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Aaron Bergman's tweets, October 2023

Every public tweet, reply, quote tweet and retweet that Aaron Bergman (@AaronBergman18 on X, formerly Twitter) posted in October 2023 and has not deleted: 798 posts, oldest first, times in UTC. Each heading links to the original post on X. When Aaron replies to or quotes someone, their tweet appears as a blockquote with their name; those words are theirs, and everything outside the blockquotes is Aaron's.

This page is one month of the complete archive of Aaron Bergman's tweets, which updates automatically every few hours. Previous month: September 2023. Next month: November 2023.

Sunday, October 1, 2023

Reply to @JoePostingg, 00:04 UTC · 26 likes

Joe (@JoePostingg): Diet Coke is the greatest invention in history because it's a perfect product with no trade offs. Tastes incredible. Doesn't cause cavities. Healthy for you. Contains a small dose of stimulants.

Apparently phosphoric acid isn’t great for u

Reply to @christineist, 00:06 UTC · 2 likes

christine (@christineist): Ok I was considering this!!!! Would be super easy to spin up if there’s interest

Yeah would definitely sign up. But consider making it a shorter domain this time (than http://twitterdatingapp.com)! Long domains are functionally the same as latency

Reply to @depthsofwiki, 16:47 UTC · 4 likes

depths of wikipedia! (@depthsofwiki): https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Superegg

Megapigs ARE real, they hatch from these @Laura_k_Duffy

Reply to @ohwizenedtortle, 23:45 UTC · 8 likes

oh dandy lion🔸 (@ohwizenedtortle): @inkbrisk Believe it was @AaronBergman18 who told me about http://doc.new

Disgusting?!? This is responsible for 4% of US GDP

Monday, October 2, 2023

Reply to @absurdlymax, 00:01 UTC · 16 likes

Max Alexander (@absurdlymax): @AaronBergman18 @ohwizenedtortle @inkbrisk Your drive must be very unorganized

😈

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Reply to @absurdlymax, 05:26 UTC · 1 like

Max Alexander (@absurdlymax): Becoming and adult is learning you should just buy a subscription to something even when you don't wanna spend money (music service)

Hmm seems the price is a relevant consideration

Reply to @absurdlymax, 05:30 UTC · 1 like

Max Alexander (@absurdlymax): @AaronBergman18 It's like 8 dollars or whatever

Ya but the general principle u proposed isn’t sensitive to that

Tweet, 05:32 UTC · 39 likes

Guess what this is about - did I perform surgery on myself? Do a handstand in hot coals? No, something even wilder (answer below)

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Thread, continued, 05:32 UTC · 27 likes

Untitled document

Quote tweet, 05:49 UTC · 2 likes

Poll below

Quoting Loopy (@strangestloop): here's a peek into my inner world: women women women women women women women women women women women women women women women women women women women women women women women women women women women women women women women women

Thread, continued, 05:49 UTC · 1 like

Straight men, does this basically resonate with you as true of you as well?

Reply to @nickmmark, 05:56 UTC · 59 likes

Nick Mark MD (@nickmmark): This person has the right reaction.

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Oof, did he survive?

Reply to @littIeramblings, 05:59 UTC · 1 like

sarah (@littIeramblings): any other wfh ppl have a pile of clothes that they move from their bed to their desk chair every night, and then from their desk chair to their bed every morning

🤝

Reply to @alicealeph0, 06:14 UTC · 37 likes

alice alice (@alicealeph0): Incredibly, he did

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There wasn’t even alcohol in there lol

Reply to @nieltown, 06:22 UTC · 179 likes

Nieltown (@nieltown): Can someone who knows about drugs please tell me why there would be an empty vial of shingles vaccine on the ground at the park

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Ya someone wanted a shingles vaccine and then went to the park duh

Reply to @absurdlymax, 06:23 UTC · 2 likes

Max Alexander (@absurdlymax): You know it's a random evening when:

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Real

Reply to @BootsPlatypus, 06:35 UTC · 3 likes

Platypussy in Bio (@BootsPlatypus): This is highest not-straight guy poll result percentage i've seen on twitter.

Queer icon aaron bergman

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Reply to @absurdlymax, 07:08 UTC · 2 likes

Max Alexander (@absurdlymax): @HephaistosF @austinc3301 I think give still describes it
https://www.merriam-webster.com/dictionary/give

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Reply to @dissproportion, 07:15 UTC · 3 likes

Dissproportionately (@dissproportion): Straight men, when you think of Audrey Hepburn, do you immediately think

Who

Reply to @littIeramblings, 12:04 UTC · 1 like

sarah (@littIeramblings): this cat is still at large and still a prolific bird killer

O shit it’s just him isn’t it

Reply to his own earlier tweet, 17:48 UTC · 4 likes

Aaron Bergman, October 2, 2023: 😈

Do ppl realize that these are the results from a search for “untitled document”? lol

Only like 10% of my docs are like this

Reply to @ea_paddington, 17:49 UTC · 3 likes

EA Paddington 🍊🔸 (@ea_paddington): Are you the villain from my next movie?

Ya

Reply to @sam_atis, 17:54 UTC · 7 likes

Sam Glover (@sam_atis): A friend of mine was complaining that everyone advises her to invest in Vanguard, but she bought a load of stock earlier this year and has lost almost half her savings. Turns out she was invested in an agrochemical company called American Vanguard, which has halved in value YTD.

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F

Reply to @junker_jo, 18:26 UTC · 833 likes

Jo (@junker_jo): Uh I was not aware that one of the ways they do MAID is just handing you a cup of poison like Socrates

(quoting @nickmmark: This person has the right reaction.)

This is because in many (most/all?) of the laws legalizing this, a condition is that the patient has to be the sole person doing the act of ingesting whatever drugs they’re given

Reply to @daniellellecco, 18:26 UTC · 3 likes

(The tweet being replied to by @daniellellecco is no longer available.)

Red

Reply to @MarkovMagnifico, 18:28 UTC · 4 likes

Markov (@MarkovMagnifico): less than half the people in the US are working

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Seems…fine. Retired + kids + homemakers + disabled + education + natural rate of unemployment = a lot of ppl

Quote tweet, 18:32 UTC · 21 likes

I am once again calling on people to read the best piece of EA criticism by a mile, https://www.astralcodexten.com/p/criticism-of-criticism-of-criticism

Quoting Peter Berggren🔸 (@berggrenpeterm): My (belated) take on the EA Criticism Contest:

As much as I like Zvi, "Criticism of EA Criticism Contest" shouldn't have won. Scott Alexander's "Criticism of Criticism of Criticism" should have taken its place. But of course, it never would, because it's actually critical.

Quote tweet, 18:36 UTC · 4 likes

Almost missed the window, phew 😅

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Quoting Aaron Bergman 🔍 (@AaronBergman18): @absurdlymax @daniel_271828 U don’t start listening to every 80k episode within 20 minutes of release? Not a real EA

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Reply to @OneEyedAlpaca, 18:40 UTC · 3 likes

oneeyedalpaca (@OneEyedAlpaca): tattooed wedding rings are:

Cringe (positive)

Reply to @AppliedHedonism, 19:26 UTC · 1 like

Dominic Weber (@AppliedHedonism): @AaronBergman18 FBI, this guy right here!

Thanks, I am indeed accepting job offers at this time

Reply, 19:41 UTC · 1 like

$5?

Tweet, 20:31 UTC

Added some automated readouts from my blog to Pigeon Hour because Pigeon Hour has no master

Same voice as the EA Forum ones (ie the best one on AWS lol)

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Reply to @absurdlymax, 20:37 UTC · 3 likes

Max Alexander (@absurdlymax): @AaronBergman18 @SpacedOutMatt It's rent Michael, how much could it cost? 10 dollars?

Yes (per hour)

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Tweet, 20:44 UTC · 3 likes

The introvert dilemma of whether to get a booster or just never see ppl inside (and n95+prayer when doing errands etc)

Reply to @notanastronomer, 20:46 UTC · 3 likes

(The tweet being replied to by @notanastronomer is no longer available.)

Can someone location thirstrap for somewhere with triple digit rent? Thx

Reply, 21:00 UTC · 1 like

Fr tho I want engagement (not in the influencer sense) so a non-dumb response would be very welcome

Reply to @ea_paddington, 21:01 UTC · 3 likes

EA Paddington 🍊🔸 (@ea_paddington): Nice to meet you. You do know that this means you will lose at the end and you'll have to properly name your documents thereafter? This will be shown in a post-credit scene.

👍

Reply to @absurdlymax, 22:07 UTC · 2 likes

Max Alexander (@absurdlymax): @AaronBergman18 Just skimming through I think I see some points I'd challenge

Metis Metis Crypto GIF (gif, plays on X)

Reply to @EzraJNewman, 23:36 UTC · 2 likes

(The tweet being replied to by @EzraJNewman is no longer available.)

Ya I agree, I think @acesounderglass has some forum posts or shortforms on this

Tuesday, October 3, 2023

Reply to @reconfigurthing, 10:11 UTC · 2 likes

Elias Schmied (@reconfigurthing): Wait what's going on? It's back?

Ya winter be like that apparently

Reply to @BellBeakerChad, 11:11 UTC · 69 likes

ᚺÈÅᛏᚺËN (@BellBeakerChad): Can someone explain to me the rise of girls talking about having "tummy aches"? There are memes about it and girls wear shirts like this (saw it today). Are modern women eating things that destroy their digestive system, or is this like an infantilism thing?

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IBS prevalence in the US is 10%+

SSRI use is probably a risk factor

Insofar as it’s mostly skinny women, causality could run the other way

I don’t think these explain the whole thing tho

Quote tweet, 11:15 UTC · 8 likes

First Yud came for @mealreplacer, but I did not speak bc I was not @mealreplacer...

Quoting shakaz (@shakaz_):

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Reply to @dissproportion, 17:45 UTC · 4 likes

Dissproportionately (@dissproportion): Calendar culture war

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I hereby pronounce October 9 Culture War Day

Reply to @ohwizenedtortle, 17:48 UTC · 3 likes

oh dandy lion🔸 (@ohwizenedtortle): @AaronBergman18 @absurdlymax @inkbrisk Yeah I assumed this! I was going to make a comment that this is the extension of the zoomer tendency to not use folders then I realised it was probably not the file explorer view

Fr I used to use folders and then stopped except for when there’s like affirmative reason to bc for programming stuff it’s way easier when your one working directory is ur only directory

Downloads go straight to the main folder as well

Reply to @mealreplacer, 17:49 UTC · 4 likes

(The tweet being replied to by @mealreplacer is no longer available.)

Wait is this real I legit can’t tell

Reply to @reconfigurthing, 17:50 UTC · 2 likes

Elias Schmied (@reconfigurthing): Any blogpost I can mindlessly defer to or no

If ur willing to stretch the definition of blog post, here are two

Thread, continued, 17:50 UTC · 2 likes

And

Reply to @absurdlymax, 18:02 UTC · 2 likes

Max Alexander (@absurdlymax): @AaronBergman18 @ohwizenedtortle @inkbrisk https://www.cold-takes.com/this-cant-go-on/

Uh yes it can lol

Tweet, 18:25 UTC · 7 likes

EA version of giving out pretzels on Halloween: “here’s some candy, but I’ll give you the chance to decline, in which case I’ll donate 100 pieces of the same thing to [candy accepting charity]”

Tweet, 18:25 UTC · 1 like

(You should probably spend ur weirdness points elsewhere)

Tweet, 18:36 UTC · 9 likes

So uh what’s does wonky $100 + 1 hour or $1000 + 10 hour personal pandemic preparation look like?

Thread, continued, 18:36 UTC · 4 likes

Remembering how in 2020 I bought nonperishable food, masks, gloves, hydrogen peroxide, and vitamin d and NOT a humidifier or some way to seal a vent which is what I immediately wanted when my parents got sick living in the same house

Reply to @SpacedOutMatt, 18:39 UTC · 3 likes

Matt 🔸 (@SpacedOutMatt): Are you thinking like a bad COVID wave or bioengineered ebola?

Latter https://podcasts.google.com?feed=aHR0cHM6Ly9wY3IuYXBwbGUuY29tL2lkMTI0NTAwMjk4OA%3D%3D&episode=NDQ2NGRhODQtMjVjOC00NDNmLTllMjctMzBhYzk0N2JmZWNi

Reply, 19:10 UTC · 2 likes

Generating huge amounts of electricity for months long training in a datacenter seems like it could plausibly “use” a ton of water (is 10^12 gallons the right order of magnitude? I have no idea)

Scare quotes bc most of the time water is functionally renewable so who cares

Reply, 19:27 UTC · 1 like

Levels vs rates

If you run a hose from one part of the ocean to another, u can “use” infinite water without actually changing the level

Quote tweet, 19:38 UTC · 7 likes

POV you’ve been order-of-magnitude-traumatized into having ~zero confidence in the relative sizes of anything too big or small to interact with irl

Quoting Yishan (@yishan): @AaronBergman18 @oudeicrat @mealreplacer No, this is not even close to being true. The ocean has a lot more water than that. This is like 9 orders of magnitude off. It’s literally less than a drop in the bucket.

Thread, continued, 19:38 UTC · 2 likes

More mm to the moon or stars in the Milky Way? Does running a datacenter for 6 months depend on amounts of water somewhere in the electricity generation process that reasonably compare to the Pacific Ocean?

Fuck if I know, man

Reply to @DankBankMan, 19:38 UTC · 1 like

DankBankMan (@DankBankMan): @yishan @AaronBergman18 @oudeicrat @mealreplacer Even if the numbers were true it’s not like sama drinks the water. Water used for cooling come right out as…warm water

Ya fs that’s why it’s not obviously insane to me lol

Reply to @ohwizenedtortle, 19:44 UTC · 2 likes

oh dandy lion🔸 (@ohwizenedtortle): @AaronBergman18 @absurdlymax @inkbrisk "All versions of Aaron's file system are wild"

It’s actually all just one long text file with the binary for each thing on a new line

Reply to @cxgonzalez, 19:47 UTC · 3 likes

christian (@cxgonzalez): if someone’s an illusionist about consciousness i immediately discount all their other opinions

Not an illusionist but here’s why I don’t find it crazy

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Reply, 20:22 UTC · 3 likes

Tbc I share the intuition of like “cmon u can’t be wrong about that” but think it’s wrong on reflection

To put it in maybe too linguistic terms, the possibility of being wrong comes in with the term “about.” Like you can’t have the wrong qualia, and indeed you experience…

Thread, continued, 20:25 UTC · 6 likes

what you experience, but once you’re forming beliefs *about* those things, you’re no longer talking about smth you have direct access to

Another way of putting my claim is that it’s possible rn I genuinely am experiencing the sight of the color red, but in every sense am…

Reply to @littIeramblings, 20:28 UTC · 3 likes

sarah (@littIeramblings): *me trying to figure out why I still feel slightly ill-at-ease after taking an afternoon stroll while listening to a podcast*

the podcast:

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I think I’m pretty mentally sturdy when it comes to stuff like this but I’m having to listening in 30 minute chunks lol (I can think of two other things I’ve consumed this way, it’s probably <10 in total)

Reply, 20:34 UTC · 5 likes

Not an answer lol but in terms of fuzzies, the most altruistic thing I’ve ever done was offer a bunch of Reese’s (was in my Reese’s arc, since left) to a girl in the college library at 3am who just discovered that the vending machine didn’t work

She like teared up lol

Reply, 20:36 UTC · 1 like

Blog post plz if u do this

Quote tweet, 22:39 UTC · 6 likes

So many dunks (and I agree you shouldn’t wear one discreetly without very good reason) but this seems…pretty cool to have and wear conspicuously + after explaining what it is to whoever ur with (??)

Quoting anu (@anuatluru): so we're all gonna wear a wire in public now?

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Reply to @absurdlymax, 22:44 UTC · 2 likes

Max Alexander (@absurdlymax): @AaronBergman18 Don't the cryonics people already kind of do this

In the sense that they wear a necklace sometimes ya

Reply to his own earlier tweet, 22:45 UTC · 3 likes

Aaron Bergman, October 3, 2023: So many dunks (and I agree you shouldn’t wear one discreetly without very good reason) but this seems…pretty cool to have and wear conspicuously + after…

Y’all have like 4 hours to convince me not to do this

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Reply, 22:47 UTC · 1 like

I don’t see a relevant difference between being wrong about the content and existence of qualia

Wednesday, October 4, 2023

Reply, 03:00 UTC · 1 like

Wait I didn’t know that huh

Reply to @littIeramblings, 11:50 UTC · 13 likes

sarah (@littIeramblings): ik most of the people following this account did so off the back of me freaking tf out over AI and are probs not here for fit checks but I rlly need input (image in reply)

Tfw answer choices aren’t a partition of the answer space

Reply to @absurdlymax, 18:21 UTC · 2 likes

Max Alexander (@absurdlymax): Who would win, a thousand chicken sized AGIs or 1 AGI sized chicken?

One chicken sized chicken those mf can fight

Reply to @SpacedOutMatt, 18:31 UTC · 2 likes

Matt 🔸 (@SpacedOutMatt): @AaronBergman18 new EA hub idea just dropped

Does he mean the restaurant or the train thing lol

Reply to @ThanksThoth, 18:41 UTC · 14 likes

(The tweet being replied to by @ThanksThoth is no longer available.)

Aka squinting vs not squinting lol

Reply to @baddestmamajama, 19:15 UTC · 8 likes

Jessica Ellis (@baddestmamajama): My closest encounter with the mafia is I went to a starkly empty pizza place in Rhode Island once, they seemed utterly confused that I wanted a pizza, it took 45 minutes to make, they gave it to me for free, and it was the best pizza I’d ever had.

Lmaoo

Reply to @littIeramblings, 19:27 UTC · 1 like

sarah (@littIeramblings): this could so easily be either a compliment or not a compliment

the answer space is wide

Uh it was just a rueful lamentation of the overlapping answer choices

But if I had to choose, compliment

Tweet, 19:33 UTC · 52 likes

I didn’t know Nate Silver was gay

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Reply to @captgouda24, 19:39 UTC · 7 likes

Nicholas Decker (@captgouda24): HE’S GAY??

Reply to @2Philosophical_, 20:38 UTC · 4 likes

JPA (@2Philosophical_): “Religious people believe such whacky things!”

~Person who believes he lives in a simulation.

Problem isn’t that it’s whacky - lots of whacky things are true. Problem is that it’s wrong!

Reply to @alitaylor, 20:51 UTC · 4 likes

ali (@alitaylor): i told my doctor i wanted to lose 10lbs, and she told me to consider that my current weight might be the weight my body is most comfortable being. fascinating

I mean it’s ur prerogative to do whatever u want / have whatever goals but set points are real and powerful

Reply to @_chair, 20:51 UTC · 9 likes

Chair (@_chair): Idea: musicians should sell lifetime access tickets. Encourages fans to get in early, subsidizing them when they're small, ensuring that they don't get priced out of future performances if they get big. (Musician is then on the hook for venue fees when lifetime tickets are used)

This is excellent

Thursday, October 5, 2023

Reply to @FPallopides, 03:33 UTC · 2 likes

Francesca Pallopides (@FPallopides): Why don't we just eat ATP

Guessing bc it doesn’t exist naturally (why? Idk) but apparently u can https://a.co/d/bn4YwnC

Reply to @JeremyLGoodman, 12:10 UTC · 2 likes

Jeremy Goodman (@JeremyLGoodman): Life update: I'm moving to Baltimore in January to take up a position at Johns Hopkins University as an Associate Professor of Philosophy!!

I'm unbelievably lucky to be joining this incredible department, and thrilled to be returning to Maryland/the east coast.

Congratulations!!

Reply to @littIeramblings, 20:09 UTC · 2 likes

sarah (@littIeramblings): I’m not gonna save the world by tweeting my silly little AI takes am I, u guys can tell me the truth

Probably not but like x.1% > x% !

Reply, 20:50 UTC

Nerd = effeminate? This doesn’t ring true at all

Quote tweet, 21:39 UTC · 114 likes

The medical system is very helpful for surgery and when you’re too incapacitated to help yourself

But as best I can tell, “normal” medicine is quite literally just following an algorithm spelled out explicitly and in detail on UpToDate

Quoting Tyler is finishing a book, slow to reply (@TylerAlterman): It’s crazy to me that some docs get paid hundreds of thousands of dollars to just quiz patients with diagnostic questionnaires and then look up on their computers what to do next

Thread, continued, 21:39 UTC · 24 likes

Physicians may provide other functions, like gatekeeping scarce resources (~necessary evil) and non-scarce resources (unnecessary evil), signaling, a sense of authority, and literal labor (eg typing up notes for you)..,

Thread, continued, 21:39 UTC · 26 likes

but non-emergency medicine that doesn’t involve physical procedures/diagnostics (which are important, don’t get me wrong) is essentially the result of making DIY medicine illegal (FDA) or prohibitively expensive (weird insurance-regulatory reasons I don’t fully understand)

Friday, October 6, 2023

Tweet, 02:53 UTC · 7 likes

Gem in need of more attention from an episode on biosecurity

Possibly a robustly good global health (infects humans) + development + farmed animal + quasi-longtermist wild animal + science/innovation intervention (?!)

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Thread, continued, 02:53 UTC · 1 like

If you think there’s a decent chance of human extinction/disempowerment in the next 10 years, eliminating the New World Screwwerm seems important to do ASAP bc we may not be able to later

https://80000hours.org/podcast/episodes/kevin-esvelt-stealth-wildfire-pandemics/#transcript

Thread, continued, 02:53 UTC · 1 like

Someone (eg me but realistically…) should investigate and write a Forum post

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Reply to @blndsundoll4lky, 03:01 UTC · 5 likes

K (@blndsundoll4lky): Not even trying to brag but I'm *this* close to EA Pilling the largest media company in the world with payroll giving.

Lfgggg

Reply to @CameronHolmes92, 08:16 UTC · 2 likes

Cameron Holmes (@CameronHolmes92): Mechanistic interpretability interpretability is neglected

Banger

Reply to @mealreplacer, 08:17 UTC · 3 likes

(The tweet being replied to by @mealreplacer is no longer available.)

Banger

Reply to @daniel_271828, 08:18 UTC · 1 like

zzDANIEL_ETH (@daniel_271828): In case anyone was wondering:

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Lol

Reply to @beffjezos, 08:20 UTC · 2 likes

Beff (e/acc) (@beffjezos): O-1 approved in 2 days 🛂🫡🦅
🇺🇲🇺🇲🇺🇲🇺🇲🇺🇲🇺🇲🇺🇲🇺🇲🇺🇲🇺🇲🇺🇲

We're so back 🚀🙌😩

We're all going to make it. 🙏🥹🇺🇲

I think ur wrong and intellectually dishonest about a lot of stuff but even people with those characteristics should be allowed to live in the US so 👍 🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸

Reply to @rmbalt, 08:22 UTC · 4 likes

Rafael Bulsing (@rmbalt): Wait what

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Eh based

Reply to @xsphi, 08:30 UTC · 1 like

tess (@xsphi): coming around to caffeine. when used correctly, it might unironically be one of the best stims (at least for me)

Besides tolerance top tier drug fr

Reply to @mbateman, 14:24 UTC · 3 likes

Matt Bateman (@mbateman): Couldn’t find 3yo this morning

Right when I was starting to worry I see my wild daughter sitting quietly on the back porch, in pajamas, before sunrise

me: There you are

3yo: Oh, hi

3yo: I’m just listening to birds

3yo: It’s nice out here

3yo: *contemplates eternity*

image attached

😌

Tweet, 14:50 UTC · 57 likes

If I ever read and take action on my bookmarked tweets it’s gonna be so over for y’all

Reply to @littIeramblings, 14:51 UTC · 1 like

sarah (@littIeramblings): i interrupt your doomscrolling to inform everyone that there is at least a 50% chance that I will be getting a kitten, watch this space

Not an alpaca, just throwing away ur comparative advantage

Reply to @BrianKateman, 14:54 UTC · 1 like

Brian Kateman (@BrianKateman): Factory farms, wild animals eaten alive, digital beings enslaved by humans—if this happens, if we begin to colonize the universe, the suffering we see on Earth today will be a rounding error compared to all the suffering that is to come.

