenhouse now actually look like a Big Boy statue?
image attached
(quoting @GaryPetersonUSA: Kyle Rittenhouse joining Tucker Carlson is an even greater present this Christmas season than the gifts brought by the Three Shepherds of Christ.)
Bad to make fun of ppls weight even if conservative
Reply to @mattyglesias, 07:09 UTC · 1 like
Matthew Yglesias (@mattyglesias): The extent to which people just repeat stuff is always underrated
(quoting @IzaTabaro: From which river to which sea? “Only 47% of the students who embrace the slogan were able to name the river & the sea. Some of the alternative answers were the Nile & the Euphrates, the Caribbean, the Dead Sea (which is a lake) & the Atlantic…. There’s no shame in being…)
I personally own all the land from the Potomac river to the Atlantic Sea
Quote tweet, 07:12 UTC · 6 likes
Setting aside animal welfare stuff (tbh I don’t have a strong take on honey) I’m very glad internet people do weird shit like this
Quoting anabology (@anabology): If 1 pound of honey per day makes me diabetic, you'll know:
Just ordered a continuous glucose monitor from @agelessrx_ and bloods from @marekhealth.
Hopefully I'll be able to share CGM data from the 18th thru the 22nd. I'll also share the labs when I receive them (getting blood drawn on the 22nd).
After I get the CGM, I'll do a glucose tolerance test with it and share that as well.
I'm going to be 100% transparent with this. If my HBA1c is 100%, and my insulin is sky high, I won't hide it.
I may be wrong. If I am, I'll stop the diet and reevaluate. Only one way to find out.
Reply to @JgaltTweets, 07:13 UTC · 4 likes
JgaltTweets (@JgaltTweets): 1) what
(quoting @The_Real_Fly: Absurd Claim by Haley: “For every 30 minutes that someone watches TikTok every day, they become 17% more antisemitic, more pro-Hamas.”)
Start out as a mildly sympathetic weirdo, 1 day later ur getting drone striked
Reply to @JgaltTweets, 07:18 UTC · 2 likes
JgaltTweets (@JgaltTweets): @AaronBergman18 See, all they've got to do now is find a way to do it in reverse and they'll finally solve the whole situation
Every 30 minutes on nerdy, community notes-pilled twitter…
Reply to @bradneuberg, 07:25 UTC · 3 likes
Brad Neuberg (@bradneuberg): We had to invent AI in order to actually understand ffmpeg options
“Turn this 94 minute video into a sequence of pdfs of each frame and a compressed .mp4 of the audio on a screen filled with red pixels”
Chatgpt: ffmpeg [600 incomprehensible words], duh
Reply to @sonyasupposedly, 07:32 UTC · 2 likes
🌷🐰 sonya serendipitously 🐇🎀 (@sonyasupposedly): I feel a profound primal connection with my son, the like I've which I've only felt with my own mother as a small child
Oxytocin goes hard fr
Tweet, 17:56 UTC · 10 likes
Spotify no longer safe
Reply to @QualyThe, 18:34 UTC · 5 likes
Qualy the lightbulb (@QualyThe): I'm beginning to think it wasn't even a real duck
I’m beginning to think ur not even a real lightbulb
Quote tweet, 21:36 UTC · 29 likes
Guy who thinks money would be no object at $100B
Quoting rohit (@krishnanrohit): If money was no object, like you had $100 Billion net worth, what would you be doing?
Thread, continued, 21:36 UTC · 4 likes
Hey, SBF was right about the infinite money thing (or at least up to say most of world total wealth)
Tweet, 21:47 UTC · 44 likes
I’m beginning to suspect that immediately closing the app and mentally running away bc scared is not an effective way to turn Hinge/Tinder matches into dates
Reply to @goodhorsemen, 21:54 UTC · 2 likes
Roman 🦅 (@goodhorsemen): @AaronBergman18 What did SBF say?
“I have use for infinite money” (or maybe it was “infinite dollars”)
Reply to @littIeramblings, 21:59 UTC · 2 likes
sarah (@littIeramblings): this is likely correct
Huh
Reply to @DaCaveOfWonders, 22:10 UTC · 3 likes
Tiger Lava Lamp (@DaCaveOfWonders): @AaronBergman18 Instead, I would recommend thinking about what feeling you wish to create in your match, then writing a message you think will elicit that feeling, hit send, and immediately throw your phone across the room in fear.
Thanks, lava lamp
Quote tweet, 22:32 UTC · 7 likes
Your regular reminder that as an individual donor (lfg) you should be thinking on the margin about where to donate:
“How should the existing distribution change?” or, ~equivalently, “where does a marginal dollar look the absolute best?”
Quoting Matt 🔸 (@SpacedOutMatt): I see two EA-adjacent orgs in this list. Fistula Foundation received $15m and Malaria Consortium received $10m
Thread, continued, 22:32 UTC · 5 likes
Not:
- What is my intra-EA aesthetic/vibe/identity?
- What is a central example of a good/“EA approved” donation?
Reply to @GjMcGowan, 22:33 UTC · 4 likes
George McGowan (@GjMcGowan): @AaronBergman18 Let us run your account
“Us” being…?
Reply to @reconfigurthing, 22:34 UTC · 1 like
Elias Schmied (@reconfigurthing): Oh gotcha lol, I like the criticism from the other side there
Lol in general any good critiques are roughly from the opposite direction of common/intuitive normie critiques
Reply to @GjMcGowan, 22:34 UTC · 6 likes
George McGowan (@GjMcGowan): @AaronBergman18 Each of your mutuals gets to text one lady
Ok deal
Tweet, 22:37 UTC · 20 likes
The absolute difference in goodness/$ between eg The Humane League and AMF is bigger than the difference between AMF and the least deserving of Mackenzie Scott’s recipient orgs
Reply to @sixers2772, 22:52 UTC · 5 likes
Sixers (@sixers2772): A problem I have with animal welfare is that it has no longtermism component. I think you can make an argument that anything that helps humans, like AMF, has a chance to improve the trajectory of society a little
Yeah tbc I do think prioritization between animal welfare and explicitly long termist things is hard and plausibly the latter wins
But I’m much more confident in the literal truth of my claim above than if I subbed in LTFF for THL
Reply to @JesseTayRiver, 22:53 UTC · 4 likes
Jesse Smith (@JesseTayRiver): @AaronBergman18 @GjMcGowan Genius idea George! I'm absolutely down for this
I get to text ur wife (about the painkiller in LMICs thing dw)
Reply to @JesseTayRiver, 23:08 UTC · 2 likes
Jesse Smith (@JesseTayRiver): @AaronBergman18 @GjMcGowan I can dm you her # but you have to wait until tomorrow to text her
🤝
Reply to @frances__lorenz, 23:17 UTC · 3 likes
(The tweet being replied to by @frances__lorenz is no longer available.)
Buy wifi
Reply to @frances__lorenz, 23:18 UTC · 2 likes
(The tweet being replied to by @frances__lorenz is no longer available.)
For weird reasons this page exists https://aaronbergman.neocities.org/insomnia
Reply to @frances__lorenz, 23:19 UTC · 3 likes
(The tweet being replied to by @frances__lorenz is no longer available.)
Ya ppl be not buying it as like a protest even if it’s worth the money to them lol
Reply to @daniel_271828, 23:22 UTC · 3 likes
zzDANIEL_ETH (@daniel_271828): @AaronBergman18 Wait, this seems obvious if you think Humane League is better than AMF? Presumably whichever is better is more than 2x as good as the other. What are the odds they’d be within a factor of 2 of each other?
Yes I agree! But I know for a fact that people will explicitly endorse this and then donate to AMF anyway
Reply to @frances__lorenz, 23:24 UTC · 3 likes
(The tweet being replied to by @frances__lorenz is no longer available.)
Love it, lfg. Gonna make a thread one per q
Thread, continued, 23:27 UTC · 2 likes
Well I’ll start with all these
Friday, December 8, 2023
Reply to @PradyuPrasad, 13:41 UTC · 1 like
Pradyumna 🇸🇬 (@PradyuPrasad): Domain set up http://PradyuPrasad.com
Nice
Reply to @SpacedOutMatt, 19:22 UTC · 3 likes
Matt 🔸 (@SpacedOutMatt): Presenting the @absurdlymax starter pack:
I think moral realism is true. We should discuss this at some point
Reply to @absurdlymax, 19:27 UTC · 2 likes
Max Alexander (@absurdlymax): @AaronBergman18 @SpacedOutMatt Maybe @littIeramblings can interview us about this
🔥🔥🔥
Reply to @reconfigurthing, 19:27 UTC · 2 likes
Elias Schmied (@reconfigurthing): So the recipe for becoming a kinder person is to suffer for a bit, viscerally realize how nice it is when people are kind to you, and have your brain update on that?
Idk if it is *the* recipe, but it’s definitely a recipe
Reply to @littIeramblings, 19:34 UTC · 2 likes
sarah (@littIeramblings): I’m down
Ok cool, the title is gonna be “Aaron destroys max with facts and logic”
Reply to @austinc3301, 19:37 UTC · 3 likes
Agus 🔸 (@austinc3301): @absurdlymax well, it has 25 views and Aaron also liked it, so you have some plausible deniability
You’ll never know who said what 😱
Reply to @___frye, 20:14 UTC · 2 likes
frye (@___frye): tag yourself i’m mexicanized dishes and pepper sauces
I’m ginger ale
Reply to @EpistemicHope, 20:49 UTC · 2 likes
Eli Tyre (@EpistemicHope): If you're trying to apply the 2014 Effective Altruist strategy (cost effectiveness analysis to select top charities + donating) at scale, you run into problems of the intractability of complex systems: the difficulty of modeling second order effects that dominate your impacts.
“Expected 2nd+ order effects cancel out bc chaos etc” is thrown around too readily, but it really does seem like a good place to start and in some cases probably basically checks out though
Like it seems to me there are two basic ways of “doing EA” …
Thread, continued, 20:52 UTC
1) account for all crucial considerations and figure out how to move the needle on the actual determinants of long-run general equilibrium
2) find exceptionally large first order effects that don’t seem to have systematically negative nth order effects
Thread, continued, 20:55 UTC
FWIW I think the second strategy points hard in the direction of quite directly reducing hedonic suffering or increasing happiness, which a lot of ~EA approved~ charities definitely don’t do (ie most of the global health ones)
Reply to @frances__lorenz, 20:56 UTC · 5 likes
(The tweet being replied to by @frances__lorenz is no longer available.)
Let the rejection process begin 😤
Reply to @AndyMasley, 20:57 UTC · 2 likes
Andy Masley (@AndyMasley): Space is expanding equally everywhere but it's not strong enough to overcome the forces holding regular objects together, so it becomes noticeable over incredibly large distances but doesn't affect any specific objects
Sus
Saturday, December 9, 2023
Reply to @LinchZhang, 06:04 UTC · 9 likes
Linch (@LinchZhang): Me: So, have you ever met a dumb EA?
Friend: Yes. *pause*
Friend: Though they were a graduate student at Harvard, so maybe not that dumb in absolute terms.
Yeah people like to play modest but among in person explicitly EA events, I’d guess the iq distribution is like 2.5 sd above avg
Reply to @JesseTayRiver, 06:05 UTC · 3 likes
Jesse Smith (@JesseTayRiver): Realistically you could probably arrive at social events a bit later than you do now. You probably won't even be the last person.
🚨🚨🚨infohazard🚨🚨🚨
Quote tweet, 06:40 UTC · 4 likes
Based
Quoting saul munn (@saulmunn): i just donated 10% of my income from the last year to @TheHumaneLeague! :D
it's not much, but i'm giving what i can.
Reply to @mealreplacer, 06:42 UTC · 10 likes
(The tweet being replied to by @mealreplacer is no longer available.)
Secretly learning how not to say “or something” and talk like a normal person to surprise my hypothetical gfs parents
Reply to @bijibiji2023, 06:47 UTC · 2 likes
hoff 🧒🏻😻 (@bijibiji2023): The last time I took an iq test it was 118, I think. I was twelve, so I wonder if it’s changed. I remember my neuropsych saying that mine was a bit unique in that some of the categories were extremely high and others were super low.
(gif, plays on X)
Reply to @bijibiji2023, 06:48 UTC · 3 likes
hoff 🧒🏻😻 (@bijibiji2023): @AaronBergman18 @StoopMensch HAHA why nawttt
119 at least
Reply to @goblinodds, 06:53 UTC · 5 likes
𝖜𝖔𝖒𝖇𝖑𝖊 𝖜𝖎𝖙𝖍𝖔𝖚𝖙 𝖆 𝖈𝖆𝖚𝖘𝖊 (@goblinodds):
Tf is the second row? I only recognize vibecamp (bc it says “vibecamp”) lol
Quote tweet, 06:57 UTC · 11 likes
New version = which of these do you basically understand/recognize the associations of
I’m:
[1, 2, 3, 7]
[C]
[! # ^ &]
[a, b, e]
For a total postrat score of 12
Quoting 𝖜𝖔𝖒𝖇𝖑𝖊 𝖜𝖎𝖙𝖍𝖔𝖚𝖙 𝖆 𝖈𝖆𝖚𝖘𝖊 (@goblinodds):
Reply to @peterwildeford, 07:09 UTC · 3 likes
Peter Wildeford🇺🇸🚀 (@peterwildeford): I'm announcing my winter vacation reading list https://commoncrawl.org/
Man they make it so hard to just read the friggin internet
Like tf am I supposed to do with these? Where is the forbidden multi-exabyte .txt?
Reply to @alitaylor, 07:12 UTC · 2 likes
ali (@alitaylor): people always say “no screens 1 hour before bed” but what do u do for that hour if u have no screens
Stare at wall
Reply to @eshear, 07:37 UTC · 7 likes
Emmett Shear (@eshear): I like each of these bc they each compress a pretty complex counterargument into a single image that avoids getting lost in the details.
Are there more?
Maybe these from https://www.cold-takes.com/this-cant-go-on/
Reply to @LinchZhang, 07:40 UTC · 5 likes
Linch (@LinchZhang): @mealreplacer Such a double standard. Nobody gives me praise for learning English to talk to white girls. 😡😡😡
Good job 👍
Reply to @IterIntellectus, 08:01 UTC · 4 likes
vittorio (@IterIntellectus): ok, but what if we also started building downwards?
so much free real estate
It’s a good question!
Reply to @young_opsimath, 08:03 UTC · 1 like
young_opsimath ⏸️ (@young_opsimath): Although wrong about moral realism, @absurdlymax is super wholesome!
(quoting @SpacedOutMatt: Presenting the @absurdlymax starter pack:)
🤝
Reply to @SelonNerias, 08:44 UTC · 3 likes
Selon Nerias (@SelonNerias): @AaronBergman18 @RafaRuizdeLira Bear
Bear
Reply to @bswud, 09:22 UTC · 2 likes
Ben Southwood (@bswud): Here's something I didn't know: in the UK's national crime victimisation survey we cap reported crime at five per 'series' and 96 per victim per year. If you remove this cap, then there is *much* more of certain crimes, especially domestic violence.
Lol what
Tweet, 10:02 UTC · 4 likes
The normative/descriptive binary seems wrong and unnatural. Descriptive claims can be moral or amoral
Should be normative vs amoral descriptive aka empirical* vs moral descriptive aka value judgement
Thread, continued, 10:02 UTC · 2 likes
*empirical is the closest word I can think of but isn’t quite right. Making a claim about the result of a math expression would also fall in this category
Reply to @RafaRuizdeLira, 10:03 UTC · 2 likes
Rafael Ruiz ⏸️🔸 (@RafaRuizdeLira): @AaronBergman18 @SelonNerias Bear
Bear
Reply to @pachabelcanon, 10:20 UTC · 1 like
francis (@pachabelcanon): broke: choose degree based on interest
woke: choose degree based on possible earnings
bespoke: choose degree based on what prisoners are interested in learning from you(quoting @M_Gouldhawke: Bonanno: Every time I ended up in prison the other prisoners would hear I had a degree in philosophy and ask me to do some lessons. But even though I also had an economics degree they never asked me to do any economics lessons. We should reflect on this oddity.)
Diet-coke: choose degree(s) based on one @80000Hours article
Reply to @RafaRuizdeLira, 10:22 UTC · 2 likes
Rafael Ruiz ⏸️🔸 (@RafaRuizdeLira): @AaronBergman18 I think I get what you're saying but an example would help
You shouldn’t punch him
vs
It would be bad to punch him
vs
If you punch him you’ll get kicked out of Wendy’s
Reply to @arabelladevine, 10:53 UTC · 3 likes
arabella ※ (@arabelladevine): general intelligence is a needlessly demeaning meaningless grouping that includes some human capacities and not others.
i get why people think it makes sense, i get that it is Linked to Outcomes, but if you examine it closer it’s a philosophical mistake
Disagree with the philosophical mistake thing but it is way over-moralized and like shouldn’t be demeaning in the way it sometimes currently is
Reply to @qwweryo, 10:58 UTC · 4 likes
Matt Brooks (@qwweryo): Someone explain to me why EA (or EA-adjacent) funders aren't jumping at the opportunity to add a few million to Scott's ACX grants?
I see it as great potential to seed ground in fertile lands
https://www.astralcodexten.com/p/apply-for-an-acx-grant-2024
I mean insofar as I personally am an ~EA Funder~ it just seems like not the literal best use of money
Reply to @Scantron__, 11:08 UTC · 3 likes
Ryan Scanlon (@Scantron__): It is crazy this video goes viral probably every two weeks, nothing else like it
Never seen it before
Reply, 11:10 UTC · 1 like
I don’t think this is normative. You’d have to add in a claim about epistemic correctness being something one ought to seek
Reply to @RafaRuizdeLira, 11:26 UTC · 1 like
Rafael Ruiz ⏸️🔸 (@RafaRuizdeLira): But I don't think I agree with this. These people probably don't even nearly realize just how painful it would be to undergo such an experience.
Ya ppl be not appreciating suffering fr
Reply to @InternetH0F, 11:31 UTC
internet hall of fame (@InternetH0F): this is awesome
Based
Reply to @4confusedemoji, 13:13 UTC · 2 likes
olivia (@4confusedemoji): @AaronBergman18 uhh everything but the hummingbird
Officially a postrat
Reply to his own earlier tweet, 13:14 UTC · 2 likes
Aaron Bergman, December 9, 2023: New version = which of these do you basically understand/recognize the associations of I’m: [1, 2, 3, 7] [C] [! # ^ &] [a, b, e] For a total postrat score of 12
Wait also Hereticon, idk how I missed that
13
Reply to @ElytraMithra, 13:32 UTC · 2 likes
(The tweet being replied to by @ElytraMithra is no longer available.)
Lmao
Quote tweet, 13:40 UTC · 10 likes
Yeah this is a (modest) update for me away from “antisemitism is basically not a real concern for Jews in major American cities”
Quoting Jonathan Mannhart 🔎🔸 (@JMannhart): I also do not like this.
It's just always really hard to estimate from “current vibes on social media“ precisely how bad antisemitism is. But this, as some sort of (likely) correlated marker, does have me worried.
Reply to @hktsre, 15:56 UTC · 33 likes
hek! ⚙️ (@hktsre): A reminder you can breathe *Back* instead of *Up* into your nose
Woah new inhale just dropped
Quote tweet, 16:01 UTC · 34 likes
Incredible decade of progress!
Quoting Javi Lopez ⛩️ (@javilopen): Midjourney evolution!
One year ago Today:
Reply to @8chabard, 16:20 UTC · 2 likes
Lysander, 8 CHA Bard (@8chabard): hrrmmmm what other chemical? and is it in tea?
i feel like they put so many other things in energy drinks (taurine, b12, w/e) that it'd be weird for them NOT to put the whole shebang in
Coffee has a ton of different compounds that plausibly synergize
But fwiw I actively prefer caffeine to the same dose but in coffee
Tweet, 16:28 UTC · 48 likes
Brain waves are PATTERNS OF NEURONS FIRING?!?
I thought they were like their own ethereal, weirder thing. This is way less cool
Reply, 16:37 UTC · 1 like
“Should”/“ought”/“must” claims seem to me like their own sui generis thing that can’t easily be put in other terms. Like “you should do X” and “x would be good to do” don’t seem semantically equivalent to me
But maybe I’m the only one who sees it that way, given some replies
Reply to @sixers2772, 16:37 UTC · 3 likes
Sixers (@sixers2772): Honestly that kinda sounds more cool to me because it makes more sense
I want weird mystical brain ether shit
Reply to @threestationsq, 16:52 UTC
threestationsquare (@threestationsq): I'd expect reducing infant mortality & disease-caused morbidity to have pretty huge effects on hedonic suffering. What sort of interventions are you imagining might have larger ones?
Maybe, but my point was that these aren’t the dimensions on which they’re being explicitly evaluated
Reply to @sixers2772, 16:56 UTC · 3 likes
Sixers (@sixers2772): He believes in moral realism?
No, which is the problem
Reply to @alt_truistic, 17:14 UTC · 2 likes
(The tweet being replied to by @alt_truistic is no longer available.)
Lo
Reply to @ilex_ulmus, 18:12 UTC · 3 likes
Holly ⏸️ Elmore (@ilex_ulmus): @AaronBergman18 Nah it’s way better!
I want waves of mysterious brainmeal 😡
Reply to @Manderljung, 20:09 UTC · 2 likes
Markus Anderljung (@Manderljung): My new fave test of LLMs: The stopping game.
https://chat.openai.com/share/d624441d-68fb-4458-b2ba-c588b33b3a56
Slight variation. Not expecting it to succeed
Reply to @peterwildeford, 20:18 UTC · 2 likes
Peter Wildeford🇺🇸🚀 (@peterwildeford): @austinc3301 Why would charity not compound with time? Surely GiveDirectly gives cash which very poor people can thus reinvest at fairly high rates of return.
AMF-style benefits likely provide even more community return per $.
Idk if I’m using these terms technically correctly but multiplier/flow through effects ≠ compounding of the relevant type, which would involve feedback between the recipient community and GD
Quote tweet, 20:23 UTC · 15 likes
I mean duh, and in a similar vein I think I could have invented some version of gradient-descent based machine learning (not like full-on modern neural nets but something substantially more advanced than multiple regression)
Quoting The Hill (@thehill): Nearly half of men think they can safely land a plane in an emergency, survey finds https://trib.al/8t4HTx2
Reply, 20:26 UTC
I mean this definitely isn’t like a knockdown objection that means GD is misguided or bad, but yeah it matters bc all else equal it would be good for GD to grow!
Reply to @focusfronting, 20:29 UTC · 149 likes
(The tweet being replied to by @focusfronting is no longer available.)
Parnate, ketamine, amphetamines, and blood tests for every biomarker known to man
Reply to @focusfronting, 20:31 UTC · 40 likes
(The tweet being replied to by @focusfronting is no longer available.)
Oh wait this was more of a prescriptive list of things to try. I mean I have done all these things lol but I don’t think the first two helped (the last two did)
Reply to @waitmanb, 20:46 UTC · 27 likes
Dr. Waitman W. Beorn (waitmanwbeorn.com on 🟦) (@waitmanb): Ok but...ketamine?!
