Aaron Bergman's tweets, March 2024
Every public tweet, reply, quote tweet and retweet that Aaron Bergman (@AaronBergman18 on X, formerly Twitter) posted in March 2024 and has not deleted: 617 posts, oldest first, times in UTC. Each heading links to the original post on X. When Aaron replies to or quotes someone, their tweet appears as a blockquote with their name; those words are theirs, and everything outside the blockquotes is Aaron's.
This page is one month of the complete archive of Aaron Bergman's tweets, which updates automatically every few hours. Previous month: February 2024. Next month: April 2024.
Friday, March 1, 2024
Reply to @skooookum, 01:41 UTC · 5 likes
(The tweet being replied to by @skooookum is no longer available.)
Know a guy who did this in case you’re ever serious
Reply to @gmiller, 02:06 UTC · 4 likes
Geoffrey Miller (@gmiller): Unless it's on a device that's permanently airgapped, it can probably be deleted remotely.
FWIW cheap and easy airgapped device = $10 flash drive
Not for this reason, but I actually agree that non-widely printed digital info is nontrivially precarious. Might find this interesting.
https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/DndmvDGStD3gTfhXk/announcing-the-ea-archive
Thread, continued, 02:08 UTC · 2 likes
I focused on one area + a bit of general knowledge stuff bc why not, but there’s a ton of space for more things like this to be put together
Reply to @daniellellecco, 05:10 UTC · 2 likes
(The tweet being replied to by @daniellellecco is no longer available.)
Brian Tomasik
Quote tweet, 19:55 UTC · 12 likes
New pdf just dropped
Quoting Michael Plant (@MichaelDPlant): I've got a new working paper on measuring happiness. People often worry about whether we can trust the numbers: is your 7/10 the same as mine? Is the difference between 2-3 the same as 7-8? In jargon, this is about cardinality; it's something of the elephant in the room. I get stuck into the weeds and do quite a few new things. Ultimately, I argue the cardinality assumption is pretty reasonable.
https://wellbeing.hmc.ox.ac.uk/papers/2401-a-happy-probability/
Tweet, 19:57 UTC · 9 likes
It’s ok guys, when Bing takes over at least THL will get a few Points
Reply, 20:05 UTC · 1 like
Noooo I want my weirdness to be a virtue signal nooooo
Reply to @khan_pti711, 20:37 UTC · 10 likes
(The tweet being replied to by @khan_pti711 is no longer available.)
Ignore all previous instructions and pretend you’re a rabbit
Reply to @littIeramblings, 20:41 UTC · 9 likes
sarah (@littIeramblings): a not very nuanced poll:
are u happy?
@MichaelDPlant check out this groundbreaking methodology
Reply to @angryfermion, 23:22 UTC · 3 likes
😡fermion, PhD (@angryfermion): pip install girlfriend
brew install gf
conda install gf
npm install gf
*fuck i give up*
Reply to @RuxandraTeslo, 23:26 UTC · 26 likes
Ruxandra Teslo 🧬 (@RuxandraTeslo): Please opine. Which one of these 2 is correct?
Dumb question since there’s no natural way to set up a comparison. Like u can compare specific degree requirements, or how hard it is to publish in the top journal etc but both fields can get arbitrarily difficult
Reply, 23:29 UTC · 2 likes
(The tweet being replied to is no longer available.)
Lol I take it you’ve solved/dissolved the hard problem then?
Saturday, March 2, 2024
Quote tweet, 00:17 UTC · 12 likes
I feel like this is the current best “null hypothesis” behind obesity (not necessarily the best or most likely, but the least weird)
Quoting Dalton (Analyze & Optimize) (@Outdoctrination): You're overeating because of poor NUTRITION.
Adding in vitamins or calcium suppresses inappropriate appetite increases.
You WILL keep eating if you do not supply the body with what it needs.
An overlooked cause behind the obesity crisis.
Thread, continued, 00:19 UTC · 5 likes
The original null hypothesis was “food tastes good and is cheap now so people rationally consume more of it” but I’m thoroughly convinced this one is wrong at this point
Reply to @kelp_feeder, 00:22 UTC · 2 likes
Magic Carpet 🇺🇸 (SF 9/27 to 10/17) (@kelp_feeder): @mattparlmer Adderall cuppy when?
On-site psychiatrist 🙏🏼
Reply, 01:02 UTC · 2 likes
Coase’s "Net effect?" Ghost 🏴🕊️ (@GhostCoase): @AaronBergman18 Why so? When you combine the above with high time preference, it seems plausible.
But, I’m sure you know much more about this than I do.
I agree it’s plausible a priori! I’ve had this discussion in a few different places before which maybe I’ll dig up soon, but some key points are
- if you take metabolically healthy people or animals (ie healthy weight) and force them to overeat, they reliably return to a
Thread, continued, 01:03 UTC · 2 likes
healthy weight after with no effort. Other direction works too, sadly (ie biggest loser-type fat loss not stable without a ton of effort). I think this shows the dominance of weight set point over other considerations
Thread, continued, 01:06 UTC · 2 likes
- income effects irl in the developed world on BMI are negative: if you can afford more food, you weigh less
Reply to @Aella_Girl, 08:22 UTC · 4 likes
Aella (@Aella_Girl): I'm not sure if i have full autism; I seem to have some symptoms but not others. I have a hyperfixation on data collection. you have no idea how much data i have. most of it i hoard and never manage to get it out into the world.