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Agree this is a hugely important risk but seems far from obvious it’s a “will”

Pretty discrete/top-down choice what happens on mars (as opposed to eg populating a new island on earth where realistically ppl can do whatever they want)

Reply to @adam__isom, 15:06 UTC · 2 likes

adam ✧ ❥ ~ (@adam__isom): @AaronBergman18 😂 I feel that. secrets to nirvana right there, in mah bookmarks

Everybody needs to poast a thread

Quote tweet, 15:09 UTC · 13 likes

Get on my level 😤

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Quoting Aaron Bergman 🔍 (@AaronBergman18): If I ever read and take action on my bookmarked tweets it’s gonna be so over for y’all

Quote tweet, 15:31 UTC · 5 likes

I’m super skeptical of this

What % of the variation in food sales is explained by consumer caloric intake? All else isn’t equal - people (presumably) aren’t buying 20% of the exact same items…

Quoting Nassim Nicholas Taleb (@nntaleb): Nonlinearity: Could Ozempick cause a deflation in the price of food?
A mere 1% drop in demand can cause a significant overload.

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Reply to @JeremiahDJohns, 15:40 UTC · 184 likes

Jeremiah Johnson 🌐 (@JeremiahDJohns): obsessed with the theory that Ron DeSantis's shoes look so weird because they're hiding 4 inch heels inside

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Mom bought be crazy heel things when I went to college lmao

There is no way to make >1 inch look natural or be comfortable at least without a shit ton of effort. Decided just to go au natural, the way God intended 😤

Reply to @mualphaxi, 16:08 UTC · 8 likes

Maxwell Meyer (@mualphaxi): This makes soooo much sense.

Ibram X. Kendi's brother-in-law, Macharia Edmonds, is in charge of global censorship operations at YouTube.

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Totally unironically, this is probably just a coincidence

Reply to @JesseTayRiver, 16:37 UTC · 1 like

Jesse Smith (@JesseTayRiver): @AaronBergman18 My 14 yo daughter will single-handedly fix this

@Walmart tell ur investors to chill she’s got this

Tweet, 17:38 UTC · 4 likes

I feel like EA + (correct) ethics has pretty clear prescriptions and norms when it comes to donating vs spending income…

Reply to @jbendery, 18:24 UTC · 293 likes

Jennifer Bendery (@jbendery): Here is Glenn Beck's media outlet openly apparently trying to bully a government employee, for no real reason, who is one of the friendliest, most helpful people I've worked with over the last few years.

8M views.

Why. Why do this. Just to be mean to someone?

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Also, not to disrespect the guy or agency (i interned there lol) but like “director of communications at Interior” isn’t like the
most powerful or prestigious position in the federal govt

Quote tweet, 19:54 UTC · 35 likes

GREAT MINDS LETS GOOO SOMEONE GET ON THIS

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Quoting Aaron Bergman 🔍 (@AaronBergman18): @spbaar @AndyMasley Opioid overdose as venom seems…weirdly possible. Just CRISPR some venomous snake, poppy, and tiger dna together and voila

Tweet, 20:07 UTC · 6 likes

Going on my list of favorite podcast episodes ever. A lot more insight than just on object level biosecurity stuff, even though it’d be worth listening to for that alone https://80000hours.org/podcast/episodes/kevin-esvelt-stealth-wildfire-pandemics/

Reply to @umm_rit_, 20:24 UTC · 7 likes

Negative Utilitarian  (@umm_rit_):

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How’d they generate photorealistic pics of me?? Concerning

Reply to @xsphi, 20:48 UTC · 1 like

tess (@xsphi): - cops and jails are expensive, ineffective and often counterproductive

- there are far superior alternatives to solving most social problems

- it's recently come to my attention many people one or two hops away on the social graph think I deserve to die for believing this

I think there are a ton of important areas to reform but one thing jails are good at is keeping dangerous people away from others, which is an important function IMO

Reply to @absurdlymax, 22:22 UTC · 2 likes

Max Alexander (@absurdlymax): On an abstract level what do you think the reasons for disagreeing with someone's assessment of how best to donate $100 would be?

Two I can think of:
1)Their model of the world is off (this thing doesn't do what you expect it to)
2)Cause prioritization is different

Actually different fundamental values, superficially different values, private/illegible information of either party, “priors” whatever that means, most people don’t actually think in terms of “where is the best place I can donate”?, degree of deference to others incl implicitly

Quote tweet, 22:33 UTC · 6 likes

Commented this but deleted bc it checks out so I guess this is one type of thing ppl are reliable reporters of?

Image

Quoting Armand Domalewski (@ArmandDoma): Wow.

image attached

Saturday, October 7, 2023

Reply to @8chabard, 01:02 UTC · 1 like

Lysander, 8 CHA Bard (@8chabard): do women really not realize that not all women express interest in the same manner or with the same intensity, so one woman's "obvious signal" is another woman's "friendly" and also the entire language of flirtation is built on plausible deniability i mean wtf do you expect

Yes this is 100% correct. At least.

Reply to @OregonMapGuy, 02:36 UTC · 12 likes

(The tweet being replied to by @OregonMapGuy is no longer available.)

Wait no the total opposite. Every hunted and eaten calorie is one not raised in a factory farm

Reply to @girllbossing, 05:13 UTC · 5 likes

(The tweet being replied to by @girllbossing is no longer available.)

Elaborate?

Reply to @prerat, 05:17 UTC · 3 likes

prerat (@prerat): a wheel of cheese so big it's impossible

image attached
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🐀haha haha🐀YES🧀^🧀^🧀

Tweet, 05:24 UTC · 166 likes

Nobody has any idea if Shakespeare is any good bc his plays are basically gibberish and should be translated into modern English as John McWhorter convincingly argues in episode 142 of the 80000 Hours Podcast with Rob Wiblin about the world’s most pressing problems

Image

Thread, continued, 05:24 UTC · 10 likes

and, needless to say, how u can use ur career to solve them 👍

Reply to @_djpn, 05:27 UTC · 3 likes

𝐃𝐉𝐏𝐍 (@_djpn): @default_friend woman you going to cut out 90% of straights with this question

Tf is an inseam

Reply to @EgeErdil2, 06:07 UTC · 2 likes

Ege Erdil (@EgeErdil2): this argument is just correct?

the best people in domains where performance is objectively measurable are all alive today, e.g. see

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_world_records_in_athletics

can you name a world record in some area which has stood for more than 100 years?

(quoting @TrungTPhan: SBF using population statistics to argue why Shakespeare sucks is peak SBF)

Yes

Reply to @ApriiSR, 06:30 UTC · 12 likes

Aprii *️⃣ (@ApriiSR): i think "basically gibberish" is an overstatement but yeah

Thou art wnqkbfyegiqalvkneeehñ

Reply to @_djpn, 06:30 UTC · 2 likes

𝐃𝐉𝐏𝐍 (@_djpn): @JimCHartley @default_friend they fit his waist and didn’t drag on the floor

Indeed

Tweet, 06:47 UTC · 27 likes

What moron imposed such a limit anyway

Image

Image

Reply to @sokindling, 07:17 UTC · 34 likes

otis in Bali 🌞 10/100 beats (@sokindling): Had to try and explain "North" to a 3-year-old yesterday and it was kinda hard

Ended up going with something like "it's like right/left/up, but for the world rather than for you"

How else could you explain it?

There are two points on earth that don’t rotate *spins basketball on finger to demonstrate*, and we named one “north” and one “south”

Thread, continued, 07:19 UTC · 16 likes

Wait lol that’s not right

“Named one the North Pole, and called the direction that gets there the fastest “north””

Reply to @littIeramblings, 09:14 UTC · 4 likes

sarah (@littIeramblings): this is very pressing

Agreed. Ur British that’s like halfway between America and Shakespeare, seems like ur well places to do a translation

Reply to @mmt_lvt, 09:18 UTC · 2 likes

(The tweet being replied to by @mmt_lvt is no longer available.)

Idk as a general thing unfortunately 😕

Just that for me, I feel like exercising basically iff no GI issues that day and it’s extremely apparent which way causality runs

Reply to @Jsevillamol, 09:42 UTC · 4 likes

Jaime Sevilla (@Jsevillamol): This is... not true? Twelfth night for example is very readable, and dare I say fun

https://books.google.co.uk/books/about/Twelfth_night.html?id=sCI4AQAAMAAJ&printsec=frontcover&source=kp_read_button&hl=en&newbks=1&newbks_redir=0&gboemv=1&redir_esc=y#v=onepage&q&f=false

🔫

Reply to @QualyThe, 12:45 UTC · 2 likes

Qualy the lightbulb (@QualyThe): Nobody has any idea if Derek Parfit is any good bc his books are basically gibberish and should be translated into modern English as Qualy the lightbulb convincingly argues in this tweet

(quoting @AaronBergman18: Nobody has any idea if Shakespeare is any good bc his plays are basically gibberish and should be translated into modern English as John McWhorter convincingly argues in episode 142 of the 80000 Hours Podcast with Rob Wiblin about the world’s most pressing problems)

Agreed

Reply to @QualyThe, 12:48 UTC · 2 likes

Qualy the lightbulb (@QualyThe): Nobody has any idea if Derek Parfit is any good bc his books are basically gibberish and should be translated into modern English as Qualy the lightbulb convincingly argues in this tweet

(quoting @AaronBergman18: Nobody has any idea if Shakespeare is any good bc his plays are basically gibberish and should be translated into modern English as John McWhorter convincingly argues in episode 142 of the 80000 Hours Podcast with Rob Wiblin about the world’s most pressing problems)

@KeiranJHarris @robertwiblin @80000Hours when is Qualy coming on the pod?

Reply to @prerat, 19:51 UTC · 4 likes

prerat (@prerat): unrelated fun 4d fact: in four dimensions, a spinning sphere doesn't necessarily have any fixed points

(quoting @AaronBergman18: @sokindling There are two points on earth that don’t rotate *spins basketball on finger to demonstrate*, and we named one “north” and one “south”)

STOP doing math

Reply to @PradyuPrasad, 19:54 UTC · 3 likes

(The tweet being replied to by @PradyuPrasad is no longer available.)

Deleting Hinge, I’m committed to the grind

Reply, 21:03 UTC · 1 like

Did it work?

Sunday, October 8, 2023

Reply to @StefanFSchubert, 00:11 UTC · 3 likes

Stefan Schubert (@StefanFSchubert): Observation can give near-certain knowledge we're observing a straight flush, but it can't similarly give near-certain knowledge of literary greatness. Therefore, priors are more useful wrt the latter. The cases aren't analogous.

Doing Gods work

Reply, 00:23 UTC · 1 like

Sorry dude

Reply to @RandolphCarterZ, 05:28 UTC · 4 likes

He-Man, Principal MLE (@RandolphCarterZ): Warning!

People are using this symbol ⏸️ to signal that they think releasing LLaMA-3 is fascism, and global compute policing isn't.

Just raising awareness 🫡

I don’t think releasing llama-3 is fascism

Reply to @HannahPosted, 05:42 UTC · 4 likes

(The tweet being replied to by @HannahPosted is no longer available.)

It says what it says

Reply to @ohwizenedtortle, 07:19 UTC · 2 likes

oh dandy lion🔸 (@ohwizenedtortle): @littIeramblings @AaronBergman18 i would simply move to a country town where you can keep an alpaca😌

Or the US, land of freedom, where owning an alpaca is a constitutional right guaranteed to all

Reply to @littIeramblings, 18:55 UTC

sarah (@littIeramblings): Outing myself as having scrolled back on your page a bit here, but feel compelled to point out that low libido and asexuality are the not the same! asexuality is an orientation and means lack of sexual attraction, ppl can even have high libido and be asexual (or vice versa)

“High libido and be asexual”

Ronburgundy Dontbelieveyou GIF (gif, plays on X)

Reply to @littIeramblings, 18:59 UTC · 1 like

sarah (@littIeramblings): (I’m paranoid this makes me look at slalkery, I swear I was just in various ppl’s ‘media’ sections digging for memes, and whenever I have an opinion about something I can’t keep it inside in case it makes me explode)

Everyone’s a little stalkery (social media version), some ppl are just better at hiding it lol

Reply to @littIeramblings, 19:13 UTC · 1 like

sarah (@littIeramblings): did I win this argument or do u just not believe me :(

Ronburgundy Dontbelieveyou GIF (gif, plays on X)

Thread, continued, 19:14 UTC · 1 like

Just kidding lol that seems right even if as I suspect it’s not incredibly common

Tweet, 19:24 UTC · 2 likes

~Straight woman, on Hinge, you prefer / think you’d prefer a guy express interest by liking…

Thread, continued, 19:26 UTC · 2 likes

It feels distinctly possible I may have been typical-minding this whole time with my strategy

Quote tweet, 19:29 UTC · 2 likes

Should I do this by linking a google form or my anonymous feedback page?

Poll below

Quoting Rachel Edwards (@underthenettle): When you swipe left on Hinge, there should be an option to anonymously tell them why. This man probably doesn't know how badly he's shooting himself in the foot.

image attached

Reply, 19:30 UTC · 4 likes

(The tweet being replied to is no longer available.)

You’re not a monster, you’re just wrong

Quote tweet, 19:41 UTC · 8 likes

One thing the US coastal upper middle class gets very right is a strong taboo against corporal punishment

Quoting Someone:

Thread, continued, 19:41 UTC · 2 likes

In 16+ years living with 3 other ppl, obviously there was plenty of conflict (in an absolute sense)

I can remember yelling, cursing, crying, etc, but afaik nobody ever layered a finger (in a violent sense) on anyone else, and I’m extremely grateful for that

Reply to @BootsPlatypus, 20:15 UTC · 1 like

Platypussy in Bio (@BootsPlatypus): @AaronBergman18 "layered a finger (in a violent sense)" is my new favorite idiom

Should be “laid” lol

Tweet, 20:29 UTC · 2 likes

It’s finally t-shirt (as opposed to tank top) weather ❄️🧊❄️☃️⛄️🌨️🍂🍁

Reply, 20:37 UTC · 3 likes

(The tweet being replied to is no longer available.)

Populations don’t have emotions and memory, people do

Absent the sustaining exogenous circumstances, In a liberal society with trade, the “conflict” will dissipate within like 2 generations tops

Reply to @MikeFHay, 22:50 UTC · 1 like

Michael Hay 🇬🇧 ⏸️ (@MikeFHay): I have the libertarian "all laws are ultimately enforced by violence" instinct, and I think a little exposure to that underlying violence is clarifying. I'm sure critics would say that's just cope from the trauma of corporal punishment, which did tbh feel unfair sometimes.

Of all the reasons to hurt a kid, doing it to instill understanding of a fundamentally abstract notion about the mechanisms of *state* law enforcement seems pretty weak

And corporal punishment is fundamentally different than using force to *stop* a crime

Reply to @FrostedSapling, 23:44 UTC · 2 likes

Ivan 🔸 (@FrostedSapling): Hey y’all, I broke 100 followers so I’ll do an AMA. Can’t say I’ll necessarily answer fast, but I will try and answer them all!

Drug with weird/cool/interesting pharmacology I should know about 🤓🤓🤓 ?

Reply to @FrostedSapling, 23:44 UTC · 1 like

Ivan 🔸 (@FrostedSapling): Hey y’all, I broke 100 followers so I’ll do an AMA. Can’t say I’ll necessarily answer fast, but I will try and answer them all!

How are the cats?

Monday, October 9, 2023

Reply to @FrostedSapling, 00:22 UTC · 3 likes

Ivan 🔸 (@FrostedSapling): Hey y’all, I broke 100 followers so I’ll do an AMA. Can’t say I’ll necessarily answer fast, but I will try and answer them all!

Do u ever tell ppl you work on a pharm and then giggle internally like me rn?

Quote tweet, 00:22 UTC · 5 likes

OOM too low imo

Quoting Ivan 🔸 (@FrostedSapling): Hey y’all, I broke 100 followers so I’ll do an AMA. Can’t say I’ll necessarily answer fast, but I will try and answer them all!

Reply to @absurdlymax, 01:17 UTC · 2 likes

Max Alexander (@absurdlymax): @AaronBergman18 What's oom?

Order of magnitude = relative difference of 10x

Reply to @SpacedOutMatt, 03:52 UTC · 2 likes

Matt 🔸 (@SpacedOutMatt): Fun times on the forum

image attached

44 votes 😭😭😭

I didn’t see that till this post lmao

Quote tweet, 03:53 UTC · 5 likes

Comments welcome (link below)

Quoting Matt 🔸 (@SpacedOutMatt): Fun times on the forum

image attached

Thread, continued, 03:53 UTC · 2 likes

https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/KuByzfn6yiKMWBKmr/?commentId=8obwbMiCMFZmpQorm

Reply to @CineraVerinia, 05:24 UTC · 4 likes

(The tweet being replied to by @CineraVerinia is no longer available.)

You don’t have to care more about farmed animals than the global poor to think that because of tractability and neglectedness and maybe scale the former is way more cost effective

Reply to @nickcammarata, 05:36 UTC · 2 likes

Nick (@nickcammarata): one awkward thing I think the utilitarian EA answer might be to make already happy people 10x happier, which is somewhat easy bc these things tend to be exponential, rather than make an unhappy person less unhappy. But I could see why this wouldn’t be popular

This vs making median person happier seems fine and probably right to me, but I’d need a lot of convincing to think that it’s morally better than ameliorating the suffering of the worst off humans (Eg painkiller access, akathesia, cluster headaches - none central to EA rn!)

Quote tweet, 10:46 UTC · 21 likes

A good take is a good take

Quoting Beff (e/acc) (@beffjezos): I wish they made an evening version of caffeine with a shorter half-life

Reply to @AFraserUrq, 13:26 UTC · 2 likes

Alastair Fraser-Urquhart (@AFraserUrq): My most anti-EA take is I am AB+

(quoting @Rainmaker1973: Blood types What are compatible with others and what are not [📹 medico.trick] https://x.com/Levandov_2/status/1710746879904846006/video/1)

Excommunicated

Reply to @dissproportion, 13:45 UTC · 3 likes

(The tweet being replied to by @dissproportion is no longer available.)

This but the reverse

Reply to @absurdlymax, 18:48 UTC · 2 likes

Max Alexander (@absurdlymax): @austinc3301 Seems fine, kids sometime want to run into traffic

I am a libertarian on this matter (obligatory: joking)

Reply to @mimi10v3, 19:24 UTC · 2 likes

˚♡⋆mimi ˚♡⋆。☆∴ (@mimi10v3): lowered inhibitions are good for brainstorming (ofc mixed w caffeine & not too much)

My favorite cocktail is a virgin Diet Coke and rum with extra caffeine

Reply to @moultano, 19:26 UTC · 5 likes

Ryan Moulton (@moultano): @TetraspaceWest My favorite example of the inability of onotologies to capture the variation of language was the distinct meaning of "heyyyy" vs "hey."

There shouldn’t be an odd number of ys

Reply to @inerati, 19:30 UTC · 3 likes

(The tweet being replied to by @inerati is no longer available.)

Shoot ur shot

Quote tweet, 19:34 UTC · 4 likes

Have to wear a suit every day and people start caring if u go *two days* without a social event?

For these reasons alone I don’t think I will ever be President

Quoting BNO News Live (@BNODesk): White House says Biden has no public events today, same as yesterday

image attached

Reply to @MichaelAlleged, 19:41 UTC · 2 likes

Michael (Allegedly) (@MichaelAlleged): still don’t know what kubernetes is

🤝

Reply to @BrockObama2024, 19:42 UTC · 2 likes

Brock (@BrockObama2024): @MichaelAlleged It's like docker but more complicated.

Tf is docker no I won’t look it up

Reply to @depthsofwiki, 19:47 UTC · 25 likes

depths of wikipedia! (@depthsofwiki): Today in 1992, a meteorite landed directly onto a 17 year old's parked Chevy Malibu in New York

image attached

Forbidden toast

Tweet, 19:55 UTC · 157 likes

Computer ppl keep inventing new words for things

Ever heard some nerd say “repository” or “repo”? Turns out they mean a fucking folder

Now some mf decided to rename program/app to “container”

Image

Thread, continued, 19:55 UTC · 16 likes

Idgaf if there are minute technical differences, don’t @ me

Reply to @JMannhart, 19:55 UTC · 7 likes

Jonathan Mannhart 🔎 (@JMannhart): He

He 👋

Reply, 20:00 UTC · 1 like

@FrostedSapling

Reply to @CasinoJoe92, 20:08 UTC · 2 likes

casino joe (@CasinoJoe92): Why does the coffee only HITTTT when the barista wants you

💀

Reply, 20:28 UTC · 8 likes

sarah (@littIeramblings): this shouldn’t be allowed

We need mass reeducation

Reply, 20:36 UTC · 3 likes

Pleasure Engineer (@pleasure_engine): It's wildly different from a folder

How

Reply to @absurdlymax, 20:42 UTC · 3 likes

Max Alexander (@absurdlymax): I really do feel very dumb despite this legibly being untrue

Hey we’re making progress!! (I vaguely feel like the second part didn’t make it into past tweets)

Reply, 20:51 UTC · 31 likes

Pleasure Engineer (@pleasure_engine): It isn't meant merely as a directory/address of storage but rather a core object in a system of keeping history, which allows traversal through time, frequently synced with a cloud repo, used for collaboration, has branches, specific metadata, various states.

Image

Reply to @littIeramblings, 20:57 UTC · 1 like

sarah (@littIeramblings): I have this same problem, how to tackle 🤔

I mean a kinda socially unacceptable answer is: look up median and 75th percentile performance on like anything. Standardized tests are the most obvious but there are more qualitative reports from like the US dept of education or smth and a thousand other things

Reply to @littIeramblings, 21:06 UTC · 2 likes

sarah (@littIeramblings): say that intelligence is subjective and we’re all special pls, my self worth is very fragile

Well we don’t know the median score on that test or what the threshold is or how well it correlates with IQ, and *I* don’t know the variance of individual test sampling

BUT more importantly *intelligence isn’t a metric of human worth or intrinsic value or virtue in any sense…

Reply to @absurdlymax, 21:09 UTC

Max Alexander (@absurdlymax): @AaronBergman18 @littIeramblings This was the inevitable outcome 👍

Lol

Reply to @austinc3301, 22:35 UTC · 13 likes

Agus 🔸 (@austinc3301): WHAT

(quoting @calebwatney: The NSA has launched a new center on AI security https://www.defense.gov/News/News-Stories/Article/Article/3541838/ai-security-center-to-open-at-national-security-agency/)

The NSA has launched a new center on AI security

Tweet, 22:37 UTC · 7 likes

Who can I convince to start and lead the Screwworm Elimination Project? https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/JWuPdMaPiNy7AD3AX/potentially-actionable-opportunity-eliminating-the-new-world

Reply to @jdan, 22:44 UTC · 44 likes

(The tweet being replied to by @jdan is no longer available.)

Read this as "Islamic State" and I was like "yeah good point"

Reply to @Ayegill, 22:54 UTC · 33 likes

Eigil Fjeldgren Rischel - abstr/acc (@Ayegill): The ability to write LaTeX is the sign of a scholar. The ability to write LaTeX well is the sign of a wasted life.

(quoting @proletarat: “Can you explain this gap in your resume” yeah I made it in LaTeX and I don’t know how to make the paragraph breaks smaller)

A couple times a year I have reason to write latex and still copy and paste what was originally a template provided by a prof in 2019

Reply to @losslandscape, 23:38 UTC · 74 likes

losslandscape (@losslandscape): The level of people with the "pause" icon, folks

image attached

I’ll stand by the tweet on its own terms, which is a joke with a grain (ok, a few grains) of truth

In non-joking terms I am well aware that none of my alleged pairs are literally/technically/formally the same

Thread, continued, 23:39 UTC · 18 likes

And tbh I have no clue what docker is so maybe that one is totally wrong lol

And you’re right, I do not have any technical training or credentials in CS. Math and econ yes, which is why I have a bit of exposure to programming at all…

Thread, continued, 23:42 UTC · 8 likes

without understanding/having experience with much infrastructure (for lack of a better term) or tacit knowledge
…

Thread, continued, 23:43 UTC · 10 likes

On the pause thing, yeah the arguments for existential risks from AI are extremely convincing and robust, and there are a thousand people with CS degrees and probably a hundred with ML PhDs who agree with this, although I know opinions differ on the logistics and tactical wisdom

Thread, continued, 23:44 UTC · 5 likes

Of calling for a pause on AI development (at this moment in time), even if it would be ideal in principle

Reply to @MikePFrank, 23:45 UTC · 22 likes

Michael P. Frank 💻🔜♻️ (@MikePFrank): @var_epsilon @losslandscape This has to be a joke

Reply to @NathanB60857242, 23:55 UTC · 2 likes

Nathan Barnard (@NathanB60857242): @AaronBergman18 fuck that seems really really bad - i would very much like someone to start this. this is the dream of wild animal welfare (although i expect the importance of it to be somewhat of an overestimate)

I’m starting the Cyberbully @catehall Into Starting the Screwworm Elimination Project Project

Tuesday, October 10, 2023

Reply to @DigThatData, 00:10 UTC

David Marx (@digthatdata.bsky.social) (@DigThatData): if "pause" was taken seriously in the AI research community, you'd see less attendance at AI research conferences and more discussion of philosophical issues like this at those conferences. Neither of which has happened, because AI researchers generally aren't concerned.