Not sure how a horse tranquilizer gives you the get up and go.
https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/16894061
Reply to @AlexGodofsky, 20:52 UTC · 6 likes
Alex Godofsky (@AlexGodofsky): communists when they aren't busy complaining that bedtime is capitalist:
Sunday, December 10, 2023
Tweet, 02:42 UTC · 9 likes
Great, new potentially transformative, dual use x-risk-y technology just dropped https://80000hours.org/podcast/episodes/nita-farahany-neurotechnology/
Reply to @FrostedSapling, 02:43 UTC · 2 likes
Ivan 🔸 (@FrostedSapling): @austinc3301 I really don’t like the trend of people pathologizing ever little thing online now
Ivan, welcome to the intellectual dark web
Reply to @JesseTayRiver, 02:49 UTC · 2 likes
Jesse Smith (@JesseTayRiver): Yelling "I'm not perfect" at anyone who asks why I haven't done things I've agreed to do
Fwiw, from the perp’s perspective this looks/feels like making normal commitments during a period of normal/good functioning and then hitting a period of worse health/functioning where these suddenly become and feel 100x harder
Thread, continued, 02:51 UTC · 2 likes
Ideally you’d account for this ofc, but that would mean often undershooting and just like living well below your potential
Reply to @FrostedSapling, 02:52 UTC · 2 likes
Ivan 🔸 (@FrostedSapling): @AaronBergman18 @austinc3301 Oh I’ve been aware of this for a long time, and it bugs me so much. Hearing health topics in general talked about online usually gets me annoyed
Sounds like u have annoyed-pharmacist syndrome. It’s fatal
Tweet, 03:36 UTC · 8 likes
How do I have one checking account with an APR of 0% and one at 5? (transitioning to the latter ofc). Seems like the kind of thing there should be a market price for
Both FDIC insured
Reply to @nosilverv, 03:36 UTC · 1 like
Guy (@nosilverv): Not a moment too late
image attached
(quoting @nickcammarata: shrimp suffering is a real problem and the four people in this world who care about it are heroes to me (the reason it’s a problem is there’s a lot of shrimp and the way to optimize their reproduction speed is basically to torture them, so it’s worse than normal factory farming))
The shrimp definitely care
Reply, 03:43 UTC · 4 likes
Depression and adhd, not bp
The wholesome explanation is that they can help jump start a positive behavioral feedback loop (ie amph -> get out of bed -> less depressed)
But also they pretty directly improve hedonic tone and decrease subjective difficulty/burden of…everything
Reply to @esotericneolib, 03:55 UTC · 2 likes
(The tweet being replied to by @esotericneolib is no longer available.)
🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸
Reply to @goblinodds, 03:56 UTC · 23 likes
𝖜𝖔𝖒𝖇𝖑𝖊 𝖜𝖎𝖙𝖍𝖔𝖚𝖙 𝖆 𝖈𝖆𝖚𝖘𝖊 (@goblinodds): tl;dr "socks" is the most common answer that isn't specific to nerds, craftsmen, or Manly men, and which is permitted in carry-on baggage
A 10,000 pack of socks (all exactly the same) would go so hard
Tweet, 04:13 UTC · 3 likes
Hello twitter. Has anyone figured out whether thyroid reference ranges are good or not?
One high TSH reading but follow up labs in range, plz send takes
Reply to @littIeramblings, 22:02 UTC · 2 likes
sarah (@littIeramblings): god I know I shouldn’t start a podcast but I really really want to someone talk me out of it
Do it 😈😈😈
Thread, continued, 22:03 UTC · 4 likes
More seriously, "do it" in the sense of like try it out and see how it goes and if you like it. You don't need to commit to publishing episodes weekly until the end of the world
Reply to @RafaRuizdeLira, 22:04 UTC · 2 likes
Rafael Ruiz ⏸️🔸 (@RafaRuizdeLira): We'll go through the next EA Global checking hands. There's no escape.
We've narrowed it down to the 98% of attendees whose hands basically look like this (white ppl)
Reply to @MichaelAlleged, 22:17 UTC · 1 like
Michael (Allegedly) (@MichaelAlleged): not a bad view to wake up to on your 24th birthday
Happy birthday!
Reply to @natural_hazard, 22:29 UTC · 15 likes
Hazard - in SF (@natural_hazard): holy SHIT
i just read "there is not antiemetics division"
shits FREAKY
Wait is this a post about nausea or not
Quote tweet, 22:31 UTC · 4 likes
Kinda insane but I like it
Quoting anabology (@anabology): “ADHD” affords you the unique ability to be obsessed with your top interests regardless of your energy level.
The higher your energy level, the more obsessions you can entertain.
ADHD isn’t a problem. Your thyroid is.
The goal is to be obsessed with your whole life.
Reply to @natural_hazard, 22:46 UTC · 13 likes
Hazard - in SF (@natural_hazard): huh? No, nausea is t mentioned anywhere
Reply to @fermatslibrary, 23:06 UTC · 2 likes
Fermat's Library (@fermatslibrary): There is no simple, exact formula for the perimeter of an ellipse. The formula presented below uses an elliptic integral, which cannot be expressed in terms of elementary functions.
STOP DOING MATH
Reply to his own earlier tweet, 23:20 UTC · 4 likes
Aaron Bergman, December 9, 2023: Bear
Bear
Quote tweet, 23:34 UTC · 10 likes
Correct position 😤
Quoting Someone:
Reply to @frances__lorenz, 23:36 UTC · 4 likes
(The tweet being replied to by @frances__lorenz is no longer available.)
Nooooo everything has to be distinctly connected to exactly one other thing nooo
Monday, December 11, 2023
Tweet, 04:40 UTC · 25 likes
Normal case where u like capitalize the start of sentences and proper nouns is the best and easiest to read
Quote tweet, 04:41 UTC · 2 likes
Return
Quoting mattparlmer 🪐 🌷 (@mattparlmer): America should return to its traditional policy of open borders
Reply, 04:47 UTC · 1 like
0/3 lol
Reply, 05:13 UTC · 2 likes
(The tweet being replied to is no longer available.)
Haha open borders go brr
Reply to @notkavi, 05:58 UTC · 1 like
urbanstats dot org 🌉🚱 (@notkavi): Learning today that Twitter users assume everyone measures their caffeine intake in milligrams, best thing I have to clarify to literally everyone I talk to in real life when I'm discussing caffeine
Lmao many such cases
Reply to @dieworkwear, 06:18 UTC · 1 like
derek guy (@dieworkwear): Let's talk about this because you may get invited to a party this holiday season that calls for "cocktail attire." What is cocktail attire? And how can you do it well? 🧵
U dress as a cocktail duh
Reply to @cremieuxrecueil, 06:22 UTC
Crémieux (@cremieuxrecueil): Losing my sense of smell has not been a fun experience. So much of what's pleasant in everyday life is down to smell, and you don't appreciate that well enough until it's gone.
I really hope I'm able to smell again soon.
:( gl
Reply to @JonHaidt, 06:33 UTC · 2 likes
Jonathan Haidt (@JonHaidt): Here's a great summary of the case for making all K-12 schools phone-free. Like me, the author could not find any serious arguments, laid out in writing, for the other side.
Phones in hands and pockets interfere with just about every goal of education
https://fordhaminstitute.org/national/commentary/should-schools-ban-cellphones
I mean the argument for the other side is just the first order reason people like to use their phones: it’s more entertaining and pleasant than the alternative, in the moment
It’s so obvious it almost reads as satire but I think it’s easy to forget
Reply to @nickcammarata, 07:36 UTC · 3 likes
Nick (@nickcammarata): thing i'm often confused by: like 80% of my long term meditator friends report becoming sensitive to tons of foods
does meditation cause weird food issues or is our food just kind of poisonous to everyone and meditation makes them sensitive enough to feel it
Huh, this is super interesting. Sounds like induced “visceral hypersensitivity” which is the term you’ll probably want to look for if you do more research
Reply to @theojaffee, 07:41 UTC · 6 likes
Theo Jaffee (@theojaffee): Can an effective altruist explain to me why I should care about the well being of a child halfway across the globe that I’ve never met as much as I should care about the well being of my family and friends
In terms of emotional intensity? No none of us (afaik) think that
Reply to @danielbrottman, 07:49 UTC · 1 like
daniel brottman 🪷 (@danielbrottman): gm you ever think about how big the sun is? 🌞
Shits big fr
Reply to @br___ian, 18:47 UTC · 3 likes
bri (@br___ian): How are you eating the National Institute of Standards and Technology peanut butter?
Wait why is it for sale? It should go to the Smithsonian 😡
Tuesday, December 12, 2023
Reply to @ryancbriggs, 00:06 UTC · 3 likes
Ryan Briggs (@ryancbriggs): My kid (7) wants me to teach him some basic data analysis in R. Anyone have ideas for good csv files that might hold his interest? Or can anyone point me to Minecraft-related csv files (recipes?)?
Haha YES
Reply, 00:45 UTC · 5 likes
Unfollowing him for this. Wrong pipe
Reply to @inerati, 00:47 UTC · 1 like
(The tweet being replied to by @inerati is no longer available.)
Indigenous IBMs still go by Watsono or watsona
Reply to @ilex_ulmus, 00:54 UTC · 5 likes
Holly ⏸️ Elmore (@ilex_ulmus): I try to savor my spice collection through the eyes of a medieval European peasant. I feel every time I open the drawer ☺️
At thanksgiving with my extended family there were like 4 different pies + ice cream on the table and said like “this would have been unimaginable wealth for humans throughout almost all history”
They smiled and nodded but hey one step at a time
Reply to @absurdlymax, 00:55 UTC · 2 likes
Max Alexander (@absurdlymax): @trevposts They're just jealous of your drip
Haters gonna stay less than
Reply, 05:36 UTC · 1 like
I mean yeah they probably can
Reply to @volodarik, 05:40 UTC · 3 likes
Aleksandr Volodarsky (@volodarik): This must be one wild group chat
Can u guys add me?
Thx,
Aaron
Reply to @creatine_cycle, 05:59 UTC · 1 like
atlas (@creatine_cycle): Logged onto linkedin the other day just to reply "based" to a friend's work accomplishment only to be accused of making right-wing dog whistles in the comments section
Oy vey
Reply, 06:15 UTC · 1 like
Huh?
Quote tweet, 07:57 UTC · 4 likes
New Tulsa just dropped but we all have to share one apartment
Quoting Rohin Dhar (@rohindhar): You can currently rent it for $8950 a month
https://www.apartments.com/1520-taylor-st-san-francisco-ca-unit-602/2ds49y8/
Reply, 08:03 UTC · 1 like
They’re right, abstract algebra doesn’t matter
Reply, 08:08 UTC
Lol, that team cringe lost a soldier
Reply to @robertwiblin, 15:39 UTC · 3 likes
(The tweet being replied to by @robertwiblin is no longer available.)
“Broadly…describe your mood and/or how you have felt in the past week” (instead of “how do u feel at this moment?”) 🚩🚩🚩🚩🚩
Reply to @catehall, 15:53 UTC · 26 likes
Cate Hall 🔸 (@catehall): I'd like to better understand people's positions on doxing. An example from @TheZvi that's representative of what I've seen: "Do not dox people even if that person is advocating for policies you believe are likely to kill you, kill everyone you love and wipe out all Earth-originating value in the universe in the name of their thermodynamic God."
I don't understand this position. I'd rather live in a world where people can say things anonymously, for the most part. I'd also like to live in a world where people can't advocate on a vast scale for replacement of humans by machines while avoiding any accountability. Why does this issue inspire absolutism in reasonable people, rather than a circumstance-specific analysis, like defamation under the law?
FWIW I have been doxed in a situation that caused quite a lot of harm, sustained over several years, so I don't think I'm confused about the consequences.
I basically agree with Zvi. There are a whole host of arguments for liberalism that confront the “what about really bad positions” question.
To me the main point is that there is no view from nowhere - the e/accs could say the same thing about EA and doxxing an anon ea account…
Reply to @goingawoll, 16:01 UTC · 2 likes
Amos Wollen 🦐🪰✴️ (@goingawoll): This is a Greek goddess who apparently had the same name as my late chicken, Hestia.
It does feel derivative.
Blessed tweet
Reply to @PeterSinger, 16:27 UTC · 5 likes
Peter Singer (@PeterSinger): On Wednesday, I gave my last lecture at @Princeton University. I've had a wonderfully stimulating and rewarding time here, but now I'm looking forward to something new.
I want to thank my students and colleagues for their engagement and support over the years. We've tackled difficult and important topics in ethics and philosophy, and I value all the insights you have provided. You have challenged and inspired me. I'm grateful for all the arguments, discussions, and learning opportunities. Thanks to everyone at Princeton for being part of my story.
Looking ahead, I'm excited to continue my work in ethics and advocacy through my writing and public speaking. I've just accepted an invitation to spend at least four weeks next year as a visiting professor at the National University of Singapore and look forward to being there in April.
🐐
Quote tweet, 16:30 UTC · 2 likes
Seems bad
Quoting Elad Simchayoff (@Elad_Si): “an unusual volume of complaints from the public” the campaign was terminated with immediate effect (full message pictured).
It turns out that the company received thousands of complaints, Including personal threats to its staff. Moreover, business owners who’s shops are >
Reply to @daniellellecco, 16:35 UTC · 1 like
(The tweet being replied to by @daniellellecco is no longer available.)
We could…graph them
Reply to @RafaRuizdeLira, 19:38 UTC · 4 likes
Rafael Ruiz ⏸️🔸 (@RafaRuizdeLira): Bears
(quoting @BearPosting: )
BEAveR
Reply to @RafaRuizdeLira, 19:52 UTC · 3 likes
Rafael Ruiz ⏸️🔸 (@RafaRuizdeLira): @AaronBergman18 @SelonNerias Idk but I'd call him Pepito
https://x.com/jun3buggy/status/1734309506031718904?t=u16KisWI6qj3IScdwILzMA&s=19
🚨🚨🚨DOG FRAUD🚨🚨🚨
Reply to @TetraspaceWest, 22:13 UTC · 2 likes
(The tweet being replied to by @TetraspaceWest is no longer available.)
Lmao
Reply, 22:47 UTC · 1 like
0 state solution
Reply to @arabelladevine, 23:11 UTC · 2 likes
arabella ※ (@arabelladevine): if you take away the cold sensation from the flavour of mint, is there actually any true flavour (scent or taste) behind it? just a mild leafy flavour?
Relevant
Quote tweet, 23:45 UTC · 17 likes
Relatedly: the one defensible true Bayesian prior? The one you actually think. Yes, you have an implicit best guess probability
However it got into your brain, that’s where you’re starting from
Quoting Eliezer Yudkowsky ⏹️ (@ESYudkowsky): There is exactly one defensible reason to believe any thing: "That thing is probably actually true."
Wednesday, December 13, 2023
Quote tweet, 01:06 UTC · 5 likes
If you’re following me and you’re not Will MacAskill, it is almost certainly worth your time to vote (5 mins, affecting $35k or more in a way I don’t fully understand but seems legit because CEA is good at shit like this)
Quoting EA Forum Posts (@EAForumPosts): There are only 3 days left to vote in our Donation Election. If you have a Forum account and would like to influence (currently) $35k of donations now is your moment. And if you have a Bank account and would like to donate now is also your moment, you can get a cute drawing 👀
Thread, continued, 01:06 UTC · 2 likes
As it turns out (new info to me as of 2 mins ago) pre-voting (putting a little heart next to some of the charities) is NOT ACTUAL VOTING
So click on this link and follow the instructions (unless ofc u have something better to do with your time) https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/voting-portal
Reply to @focusfronting, 01:18 UTC · 2 likes
(The tweet being replied to by @focusfronting is no longer available.)
https://www.reddit.com/r/suicidebywords/
Reply to @prisonrodeo, 03:35 UTC · 4 likes
C. Zorn (@prisonrodeo): A student of mine needs to convert about 100K addresses in a CSV to lat-lon. Any ideas for how to do that automagically, and for free?
Must be a way to exploit the fact that google maps automatically adds lat+lon upon searching for a location by address. You'll see it in the address bar in the vid
(video, plays on X)
Thread, continued, 03:38 UTC · 1 like
100k is a lot though. Looking at dozens of hours if it takes seconds to load. I have done things like this before though lol (like web scraping that requires pages to fully load, running in chunks of 8ish hours every night)
Reply to @ESYudkowsky, 04:17 UTC · 6 likes
Eliezer Yudkowsky ⏹️ (@ESYudkowsky):
This is the most normal one IMO
Reply to @eigenrobot, 06:12 UTC · 10 likes
eigenrobot (@eigenrobot): do you endorse the notion of falsifiability
Don’t make me tap the sign
Reply to @panchromaticity, 06:19 UTC · 3 likes
Xenia 🔍💎 (@panchromaticity): okay but surely the elephant shrew should be the largest kind of shrew
(quoting @yrs______: )
It’s a “tiny elephant” shrew, so i guess it should be about avg?
Reply to @Austen, 06:23 UTC
(The tweet being replied to by @Austen is no longer available.)
Do you generally watch cable news like this?
Reply to @inerati, 06:34 UTC · 2 likes
(The tweet being replied to by @inerati is no longer available.)
Lfg
Reply to @luke_metro, 06:36 UTC · 2 likes
Luke Metro (@luke_metro): Sad but true
What’s this little guy
Reply to @AStrasser116, 07:39 UTC · 3 likes
Alex Strasser (@AStrasser116): Cliches that need to die:
1. "X has a history" (and therefore there is no fact of the matter)
2. "People disagree about X" (and therefore X is unjustified)
3. "Not all X" (in response to a general rule of thumb or about statistical averages)
What else am I missing?
This is sorta a pet peeve and not necessarily wrong/unproductive, but “I could say X” or “you might think X” as opposed to just saying what you think is true
IME it leads to generating like faux-steelman arguments that no actual human endorses
Tweet, 08:07 UTC · 23 likes
I feel like we could use another Snowmaggedon like in 2010
We fucking RAGED when we heard school was cancelled for the entire week
Reply to @Mjreard, 09:03 UTC · 5 likes
Matt Reardon (@Mjreard): @AaronBergman18 Aaron you're not in school anymore.
Might be able to slide into a masters program just in time
Reply to @waitbutwhy, 11:59 UTC · 2 likes
Tim Urban (@waitbutwhy): Cozier. It’s moved things inside.
Men only want one thing
Reply to @NathanpmYoung, 12:15 UTC · 3 likes
Nathan 🔎 (@NathanpmYoung): "I'm telling you this for prayer"
Christians ask people to pray for things. But sometimes they ask on behalf of others. Mum tells me this used to be a massive gossip mill.
"I'm telling you this for prayer, but Susan's daughter just had a baby out of wedlock"
Ooh nice a new goss elicitation mechanism
Reply to @mealreplacer, 14:59 UTC · 2 likes
(The tweet being replied to by @mealreplacer is no longer available.)
Ya fr we got lucky it’s like the third most interesting thing in the world (the first two are the sleeping beauty problem and obesity)
Reply to @YosarianTwo, 18:18 UTC · 2 likes
Yosarian2 (@YosarianTwo): I don't even know what a "non-falsifiable belief" would mean
Seems like a contradiction in terms
I have non falsifiable beliefs:
- some form of moral realism is true
- qualia exist
- falsifiability is overrated
Quote tweet, 18:28 UTC · 17 likes
In the time honored tradition of EAs disagreeing with stuff, I’m gonna go ahead and say that you should NOT donate to the election fund because like just donate to where you think the money should go 😊
Quoting Frances Lorenz (@frances__lorenz): IF YOU DONATE I CAN DRAW YOU A BAD PICTURE LIKE THIS ONE, SHE'S EXTREMELY PRODUCTIVE AND AGENTIC
Thread, continued, 18:28 UTC · 4 likes
Like it seems strictly worse this way unless you’re REALLY optimistic that people with different values and/or different empirical beliefs are operating on the same acausal trade wavelength, somehow
Thread, continued, 18:28 UTC · 2 likes
You SHOULD vote though, duh
Reply to @stephenclare_, 19:04 UTC · 21 likes
(The tweet being replied to by @stephenclare is no longer available.)_
I’m anti this take. You should be able to defend yourself without the defense per se being considered evidence of guilt
Reply to @UriBram, 19:15 UTC · 3 likes
Uri Bram 🔍 (@UriBram): is there a term for the opposite of imposter syndrome, where you believe you're really great and your current position doesn't reflect your true merits?
Delusions of grandeur
Reply to @frances__lorenz, 19:56 UTC · 2 likes
(The tweet being replied to by @frances__lorenz is no longer available.)
Wait no this feels like a 10^52 straws on the camels back type thing. Ur hereby banned from adding this to ur brain to do list
Reply to his own earlier tweet, 19:59 UTC · 12 likes
Aaron Bergman, December 13, 2023: I’m anti this take. You should be able to defend yourself without the defense per se being considered evidence of guilt
Reply to @NoahTopper, 21:52 UTC · 1 like
Quinoah 🔍⏸️ (@NoahTopper): @AaronBergman18 Me or the weather
Weather
Reply to @sixers2772, 23:07 UTC · 1 like
Sixers (@sixers2772): I find vitamin E warming/energizing. My midday temp is usually ~98.2, but measured 99 with vitamin E. This is consistent with how I feel as well
Huh, I did not know this was a (even hypothesized) thing
Reply to @VivaldiVril, 23:11 UTC · 2 likes
BaroqueMan (@VivaldiVril): post a picture of what you want for Christmas, no matter how unrealistic or unlikely it is to happen. no comments, just a pic
I agree this looks like a nice shirt
Reply to @mattparlmer, 23:17 UTC · 21 likes
mattparlmer 🪐 🌷 (@mattparlmer): We cannot allow a nuclear cargo carrier gap
(quoting @PDChina: A Chinese shipyard on Tuesday revealed the design of the world's first and largest nuclear-powered 24,000 TEU container ship, Global Times reported.)
Lol at the motto on the side being 110% optimized for western media coverage
Reply to @littIeramblings, 23:28 UTC · 20 likes
sarah (@littIeramblings): I’m enjoying the fact that my post has spawned this whole convo and the further I scroll the less I have any idea what either of you are talking about
I’m glad my silly meming is leading to healthy debate, wld love to participate but I don’t understand probabilities 😂
Same energy
Reply to @Empty_America, 23:45 UTC · 2 likes
VB Knives (@Empty_America): Most of the Zoomers I know in real life are doing well, many see to be considerably ahead of where Gen X was at the same age.
Online also, some of the younger seeming accounts are high energy.
I suspect the worst blackpillers are older than you would think, might be 30+.
*airplane meme*
Thursday, December 14, 2023
Reply to @benleo_econ, 03:25 UTC · 2 likes
Ben Grodeck🔸 (@benleo_econ): @QualyThe How do we know that Qualy isn't Bill Gates?!
One is a light bulb, and the other is a human being 😊
Tweet, 04:25 UTC · 5 likes
Quote tweet, 04:59 UTC · 76 likes
This meme goes so hard and I unironically support the guy in pink
Kantian ethics is dumb af and afaict nobody actually endorses it
Quoting philosophy memes 🔗 (@philosophymeme0):
Thread, continued, 05:01 UTC · 4 likes
Citing my sources 😤
Tweet, 05:25 UTC · 6 likes
Anyone figured out the best age to be epistemically? Like I’m guessing you’re still on the upward slope in terms of getting things right at 25, and down at 65
Probably like 40ish?
Tweet, 05:27 UTC · 115 likes
There is simply no way to detect algorithmically if this is a bot
Reply, 05:30 UTC · 2 likes
Peter🧅📈 (@PeterJAngel): @AaronBergman18 I want to know what happened to the text
It’s beach time 👍
Reply, 17:44 UTC · 1 like
(The tweet being replied to is no longer available.)
😢
Reply, 17:45 UTC · 8 likes
J (@julestrainman): Good mornin, there is currently a cow wreaking havoc on the NEC in Newark
The cow
He destroyed his cage
Yes
YES
The cow is out
Reply, 17:45 UTC · 3 likes
J (@julestrainman):
(quoting @AmtrakNECAlerts: As of 10:40 am ET, All services operating in the Newark (NWK) area may experience lengthy delays due to debris blocking the tracks. Updates to follow as more information becomes available.)
He’s not debris 😡😡😡
Reply, 17:48 UTC · 2 likes
Lilly (@lillybilly299): The thing about boys is sometimes they'll say stuff while their monkey brain is activated and then have zero memory or attachment to anything they said
Not sure if I’m built different, have no self awareness, or just don’t get it lol
Reply, 17:52 UTC · 2 likes
Agus 🔸 (@austinc3301): STOP ITTTTT
I WANT TO GET OFF THIS TRAIN RIDE
(quoting @GoogleDeepMind: Introducing FunSearch in @Nature: a method using large language models to search for new solutions in mathematics & computer science. 🔍 It pairs the creativity of an LLM with an automated evaluator to guard against hallucinations and incorrect ideas. 🧵 https://dpmd.ai/x-funsearch)
If I’m gonna get paperclipped I at least want the perp to not have “fun” in its name
Reply, 17:53 UTC · 2 likes
Rafael Ruiz ⏸️🔸 (@RafaRuizdeLira): Fat Rat
(quoting @Nerdy_Addict: There is a loose bull on the tracks at Newarks Penn Station as authorities try to catch it. All tracks delayed)
Perro grande
Reply, 18:15 UTC · 2 likes
Rafael Ruiz ⏸️🔸 (@RafaRuizdeLira): @AaronBergman18 Oso
Oso pequeño
Reply, 18:20 UTC · 2 likes
Agus 🔸 (@austinc3301): I'm confused, do Americans just snack on the string cheese itself? alone??