Extremely bad outcomes aren’t smth you ignore if p=49%. Not sure if this is the most recent one but a year ago 50% of experts surveyed said p(x-risk)>10% https://aiimpacts.org/what-do-ml-researchers-think-about-ai-in-2022/

Thread, continued, 00:11 UTC · 2 likes

Also, humans just aren’t that rational? Like ofc there are a billion social and professional incentives not to seem “alarmist”

Lack of panic at conferences is some evidence, just not very much

Reply to @Willrandship, 00:16 UTC · 3 likes

William Shipley (@Willrandship): @AaronBergman18 @losslandscape Eh, I'm fine with the "scripts are just text files" bit, but I would contend that these are also "just text files".
.rtf
.docx
.html
.svg

Yeah (docx?) and at some level all files are ik - I’m just pointing out that when a layperson (like 99% I am for this kind of thing) hears the term “python script”, I’m pretty sure they don’t have any idea what this means or like how you’d interact with one or create/look at it

Reply, 00:17 UTC · 5 likes

R. Furters (@humanisque): a repository is just a special type pf folder that you can put on github

Thanks, serious q: what type of folder can’t you put there?

Reply to @absurdlymax, 00:22 UTC · 6 likes

Max Alexander (@absurdlymax): Do you think the Centre for effective altruism has control over the EA community? Are you an EA?

I mean some but not complete control?

Reply to @losslandscape, 00:22 UTC · 46 likes

losslandscape (@losslandscape): The level of people with the "pause" icon, folks

image attached

Also I think people here might appreciate my Github profile

Image

Reply to @arthur_wright_, 03:47 UTC · 2 likes

Arthur Wrong 🔸 (@arthur_wright_): @AaronBergman18 @absurdlymax no offense Aaron, but duh? wouldn’t any prominent person or significant organization explicitly affiliated with EA fit this description?

Lol yeah which is why I think Max’s answer choices suck

Reply, 06:01 UTC · 3 likes

sarah (@littIeramblings): 😔 unkind & uncalled for

Image

Reply to @wholebodyprayer, 10:26 UTC · 5 likes

rosalind lucy (@wholebodyprayer): I know its annoying but people dont change from “feedback” they change (shed patterns) by being sincerely loved

I mean there are definitely some things that change with feedback (exhibit 1 = my late unibrow)

Tweet, 12:08 UTC · 9 likes

People have very strong opinions on Shakespeare and CS terminology

Ofc online culture warring isn’t new to me but usually it’s over things that are in fact important (Palestine, gender relations, AI policy), even if those arguing online can’t do much to affect the situation

Thread, continued, 12:08 UTC · 2 likes

Like *if* I had in fact been calling for poor people to be forced underground in the Poast That Shall Not Be Linked- which some ppl evidently thought - it would make total sense to express outrage and disgust

Quote tweet, 12:11 UTC · 2 likes

(I don’t “do” AI alignment)

Quoting Chinar Dankhara (@chinarddankhara): Guy who doesn't understand basics of programming doing "AI alignment"

Thread, continued, 12:13 UTC · 4 likes

Thx (pretty sure this was from the Shakespeare thing)

Image

Reply to @littIeramblings, 13:01 UTC · 4 likes

sarah (@littIeramblings): what’s wrong with this?

I don’t actually know what I’m talking about but the phrase “knowing more” and even “knowledge” seems to point at a Wikipedia/facts about the world type of information being stored, whereas (again idk) humans also “know” how to coordinate the contractions of a billion muscles

Reply to @kitten_beloved, 16:31 UTC · 8 likes

Kitten 🐈 (@kitten_beloved): Bro thinks he can align the machine god but doesn't know what version control is for

image attached
(quoting @AaronBergman18: Computer ppl keep inventing new words for things Ever heard some nerd say “repository” or “repo”? Turns out they mean a fucking folder Now some mf decided to rename program/app to “container”)

Lol I wish I thought that

Reply to @kitten_beloved, 16:34 UTC

Kitten 🐈 (@kitten_beloved): @politicalmath Probably at least partially parody but genuinely hard to tell

It’s hyperbole - ik they’re not exactly the same thing but fr saying “x unfamiliar thing is a subset or kinda similar to y familiar thing” is way undersupplied

Reply, 16:35 UTC · 1 like

I didn’t touch GitHub in college bc I didn’t study CS lol. Stata in econ and I took one math elective that used R but I don’t think the term GitHub appeared anywhere for anything

Reply to @ThatShawGuy, 16:39 UTC · 4 likes

Ryan Shaw (@ThatShawGuy): @kitten_beloved Anyone who uses “nerd” as a slur in 2023 can be immediately discounted and ignored.

Didn’t even cross my mind that this would be taken as a sincere slur lol - pretty sure everyone who knows me would (accurately) characterize me as one

Reply to his own earlier tweet, 16:45 UTC · 9 likes

Aaron Bergman, October 9, 2023: Idgaf if there are minute technical differences, don’t @ me

I feel like people are taking this a little too seriously

Tweet, 17:23 UTC · 23 likes

24 hour twitter fast starting now

Y’all can dunk on me and I won’t even be here to defend myself, don’t miss this limited time offer

Wednesday, October 11, 2023

Thread, continued, 11:15 UTC · 12 likes

Personal identity is not continuous and so the guy who wrote that tweet^ has no jurisdiction over me

Reply to @catehall, 11:27 UTC · 3 likes

Cate Hall 🔸 (@catehall): I have little energy these days for people telling me I shouldn’t bother trying X or Y because it’s not tractable. Y’all been wrong a lot before.

Screwworm elimination? Not tractable, prove me wrong

Reply to @dissproportion, 11:35 UTC · 1 like

(The tweet being replied to by @dissproportion is no longer available.)

One of the most based things I’ve ever read

Reply to @GarrettPetersen, 11:35 UTC · 2 likes

Dr. Dad, PhD 🔄🔼◀️🔽▶️ (@GarrettPetersen): My wife is in a mom group, and all the children are 2.5 years old now. Many of the girls have learned to dress themselves. Few of the boys have. And the ostensible reason is that the girls like clothes, and the boys hate them. My son is in full revolt against the concept of pants

He just like me fr

Reply to @exdiegesis, 11:44 UTC · 1 like

Hope (@exdiegesis): yo, aaron. ik this is part-joke, but learning to bargain w ur future-self is gd bc it mitigates myopia. if u (mostly) insist on keeping ur self-contracts (even after changing ur mind), u (mostly) won't make contracts u can't keep. hm, but it's better to try-&-fail than not try.

Fuck it, ur right. 6 hours+2 hour penalty starting now

Reply to his own earlier tweet, 11:46 UTC · 2 likes

Aaron Bergman, October 11, 2023: Personal identity is not continuous and so the guy who wrote that tweet^ has no jurisdiction over me

Fuck it we ball

Tweet, 21:41 UTC · 8 likes

POV: it’s kinda chilly but still sunny for the first time all year

Image

Thursday, October 12, 2023

Reply to @littIeramblings, 01:23 UTC · 11 likes

sarah (@littIeramblings): ok ever since I started lurking in EA/ AI safety circles I’ve noticed that ppl regularly say ‘this’ where I would usually say ‘that’, eg ‘i agree with this’

such a trivial observation lol but it’s just interesting to me that this phenomenon exists

Lol have u encountered this one yet?

Reply to @amelapay, 07:48 UTC · 7 likes

Pamela J. Hobart (@amelapay): My 7yo daughter learned to send me email 🥹

image attached

Well what’s the answer

Reply to @littIeramblings, 07:53 UTC · 2 likes

sarah (@littIeramblings): so it’s actually not cringe enough?

Uh I guess so ya

Reply to @littIeramblings, 07:53 UTC · 1 like

sarah (@littIeramblings): Omg that’s one I’ve actually started to find myself saying irl

It infects all who hear it

Reply to @Aella_Girl, 08:08 UTC · 3 likes

Aella (@Aella_Girl): Last year an FBI agent showed up at my house and told me I was under arrest and to come with him.
Except it wasn't the FBI, it was a stalker impersonating the FBI and trying to kidnap me.

Jfc

Reply to @daniel_271828, 09:51 UTC · 2 likes

zzDANIEL_ETH (@daniel_271828): Hmm, could some EA org now buy some land and build skyscraper apartments on it?

(quoting @Scott_Wiener: BIG HOUSING NEWS: @GavinNewsom has signed our 3 housing bills: ✅ Dramatically expanding housing streamlining — no discretion, no CEQA; takes effect in SF early 2024 (SB 423) ✅ Allowing churches, nonprofit colleges, etc, to build affordable housing on their land (SB 4) … ⬇️)

Build it and I will come (maybe)

Reply to @prerat, 10:12 UTC · 3 likes

prerat (@prerat): im not like a regular utilitarian
im a cool utilitarian

I’m not like a regular utilitarian

I’m not cool either

I just have heterodox views on what impartial hedonic consequentialism actually implies (in particular that it permits lexicality/non-offsetability and no vnm does not prove this wrong)

Reply to @peter_wilde_alt, 14:03 UTC · 2 likes

(The tweet being replied to by @peter_wilde_alt is no longer available.)

Me until a second ago: “why and how is he chatting with charity entrepreneurship?”

Reply to @absurdlymax, 14:11 UTC · 2 likes

Max Alexander (@absurdlymax): At least in undergrad I really don't think a lot of them are like, really fully adult yet in like very important ways

I’m not sure if this implies I was a very mature or very immature 18 year old bc I’ve felt the same level of adultness since like 16

Tbh probably a mix of both in different ways

Reply to @absurdlymax, 14:13 UTC · 3 likes

Max Alexander (@absurdlymax): @freed_dfilan @ilex_ulmus Yeah but I think kid often is used to refer to people not under 18 (original tweet in point) but child would not be used this way, which I guess we could just used 'immature adult' though this has connotations I think are worse

“Young adult”?

Reply, 14:22 UTC · 1 like

No I don’t think it does: as a toy counterexample, suppose I think every state of the world in which I’m out of Diet Coke rn is worse than every state of the world where I’m not

Then you can just express u(world) as a piecewise function…

Thread, continued, 14:25 UTC · 2 likes

that gets arbitrarily close to 1 from the left if no Diet Coke but as the rest of the world gets better (eg u(utopia but no DC)=.99999)) and arbitrarily close to 1 from the right if I have DC but the rest of the world gets worse (eg u(misery + DC)=1.0001)

Thread, continued, 14:27 UTC · 2 likes

The fundamental thing here is that utility functions as used in econ and stats are ~always ordinal, and there are ways to express infinitely strong preferences/values as *ordinally* beating everything else without straying from the real numbers

Reply to @JMannhart, 14:32 UTC · 4 likes

Jonathan Mannhart 🔎 (@JMannhart): Isn't it the exact other way around?

Microwaves excite water molecules, of which proportionally more are in the food. So the food gets proportionally more of the energy.

I assume this can be true with some exotic plate materials, but for most ceramics microwaves work great?

The plate can still get hot from conduction (I think that’s the right term lol) from the heated water

But the meme is still wrong lol

Reply to @prerat, 14:35 UTC · 2 likes

prerat (@prerat): @AaronBergman18 @summer_of_bliss i dont think it works to just order them like that, because that utility function still implies you will trade dietcoke-utility probabilistically

I mean it literally works in some sense, if you’re defining a utility function to be an ordinal mapping between states of the world and some real number (and I think this is generally the definition, no?)

Like I can do whatever I want - it’s my utility function

Thread, continued, 14:36 UTC · 2 likes

Like in this scenario I would give up anything else for any increase in P(Diet Coke)

Tweet, 14:42 UTC · 4 likes

You can only choose one discourse to argue with me about for the rest of eternity

Reply to @absurdlymax, 14:49 UTC · 3 likes

Max Alexander (@absurdlymax): @AaronBergman18 Gonna need more context on some of these

The context is esoteric deep lore, not communicable via tweet or indeed written language at all

Reply to @littIeramblings, 16:38 UTC · 1 like

sarah (@littIeramblings): I doubt anyone eats these everyday and a person occasionally indulging in an oversized cookie is srsly the least consequential thing ever, like let ppl live ffs

Also lol at highlighting calories as the main problem. Like there are definitely plausible stats about the cookie that would make it seem absolutely not worth eating to me but being a normal meal size in terms of cals isn’t one of them

Reply to @LexerLux, 16:43 UTC · 2 likes

(The tweet being replied to by @LexerLux is no longer available.)

Yes but idk who

Reply to @littIeramblings, 17:12 UTC · 2 likes

sarah (@littIeramblings): ok I’m exaggerating but ygm

I rlly need to chill sorry idk why this has made me so mad

U should make a list big list of all ur opinions and takes

Reply, 17:25 UTC · 2 likes

Put ur arm in an ice water bath and see if anything changes

Reply to @LingTolls, 17:42 UTC · 3 likes

Josh Steele (@LingTolls): @AaronBergman18 @rbnmckenna86 My experience with nihilism is going to karaoke and enjoying my friends and my job. Not a big fan of ice baths though

I think my point was a bit too oblique haha. Like the fact that karaoke is fun and ice baths suck is a good intuition pump for morality. Like if you could impose one or the other on a stranger, seems immoral to choose the ice water

Reply to @absurdlymax, 18:08 UTC · 2 likes

Max Alexander (@absurdlymax): John Fetterman has taken up SBF's mantle of publicly wearing shorts everywhere possible

I hope I’m next in line for the throne

Reply to @absurdlymax, 18:12 UTC · 2 likes

Max Alexander (@absurdlymax): John Fetterman has taken up SBF's mantle of publicly wearing shorts everywhere possible

They’re right

Legs being a little cold: easy to forget about, -.01 util

Legs being a little warm: impossible to ignore, never adjusts, -10^10 utils

Reply to @esalalumbo, 18:15 UTC · 3 likes

Eli T. D. (Dialetheism Truther) (@esalalumbo): @AaronBergman18 I am curious about option 2

Don’t really feel like digging up past discussions but the short version is

X:= “total utilitarianism implies that (possible) states of the world or events or things can be adequately modeled as each corresponding to a real valued number of utils”

Quote tweet, 19:30 UTC · 2 likes

This is interesting but I’d love to know what the individual variance is

Like what would the bottom graph look like if each man’s score was say the 90th (?) percentile bucket assigned by a random sample of n=30 (?) women

Quoting John Potter spirit/acc (@potterlab): What did women mean by this?

image attached

Tweet, 23:12 UTC · 8 likes

Petition to make it illegal to be dark outside before 10pm

Thread, continued, 23:12 UTC · 5 likes

I think we can get this one with enough grassroots support

Reply to his own earlier tweet, 23:20 UTC · 9 likes

Aaron Bergman, August 3, 2023: Not load bearing (fox is a surprise - I’ve only seen one a handful of times)

Load bearing (I’m like 80% sure it’s a raccoon and not a catbc of the tail I couldn’t really capture after seeing)

Image

Friday, October 13, 2023

Tweet, 02:35 UTC · 39 likes

🚶‍♂️🚶‍♂️🚶‍♂️

Image

Reply to @littIeramblings, 02:35 UTC · 4 likes

sarah (@littIeramblings): p(kitten) = 0%, landlord said no 😞

(quoting @tarzantooo: @littIeramblings Ok, your p(kitten) is 50%, but what kind of timeline are we talking here?)

*YIMBY arc commences*

Reply to @absurdlymax, 03:13 UTC · 3 likes

Max Alexander (@absurdlymax): I bet Aaron would walk circles around you with a chatgpt/ai audio generated ad

Lol in the sense that I can get amazon to make the nonlinear library voice say whatever I want

Not much of a rap tho

Thread, continued, 03:40 UTC · 2 likes

👀🔥https://aaronbergman.neocities.org/running

Thread, continued, 03:40 UTC · 2 likes

Lol is the best 15 mins I've ever spent

Reply to @SpacedOutMatt, 03:49 UTC · 3 likes

Matt 🔸 (@SpacedOutMatt): Aaron vs. LessWrong https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/4y3qcbnhSmXrk6p34

🔫

Reply to @absurdlymax, 03:50 UTC · 1 like

Max Alexander (@absurdlymax): @AaronBergman18 @ohwizenedtortle @JesseTayRiver Thank you

Also I just remembered u mentioning smth about audio for ur blog. Happy to make readouts using this if u want itll take me like 5 mins

Reply to @PeterJAngel, 04:21 UTC · 2 likes

Peter🧅📈 (@PeterJAngel): @AaronBergman18 Tho for the record I was not really running by mile 9

It may have taken like 2 and a half hours. Being out paced by 60 yo men who started later than one self is a mood

Well u woulda outpaced me

Tweet, 06:34 UTC · 6 likes

Found in a dark corner of Google Photos, for the entertainment of the masses: https://youtu.be/qR4NTD2BKmI?si=VhmSstbrbdZQJqI_

Reply to @CharlesD353, 06:49 UTC · 2 likes

Charles🔸 (@CharlesD353): @AaronBergman18 Why wouldn't you listen to podcasts and audiobooks while running?

I feel like I max out nerdiness in a ton of ways, but for some reason workout + concentration/attempted learning is just too much lol

Very impressed when other ppl do that

Reply to @littIeramblings, 07:36 UTC · 1 like

sarah (@littIeramblings): So the world didn't end then. Awkward.

Time for this round 2 🤞

Reply to @bellaforristal, 08:21 UTC · 2 likes

Bella Forristal 🔸 (@bellaforristal): Not confident, but.... I *think* the joke is about the one room with blue lights. There's a meme that twinks use weird coloured lights to take photos (maybe nudes?) with?

I have never heard this meme and doubt I ever will again

Reply to @FrostedSapling, 14:50 UTC · 2 likes

Ivan 🔸 (@FrostedSapling): @AaronBergman18 Could you name some of the local fauna who you’ve befriended?

Steve, Marcus, Andrea, Kim

Quote tweet, 14:55 UTC · 12 likes

Help I’ve been shot

Quoting sarah (@littIeramblings): almost 4 yrs post-zoom revolution and *still* nobody can resist the overwhelming urge to say “hopefully this works” to fill the 0.5 seconds it takes to share their screen

Reply to @harry_taussig, 15:37 UTC · 21 likes

Harry Taussig 🐘 (@harry_taussig): yknow how you can't decide to "do" sleep, and you can only create the conditions for it and see what happens?

Yeah that's also how everything else works

Counterpoint: diphenhydramine + melatonin

Reply to his own earlier tweet, 16:18 UTC · 2 likes

Aaron Bergman, October 13, 2023: Steve, Marcus, Andrea, Kim

Proof (Marcus on the left, his cousin Julie on the right)

Image

Reply to @harry_taussig, 16:51 UTC · 6 likes

Harry Taussig 🐘 (@harry_taussig): @AaronBergman18 sounds like cultivating the conditions of your body and brain to be conducive to health and sleep to me

(but also I agree with you and "doing" has it's place in life for sure)

I’m mostly joking and think ur point is underrated as a rule of thumb lol

Reply to @JesseTayRiver, 17:02 UTC · 1 like

Jesse Smith (@JesseTayRiver): He won't get in a vehicle unless I kneel down and give him a hug first. Probably too indulgent and not good dog ownership

video attached

Based

Reply to @ESYudkowsky, 19:16 UTC · 7 likes

Eliezer Yudkowsky ⏹️ (@ESYudkowsky): As you may know, I disagree with @elonmusk about some large issues--so worth highlighting that Community Notes seems to me like an incredible smashing home run of a feature. It works far better than I'd have predicted. IMO it justifies the entire Twitter purchase.

Reply to @ilex_ulmus, 20:23 UTC · 16 likes

Holly ⏸️ Elmore (@ilex_ulmus): Consider this: What if AI alignment just doesn't happen?

Hate to be that guy but rounding this to a binary choice probably isn’t a useful simplification

Reply to @ilex_ulmus, 23:32 UTC · 5 likes

Holly ⏸️ Elmore (@ilex_ulmus): @AaronBergman18 Say more

Being lazy but here's a ramble summary

Image

Thread, continued, 23:33 UTC · 2 likes

Emphasis on the last paragraph which gets cut off for preview: I'm extremely amateur here and ppl should correct me if I'm wrong

Saturday, October 14, 2023

Reply to @burrhhh, 00:48 UTC · 2 likes

ℝyan @ COLM 26’ (@burrhhh): The answer is counterintuitively the larger one.

The set of possibilities is:

{Equally many, More boys, More girls}

Pr(More boys) = Pr(More girls)

But for the smaller hospital, the Pr(Equally many) is higher.

Correct answer right here

Quote tweet, 01:17 UTC · 5 likes

That is the face of a fish who has seen too much

Quoting depths of wikipedia! (@depthsofwiki): when I realized there are fish swimming around right now who lived in a world before beethoven's ninth symphony I had to stare at a wall for a minute and collect myself

image attached

Reply to @trunarla, 01:27 UTC · 4 likes

˗ˏˋmewtru´ˎ˗ (@trunarla): Just remembering when I interviewed for Google for an entry level swe job and I had to do 7-8 rounds of interviews. Is that really necessary 😅???

Don’t give EA orgs any ideas

Reply to @ilex_ulmus, 05:36 UTC · 5 likes

Holly ⏸️ Elmore (@ilex_ulmus): I particularly enjoyed this line-- take it from this Chinese news article!

image attached
(quoting @ilex_ulmus: [Google translated from Chinese] "Open model weights are accused of causing AI to get out of control. Meta was protested with placards. LeCun: The open source AI community is in full swing."…)

Lol I’d love to come across a line in smth in a language I don’t understand at all with my name just conspicuously in the middle

Reply to @littmath, 05:37 UTC

Daniel Litt (@littmath): Uber driver from the airport last night found out I was a mathematician and started excitedly asking me about spherical trigonometry. Over the course of the ride it slowly dawned on me that he was trying to persuade me that the Earth is flat.

Is he right

Reply to @crystalxduan, 05:49 UTC · 2 likes

das überkristall (@crystalxduan): How old were you when you realized you only have one party a weekend in you now

Probably like 11

Reply to @ilex_ulmus, 06:01 UTC · 1 like

Holly ⏸️ Elmore (@ilex_ulmus): @freed_dfilan Give it goals of your choosing?

And that was how the universe was tiled with humanoid robot submarines sprinting back and forth down pool lanes

Reply to @adam__isom, 06:05 UTC · 3 likes

adam ✧ ❥ ~ (@adam__isom): make a wish

Below my cost effectiveness funding threshold

Reply to his own earlier tweet, 06:13 UTC · 2 likes

Aaron Bergman, October 14, 2023: And that was how the universe was tiled with humanoid robot submarines sprinting back and forth down pool lanes

One of these is not like the others

Image

Reply to @ilex_ulmus, 06:17 UTC · 2 likes

Holly ⏸️ Elmore (@ilex_ulmus): @AaronBergman18 @freed_dfilan lol all your biggest fans

😏

Reply to @avaa411, 06:18 UTC · 2 likes

avantika (@avaa411): 16 y/o me really thought this was the end.. happy international failure (/ take more risks) day

image attached

I feel this in my soul

Tweet, 06:28 UTC · 4 likes

ChatGPT-4 (have a better name?) and airplanes are the two pieces of technology that viscerally seem like magic to me

Quote tweet, 06:50 UTC · 3 likes

This is my career plan wrt ea orgs

Quoting Trung Phan (@TrungTPhan): underrated corporate career-building move

image attached

Reply to @ElytraMithra, 06:59 UTC · 1 like

(The tweet being replied to by @ElytraMithra is no longer available.)

Real

Reply to @4confusedemoji, 06:59 UTC · 4 likes

olivia (@4confusedemoji): i was going through my email looking for historical notes from berkeley rat times, and i saw an ad for a room for rent in a group house that was specifically advertised as having whiteboard walls.