(quoting @Aella_Girl: nooooo my doctor told me to lay off the string cheese)
Some ppl have friends to eat string cheese with but yeah, the social fabric is really falling apart
Reply, 18:27 UTC · 2 likes
sanje horah 🇵🇸🇺🇦 — PNEUMATICS ONLY (@sanjehorah): what do normal people think about if not lacan
I do not know who that is
Reply, 18:31 UTC · 2 likes
Agus 🔸 (@austinc3301): @AaronBergman18 @tomascodes this is how you get the internet to explode
maybe this is a good thing tho
All I know is that BROWSE(url) opens the url in my default browser
Probably this is thanks to one of the 50ish packages I always load but idk
Reply, 18:33 UTC · 2 likes
rue🌿 (@Ruesavatar): The cut of this dress is actually stunning omfg.
🗡️
Reply, 18:39 UTC · 3 likes
Michael Nielsen (@michael_nielsen): Judged from the perspective of the year 2000, which science fiction author do you think was *most* right about the next 50 years?
@ESYudkowsky
Reply, 19:42 UTC · 1 like
(The tweet being replied to is no longer available.)
The downstream effects of the ADA
Reply, 19:51 UTC · 5 likes
Agus 🔸 (@austinc3301): I agree with you, and I think another problem is just that this doesn't seem to be a true rejection anyway:
(quoting @austinc3301: @ElmoTheHomie @gcolbourn @beffjezos @littIeramblings In my view, this whole line of argumentation is simply not your true rejection (https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/TGux5Fhcd7GmTfNGC/is-that-your-true-rejection). You're giving us arguments that you think are strong and going to…)
Idk what the context is I just wanna propose that all discussions of any kind take place in this very thread, as a reply to Sarah’s tweet
Reply to @panchromaticity, 19:52 UTC · 1 like
Xenia 🔍💎 (@panchromaticity): traps ____ gay and that's ____
Trapezius muscles? As in mouse trap?
Reply to @littIeramblings, 20:08 UTC · 2 likes
sarah (@littIeramblings): omg no pls do u know how many notifications I’m getting
What do u think about the cow
Reply to @mealreplacer, 21:20 UTC · 3 likes
(The tweet being replied to by @mealreplacer is no longer available.)
Where do I buy
Tweet, 21:32 UTC · 6 likes
What is a blooming onion??
Quote tweet, 21:33 UTC · 16 likes
This is 80% evidential decision theory but in woo terminology
Quoting Someone:
Reply to @NoahTopper, 21:35 UTC · 4 likes
Quinoah 🔍⏸️ (@NoahTopper): British guy who doesn’t know what onions are:
(quoting @AaronBergman18: What is a blooming onion??)
Hey I’m not British don’t insult me like that
Tweet, 21:36 UTC · 1 like
Ok
Thread, continued, 21:40 UTC · 2 likes
Fascinating
Thread, continued, 21:41 UTC · 2 likes
I think I understand now
(gif, plays on X)
Reply to @TetraspaceWest, 21:46 UTC · 3 likes
(The tweet being replied to by @TetraspaceWest is no longer available.)
Superhuman: ability to directly compare time and money
Friday, December 15, 2023
Reply to @pachabelcanon, 02:03 UTC
francis (@pachabelcanon): @AaronBergman18 "Nobody endorses it" is hell of a lot crazy given how important it is to both the analytic and the continental traditions
Find me someone who says they think kantianism is true
Reply to @pachabelcanon, 02:24 UTC · 1 like
francis (@pachabelcanon): @AaronBergman18 Yeah I consider thinking of philosophy in terms of propositions a category error
wdym about illusionism about consciousness as literally false?
Genuine subjective, private qualia that constitute phenomenal consciousness exist. See @keithfrankish for the opposite argument (which I find plausible fwiw, not like meaningless or mistaken about terms)
Quote tweet, 02:46 UTC · 3 likes
Huh, yeah
I bet this could get fixed with a built in result checking thing, a bit like how code interpreter tries again after encountering errors, given that it can accurately count its own inaccurate generations (each apple pic generated as a request for 6)
Quoting David Schneider-Joseph 🔍 (@TheDavidSJ): On the other hand, "six apples" is a challenge still.
Reply to @izzyz, 03:01 UTC · 2 likes
izzy (@izzyz): let's make an apocalypse bingo card
my first suggestion is a pinto bean shortage
World human population <1B
Reply to @izzyz, 03:07 UTC · 2 likes
izzy (@izzyz): @AaronBergman18
I’m 100% sure I’ve met a guy with an offline Wikipedia. I considered it and have an offline copy of UpToDate (only like 2-3gb I think)
Thread, continued, 03:08 UTC · 2 likes
I also have a >20gb pdf of survival relevant info cc @JesseTayRiver
Reply to @YosarianTwo, 03:12 UTC · 2 likes
Yosarian2 (@YosarianTwo): @Cererean At least dogs have had evolutionary time to adapt to it
Poor sharks have no defense
😢
Reply to @JesseTayRiver, 03:31 UTC · 1 like
Jesse Smith (@JesseTayRiver): @izzyz @AaronBergman18 Definitely useful! I think there are also overlooked opportunities to refine existing guides such that the most applicable skills are extremely well detailed. Bad scenarios aren't the best time to read and experiment. Bushcraft does this well.
Ya but I can’t acquire bushcraft skill by clicking download on smth
(am Eagle Scout and have spent months in total camping tho so call me Mr Bushcraft 😎)
Reply to @Coopachabra, 03:40 UTC · 1 like
(The tweet being replied to by @Coopachabra is no longer available.)
As a Jew I’ve only heard the former lol
Reply to @AlexGodofsky, 03:43 UTC · 2 likes
Alex Godofsky (@AlexGodofsky): The main goal of progressive education policy today is simply: we should not let the smartest kids go to better schools or take more advanced classes.
This isn't even an exaggeration, these are their biggest policy planks.
Not a *complete* causal connection but my two years in a magnet program were the happiest two years of my life
Reply to @EzraJNewman, 04:26 UTC · 2 likes
(The tweet being replied to by @EzraJNewman is no longer available.)
37, for 37^(99^99)
I am superintelligent
Reply, 04:46 UTC · 10 likes
Eating cheese once every 10 years to celebrate being vegan, if that’s what you wanna do, is totally fine
Reply to @austinc3301, 04:50 UTC · 1 like
Agus 🔸 (@austinc3301): @Simon_El_Gato__ I think minorities having dedicated spaces to gather is fundamentally different from imposed racial segregation
Yeah in principle but there’s exactly one non-terrible schilling point of a social norm and it’s “don’t do anything like this”
Reply to @panchromaticity, 05:53 UTC · 3 likes
Xenia 🔍💎 (@panchromaticity): @ElytraMithra @opheliamoding I'm pretty sure it's very difficult to tell apart the sexes of many kinds of turtles
How do u guys have cached takes on this question lmao? Like I have never seen this discussed
Reply to @panchromaticity, 05:56 UTC · 2 likes
Xenia 🔍💎 (@panchromaticity): @AaronBergman18 @ElytraMithra @opheliamoding I saw a video about turtles that mentioned it
Duh
Reply to @trevposts, 06:26 UTC · 1 like
Trevor Levin (@trevposts): Wait what is this second Newark?
I regret to report I am rescinding my tweet and have no idea
Reply to @littIeramblings, 14:06 UTC · 2 likes
sarah (@littIeramblings): yes it is Sarah’s own hangover speaking
lol
Reply to @RichDecibels, 14:08 UTC · 1 like
Richard D. Bartlett (@RichDecibels): psychedelic assisted therapy but with pickles instead of psychedelics. who is working on this?
What
Reply to @notanastronomer, 14:10 UTC · 2 likes
(The tweet being replied to by @notanastronomer is no longer available.)
Haha haha. YES
Reply to @absurdlymax, 14:30 UTC · 1 like
Max Alexander (@absurdlymax): My blog be like:
I like the chutzpah
Reply to @littIeramblings, 14:40 UTC · 3 likes
sarah (@littIeramblings): will pay at least £10 to anyone willing to provide me with fully-formed opinions on every consequential issue than I can then pass off as my own
Ok deal name a topic
Reply to @stevekrouse, 14:52 UTC · 8 likes
Steve Krouse (@stevekrouse): holy shit someone's STARTING THEIR CAR FROM A VAL
I’m sure there’s no way this could go wrong
Reply to @littIeramblings, 15:00 UTC · 2 likes
sarah (@littIeramblings): tbc this was an offer of £10 to generate a take on literally every issue ever so not actually a serious proposition
Darn
I can do £.01 per thing tho
Reply to @lastpositivist, 15:15 UTC · 36 likes
Liam Bright (@lastpositivist): Oh yeah and
That night be starry af
Reply to @cammakingminds, 15:38 UTC · 1 like
Lucid™ (@cammakingminds): Orbital mechanics pornography. Fund this immediately.
Is the idea that Lyra literally bounces off (the atmosphere of?) the pink thing or does a gravity assist thing?
Reply to @DanielDiMartino, 15:48 UTC · 3 likes
Daniel Di Martino (@DanielDiMartino): Less than a week into office, Argentinian President Javier Milei is about to sign a 300-page long "emergency executive order" with a list of business regulations that are repealed.
The first page reads very simply:
REPEAL
Sideburns go hard
Reply to @prerat, 16:30 UTC · 5 likes
prerat (@prerat): what is your favorite dinosaur?
(quoting @RespectfulMemes: )
Chicken
Reply to @ElytraMithra, 16:38 UTC · 12 likes
(The tweet being replied to by @ElytraMithra is no longer available.)
Reply to @ElytraMithra, 16:43 UTC · 5 likes
(The tweet being replied to by @ElytraMithra is no longer available.)
For the curious https://journalofcontroversialideas.org/article/1/1/132/htm
Reply to @krishnanrohit, 16:50 UTC · 4 likes
rohit (@krishnanrohit): This realisation came about when I was trying to explain the manoeuvre to get to Mars to my son, and realised that if you hadn't grokked orbital mechanics there's basically sounds like witchcraft
I haven’t grokked orbital mechanics. Does the slung object take energy from the planet/sun?
At least in the animation it looks like the gravity boost speeds the thing up; where does this energy come from?
Cc @SpacedOutMatt @AndyMasley
Reply to @krishnanrohit, 16:55 UTC · 3 likes
rohit (@krishnanrohit): From the orbital motion, its a momentum transfer
So if it’s a planet, it slows down relative to the sun. If it’s the sun that does the slinging, does it lose mass or heat or slow down relative to something else?
Reply to @SpacedOutMatt, 17:05 UTC · 1 like
Matt 🔸 (@SpacedOutMatt): FWIW I’ve gone through the exercise of writing gravity assist planning code and designing/simulating an earth-Venus-earth-earth-Jupiter-Neptune mission and sometimes I still don’t feel like I grok gravity assists
Based
I’m assuming the code was in R
Reply to @SpacedOutMatt, 17:07 UTC · 2 likes
Matt 🔸 (@SpacedOutMatt): Matlab T_T
Darn
Reply to @SpacedOutMatt, 17:11 UTC · 1 like
Matt 🔸 (@SpacedOutMatt): Yeah the whole “relative to the planet, your velocity vector rotates but doesn’t change in magnitude” is just kinda wild
Sus
Reply to @leah_pierson, 17:13 UTC · 2 likes
Leah Pierson (@leah_pierson): went on a post-PhD/post-retirement backpacking trip with my dad ❤️
Based
Reply, 17:20 UTC · 2 likes
No, starting from a human brain and making changes from there is very different from building a new type of brain from scratch
Reply to @Trail_Cams, 17:41 UTC · 1 like
trailcam (@Trail_Cams):
😢
Reply to @mealreplacer, 21:47 UTC · 16 likes
(The tweet being replied to by @mealreplacer is no longer available.)
Bro they matched! Did she change her mind on her guys named Stephen policy recently lol
Reply to @nickcammarata, 21:49 UTC · 12 likes
Nick (@nickcammarata): pick an animal from the animal kingdom at random and it probably spends half its time lounging and staring at grass or water or sky, but you think ideal health is spending every waking minute of the day being productive
Wait do we know this for a fact for different species?
Quote tweet, 22:18 UTC · 5 likes
People be like “phew, the models can only get 100 million to 10 billion times bigger across one dimension”
Quoting Yo Shavit (@yonashav): Deep Learning is Hitting a Wall
(in 10 ooms)
Reply to @focusfronting, 22:19 UTC · 2 likes
(The tweet being replied to by @focusfronting is no longer available.)
Ghosts
Tweet, 22:43 UTC · 13 likes
I’m starting to get the appeal now that I live within walking distance of one
Go for Rice Krispies, might fuck around and come home with a 65 inch tv and mysterious kitchen contraption
Reply, 22:51 UTC · 1 like
This is very specific
Reply to @BecomingCritter, 23:20 UTC · 3 likes
critter (@BecomingCritter): sometimes I don't even look at the menu I just ask the server for advice
Boomer behavior
Reply to @robertwrighter, 23:25 UTC · 2 likes
Robert Wright (@robertwrighter): Thanks to @MaxAbrahms for coming on my podcast and having a candid and at times contentious but always respectful conversation about a difficult subject. You can watch here or listen via the Nonzero Podcast feed. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cTwoZSRcl9M
Best kind of conversation fr
Saturday, December 16, 2023
Reply to @animalologist, 04:08 UTC · 3 likes
taco belle (@animalologist): Damn, I kinda miss some of these dudes I met yesterday. Men in DC are always so kind to me. They take it for granted that I deserve to be gassed up so they’re not shy about doing it. I got more sincere compliments last night than I have in months, felt better than I have in weeks
(quoting @animalologist: Last night was so wholesome though, I read tarot for a couple of my friends and like 6 dudes I’d just met who definitely did not believe in any woo shit before. In their own words they were lining up to have me drag them)
DC ARC REPRESENT
THERE ARE AT LEAST LIKE 10 OF US
Tweet, 04:11 UTC · 8 likes
It seems insane to me make long and expensive travel plans to see the solar eclipse. Like it’s cool but not that cool
Reply, 04:32 UTC · 1 like
Bad take from an otherwise smart account
Sure maybe there is a grain of evidence here. But there are huge, substantial differences that make drawing such a straight line quite plainly nonsensical
Reply to @PeterJAngel, 04:48 UTC · 2 likes
Peter🧅📈 (@PeterJAngel): @TetraspaceWest proactive state suppression of men between the ages of like 15 and 35
I don’t like this idea
Reply to @TetraspaceWest, 04:50 UTC · 3 likes
(The tweet being replied to by @TetraspaceWest is no longer available.)
Follow the tobacco playbook (until/except for the vaping suppression part). Tax, don’t ban, enforce age laws, public health campaign.
Meanwhile legalize+regulate in a alcohol-ish manner psychedelics, amphetamines, and mdma
Reply to @PradyuPrasad, 05:28 UTC · 2 likes
Pradyumna 🇸🇬 (@PradyuPrasad): people don't realise that bangers make followers but nerdposts make friends
(gif, plays on X)
Tweet, 05:38 UTC · 11 likes
Kinda surprised Facebook’s dating feature isn’t more of a thing
Seeing you have 3 random mutual friends with someone can be substantial, helpful social context of the type that I think used to more commonly foster relationships
Reply to @inesferhumi, 05:39 UTC · 1 like
Inés (@inesferhumi): @an_observer__ Yeah a microblog at minimum
U mean a twitter ?
Reply to @PradyuPrasad, 05:41 UTC · 9 likes
Pradyumna 🇸🇬 (@PradyuPrasad):
lol for introverts though I think having latent “friendships” like this is actually substantially good - like the knowledge that you could talk to someone if you actually wanted to
Tweet, 05:58 UTC · 15 likes
I have a social event in 17 hours nobody bother me
Reply to @soundrotator, 05:58 UTC · 1 like
Reb (@soundrotator): today I locked eyes w a beaver. he sang to me and scratched his ear like a dog
Based
Reply to @littIeramblings, 08:58 UTC · 4 likes
sarah (@littIeramblings): embarrassed to admit this but I’ve only just bothered to google what a Dyson sphere is
Disgraceful
Reply to @littIeramblings, 09:03 UTC · 3 likes
sarah (@littIeramblings): A little disappointed that it doesn’t have anything to do with vacuum cleaners, turns out that was a different guy named Dyson
Have to admit I did not know that
Reply to @acidshill, 09:06 UTC · 1 like
shill 🔍 (@acidshill): OP was tragically deleted, but fortunately saved in the internet archive
ah, now that's what i call twitter!
Wait the argument was *against* riding horses?
Doesn’t make a ton of sense IMO
Reply to @mbateman, 18:18 UTC · 4 likes
Matt Bateman (@mbateman): 3yo: It’s raining outside
@Gena_I_Gorlin: ? I don’t see any rain
3yo: The Empire State Building is not the Empire State Building
Gena:
3yo:
Gena: Are you telling jokes?
3yo: Yes
Gena: Do you think that jokes are just saying something false?
3yo: Yes
Damn she really went with the P≠P
Reply to @vividvoid, 18:29 UTC · 2 likes
Vivid Void (@vividvoid): What unpopular technology opinion will have you like this
Plausibly the whole of technological development has been bad actually bc factory farming >> human wellbeing gains
Reply to @spqr_sulla, 18:39 UTC · 34 likes
Sulla (@spqr_sulla): Giving teenage girls life-like baby dolls ('infant simulators') to care for doubles the teenage pregnancy rate (n=2834) https://emilkirkegaard.dk/en/2023/01/the-infant-simulator-fiasco/
Calling bullshit (or really just publication bias or p hacking)
Totally believe the direction of the effect, but the magnitude is implausible. No way this causally *doubles* teen pregnancy
Reply to @TetraspaceWest, 19:43 UTC · 2 likes
(The tweet being replied to by @TetraspaceWest is no longer available.)
At least tag the beings ur proposing to change the dna of @QualyThe
Reply to @billyhumblebrag, 19:51 UTC · 6 likes
billy (@billyhumblebrag): I am begging everyone stop quoting this result it is nonsense
(quoting @cremieuxrecueil: What happens when you assign groups of people to - Exercise without steroids - Exercise with steroids - Not exercise without steroids - Not exercise with steroids The guys who take steroids and don't exercise gain more muscle than the guys who exercise without steroids!)
Wait this is super intuitive to me I’d bet hard on it reproducing reliably across specific protocols etc
Reply to @a_real_society, 20:11 UTC · 2 likes
society (@a_real_society): AI gf this AI gf that, why don't you get A gf on twitter dot com
I’m trying
Reply to @selentelechia, 20:19 UTC · 2 likes
(The tweet being replied to by @selentelechia is no longer available.)
Based
Reply to @billyhumblebrag, 20:23 UTC · 4 likes
billy (@billyhumblebrag): @AaronBergman18 You mean specifically "steroids + sedentary" beats "placebo + exercise"?
Yes, in terms of increasing lean muscle mass.
Maybe not in every conceivable respect
Reply to @daniel_271828, 20:25 UTC · 3 likes
zzDANIEL_ETH (@daniel_271828): [person who spends 4 hours per day tweeting] “I hate writing”
Omg it’s me (kinda, I don’t hate writing but seriously do it much quicker while tweeting vs trying to write anything more formal, even a blog post, bc it feels low stakes or smth)
Reply to @SillyGoose_Guy, 20:26 UTC · 2 likes
Silly Goose Guy (@SillyGoose_Guy): Do y’all get STI tests every time you sleep with a new person? Ideally before and after?
Technically yes
Reply to @billyhumblebrag, 20:29 UTC · 2 likes
billy (@billyhumblebrag): @AaronBergman18 I could see it over 10 weeks in completely untrained populations maybe being a real result that holds up. Not outside of that
Depends on dosing obviously, but I would definitely bet $1000 on say doubling natural total testosterone level via TRT and stopping standard full body 3x/week lifting to result in net positive avg muscle mass change in t=1 year
Idk enough about other steroids to be as specific
Reply to @StefanFSchubert, 21:19 UTC · 11 likes
Stefan Schubert (@StefanFSchubert): Topwit meme >> Midwit meme
This is maybe a rare case where you get another guy past IQ 145 (assuming the shown y axis isn’t supposed to be taken literally)
Pretty sure Paul Christiano does not exclusively own index funds
Sunday, December 17, 2023
Reply to @austinc3301, 04:22 UTC · 4 likes
Agus 🔸 (@austinc3301): Have any of you been successful with working while flying?
Every time I end up just watching tv shows, reading fanfics or trying to sleep (always unsuccessful)
The London -> DC flight from EAG in 2022 was one of my most productive chunks of 8ish hours ever lol
N=1 but I happened to be sitting in one of the economy rows where no one was in front of me which probably helped. I think these only exist on big planes used for long flights
Reply to @izzyz, 14:45 UTC · 2 likes
izzy (@izzyz): documentary about ai x-risk?
I mean if it poofed into existence and was good, sure, but as a project competing for basically openphil money no way
Tweet, 16:49 UTC · 28 likes
Lived in/near DC my entire life…Turns out there’s a secret island (ok not secret but I hadn’t heard about it till yesterday)? With a huge statue of Teddy Roosevelt? And a weird brutalist Stonehenge vibe?
Ok cool
Reply, 17:09 UTC
If u think I should delete the tweet, could u rephrase in normie terms
Reply to @prerat, 20:13 UTC · 7 likes
prerat (@prerat): what are the most based plants?
im thinking of starting a based plant diet, where you only eat plants that are based
Cocoa, mint, potatoes, strawberries, coffee/coffee beans, not a plant but various kinds of mushrooms like cordyceps and lions mane if you’re flexible, seaweed, ginger, olives (incl oil), avocado
Quote tweet, 20:22 UTC · 9 likes
This is making the rounds…what exactly is sad/otherwise bad about it? It’s says “powered by ChatGPT” right there!
Quoting Victoria (@VictoriqueM): This is both funny as fuck and sad as fuck
Tweet, 21:25 UTC · 4 likes
Wait what’s the answer to “shouldn’t their policy cover the rest of the damages…”?
Not nearly as bad an outcome but smth similar when I was 17 - backed into another car in a busy parking lot at night (totally my fault tbc)
Thread, continued, 21:25 UTC · 4 likes
I remember thinking like “oh it’s a small dent on the bumper, probably gonna be like $100 right? Maybe I can just run to an ATM rn, give the lady some cash, and not get insurance involved”
It was $4k 💀
Reply to @michaelzilske, 21:38 UTC · 2 likes
Michael Zilske (@michaelzilske): @AaronBergman18 I wonder what the economics of this are, like are there incentives to make cars so that minor dents become more and more expensive to repair
Haha yeah I was just thinking “at the limit, a person could put some expensive piece of art or jewelry or whatever on their bumper and it seems pretty clear to me that you shouldn’t be on the hook for millions of dollars if you tap them”
Monday, December 18, 2023
Quote tweet, 01:57 UTC · 8 likes
For real though we’re about to see a bunch of court rulings on things like this
Quoting Chris Bakke (@ChrisJBakke): I just bought a 2024 Chevy Tahoe for $1.
Reply to @austinc3301, 01:58 UTC · 3 likes
Agus 🔸 (@austinc3301): I’ll have one (1) free day while on Berkeley tomorrow, in case anyone wants to meet 👀
Ya I wanna meet but unfortunately I’m on the other side of the country 😕
Tweet, 02:25 UTC · 4 likes
There’s definitely a niche for a yt/tiktok/whatever channel reviewing food being sold on FB marketplace and Craigslist
Reply to @bengrossbg, 02:37 UTC · 2 likes
(The tweet being replied to by @bengrossbg is no longer available.)
Fr. The mantle is too hot. The oceans are too watery and dark and cold
Reply, 03:42 UTC · 7 likes
I had pretty (<95th percentile tho, probably) overprotective parents and could do most of these things without any adult assistance by 16. I didn’t have a blog but nothing was stopping me afaik, and did have a sorta bank account (E*trade lol) although that required parents help
Reply, 03:50 UTC · 8 likes
Metro, walk, drivers license some time that year (and access to family car)
Had money from both being very privileged (grandparents would give me like $50 each birthday) and shoveling snow and being a camp counselor (and winning $400 in a march madness pool once lol)
Reply, 03:52 UTC · 1 like
Lfg (for my purposes, vs code is literally just that + like 2 keyboard shortcuts I use + built in terminal)
Reply, 03:56 UTC · 2 likes
Yeah for sure a lot of these were gatekept in some sense. Definitely think children should have more legal and de facto rights at least in the US
Quote tweet, 04:14 UTC · 41 likes
One of the first bad community notes I’ve seen
Yes they are tombs, and they’d be tombs if they were .1% as large. Why did the other 99.9% get built?
Quoting vegastar (@vegastarr): Time to settle this - what were they built for?!
Reply, 04:18 UTC · 2 likes
Ok thx
Reply to @ronawang, 04:47 UTC · 2 likes
Rona Wang (@ronawang): received an A in this absurdly difficult class, can we get a W in the chat
W
Reply, 05:53 UTC · 1 like
Eh maybe, even if it was intended as a woo thing I read it as “why spend all your slave labor and wheat (or whatever) on apparently nonfunctional skyscraper tombs?”
Reply to @christineist, 06:05 UTC · 12 likes
christine (@christineist): interesting to observe a class divide between dating apps— my blue collar friends avoid hinge, white collar friends avoid tinder
What color collar uses manifold dot love
Reply to @ESYudkowsky, 06:27 UTC · 1 like
Eliezer Yudkowsky ⏹️ (@ESYudkowsky): This will not age well.
I think what he means by this is “AI, as the greatest minds, are going to accelerate algorithmic progress”
Reply to @Austen, 06:49 UTC · 6 likes
Austen Allred (@Austen): Stats don’t lie: 1460 SAT as a white (or Asian) male isn’t high enough for the top 10 schools unless you have some ridiculous exception or legacy status
1560+ doesn’t get you in either https://www.aaronbergman.net/p/most-ivy-smart-students-arent-at
Thread, continued, 06:50 UTC · 2 likes
The tldr
Tweet, 07:17 UTC · 40 likes
Very spoiled brat thing to say but I do not want to go on this (free for me) family beach vacation
I don’t like the beach (especially sand), warm weather, humidity, or travel in general
In terms of my myopic short term happiness only, I would pay not to go
Thread, continued, 07:17 UTC · 21 likes
I do like my family (most of the time) and airplane takeoffs, but the interaction effect `family*travel` comes out negative
I’m neutral on the matter of fish and coral
Reply to @NoahTopper, 07:18 UTC · 2 likes
Quinoah 🔍⏸️ (@NoahTopper): @RafaRuizdeLira Some things should be legalized while others should be illegalized
Illegal: sand
Legal: drugs (by default)
Reply to @bijibiji2023, 07:20 UTC · 5 likes
hoff 🧒🏻😻 (@bijibiji2023): @AaronBergman18 A classic delimma for those of the autistic persuasion. God speed soldier!!!!
🫡🫡🫡 if I don’t tweet again it’s probably bc I forgot my passport after being told 10 times to bring it, a capital offense
Reply to @absurdlymax, 07:28 UTC · 5 likes
Max Alexander (@absurdlymax): @AaronBergman18 Download a bunch of 80k eps
Ya
Reply to @QuintinPope5, 08:07 UTC · 4 likes
Quintin Pope (@QuintinPope5): This is false. The burden would still be on the world's leading astrophysicists to support their claim with evidence.
There have been at least hundreds of thousands and probably millions of words written on the matter
You don’t get to have empirical demonstrations of existential risks. You get theoretical and related empirical evidence
Reply to @JMannhart, 10:15 UTC · 10 likes
Jonathan Mannhart 🔎 (@JMannhart): @AaronBergman18 Why are the other tombs only .1% as large. That is the real question. Why are all the other tombs *small*?
Why aren’t the pyramids even larger?!
Thread, continued, 10:16 UTC · 3 likes
Wait now I wanna know the answer to this
Quote tweet, 10:18 UTC · 6 likes
Beachposting thread
Quoting Aaron Bergman 🔍 (@AaronBergman18): Very spoiled brat thing to say but I do not want to go on this (free for me) family beach vacation
I don’t like the beach (especially sand), warm weather, humidity, or travel in general
In terms of my myopic short term happiness only, I would pay not to go
Thread, continued, 10:21 UTC · 4 likes
Step 1) get to NYC
You never really hear about longish distance busses on here but turns out a 4 hour DC -> NYC bus is only like $20-30. Probably $60-70 if you Uber a few miles on both ends. Good deal!
Reply to @littIeramblings, 10:22 UTC · 3 likes
sarah (@littIeramblings): I also hate hot weather and spending a lot of time on beaches and I think this is valid
Reply to @thiagovscoelho, 10:39 UTC · 1 like
Thiago ✱ (@thiagovscoelho): @AaronBergman18 @TetraspaceWest @JMannhart Erosion
Correct
Reply to @gelionexists, 11:51 UTC · 2 likes
GE Lion (@gelionexists): @AaronBergman18 Damn, I love the beach, would pay for a beach vacay rn
Market failure :(
Reply, 13:19 UTC · 1 like
You don’t like Disney world?? Did u go on expedition Everest?
Reply to @visakanv, 13:31 UTC · 3 likes
Visakan Veerasamy (@visakanv): free vpn installer tonight queen?
Lmao but thanks to ChatGPT even a pleb like me can do this with python now!
Reply to @JeremiahDJohns, 13:34 UTC · 160 likes
Jeremiah Johnson 🌐 (@JeremiahDJohns): Congratulations to our Worst Tweet of 2022 as decided by the voters
Kinda disappointed. Like the answer is “yes” but afaict the question was earnest
Tweet, 14:16 UTC · 13 likes
Good job Phil 👍
Reply to @FrostedSapling, 14:32 UTC · 2 likes
Ivan 🔸 (@FrostedSapling): Yeah I think killing vegan cat for not being vegan was much worse personally
No that was a good tweet (sorta, with the following caveats added)!
You can put together a nutrient blend (incl eg pure carnitine) that imitates meat well enough. I’m sure it’s not literally optimal for the cat but it’s definitely better for the farmed chickens and such
Quote tweet, 14:37 UTC · 18 likes
Domestic cats can and should be vegan
Technofuturist Soylent-esque vegan, but still vegan
Quoting Aaron Bergman 🔍 (@AaronBergman18): @FrostedSapling @JeremiahDJohns No that was a good tweet (sorta, with the following caveats added)!
You can put together a nutrient blend (incl eg pure carnitine) that imitates meat well enough. I’m sure it’s not literally optimal for the cat but it’s definitely better for the farmed chickens and such
Reply to @dylanmatt, 14:44 UTC · 3 likes
(The tweet being replied to by @dylanmatt is no longer available.)
I have no idea what I’m talking about but a relatively big city to be an outlier like this (and without me as an almost-resident knowing about it too which you’d expect more if it was a real thing) screams “weird change in data collecting practices, illusory”
Quote tweet, 14:59 UTC · 6 likes
Everybody tag someone richer than you but within an OOM or two
I think like everyone who is like a serious professional counts for me so I’ll start with @FrostedSapling @ohwizenedtortle @SpacedOutMatt and @mattyglesias as a moonshot
Quoting Peter Wildeford🇺🇸🚀 (@peterwildeford): I'm raising money for my work. We're currently only ~$250,000 short of our goal, so I'm hoping I can close this gap with smaller donors. Every little bit counts and gets us further towards our goal.
If you value our work, please consider support: https://rethinkpriorities.org/donate
Thread, continued, 15:04 UTC · 2 likes
Obligatory plug https://manifold.markets/AaronBergman18/what-donationaccepting-entity-eg-ch?r=QWFyb25CZXJnbWFuMTg
Thread, continued, 15:06 UTC · 2 likes
in nearby multiverse branches
Reply to @rgblong, 15:08 UTC · 2 likes
Robert Long (@rgblong): friend characterized a colleague of hers as a “valence boy” and I think that somehow I (and you) immediately know the sort of person she’s referring to
Was it @algekalipso ?
Tweet, 15:42 UTC · 5 likes
Just discovered grime, UK good again
Tweet, 16:09 UTC · 86 likes
Guy who thinks we don’t need to take any special measures to align AI because the risk of misaligned AI is low because we will take measures to align AI
Tweet, 17:05 UTC · 7 likes
In nyc for 20 mins and there seems to be a lot…happening
Tuesday, December 19, 2023
Tweet, 11:30 UTC · 3 likes
Sister urbanist YIMBY arc (not quite a literal quote but close):
“it’s really nice to have stores and restaurants literally next door [to my appt in NYC] and it’s dumb that other places make that illegal [via zoning]. It is loud though”
Reply to his own earlier tweet, 12:47 UTC · 4 likes
Aaron Bergman, December 18, 2023: Step 1) get to NYC You never really hear about longish distance busses on here but turns out a 4 hour DC -> NYC bus is only like $20-30. Probably $60-70 if you…
Parents mission (apparently): maximize utterly unnecessary stress and chronic low grade emotional microconflict
Status: successful
Reply to @NathanpmYoung, 13:06 UTC · 3 likes
Nathan 🔎 (@NathanpmYoung): Southerners who kept slaves probably did think the Northerners who complained about it were whiny virtue signallers.
Sometimes, virtue signalling really is virtuous. It isn't enough to say "this leaves me feeling bad so it must not be true"
Yes many are saying
Tweet, 17:48 UTC · 1 like
This thread is also micronationpoasting.l
Cool place in that, unlike everywhere else, there was no indigenous population to fuck over, which probably had big implications for institutions and governance and such
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cayman_Islands
Reply to @NathanB60857242, 18:39 UTC · 2 likes
Nathan Barnard (@NathanB60857242): somoene remind me to write a forum on post on how widly powerful the defence production act is
write a forum on post on how widly powerful the defence production act is
Reply to his own earlier tweet, 19:06 UTC · 5 likes
Aaron Bergman, December 19, 2023: This thread is also micronationpoasting.l Cool place in that, unlike everywhere else, there was no indigenous population to fuck over, which probably had big…
There are wild chicken here it appears
(video, plays on X)
Reply, 19:08 UTC · 7 likes
Very load bearing https://x.com/aaronbergman18/status/1737187769284219383?s=46
Reply to his own earlier tweet, 20:20 UTC · 3 likes
Aaron Bergman, December 19, 2023: There are wild chicken here it appears
I have been bamboozled by the local roosters (the old tea kettle whistle mix up)
Quote tweet, 20:25 UTC · 3 likes
Fuck qhe’s smarter and more insightful than me too
Quoting Qualy the lightbulb (@QualyThe): AI unexpectedly beating any specific benchmark is both evidence that the AI is smarter than predicted, and that the benchmark is easier than predicted
Thread, continued, 20:25 UTC · 2 likes
Something about this being evidence that I’m dumber and less insightful than previously thought
Tweet, 20:52 UTC · 13 likes
The elites (literally) don’t want you to know this but you can just buy and add caffeine to things. It’s (almost) free
Reply to @NoahTopper, 23:58 UTC · 2 likes
Quinoah 🔍⏸️ (@NoahTopper): Sourdough is gross. Too sour.
Cancelled
Wednesday, December 20, 2023
Reply to @NoahTopper, 00:34 UTC · 1 like
Quinoah 🔍⏸️ (@NoahTopper): @AaronBergman18 Damn I was honestly hoping you in particular would agree
That is so random lmao
Reply to @StefanFSchubert, 01:26 UTC · 1 like
Stefan Schubert (@StefanFSchubert): Brazilian study finds that WFH is valued equivalently to +15% more salary by job applicants, more than any other benefit.
So WFH could be seen as a welfare boost that's huge relative to normal economic growth.
But it's largely unnoticed.
(quoting @I_Am_NickBloom: New research from University of Chicago randomized job attributes – including salary – for 1200 on-line applicants in Brazil. They use the number of applications per job-posting to calculate the implied valuation employees placed on these attributes. For example, if 10% higher…)
Wonder how much is due to being able to live in lower cost of living areas (ik “able” isn’t super well defined bc theoretically you could eg do a 2 hour commute each way)
Tweet, 01:32 UTC · 8 likes
Is directed-kidney-donation-to-give illegal?
Ie all the “payment” comes in the form of a donation to a legit charity (no kickbacks or anything)
Thread, continued, 01:33 UTC · 5 likes
Maybe a stronger version of this is “is such a contract court enforceable (after the operation), even if not illegal per se?”
Reply to @metakuna, 02:05 UTC · 5 likes
metakuna (14/100 blog posts) (@metakuna): Worst decision I ever made was writing my resume in LaTeX. Every time I want to apply for a job I put it off because I know I'll have to deal with inscrutable build errors. This has likely cost me tens of thousands of dollars in lost income
Wait have u fixed, possibly with gpt 4?
I am no master of productivity but pretty sure a word document could be made
Reply to @prerat, 02:15 UTC · 35 likes
prerat (@prerat): im curious what the ppl who think it's impossible to ethically make $1B think abt taylor swift. who do they say she is exploiting? her staff? her fans?
Steelman is like “the critique is more often about having $1B, not “making” it per se. Progressives would be happier if she was taxed more to support those born without 1 in 10M set of circumstances, talents, etc”
Reply to @metakuna, 02:18 UTC · 9 likes
metakuna (14/100 blog posts) (@metakuna): this is somewhat exaggerated for the sake of the tweet
It is a capital offense to exaggerate on twitter
Reply, 03:30 UTC · 1 like
Pretty sure I got it right based a few other replies
Reply to @herbivoryze, 03:37 UTC · 3 likes
HerbivoRyzing (@herbivoryze): There are more humane methods for population control of herbivores.
(quoting @COParksWildlife: A historic day for Colorado and for the first time ever — we released 5 wolves, 3 males and 2 females, in Grand County today. Captured in Oregon, the wolves were evaluated by our veterinarians & biologists, fitted with GPS collars & transported to Colorado for their release.)
Great minds 🤝
Tweet, 04:17 UTC · 11 likes
Normal-ish people (dozens of people who follow me, at least) who donate 10% should (politely) cyberbully the very wealthy (say net worth >$10M, what “millionaire” meant in 1963) who do not
Thread, continued, 04:17 UTC · 4 likes
Ik these folks aren’t getting just like a paycheck twice a month, so I think committing X% of consumption spending is the right analogue
Reply to @tenobrus, 04:30 UTC · 6 likes
Tenobrus (@tenobrus): jesus fucking christ he has literally no remorse
Wait chaos is a guy? I thought that was a code name
Mildly smugly proud of me and my moots bc I’m at least tpot adjacent and don’t recognize this acct
Tweet, 04:58 UTC · 6 likes
I think I accidentally got ChatGPT/DALLE to in fact try to draw a naked person? Like it refuses if directly asked
The guy’s reproductive organs aren’t exactly anatomically accurate, though
Thread, continued, 04:58 UTC · 6 likes
Pics are unsafe for something, not really sure what
https://chat.openai.com/g/g-2fkFE8rbu-dall-e
Reply to @BootsPlatypus, 05:11 UTC · 3 likes
Platypussy in Bio (@BootsPlatypus): @AaronBergman18 Making it draw a naked guy instead of girl. Very progressive of you Aaron!
Hey ask the inscrutable matrices!
Reply to @StefanFSchubert, 18:02 UTC · 4 likes
Stefan Schubert (@StefanFSchubert): The @80000Hours podcast had 80,000 hours listening time in Q3
A sign from god
Quote tweet, 18:04 UTC · 42 likes
This can’t go on. For such growth to continue, in just 10,000 years every electron would have to be listening to the 80,000 Hours Podcast at all time
Quoting Stefan Schubert (@StefanFSchubert): The @80000Hours podcast had 80,000 hours listening time in Q3
Reply, 18:24 UTC · 1 like
I support the chicken 😤🐓
Quote tweet, 18:31 UTC · 9 likes
Largely a good take but like also “tribes,” broadly speaking, are the units of society that accomplish things. It’s not an accident companies and political parties have logos and mottos and such
Quoting Séb Krier (@sebkrier): 💯💯💯
Tweet, 18:31 UTC · 1 like
Yes, you need to be critical and careful, but identity and labels can be important tools
Fwiw my display name with the ⏸️ and 🔎 and disclaimer has been like that for months
Thread, continued, 18:31 UTC · 2 likes
Cc @eshear in case he wants to jump in
Reply to @xsphi, 19:00 UTC · 3 likes
tess (@xsphi): when I grow up I want to be a rational actor with perfect information
Omg same
Reply, 19:23 UTC · 3 likes
Cosponsoring ≠ commission voting power
Reply to @inerati, 19:42 UTC · 3 likes
(The tweet being replied to by @inerati is no longer available.)
Silent generation imo
Quote tweet, 20:01 UTC · 8 likes
What if we kissed 👉👈 in the Saraswati Supercluster 🥺 ?
Quoting Tyler is finishing a book, slow to reply (@TylerAlterman): Log scale view of the universe by Pablo Carlos Budassi
Thread, continued, 20:01 UTC · 2 likes
“It is surrounded by a network of galaxy filaments, clusters, and voids.”
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Saraswati_Supercluster
Tweet, 20:15 UTC · 6 likes
Deeply unserious type of thing https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dark_energy
Thursday, December 21, 2023
Reply to @frances__lorenz, 01:02 UTC · 2 likes
(The tweet being replied to by @frances__lorenz is no longer available.)
🔥🔥🔥
Tweet, 01:14 UTC · 14 likes
Thanks @SpacedOutMatt
(video, plays on X)
Quote tweet, 01:22 UTC · 2 likes
Build the rooster
Quoting Xander Balwit (@AlexandraBalwit): This worked marvelously. The Literary Digest reported that Carrel’s cells could have already “covered the earth” and a British tabloid said they could “form a rooster . . .big enough today to cross the Atlantic in a single stride.”
Reply to @visakanv, 01:35 UTC · 2 likes
Visakan Veerasamy (@visakanv): sitting on ideas tonite?
doing nothing with your ideas tonite king?
hoarding ideas tonite?
(quoting @kaavyya: sitting on the pile of your brilliant unexecuted ideas all by yourself handsome?)
Ya
Reply to @ohwizenedtortle, 02:06 UTC · 2 likes
oh dandy lion🔸 (@ohwizenedtortle): @AaronBergman18 @SpacedOutMatt wtf this is too fucking adorable
Real🐓
Reply to @eshear, 02:16 UTC · 8 likes
Emmett Shear (@eshear): there’s a poster who posts politics i follow mostly for their other takes but the politics stuff is funny enough i haven’t unfollowed…and i recently keep getting confused bc they seem to be contradicting themselves a lot.
i just realized it’s two diff ppl w similar avatars.
Many such cases @SpacedOutMatt and @GjMcGowan
Reply to @univrsw3th4rt, 03:16 UTC · 2 likes
universe sweetheart 💓🌈💭 (@univrsw3th4rt): i’m so cold, how am i supposed to function
@SpacedOutMatt @Laura_k_Duffy
Thread, continued, 03:16 UTC · 2 likes
Cold ppl gc?
Reply to @shakoistsLog, 03:17 UTC · 4 likes
shako (@shakoistsLog): A notable autistic moment from undergrad was when at age 18 I met another student in a dining hall who told me he was a communist, and I got out my micro econ textbook to explain to him why he was specifically wrong.
Based
Reply to @edavidds, 03:19 UTC · 3 likes
Eric Schmidt 🇺🇦 (@edavidds): OK we absolutely, ASAP, need a hit movie that uses a time-loop gimmick to depict humanity wiping itself out with AI over and over in dozens of diverse, increasingly sophisticated ways.
Until our hero (Tom Cruise?) finally spurs the world into coordinated effort on AI alignment.
I think the ending should be that we in fact all die
Movies like this are always too optimistic
Reply, 03:24 UTC · 1 like
Who is this?
Tweet, 03:29 UTC · 6 likes
May all sentient have exactly the number of rabbits they wish to have, as long as those rabbits are happy
Reply to @SpacedOutMatt, 04:26 UTC · 2 likes
Matt 🔸 (@SpacedOutMatt): @ilex_ulmus @AaronBergman18 My serious take on this is that they’re definitely more work than cats but similar in terms of total effort to a dog
Wait what
Rabbit ≈ dog?? That is insane
Tweet, 04:50 UTC · 9 likes
DAE have this thing where u say something, then ur brain generates smth to say about what u just said, but before u say the second thing this cycle iterates again and again until 1-2 seconds later ur like 3-5 meta levels up and ur brain-speech system crashes and reboots
Thread, continued, 04:51 UTC · 4 likes
Another way of putting this is that ur brain thinks whatever it just decided to say is common has already been said and so is common knowledge irl but u haven’t actually spoken yet
Reply to @Aizazadi_, 04:56 UTC · 3 likes
Aizazadi (@Aizazadi_): This image is a good litmus test
COPYRIGHT VIOLATION
Reply, 05:02 UTC · 2 likes
Idk evidently I’m not amazing but I ~only play board games with anomalously smart EA/rationalist ppl so who even knows
Thread, continued, 05:03 UTC · 4 likes
Secret hitler though I am absolutely terrible at, as @SpacedOutMatt and @Laura_k_Duffy can attest
Reply to @littIeramblings, 16:01 UTC · 3 likes
sarah (@littIeramblings): WAIT has anyone started a podcast called ‘consistently candid’ yet or is that still up for grabs
(quoting @littIeramblings: god I know I shouldn’t start a podcast but I really really want to someone talk me out of it)
You gotta be consistently candidmaxxing
Quote tweet, 16:20 UTC · 14 likes
I see no actual problems here??
Quoting Aitor Hernández-Morales (@aitorehm): Spectacular illustration by @andreu_zaragoza for 'The Barcelonian' perfectly summing up the devastating impact of uncontrolled tourist flats in European cities.
Quote tweet, 16:21 UTC · 8 likes
It’s just real life now
Quoting Nick St. Pierre (@nickfloats): Midjourney
Dec 2022 (v4): Dec 2023 (v6):
Reply to @mbateman, 16:22 UTC · 2 likes
Matt Bateman (@mbateman): 3yo’s school Christmas recital
The set of occasions for which she considers these boots suboptimal is empty
The boots stay ON during recital😤😤😤
Reply to @NathanpmYoung, 16:28 UTC · 5 likes
Nathan 🔎 (@NathanpmYoung): If we fix longevity, we could save our mums 🥲
But for real.
(quoting @RichardMCNgo: We typically think about progress as being constrained by the supply of breakthroughs. But what if it’s better understood as demand-side constrained? If people really believed their lives could be much better, they’d reward innovation far more, and put up fewer barriers to it.)
Ya I don’t want my mom to die 🥺
Reply to @bijibiji2023, 17:20 UTC · 2 likes
hoff 🧒🏻😻 (@bijibiji2023): @AaronBergman18 In the actual illustration or the concept itself ? 😂
The illustration, although this is a good point and yes supply restrictions could make this an issue irl
Tweet, 17:39 UTC · 14 likes
Quote tweet, 19:26 UTC · 22 likes
Being kind, even when it’s socially acceptable not to be, is highly underrated
Quoting Stefan Schubert (@StefanFSchubert): As a culture, we're too tolerant of meanness
Reply to his own earlier tweet, 21:32 UTC · 3 likes
Aaron Bergman, December 19, 2023: I have been bamboozled by the local roosters (the old tea kettle whistle mix up)
It’s a beautiful day to walk around listening to podcasts while sorta being annoyed at the fact that it’s either sand or highway
Reply to @atrembath, 23:52 UTC · 47 likes
Alex Trembath (@atrembath): eat mor chikin
https://www.theatlantic.com/science/archive/2023/12/climate-diet-vegetarian-chicken/676921/
Bad idea, and no the two things are not incomparable: the direct animal suffering effect is far more important than the climate effect https://www.vox.com/videos/2017/5/27/15701168/save-animal-lives-eat-beef-not-chicken
Friday, December 22, 2023
Reply to @iamaheron_, 00:09 UTC · 2 likes
sniper (heron) (@iamaheron_): look i think it’s time we can just admit it
we’re all feds, right?