Based

Reply, 07:10 UTC · 1 like

Lol these are in many ways opposites but at a fundamental level we really don’t have explanations for why electromagnetism (or quarks, or any fundamental thing) exists so you’re closer to being literally right

Reply to @littIeramblings, 08:05 UTC · 2 likes

sarah (@littIeramblings): 🤞🤞🤞

New alignment strategy everyone cross ur fingers (and toes if ur dedicated) rly hard

Quote tweet, 08:11 UTC · 11 likes

Moral of the story: run for office only if you don’t want to

Quoting Steve Stewart-Williams (@SteveStuWill): In one of the most surprising findings in the history of science, new research reveals that people who run for political office are more narcissistic than the average citizen. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.electstud.2023.102672

image attached

Reply to @littIeramblings, 08:32 UTC · 2 likes

sarah (@littIeramblings): where are all the EAs begrudgingly running for office

Somewhere in Pennsylvania I think (wherever @JesseTayRiver is)

(But also in the future)

Reply to @QualyThe, 09:48 UTC · 3 likes

Qualy the lightbulb (@QualyThe): wow. unfollowing now. I knew about the meth empire, just found out about the chain of fried chicken restaurants

image attached

Tragic: qualy made a reference I don’t understand

Reply to @lawhsw, 10:46 UTC · 2 likes

harry law (hopfield network truther) (@lawhsw): for new followers, I write a weekly newsletter on ai policy, ethics, governance etc if you’re into that sort of thing

https://www.learningfromexamples.com/p/the-week-in-examples-8-14-october

Nominative determinism strikes again

Sunday, October 15, 2023

Reply to @FrostedSapling, 04:25 UTC · 1 like

Ivan 🔸 (@FrostedSapling): How to find hot single assistant professors in my area

Hinge?

Quote tweet, 04:32 UTC · 8 likes

Kant was right

Quoting JW (@JWepp): what would you post?

image attached

Reply to @littIeramblings, 05:00 UTC · 3 likes

sarah (@littIeramblings): wait till u hear about the mega sloth

Reply to @littIeramblings, 17:37 UTC · 1 like

sarah (@littIeramblings): GOOD AFTERNOON HAPPY SUNDAY

I baked a cake 😊

image attached

Reply to @frances__lorenz, 17:38 UTC · 3 likes

(The tweet being replied to by @frances__lorenz is no longer available.)

Goss 👀

Reply to @littIeramblings, 17:43 UTC

sarah (@littIeramblings): Hm is that a good or bad thing

Good if you really like the color beige

Reply to @littIeramblings, 17:46 UTC

sarah (@littIeramblings): lol me and my housemates have a thing where if any of us are cooking chips/ nuggets/ hash browns etc and are willing to share we say “I’m putting some beige in the oven”

Ok it checks out ur definitely British

Reply to @absurdlymax, 18:07 UTC · 2 likes

Max Alexander (@absurdlymax): @QualyThe @AaronBergman18 walk

Walk

Reply to @arthur_wright_, 18:10 UTC · 2 likes

Arthur Wrong 🔸 (@arthur_wright_): @AaronBergman18 @absurdlymax @QualyThe Can't imagine you walking without audio

Ya this trend isn’t for me. I’m a nonsilent Walker

Monday, October 16, 2023

Reply to @peterwildeford, 02:33 UTC · 3 likes

Peter Wildeford🇺🇸🚀 (@peterwildeford): Explain the t-distribution as you might to a Golden Retriever

image attached

“All you need to know is to fetch the ball and have fun”

Quote tweet, 02:42 UTC · 12 likes

Noooo turbulence is so much fun 😭

Quoting Yves Remmler (@YvesRemmler): Turbulence free flights are coming soon!

video attached

Reply to @SpacedOutMatt, 02:52 UTC · 2 likes

Matt 🔸 (@SpacedOutMatt): @AaronBergman18 I feel like your personal utility function might be the most different from average of anyone I know

Lol but it’s not entirely disjoint!

Reply to @esceydabulyu, 12:52 UTC · 2 likes

Lark (@esceydabulyu): Trying to prove something and I am stuck at "Let". It has never been so over

“Let [thing ur trying to prove]”

Congrats ur done

Reply to @QualyThe, 13:10 UTC · 8 likes

Qualy the lightbulb (@QualyThe): What are some smaller/underrated EA twitter accounts?

@FrostedSapling

Also all of EA Twitter is underrated relative to the world at large

Reply to @benleo_econ, 13:10 UTC · 3 likes

Ben Grodeck🔸 (@benleo_econ): @QualyThe @qualythe

Unironically

Reply to @jdcmedlock, 13:23 UTC · 1 like

James Medlock (@jdcmedlock): @ryxcommar Shoutout to liquids, fr gotta be one of my favorite states of matter 🙏

Nah Bose Einstein condensate is a real one

Reply to @peterwildeford, 17:21 UTC · 5 likes

Peter Wildeford🇺🇸🚀 (@peterwildeford): @SpacedOutMatt @AaronBergman18 I also think that on my median flight I would enjoy about 5% more turbulence

One of us 🤝

Reply to @ilex_ulmus, 17:29 UTC · 16 likes

Holly ⏸️ Elmore (@ilex_ulmus): I think we should be confronting people for being cowards more. We shouldn’t be like “oh, I get it, they make a lot of money in their risky job”.

It’s not okay to have a job you think could end the world because it pays well. If you do this, you suck. You are bad.

(quoting @AISafetyMemes: Me: Hey what do you do Them: I'm an AI engineer Me: p(doom)? Them: 40% My brain: Don't say it... Don't say it.... Don't say it... Don't say it... Don't say it... Don't say it... Don't say it... Don't say it... Don't say it... Don't say it... Don't say it... Don't say it... Don't…)

I’m not sure this would actually be effective. My intuition is that it would not be unless done in a very friendly way that “confront for being a coward” doesn’t evoke lol

Reply, 17:41 UTC · 2 likes

Yes lol

Reply to @alistair___s, 17:47 UTC · 2 likes

Alistair Stewart (@alistair___s): I don't dispute there's some truth to what you're saying, but I think this kind of thinking is part of the reason why pro-pause advocacy isn't succeeding as much as it could/should be atm. Sometimes you just gotta tell the truth, however uncomfortable it is

1/2

I basically agree at the movement level but like no, if the “aggressively consequentialist” thing to do is to be interpersonally very kind then that is the thing to do

It’s an empirical question what is in fact the most promising interpersonal stance to take

Tweet, 17:57 UTC · 12 likes

> asks a guy to come on Pigeon Hour: *doesn’t ask what we’ll talk about, ready to sling opinions and takes on every possible topic, hopes an intellectual rival will be on too so they can fistfight it out on air”

Thread, continued, 17:57 UTC · 14 likes

> asks a woman who I’ve had multiple interesting conversations with: “noooooo I don’t have any beliefs or knowledge worthy of the dozen-listener pod. Maybe in a few years after I develop one interesting thing to say (p≈.2) bc now I have none, what if I say smth wrong nooooooo”

Reply to @littIeramblings, 18:10 UTC · 1 like

sarah (@littIeramblings): 🙄

Ikr u should have a word with such women

Reply to his own earlier tweet, 18:14 UTC · 8 likes

Aaron Bergman, October 16, 2023: > asks a woman who I’ve had multiple interesting conversations with: “noooooo I don’t have any beliefs or knowledge worthy of the dozen-listener pod. Maybe in…

If y’all need female role models, @Laura_k_Duffy and @ilex_ulmus are some exceptions to the above

Reply, 18:23 UTC · 1 like

It doesn’t seem mocking in a negative way to me but ofc I could be wrong

Is the tone in the tweets above inappropriate?

Reply to @ChrisLloyd__, 19:44 UTC · 2 likes

Chris (@ChrisLloyd__): Had an EA acquaintance I don't even know that well offer to poke holes in my career plans tomorrow.

Like, how generous??? Feeling very grateful 😊

Relatable (see the first pic)

Reply to @nickcammarata, 19:55 UTC · 39 likes

Nick (@nickcammarata): Most of the successful founders I know are fueled essentially by romantic rejections they had in their early teens. I think our economy might largely be running on the disgust response of 15yo girls

This is why I grind 😤

Reply to @bwbbx, 20:48 UTC · 2 likes

Bobby (@bwbbx): Should have tried a ring pop

Good point. Next time I’ll go with this

Reply to @QiaochuYuan, 22:54 UTC · 28 likes

QC (@QiaochuYuan): most social interactions i have with people happen somewhat too fast. like i can’t quite process what’s happening in real time. is there a word for this?

Autism? Not joking lol

Reply to @BowTieOrangeGuy, 23:45 UTC · 4 likes

(The tweet being replied to by @BowTieOrangeGuy is no longer available.)

@ohwizenedtortle ?

Tuesday, October 17, 2023

Reply to @JosephPera, 01:10 UTC · 21 likes

Joe Pera (@JosephPera): had to share this sale with you:

image attached

This reaches Giffen Good status for me. Think I’d rather have 1 for $1 bc like why

Reply to @tautologer, 01:18 UTC · 2 likes

tautologer (@tautologer): purple, slimy, sharp, stinky, lush, ouch, salty, firm, lurch, fuzzy, green, smoky, dizzy, desperate, warm, blinding, wobbly, spicy, sticky, angry, distant, slippery, elated, squishy, blue, rasping, sweet, gnawing, buoyant, fresh, smooth, tickle, looming, stuffed, hopeful, red...

Ur missing like 3 or 4

Tweet, 01:20 UTC · 7 likes

Pajama pants have been dug out of the Big Pile of Clothes. It’s officially Fall ☃️

Reply to @pronounced_kyle, 02:09 UTC · 5 likes

Christian Keil (@pronounced_kyle): All new tech is scary, it's not just AI.

• trains — the female body was feared to not be able to go over 50 mph, lest the uterus "fly out of the body"

• subways — going underground was cursed because it brought you "closer to the devil"

• elevators — early riders got "elevator sickness" (physically ill) out of hysterical fear

Debatably, AI is the least scary invention on this list. The ones above all actually harmed people.

Jfc you have to actually look at the object level arguments, not *just* pattern match. On priors we shouldn’t have been afraid of Thalidomide either!

Tweet, 02:11 UTC · 5 likes

Pigeon Hour with @ilex_ulmus is out! Substack with full transcript here, Spotify and Apple Podcast links below https://open.substack.com/pub/aaronbergman/p/podcast-holly-elmore-on-ai-pause?r=2muv6&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web

Reply to @absurdlymax, 02:15 UTC · 2 likes

Max Alexander (@absurdlymax): I don't think it's for the same reasons, but I had a blog post half finished about how sometimes feel like I don't have a soul, so I felt kinda sad for SBF when he said this about himself

Well u don’t (neither does anyone)

Reply to @SpacedOutMatt, 02:34 UTC · 3 likes

Matt 🔸 (@SpacedOutMatt):

image attached
(quoting @AaronBergman18: I won't go down without a fight)

I bet this would be funny if I had any connotations or experience or anything whatsoever with Fortran

Reply to @maiamindel, 02:40 UTC · 3 likes

Maia (@maiamindel): Boygenius
Fiona Apple
David Bowie
Olivia Rodrigo
Janelle Monae
MUNA
Kate Bush
Grace Jones
Leonard Cohen
Mitski

(quoting @Capt__jade: Quote this with your top 10 favorite artistes and let your mutuals grade your music taste over 10)

I’ve heard of 3 of these? Fiona Apple sounds like what Trump would call Tim Cook’s nonexistent wife

Reply to @SpacedOutMatt, 02:58 UTC · 4 likes

Matt 🔸 (@SpacedOutMatt): @JesseTayRiver @absurdlymax @AaronBergman18 No the joke is that F77 is more chad than even R

Image

Reply to @generativist, 11:10 UTC · 1 like

johnny, INFINITE FUN ENTHUSIAST (@generativist): kind of guy who wants to try ozempic not to lose weight but just to see what these cognitive effects are really like

(me)

Reply to @SarahWieten, 15:07 UTC · 5 likes

Sarah Wieten @sarahwieten.bsky.social (@SarahWieten): My students are apparently all already anti-realists. Now what will I do with the rest of the term?

I can fix them

Reply to @ylecun, 15:12 UTC · 2 likes

Yann LeCun (@ylecun): Knee-jerk panics about the deployment of new technology are nothing new.
Even from scientists calling for bans.

(quoting @PessimistsArc: The EU thought GMOs were an existential risk. Putting a moratorium on them, then massively over-regulating. They’re only now walking some of it back.)

Gonna start just copy and pasting this bc it’s become a whole genre of tweet

Reply to @notanastronomer, 15:50 UTC · 1 like

(The tweet being replied to by @notanastronomer is no longer available.)

This reply has been coming in handy recently

Reply to @absurdlymax, 17:32 UTC · 2 likes

Max Alexander (@absurdlymax): I should go on a hike

We can hit the Appalachian Trail and meet halfway

Reply to @JgaltTweets, 17:32 UTC · 2 likes

JgaltTweets (@JgaltTweets): @absurdlymax

image attached

Reply to @JesseTayRiver, 17:56 UTC · 2 likes

Jesse Smith (@JesseTayRiver): @absurdlymax Different reasons tho. You want to prevent lock-in. I want to prevent this person from doing work that could block my ascendance to global domination

So you *are* running for office?

Reply to @EzraJNewman, 18:01 UTC · 1 like

(The tweet being replied to by @EzraJNewman is no longer available.)

The emotions evoked by the word "beans" can vary depending on individual perspectives and cultural backgrounds. However, words that might evoke similar emotions could include:

1. Lentils
2. Rice
3. Peas
4. Corn
5. Veggies
6. Potatoes
7. Grains
8. Nuts
9. Cabbage
10. Pasta

Tweet, 20:11 UTC · 17 likes

When someone asks via gig work app if you can walk their dog for 30 minutes for $18 for the first time

Image

Image

Thread, continued, 20:17 UTC · 6 likes

If I walk dogs for ~79,000 years straight, we’ll be back in peak SBF funding territory

Tweet, 20:31 UTC · 164 likes

6’ guy who says he’s 5’11” on Hinge to filter out women who don’t understand adverse selection

Reply to @mealreplacer, 20:33 UTC · 2 likes

(The tweet being replied to by @mealreplacer is no longer available.)

Real

Reply to @metakuna, 23:21 UTC · 9 likes

metakuna (14/100 blog posts) (@metakuna): @AaronBergman18 noooo you can't just call everything selection related adverse selection

image attached

Haha adverse selection go *select*

Wednesday, October 18, 2023

Tweet, 02:45 UTC · 11 likes

Congrats (and jfc?) to @learnnontrivial for being more selective than *checks notes* literally every college on earth, ever (afaict)

Image

Image

Reply to @ohwizenedtortle, 06:03 UTC · 2 likes

oh dandy lion🔸 (@ohwizenedtortle): @absurdlymax Community Note: This is correct. We *are* so back.

Max plz do this

Reply to @CarsonJGale, 06:04 UTC · 23 likes

Carson Gale (@CarsonJGale): Asking someone to pick you up from the airport is very odd. It's basically assuming that their time is worth 2x less (there/back) the cost of the Uber/public transit alternative*, and it's often at an inconvenient time!

Wait till u hear about giving gifts other than cash

Reply to @Astatide42, 06:05 UTC · 2 likes

Astatide (@Astatide42): Suddenly the air smells like winter, why is that?

Is it just the temperature playing with my nose receptors/changing the air's texture, or is a more secret third chemical thing going on?

👀👀👀👀👀👀 i honestly would buy the shit out of pure Winter Smell

Reply to @dissproportion, 06:07 UTC · 2 likes

Dissproportionately (@dissproportion): Hard to believe there were any hot women at all before Pilates and celery juice were invented.

Is celery juice a thing? Apparently it’s an aromatase inhibitor

Reply to @datepsych, 09:19 UTC · 21 likes

(The tweet being replied to by @datepsych is no longer available.)

In ~6th grade I saved a random mouse bc bro was climbing up the side of a building and I got worried it would fall and so held my coat out underneath him as like a cushion, which he indeed fell into from several stories up

Image

Reply, 09:36 UTC · 1 like

A neanderthal bc genetics

Reply to @beffjezos, 09:47 UTC · 2 likes

Beff (e/acc) (@beffjezos): Housing price inflation
Education quality decrease
Healthcare price inflation
Poor infrastructure
Energy scarcity

All are causes of pain and death.
All the work of centralizing Decels.
All could be addressed with techno-capital acceleration.

It's never ok to decelerate.

Hey we agree on everything except AGI!

Reply to @ohwizenedtortle, 10:10 UTC · 2 likes

oh dandy lion🔸 (@ohwizenedtortle): @JoshuaBlake_ You know you want some of my limited edition summer berry pavlova Bailey's

Tf is pavlova

Reply to @Aizazadi_, 10:15 UTC · 2 likes

Aizazadi (@Aizazadi_): @AaronBergman18 @ohwizenedtortle @JoshuaBlake_ Pavlov's wife

Ah

Reply to @parafactual, 10:18 UTC · 1 like

You (@parafactual): i'm vegan (in every case except this)

@sayestheorem offered to donate $20 to an animal welfare charity of my choice, in exchange for me eating a steak and posting about it. so i did

it felt gross,i felt bad about it. but i followed through because otherwise i would be defecting

image attached

Endorsed

Reply to @NathanpmYoung, 11:28 UTC · 1 like

Nathan 🔎 (@NathanpmYoung): @sanjehorah you are not the first person to tell me ~this

What

Reply, 11:29 UTC · 3 likes

Whatever it takes to raise the birth rate 😳

Reply to @shauseth, 11:37 UTC · 2 likes

shaurya (@shauseth): (2mins after meeting a girl) marriage was achieved internally

Real

Reply to @made_in_cosmos, 11:43 UTC · 17 likes

Maria Made in Cosmos is taking a break✨ (@made_in_cosmos): Are there any reasonable grownup men on this planet working with teenage boys? Seeing yet another workshop about supporting adolescent boys ran by 3 women, and I don't know if they haven't found any guy with expertise in this topic, or if it didn't occur to them to look for one.

I don’t really know what I’m talking about but I suspect the answer is “yes, but not in such a way that ‘adolescent support’ is the explicit goal”

Reply, 12:19 UTC · 1 like

(The tweet being replied to is no longer available.)

Apparently this is the actual function of this norm lol

Quote tweet, 12:31 UTC · 5 likes

Sweatshirt has been dug out of the Medium Sized Pile of Clothes in the Thing. It’s officially winter ☃️

Quoting Aaron Bergman 🔍 (@AaronBergman18): Pajama pants have been dug out of the Big Pile of Clothes. It’s officially Fall ☃️

Tweet, 12:53 UTC · 34 likes

Image

Reply to @Joe_Highlands, 14:05 UTC · 2 likes

Joe Perry-Highlands (@Joe_Highlands): @AaronBergman18 @datepsych Thank you for your service.

GIF attached

🫡

Reply to @absurdlymax, 14:40 UTC · 11 likes

Max Alexander (@absurdlymax): If one more person says this I'm going to unplug the 1st amendment

image attached

2x2: EA is/is not a form of utilitarianism and it should/shouldn’t be

Reply to @GjMcGowan, 16:55 UTC · 6 likes

George McGowan (@GjMcGowan): This is about the dog walking isn’t it

Ya - ur a smart one

Reply to @metakuna, 17:05 UTC · 1 like

metakuna (14/100 blog posts) (@metakuna): @CarsonJGale @AaronBergman18 I feel like this is an important lesson I need to pass down

Ngl I don’t understand what the lesson is but I’m all here for it

Reply to @JesseTayRiver, 17:21 UTC · 3 likes

Jesse Smith (@JesseTayRiver): A question for laypeople. Using reasoning alone, does this seem compelling? Why or why not?

image attached

No bc if it was you wouldn’t be poasting about it

Reply to @ShakeelHashim, 17:34 UTC · 7 likes

Shakeel (@ShakeelHashim): @SpencerKSchiff I think that's unnecessarily rude

Eh I mean I wouldn’t say that to their face but it seems basically right

Reply to @vividvoid, 17:35 UTC · 13 likes

Vivid Void (@vividvoid): What are the odds

image attached

1 because it happened

Reply to @Astatide42, 17:36 UTC · 2 likes

Astatide (@Astatide42): Hi
I was today years old when I understood that the 10/n here (and in the past few threads) aren't "post 10 out of n" but rather the date in American format

(quoting @eigenrobot: 10/18)

Lmao

Reply to @xlr8harder, 18:13 UTC · 2 likes

xlr8harder (@xlr8harder): Oh you like machine learning? Name your favorite hyperparameter.

epochs=1

Reply to @MasterTimBlais, 18:16 UTC · 7 likes

Tim 🙂⏹️🙂 (@MasterTimBlais): how we feel about this open ladies

(quoting @nocontextmemes: )

Gl fellow bookmarkers

Quote tweet, 18:37 UTC · 5 likes

All I want is a 300 sq foot studio in walking distance of a metro stop, a supermarket, and a park for <$1k/mo

Quoting derek guy (@dieworkwear): home in Bergerac, France for sale ($195k)

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image attached
image attached
image attached

Reply to @anabology, 18:39 UTC · 7 likes

anabology (@anabology): I predict that the normie anti-seed oil crowd are going to “win” in the US, with restaurants all changing to bug oil™ or olive oil. Then, we get the MUFAnation of America.

Everyone will be fatter/more diabetic and the pro-seed oil folk will look like geniuses. It’s a trap.

You don’t think a big switch from soybean/corn/peanut/canola to refined olive oil would be a big win, even if imperfect?

Reply, 19:07 UTC · 2 likes

Incentives

Reply to @kitten_beloved, 20:59 UTC · 8 likes

Kitten 🐈 (@kitten_beloved): Currently speed running the BSA youth safety training

Regret to inform you the BSA has been conclusively longhoused, the HR ladies are in charge and safety is their top priority

image attached

BSA has very little control over how individual troops operate tho

Reply to @tautologer, 21:30 UTC · 2 likes

tautologer (@tautologer): the thing that happened to tpot is the same thing that happened to SSC/ACX

I wasn’t around in like 2014 but ACX is still great IMO

Reply to @historyinmemes, 21:59 UTC · 15 likes

Historic Vids (@historyinmemes): During the 1985 Geneva Summit, there was a moment when President Ronald Reagan and Soviet Premier Mikhail Gorbachev paused their negotiations and went for a walk. Only their personal interpreters were present during this private conversation, and for many years, the content of their discussion was shrouded in secrecy, hidden from both the American and Russian public.

However, in a 2009 interview with Charlie Rose and Ronald Reagan's Secretary of State George Shultz, Gorbachev disclosed a surprising revelation. He shared that during their walk, Reagan had asked him straightforwardly if they could put aside their differences in the event of an alien invasion threatening the world.

image attached

Based

Reply to @stevekrouse, 22:14 UTC · 1 like

Steve Krouse (@stevekrouse): @AaronBergman18 @ValDotTown Yeah exactly! What'd you want to learn how to make?

I mean I have way too many ideas but really just like something extremely basic to work up from - chatgpt suggested a guestbook site that would just store the text inputs of anyone who went to the site and submitted something

Thread, continued, 22:16 UTC · 1 like

and then probably adding like a login function for this.

If that was doable one simple actual tool I have in mind is like an app where you upload your Twitter .zip archive and it gives you back a nice spreadsheet of all your tweets with understandable variable names

Thread, continued, 22:18 UTC · 2 likes

I actually did this halfway with https://tweetcsv.streamlit.app/

but it stops operating by default after downtime and requires the user to mess around with a random .js file inside the archive to get something small enough that streamlit will accept as an upload

Reply to @absurdlymax, 22:22 UTC · 2 likes

Max Alexander (@absurdlymax): @dogmadeath

image attached

Thx

Reply to @eliadeweismann, 23:07 UTC · 3 likes

Linalool Enjoyer, Eliade Weismann (@eliadeweismann): The aromachemical set is finally here! 🎉 @algekalipso Do you have any advice for developing a sense of olfactory qualia space from scratch/without prior dimensional knowledge? 1/

image attached
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Wait where do I buy this

Reply to @sullyj3, 23:18 UTC · 7 likes

░▒▓▒░▒▓▒░▒▓▒░ (@sullyj3): what happens after 10 strikes? life imprisonment?

I think that’s the idea

Thursday, October 19, 2023

Quote tweet, 00:17 UTC · 7 likes

Sad thing about this is that it pattern matches with a billion random inconsequential articles I’ve seen on various social media feeds

But this time there’s really a wolf

Quoting AI Safety First! (@aisafetyfirst): ‘AI Godfather’ Yoshua Bengio: We need a humanity defense organization

The subject of potential catastrophic threats from AI has been taboo in the AI research community since the beginning, Bengio tells The Bulletin.

https://thebulletin.org/2023/10/ai-godfather-yoshua-bengio-we-need-a-humanity-defense-organization/

Reply to @absurdlymax, 00:20 UTC · 2 likes

Max Alexander (@absurdlymax): How do I approach EAG if I'm job hunting?

Idk if this is a good idea and nobody should trust me on this matter, but a bunch of paper resumes + make a QR code/short url website with it would be high variance which is maybe good

Reply to @JesseTayRiver, 00:20 UTC · 2 likes

Jesse Smith (@JesseTayRiver): @absurdlymax Apparently allfed didn't have anyone upstanding to rep them at the job fair thing so I'll be there. You might consider checking it out. I think it's Friday night

Nice

Reply to @JesseTayRiver, 00:21 UTC · 2 likes

Jesse Smith (@JesseTayRiver): Imo they should run a lot of diet experiments (eg can people survive on a diet of mainly seaweed?) but apparently it's tough to get ethics review approval.

No u can’t for the same reasons any non-supplemented vegan diet doesn’t suffice

Reply to @JesseTayRiver, 00:21 UTC · 2 likes

Jesse Smith (@JesseTayRiver): @absurdlymax Now you're making a ton of sense. We'd need a way to make a lot of money first but I actually have some ideas

Have u heard of crypto

Reply to @JesseTayRiver, 01:07 UTC · 2 likes

Jesse Smith (@JesseTayRiver): @AaronBergman18 @absurdlymax Think you may have missed my weasel word

“Sea”

Reply, 09:31 UTC · 1 like

A neutron star

Reply to @absurdlymax, 13:23 UTC · 3 likes

Max Alexander (@absurdlymax): @frances__lorenz @AaronBergman18 I realize now Aaron didn't mean taping them to the wall, so idk why I thought this wouldnt be allowed

Lol actually I think you should inscribe ur resume in the walls with a laser

Reply to @frances__lorenz, 13:23 UTC · 5 likes

(The tweet being replied to by @frances__lorenz is no longer available.)

I miss the FTX days 😢 when if u weren’t allowed to tape smth to a wall u could just buy the wall

Reply to @RandomSprint, 13:28 UTC · 2 likes

RandomSprint🧭 (@RandomSprint): Have you ever been part of a breakup where someone yelled, "I gave you the best years of my life!"?

I know how it feels. I once put a great tweet into a reply rather than a top-level post.

Tragic

Reply to @ElytraMithra, 13:31 UTC · 3 likes

(The tweet being replied to by @ElytraMithra is no longer available.)

It doesn’t have the same property as eg carbon where each unit produced has the ~same externalities tho. Should be a hard limit on how bad it can be to produce, not how much to produce

Reply to @absurdlymax, 13:35 UTC

Max Alexander (@absurdlymax): @frances__lorenz @AaronBergman18 I realize now Aaron didn't mean taping them to the wall, so idk why I thought this wouldnt be allowed

Another maybe bad idea: print smth useful on the back like a map of the venue or list of local bars

Reply to @MariGO2thepolls, 19:00 UTC · 2 likes

🏳️‍🌈Mar G-O 🌐🇺🇦 (@MariGO2thepolls): What is it about soccer/football that attracts the scummiest ppl alive ?

The fact that it’s one of the most popular human activities so inevitably a subset will be bad/good/furries/CEOs/you name it

Reply to @anabology, 19:34 UTC · 6 likes

anabology (@anabology): Red-pills society is ready for:

-Omega 6 seed oils = bad
-Sun = good
-Saturated fat = good

Red-pills society isn’t ready for:

-Omega 3 fish oils = bad
-Olive oil/avocado oil = bad
-Protein makes you fat
-Serotonin = bad

I think the second list is mostly just wrong lol

Reply to @Kirsten3531, 19:40 UTC · 6 likes

Kirsten (@Kirsten3531): It's ironic that rationalists often seem to dislike hearing that you have a bad feeling about someone, think someone is problematic, etc

You'd think having more information would be strictly preferable to having less information but... 🤷🏻‍♀️

The reason this seems *sometimes* bad to me is essentially lossy transmission of information (and therefore incorrect inference) that comes along with vague terms like “problematic”

…

Thread, continued, 19:46 UTC · 4 likes

I don’t have a fully fleshed out information theoretic model here but it’s something like: this types of term acts as a ratchet such that a simple reporting of observation gets systematically biased in the negative direction over time, and furthermore this is foreseeable and

Thread, continued, 19:49 UTC · 6 likes

can be replaced with higher fidelity means of sharing information that do this to a much lower extent

It would be disingenuous not to include the conflict theory bit that sometimes this is wielded as a social weapon, not an earnest but imperfect means of sharing info

Reply to @followdaboys, 19:50 UTC · 2 likes

Humble Water Filter Salesman (@followdaboys): @AaronBergman18 @anabology the entire point of his post.....

Yeah maybe I’m wrong and an example of society not being ready - time will tell hopefully!

Reply to @gptbrooke, 19:57 UTC · 4 likes

brooke bowman (@gptbrooke): at a crossroads, which route should i choose

Image

Tweet, 20:47 UTC · 21 likes

Went on a walk and unlocked a new part of the map

Thread, continued, 20:49 UTC · 4 likes

Ok I’m only .8 miles away lol, pretty sure the geography part of my brain doesn’t exist

Reply to @absurdlymax, 20:54 UTC · 2 likes

Max Alexander (@absurdlymax): @AaronBergman18 It's addictive

I could be in any US suburb rn

Image

Reply to @absurdlymax, 20:55 UTC · 2 likes

Max Alexander (@absurdlymax): @AaronBergman18 It's addictive

(Don’t tag geoguesser guy)

Reply to @JgaltTweets, 21:00 UTC · 2 likes

JgaltTweets (@JgaltTweets): @AaronBergman18 Artist's impression

image attached

Photorealistic

Reply to @littIeramblings, 21:26 UTC · 2 likes

sarah (@littIeramblings): lovely views

https://www.uscis.gov/citizenship

Reply to @goingawoll, 21:32 UTC · 4 likes

Amos Wollen 🦐🪰✴️ (@goingawoll): “Effective Altruism is a form of utilitarianism, itself a branch of consequentialism”

“Effective Altruism has no time for moral dilemmas or disagreement about values.”

“Effective Altruists are therefore obliged to say: Yes, stealing to give to the poor might be good.”

🥴🥴🥴

image attached

Nominative determinism strikes again

Tweet, 21:37 UTC · 28 likes

Might try to productivity grindset-pill the local boomers so they’ll pay me ungodly sums to walk their dogs

“Each time you, a high payed lawyer [yes there are plenty of these around lol], take Fluffy for a walk, you are implicitly leaving HUNDREDS of dollars on the table.”

Thread, continued, 21:37 UTC · 7 likes

“For just $80/hour…”

Reply to @mechanical_monk, 21:39 UTC · 7 likes

monk (@mechanical_monk): my stupid ass ordered pasta when i haven't bought any cutlery for the new apartment yet

image attached

Bro evolution gave u built in utensils u can control with ur mind

Reply to @AndyMasley, 21:49 UTC · 5 likes

Andy Masley (@AndyMasley): I feel professionally called to be an AI guy but aesthetically all I want is to be a nuke guy

Guy who puts up nuclear Armageddon pictures so guests don’t think he’s a weird ai guy

Reply to @adamjkucharski, 22:33 UTC · 2 likes

Adam Kucharski (@adamjkucharski): Having a dinner debate, which is better?

Are we talking about music or just nouns

Friday, October 20, 2023

Reply, 03:08 UTC · 1 like

Fr https://x.com/aaronbergman18/status/1696218589533991053?s=46

Reply, 03:09 UTC · 2 likes

(The tweet being replied to is no longer available.)

He just wanted a friend 😢

Reply to @absurdlymax, 03:27 UTC · 3 likes

Max Alexander (@absurdlymax): @AaronBergman18 @jaybobzin People only love me for my silly stick man

Fake news

Reply to @Malcolm_Ocean, 03:43 UTC · 2 likes

Malcolm Ocean 🏴‍☠️ (@Malcolm_Ocean): Tag yourself

I'm FOPPPER

(quoting @captain_mrs: I tried to ask dalle for an illustration of this action but it turns out it was quite difficult for it to draw so you can have this amusingly labelled unmixed salad instead)

I’m a carrot named Cucumber

Tweet, 04:06 UTC · 10 likes

There’s gotta be a market for a telemedicine practice whose whole schtick is prescribing MAOIs - they’re not even controlled, just quasi-taboo

Quote tweet, 04:11 UTC · 38 likes

This is unironically good, functional discourse

Quoting dylan (@narrenhut): Hell nah man they’re Community Noting the protest signs

image attached

Reply to @TomChivers, 04:21 UTC · 4 likes

Tom Chivers (@TomChivers): hey google docs it's probably quite important that you don't try to correct one kind of antiviral drug with a totally different drug used to treat a different virus! I guess at least it didn't autocorrect

image attached

Plot twist some guy there has strong object level heterodox takes on virus treatment

Reply to @thechosenberg, 05:57 UTC · 2 likes

rosey🌹 (@thechosenberg): I’m crying dude

image attached

They gave a Lego anxiety

Tweet, 07:05 UTC · 28 likes

Dad represented the People of the United States of America earlier today with a black eye after getting assaulted while walking to a courthouse in SF

There are at least two Discourses entangled here but also just like props to him (he’s fine) 🇺🇸👨‍⚖️🏢

Reply to @littIeramblings, 07:12 UTC · 1 like

sarah (@littIeramblings): the fact that the second ‘l’ in my handle had to be replaced with a capital ‘i’ is a source of constant irritation to me

@littleramblings I can’t help but notice that u haven’t posted since 2015 I’m sure we could come to an arrangement here

It could also be interpreted as “litt [literature] i.e., ramblings” which vaguely makes a tiny bit of sense

Reply to @GjMcGowan, 07:16 UTC · 4 likes

George McGowan (@GjMcGowan): @AaronBergman18 Sorry to hear that. Was the assailant arrested?

I don’t think so but details coming when he wakes up and tells them to me

Reply to @exdiegesis, 07:33 UTC · 2 likes

Hope (@exdiegesis): @AaronBergman18 you can buy selegiline (MAOI) without prescription? :O is this something i should recommend to all my prescription-not-having ADHD-having friends? it's like more monoamines in the brain, right, so that just seems net good on a very naive pre-investigation first-guess.

Nah u need a prescription but it’s not as tightly controlled as eg adderall

Reply to @_swanson, 07:56 UTC · 2 likes

matt swanson 😈 (@_swanson): bro wtf is all this shit

image attached

Real

Reply to @PradyuPrasad, 11:49 UTC · 2 likes

Pradyumna 🇸🇬 (@PradyuPrasad): My favorite part of college is when only like 3 people show up in a class of 40. It's basically personal tutoring at that point

I am the 92.5%

Reply to @shaggysurvives, 20:00 UTC · 4 likes

shaggy (@shaggysurvives): I'm learning that you guys really don't like imperfect metaphors

(quoting @TansuYegen: Best example for why ups and downs are important in life)

It’s the worst metaphor I’ve ever seen

Tweet, 20:15 UTC · 23 likes

I want to see the forbidden shrimp illustration

Image

Reply to @Simeon_Cps, 23:07 UTC · 6 likes

Sy (@Simeon_Cps): Can anyone explain to me why GPT-4 base is calibrated by default?

Humans are definitely not calibrated so it is highly surprising to me that it be the case.

image attached

My guess is that humans are over and under confident to an equal extent in the training data and it’s emulating a human *response*, not a human (who would systematically err in one direction)

Saturday, October 21, 2023

Reply to @daniel_271828, 04:39 UTC · 4 likes

zzDANIEL_ETH (@daniel_271828): Oh wow

image attached

Tweet, 05:02 UTC · 46 likes

New EA org: Giving What You Can But Your Rivals Cannot

Image

Thread, continued, 05:02 UTC · 4 likes

From a great pod with @SpencrGreenberg and Ashley Mears https://podcast.clearerthinking.org/episode/180/ashley-mears-money-status-power-and-sex-in-nightclubs-around-the-world/

Tweet, 05:04 UTC · 9 likes

Maybe everyone knows this but France is a super illiberal country

Reply to @ilex_ulmus, 05:13 UTC · 5 likes

Holly ⏸️ Elmore (@ilex_ulmus): @AaronBergman18 Potlatch

Ya they mention that immediately after haha

Great minds

Reply to @AlignmentGuts, 05:27 UTC · 2 likes

AI Struggler (@AlignmentGuts): Just realized that the Cringe <-> Based axis is orthogonal to good and evil?

It's actually Nietzsche's Slave <-> Master morality.

Being cringe means having Slave morality, being based means having Master morality

I think I disagree with this

Cringe is just low status, but there’s a lot if alpha in low status

Reply to @bdunbar, 05:39 UTC · 1 like

bdunbar (@bdunbar): We had a customer who insisted on staffing a classic 'sysop' man after-hours on-site. Nothing ever happened. He got bored.

Our man went spelunking under the data center floor.

(quoting @J_K_Chesterton: What are walls to the criminal?)

Based

Reply to @Trail_Cams, 05:40 UTC · 1 like

trailcam (@Trail_Cams):

video attached

Moose

Quote tweet, 05:50 UTC · 6 likes

Oh no the babies have begun

Quoting Aaron Bergman 🔍 (@AaronBergman18): This is the only platform safe from marriage announcements of my peers (knocking on wood). IG, fb have been lost to The Ring

Reply to @BasedNorthmathr, 06:12 UTC · 1 like

Angantýr (@BasedNorthmathr): For rationalists, these guys sure are emotional

(quoting @So8res: My current stance on AI is: Fucking stop. Find some other route to the glorious transhuman future. There’s debate within the AI alignment community re whether the chance of AI killing literally everyone is more like 20% or 95%, but 20% means worse odds than Russian roulette.)

Rationalism is when you stop having emotions

Reply, 06:16 UTC · 1 like

Gm chickens

Reply to @thechosenberg, 15:54 UTC · 4 likes

rosey🌹 (@thechosenberg): DC gay as hell wonder what’s up with that

image attached

It’s probably just comparing a city to states. Compare city vs city

Reply to @littIeramblings, 16:18 UTC

sarah (@littIeramblings): not sure whether this video or its comments section is freaking me out more

(quoting @TikTokInvestors: lmao)

How many products y’all got?

Reply to @littIeramblings, 16:19 UTC · 4 likes

sarah (@littIeramblings): @absurdlymax @ohwizenedtortle I’d move to Melbourne for a kitkat

I’ll move to any city with cheap ish rent and good hinge matches where I know 3 other ppl

Thread, continued, 16:20 UTC · 2 likes

And a Kit Kat

Reply to @littIeramblings, 16:37 UTC · 3 likes

sarah (@littIeramblings): yes good q i don’t like heat either

The seasons are switched 😱😱😱

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Reply to @littIeramblings, 16:41 UTC · 3 likes

sarah (@littIeramblings): although what’s the spider situ over there

Bad news

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Thread, continued, 16:41 UTC · 3 likes

Or good news if u like venomous spiders

Reply to his own earlier tweet, 16:42 UTC · 2 likes

Aaron Bergman, October 21, 2023: The seasons are switched 😱😱😱

Does it never snow 😢

Reply to @littIeramblings, 16:45 UTC · 3 likes

sarah (@littIeramblings): ok nope nope sorry there aren’t enough kitkats in the world

I think they’re cute

Reply to @littIeramblings, 16:47 UTC · 2 likes

sarah (@littIeramblings): you think 8-legged creatures that can hide in your shoes and bite u and kill u are cute ???

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Reply to @littIeramblings, 16:50 UTC · 3 likes

sarah (@littIeramblings): no

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Reply to @littIeramblings, 16:54 UTC · 4 likes

sarah (@littIeramblings): that won’t work on me

The cuteness requests will continue until morale improves

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Reply to @littIeramblings, 16:59 UTC · 4 likes

sarah (@littIeramblings): Is this a trial run for when the AIs start trying to manipulate us

Ya

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Reply to his own earlier tweet, 17:51 UTC · 6 likes

Aaron Bergman, October 21, 2023: From a great pod with @SpencrGreenberg and Ashley Mears…

.@elonmusk the only way to prove ur status is to beat @moskov at a donation competition

Reply to @Laura_k_Duffy, 21:22 UTC · 5 likes

Laura Muresianu 🌐🔸🇺🇸 (@Laura_k_Duffy): @AaronBergman18 Pigeon Hour with Andy when?

Now

Reply to @SpacedOutMatt, 21:23 UTC · 6 likes

Matt 🔸 (@SpacedOutMatt): @Laura_k_Duffy @AndyMasley @AaronBergman18 Seconding this

image attached

Pigeon hour with Matt when

Reply to his own earlier tweet, 21:23 UTC · 2 likes

Aaron Bergman, October 21, 2023: Now

Ok maybe not now but soon

Reply to @SpacedOutMatt, 22:03 UTC · 2 likes

Matt 🔸 (@SpacedOutMatt): @AaronBergman18 @Laura_k_Duffy @AndyMasley Only if we can spend the whole episode relitigating the worm wars

Only meta level: I’ll argue that no more intellectual effort should be spent on this because there are clear better ways to spend money and it’s just a nerdsnipe

Reply, 22:18 UTC · 1 like

What dumbass said that

Reply to @gptbrooke, 22:19 UTC · 2 likes

brooke bowman (@gptbrooke): quick i need twitter historian help

i'm sure i have that tweet that was the original genesis of vibecamp bookmarked but it was before i had folders and i'm having a hell of a time searching for it

anyone got it saved or can find it?

@SpacedOutMatt is a de facto historian

Tweet, 23:13 UTC · 11 likes

In the Grand Transhumanist Future there will be corn bulbs in every cubic meter of air such that it’s never dark before like 11

Tweet, 23:59 UTC · 15 likes

I should do this (donate a kidney) and haven't but ppl should btw and maybe I will

Thread, continued, 23:59 UTC · 3 likes

I actually started the process of signing up to do this but developed some health things that made me wary of fucking with the system...

maybe this is cope tho

Sunday, October 22, 2023

Reply to @NathanB60857242, 00:20 UTC · 2 likes

Nathan Barnard (@NathanB60857242): @AaronBergman18 idk how much yo plan to donate but i think donations to making chickens less sad could pretty easily beat kidney donation (weighted by chance of death) and I think your career will be much high impact than that

Ya but fuzzies

Reply to @zeta_globin, 00:33 UTC · 1 like

(The tweet being replied to by @zeta_globin is no longer available.)

It’s low enough risk (~zero + a few dollars) that it’s worth trying and seeing what happens

Reply to @tmychow, 00:37 UTC · 2 likes

trevor (taylor’s version) (@tmychow): i’m someone who started off being intuitively compelled by the “imagine a very smart agent with different interests to you” framing of the problem, spent some time thinking about it and now am much more skeptical of doom

Thanks, interesting

This is the lowest point estimate I’ve seen from someone serious/smart/well informed, aside from MacAskill in WWOTF at 3% but that was probably written two years ago (published 1+ year ago)

Tweet, 00:40 UTC · 16 likes

Someone in Non-London England today told me their rent was £300 = $365

What!?!? That’s like 1/2 of *Tulsa*

Thread, continued, 00:40 UTC · 2 likes

This person can reveal themselves if they so choose

Reply to @JgaltTweets, 00:42 UTC · 5 likes

JgaltTweets (@JgaltTweets): Nate Silver hacked? His account is locked and has posted this several times today

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This is the dumbest possible way to make money off of hacking Nate silvers account

Reply to @JgaltTweets, 00:44 UTC · 2 likes

JgaltTweets (@JgaltTweets): @AaronBergman18 For a room, presumably?

Idk precisely but a shared full detached house with two others

Reply to @Levi7hart, 01:15 UTC

Levi Hart (@Levi7hart): it’s very interesting to me that’s it not like 1 or 2 or a handful of e/acc’s who want humanity to end… it really is almost all of them except beff and chris who say they want humanity to die.

not great imo, i wonder if. behind closed doors they also admit they want that

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Are there closed doors? Lol afaict it’s just a bunch of ppl on Twitter

Reply to @JgaltTweets, 01:16 UTC · 2 likes

JgaltTweets (@JgaltTweets): @polisisti @AaronBergman18 If only the house prices were similar to Alabama's

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Wait are the house more or less expensive in England?

Reply to @tautologer, 01:22 UTC · 2 likes

tautologer (@tautologer): this is psychotic and I want to do it so bad

Half the distance per hour and it sounds fun lol

Keeping up an avg pace of 4mph for more than like 2-3 hours just sounds like a “normal” super hard endurance event

Reply to @polisisti, 01:26 UTC · 3 likes

Alessandro (@polisisti): if you had this many unread emails, would it give you an emotional reaction?

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"How'd I read so many?"

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Reply to @daniel_271828, 01:45 UTC · 4 likes

zzDANIEL_ETH (@daniel_271828): @AaronBergman18 Disagree with “should” since I don’t think moral demandingness is that strong (if you had said “would be good to” I’d think it was more reasonable)

Lol I can see myself writing this exact tweet

Reply to @dogmadeath, 01:49 UTC · 2 likes

Sercy ✦ (@dogmadeath): what the FUCK is a verb !!!!

Sometimes I vibe with this genre of tweet but I think verbs are like pretty well defined

Reply, 01:50 UTC · 1 like

I don’t even think normativity exists

Just objective ordering and objective “would be good to” type claims

Reply, 02:26 UTC · 4 likes

Shut the fuck up and don’t accuse people of shit that they don’t believe and don’t do

Reply to @absurdlymax, 02:29 UTC · 1 like

Max Alexander (@absurdlymax): @AaronBergman18 @NathanB60857242 @daniel_271828 I still don't really understand how this doesn't reduce to normativity

Idk if there’s much room for “reducing” - like maybe “x would be good to do” is semantically the same as “you should do x” but my intuition says it’s not

Reply to @RokoMijic, 05:02 UTC · 3 likes

Roko 🐉 (@RokoMijic): @AaronBergman18 Seems like virtue signalling.

The world is about to end, kidney recipients are a tiny, tiny issue that doesn't deserve your thought and effort.

I'm fine with virtue signaling as long as the thing is actually virtuous

I'm not sure you're wrong though - there's a chance I'll delete this

Reply to @absurdlymax, 05:03 UTC · 2 likes

Max Alexander (@absurdlymax): @AaronBergman18 @NathanB60857242 @daniel_271828 So like imagine I replaced every instance of good with 'florpadorp', what is the relevant difference between "x would be good to do" and "x would be florpadorp to do"?

Like clearly there's something that gets reduced to an ought statement or I don't see why you'd protest

"So like imagine I replaced every instance of good with 'florpadorp', what is the relevant difference between "x would be good to do" and "x would be florpadorp to do"?"

One of these is a sentence that means exactly what it sounds like and the other is gibberish?

Reply to @littIeramblings, 05:47 UTC · 1 like

sarah (@littIeramblings): So the grand transhuman future won’t have sunsets?

Damn right

Reply to @SpacedOutMatt, 16:14 UTC · 2 likes

Matt 🔸 (@SpacedOutMatt): POV you blew out a candle

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Every candle takes 9 years off ur life

Reply to @BootsPlatypus, 16:14 UTC · 2 likes

Platypussy in Bio (@BootsPlatypus): @SpacedOutMatt What is this? CO2?

Pm 2.5

Reply to @absurdlymax, 16:20 UTC · 2 likes

Max Alexander (@absurdlymax): @AaronBergman18 @NathanB60857242 @daniel_271828 Well it sounds like one is normative but your point is it isn't

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I don’t think “good” is normative

Normativity seems like a (stronger?) relationship between a person and an action

Reply to @shaggysurvives, 16:29 UTC · 1 like

shaggy (@shaggysurvives): What should I hang on the walls of my bedroom

Whiteboard

I got one for free but would pay for it in hindsight

Reply to @sullyj3, 16:33 UTC · 2 likes

░▒▓▒░▒▓▒░▒▓▒░ (@sullyj3): God damn dude people do not know python

(quoting @clcoding: What is the output of following Python Code? b = '123' c = '1'.join(b) print(c))

Clown ass programming language

Reply, 16:35 UTC

Saying an action is good doesn’t directly invoke a person. Saying “John should do X” does

Reply to @bat1441, 21:25 UTC · 2 likes

bat (@bat1441): Caffeine is a more fun substance for me than nicotine

Ya top tier drug fr

Nicotine like barely affects me

Reply to @robinhanson, 21:26 UTC · 9 likes

Robin Hanson (@robinhanson): If you Google "long legs" and ask for images, almost all of them will be of human females. Even though human males tend to have longer legs on average. (Same at other search engines.)