Ya (I interned at a federal agency once)
Tweet, 00:47 UTC · 7 likes
Someone should hire @absurdlymax fr
He exists irl I can attest
Reply, 02:35 UTC · 1 like
What does he know
Quote tweet, 02:53 UTC · 7 likes
Unfortunately my proposal to set the goal to $10B-$1T was rejected
But I say go big. DM ur favorite rich person, start a company- we can make that $25k goal look silly and naive
Quoting Matt 🔸 (@SpacedOutMatt): The EA Twitter 2023 Giving Season Fundraiser is live! @aaronbergman18, @absurdlymax, @Laura_k_Duffy, and I are raising money for the EA funds Animal Welfare Fund to celebrate the holiday season! We hope you'll join us!
https://www.givingwhatwecan.org/fundraisers/ea-twitter-23
Reply to @absurdlymax, 02:53 UTC · 2 likes
Max Alexander (@absurdlymax): It's time for the second annual EA twitter fundraiser!
Based
Tweet, 03:08 UTC · 100 likes
Alright guys, we are raising money for the EA Animal Welfare Fund bc some animals are not having as much fun as this chicken and that’s gotta change
The “goal” is $15k but personally I think that’s ~6 OOMs too low
https://www.givingwhatwecan.org/fundraisers/ea-twitter-23
(video, plays on X)
Thread, continued, 03:08 UTC · 29 likes
Also brag tf out of ur donation
Screenshot that mf and hit tweet. This is not the time to be humble. The shrimp are counting on u
Thread, continued, 03:08 UTC · 11 likes
The incentives aren’t set in stone - plz suggest unhinged things for me to do, no holds barred 😤
Reply to @jvboid, 03:26 UTC · 4 likes
Jacob (@jvboid): @AaronBergman18 I think I've got a spare 15k, been looking for a way to make a real difference. Just reply with your full bank account info below👇 and it'll be routed right away
Im pretty sure this is a joke lol
Quote tweet, 03:42 UTC · 3 likes
R is better
Quoting Science girl (@sciencegirl): This guy in Bankok found an enormous python in his house
https://x.com/SintoniaMundo/status/1735714186934587564/video/1
Reply to @frances__lorenz, 03:54 UTC · 4 likes
(The tweet being replied to by @frances__lorenz is no longer available.)
Frances 80k arc
Reply, 04:26 UTC · 3 likes
(The tweet being replied to is no longer available.)
ACE and EA Animal welfare fund are different things. Here’s all the info on the latter https://funds.effectivealtruism.org/funds/animal-welfare
Thread, continued, 04:27 UTC · 1 like
Yeah it’s legit. I wouldn’t call ACE “bullshit” but think there are fair ideological capture critiques
Reply to @littIeramblings, 14:44 UTC · 2 likes
sarah (@littIeramblings): why did jesus give me covid for his birthday
Rip
Reply to @gracevadams, 14:50 UTC · 2 likes
Grace Adams 🔸 (@gracevadams): 100 counterfactual dollars 🥰 I'd like to see someone out do @mealreplacer's jump into a shallow pond this year
🙏🏼🙏🏼🙏🏼💸💸💸
Thread, continued, 14:51 UTC · 2 likes
Ya I can jump into some water. The more money, the colder I’ll do. $100k and I’ll go full polar bear plunge
Quote tweet, 15:12 UTC · 3 likes
Base rates say I wont actually do it but this is a blog post I should write
I’ve made the point before but yeah people should start actually doing EA instead of pattern matchy cargo culty “what EA looks like”
Quoting zzDANIEL_ETH (@daniel_271828): @peter_wilde_alt We need a sequel to “Doing Good Better” - should be called “No. Not Good. Try Harder.”
Reply to @Psycholosopher, 15:13 UTC · 3 likes
Blart magician girl 🔎 (@Psycholosopher): But AI can’t ever be dangerous because it has to have experience with the real world to REALLY be creative
“It’s not true ingenuity!” I cry as the novel molecule erodes my organs
Quote tweet, 15:22 UTC · 8 likes
Can someone tell me if I should care about this
Quoting Nathan Labenz (@labenz): For Christmas this year, I got you an updated AI worldview!
tl;dr – the new Mamba architecture marks the end of the Transformers Era and the beginning of a new Mixture of Architectures Era, with profound impact
Over 2.5 hours (link below), I cover this from every angle, including:
- core aspects of human cognition that Transformers effectively mimic
- Transformers' critical weakness that invites something new
- why RAG is not enough to power long-lived AI assistants, companions, etc
- an introduction to State Space Models, and the prospect of integrated, long-term memory for AI systems
- how the new Mamba architecture works, from conceptual motivation to hardware-aware algorithm design, including the roles of different memory types (SRAM vs HBM) on modern GPUs
- overview of results and analysis of why simple head-to-head comparisons of Mamba vs Transformers are powerful proof points but miss the big picture implications
- likely elaboration of this architecture, including "multi-state models" and integration of SSMs with Transformers, as already previewed by the new StripedHyena model, Block-State Transformers paper, and more
- the new long-context training datasets we will need to create to make the most of these models, which will look more like onboarding & training a new employee vs compiling discrete tasks
- how this naturally leads to more coherent, predictable, legible, appropriate behavior from AI agents
- implications for future generations of hardware, application development including AI assistants and friends, AI safety research, and even the prospect of AI consciousness and moral worth
- why all this latent potential, combined with recent results in AI-powered scientific exploration, suggest the beginning of a genuine intelligence explosion
Buckle up!!
Tweet, 15:40 UTC · 14 likes
Correct take. Here's a redirect site: https://aaronbergman.neocities.org/link
Reply to @ryancbriggs, 16:28 UTC · 5 likes
Ryan Briggs (@ryancbriggs): Very happy to announce my book has a cover!
(quoting @thiagovscoelho: )
U should do this fr
Reply to @QualyThe, 16:29 UTC · 2 likes
Qualy the lightbulb (@QualyThe): Arm the moderate quopposition 🫡
Lmao
Tweet, 17:00 UTC · 7 likes
Baby chickens go “🐥”
(video, plays on X)
Tweet, 17:01 UTC · 9 likes
Best replacement for laundry detergent?
Reply to @gelionexists, 17:08 UTC · 2 likes
GE Lion (@gelionexists): @AaronBergman18 Go to the store, ya filthy animal
For one laundry cycle? Cheems mindset
Reply to @ownworstemily, 17:09 UTC · 19 likes
(The tweet being replied to by @ownworstemily is no longer available.)
Hey I can do that and I’m not even an alcoholic
Tweet, 17:12 UTC · 6 likes
“Nooo u can’t take 4 of your as-needed-3-per-day-medication-with-no-known-upper-limit-intake medication noooo”
- guy who does coke
Tweet, 17:18 UTC · 13 likes
Based, also very un-based that Obama didn’t do this
Also based second order effect that nobody can try to claim mass incarceration is due to weed convictions
Reply, 17:37 UTC · 1 like
Don’t have any at condo we’re renting
Tweet, 18:24 UTC · 111 likes
Lmao finally got burned by copy and pasting a ChatGPT command into terminal with zero consideration
I think all my computer files have been weirdly rearranged but not deleted
Thread, continued, 18:24 UTC · 14 likes
It was “find . -type f -exec mv {} . \;”
But accidentally in my home folder with like everything I’ve created (not the operating system stuff) instead of a sub folder
Thread, continued, 18:24 UTC · 5 likes
And then I force quit terminal and restarted my computer when I saw that I had been bamboozled so the thing didn’t complete
Thread, continued, 18:24 UTC · 3 likes
.@austinc3301 how fucked am I?
Reply to @alt_truistic, 18:34 UTC · 2 likes
(The tweet being replied to by @alt_truistic is no longer available.)
Fuck
Thread, continued, 18:34 UTC · 2 likes
You can call around to local pharmacies and ask if they have it in stock, but it has to be the exact thing ur prescribed
Quote tweet, 18:38 UTC · 8 likes
This is the weird medical quasi prison complex
Basically unconstitutional incarceration (IMO) without conviction but happens all the time to basically schizophrenics
Generally they don’t call it jail, they call it a mental hospital, but either way you’re not allowed to leave
Quoting Eric Schmidt 🇺🇦 (@edavidds): Seriously, this story about an 18-year-old autistic boy is insane. What are we doing?? *life* in a type of jail??
Reply to @sam_atis, 18:45 UTC · 4 likes
Sam Glover (@sam_atis): @AaronBergman18 Do you think it’s a bad thing?
It’s certainly not optimal and I’m gonna say “yes” because the principle of *ever* allowing extrajudicial imprisonment is extremely dangerous
In terms of the actual, more direct effects, I really don’t have a grasp on the statistics and such so idk
Reply to @sam_atis, 18:50 UTC · 2 likes
Sam Glover (@sam_atis): @AaronBergman18 Interesting, seems quite likely to be good to me.
People who are wrongly stuck in the system have no mechanism of appeal
Seems bad
Reply, 20:20 UTC
ChatGPT doesn’t think such a thing exists, and .zsh_history only has my inputted commands, not that kind of thing
Is there smth else ur thinking of?
Thread, continued, 20:23 UTC · 2 likes
lol this history file is pretty funny. 90% are like "pip install srt" but every so often there are a few lines that I obviously copy and pasted like "ffmpeg -i conv1.mp3 -vf "scale=1280:720,drawbox=y=0:color=black@1.0" -c:v libx264 -tune stillimage -c:a copy conv1.mp4\"
Reply to @austinc3301, 20:35 UTC · 2 likes
Agus 🔸 (@austinc3301): @AaronBergman18 I mean just looking at the command you appear to have moved every file within your home folder to your home folder
Lit
Reply, 20:37 UTC · 1 like
WAIT YO I HAVE BACKBLAZE MAYBE THATS SOMETHING
Reply to @QualyThe, 20:49 UTC · 3 likes
Qualy the lightbulb (@QualyThe): Hey thanks again for saving me from that shallow pond the other day
Any time 👍
The electrocution burns are healing nicely
Quote tweet, 21:34 UTC · 2 likes
In my defense the moral realist view is fighting an uphill battle
Quoting sarah (@littIeramblings): First podcast episode now live!
@AaronBergman18 and @absurdlymax argue about moral realism and I try to decide who I agree with
https://open.spotify.com/show/1EX89qABpb4pGYP1JLZ3BB?si=R8A9IkJBTo-pD1NP0NpqHQ
Saturday, December 23, 2023
Reply to @absurdlymax, 02:09 UTC · 1 like
Max Alexander (@absurdlymax): @RafaRuizdeLira @littIeramblings @AaronBergman18 Also I want Aaron to be right so philosophy can be inherently useful and then I can just get a Phil PhD to maximize my impact
Me being right wouldn’t make philosophy inherently useful lol
It could make some philosophy actions like publishing a paper objectively good though
Reply, 10:24 UTC · 1 like
I mean maybe, I think what I think and could be wrong about what to label that
But isn’t moral realism like “some moral claims have objective truth values” and I think “it would be good for you to donate to our fundraiser” such a claim?
Reply to @absurdlymax, 10:24 UTC · 1 like
Max Alexander (@absurdlymax): @frances__lorenz @littIeramblings @AaronBergman18 And Sarah had great questions, I think she genuinely did the optimal amount of prep given the cost of time
YES
Reply to @absurdlymax, 10:27 UTC · 4 likes
Max Alexander (@absurdlymax): @frances__lorenz @littIeramblings @AaronBergman18 And Sarah had great questions, I think she genuinely did the optimal amount of prep given the cost of time
Never forget the legendary Pigeon Hour Bathroom Break (has since been removed 😔)
Reply to @mwjcoughlin, 10:29 UTC · 2 likes
Michael Coughlin (@mwjcoughlin): You were talking about the difference between axiological and deontic value: https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1002/9781444367072.wbiee118
Here’s a short but good video explaining the difficulty of deriving deontic value from axiological value (but he doesn’t use that terminology): https://youtu.be/ok3QiJrcm9w?si=LXnm1-DpyY04YvJy
Philosophers be making distinctions fr
Reply, 10:30 UTC · 1 like
Noooooo
Reply to @sam_atis, 10:37 UTC · 4 likes
Sam Glover (@sam_atis): This idea was ahead of its time. 2024 is the year we finally build these things 🫡
(quoting @AaronBergman18: Serious question for #YIMBYTwitter: where height restrictions per se are the issue, why haven’t developers started building vertically but *down*, underground? I mean windowless apartments don’t sound ideal, but probably less bad than unaffordability and homelessness)
🫡it’s time to build ⬇️
Reply to @panchromaticity, 10:37 UTC · 1 like
Xenia 🔍💎 (@panchromaticity): which of the 941 of you will say hi?
(quoting @ElfBeautyAudrey: I only have 189 followers, but how many will say hi?)
Hi
Reply to @Bonecondor, 10:42 UTC · 7 likes
Chairman Birb Bernanke (@Bonecondor): i for one think more people should marry their reply guys
@absurdlymax @ohwizenedtortle looks like we’re getting married
Reply to @inerati, 10:45 UTC · 2 likes
(The tweet being replied to by @inerati is no longer available.)
Ya and it’s kinda sus like it shouldnt be possible
Reply to @alt_truistic, 10:46 UTC · 2 likes
(The tweet being replied to by @alt_truistic is no longer available.)
Cereal, rooms, and amphetamines - name a better combo
Reply to @focusfronting, 10:51 UTC · 2 likes
(The tweet being replied to by @focusfronting is no longer available.)
The stew is *for* the rabbit right? Right?? 😰
Reply to @eshear, 10:56 UTC · 1 like
Emmett Shear (@eshear): This seems very promising tho a little heavy handed on the rewriting.
Endorse this. At least the paid version has multiple levels/heavy handedness of rewriting
Reply to @ohwizenedtortle, 11:32 UTC · 4 likes
oh dandy lion🔸 (@ohwizenedtortle): hahahaha oh that would be so silly right? hahaha omg you and me and max get married?? hahaha that's such a dumb idea hahaha right? unlesss.....
😳🥵
Reply to @NathanpmYoung, 11:39 UTC · 2 likes
Nathan 🔎 (@NathanpmYoung): @AaronBergman18 @absurdlymax @frances__lorenz @littIeramblings I was like "I don't remember this but it sounds like something I'd do"
Other Nathan!
Reply to @littIeramblings, 11:40 UTC · 2 likes
sarah (@littIeramblings): (sincere moment) I’ve really made a concerted effort in the last 6 months to treat myself better, I think I’ve succeeded & (I hope) it’s helping me treat other people better too
(quoting @Khanstilldayy: EVERYONE INCLUDED; Please brag to me about a thing you did in 2023 that you’re proud of?)
Lit
Tweet, 11:45 UTC · 7 likes
Not sure I like the incentives where if you’re a chain restaurant you get a free grassroots marketing campaign if one of your products causes a person’s death
Reply to @RafaRuizdeLira, 14:26 UTC · 2 likes
Rafael Ruiz ⏸️🔸 (@RafaRuizdeLira): Christmas self-gift :) @hanno_sauer
I can read that 😎
Call my El Dios del Español
Quote tweet, 16:21 UTC · 25 likes
Based and etg pilled
Also more ppl should be trying to make a shit ton of money (no fraud this time) to give away
Quoting Laura Muresianu 🌐🔸🇺🇸 (@Laura_k_Duffy): 3. Earning to give is significantly underrated and more people who are trying to get EA jobs should do this instead
ETG people free up research organizations to pursue their own agendas and diffuse risk
Reply to @Laura_k_Duffy, 16:26 UTC · 9 likes
Laura Muresianu 🌐🔸🇺🇸 (@Laura_k_Duffy): 8. I put the risk of AI causing an existential catastrophe near zero.
And I think that efforts to pause or regulate it preemptively are likely to cause more damage to the economy in the form of slower growth than it’s likely to cause from alignment reasons
100% earnestly trying to understand…
Do u just not give ~any weight to an outside view “maybe I’m just missing something that the dozens-hundreds of other people (inc Ord in The Precipice) + prediction markets see”?
Thread, continued, 16:26 UTC · 6 likes
Tbh anything below ~3% seems basically unserious to me for this reason
Quote tweet, 16:29 UTC · 103 likes
LFG, milestone achieved; 1 like = 1 hot take
There is no limit. Pile on, I will generate 1M hot takes if need be, mark my word 😤
Quoting Aaron Bergman 🔍 (@AaronBergman18): Alright guys, we are raising money for the EA Animal Welfare Fund bc some animals are not having as much fun as this chicken and that’s gotta change
The “goal” is $15k but personally I think that’s ~6 OOMs too low
Thread, continued, 16:40 UTC · 6 likes
0) there are 44 bonus hot takes here
These are all EA related so this thread will be more general
Thread, continued, 16:45 UTC · 23 likes
1) I’ve said this before but I’ll say it again: the FDA is very, very bad, and we’d be better off if it did not exist
Congress can make laws restricting the supply of very dangerous (fentanyl) or high externality (antibiotics) drugs
Thread, continued, 16:46 UTC · 15 likes
I shouldn’t need a prescription for [insert ur fave drug here]
Not gonna debate/discuss this much but there are a bunch of threads u can find where I do
Thread, continued, 16:48 UTC · 6 likes
2) I think the seed oil people might be right (40%?) and it’s worth avoiding corn/peanut/soybean/etc oils if you care about your health, most of the time, for most people
Thread, continued, 16:51 UTC · 19 likes
3) this should have (had) more of an impact on EA
Thread, continued, 16:54 UTC · 8 likes
4) 40 degrees Fahrenheit is tank top weather
No I don’t have hyperthyroidism I’m just weird
Reply to @arthur_wright_, 17:33 UTC · 4 likes
Arthur Wrong 🔸 (@arthur_wright_): @AaronBergman18 @Laura_k_Duffy Tbh anything below ~3% for the existence of God as described in the Hebrew bible is unserious to me for this reason
Cmon dude you’re smarter than that
If the case for a biblical God had the same supporters with the same quality of reasoning and such, yeah
Thread, continued, 17:34 UTC · 2 likes
Also 3% for God doesn’t seem crazy, I haven’t thought as much about this as I should have lol
Reply to @arthur_wright_, 17:52 UTC · 2 likes
Arthur Wrong 🔸 (@arthur_wright_): @AaronBergman18 @Laura_k_Duffy but then the actual arguments are what really matters, no?
Historically speaking, the case for God has probably many more great minds in support than AI doomerism. And to think that our beloved EAs could not fall pray to groupthink and motivated reasoning is silly
At some point yes
I’m just not smart enough and don’t have enough time to literally evaluate every argument ever made, so have to use proxies (does this person seem earnest, smart and thoughtful?), and processes/institutions (eg science, prediction markets)
Thread, continued, 17:52 UTC · 1 like
And further, this is the case for literally everyone (every human at least)
Thread, continued, 17:53 UTC
Hmm to be kinda pedantic, the ground level thing is the state of the world and laws of physics, not the arguments. The arguments are a level on top of that
Reply to @arthur_wright_, 17:56 UTC · 1 like
Arthur Wrong 🔸 (@arthur_wright_): @JMannhart @AaronBergman18 @Laura_k_Duffy First off, the alignment framing takes for granted that doom is certain if alignment is not possible.
2nd, I want to know who these idealized agents with no cognitive biases are who are investigating AI alignment “epistemically,” as opposed to how people reason about God.
1) no it doesn’t?
2) there are no idealized agents. I’m trying to evaluate how good groups of people are at reasoning and my current belief is that the EA/rationality/alignment communities are much, much better than the God-existence-debate community
Reply to @arthur_wright_, 18:03 UTC · 1 like
Arthur Wrong 🔸 (@arthur_wright_): @AaronBergman18 @Laura_k_Duffy Tbh anything below ~3% for the existence of God as described in the Hebrew bible is unserious to me for this reason
Wait I feel like ~5% is a pretty decent probability actually lol
Reply to @arthur_wright_, 18:16 UTC · 2 likes
Arthur Wrong 🔸 (@arthur_wright_): @AaronBergman18 @JMannhart @Laura_k_Duffy Realizing in real-time how much I hate having these discussions over Twitter. Pigeon Hour topic, maybe? 🙂
🔥🔥🔥
It is long overdue
Quote tweet, 18:23 UTC · 4 likes
Big if true
Quoting Rona Wang (@ronawang): i’m tired of dating app conversations that never lead to anything, so my friends & i spent the last week building a platform that schedules dates as soon as you match.
if you want to fall in love irl & not through a screen, join us at http://irldat.ing ❤️
Reply to @ronawang, 18:26 UTC · 4 likes
Rona Wang (@ronawang): i’m tired of dating app conversations that never lead to anything, so my friends & i spent the last week building a platform that schedules dates as soon as you match.
if you want to fall in love irl & not through a screen, join us at http://irldat.ing ❤️
The people of Washington, DC are rioting
Reply to @Laura_k_Duffy, 18:46 UTC · 2 likes
Laura Muresianu 🌐🔸🇺🇸 (@Laura_k_Duffy): 15. A non-trivial amount of the anti-car stuff feels very culture war-y.
We are too dependent upon cars, we should price their externalities, and we need more transit options.
But cars are fun, convenient, and the most realistic option in many places (+ shouldn't be banned!)
Ya I’m low key pro car. Very convenient
Reply to @RandomSprint, 18:48 UTC · 4 likes
RandomSprint🧭 (@RandomSprint): Male hobbies are either fast and dangerous or slow and meticulous.
(inclusive or)
Hmm what is a fast and meticulous hobby? Juggling? Some types of cooking?
Reply to @a_real_society, 19:05 UTC · 2 likes
society (@a_real_society): I'm home for Christmas and if you want some insight into my personality here's my childhood bathroom bookshelf
Bathroom bookshelf???
Reply to his own earlier tweet, 19:14 UTC · 7 likes
Aaron Bergman, December 23, 2023: 4) 40 degrees Fahrenheit is tank top weather No I don’t have hyperthyroidism I’m just weird
5) (maybe especially spicy given the context)
It is unfortunately the case that veganism is not sustainably healthy for most people
(Still should optimize pretty hard for suffering minimization though)
Thread, continued, 19:22 UTC · 11 likes
6) sourdough is insufficiently sour
Reply to @absurdlymax, 19:29 UTC · 2 likes
Max Alexander (@absurdlymax): charlie chaplin would have gone wild here
(quoting @sciencegirl: How waves impact life aboard a ship.)
This looks so much fun
Reply to @RafaRuizdeLira, 19:38 UTC · 1 like
Rafael Ruiz ⏸️🔸 (@RafaRuizdeLira): @shouldhaveanima @AaronBergman18 weird bear
THEYRE EVOLVING
Reply to @NinaPanickssery, 19:41 UTC · 3 likes
Nina (@NinaPanickssery): My controversial Christmas opinion is that it's bad that parents lie to kids about Santa.
Maybe I'd make an exception if the parents employed some meta-honesty "we're going to pretend 0-3 fictional phenomena are real this year, your challenge is to guess which".
Based. Treat kids like people
Reply to @exfatloss, 19:43 UTC · 1 like
exfatloss🥛 (@exfatloss): In which avoiding the sun makes you die sooner
(quoting @IchorGrad: "A 15-year prospective follow-up of the Melanoma in Southern Sweden (MISS) cohort of women demonstrated a significant dose-dependent decrease in all-cause mortality with increasing sun exposure habits and the mortality rate was doubled (2.0, 95% CI 1.6–2.5) among those avoiding…)
Confounders, plausibly
Reply to his own earlier tweet, 19:44 UTC · 6 likes
Aaron Bergman, December 23, 2023: 6) sourdough is insufficiently sour
7) you should lmk which UpToDate articles you want bc I got u but can’t rly share login info because I got it from a friend
Thread, continued, 19:45 UTC · 12 likes
8) we have no idea if computers can be conscious and high confidence either way is clearly not warranted
Quote tweet, 20:02 UTC · 13 likes
I’m starting the Culturally Jewish Athiests (and hard core Jews and people of all religions and lack thereof, we don’t discriminate) for Christmas Aesthetics Movement, who’s with me?
Quoting Alex Beal 🆎 (@beala): Half the fun of Christmas is ambiance maxxxing. If your living room doesn’t look like santa’s workshop by dec 1st you’re simply ngmi.
Reply to @stevekrouse, 20:04 UTC · 3 likes
Steve Krouse (@stevekrouse): now it's live at http://dateme.directory!