It should be male giraffes

Monday, October 23, 2023

Reply to @FrostedSapling, 03:27 UTC · 3 likes

Ivan 🔸 (@FrostedSapling): If I could I would donate to help people in the past. Introducing a new cause area: Backtermism. Let’s get some talented folks on the time travel problem

(quoting @absurdlymax: You know what? I'm working towards the glorious transhumanist past Time travel time)

I’ve actually thought a bunch about this! Like it’s weird how ur “allowed” to make fun of tragedies that happened sufficiently long ago

Worked at a summer camp where there was a whole playful song about the Titanic

Reply to @cammakingminds, 03:28 UTC · 2 likes

Lucid™ (@cammakingminds): Tribute to the book that changed so many of our lives.

image attached

Read this on the plane to visit WashU in 2018 while eating coconut chip thingies

Good book

Reply to @polisisti, 03:29 UTC · 2 likes

(The tweet being replied to by @polisisti is no longer available.)

U might turn orange (unironically, but it is temporary)

Reply to @parafactual, 03:31 UTC · 1 like

You (@parafactual): well which ones

Lol good point. Bromantane and dihexa

Reply to @parafactual, 03:31 UTC · 2 likes

You (@parafactual): have you tried them?

Nah, though I did try what was allegedly nsi-189 at one point lol

Reply to @parafactual, 03:35 UTC · 2 likes

You (@parafactual): how was that

Positive but not super dramatic

Wouldn’t be shocked to learn it wasn’t legit

Reply to @NathanB60857242, 03:50 UTC · 2 likes

Nathan Barnard (@NathanB60857242): fuck it i'm starting a podcast

🔥🔥🔥

Reply to @Aella_Girl, 03:52 UTC · 15 likes

Aella (@Aella_Girl): Straight ladies who've had 5+ sexual partners, what are some maybe counterintuitive or underdiscussed complaints u have about things men do (or don't do) during sex?

Lol at bookmarks : likes

Reply to @el1assss, 03:57 UTC · 2 likes

elias💀 (@el1assss): You don't see people tying their shoes much anymore

Velcro is a superior technology

Reply to @metakuna, 05:06 UTC · 2 likes

metakuna (14/100 blog posts) (@metakuna): @AdamNeumannsCoS @AaronBergman18

Null result 😔

Reply to @robertskmiles, 05:07 UTC · 3 likes

Rob Miles (@robertskmiles): Sorry, who specifically is an 'AI doomer' who has ever publicly claimed that AI isn't useful and beneficial for lots of applications? Or really anything incompatible with the fact that Moderna uses AI to speed up their research? Can you name such a person?

Oy vey

Reply to @eigenrobot, 05:08 UTC · 37 likes

eigenrobot (@eigenrobot): is it possible to attract an owl to live in your yard

this would be very cool and it would also solve some other problems

i must investigate

Have you tried simply asking one

Reply to @teortaxesTex, 06:03 UTC · 4 likes

Teortaxes▶️ (DeepSeek 推特🐋铁粉 2023 – ∞) (@teortaxesTex): My question to every decel too. Where does the assumption that scale has some general relation to undesirable properties of AI come from?

Suppose you allow Anthropic to scale their LLMs 100X. Other than "what if Baaad People use it", do you have an argument it poses an X-risk?

image attached

For base model LLMs *specifically* and *alone*, no I don’t think a few OOMs are likely to produce a system that itself poses an X-risk

Problem is that LLMs can provide the horsepower for agentic, goal-oriented systems like chaosGPT but like not incompetent

Thread, continued, 06:08 UTC · 1 like

I mean there are a bunch of related concerns as well. The “bad people” thing isn’t a meme lol - like yes there are bad people and making it arbitrarily easy to create pathogens seems bad. There’s no rule that offensive and defensive capabilities scale equally

Reply to @teortaxesTex, 06:12 UTC · 3 likes

Teortaxes▶️ (DeepSeek 推特🐋铁粉 2023 – ∞) (@teortaxesTex): @AaronBergman18 So, 4D chess? Disingenuous invocations of shoggoths to preclude the necessity to regulate deployment scenarios?

I don’t follow

Reply to @JosephPolitano, 06:23 UTC · 1 like

Joey Politano 🏳️‍🌈 (@JosephPolitano): Vote for me and the "MORE DATA" party in 2024, our platform will:

—triple the budget for all federal data collection agencies
—make all federal economic microdata free and public use
—oversample all small population subgroups
—make all US data available through the FRED API

(quoting @RazzberryYams: @JosephPolitano Who will run on a platform of collecting more economic statistics (Rental market stats are the big one for me. They should be like monthly job market reports, why are we leaving it to probate companies with their own methodologies to make headlines))

One👏big👏csv👏

Reply to @nosilverv, 15:14 UTC · 11 likes

Guy (@nosilverv): Dude I loooooooove doctors.

They've mastered the trick of faking knowledge through black boxes.

They just make an expression into a fancy term, add a because, and, voilà!, it sounds like an explanation.

You got bad breath? Oh that's bc you got halitosis [= "bad breath"]

There are a billion good critiques of medicine/doctors but this is not one of them lol

Reply to @AndyMasley, 15:19 UTC · 2 likes

Andy Masley (@AndyMasley): Evidential decision theory is the final confirmation that Kant was right about everything no I will not elaborate

😡

Reply to @littIeramblings, 15:37 UTC · 2 likes

sarah (@littIeramblings): whose cool and trendy sliders are these (cast ur votes below)

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ChatGPT has a hunch they’re Yann’s

I agree bc he’s the worst/most comfily dressed (just like me fr) and evidently gets warm more easily. Also works at Meta which has a chill tech bro aesthetic

P(yann)=.45

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Reply to @bijibiji2023, 16:01 UTC · 2 likes

hoff 🧒🏻😻 (@bijibiji2023): many such cases of me thinking someone is joking on twitter to a certain degree and then it becomes gradually clearer that they are joking, but not to the degree you expected, and are actually a little bit weird in a very real way

Me fr

Reply to @PauseAI, 19:03 UTC · 5 likes

PauseAI ⏸ (@PauseAI): We literally protested outside OpenAI and deepmind. Also, we're unfunded. Man I'm getting tired of these ridiculous conspiracy theories. It's simple: building superintelligent AI is dangerous and we don't want to die.

Why isn’t there an easy way to donate to you?

Reply to @GjMcGowan, 19:12 UTC · 7 likes

George McGowan (@GjMcGowan): They put Paul on a truck 😭😭😭

image attached

What

Quote tweet, 19:27 UTC · 4 likes

This would be such a blessing

Quoting Guy (@nosilverv): Manifesting:
- I'll get a MD that will just prescribe me the tests I ask him

Reply to @nosilverv, 19:30 UTC · 5 likes

Guy (@nosilverv): @AaronBergman18 Ah, a case of exclusive noncritiquitis

Idiopathic hypomonogomocriticia

Quote tweet, 19:35 UTC · 3 likes

What’s the regulatory/legal/insurance status of random blood/urine tests?

What needs to happen for me to be able to show up at a labcorp with a printed email and have stuff covered by insurance?

Quoting Guy (@nosilverv): Manifesting:
- I'll get a MD that will just prescribe me the tests I ask him

Thread, continued, 19:35 UTC · 2 likes

This is *such* a telemedicine startup waiting to happen

Reply to @krishnanrohit, 19:37 UTC · 2 likes

rohit (@krishnanrohit): AI doomerism seems a Western preoccupation. Folks east of the Ural mountains just want to build cool stuff while the others handwring about the end of the world.

Devastating critique

Reply to @ElytraMithra, 19:39 UTC · 2 likes

(The tweet being replied to by @ElytraMithra is no longer available.)

This is not exactly comprehensive

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Reply to @daniel_271828, 20:08 UTC · 3 likes

zzDANIEL_ETH (@daniel_271828): I’m really worried about where AI is going. But I’m also super confused by people who say that AI has *already* had “very negative” effects on society. What are these very negative effects?

(quoting @YouGovAmerica: % of Americans who say the following technology's overall effects on society have been very or somewhat positive: Internet: 70% Smartphone: 63% AI: 29% https://today.yougov.com/topics/technology/articles-reports/2023/06/26/which-tasks-will-ai-do-better-human-professionals)

Antivaxers with unusually good knowledge of the Moderna discovery pipeline

Tweet, 20:22 UTC · 12 likes

The booster conundrum

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Reply to @KellerScholl, 20:33 UTC · 5 likes

(The tweet being replied to by @KellerScholl is no longer available.)

Luckily if you’re not getting federal funding through various channels I don’t fully understand you can just like ignore this bullshit

At least for now, it is still legal for random people to make google forms

Tweet, 20:35 UTC · 29 likes

My house is a function that takes matching socks as input and returns non-matching socks as output

The backend is a black box

Thread, continued, 20:35 UTC · 3 likes

I bought 20 pairs = 40 matching socks like 3 months ago

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Reply to @Aella_Girl, 22:08 UTC · 1 like

Aella (@Aella_Girl): Sometimes I wanna talk about woes that can only really happen in poly relationships but having many thousands of ppl eager to go "that's what u get for being poly" really makes this less fun.
We really need a "that's what u get for monogamy" trend to counterbalance this

How about neither

Reply to @FrostedSapling, 22:38 UTC · 2 likes

Ivan 🔸 (@FrostedSapling): @AaronBergman18 CVS 🤢

Sorry :(

Reply to @notanastronomer, 23:12 UTC · 1 like

(The tweet being replied to by @notanastronomer is no longer available.)

One of the better $8 I’ve spent

Reply to @ryancbriggs, 23:15 UTC · 5 likes

Ryan Briggs (@ryancbriggs): Shout it from the rooftops!

image attached
(quoting @ZoeZiani: I wrote a post-mortem on the Gino-Ariely scandal: How I came to suspect Gino’s work, the resistance I met during my Ph.D., my experience working with Data Colada, and the lessons I hope business academia will learn from it. https://www.theorgplumber.com/posts/statement/)

Is it? Doesn’t seem as bad bc it’s still bounded by reality in a way fraud isn’t

Reply to @bijibiji2023, 23:16 UTC · 2 likes

hoff 🧒🏻😻 (@bijibiji2023): AI pause is one of those very noble projects that is unfortunately super incompatible with our mode of economy

The market concentration and nuances of this particular industry is a reason you might be wrong

Neither OpenAI nor Anthropic are conventional companies, and most of all the key input technology is extremely hard to make and depends on entities subject to US govt regulation

Tuesday, October 24, 2023

Quote tweet, 02:23 UTC · 5 likes

Since when is there a Rep. Bergman

Quoting Kyle Stewart (@KyleAlexStewart): Reporter: Do you have a path forward tomorrow?

Rep. Jack Bergman: Well I have a path at least to get up in the morning and get here.

image attached

Reply to @Rainmaker1973, 02:44 UTC · 3 likes

Massimo (@Rainmaker1973): There's a place n Morocco where you can find goats perching on Argania trees' branches. Yes, goats on trees

[📹 Photo Workshop Adventures]
https://x.com/Levandov_2/status/1716490779974160568/video/1

What are they doing there

Quote tweet, 02:58 UTC · 2 likes

I bet they used R

Quoting Slashdot (@slashdot): NASA Transmits Patches to the Two Voyager Probes Launched in 1977 https://ift.tt/r5CQI78

Reply to @FrostedSapling, 03:34 UTC · 3 likes

Ivan 🔸 (@FrostedSapling): The moment I get home from work I become a fricken slug and I don’t do any of the things I want to do 😩

Found on IG

Image

Reply, 03:49 UTC · 7 likes

D-amph

If it exists it’s natural

Reply to @roshanpateI, 05:14 UTC · 6 likes

Roshan Patel (@roshanpateI): putting this on your linkedin is completely unhinged

image attached

I wish it was hinged tho

Lots of costly signaling out there

Reply to @notkavi, 05:15 UTC · 4 likes

urbanstats dot org 🌉🚱 (@notkavi): I feel like this kinda disproves the concept of dog years

(quoting @AP: World's oldest dog ever dies in Portugal, aged 31 (or about 217 in dog years) https://apnews.com/article/oldest-dog-portugal-bobi-guinness-world-records-91da19230bafd556fdad28edfa96917f?taid=65369f9641ee060001bc26ca&utm_campaign=TrueAnthem&utm_medium=AP&utm_source=Twitter)

It should raise our ambitions

Reply to @visakanv, 05:31 UTC · 2 likes

Visakan Veerasamy (@visakanv): we made a lil guy

image attached
(quoting @visakanv: me: isn't it wild that we could make a bunch of humans to hang out with wife: that's the most compelling reason for having kids that I've ever heard)

Hello guy

Quote tweet, 05:39 UTC · 10 likes

People don’t understand that even in WINTER it might be like 68° inside!!!!

If it’s like a 10 minute walk and Fahrenheit > Celsius it doesn’t make sense to bring a change of clothes

Quoting Satan (@s8n):

image attached

Reply to @Thinkwert, 05:51 UTC · 2 likes

Thinkwert (@Thinkwert): Everybody Me at the
at the party wrong address

image attached
image attached

Real (same street address in Arlington and DC a few weeks ago smh)

Tweet, 06:01 UTC · 6 likes

She was cooking with this one

Image

Reply to @202accepted, 06:03 UTC · 8 likes

𝚓𝚒𝚖𝚖𝚢 (@202accepted): ah yes the absolute current state of the bay area housing market

image attached
image attached
image attached

So it’s already set up?

Reply to @unironictechbro, 06:06 UTC · 3 likes

Full ML Alchemist (@unironictechbro): i sometimes wonder if its broken to think of videos as sequence of images + audio. is there no better way ?

Sequences of collections of pixels + audio

Sequences of collections of however pixels are encoded exactly (rgb vectors + location vectors + brightness?) and audio

Sequences of collections of however pixels are encoded exactly and pitch+volume+time pairs

Reply to @TheDavidSJ, 07:15 UTC · 4 likes

David Schneider-Joseph 🔍 (@TheDavidSJ): Your criterion is so long as it's not 40º below 0?

Ya

Reply to @littIeramblings, 07:47 UTC · 2 likes

sarah (@littIeramblings): Is anyone willing to buy me a plane ticket to the Bay Area and a tiny violin

One way right

Reply to @sidereal111, 08:05 UTC · 2 likes

sidereal 🍀 (@sidereal111): @NPCollapse it's a plain fact and has nothing to do with anyone's agency. these things will be built, the incentive structure guarantees it

The market and supply chain for advanced ai isn’t like the market for socks (or weed if you prefer) so this isn’t true

Reply to @bijibiji2023, 17:30 UTC · 2 likes

hoff 🧒🏻😻 (@bijibiji2023): 😭 the smartest person I know once lost their ID on the way to the airport and it was in their shoe the whole time. So don’t worry too much about those little moments lol

I once spent like 2 hours looking for a *car key* that was in my sock. Like somehow it got wedged between my skin and the sock and I didn’t notice

Thread, continued, 17:32 UTC · 2 likes

Luckily I’d never do anything suuuper dumb like take a distance detecting fob thing with me while leaving someone else in the car, causing the alarm to go off

Tweet, 19:10 UTC · 7 likes

I want Joe Carlsmith to MC my funeral

Reply to @bijibiji2023, 19:29 UTC · 1 like

hoff 🧒🏻😻 (@bijibiji2023):

video attached

I have never heard someone say it the second way while speaking English

Reply to @NathanpmYoung, 23:02 UTC · 5 likes

Nathan 🔎 (@NathanpmYoung): Who do I know who is good with R?

My time has come

Wednesday, October 25, 2023

Reply to @k__r__xx, 02:13 UTC · 4 likes

ꓘR (@k__r__xx): @el1assss @AaronBergman18 Yo
https://youtu.be/kBjd0RBC6kQ?si=lt1jebF2AHJ7ERz_

Oh no I might have to get nerdsniped now

Reply to @mealreplacer, 06:34 UTC · 5 likes

(The tweet being replied to by @mealreplacer is no longer available.)

Name: Barack Obama
Experience: President of the United States of America
Results: 0/13 on EA org job apps. Got a work trial once. Rejected from EA Global: Boston but optimistic about the next DC one

Tweet, 06:59 UTC · 4 likes

What evil mf rated 80k 4 stars

This is a 6 star pod

Image

Image

Reply to @JgaltTweets, 07:04 UTC · 3 likes

JgaltTweets (@JgaltTweets): Can you still claim natty if you take semaglutide?

If it exists it’s natural 😤

Reply to @cammakingminds, 07:35 UTC · 1 like

Lucid™ (@cammakingminds): Can someone explain to me how protests work?

They say "apply pressure" but how does it do that?
Is baby-punchers-incorporated™ really incentivized to stop punching babies because of a bunch of people standing outside holding signs that say "don't punch babies"?

I don't get it.

I don’t know, and was talking yesterday about this in fact (not understanding them), but I suspect there are a bunch of weird complex illegible mechanisms that nonetheless exist, because as a cultural phenomenon it seems pretty universal?

Thread, continued, 07:37 UTC · 2 likes

I’m sure there are lit reviews out there

I’d also point at humane league-esque cage free campaigns as a recent example of protest success (ik it was part of the strategy at least bc I stood outside a McDonald’s holding a sign a few years ago lol)

Reply to @ohwizenedtortle, 08:06 UTC · 1 like

oh dandy lion🔸 (@ohwizenedtortle): "Feels like 38 C" 😭😭😭

(38 C is apparently ~100 F)

image attached

👎

Quote tweet, 08:25 UTC · 17 likes

OpenAI but just for AI generated 80k podcast episodes called 80,000 80,000 Hours Hours

Quoting oh dandy lion🔸 (@ohwizenedtortle): EA org collecting seeds in case of mass plant species loss called 80 000 flowers

Reply to @mealreplacer, 08:37 UTC · 3 likes

(The tweet being replied to by @mealreplacer is no longer available.)

Guessing this is a joke but this would be an interesting test of setpoint theory. I’d expect that anyone who has to intentionally bulk to BMI 30 would lose the weight quite easily, in comparison to people with a dysfunctionally high setpoint (ie most obesity)

Reply, 08:52 UTC · 1 like

I mean it is conceptually possible but like afaik no, there aren’t drugs rn that do this. Am I wrong?

Reply to @littIeramblings, 09:15 UTC · 2 likes

sarah (@littIeramblings): I’m unilaterally banning low rise jeans they’re not allowed anymore, everyone has to listen to me I’m in charge

Long pants in general are basically unnecessary outside of the arctic circle

Everybody gets 1 pair of pajama pants for when it gets really cold

Reply to @littIeramblings, 09:26 UTC · 3 likes

sarah (@littIeramblings): what a take

Thx I do enjoy having correct opinions 😌

Reply to @QualyThe, 17:57 UTC · 3 likes

Qualy the lightbulb (@QualyThe): "wild animal welfare is intractable" 🙄

(quoting @Rainmaker1973: Winter is coming https://x.com/Levandov_2/status/1717057489311535348/video/1)

Where do I go to stab flamingos into freedom

Reply to @absurdlymax, 18:05 UTC · 2 likes

Max Alexander (@absurdlymax): @polisisti Don't die

Impossible to od on caffeine via coffee

Tweet, 18:41 UTC · 29 likes

Amanda Hungerford (OpenPhil animal welfare program officer): “OP funding for farmed animal welfare is in the tens of millions of dollars per year” [approximate quote]

Non-OP funding of GiveWell is WAY beyond that of animal welfare. What are we even doing here?

Image

Thread, continued, 18:41 UTC · 17 likes

Like the arguments seem overwhelming that marginal dollars are better spent in animal welfare.

Lots of debate sounds like “normal poverty stuff vs weird AI stuff” but this is an incredibly important IMO indefensible trade off @open_phil is making

Thread, continued, 18:41 UTC · 5 likes

From a podcast I just discovered, “How I Learned to Love Shrimp” https://spotify.link/Wq8o1MnVbEb

Reply to @captgouda24, 18:51 UTC · 8 likes

Nicholas Decker (@captgouda24): Because most humans matter, animals don’t. Simple as that.

Tbh I think this is overwhelmingly likely to be false *in expectation* (and very likely false ex post) but there are a bajillion arguments out there so I’m not gonna argue this extensively here. Google Rethink Priorities recent moral weight project

Reply to @TylerAlterman, 23:38 UTC · 6 likes

Tyler is finishing a book, slow to reply (@TylerAlterman): When I was a camp counselor I just gave the bullies leadership positions and they became the best behaved kids of all. They just needed someone to value their power and direct it toward better ends

Bad incentives

Reply to @DominikPeters, 23:40 UTC · 4 likes

Dominik Peters (@DominikPeters): My understanding is that pre-OpenPhil, total spending on farm animal welfare was in the low 10s of millions. So OpenPhil roughly doubled total spending. I guess scaling/discovering effective interventions takes time, so there is not much they can do right now

From the episode (and this accords with everything else I know) funding is the main constraint and they’re rejecting good applications bc of limited money

Thursday, October 26, 2023

Quote tweet, 01:22 UTC · 18 likes

I should write a proper forum post

Image

Quoting Aaron Bergman 🔍 (@AaronBergman18): Amanda Hungerford (OpenPhil animal welfare program officer): “OP funding for farmed animal welfare is in the tens of millions of dollars per year” [approximate quote]

Non-OP funding of GiveWell is WAY beyond that of animal welfare. What are we even doing here?

image attached

Reply to @MariGO2thepolls, 01:27 UTC · 1 like

🏳️‍🌈Mar G-O 🌐🇺🇦 (@MariGO2thepolls): All the good drug dealers end up getting real jobs. Sad

😢

Reply to @jasoncrawford, 01:55 UTC · 2 likes

Jason Crawford (@jasoncrawford): @AaronBergman18 That would be, like, three whole episodes

Sad. We need an incubator for such organizations called 80,000 80,000 80,000 Hours Hours

Reply to @captgouda24, 02:00 UTC · 3 likes

Nicholas Decker (@captgouda24): Caring about human suffering you don’t know about is socially optimal, however — it allows us to have nations and trade. Caring about animals will never benefit, because we cannot become animals. This is why abortion is licit — friends may be women, but they’ll never be fetuses.

Haha my preference for happy chickens go brr

Reply to @ryancbriggs, 02:06 UTC · 2 likes

Ryan Briggs (@ryancbriggs): @AaronBergman18 What’s stopping you?

Fuck it no reason to be coy bc I’m kinda desperate rn, might delete

Afaict, access to a prescription for >=160mg/day of dicyclomine so I can generally function

Tweet, 02:20 UTC · 14 likes

Saving for future use

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Reply to @JgaltTweets, 02:21 UTC · 3 likes

JgaltTweets (@JgaltTweets): @AaronBergman18 EAs when their date orders the shrimp

Unmatched

Tweet, 03:11 UTC · 2 likes

Banger but terrible epistemics

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Tweet, 03:17 UTC · 6 likes

How many people have you met through Twitter

Reply to @exdiegesis, 03:18 UTC

Hope (@exdiegesis): by writing "proper" u ar actually just contributing to the harmfwl norm of treating "improper" as inherently worse quality. imagine if, instead of "properness", ppl optimised their writing for… efficiency? usefwlness? joy? there's an enormity of human effort being wasted here.

Ya I 100% agree actually. Unfortunately it’s a coordination issue I can’t singlehandledly solve

Reply to @ElytraMithra, 03:28 UTC · 1 like

(The tweet being replied to by @ElytraMithra is no longer available.)

Based

Reply to @DoctorTro, 03:31 UTC · 3 likes

DoctorTro (@DoctorTro): I am so tired of these keto people vilifying uranium

Everything. In. Moderation.

You don’t have to live in fear of every calorie of uranium

Such a restrictive way of eating and thinking.

(quoting @ZackStrength: It is futile to look at everything about nutrition in a vacuum. If you’re eating well 99% of the time, that 1% that you’re not isn’t gunna hurt you. Unless you’re eating uranium that 1% of the time. You shouldn’t eat uranium.)

This is sorta literally true. I’m guessing one molecule of uranium ingested isn’t actually bad. The problem is that “moderation” provides ~zero information about actual quantities

Reply to @absurdlymax, 03:40 UTC · 2 likes

Max Alexander (@absurdlymax): We will test my extraversion by scheduling 12 million 1-1s back to back

3 broke me

Reply to @littIeramblings, 06:50 UTC · 1 like

sarah (@littIeramblings): seems like a good rule of thumb how do we programme this into the AI persuaders

ChatGPT custom instructions duh. Just copy and paste my tweet

Reply to @shaggysurvives, 08:01 UTC · 3 likes

shaggy (@shaggysurvives): List of fun date ideas

(quoting @mymixtapez: List of restaurants women refuse to go on a first date at is going viral 😳📝)

Who’s against bowling?