(quoting @stevekrouse: just rebuilt (most of) the http://dateme.directory 100% on val town! frontend -> val town preact ssr backend -> val town deno database -> val town sqlite (@tursodatabase))
Lmaooo representing with that double-A first name
Reply to @mmt_lvt, 20:10 UTC · 2 likes
(The tweet being replied to by @mmt_lvt is no longer available.)
We’re gonna be Hanukkahmaxxing in one room tho
Reply to @stevekrouse, 20:15 UTC · 1 like
Steve Krouse (@stevekrouse): @AaronBergman18 Want me to add it?
Yes thanks that would be great!
Reply, 20:19 UTC · 1 like
I have no idea what this means lmao
Reply to @christineist, 20:41 UTC · 1 like
christine (@christineist): I can spot someone without an internal compass from a mile away
Like a moral compass or literal sense of direction
Bc I’m guilty on one of these
Reply to @ilex_ulmus, 21:00 UTC · 2 likes
Holly ⏸️ Elmore (@ilex_ulmus): I’m sorry, but isn’t it obvious that there are both mistakes and genuine conflicts? And there are people who theorize about the world as a mix of both mistakes *and* conflicts?
I see both all around me.
I think most of the time you can view the same phenomenon through either lens
And one can be more reasonable or appropriate or whatever but not exactly “correct”
Reply to @testaccountoki, 21:06 UTC · 6 likes
not a sloth (@testaccountoki): ??? I HAD NO IDEA THIS IS WHAT IT MEANT
I thought it was just like being kinda silly
Reply to @sama, 21:07 UTC · 3 likes
Sam Altman (@sama): what would you like openai to build/fix in 2024?
The alignment problem
Reply to @Laura_k_Duffy, 21:10 UTC · 2 likes
Laura Muresianu 🌐🔸🇺🇸 (@Laura_k_Duffy): 19. I don’t think we can know this for sure, but I would be surprised if animals like chickens and mammals couldn’t feel the same amount of hedonic pain as us
(But I don’t think this means you have to give them equal moral weight)
Hot fucking take (I’d be surprised but not shocked if they could)
Reply to his own earlier tweet, 21:11 UTC · 9 likes
Aaron Bergman, December 23, 2023: 8) we have no idea if computers can be conscious and high confidence either way is clearly not warranted
9) Taylor Swift is overrated
She should be highly rated but not have total cultural hegemony
Thread, continued, 21:18 UTC · 9 likes
10) 80k is genuinely the best podcast and a plurality (maybe majority) of my knowledge about EA comes from it
From 16-19 listening to it was 99% of my “engagement” with EA
Also new ep with @labenz just dropped https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/80-000-hours-podcast/id1245002988?i=1000639489404
Reply to @amylabenz, 21:19 UTC · 2 likes
Amy Labenz 🔸 (@amylabenz): @labenz and @robertwiblin in one place! https://80000hours.org/podcast/episodes/nathan-labenz-openai-red-team-safety/
Huge
Reply to @christineist, 21:19 UTC · 3 likes
christine (@christineist): like a strong sense of self, intrinsic motivation, self direction
Ah, secret third thing
Reply to his own earlier tweet, 21:23 UTC · 5 likes
Aaron Bergman, December 23, 2023: 10) 80k is genuinely the best podcast and a plurality (maybe majority) of my knowledge about EA comes from it From 16-19 listening to it was 99% of my…
11) if ur also an 80k fanperson, u should consider listening to the time I interviewed @robertwiblin and @KeiranJHarris about it
Self plug ik but like I’m not gonna pretend it wasn’t cool lol https://80000hours.org/after-hours-podcast/episodes/rob-and-keiran-on-the-philosophy-of-the-80000-hours-podcast/
Reply to @littIeramblings, 22:18 UTC · 3 likes
sarah (@littIeramblings): take as much time as u need on the first one srsly no rush xoxoxo
🫡
Reply to @michaelcurzi, 22:25 UTC · 5 likes
𝖒𝖎𝖈𝖍𝖆𝖊𝖑𝖈𝖚𝖗𝖟𝖎 (@michaelcurzi): Why is this the funniest thing I've ever seen 😂 you all sound like this sometimes
Punish the left tail of cringe and you get a rightward shift toward cynicism/no sincerity/conformity
Reply to @robertwiblin, 22:34 UTC · 2 likes
(The tweet being replied to by @robertwiblin is no longer available.)
🙏🏼🎅🎄
Reply to @RokoMijic, 23:13 UTC · 3 likes
Roko 🐉 (@RokoMijic): > "if you read a book in 2023, you fucked up, and you should have read 10,000 tweets instead"
🎯
(quoting @JgaltTweets: I haven't read a book in like 10 years, honestly. I think if you read a book in 2023, you fucked up, and you should have read 10,000 tweets instead)
Honestly should have read 1000 EAF/LW/ACX/80k/dwarkesh/pigeon hour*/adjacent blog posts and podcasts
*top priority
Quote tweet, 23:22 UTC · 6 likes
C’mon guys like $200/$2700 has been accounted for
Ur humility instinct is misgeneralizing, start poasting screenshots
Quoting Aaron Bergman 🔍 (@AaronBergman18): Also brag tf out of ur donation
Screenshot that mf and hit tweet. This is not the time to be humble. The shrimp are counting on u
Reply to his own earlier tweet, 23:37 UTC · 18 likes
Aaron Bergman, December 23, 2023: 11) if ur also an 80k fanperson, u should consider listening to the time I interviewed @robertwiblin and @KeiranJHarris about it Self plug ik but like I’m not…
12) 10% is mostly arbitrary, I’d like to see more of a “marginal, progressive taxation” norm which maybe asymptotes around to 100% as income goes to infinity
Maybe like 1% up to $50k, then 10% to $50k-100k, 20% $100k-200k, 30% $200k-300k or something
Reply, 23:48 UTC
Me trying to choose between slow release and maybe getting hit with laced meth and dying (pure methamphetamine is basically as safe as adderall, which is to say quite safe at normally prescribed doses)
(gif, plays on X)
Reply to his own earlier tweet, 23:57 UTC · 4 likes
Aaron Bergman, December 23, 2023: 12) 10% is mostly arbitrary, I’d like to see more of a “marginal, progressive taxation” norm which maybe asymptotes around to 100% as income goes to infinity…
Great minds
Sunday, December 24, 2023
Reply to @Ryan_Gasoline, 00:00 UTC · 1 like
Ryan Gasoline (@Ryan_Gasoline): Sometimes GPT gets pretty dark
😰
Quote tweet, 00:36 UTC · 12 likes
Lfg 😎🦐😎🦐😎
Quoting Avish Kumar (@AK1089): @AaronBergman18 😎
Reply to @relic_radiation, 00:45 UTC · 7 likes
Elena Lake 🌿 (@relic_radiation): what an incredible title. I love the audaciousness to aim for a world that is massively psychologically (& inner-experientially) better
Bruh “net”
Reply to @shakaz_, 00:46 UTC · 2 likes
shakaz (@shakaz_): damn net-zero, could a ultra-super healed person offset someone with complex ptsd?
It’s just @nickcammarata vs every Iraq veteran
Quote tweet, 00:49 UTC · 4 likes
Free my man (financially, by hiring him)
Quoting Max Alexander (@absurdlymax): This for me as well, minus linguistics (I know about axiology though!), and I'm also looking for work
Reply to @MoreBirths, 00:50 UTC · 5 likes
More Births (@MoreBirths): Congratulations Scott Alexander! With @slatestarcodex all in with team pro-natalism, I'm feeling good about our chances!
Start training them in blog post writing right away
Reply to @animalologist, 00:54 UTC · 5 likes
taco belle (@animalologist): Ngl I’ve often made men wait days (or weeks, or months) to kiss me this year and every single time, that first kiss has been crazy intense. Don’t take the first chance, let it simmer for a while
(quoting @vtpyra: insane concept but the first kiss with the person you’ve been dying to kiss is probably the best feeling in the entire world)
Congrats u caused multiple person-weeks of self-doubt and low grade anxiety
(I’m half joking, you don’t owe anyone a kiss and evidently there are benefits but still)
Tweet, 01:06 UTC · 23 likes
Sister and I had a longish conversation last night where we explained to our parents how they were overprotective our entire childhoods
Thread, continued, 01:06 UTC · 12 likes
There was no big healing or conflict or anything, but if there are still humans around in a few years inshallah we* will try to not do the same thing
*just my sister probably lol
Quote tweet, 01:06 UTC · 6 likes
🤑🐓🤑🐔🤑
Quoting Dan (@BishopPair): @AaronBergman18 If you insist
Reply, 01:36 UTC · 2 likes
Damn that’s a lot. That’s very roughly equivalent to a 10% pay bump from an individual perspective
Reply to @littmath, 01:47 UTC · 9 likes
Daniel Litt (@littmath): incredible that the first few digits of pi are “3.14159265” — the chance of that happening is only 1 in a billion
Hmm plausibly the chance is 1
Tweet, 01:51 UTC · 10 likes
The bots have a personality now
Reply to @eigenrobot, 02:41 UTC · 1 like
eigenrobot (@eigenrobot): being excessively worried about your health is comorbid with all sorts of things you wouldnt expect
Like actually having health issues lol
Tweet, 15:01 UTC · 7 likes
Pretty heartening post by @LizkaVaintrob
Reasons-responsiveness go brr https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/7D83kwkyaHLQSo6JT/winners-in-the-forum-s-donation-election-2023
Reply to @NathanpmYoung, 15:03 UTC · 2 likes
Nathan 🔎 (@NathanpmYoung): If twitter got destroyed tomorrow, where would you move to?
Grave
Reply to @inerati, 15:15 UTC · 3 likes
(The tweet being replied to by @inerati is no longer available.)
Ya >>
Thread, continued, 15:19 UTC · 2 likes
Is there like an adult version of this? Or maybe just the original thing
Reply to @JesseTayRiver, 15:30 UTC · 2 likes
Jesse Smith (@JesseTayRiver): I've had to buy 2 trucks this month, which is double the number from the previous 3 months. If this trend continues in 2029 I'll have >1 million trucks
This cannot go on
Reply to @NathanpmYoung, 15:59 UTC · 3 likes
Nathan 🔎 (@NathanpmYoung): My parents made their own cards this year
It doesn’t say “if and only if” tho
Reply to @ciphergoth, 15:59 UTC · 1 like
Paul Crowley (@ciphergoth): I had to Google. Turns out there are twelve books in the Bible no-one ever talks about. Suspicious this is some sort of Mandela effect timeline change. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Twelve_Minor_Prophets
What
Quote tweet, 16:01 UTC · 14 likes
Incredible 2-4 decades of progress!
Quoting Chase Lean (@chaseleantj): Midjourney version 1 was released in February 2022.
This is what it looked like.
A comparison from v1 to v6🧵
Reply to @QualyThe, 17:03 UTC · 4 likes
Qualy the lightbulb (@QualyThe): Real
Thanks, goon lord 👍
Reply to @NoahTopper, 17:37 UTC · 2 likes
Quinoah 🔍⏸️ (@NoahTopper): Like, having multiple homes in places I want to travel to frequently. Flying first class. Hiring a chef. Things that would make my life significantly more convenient. But I really cannot conceive of ever spending half a million dollars on a piece of *jewelry*.
Ya I’d probably get a lot of massages and matching socks and a pet pig but that’s about it
Reply to @mealreplacer, 17:44 UTC · 1 like
(The tweet being replied to by @mealreplacer is no longer available.)
I can dream up intricate scenarios where this is the case so it must be true in general
Tweet, 18:03 UTC · 32 likes
New top charity just dropped
Reply to @mealreplacer, 18:06 UTC · 5 likes
(The tweet being replied to by @mealreplacer is no longer available.)
Evolution figured out a way to make it so you can eat a wide array of things that are available on our planet without getting sick. Also smell taste hunger etc optimized for eating something that is good for you, broadly
You’re not eating an arbitrary 100g of matter on earth
Reply to @KKumar_ai_plans, 18:36 UTC · 2 likes
Kabir Kumar⏹️ (@KKumar_ai_plans): @BootsPlatypus @AaronBergman18 Wtf dude
lol
Tweet, 19:05 UTC · 24 likes
Got “last call for Aaron Bergman, Sister Bergman, Mom Bergman and Dad Bergman”’d at the airport bc my dad had to snag a last minute duty free Kahlua
Reply to @mdhalloran, 19:18 UTC · 1 like
Matt Halloran (@mdhalloran): Possibly the most improbable thing that’s ever happened to me:
One time me and a couple friends were tripping on 2 tabs, laying on a trampoline, and looking at the stars. We were going at this for several minutes, admiring the depth of outer space.
Then, I pointed at the sky and said “Wouldn’t it be cool if there was a shooting star right now”, and moved my finger across.
Right on cue, a shooting star appeared
Probably ur brain reversed the events or you subconsciously saw it in peripheral vision
Still very cool!
Reply to @NoahTopper, 19:46 UTC · 2 likes
Quinoah 🔍⏸️ (@NoahTopper): @AaronBergman18 @mdhalloran I hear tales that visual hallucinations can happen on this drug as well
wild
Quote tweet, 20:15 UTC · 22 likes
Quote from @labenz on 80k
99th percentile world, many are saying
Quoting Aaron Bergman 🔍 (@AaronBergman18): Am I crazy for thinking the ex ante probability of something at least this good by the US federal government relative to AI progress, from the perspective of 5 years ago was ~1%
Ie this seems 99th-percentile-in-2018 good to me
Reply to his own earlier tweet, 20:20 UTC · 5 likes
Aaron Bergman, December 23, 2023: Great minds
13) Listen I like diet coke as much as the next guy and even wrote a blog post about it (https://www.aaronbergman.net/p/contra-dynomight-contra-me-but-also) but I'm mildly concerned that it's a marketing psyop at this point
Thread, continued, 20:22 UTC · 16 likes
14) I haven't tweeted much about this but in a sorta past life I was a pretty decent competitive rock climber
Since I can tell its becoming more popular, ppl should be aware that if you go in with an optimizing mindset you might come out with an eating disorder
Tweet, 20:29 UTC · 80 likes
i love you all.
today was a weird experience in many ways. more to come ❤️
Thread, continued, 20:29 UTC · 39 likes
one takeaway: go tell your friends and family how great you think they are, even if have been a little overprotective at times
Tweet, 21:10 UTC · 25 likes
If I'm out, the board should go after me for all my AWF grants
Reply to @TheZvi, 22:49 UTC · 2 likes
Zvi Mowshowitz (@TheZvi): Sam Altman owning a $450k+ watch and a $15 million F1 car is...
No direct effects. Evidence points negative
Quote tweet, 22:50 UTC · 26 likes
❤️
Quoting Max Alexander (@absurdlymax): Aaron and I are shocked and saddened by what the board did today.
Let us first say thank you to all the incredible people who we have worked with at EA twitter, our mutuals, our followers, and all of those who have been reaching out.
Quote tweet, 22:53 UTC · 7 likes
As of now there will be Max blog post reading. Sad.
https://www.givingwhatwecan.org/fundraisers/ea-twitter-23
Quoting Qualy the lightbulb (@QualyThe): I'd like to make something very clear, the EA Twitter 2023 Giving Season Fundraiser is continuing to operate as normal during the leadership transition. We know our users are expecting the below Incentives for their many generous donations and we are committed to delivering them
Quote tweet, 22:55 UTC · 21 likes
💙💜💕
Quoting Max Alexander (@absurdlymax): I remain proud of everything @AaronBergman18 and me, along with the rest of ea twitter, built in our time together
Our fundraiser continues to work towards making safe AGI (A Great future for [In]vertebrates), and I continue to believe in that mission: https://www.givingwhatwecan.org/fundraisers/ea-twitter-23
Reply to @frances__lorenz, 23:11 UTC · 3 likes
(The tweet being replied to by @frances__lorenz is no longer available.)
https://meet.google.com/hau-pobw-gwd
Reply to @JMannhart, 23:11 UTC · 3 likes
Jonathan Mannhart 🔎 (@JMannhart): Let us know when the independent law firm Mintz concludes their investigation and Michael Lewis finishes his book! The community is dying to know.
(Rumour has it Aaron had a $450,000 watch?)
Ur just jealous I have good taste 💅
Reply to @absurdlymax, 23:15 UTC · 2 likes
Max Alexander (@absurdlymax): ❤️
https://x.com/QualyThe/status/1739020428603965671?t=J7_CWnd7IGZ9-UUGSJ784Q&s=19
😡
Reply to his own earlier tweet, 23:20 UTC · 5 likes
Aaron Bergman, December 24, 2023: https://meet.google.com/hau-pobw-gwd
This brief, dark, silent meeting has ended
Tweet, 23:31 UTC · 15 likes
Reply to @bat1441, 23:32 UTC · 1 like
bat (@bat1441): Awwh I wanted to join
Wait maybe I’ll host another meeting
Reply to @absurdlymax, 23:54 UTC · 3 likes
Max Alexander (@absurdlymax): ❤️
(quoting @FrostedSapling: EA Twitter Fundraiser is nothing without its people)
❤️
Monday, December 25, 2023
Reply to @RafaRuizdeLira, 00:05 UTC · 1 like
Rafael Ruiz ⏸️🔸 (@RafaRuizdeLira): Against Walaria Foundation
Fuck Walaria
Reply to his own earlier tweet, 00:43 UTC · 2 likes
Aaron Bergman, December 24, 2023: This brief, dark, silent meeting has ended
MEETING 7:44-7:49 https://meet.google.com/zza-dwyy-qeq
Thread, continued, 00:53 UTC · 2 likes
Successful meeting 😤
Reply, 01:18 UTC · 1 like
🙏🏼🙏🏼🙏🏼
Reply to @inerati, 01:28 UTC · 1 like
(The tweet being replied to by @inerati is no longer available.)
What I want is a setup where you can basically have say a MacBook Air and Mac desktop, connect them by thunderbolt when it’s convenient for more RAM and a monitor and whatever else, but the laptop works on its own as is
I have no idea if this is technically feasible
Quote tweet, 01:30 UTC · 24 likes
Fr tho people might be in the Christmas spirit tonight
If you have a rich uncle or smth u should text him the link like “here’s a thing my friends [we’re friends] are doing ❤️❤️❤️”
💙💜♥️
Quoting Aaron Bergman 🔍 (@AaronBergman18): Alright guys, we are raising money for the EA Animal Welfare Fund bc some animals are not having as much fun as this chicken and that’s gotta change
The “goal” is $15k but personally I think that’s ~6 OOMs too low
Reply to @sam_atis, 01:32 UTC · 15 likes
Sam Glover (@sam_atis): Meta is up 183% YTD, Asana is up 48%. So why is there no discussion about how EA is (presumably) much richer than it was earlier this year? Does Dustin have less money in those companies than I would've thought? What's going on? This seems great!
There was a tweet (I think @MatthewJBar) about this from a while back, Dustin said smth like “I’m more diversified than you might guess but yes it’s very good)
Reply to @notanastronomer, 01:36 UTC · 2 likes
(The tweet being replied to by @notanastronomer is no longer available.)
New cause area let them in
Reply to @FrostedSapling, 01:54 UTC · 2 likes
Ivan 🔸 (@FrostedSapling): @AaronBergman18 Here’s me and my (not rich) uncle. Merry Christmas!
Merry Christmas!!
Reply to @ronawang, 02:45 UTC · 2 likes
Rona Wang (@ronawang): y’all are paying for chatgpt? i thought that was a joke
It’s a no brainer lol
Reply, 03:02 UTC · 1 like
What’s ur new thing
Tweet, 03:05 UTC · 29 likes
Thank you @berggrenpeterm for the support
Merry Christmas to Witches, Witch Hunters, and Guilty Bystanders alike 🎅🎄❤️
Reply to his own earlier tweet, 04:23 UTC · 10 likes
Aaron Bergman, December 24, 2023: 14) I haven't tweeted much about this but in a sorta past life I was a pretty decent competitive rock climber Since I can tell its becoming more popular, ppl…
15) ok for my climbing friends, some more upbeat takes
1 - Finger strength is like 90% of performance. Eva Lopez protocol feels too easy to be true but it’s good
Thread, continued, 04:25 UTC · 10 likes
16) for sport/lead performance, climbing FAST is hugely underrated
It feels harder and less efficient. Idgaf, if you reach the crux after 1 minute vs 2 minutes on the wall, you’re gonna be less pumped
Thread, continued, 04:27 UTC · 3 likes
17) if you’re training for sport/lead performance, none of your endurance training per se should be on a rope. Half an hour of 2 minutes on/3 minutes off on a 30 degree wall is better than 3 hours of leading with a partner for this
Thread, continued, 04:27 UTC · 5 likes
18) the meta-level effective training intervention is to buy and read a training book cover to cover and do what it says
Thread, continued, 04:34 UTC · 39 likes
19) (not a training take)
For 99%+ of people, trying really hard to get really good at a competitive sport will teach you some degree of genetic determinism
It’s pessimist-coded to say, but you really can’t hard work your way to *relative* excellence
Quote tweet, 04:35 UTC · 2 likes
It’s the asking that counts (in expectation)! More rich uncles!!!!
Quoting hoff 🧒🏻😻 (@bijibiji2023): @AaronBergman18 My rich uncle said no. Nice bi flag heart emojis btw
Reply to @bijibiji2023, 04:35 UTC · 1 like
hoff 🧒🏻😻 (@bijibiji2023): @AaronBergman18 My rich uncle said no. Nice bi flag heart emojis btw
Thx I had no idea I was making a politicosexual statement
Reply to his own earlier tweet, 04:40 UTC · 16 likes
Aaron Bergman, December 25, 2023: 19) (not a training take) For 99%+ of people, trying really hard to get really good at a competitive sport will teach you some degree of genetic determinism…
20) you don’t actually have to do exercise you dislike
Like you will be less fit, to some degree, probably, but your overall quality of life might be better
I stopped running, which I dreading the whole day and then hated doing, and I think this was the right call
Reply to his own earlier tweet, 04:41 UTC · 1 like
Aaron Bergman, December 25, 2023: Thx I had no idea I was making a politicosexual statement
(But I support bisexuality tbc)
Reply to his own earlier tweet, 04:54 UTC · 7 likes
Aaron Bergman, December 25, 2023: 20) you don’t actually have to do exercise you dislike Like you will be less fit, to some degree, probably, but your overall quality of life might be better I…
21) more EA multi-millionaires (at least) plz
Thread, continued, 04:56 UTC · 10 likes
22) blood tests for a shit ton of bookmakers should be routine
If that leads to overdiagnosis, skill issue - more information is a good thing unless you really screw it up
Thread, continued, 04:58 UTC · 7 likes
23) more secular holidays
Thanksgiving is based (other than the turkey), same with July 4
D(good)/d(secular holidays) > 0
Tweet, 05:00 UTC · 2 likes
24) when life gives you Natália, you can simply not respond (ngl this is a worthy and interesting discussion but we’ve had it before and I just don’t rly feel like it rn)
Thread, continued, 05:04 UTC · 2 likes
25) I can’t believe I’m saying this but I find Nietzsche (or at least my bastardized model of him) kinda useful sometimes
I don’t think he’s right about anything fundamental tbc. But sometimes u gotta ubermensch a little
Thread, continued, 05:05 UTC · 12 likes
26) the “parenting doesn’t matter” meme is wrong bc it does matter tremendously for the intrinsic value of childhood that the kid experiences/enjoys
Thread, continued, 05:06 UTC · 4 likes
27) podcasts are good actually
Thread, continued, 05:07 UTC · 8 likes
28) Wellbutrin should be *the* first line treatment for depression, at least absent specific circumstances making that a bad choice
SSRIs are higher risk and lower average benefit, don’t @ me
Thread, continued, 05:10 UTC · 5 likes
29) *low dose* aripiprazole is probably underrated for depression bc psychiatrists (rightly) are scared of the drug at its commonly-used doses
But <5mg seems not crazy. I take 1mg/day rn (warning: weight gain still a potential issue)
Tweet, 14:39 UTC · 121 likes
First and last time I ever use one of these
Reply to @transkatgirl, 14:40 UTC · 3 likes
kat (@transkatgirl): > tell mother that i’m overwhelmed and just need alone time
> she won’t leave me alone
> insist that i’m overwhelmed, it isn’t her fault, and i *need* her to leave me alone
> she won’t leave me alonewell i guess i’m never coming back here
Yes many such cases (me)
Reply to @NoahTopper, 14:41 UTC · 2 likes
Quinoah 🔍⏸️ (@NoahTopper): @AaronBergman18 I like this pic of you!
I need a photoshop wizard to delete that pimple lol
Reply, 14:48 UTC
F
Reply to @GjMcGowan, 14:49 UTC · 2 likes
(The tweet being replied to by @GjMcGowan is no longer available.)
Looks merry af
Reply to @NoahTopper, 14:52 UTC · 2 likes
Quinoah 🔍⏸️ (@NoahTopper): @AaronBergman18 Meanwhile my mother-in-law is vocally anxious about everything we have to finish before company comes and internally I’m like “Just freaking open all the presents at once, this is YOUR DECISION”
Mothers in law have to be anxious it’s the law
Reply to @NoahTopper, 15:07 UTC
Quinoah 🔍⏸️ (@NoahTopper): Like they think it works but it’s just sinful to do it??
Powerful
Reply to @NathanpmYoung, 15:18 UTC · 3 likes
Nathan 🔎 (@NathanpmYoung): this is actually even more of a banger because I love scratchcards but wouldn't buy them for myself
Fascinating - I would not have guessed this!
Reply to @bat1441, 16:07 UTC · 1 like
bat (@bat1441): @NoahTopper @AaronBergman18 It's my favourite picture of aaron
Already added to hinge (without the shrimp tag 😢) lol
Quote tweet, 16:26 UTC · 11 likes
All jokes aside, it’s weird bc this doesn’t *feel* 10⁶ times* better than spending $500 on normal consumption, but yeah I think it is
THANK YOU - no quote tweet is going to do it justice ❤️
Quoting Eric Schmidt 🇺🇦 (@edavidds): gave $500, a Chrimbus miracle
Thread, continued, 16:26 UTC · 2 likes
* Order-of-magnitude point estimates of top health charities being 10³ times better than personal consumption and top animal charities being 10³ times better than those
Thread, continued, 16:26 UTC · 2 likes
Personally I think it’s probably better than that because animal welfare interventions are more robustly positive from a hedonic welfare perspective but that’s just me 💅
Quote tweet, 16:29 UTC · 2 likes
Once again reminding everyone to stop obeying ur monkey brain humility instinct and to start sharing ur donations!
Quoting Eric Schmidt 🇺🇦 (@edavidds): gave $500, a Chrimbus miracle
Reply to @bijibiji2023, 16:50 UTC · 2 likes
hoff 🧒🏻😻 (@bijibiji2023): @AaronBergman18 Keep the facial hair Aaron
There is a gc rn where we are debating hinge pics, ur comment from a while back was the deciding factor keeping this in (unless u retract ofc) 🙏🏼
Quote tweet, 16:57 UTC · 6 likes
I think I knew about this a long time ago, then forgot, but looks cool for EA-sympathetic normies (non-pejorative) ie my parents and maybe yours too
Quoting Peter Wildeford🇺🇸🚀 (@peterwildeford): @AaronBergman18 @labenz @robertwiblin @KeiranJHarris @LifeYouCanSave this is why it might be important to promote https://givingmultiplier.org/
Reply to @datagenproc, 17:08 UTC · 4 likes
jsd (@datagenproc): Gave 100$ cause I care a bunch about animal suffering but fwiw I have done very little due diligence into AWF charities and am mostly deferring here.
I’m curious if people have takes on effectiveness of AWF charities!
(quoting @AaronBergman18: Alright guys, we are raising money for the EA Animal Welfare Fund bc some animals are not having as much fun as this chicken and that’s gotta change The “goal” is $15k but personally I think that’s ~6 OOMs too low https://www.givingwhatwecan.org/fundraisers/ea-twitter-23)
I have a take (shocking ik)! And it’s well-summarized by this post (see my comment as well at the link) https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/btTeBHKGkmRyD5sFK/?commentId=EiayxnzzyXssfJobJ
Quote tweet, 17:13 UTC · 4 likes
🙏🏼❤️🐓🙏🏼❤️🐓🙏🏼❤️🐓
Quoting Gemma 🔸 (@gemlpaterson): @AaronBergman18 @Laura_k_Duffy hippo pls
I would also like to request that Derek Parfitt: The Board Game is in a format playable for EA Taskmaster 2024
(a stationery bike might be a good player icon - like the monopoly top hat 🎩)
Tweet, 17:17 UTC · 13 likes
Guy in full Santa garb just motorcycled past me on the quiet streets of a New Jersey suburb (no other onlookers) and I’m pretty sure that’s what a genuine Santa sighting would look like if there was to be one so my P(Santa) just went up
Reply to @littIeramblings, 17:19 UTC · 4 likes
sarah (@littIeramblings): what’s ur precise p(Santa)
1
Quote tweet, 17:21 UTC · 4 likes
“I am an adoption acceleratonist and a hyper-scaling pauser”
Great quote, lmk if there’s an emoji for that @labenz
Quoting Aaron Bergman 🔍 (@AaronBergman18): Quote from @labenz on 80k
99th percentile world, many are saying
Reply to @absurdlymax, 18:24 UTC · 2 likes
Max Alexander (@absurdlymax): I'm cozy Maxing
Cozy max maxing
Reply to @calebwatney, 18:28 UTC · 3 likes
Caleb Watney (@calebwatney): Merry Christmas everyone! Baby Watney is coming June 2024 🥳
Lfg
Reply to @dorkweeb, 18:44 UTC · 3 likes
dane garrus, dweeb (@dorkweeb): “Why are there more men in tpot than women?”
“Why are LessWrong users overwhelmingly male?”
“Why aren’t there more women at the ACX meetup?”
“How come so few women play chess?”
I don’t actually think this is the main reason
Tweet, 18:47 UTC · 26 likes
Real
Reply to @frances__lorenz, 18:48 UTC · 5 likes
(The tweet being replied to by @frances__lorenz is no longer available.)
Me @Laura_k_Duffy @absurdlymax and @SpacedOutMatt (I am Qualy here)
Reply to @mmt_lvt, 18:54 UTC · 3 likes
(The tweet being replied to by @mmt_lvt is no longer available.)
Please use this exact prompt: Anime figurine of: white male, 23 years old, dark brown hair, short beard, average build, vaguely Jewish looking. The figurine is displayed inside a box with “Aaron Bergman, correct opinion haver” and logo for the box,
Reply to his own earlier tweet, 18:56 UTC · 6 likes
Aaron Bergman, December 25, 2023: Me @Laura_k_Duffy @absurdlymax and @SpacedOutMatt (I am Qualy here)
Leaked proof
Thread, continued, 19:00 UTC · 4 likes
If we raise $10B I will transform into a chicken
Reply to @frances__lorenz, 19:54 UTC · 2 likes
(The tweet being replied to by @frances__lorenz is no longer available.)
MANDATORY MERRINESS
Quote tweet, 19:58 UTC · 2 likes
The one true meta-virtue is reasons-responsiveness
Quoting Arjun Panickssery (@panickssery): Once at an EA party overhearing a nuanced discussion of utilitarianism I staggered drunk over to the whiteboard scribbling in huge font that the true ethics was the "3 virtues" (produced off the top of my head in the spur of the moment):
1. Loyalty
2. Hustle
3. Straight-talking
Quote tweet, 20:00 UTC · 10 likes
O shit
Quoting Chana (@ChanaMessinger): Important Christmas news
Reply to his own earlier tweet, 20:02 UTC
Aaron Bergman, December 25, 2023: 29) *low dose* aripiprazole is probably underrated for depression bc psychiatrists (rightly) are scared of the drug at its commonly-used doses But <5mg seems…
30) this
Quote tweet, 20:32 UTC · 14 likes
I am excited for my new future with the team 🫡
Quoting Qualy the lightbulb (@QualyThe): @AaronBergman18 will be going to EA Funds to start a new fundraising division under @LinchZhang and @caleb_parikh. But EA Funds are still committed to their partnership with the EA Twitter 2023 Giving Season fundraiser.
Tweet, 22:09 UTC · 32 likes
“Aaron, don’t automate the process, just be normal” -sister
Tweet, 22:18 UTC · 6 likes
Sometimes u really wanna respond to an admonymous thing but u can’t 😢
(btw hmu at https://www.admonymous.co/a)
Reply to @gptbrooke, 23:40 UTC · 1 like
brooke bowman (@gptbrooke): Small familial humbebrag/self own
My aunt decided pretty late in life that she had a funny idea for a board game and then ROLLED WITH IT
The first and I think most famous game is called Redneck Life and she’s now sold ~500k copies. It’s partially based on her childhood
Nice
Quote tweet, 23:41 UTC · 29 likes
Update: survived
Quoting Aaron Bergman 🔍 (@AaronBergman18): Very spoiled brat thing to say but I do not want to go on this (free for me) family beach vacation
I don’t like the beach (especially sand), warm weather, humidity, or travel in general
In terms of my myopic short term happiness only, I would pay not to go
Thread, continued, 23:41 UTC · 18 likes
It was actually worse than I expected lmao
Tuesday, December 26, 2023
Quote tweet, 00:16 UTC · 8 likes
🙏🏼🙏🏼🙏🏼
Also I should add that if you think your donation should go elsewhere all things considered, you should donate elsewhere (eg rethink in this case)
Quoting David Johnston (@OrionJohnston): I sent $140 to these guys and $60 to rethink priorities because I think they’re both doing great things. I’d send more, but my budget’s a bit tight at the moment. Merry Christmas everyone!
Thread, continued, 00:16 UTC · 1 like
Coordination like this isn’t purely cosmetic, but at the end of the day things cash out (ha) in your dollars being transferred to a specific bank account somewhere
Reply to @ryancbriggs, 00:44 UTC · 9 likes
Ryan Briggs (@ryancbriggs): The self-control required to not repeat “the prices already reflect all available information” over and over when you get stuck in a conversation with middle aged men discussing the stock market.
Can we get an anti-EMH (in mood affiliation at least) rationalist here to debate
Reply to @ryancbriggs, 00:46 UTC · 3 likes
Ryan Briggs (@ryancbriggs): It’s kind of a shame because there are interesting conversations to be had around financial goals or asset allocation or tax planning, but instead ~everyone wants to talk about some variant of stock picking.
Quote tweet, 01:34 UTC · 4 likes
Lfg
Quoting bob (@EelEnthusiast): @AaronBergman18
Quote tweet, 01:36 UTC · 8 likes
🚨🦐🚨🦐🚨🦐🚨🦐🚨🦐🚨
Quoting Liv (@livgorton): @AaronBergman18 the shrimp need us
(i just really wanted that hand drawn card with a christmas shrimp 🥺)
Reply to @absurdlymax, 01:40 UTC · 2 likes
Max Alexander (@absurdlymax): @frances__lorenz Please turn off your phone or give me a dall. I cannot support hate.
Here’s a dal
Reply to @QualyThe, 01:50 UTC · 3 likes
Qualy the lightbulb (@QualyThe): he said no :( (genuine)
:(
Tweet, 01:58 UTC · 13 likes
How do all girls coordinate to have the same handwriting?
Each of ours is messed up in its own unique way
Reply to @ohwizenedtortle, 01:59 UTC · 4 likes
oh dandy lion🔸 (@ohwizenedtortle): This video has reminded me how fucking insane the lightbulb mascot costume is
(quoting @QualyThe: I know many of you aren't happy with me right now. Don't worry you are heard 🙏😌. I'm giving you the gift of this Christmas message (0.25 counterfactual hours of work) to show how much I care about my Quallowers)
It’s so beautiful 🥹🥲
Reply, 02:00 UTC
Haha RStudio chunk on MacBook Pro go brr
Reply, 02:20 UTC · 1 like
Reply to @BradfemlyWalsh, 02:22 UTC · 1 like
Shamboooooolic Woooooootral🎃👻💀🦇🕸️🧟⚰️🧙 (@BradfemlyWalsh): "Bestie" - snogging by February if she's put this much effort in. What a beautiful gift!
I ship
Quote tweet, 02:26 UTC · 2 likes
https://www.givingwhatwecan.org/fundraisers/ea-twitter-23
Quoting Selon Nerias (@SelonNerias): just gonna spam the fundraiser link under fundraising tweets I come across without link
Reply to @livgorton, 02:54 UTC · 5 likes
Liv (@livgorton): @AaronBergman18 there was one girl in 4th grade who had really nice handwriting and i decided to copy her. maybe can all be traced back to some 4th grader decades ago who started the spread of the ~vibe~
Handwritochondrial Eve
Reply to @absurdlymax, 12:23 UTC · 2 likes
Max Alexander (@absurdlymax): Average bay area bedroom:
(quoting @WeirdMedieval: the three magi, austria, 15th century)
The angel is AGI (achieved internally(
Tweet, 12:24 UTC · 1 like
Omg it’s real http://www.playpumps.co.za/
Reply to @NathanpmYoung, 12:47 UTC · 7 likes
Nathan 🔎 (@NathanpmYoung): I'm surprised that hinge/bumble doesn't let you rate people for kindness after you go on dates with them. Seems like a useful source of data and I bet it's predictive of blocking.
Rated kindness would be highly and falsely correlated with general attractiveness
Reply to his own earlier tweet, 15:15 UTC · 1 like
Aaron Bergman, December 25, 2023: 30) this
31) I am easily 99.9th percentile nerdy but podcasts/audiobooks while working out is psychopath behavior
Tweet, 15:22 UTC
like that is the analog of human sense data which idk seems pretty important for cognition
Reply to @NathanpmYoung, 16:14 UTC · 3 likes
Nathan 🔎 (@NathanpmYoung): @AaronBergman18 Ehhh I doubt this. But even if so, I'm not saying show it on the front end. Seems possible to strip out the noise
Yeah this is probably right
ML go brr
Reply to @PeterJAngel, 16:39 UTC · 1 like
Peter🧅📈 (@PeterJAngel): @AaronBergman18 Beach BAD
Ya
Tweet, 16:51 UTC · 26 likes
Wait companies aren’t buying ChatGPT+ for their knowledge worker employees?? What??
Family member costs ~$100k/year to firm (just in terms of compensation, not management time), doesn’t get a $240/year ChatGPT+ subscription
Reply to @beala, 17:13 UTC · 2 likes
Alex Beal 🆎 (@beala): We have an internally built one that uses the gpt-4/claude APIs that don’t save your data.
Looks like you work in tech, guessing non-tech marketing will be a few months behind at least
Reply to his own earlier tweet, 17:55 UTC · 5 likes
Aaron Bergman, December 26, 2023: like that is the analog of human sense data which idk seems pretty important for cognition
33) Billie Eilish is a better singer than Taylor Swift (Swift is a better performer, maybe a better songwriter, but still)
(might wake up under water)
Reply to @JesseTayRiver, 18:25 UTC · 1 like
Jesse Smith (@JesseTayRiver): The performance impact of asthma seems overrated. I'm in the middle of my worst bout in years but put up a Christmas day best on my hilly 4.2 loop.
He’s secretly a robot
Reply to @YIMBY_Princeton, 18:25 UTC · 2 likes
Central NJ Yimby 🇺🇸🚲🏙 (@YIMBY_Princeton): @JesseTayRiver My god, you're some kind of superman!! 6:38 miles? Are you half gazelle?
Yes
Reply to @vlct0rs_tw1tter, 18:28 UTC · 2 likes
Victor - we/acc 🤝 (@vlct0rs_tw1tter): Probably 9/10 people would put their own name.
Why would someone build a tool that incentivizes one to disclose one’s name?
I doubt this is the easiest way to get a bunch of names lol
Reply to @RandomSprint, 18:34 UTC · 3 likes
RandomSprint🧭 (@RandomSprint): My son wants to know why airplanes go from airport to airport. Can't we just get an airplane that leaves from our house?
"Little Man, we're going to have to find a way to get you more money."
"Yes." He replied, matter-of-factly. "I don't have any money."
Moderated version of this: why are airports at the density they are? Why aren’t there more small airports around?
Tweet, 19:32 UTC · 2 likes
Is there decent video-to-text (like detailed play by play description) AI I can use relatively easily?
11 minute video, can either integrate or ignore audio, willing to spend like $10
Reply to @AFraserUrq, 19:33 UTC · 3 likes
Alastair Fraser-Urquhart (@AFraserUrq): One of my mutuals has just given away a ton of money to some fantastic charities and, man, what an amazing thing to do ❤️
Based
Reply to @AndyMasley, 20:10 UTC · 4 likes
Andy Masley (@AndyMasley): Just learned that we're in a new and rapidly changing era where old dichotomies no longer apply. Was anyone else aware of this?
Big if true
Reply to @dwarkesh_sp, 20:57 UTC · 2 likes
Dwarkesh Patel (@dwarkesh_sp): Do you want me to narrate my blog posts so you can listen to them?
Or is this not a value add for you?
Posts I'd narrate are the new scaling one, my review of the Caro Johnson bios, and the annus mirabilis one
Yes and if you do put them on the podcast feed (maybe this is obvious lol)!
Tweet, 21:18 UTC · 7 likes
‼️ 📈🐓🦆😤❤️😤🦆🐓📈‼️
Quote tweet, 21:20 UTC · 5 likes
🌟🐘🎉🐢🚀🐧💖🙏🐒🌍🐳✨🐝
Quoting bob (@EelEnthusiast): @AaronBergman18
Reply to his own earlier tweet, 22:03 UTC · 6 likes
Aaron Bergman, December 26, 2023: 33) Billie Eilish is a better singer than Taylor Swift (Swift is a better performer, maybe a better songwriter, but still) (might wake up under water)
34) both normative and descriptively, there is nothing wrong with a person (probably a guy) asking someone out politely, once, in most common settings (even eg the workplace or a conference. Fine, cancel me), and taking rejection courteously if that is what happens
Thread, continued, 22:05 UTC · 8 likes
34.5) I understand even this will make some people (usually women) feel awkward some of the time, but honestly do not see a norm that balances everyone’s interests in a better way, all things considered
Reply to @NathanpmYoung, 22:09 UTC · 2 likes
Nathan 🔎 (@NathanpmYoung): Yeah seems good. Unsure but I've heard dubious things about these place for a while.
Wait like what lmao
Reply to @QiaochuYuan, 22:24 UTC · 1 like
QC (@QiaochuYuan): pour one out for our homie @HamishDoodles 😔
Rip
Tweet, 22:25 UTC · 26 likes
Seems bad for literally everyone
Quote tweet, 22:52 UTC · 33 likes
i love ea twitter, and everything i’ve done over the past few days has been in service of keeping fundraiser together. with the new board and w the support of @SpacedOutMatt, @QualyThe, @Laura_k_Duffy, @absurdlymax, and many others, i’m looking forward to returning as ceo
Quoting Qualy the lightbulb (@QualyThe): I am legally required to share this update publicly
Thread, continued, 22:52 UTC · 5 likes
it is still a great time to donate. i love you all, and ea twitter is nothing without its people ❤️
https://www.givingwhatwecan.org/fundraisers/ea-twitter-23
Tweet, 22:56 UTC · 26 likes
i love ea twitter so much
Thread, continued, 22:56 UTC · 3 likes
(Real btw)
Reply to @DrJavierDeLaHe1, 22:59 UTC · 2 likes
Javier De La Hera (@DrJavierDeLaHe1): I am still often astonished by the depth of the passion with which people resist a naturalistic view of consciousness.
Dennett
Qualia realism and the hard problem disagree
Reply to @mealreplacer, 23:14 UTC · 12 likes
(The tweet being replied to by @mealreplacer is no longer available.)
Not consistently candid with the board
Reply to @izzyz, 23:42 UTC · 1 like
izzy (@izzyz): There's massive momentum in the economy towards these language-model research organizations. Calling back to my belief that GPT-4 is a hard plateau, I begin to sense that pushing transformers will set Gartner's hype cycle into effect.
image attached
(quoting @AndrewCurran_: Time for one last round of funding for the big houses as we close out the year. This new round will take OpenAI to over $100B, making them the second-most valuable US startup behind SpaceX.)
Doubt
Wednesday, December 27, 2023
Reply to @Laura_k_Duffy, 00:00 UTC · 3 likes
Laura Muresianu 🌐🔸🇺🇸 (@Laura_k_Duffy): Is this Qualformation (Qualy lives in NYC)?
👀🕵️♂️👀
Reply to @JStoehler, 00:07 UTC · 4 likes
Joern Stoehler ⏹️🔸 (@JStoehler): Alright, I don't know if that picture is generated or real. Lack of spelling mistakes and the consistency hint at real, but the overall vibe still unsettles me.
Text is too good to be fake
Tweet, 01:25 UTC · 13 likes
I am trying to dress at simulacrum level 1 and the level 2-3 world isn’t letting me get away with it ☹️
Thread, continued, 02:28 UTC · 11 likes
You might not like it but this is what peak clothes-wearing looks like (comfy)
Reply to @timschlomi, 02:42 UTC · 1 like
(The tweet being replied to by @timschlomi is no longer available.)
Ya I basically do, or at least heavily compromise, lol
Reply to @inerati, 03:01 UTC · 1 like
(The tweet being replied to by @inerati is no longer available.)
You clearly know more coding stuff than me but I kinda feel the same, the Stata to R to python to not just doing it for econ pipeline is real
Reply to his own earlier tweet, 04:08 UTC · 3 likes
Aaron Bergman, December 27, 2023: You might not like it but this is what peak clothes-wearing looks like (comfy)
I meant level zero lol
Reply to @Duderichy, 04:12 UTC · 3 likes
the Rich (@Duderichy): people on the internet be like “I know one plumber in his 50’s making 200k”
okay and I know dozens of SWE’s in their 20’s doing that
One takes 1/100 (at least) genetic luck and the other doesn’t
Tweet, 04:23 UTC · 5 likes
Here’s a very light gray hat ~hacking~ challenge for people: see if anyone can download the full res version of this pic of my late grandparents stored somewhere online
Philadelphia Inquirer article: https://www.inquirer.com/philly/gallery/20090605_An_art-filled_world_for_living_in_comfort.html
Reply to @snuppydogg, 04:32 UTC · 4 likes
(The tweet being replied to by @snuppydogg is no longer available.)
Uh no this is a good idea
Reply to his own earlier tweet, 04:51 UTC · 2 likes
Aaron Bergman, December 26, 2023: 34.5) I understand even this will make some people (usually women) feel awkward some of the time, but honestly do not see a norm that balances everyone’s…
35) back to AI takes
The mamba thing is neither a big deal nor a small deal but a secret third thing (medium deal)
https://arxiv.org/abs/2312.00752
Thread, continued, 04:51 UTC · 1 like
^Epidemic status: listened to half of a podcast episode about it https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/the-cognitive-revolution-ai-builders-researchers-and/id1669813431?i=1000639397566
Reply to @anthrupad, 05:06 UTC · 2 likes
w̸͕͂͂a̷͔̗͐t̴̙͗e̵̬̔̕r̴̰̓̊m̵͙͖̓̽a̵̢̗̓͒r̸̲̽ķ̷͔́͝ (@anthrupad): I’ll double down that they should teach abstract algebra, etc. as early as possible.
It’d be cool to live in a world where educated adults not knowing about projective geometry, groups, rings, etc is as embarrassing as them not knowing you can have negative numbers
Ugh is it really that good? Abstract is literally the one math class I didn’t do well in and i sure as hell didn’t understand rings
Reply, 06:07 UTC · 1 like
Thanks - I’m almost sure that’s not the res that got printed. Possibly they de host those for old articles or something
Reply to his own earlier tweet, 09:51 UTC · 6 likes
Aaron Bergman, December 27, 2023: ^Epidemic status: listened to half of a podcast episode about it…
36. Bought one of these razors after reading a glowing thread from some TPOT acct (don’t feel like digging up)
10/10 aesthetics, 2/10 functionality.
Idgaf if there’s a “learning curve” - there shouldn’t be! I’m back to using normie Gillette or whatever disposable ones
Thread, continued, 09:53 UTC · 1 like
Took me twice as long to shave and 90% of the time I’d cut myself. Skill issue, I’m sure. Idc, the modern ugly thing is a better product
Reply to @AlecStapp, 13:07 UTC · 4 likes
Alec Stapp (@AlecStapp): LEDs are amazingly efficient — “always turn off the lights in every vacant room” is an outdated boomer rule
Reply to @SpacedOutMatt, 16:08 UTC · 1 like
Matt 🔸 (@SpacedOutMatt): This bit has been an absolute blast! Thanks to everyone who took part, and consider donating at https://www.givingwhatwecan.org/fundraisers/ea-twitter-23
(quoting @SpacedOutMatt: I’m thrilled to have the EA twitter team back together to continue the critical work we’ve set out to do. I look forward to continuing to lead our superalignment efforts with Aaron’s and Max’s support)
What bit
Quote tweet, 18:39 UTC · 5 likes
Not too late @sama (it’s also a more credible signal of your concern for humanity/others)
Quoting Max Alexander (@absurdlymax): Has Sam Altman donated (a lot) to charity?