Tweet, 08:37 UTC · 4 likes

It’s so tragic when I hear someone interesting on a podcast but then they’re not on Twitter

Reply to @sonofalli, 09:08 UTC · 1 like

alli (@sonofalli): this one is extra spooky!!

image attached

Lol I don’t own a nice outfit

Thread, continued, 09:19 UTC · 2 likes

And it’s a hallway selfie!!

Reply to @ohwizenedtortle, 09:25 UTC · 2 likes

oh dandy lion🔸 (@ohwizenedtortle): @AaronBergman18 Wow I literally have none of these

Maybe I have my one good outfit but that's kinda just like your opinion about what looks good?

I don’t have a fish, dog, or fake height. The others are a judgement call lol (fwb ≈ “open to short term”) for those wondering

Reply to @littIeramblings, 15:27 UTC · 1 like

sarah (@littIeramblings): even worse than when u find someone interesting on Twitter and they’ve never been on a podcast

Fixable problem

Reply, 16:08 UTC · 10 likes

“And that’s how I met your mother”

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Reply to @absurdlymax, 16:11 UTC · 3 likes

Max Alexander (@absurdlymax): EAG life hack I just made up: bring a box of cereal to keep in your room

Incredible ingenuity. AI could never, AGI disproved

Reply to @ines__circle, 16:26 UTC · 3 likes

(The tweet being replied to by @ines__circle is no longer available.)

Long

Reply to @GjMcGowan, 20:32 UTC · 4 likes

George McGowan (@GjMcGowan): For the fans

image attached

I want this but with Soy suficiKENte

Reply to @GjMcGowan, 20:34 UTC · 3 likes

George McGowan (@GjMcGowan): @AaronBergman18 i don't get it

No hablas español

Reply to @_dtsh, 20:48 UTC · 1 like

_(The tweet being replied to by @dtsh is no longer available.)

Based

Reply to @McNolf, 20:59 UTC · 1 like

Josh! (@McNolf): @ellegist Getting one for my cat

So they can be friends right

Reply to @austinc3301, 21:11 UTC · 1 like

Agus 🔸 (@austinc3301): @AaronBergman18 @GjMcGowan JAJAJAJA AARON

El español es como una melodía para mis oídos, una canción que nunca me canso de escuchar. Cada palabra, cada frase, tiene una historia detrás, y cada conversación en español es como un viaje por un mundo lleno de matices y emociones.

Tweet, 21:32 UTC · 19 likes

Proposal to replace “specialist”, “associate”, “lead” and other generic-ish terms in job titles with “guy”

Reply to @EzraJNewman, 22:44 UTC · 2 likes

(The tweet being replied to by @EzraJNewman is no longer available.)

Exactly, much cleaner

Reply, 22:44 UTC

Wait no it would be senior guy guy guy

Tweet, 22:58 UTC · 34 likes

Extremely cool that the de facto prescribed stimulant rationing system is “it goes to whoever’s willing to call 19 different pharmacies and ask if their thing is in stock” (plus some stochasticity for extra fun)

Thread, continued, 22:58 UTC · 9 likes

Not that that suffices. Can’t transfer controlled substances (varies by state it seems) so then u gotta get ur doctor to write a new script.

Hopefully they don’t charge for that, or you can afford it

Reply to @Kirsten3531, 23:09 UTC · 6 likes

Kirsten (@Kirsten3531): why is bacon "unhealthy"? all the salt?

Ur gonna unleash PUFA discourse twitter

Tweet, 23:15 UTC

Take: prompt-to-image AI makes visual art a much more viable form of poetry (functionally - idc if you wanna call it that)

Like before you’d have to be good and spend a lot of time to convey the same information as a poem

Reply to @absurdlymax, 23:25 UTC · 3 likes

Max Alexander (@absurdlymax): @AaronBergman18 I just went to the pharmacy and they gave me my prescription

Different states, different specific meds (they have to have everything exactly as written), it’s possible u just got lucky

My dad and I have both found stuff hard to get

Reply to @absurdlymax, 23:26 UTC · 1 like

Max Alexander (@absurdlymax): @AaronBergman18 Move to NJ

Lol nice try. I struck gold (generic d amph tablets [not capsules that would be illegal to give me instead] 10mg) on my 10th try

Reply to @JgaltTweets, 23:55 UTC · 1 like

JgaltTweets (@JgaltTweets): I think it was something like "Triumph of humanity over darkness"

Disagree on the quality/coherence issue; I think a poem sucks pretty badly if the audience can't even determine the theme of the poem

I mean to some extent ya but there are often multiple plausible themes and they’re like fuzzy in idea space

Also this varies by poem at least in degree

Quote tweet, 23:59 UTC

There is definitely a blog post to be written called “an information theoretic explanation of poetry (and maybe art in general?)”

Quoting JgaltTweets (@JgaltTweets): @AaronBergman18 I think it was something like "Triumph of humanity over darkness"

Disagree on the quality/coherence issue; I think a poem sucks pretty badly if the audience can't even determine the theme of the poem

Friday, October 27, 2023

Reply to @JgaltTweets, 00:42 UTC · 2 likes

JgaltTweets (@JgaltTweets): @AaronBergman18 I've always disliked poems tbh

Lol. I feel like they’re underrated at least by ppl who are otherwise like me

Quote tweet, 03:12 UTC · 4 likes

Thread for notes/ideas as I write the post. Largely just for my own benefit (writing seems much easier on Twitter for me lol) but comments/takes/ideas more than welcome!

Quoting Aaron Bergman 🔍 (@AaronBergman18): I should write a proper forum post

image attached

Thread, continued, 03:12 UTC · 2 likes

First up: here's total OpenPhil (OP now on) donations, adjusted for inflation (producer price index). The categories aren't in the original data - I assigned them based on a more granular (but not standard over time) category with 26ish unique/possible values (see the R code pic)

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Image

Thread, continued, 03:13 UTC · 2 likes

So roughly a 60/30/10 split between ~normal~ human stuff, global catastrophic risks, and animal welfare. The inflation thing doesn't matter much - it looks similar using nominal

Tweet, 03:14 UTC

Here's some data if u like. Not super organized etc https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1VoIKr4k4Mb32LgELLMT103aSkJzC4C8W4EozKOdfWpE/edit?usp=sharing

Tweet, 03:19 UTC · 94 likes

We don't deserve Scott Alexander pt. 890254570124759

Reply to his own earlier tweet, 04:56 UTC · 1 like

Aaron Bergman, October 27, 2023: Here's some data if u like. Not super organized etc https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1VoIKr4k4Mb32LgELLMT103aSkJzC4C8W4EozKOdfWpE/edit?usp=sharing

No huge/systematic change over time (assuming this year's grants will be made and added) except that it became a thing in 2016 apparently (the data goes back to 2012). Animal welfare has been about 10% of OP giving since then

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Reply to @littIeramblings, 08:02 UTC · 1 like

sarah (@littIeramblings): some of them might be gals

Guy is gender neutral I will die on this hill

Reply to @sama, 08:45 UTC · 2 likes

Sam Altman (@sama): we are launching a new preparedness team to evaluate, forecast, and protect against AI risk led by @aleks_madry.

we aim to set a new high-water mark for quantitative, evidence-based work.

https://openai.com/blog/frontier-risk-and-preparedness

Based

Reply to @littIeramblings, 08:46 UTC · 4 likes

sarah (@littIeramblings): why do cats always get in your way when you’re trying to feed them? Like you’ll put one spoonful of food in front of them and they’re so eager to eat it that they’ll form a physical blockade between you and the bowl, what failure of evolution is this

They fail to generalize outside of the training distribution

Reply to @Kirsten3531, 10:30 UTC · 3 likes

Kirsten (@Kirsten3531): having a slight meltdown over saturated fats 😭

gonna have to get really into avocado, olives, fish, nuts and seeds ig??

(quoting @Kirsten3531: why is bacon "unhealthy"? all the salt?)

Wait didn’t u get the memo that saturated fat is fine after all

Reply to @AndyMasley, 11:44 UTC · 3 likes

Andy Masley (@AndyMasley): Whenever I'm in Boston the primary question on my mind is why Veggie Galaxy, a vegan breakfast place, doesn't open till 11 on weekdays

Probably they weren’t getting enough customers before 11?

Reply to @lporiginalg, 11:45 UTC · 2 likes

(The tweet being replied to by @lporiginalg is no longer available.)

This is way to strong a correlation (zero outliers on either end?)

Bet it’s made up

Reply to @_chair, 15:03 UTC · 3 likes

Chair (@_chair): past a certain point you start optimizing for customers who are paying no attention to the price at all

image attached

I will sell anybody a wheel for $400. I don’t have any special wheels but I can probably find one somewhere

Quote tweet, 23:37 UTC · 7 likes

He just like me fr

Quoting Inner City Press (@innercitypress): Cohen: Why did you where the shorts and T-shirts?
SBF: I found them comfortable.
Cohen: Why the long hair?
SBF: I was lazy.

Saturday, October 28, 2023

Tweet, 00:29 UTC · 5 likes

Let’s let the people decide

Do I have autism?

Quote tweet, 00:42 UTC · 1 like

As a suburban mom (walker), I can confidently report that intra-work consumption of marijuana among construction-adjacent professionals is still alive and well (I fully support btw)

Quoting rosey🌹 (@thechosenberg): We must retvrn to on the job alcoholism

image attached

Tweet, 00:47 UTC · 2 likes

Everybody post a video of “My heart will go on” on repeat in ur circle on the 31st

Reply, 00:50 UTC · 1 like

Yes but

Image

Reply, 00:52 UTC

Doesn’t appeal to nature make sense here, evolutionarily?

Tweet, 01:21 UTC · 9 likes

Scooped bagels are a legitimate preference everyone needs to chill

Image

Reply to @auren, 01:23 UTC · 4 likes

Auren Hoffman (@auren): if you are thinking of moving ...
DC was 80 degrees today (Oct 27)
just saying ...

Is this an argument for or against DC lol?

Reply to @prerat, 01:33 UTC · 14 likes

prerat (@prerat): baby has attributed reverse causality to "bye bye"

she knows that when someone/something goes away, you say "bye bye" to it

so naturally when she wants someone/something gone, now she says "bye bye _____" over & over

Does it work?

Quote tweet, 03:05 UTC · 3 likes

I think this dynamic is a big reason GHD gets ~6x as much EA money as animal welfare despite the marginal dollar doing way more good in the latter bucket (point estimates around 1000x but confidence intervals that would make a development economist’s head explode)

Quoting Eliezer Yudkowsky ⏹️ (@ESYudkowsky): @RichardMCNgo The concept that uncertain tech development and political lobbying can do more good than the drowning child you can save in front of you right now. The sectors of EA that had that concept went off to do AI things, correctly; the remainder of EA went for the certain goods.

Thread, continued, 03:05 UTC · 2 likes

To put it in mildly spicy terms, those initially attracted to EA who are willing to take ideas seriously and adopt a scout mindset reliably (but not universally, before I get cancelled) get pulled toward AI and adjacent areas

Thread, continued, 03:05 UTC · 1 like

So the remaining, very large cluster consists mostly of very smart, altruistic people who just aren’t trying very hard to get the right answer to things

Quote tweet, 03:07 UTC

3/3

Quoting Aaron Bergman 🔍 (@AaronBergman18): So the remaining, very large cluster consists mostly of very smart, altruistic people who just aren’t trying very hard to get the right answer to things

Reply to @focusfronting, 03:13 UTC · 20 likes

(The tweet being replied to by @focusfronting is no longer available.)

What? No being one person in a protest is not worth getting deported over almost regardless of how important the cause is

Tweet, 03:16 UTC · 4 likes

Please red team my impending decision to get an iPhone 15 Pro (upgrading from an 11 with a mic that doesn’t really work)

$800 if they accept the trade in. No holds barred. FWIW I’ve already thought about the obvious donation counterfactual but convince me I’m wrong

Reply to @focusfronting, 03:24 UTC · 7 likes

(The tweet being replied to by @focusfronting is no longer available.)

There are no cosmic points for bravery or sacrifice

Granting that protesting is directionally good, it seems wildly implausible that reducing a crowd’s size by .1% is worth even a 1% chance of drastically reducing what you can do in the future. For better or worse being

Reply, 03:48 UTC · 4 likes

For sure but I think “doing the right thing” does and should boil down to having a (chance of at least a) positive, causal effect on others

In this particular case, I don’t think the plausible effect of each individual protester is large enough to warrant deportation

Reply to @absurdlymax, 03:49 UTC · 2 likes

Max Alexander (@absurdlymax): If anyone has Saturday night EAG plans and wants to invite me I currently have nothing planned

Uh it might be an issue that ~nobody here knows ur last name or what u look like

Reply to @TylerAlterman, 04:02 UTC · 2 likes

Tyler is finishing a book, slow to reply (@TylerAlterman): Executive function hack:
1. Hold intention to not bs yourself (most important part, do not skip)
2. Ask “what, in the background of my mind, is constantly grating at me”
3. Take first answer seriously (& let other well up)

That background grating thing is eating up your RAM

(quoting @the_wilderless: Twitter folks, What are your tips for improving executive function? Please sort advice into two categories: - obvious effective stuff -esoteric non-obvious schizo-gnosis)

It’s difficult when there’s an answer but no easy or clear way to fix it

Reply to @SpacedOutMatt, 04:05 UTC · 2 likes

Matt 🔸 (@SpacedOutMatt): @AaronBergman18 @TylerAlterman he just like me fr

:(

Feel free to dm me ur thing, no pressure ofc

Tweet, 04:07 UTC · 7 likes

I have no idea what [thing].js is and realistically will probably never learn

Thread, continued, 04:07 UTC · 2 likes

Also while I’m at it:

- wheel
- vim

Reply to @meaning_enjoyer, 07:34 UTC · 3 likes

nihilism disrespecter (@meaning_enjoyer): talking about compassion is a red flag. a strong indication of narcissism. if "empathy" comes up you are probably dealing with a full on sociopath

GIF thumbnail (gif, plays on X)

Reply to @absurdlymax, 15:06 UTC · 3 likes

Max Alexander (@absurdlymax): Also now I've doxxed myself

The CEA team analyzing footage and tweeting data to figure it out once and for all

Image

Image

Reply to @TetraspaceWest, 15:20 UTC · 12 likes

(The tweet being replied to by @TetraspaceWest is no longer available.)

It’s gonna be funny af if it was seratonin after all

Tweet, 15:30 UTC · 11 likes

Here’s my actual best guess understanding that I’m sure is at least partially wrong (for SSRIs specifically):

- sustained increase in serotonin does ~nothing directly but causes a bunch of epigenetic changes downstream that we don’t understand mechanistically

Thread, continued, 15:30 UTC · 5 likes

- at a non-mechanistic explanatory level, the direction of this effect might (weasel word ik) have something to do with sustained increase in serotonin coding for (ie correlating with evolutionarily(?)) a low stress/everything is fine environment (including internal environment)

Thread, continued, 15:30 UTC · 5 likes

- also something about neurosteroids. They seem good. If you started taking SSRIs and ~immediately felt better this was probably the mechanism

- something about BDNF, maybe, but it kinda seems like every time you poke the brain (metaphorically) in any way BDNF goes ⬆️ so idk

Thread, continued, 15:30 UTC · 5 likes

- at a high level, it seems like the broad qualitative effect of SSRIs is to decrease the negative emotional salience. This often correlates or causes depression but isn’t identical to it, and it’s a reason they don’t always work for anhedonic type depression

Reply to @RafaRuizdeLira, 15:32 UTC · 2 likes

Rafael Ruiz ⏸️🔸 (@RafaRuizdeLira): Women are you doing anything for you to get to the house or do you want to go to the beach with me and my family and friends with me and my family and friends and family and friends and family and friends and family and friends and friends and friends and friends

(quoting @InternetH0F: )

My sister ngl

Reply to @EAheadlines, 15:37 UTC · 1 like

EA Lifestyles (@EAheadlines): I believe in my heart that EAG is causally responsible for me not being invited to any Halloween parties and I resent it for that

Ur unironically invited to a Halloween party but it’s in DC tn so hmu if u can make it

Reply to @EAheadlines, 15:41 UTC · 2 likes

EA Lifestyles (@EAheadlines): 😢

(quoting @EAheadlines: *any Halloween parties in London (I've been pointedly reminded that yes I am invited to a party in Boston))

Image

Reply to @StatsLime, 15:43 UTC · 2 likes

Max ⏸️ Limelihood 🔸🔸🔸 (@StatsLime): @NathanpmYoung What's an infant

An infant is a human child in the earliest stage of life, generally considered to be from birth to around 2 years of age.

Tweet, 17:28 UTC · 30 likes

This isn’t the salient debate nor should it be very reassuring but I feel a bit more confident that the Extremely Concerned Doomers (10% < P(x-risk) < 90%) are more right than the Death with Dignity Doomers (>90%)

Thread, continued, 17:28 UTC · 4 likes

Both of whom are more right than the minimally or unconcerned (<10%, which is an awfully generous bar)

Reply to @inerati, 17:29 UTC · 3 likes

(The tweet being replied to by @inerati is no longer available.)

Aligned AGI

Quote tweet, 17:33 UTC · 11 likes

Not that this is especially important, but I do think this is bad and we shouldn’t trivialize past tragedies (for cultural/memetic reasons, not like respecting the dead)

Quoting Guy (@nosilverv): If you live long enough you’ll live see your tragedy made into a joke

image attached

Reply, 17:39 UTC · 1 like

Not a full explanation but this update is something like “in part for theoretical reasons in part bc OpenAI et al are at least kinda alignment pilled, it’s plausible that powerful AIs learn to do something sufficiently similar with what their engineers want that other control

Reply to @QualyThe, 17:44 UTC · 2 likes

Qualy the lightbulb (@QualyThe): on the other hand, wheeeeeee

Tbc I’m very pro inflatable thingy

Reply to @joel_bkr, 17:47 UTC · 1 like

Joel Becker (@joel_bkr): put out this draft list of my favorite things :D https://joel-becker.com/personal/favorite-things

which changes would make it easier/better for you to use?

image attached

I love this as an idea haha

My list be like

- nice weather
- Brian Tomasik
- Rice Krispies
- opioids

Reply to @frances__lorenz, 18:32 UTC · 6 likes

(The tweet being replied to by @frances__lorenz is no longer available.)

From a Pigeon Hour beta listener 💀

Image

Tweet, 18:44 UTC · 5 likes

They should invent a fall that’s not hot

Reply to @reconfigurthing, 18:47 UTC · 4 likes

Elias Schmied (@reconfigurthing): Women: what percentage of men you meet are you attracted to?

I feel like you should consider reposting with “presumably straight+within ur preferred age range”

Tweet, 18:52 UTC · 8 likes

PSA (which may be needed given I’m the only review): this exists

Image

Tweet, 19:15 UTC · 15 likes

Seems like public bathrooms in urban areas should be much more of thing. A couple portapotties in each public park couldn’t be that heavy a lift

Reply to @JgaltTweets, 19:28 UTC · 2 likes

JgaltTweets (@JgaltTweets): @AaronBergman18 My honest expectation is that they would end up dilapidated and filthy shockingly quickly

Feels like there’s some combination of money and cleverness that solves this problem

My first galaxy brain idea: put them inside police stations (far from sufficient geographically ofc) - like just libraries but they’re open all the time

Reply to @JgaltTweets, 19:32 UTC · 2 likes

JgaltTweets (@JgaltTweets): @AaronBergman18 In the US context it seems like that would be a non-starter because people would call it racist/racially exclusionary

Nooo my off the cuff galaxy brain ideas can’t have implementation difficulties nooo

Reply to his own earlier tweet, 19:33 UTC · 4 likes

Aaron Bergman, October 28, 2023: Seems like public bathrooms in urban areas should be much more of thing. A couple portapotties in each public park couldn’t be that heavy a lift

I’m seeing lots of cheems mindset in the replies

Reply, 19:38 UTC · 1 like

Is it really worth the risk of going to jail to break into a portapotty? Like just peeing (probably shitting too idk) 2 feet away is lower risk

Quote tweet, 19:46 UTC · 13 likes

My followers when it comes to AI alignment and governance ⬅️

My followers when it comes to making it possible to pee in a major American city ➡️

Image

Quoting Aaron Bergman 🔍 (@AaronBergman18): Seems like public bathrooms in urban areas should be much more of thing. A couple portapotties in each public park couldn’t be that heavy a lift

Reply to @davidad, 19:50 UTC · 3 likes

davidad 🎇 (@davidad): Uranium only costs about £100/kg, yet still, civilians are only allowed to own 7 kg of it.

(quoting @JeflonZuckgates: @davidad What are the chances that NO ONE will run the current architecture over 100x compute is an off the shelf affordable possibility for laymen?)

How do I get my 7 kg of uranium?

Reply to @xsphi, 19:54 UTC · 2 likes

tess (@xsphi): "that will be between three terabytes and eight terabytes every day"

@TheZvi’s output as plain text

Reply to @inerati, 20:11 UTC · 2 likes

(The tweet being replied to by @inerati is no longer available.)

Poast code screenshot

Reply to @JesseTayRiver, 20:40 UTC · 2 likes

Jesse Smith (@JesseTayRiver): @AaronBergman18 Carry dehydrated toilet paper packets fr

This is mostly a small bladder issue

Reply to @thatMikeBishop, 20:49 UTC · 2 likes

Mike Bishop 🇨🇦🇺🇸 (@thatMikeBishop): Canada?

Brilliant

Reply to @nickcammarata, 21:00 UTC · 3 likes

Nick (@nickcammarata): it’s crazy how chill we are about weed give its risks. half the psychonauts I know who will fearlessly take research chemicals on a tuesday are terrified by weed

horror stories are so often weed or 5-meo-dmt, but only the latter is known as a nuclear option

N = 1 = me but I’ve smoked weed exactly twice with two other people, and on 1/6 person-occasions the guy got super paranoid and freaked tf out

Kinda scared me away for better or worse

Sunday, October 29, 2023

Reply to @fermatslibrary, 17:59 UTC · 2 likes

Fermat's Library (@fermatslibrary): Probability of returning to the origin in a random walk:
1D → P=1
2D → P=1
3D → P=0.34
Large D → P=1/2D

image attached

GIF thumbnail (gif, plays on X)

Reply, 18:10 UTC · 1 like

U use melatonin?

Tweet, 18:10 UTC · 1 like

I have no idea what metrosexual means and at this point I’m too afraid to ask

Reply to @QualyThe, 18:29 UTC · 5 likes

Qualy the lightbulb (@QualyThe): it's easy to complain about the budget cuts these days but we really don't know how good we have it. this was the nap room at the first EAG

image attached

Damn they really used to be less selective

Quote tweet, 18:31 UTC · 8 likes

Lil dude’s hinge profile in 10 years:

“Believe it or not, I…
Once got tackled by the governor of California”

Quoting RNC Research (@RNCResearch): California Democrat Gov. Gavin Newsom plows through a small child during a game of basketball in communist China

video attached

Reply to @QualyThe, 18:35 UTC · 3 likes

Qualy the lightbulb (@QualyThe): ✅ Lots of career capital
✅ Highly agentic
✅ Happy to work in LMICs

before criticising Saddam Hussein maybe focus on yourself

Reply to @frances__lorenz, 18:40 UTC · 3 likes

(The tweet being replied to by @frances__lorenz is no longer available.)

🐣

Reply to @frances__lorenz, 18:46 UTC · 1 like

(The tweet being replied to by @frances__lorenz is no longer available.)

Well dressed too

Thread, continued, 18:46 UTC · 1 like

How can I hire his fashion consultant

Tweet, 19:50 UTC · 14 likes

You sleep 10+ hours because ur brain needs to recover from alcohol. I sleep 10+ hours because my brain needs to recover from socializing. We are not the same

Reply, 19:57 UTC · 1 like

Largely to start yes, and still in part, but after the ball got rolling I’m guessing talent self-selected by applying there. Same with Harvard et al but then the self selection is largely on the basis of prestige (which isn’t necessarily bad tbc)

Tweet, 20:11 UTC · 3 likes

To poast bc it’s an interesting market dynamics question/point or not to poast bc it might start dating app discourse?

Reply to @TetraspaceWest, 20:12 UTC · 1 like

(The tweet being replied to by @TetraspaceWest is no longer available.)