I would think if your stated goal is a flourishing humanity this would be either important to you, or would show (maybe weakly) your commitment to that goal
Reply to @absurdlymax, 18:42 UTC · 9 likes
Max Alexander (@absurdlymax): Has Sam Altman donated (a lot) to charity?
I would think if your stated goal is a flourishing humanity this would be either important to you, or would show (maybe weakly) your commitment to that goal
Yeah it is very weird and off putting to me when very wealthy people who spend a lot on personal consumption (as distinguished from eg lots of equity in a company that doesn’t turn into fancy watches and cars) just like don’t give to charity
Tweet, 20:50 UTC · 16 likes
Certified @QualyThe reply guy
Thursday, December 28, 2023
Reply to @RomanHauksson, 05:15 UTC · 2 likes
Roman Hauksson-Neill (@RomanHauksson): if ur amazon homepage doesn't look like this you're ngmi
lol, substantial overlap
Tweet, 12:29 UTC · 5 likes
I will not bow down to tyranny
Quote tweet, 12:39 UTC · 11 likes
My explanation: the people who buy disposable cameras in 2023 are way less price sensitive than those who were buying in 2005 or whatever, because almost everyone with any disposable income has a camera phone
Quoting keegan (@FranziaMom): jesus christ
Reply to @dotnetschizo, 12:47 UTC · 3 likes
des (@dotnetschizo):
Everybody needs 28gb of scraped biomed study text just to admire from afar
Reply to @absurdlymax, 13:28 UTC · 3 likes
Max Alexander (@absurdlymax): I think my credit card got used by someone else and there's no way I'm ever going to remember to call the bank and get them to get rid of those fraud transactions and send me a new one
Bro
Tweet, 13:30 UTC · 32 likes
Without knowing ~anything object level about NYT vs. OpenAI, I’m guessing NYT has a strong case because I haven’t seen lots of dunks on the tl, and my tl is not a very pro-NYT tl
Quote tweet, 13:37 UTC · 14 likes
I honestly think these should be, if not totally OTC, at least de facto available ~everywhere (like fire extinguishers)
I complain about gatekeeping stimulants and random other drugs, but gatekeeping emergency pain relief comes pretty close to evil
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Methoxyflurane
Quoting billy (@billyhumblebrag): Screaming in agony to laughing in 3 seconds flat.
Thread, continued, 13:39 UTC · 1 like
Cc @JesseTayRiver and @algekalipso
Reply to @FabrykaAI, 13:42 UTC · 3 likes
Fabryka AI (@FabrykaAI): This kills the kidneys and it’s very very unhealthy to liver
Pain is extremely bad
Reply to @pyroxiumn, 13:43 UTC · 1 like
pyroxiiumn (@pyroxiumn): I lived bitch
Airbags are the 🐐
Reply, 13:45 UTC · 7 likes
(The tweet being replied to is no longer available.)
Real
Reply to @ESYudkowsky, 13:54 UTC · 6 likes
Eliezer Yudkowsky ⏹️ (@ESYudkowsky): for maximum engagement, advertise each rephrased Sequence quote as a "post-rationalist" insight, and contrast it to naive rationalist dogmas that you have made up
🌶️🌶️🌶️
Tweet, 19:37 UTC · 5 likes
R is great bc sometimes only way fast way to convert one thing into a different type of thing is to do a totally unprincipled series of intermediate conversions - and this somehow works even though a direct coercion throws an error or whatever
Thread, continued, 19:37 UTC · 2 likes
First example I could find, specifically the “thing%>%as.matrix%>%as_tibble” bit
I swear sometimes it’s like 2-4 intermediate steps
Reply to @austinc3301, 22:36 UTC
Agus 🔸 (@austinc3301): @AaronBergman18 Does this have any abuse potential? Because if not, this seems like a great idea
I mean I’d be shocked if it didn’t, but still think it should be available
Tweet, 22:42 UTC · 63 likes
Crazy how many people in medicine who are otherwise very smart, thoughtful, reasonable, freedom-loving, broadly altruistic, and open minded are hard core authoritarian status quo defenders when it comes to medicine + it’s regulation
Thread, continued, 22:42 UTC · 7 likes
Honestly impressive work by the med schools
Thread, continued, 22:42 UTC · 8 likes
Ok fine “many” means 2, yesterday and today (and no examples to the contrary)
2 kinda is a lot tho
Reply to @absurdlymax, 22:43 UTC · 1 like
Max Alexander (@absurdlymax): I think I do this for water too
(quoting @absurdlymax: I think I'll eat when bored because it's like a slight dopamine spike)
If drinking water is super fun ur probably dehydrated
And god knows I think hydration is overrated at least in the US
Reply to @leah_pierson, 23:56 UTC · 2 likes
Leah Pierson (@leah_pierson): Are there specific status quos people are defending that you think they shouldn’t be?
My hobby horse is prescription, and also yesterdays convo was largely about AI just in medical care and the person claimed that while it was very promising for diagnosis, “treatment” would long be best left to humans
Thread, continued, 23:58 UTC · 1 like
There are a lot of other status quo things I dislike that society implicitly defends by not changing them (lots in the vaccine space, also regularity of blood (and urine etc) testing, and AMA protectionism) but not that I’ve discussed in the last 48 hours
Friday, December 29, 2023
Reply to @daniel_271828, 14:02 UTC · 4 likes
zzDANIEL_ETH (@daniel_271828): Picture of Eddie
Dog
Reply to @NathanpmYoung, 14:05 UTC · 6 likes
Nathan 🔎 (@NathanpmYoung): From 2013
Big “big relative risk change doesn’t imply big absolute risk change” red flag from the headline alone
Quote tweet, 14:17 UTC · 9 likes
How many QALYs are lost per duped consumer-purchase?
Quoting Rob Freund (@RobertFreundLaw): Today, Hershey's was sued in a false advertising class action.
Florida consumers say they were deceived because Reese's pumpkins don't actually have jack-o-lantern faces on them:
Reply, 14:40 UTC
Has this literally ever happened for anything but core GiveWell stuff?
Reply to @Duderichy, 14:59 UTC · 1 like
the Rich (@Duderichy): the takeaway from this is you can punch well above your weight class in compensation by being willing to move to places most people won’t, or be willing to move at all.
(quoting @Duderichy: when companies say they “only hire the best” they mean they hire the best they can afford within a narrow radius around the company to truly hire the best you need to look far away)
So basically SF and NYC
Reply to @GeorgeJourneys, 15:03 UTC · 3 likes
George Journeys (@GeorgeJourneys): No kidding! Left one is so much more attractive!
+1 and guessing ~everyone agrees
Quote tweet, 15:25 UTC · 3 likes
I stand with Brother in Law ✊
Quoting alissacaliente (@alissacaliente): my brother in law is a philosophy professor and for the past few days my dad has been asking him to teach him different thought experiments then as soon as he’s finished explaining my dad goes “no, that’s wrong, that’s stupid”
Reply to @littIeramblings, 15:27 UTC · 1 like
sarah (@littIeramblings): it’s nothing important I’m just rlly excited about my new coat
Looks British
Reply to @relic_radiation, 15:32 UTC · 1 like
Elena Lake 🌿 (@relic_radiation): helped a friend learn intro machine learning today - basic neural network math
and honestly it felt as fun as playing a board game
so I guess hit me up if you live in the Bay Area and want machine learning or linear algebra tutoring?
Plot twist you hate board games
Tweet, 15:44 UTC · 8 likes
“What it is like” as used to describe phenomenal consciousness is such a weird and interesting phrase
It’s a simile with mere placeholders for both object (what) and subject (it)
Thread, continued, 15:44 UTC · 2 likes
Devoid of semantic content if read literally, but it works because it gestures to our tendency to use comparison rather than description to convey subjective experience linguistically
Tweet, 18:32 UTC · 30 likes
Out
- family vacations where I don’t get my own room
- default 10% giving to check ur EA box
- Saying you live in DC but actually living in Maryland
In
- Beard
- progressive taxation norm + trying to make a lot more money
- Saying you live in DC but actually living in Virginia
Reply to @AndyMasley, 18:57 UTC · 17 likes
Andy Masley (@AndyMasley): There's basically no way to avoid believing at least a few things that are very weird
Noooooo everything must comport with my intuitive folk understanding of the world shaped by the weird interaction of evolution-designed cognition/heuristics and extremely uncommon historical circumstances nooooooooo
Reply, 19:04 UTC · 1 like
I mean in some sense I don’t think that’s supposed to be their job - their job is to ~elicit latent knowledge~ from people who do understand and convey it with max fidelity subject to constraints imposed by the audience
Reply to @eshear, 19:07 UTC · 3 likes
Emmett Shear (@eshear): Democracy is how we enable peaceful regime change in the executive and legislative state instead of violent revolution.
I think one of the deepest political question of our time is how we enable peaceful regime change in the bureaucratic and regulatory state.
I mean the current US system isn’t perfect, but it sure could be worse than presidential appointments of top officials + civil service
Like of all the things US govt could be better at, this doesn’t seem like the most important to improve
Reply to @NathanpmYoung, 19:12 UTC
Nathan 🔎 (@NathanpmYoung): I think their job is to make predictions about what matters and update their audience on those things towards reality as much as they can given their audience.
Whether it's their job or not, I pick dwarkesh
Ya fair enough I was talking pretty abstractly
Reply to @frances__lorenz, 19:32 UTC · 4 likes
(The tweet being replied to by @frances__lorenz is no longer available.)
We thank you for ur support 🙏🏼
Quote tweet, 19:49 UTC · 5 likes
.@open_phil
Quoting Trevor Levin (@trevposts): Hot take, but tentatively I think people in EA are surprisingly not that thoughtful about their donations and wind up doing exactly the feelings-based giving that the whole thing is supposed to supercede.
Reply to @frances__lorenz, 19:55 UTC · 3 likes
(The tweet being replied to by @frances__lorenz is no longer available.)
Moralizing things other than actions which have nontrivial consequences for other sentient beings 🚩🚩🚩🚩🚩
Reply to @trevposts, 20:01 UTC · 2 likes
Trevor Levin (@trevposts): @AaronBergman18 @open_phil I mean, respectfully, is this AI alignment thing the biggest deal in the world or not?
Based calling me out
1) pedantic literal answer is “idk, probably the Big Bang was more important, maybe something about multiverses”
2) for context, I was just one of four ppl deciding on the beneficiary…
Thread, continued, 20:03 UTC · 1 like
For twitter-specific and social dynamics reasons, there were considerations besides “where is the next $x best spent” because x is endogenous and stuff relating to signaling
My hope was to do 50/50 AWF and LTFF (even though I don’t endorse splitting for individual donors)
Reply to @trevposts, 20:12 UTC · 2 likes
Trevor Levin (@trevposts): @AaronBergman18 @open_phil I did indeed choose chaos today 😈
But yeah like, I agree that the case for FAW >> GHD is strong, but also that XR >> FAW, so that fundraiser was part of what I had in mind!
Yes we love chaos 😈😈😈
Also is sorta cope but still true: I never claimed that the fundraiser was literally the thing anyone should donate to, all things considered
Two people have asked this, basically, and I’ve told them “no I think you should donate to RP”
Saturday, December 30, 2023
Reply to @peterwildeford, 02:55 UTC · 2 likes
Peter Wildeford🇺🇸🚀 (@peterwildeford): @AaronBergman18 ~1 / 2.52288e15
I think it’s closer to 3.044781e-15
Tweet, 05:59 UTC · 7 likes
No promises but:
For people who have blogs that are very broadly EA/rationalist adjacent BUT don’t usually get crossposted to LW/EA Forum: would you want me to set up a single unified podcast feed where an AI (same service as Nonlinear Library) reads out your posts?
Thread, continued, 05:59 UTC · 4 likes
Obviously forgetting like 100 people but @rgblong @ilex_ulmus @panickssery @absurdlymax @inesferhumi @EAheadlines @mealreplacer
Feel free to tag others!
Thread, continued, 06:00 UTC · 1 like
Inclusion is subject to my arbitrary discretion 😤
Tweet, 06:27 UTC · 45 likes
Did anyone else make a series of relatively small and inconsequential but kinda embarrassing faux pas when entering the corporate world for the first time?
Like apparently ur not supposed to ask a random (relevant) question in a Slack channel with a couple dozen people?
Reply to @polisisti, 06:31 UTC · 4 likes
Alessandro (@polisisti): yep, I think one learns these things quickly, though!
Both times someone slid into my DMs in like .04 seconds lol
Thread, continued, 06:31 UTC · 2 likes
Honestly pretty impressive
Reply to @bijibiji2023, 06:58 UTC · 1 like
hoff 🧒🏻😻 (@bijibiji2023): i said pushing P in a work meeting
(quoting @AaronBergman18: Did anyone else make a series of relatively small and inconsequential but kinda embarrassing faux pas when entering the corporate world for the first time? Like apparently ur not supposed to ask a random (relevant) question in a Slack channel with a couple dozen people?)
I don't know what that means and I'm not sure I want to
Reply to @QualyThe, 14:27 UTC · 3 likes
Qualy the lightbulb (@QualyThe): Oh no I missed this :(
Rip
Reply to @Kirsten3531, 19:42 UTC · 8 likes
Kirsten (@Kirsten3531): @AaronBergman18 I unironically recommend
https://www.amazon.co.uk/Unspoken-Rules-Secrets-Starting-Career/dp/1647820448
*sends this link to the whole company*
Reply to @absurdlymax, 19:49 UTC · 5 likes
Max Alexander (@absurdlymax): *Donating to effective global health charities and worrying about global catastrophic risks*
Is this a cult??
Reply to @univrsw3th4rt, 19:51 UTC · 2 likes
universe sweetheart 💓🌈💭 (@univrsw3th4rt): Do you look your age? Post a pic 📸
✨26✨
image attached
(quoting @SurenVynn: Do you look your age? Post a pic 📸 *coughs* 21 *coughs*)
I looked way too young for like a good 6ish years (like 13-19, peaking around 17) and this is permanently burned into my psyche
Quote tweet, 19:53 UTC · 55 likes
Subject: your application
Quoting Flame (炎) (@yanti8ve):
Reply to @inesferhumi, 20:37 UTC · 3 likes
Inés (@inesferhumi): @AaronBergman18 @rgblong @ilex_ulmus @panickssery @absurdlymax @EAheadlines @mealreplacer I support this idea in general but for me personally i feel like it would make me feel pressured to write about topics that are EA enough to be on that podcast feed (whereas i want to be able to write about anything) so i think im gonna opt out
No that’s the whole point! The actual ea stuff already gets on the forum and then two different feeds
Reply to @SpacedOutMatt, 20:46 UTC · 3 likes
Matt 🔸 (@SpacedOutMatt): It’s so over for y’all
Lmk when you have a settled all things considered worldview and ethics for me to adopt
Tweet, 21:13 UTC · 123 likes
Uber is a much better deal when understood as a way to not need a car
Reply to @notanastronomer, 21:17 UTC · 8 likes
(The tweet being replied to by @notanastronomer is no longer available.)
Yeah for sure. Looks like empirically I’ve spent about $160 over 5 weeks since moving but yeah metro + bus still has to be default for it to work
Thread, continued, 21:18 UTC · 3 likes
I’d also have to spend about $100/month for parking
Reply to @absurdlymax, 22:17 UTC · 2 likes
Max Alexander (@absurdlymax): @AaronBergman18 That was too real though
👻
Quote tweet, 22:43 UTC · 14 likes
Has anyone figured out whether ChatGPT-4 is a well calibrated forecaster?
Quoting Aaron Bergman 🔍 (@AaronBergman18): Uber is a much better deal when understood as a way to not need a car
Sunday, December 31, 2023
Quote tweet, 00:06 UTC · 6 likes
No crazy hacks here but in case it helps someone (although I do think “channel the wisdom of the greatest minds who have ever lived” gets you some alpha lol)
Much of this is borrowed from @SpencrGreenberg
Quoting Bolek (@bolekkerous): @AaronBergman18 can you share the custom instruction prompt?
Reply to @mealreplacer, 00:10 UTC · 2 likes
(The tweet being replied to by @mealreplacer is no longer available.)
I mean I am in fact kinda weird but sharing a small townhouse with two peers who share my interests (no relationships among us unless they are extremely good at hiding it) is not a reason why
Quote tweet, 00:17 UTC · 54 likes
In addition to being very funny, this is also pretty misleading
DC EAs are substantially and noticeably less weird (for better and for worse; I actually think on the margin we should be weirder) than (to generalize) those in the Bay Area - not at all an ~identical culture
Quoting Stefan Schubert (@StefanFSchubert): Professed tolerance is often skin-deep.
Living multiple adults under the same roof is apparently unacceptably weird.
Reply to @tescrealaccist, 03:11 UTC · 6 likes
TESCREAL/acc💙 (@tescrealaccist): I could be totally wrong, but the levels of weirdness I’ve seen at DC EA adjacent events are disappointingly tame.
I was promised multidimensional polycules, and very conversation is on housing policy or what you do for a living
@AndyMasley get on this
Tweet, 04:24 UTC · 19 likes
It’s the authors thing, I guess
Quote tweet, 05:45 UTC · 3 likes
If I’m right about value realism but normative anti-realism,* this is literally true but still objectively bad
*As defended on Consistently Candid with @littIeramblings
Substack redirect where I elaborate a bit (plus transcript): https://bit.ly/absstest
Quoting eigenrobot (@eigenrobot): occasional reminder you can refuse to take things seriously and theres nothing anyone can do about it
Reply, 05:52 UTC · 1 like
I have a part time (non-EA) job!
I’m gonna keep applying for (direct) EA opportunities as they arise and seem plausible but thinking more about how to do semi-normie (ie probably not good enough for Jane Street, wrong skills and maybe too short timelines for tech) etg
Reply to @amimevalepitito, 05:53 UTC · 1 like
Jonathan Frankfurter (@amimevalepitito): @AaronBergman18 lol how are your apps going? I just got rejected for an EA gig I was overqualified for...but I was at least able to negotiate a $150 reward for a 3 hr work test.
My 80,000 Hours CEO expression of interest is still outstanding 😤
Quote tweet, 06:00 UTC · 5 likes
Broke: progressive taxation norm to be fair while increasing total donations
Woke: slightly regressive taxation norm to punish people for not earning and giving more
Quoting Aaron Bergman 🔍 (@AaronBergman18): The 10% of salary donating thing is probably suboptimal and should be replaced by a progressive taxation type thing, which would elicit more donation dollars without necessarily increasing the ex ante individual burden
Reply to @Keefler_Elf, 06:14 UTC · 34 likes
Keefler (@Keefler_Elf): what was their plan
(video, plays on X)
Reply to @bijibiji2023, 06:24 UTC · 1 like
hoff 🧒🏻😻 (@bijibiji2023): @AaronBergman18 Thank you so much chat GPT that is truly awful
They say thx
Reply, 06:31 UTC · 1 like
Honestly tho it’s weird bc I think there’s a nontrivial chance theres some sort of conscious experience going on, but if so that it is almost certainly disconnected from the experience being implied by the text it produces
Thread, continued, 06:31 UTC · 1 like
Tbc low but not like .01%. Haven’t thought a ton about it, maybe 2%ish
Reply to @RafaRuizdeLira, 15:22 UTC · 8 likes
Rafael Ruiz ⏸️🔸 (@RafaRuizdeLira): what if
shrimp
died
😢we must solve death
Reply to @frances__lorenz, 15:24 UTC · 1 like
(The tweet being replied to by @frances__lorenz is no longer available.)
Correct take
Reply to @TetraspaceWest, 16:06 UTC · 3 likes
(The tweet being replied to by @TetraspaceWest is no longer available.)
F
Quote tweet, 16:38 UTC · 54 likes
It is authoritarian in a very simple, literal sense to prevent people from knowing the contents of their own body
Quoting Medic Kim (@medickimw): Why don’t we have at-home antigen tests?
Because the FDA panels are composed of these people:
Reply to @eshear, 16:59 UTC · 3 likes
Emmett Shear (@eshear): I often write threads of the form “both A and B are sometimes right, and sometimes wrong. Don’t be fooled into thinking either is the True Answer.”
And inevitably, I will get someone strongly agreeing with me that “yeah, B is awesome, glad you get it about how A is bad”.
Sometimes they’re right!
Reply to @dbcmckee, 17:13 UTC · 1 like
Darren McKee (@dbcmckee): What career advice would you give a 16/17 year old given broad and rapidly increasing AI capabilities?
Own equity in ???something??? via a custodial investment account
Quote tweet, 17:26 UTC · 144 likes
This used to be my point of view, and there is some truth to it, but I’ve come to think that actually if you set up the right physical/biochemical preconditions, you don’t actually have to suffer that much (eg you’ll enjoy exercising)
Quoting Jack D Coulson (@jackdcoulson): The golden rule to transforming your mind, body and life in 2024
Read this thread if you want to be happier, healthier, fitter, wealthier and stronger
Reply to @alt_truistic, 22:51 UTC · 2 likes
(The tweet being replied to by @alt_truistic is no longer available.)
Same
Quote tweet, 23:08 UTC · 3 likes
Making the kid take a coat could be warranted, but making them wear one m??
No parents need to chill. If they aren’t cold and they aren’t literally hypothermic than to each their own
Quoting yatharth ༺༒༻ (@AskYatharth): is it important to tell kids to wear jackets when it's cold outside and they don't want to? won't they just... feel cold and wear if they need?
Reply to his own earlier tweet, 23:35 UTC · 21 likes
Aaron Bergman, December 31, 2023: This used to be my point of view, and there is some truth to it, but I’ve come to think that actually if you set up the right physical/biochemical…
Preconditions are something like
- physical biochemical function: Test for anemia, b12, thyroid, testosterone if male
- other diseases (which may cash out as biochem function but still) incl depression
- temperature: same physical movement in the heat feels way harder
Thread, continued, 23:38 UTC · 13 likes
- metabolism: I’m not really up for debating rn but ease with which your body converts stored chemical energy (even if as glycogen rather than fat) into I think ATP seems to matter…and yes this probably involves diet and genetics (which like if you’re unlucky you’re unlucky 🙁)
Thread, continued, 23:39 UTC · 10 likes
- injury: IME a weird intuition not to do X, if followed by doing X anyway, results in exacerbating an existing injury of some sort
- other: stress, music/podcast if ur insane, ???
Reply, 23:41 UTC
I guess I’d have just told him to take one with him, not literally put it on
Reply to his own earlier tweet, 23:43 UTC · 8 likes
Aaron Bergman, December 31, 2023: - injury: IME a weird intuition not to do X, if followed by doing X anyway, results in exacerbating an existing injury of some sort - other: stress,…
Also, my point is that suffering is not inevitable, not that you’re going to love every form of intense exercise
Like yeah hill sprints might suck even if your favorite forms of RPE 4-8 exercise do not
Reply to @ryancbriggs, 23:46 UTC · 1 like
Ryan Briggs (@ryancbriggs): @AaronBergman18 You’re probably underestimating the mental energy involved in making these sort of choices very many times every day. It’s quite hard to reason them out each time, and it often confuses kids to get different outcomes (why? Why??!). A much better choice is often a consistent rule
Yeah ur right I probably am lol
Maybe I’ll correct myself in idk 6-15 years
Reply to @eshear, 23:52 UTC · 16 likes
Emmett Shear (@eshear): Big complicated system are inevitably composed of smaller simpler ones. Bodies are made of cells. Organizations are made of teams, teams made of individuals. Computers are made of logic gates, themselves made of transistors.
What are intelligences made out of ?
My guess is “detectors”
Eg edge, color/, is_foot, is_dog etc detectors make up a visual system like human cells make up a particular organ that say lobsters do not have
Prefix, concept, emotional valence detectors make up a language system
Etc
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