Lmao

Tweet, 22:05 UTC · 112 likes

> Mom asks what I think about Gaza
> ask if she’s talking about the actual situation or the US culture war
> she doesn’t understand
> pull out diagram distinguishing an issue from its discourse
> “Israel and Gaza” she says
> gives some example answers
> it’s the US culture war

Reply to @AndyMasley, 22:09 UTC · 4 likes

Andy Masley (@AndyMasley): I've made it again

image attached

Infinite recursion!!!

Reply, 22:21 UTC · 2 likes

I mean maybe but of all my serious problems it seems less important and tractable

Monday, October 30, 2023

Reply to @ilex_ulmus, 00:20 UTC · 3 likes

Holly ⏸️ Elmore (@ilex_ulmus): All conferences should have nap rooms

image attached

The most delirious, satisfying nap I ever had was in one of these

Tweet, 00:24 UTC · 5 likes

Whenever I open Word, a potentially-banger meme is cooking

Reply to @mealreplacer, 00:56 UTC · 2 likes

(The tweet being replied to by @mealreplacer is no longer available.)

Brown on Slavery from memory, but recency definitely increases salience so idk

Tweet, 00:57 UTC · 53 likes

.@TheZvi we need a book review review

Image

Thread, continued, 01:05 UTC · 9 likes

lmao

Image

Thread, continued, 01:11 UTC · 8 likes

Luckily there's an audio version that's only 3 hours https://open.spotify.com/episode/5Fmweoiai0O4CwrdCentXg?si=3ec24d64dfaa4697

Reply to @nkreu113r, 01:13 UTC · 3 likes

(The tweet being replied to by @nkreu113r is no longer available.)

lfg this sounds like the kind of thing that pays more than say $40k

Reply to @littIeramblings, 01:53 UTC · 4 likes

sarah (@littIeramblings): this is probably the best pun I have ever made and the funniest I am capable of being

image attached

Go to sleep

Reply to @JesseTayRiver, 06:09 UTC · 3 likes

Jesse Smith (@JesseTayRiver): Nice! I like the distance a lot. What are your goals and what's your current weekly volume like?

Same but not in a running sort of way. I just like the distance 13 miles aesthetically

Reply to @depthsofwiki, 06:17 UTC · 34 likes

depths of wikipedia! (@depthsofwiki): on this day in 2007, the US and North Korea teamed up to overthrow pirates

image attached

Image

Quote tweet, 07:09 UTC · 1 like

Some very much non-object level points about this…

- “Israel has a right to defend itself” is like “all/black lives matter” in that it’s an obviously reasonable sentence ~no one disputes that is ~entirely used to indicate membership to an ideological cluster and cultural tribe

Quoting Aaron Bergman 🔍 (@AaronBergman18): > Mom asks what I think about Gaza
> ask if she’s talking about the actual situation or the US culture war
> she doesn’t understand
> pull out diagram distinguishing an issue from its discourse
> “Israel and Gaza” she says
> gives some example answers
> it’s the US culture war

Thread, continued, 07:09 UTC · 2 likes

Do you think that Israel has a right (or “is morally justified” etc) to defend itself?

Cool, same, but this only bounds the set of acceptable actions between “uses deadly force to stop an ongoing attack inside Israel” and “Nuclear bombs the Gaza Strip, killing everyone”

Tweet, 07:09 UTC · 1 like

This is kinda object level, but fwiw I think it’s very much fine for the IDF to kill Hamas attackers and leaders (it seems tactically wise too but I’m not informed enough to say) in the same way it was for the US to kill bin Laden

Thread, continued, 07:09 UTC · 2 likes

^Though tbc I don’t condone killing of anyone who could be plausibly called eg a “Hamas sympathizer” or even “supporter,” depending how it’s used.

Having bad, even abhorrent beliefs and eg voting accordingly doesn’t warrant a death sentence

Reply to @ns_whit, 07:13 UTC · 48 likes

Nick Whitaker 🇺🇸 (@ns_whit): The ultimate Singapore culture shock: a $15k bike left unattended

image attached

Seems kinda expensive. It’s two wheels and a frame - what could it cost, $10?

Reply to @PradyuPrasad, 07:19 UTC · 2 likes

Pradyumna 🇸🇬 (@PradyuPrasad): @AaronBergman18 @ns_whit move the decimal maybe 2 or 3 decimal places https://www.racycles.com/bikes/road/pinarello

I can afford $0.1250!! 😊🚵‍♂️

Reply to @inerati, 07:25 UTC · 2 likes

(The tweet being replied to by @inerati is no longer available.)

I want weird friends but in a diversified portfolio of directions of weirdness

Reply to @BowTieOrangeGuy, 07:34 UTC · 13 likes

Mr Bow Tie (@BowTieOrangeGuy): PSA:

The popularity of long distance hiking is growing exponentially.

If you want to ever walk the Apalachan Trail, The Camino, etc, you should do so ASAP before they get crowded.

IMO, long distance hiking is one of the best things you can do and should be a major life priority.

image attached
image attached

PSA don’t try a long ass hike (say 1+ month) without trying a medium ass hike (say 7-12 days) first

Thru hikes are like the PhDs of “liking to go for a walk” - u better really fucking like it, enough to hate it some of the time

Reply to @ohwizenedtortle, 07:35 UTC · 2 likes

oh dandy lion🔸 (@ohwizenedtortle): Two days down, and for social reasons I'm going to break the fast tomorrow, but three days is still pretty good!

(quoting @ohwizenedtortle: Starting tonight I'm going to low effort attempt a five day fast 🤞)

Ya it is, congrats!!

Reply to @JeffLadish, 07:44 UTC · 3 likes

Jeffrey Ladish (@JeffLadish): The thing about EA being good or bad or whatever is that the problems EAs are trying to solve exist regardless. You don't have to be an EA to solve them. I don't care who solves them. But I want them solved

Lol I would be so owned if the e/accs eliminated the new world screwworm

Reply to @PradyuPrasad, 07:44 UTC · 4 likes

Pradyumna 🇸🇬 (@PradyuPrasad): @JeffLadish yeah it would be a lot better if people talked more about their object level views because on many (perhaps except AI) topics, critics of EA would agree. the social movement is second, the object level issues are first

Yes, based

Reply to @BowTieOrangeGuy, 08:03 UTC · 5 likes

Mr Bow Tie (@BowTieOrangeGuy): @AaronBergman18 This might be good advice in general, but I jumped straight from "never done a multi-day hike" to "6-month hike" and that was definitely the right decision for me.

This sounds like a terrible ex ante decision lmao but glad it worked out!

Reply to @meaning_enjoyer, 08:07 UTC · 7 likes

nihilism disrespecter (@meaning_enjoyer): insect suffering is a conceptual problem for animal welfare;

if we can't move through the world without inevitably killing many sentient beings, why should we worry about cows and chickens?

What? I honestly don’t see where the conceptual issue comes from. Two quantities aren’t the same just because they’re both “many”, and I think it’s very likely that individual insects suffer but less than individual mammals

Reply to @techhsiren, 08:13 UTC · 4 likes

techsiren ♥︎ (@techhsiren): i think we fucked up by punishing men for mansplaining to us . it's like .. . their love language?? and actually really sweet ????

Reply to @littIeramblings, 08:15 UTC · 7 likes

sarah (@littIeramblings): genuine q: how cringe would it be if I did an AMA to celebrate reaching 1k followers, and what are the chances that doing this will knock me back down into the 900s?

Not cringe, but if it was cringe it would still be cool

Quote tweet, 08:17 UTC · 7 likes

Real af

Quoting 𐫱 arcove 𐫱 (@dschorno): tweets telling people about the essay i spent 40 hours writing: 900 views
tweets telling people about a dogshit idea i had just before falling asleep: 25,000 views

image attached

Reply to @lastpositivist, 08:20 UTC · 4 likes

Liam Bright (@lastpositivist): Circles allowed me a sphere of comfortable expression, an outlet I found very useful at times. I think without it I might give this place a break for a while.

:(

Reply to @wholebodyprayer, 08:21 UTC · 2 likes

rosalind lucy (@wholebodyprayer): Why does everyone need to be sexy for halloween… is it that Sex is actually the most scary thing?

Yes, terrifying

Quote tweet, 08:30 UTC · 4 likes

Me whenever I talk to a normal person

Quoting stoop kid (@StoopMensch): We need a 3rd alternative word that’s not “yes” or “no”, but means “your question contains an invalid premise, so neither yes nor no is a valid response”

Reply to @TechCrespo, 08:41 UTC · 3 likes

Luis Crespo (@TechCrespo): @AaronBergman18 I am also interested in understanding the difference, can you please explain it like I am your mother?

This isn’t a comprehensive answer but:

She wanted to know where along a “pro-Palestine to pro-Israel” axis I fell. This kind of one dimensional axis isn’t *inherently* a bad model for war, but it can be tempting to use even when it’s not bc it’s generally a good model for

Reply, 08:43 UTC · 1 like

the modern American political spectrum which is reasonably well described by a single axis, which itself maps on quite well to some relevant cultural, pseudoideological spectrum that defines most salient topics of public concern and conflict (blm, COVID, Israel, Iraq war, trump)

Thread, continued, 08:46 UTC · 2 likes

I cited the American Revolutionary War as one instance in which a single axis made a good bit of sense bc the main question of political/moral/military importance was “should America be part of the British empire, yes or no?”

In this case liking Alexander Hamilton’s memes or

Reply, 08:48 UTC · 1 like

Attending a pro-loyalist rally at a college would indeed pretty much answer what you thought either side should basically do (though not entirely - presumably there were some high decoupling pro-🇺🇸 nerds who grumbled about the loose epistemics of the Boston “massacre” reporting)

Thread, continued, 08:51 UTC · 2 likes

But in the Israel-Gaza case this breaks down. The meaningful questions you can ask here are about specific people, policies, or actions. “Should Israel invade the Gaza Strip?” is such a question (and one whose answer will be conditional, like “yes but it would be better than they

Thread, continued, 08:53 UTC · 2 likes

not than that they do so and kill 1k civilians” for example). Well if that example is your answer, it’s not clear at all whether that aligns with the people carrying Palestinian flags on us campuses or Israeli flags. It likewise doesn’t predict very well what you’re answer to

Quote tweet, 09:31 UTC · 2 likes

This is one annoying (and sometimes good/helpful but overrated and annoying nonetheless) thing about EAish argumentation

Yes, *one* have that argument. But where are those people?! I want to convince *you* of something

Quoting Michael Plant (@MichaelDPlant): @MarkFabian_PAIS "you *might* think that ..."

Thread, continued, 09:31 UTC · 2 likes

One example it took 2 mins to find. Like to respond to this I wanna know which bullets you think are true!

Image

Tweet, 09:31 UTC · 1 like

Often this is just a little bit of wasted effort, and comes with the benefits of making an argument more robust

But sometimes it draws attention away from the critiques or reasons those who *actually disagree* with something have for disagreeing

Thread, continued, 09:31 UTC · 3 likes

Definitely one of my most underrated blog posts from a distant past (2021) https://www.aaronbergman.net/p/dont-use-your-favorite-weapon

Quote tweet, 09:35 UTC · 2 likes

I am taking applications for someone to be my Socratic hypeman sidekick guy

Quoting Santi Ruiz (@rSanti97): working on a Socratic interlocutor bit where I respond with things like

“surely it is as you say”
“undoubtedly”
“it seems that you speak truly”

Reply to @sullyj3, 11:40 UTC · 1 like

░▒▓▒░▒▓▒░▒▓▒░ (@sullyj3): Some people hate fun

image attached

😡

Tweet, 11:42 UTC · 4 likes

I’m ready for it to be snowing

☃️/acc

Tweet, 11:51 UTC · 7 likes

> freak out bc I remember I had two weeks to do something and maybe that email came two weeks ago
> search email
> it was 4 days ago

Reply, 11:52 UTC · 9 likes

Nobody knows how to do python anyone who objects is lying

Reply to @absurdlymax, 12:16 UTC · 6 likes

Max Alexander (@absurdlymax): @AaronBergman18 I don't get any likes ever

Counterpoint

Image

Reply to @metakuna, 12:34 UTC · 5 likes

metakuna (14/100 blog posts) (@metakuna): "If the throw is successful and there's a wire connected to the rock"

(quoting @Rainmaker1973: Guy throwing copper wrapped rock on power line. If the throw is successful and there's a wire connected to the rock, you very likely close a circuit and produce a discharge. This is a potential consequence: so, try to avoid it.…)

Wire rock throwing, happens to me all the time by accident

Quote tweet, 12:44 UTC · 2 likes

Narrator: he never did the things

Quoting Frog and Toad Bot (@FrogandToadbot): One morning Toad sat in bed. “I have many things to do,” he said. “I will write them all down on a list so that I can remember them.”

Reply to @GjMcGowan, 12:44 UTC · 13 likes

George McGowan (@GjMcGowan): “Eat Like A Londoner” 🤔🦗

image attached

I will not eat the crickets (until they’re lab grown)

Reply to @littIeramblings, 12:57 UTC · 4 likes

sarah (@littIeramblings): ok fuck it I’m not opposed a bit of cringe, so AMA

I’m a bit of a chronic over-sharer so I’ll probably answer mostly anything mostly honestly (within reason)

will answer in a few hours when I finish work so leave your Qs and I’ll get back to u I guess?

(quoting @littIeramblings: genuine q: how cringe would it be if I did an AMA to celebrate reaching 1k followers, and what are the chances that doing this will knock me back down into the 900s?)

What question(s) are you most hoping someone asks?

Reply to @theshalvah, 15:24 UTC · 2 likes

do not go gentle (@theshalvah): @AaronBergman18 @ns_whit Is that an Arrested Development reference? 🫡

Ya but it’s purely secondhand, I’ve never watched the show

Quote tweet, 16:39 UTC · 122 likes

Am I crazy for thinking the ex ante probability of something at least this good by the US federal government relative to AI progress, from the perspective of 5 years ago was ~1%

Ie this seems 99th-percentile-in-2018 good to me

Quoting Helen Toner (@hlntnr): 3) Tackles fears of AI-driven biological risks by focusing on the biological side (shoring up DNA synthesis screening) - very sensible.

4) Exploring watermarks, authentication for official content, using AI to fix cyber vulns, I love it

Thread, continued, 16:40 UTC · 45 likes

Ngl I’m tearing up 🥲

A lot of people’s extremely hard work, foresight, and seriousness went into this (not talking about me tbc)

Thread, continued, 16:40 UTC · 12 likes

Happy Halloween

Reply to @justjoshinyou13, 16:46 UTC · 4 likes

Josh You (@justjoshinyou13): Yes but we're also in the shorter timelines part of the distribution (not like the shortest 1% but still)

🫡 thank you for answering the question

Reply, 17:59 UTC · 2 likes

Oh well

Reply to @littIeramblings, 18:02 UTC · 1 like

sarah (@littIeramblings): ok fuck it I’m not opposed a bit of cringe, so AMA

I’m a bit of a chronic over-sharer so I’ll probably answer mostly anything mostly honestly (within reason)

will answer in a few hours when I finish work so leave your Qs and I’ll get back to u I guess?

(quoting @littIeramblings: genuine q: how cringe would it be if I did an AMA to celebrate reaching 1k followers, and what are the chances that doing this will knock me back down into the 900s?)

What’s ur favorite condiment?

Tweet, 19:00 UTC · 11 likes

Based and correct understanding of risk aversion-pilled @Laura_k_Duffy

I am begging people to understand that “risk aversion” doesn’t just mean “have narrow confidence intervals on the magnitude of one of the first-order effects of an intervention”

(link below)

Image

Tweet, 19:00 UTC · 1 like

https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/9EENSGhiQiKFaRh4t/how-can-risk-aversion-affect-your-cause-prioritization

Thread, continued, 19:00 UTC · 3 likes

Ofc shrimp play well on Twitter, but this is just an example of a far more general thing

You can disambiguate further too - especially important IMO is between risk of preventing/eliminating good and the risk of creating or failing to reduce suffering

Thread, continued, 19:00 UTC · 1 like

^ both of which are different from (conceptually - I think they’re basically like vector multipliers on) effect magnitude uncertainty

Thread, continued, 19:03 UTC · 3 likes

Just to illustrate, there’s a very important sense in which the s-risk people are the most risk averse of all, even though their vibes aren’t exactly those of the AMFers

Reply to @StefanFSchubert, 19:09 UTC · 2 likes

Stefan Schubert (@StefanFSchubert): @hominidan They can't be thinking too independently and insufficiently independently

They can on different dimensions

Tweet, 20:18 UTC · 39 likes

🫡🫡🫡🫡🫡🫡🫡🫡

On my honor,
I will do my best
To contribute to building understanding,
To act in good faith at all times,
And to offer my help, even to those with whom I disagree,
So as to uphold the values of this Community Notes initiative

🫡🫡🫡🫡🫡🫡🫡🫡

Image

Tweet, 20:18 UTC · 1 like

WAIT I THINK I KNOW WHY CHATGPT IS BEING SLOW

Reply to @absurdlymax, 20:20 UTC · 5 likes

Max Alexander (@absurdlymax): @AaronBergman18 Why

Executive order and I’m using the DC servers

Reply to his own earlier tweet, 20:38 UTC · 4 likes

Aaron Bergman, October 28, 2023: 3/3

Well looks like @Laura_k_Duffy did the heavy lifting

Image

Tuesday, October 31, 2023

Tweet, 04:18 UTC · 4 likes

Someone who wanted to donate to @ManifoldMarkets (or just had a lot of manna) could be extremely funny by betting YES, hard, on every http://manifold.love market

Reply to @AndyMasley, 04:34 UTC · 3 likes

Andy Masley (@AndyMasley): Think we need to teach and promote the virtue of holding and defending extremely boring beliefs

(quoting @SpaghettiKozak: Quite the opposite actually. Mis/disinfo thrives on convincing you it's some kind of hidden truth and it appeals to everyone's desire to feel special, smart, and independent from the "herd." Facts often seem "cringe" while BS is presented as subversive and taboo.)

Cringe is the new based, many are saying

Reply to @Levi7hart, 04:39 UTC · 2 likes

Levi Hart (@Levi7hart): Did you know the punishment for leaving Islam is death?

No it’s not. Maybe it says so somewhere but like at a literal level this doesn’t happen

Tweet, 05:27 UTC · 12 likes

Lil this is not an emergency but there are no gastroenterologist appointments available for 6 months so worth a fucking try I guess

Reply to @KanizsaBoundary, 05:31 UTC · 2 likes

Ethan Kuntz (@KanizsaBoundary): @AaronBergman18 I got lil hematoma it kinda slaps ngl

Ya u should rap fr

Reply to @selentelechia, 06:10 UTC · 2 likes

(The tweet being replied to by @selentelechia is no longer available.)

Plot twist there’s a $50 or smth at the end

Reply to @amimevalepitito, 06:12 UTC · 2 likes

Jonathan Frankfurter (@amimevalepitito): @univrsw3th4rt This was me in my mid 20s, paid 600/month for a room in a group house in DC, lived 20 minutes from my sister. But in your 30s living alone is non negotiable

About to pay almost 2.5x that for the same (DC 3 person townhouse)

Reply to @etirabys, 06:32 UTC · 11 likes

(The tweet being replied to by @etirabys is no longer available.)

World class wordcel

Reply to @ilex_ulmus, 06:40 UTC · 4 likes

Holly ⏸️ Elmore (@ilex_ulmus): I prefer public transit to Uber. It’s not just bc it’s cheaper. I don’t like the social stuff: coordinating on where to find each other, being in this person’s car and figuring out what they think is polite, the stress of doing all the local cultural things right to get 5 stars.

Plus you get a built in leg day (@AndyMasley might appreciate lol)

Image

Tweet, 07:05 UTC · 5 likes

Image

Quote tweet, 07:42 UTC · 5 likes

How Trajan House deals with their HEPA filters post-FTX

Quoting Massimo (@Rainmaker1973): Cleaning an air filter with a fire cracker

[📹 aaronwitt]
https://x.com/O_Satisfying/status/1708426084524634514/video/1

Quote tweet, 08:50 UTC · 5 likes

I feel like there’s some legit investigative journalism to be done here

Who is setting up these bots? Is it profitable? How do they like stuff so quickly and comprehensively? What’s the deal with multiple “Ana”s or whatever showing up at once? Does X not care because it’s MUAs?

Quoting shaggy (@shaggysurvives): The random pretty girl bot accounts that are liking random replies in long conversations are becoming really annoying

Reply to @JgaltTweets, 08:55 UTC · 2 likes

JgaltTweets (@JgaltTweets): @AaronBergman18 One thing I notice about the recent wave of porn spambots is that they seem to just follow, not actively promote with tweets; maybe that leads to weak enforcement? 🤔

We need our best minds on this

Reply to @mbateman, 09:15 UTC · 1 like

Matt Bateman (@mbateman): @meansinfinity I said it’s how men look at women in a certain way, like how prince phillip looked at aurora, and she lost interest

Boring stuff, I agree

Reply to @Maxeonyx, 10:19 UTC · 1 like

Max-well-fare Clarke (@Maxeonyx): Is this in Istanbul? I feel like I remember seeing this somewhere

lol this is the Bethesda MD metro stop, a 10 min walk from me

Reply, 10:38 UTC

A somewhat different set of orgs (certainly overlapping via openphil tho) and people created the research/intellectual foundation for broad claims like “reducing the pace of peak capabilities gains would probably be good” and really ai x-risk more generally

Reply to @krishnanrohit, 12:51 UTC · 3 likes

rohit (@krishnanrohit): @AaronBergman18 @open_phil @CSETGeorgetown @GovAI_ @RethinkPriors Its not a "happy coincidence" that climate change didn't happen 1000x as fast. It's a function of being present in a complex adaptive system. We solved CFC issue re ozone and acid rains by having actual models for actual problems.

I thought up the analogy in 5 seconds and maybe the 100x thing is dumb but more generally AI seems very likely to have an effect on society at a pace far greater than climate change

Tweet, 14:28 UTC · 15 likes

RIP Twitter Circles, 2022-2023. It was loved.
🪦 ⃝ 😢

Video thumbnail (video, plays on X)

Tweet, 18:30 UTC · 35 likes

Bouta get roasted up but tf is Linux? Like do people buy an empty laptop or what? Or like u buy a normal one and then do a switcharoo? Is it just like a black screen and a terminal and text editor? Why?

Reply to @bat1441, 18:40 UTC · 9 likes

bat (@bat1441): @AaronBergman18 You buy a regular laptop and install Linux, you can either keep the other operating system alongside it and switch between them or only have Linux. You can also get laptops with Linux pre-installed.

There are diff distros and using smth like Ubuntu isn't that diff from macos

I’m suspicious. Sounds like u need an operating system operating system to switch between operating systems. What’s that called? (Nobody should feel obligated to answer ik all this is discoverable on my own)

Reply to @bijibiji2023, 18:43 UTC · 3 likes

hoff 🧒🏻😻 (@bijibiji2023): @AaronBergman18 Linux is a type of cat bro 🤣😂😂😂 average AI pause supporter 😐

How do u get a cat inside a computer tho? I feel like it’s gotta be a smaller animal

Reply to @metakuna, 20:08 UTC · 6 likes

metakuna (14/100 blog posts) (@metakuna): > Sounds like u need an operating system operating system to switch between operating systems

That's right, there is firmware built into all computers for this called BIOS (basic input/output system), which is what loads the OS when you first turn it on

😱😱😱

Thread, continued, 20:09 UTC · 6 likes

How do they get that in there? (Same disclaimer as above)

Thread, continued, 20:12 UTC · 8 likes

Ngl this is why computers seem like magic to me. Like at what point do u get hardware aka metal that can be said to have software running on it? Idk if software is even like a legit category (a ~natural abstraction~ one might say)

Quote tweet, 20:24 UTC · 11 likes

Thanks to the talking sand, I now understand how the talking gets inside the sand (unless the sand is making things up)

It’s called an EEPROM programmer, and it is a *hardware* thing that writes the thing that loads the OS aka software *physically* onto *another* metal thing

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Quoting Aaron Bergman 🔍 (@AaronBergman18): @metakuna @bat1441 Ngl this is why computers seem like magic to me. Like at what point do u get hardware aka metal that can be said to have software running on it? Idk if software is even like a legit category (a ~natural abstraction~ one might say)

Reply to @gelionexists, 20:26 UTC · 3 likes

GE Lion (@gelionexists): @AaronBergman18 @metakuna @bat1441 BIOS is on this chip on your computer's motherboard, which is loaded in by the manufacturer.

Great minds think alike

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Tweet, 22:26 UTC · 12 likes

Poast 2024 bingo card proposals below


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