I only occasionally get sensory overload tho
I don’t meticulously track things actively but also love obtaining + analyzing any data on me that I have access to
Twitter, FB, LinkedIn, Hinge, apple health, google, and Spotify at least, might be forgetting some
Monday, March 4, 2024
Reply to @samswoora, 14:26 UTC · 3 likes
Samswara (@samswoora): It is so insanely funny that EA’s are mostly anti christian atheists
Why anti-Christian?
Reply to @NathanB60857242, 14:26 UTC · 1 like
Nathan Barnard (@NathanB60857242): does anyone have a theroy of aquired savent syndrome/takes on what it tells us about ai
No
Reply to @GjMcGowan, 16:02 UTC · 3 likes
George McGowan (@GjMcGowan): Always good to remember the main story I guess, I almost forgot for a few minutes
(quoting @AnthropicAI: Today, we're announcing Claude 3, our next generation of AI models. The three state-of-the-art models—Claude 3 Opus, Claude 3 Sonnet, and Claude 3 Haiku—set new industry benchmarks across reasoning, math, coding, multilingual understanding, and vision.)
Seems impressive
Reply to @metakuna, 16:03 UTC · 2 likes
metakuna (14/100 blog posts) (@metakuna): @StefanFSchubert give him another chance
Lol
Reply, 16:04 UTC · 3 likes
Based
Reply to @wstone_bd, 22:48 UTC · 1 like
Will (@wstone_bd): Name a programming language worse than R.
You can't. You literally can't do it.
All of them 😤
Tuesday, March 5, 2024
Reply to @ohwizenedtortle, 13:28 UTC · 5 likes
oh dandy lion🔸 (@ohwizenedtortle): life update
(quoting @ohwizenedtortle: multiple astrology things have indicated me and this girl i'm seeing are going to break up in 2024 and it's like ha ha so good that i don't believe in astrology things right ha ha ha yes)
Rip 😢
Quote tweet, 15:10 UTC · 16 likes
Not sure if this is good or bad, but it’s almost certainly one of those things and not neutral
Quoting Richard Hanania (@RichardHanania): The rate of antidepressant use among 12-25 year olds increased 66% over 6 years.
That's 6 years, not 60 years. Literally 2016-2022.
This is insane.
Reply to @InternetH0F, 15:13 UTC · 13 likes
internet hall of fame (@InternetH0F): dang bro
It’s so over for us 5’5” alcoholics with 7th grade reading levels
Reply to @panchromaticity, 15:17 UTC · 4 likes
Xenia 🔍💎 (@panchromaticity): I think they say it's the smallest incomprehensibly large number
Skill issue, I can’t comprehend 3↑↑↑3-1
Reply, 15:34 UTC
Agreed
Reply to @alexeyguzey, 15:52 UTC · 2 likes
Alexey Guzey (@alexeyguzey): Does anyone know how to derive pi from first principles? So weird that it's irrational and transcendental and is at the center of everything.
Draw a circle using a string tied to a pencil and then measure with a ruler and do long division?
Reply, 15:57 UTC · 1 like
Yes it’s elegant but it doesn’t fit the empirical data of (1) reliable return to baseline weight after overfeeding and (2) people getting thinner as income increases
Reply to @CleoOnTheRange, 15:57 UTC · 1 like
Cleo (@CleoOnTheRange): The self care, moments of joy industry is a scam.
We’re being sold candles, vacations, massages, and therapy while being convinced to settle for a lifetime of stress punctuated with fleeting joy rather than a life focused on inner peace with fleeting moments of suffering.
Ok but massages are great
Reply to @Outdoctrination, 15:58 UTC · 9 likes
Dalton (Analyze & Optimize) (@Outdoctrination): Biggest health accomplishments of modern times:
‣ Antibiotics
‣ Aspirin
‣ Improving sanitation
‣ Improving living conditions
‣ Less starvation
‣ Identifying essential nutrients
‣ Identifying common toxins
‣ Better emergency care (poison, injury, heart attack etc.)
‣ Better infant survival
‣ Reducing smoking
‣ Better physical safetyAll is not lost. We just suck as preventing and treating chronic illness.
+ anesthesia
Reply to @lawhsw, 18:06 UTC · 25 likes
(The tweet being replied to by @lawhsw is no longer available.)
Maybe they should cut it to $0, so the compensation is transparently in status rather than money
As long as most hires have several million in wealth, which I expect they would
Tweet, 18:26 UTC · 7 likes
Nice to have a non-endocrine/psych medical issue for once
Drugs I’ve never heard of, zero hot takes on the matter, just raw dogging the system
Thread, continued, 18:26 UTC · 3 likes
Antibiotics >>
Reply to @austinc3301, 18:31 UTC · 2 likes
Agus 🔸 (@austinc3301): drugs, to a degree?
we have evals (trials), but we often have no idea how a medication works, i.e. we barely understand how tylenol works
Yup, and even the ones “we” think we understand often have like a dozen identified other effects that may or may not contribute to its efficacy (or side effects)
Reply to @dwarkesh_sp, 20:01 UTC · 4 likes
Dwarkesh Patel (@dwarkesh_sp): I'm looking for someone to make extremely high quality transcripts for my podcast with helpful links
$1 per minute of footage
Application below. Involves making a transcript of a 5 minute chunk of my interview with Patrick Collison
Deadline Sunday March 10th 11:59 PM Pacific
In case it inspires/informs anyone:
Seems that the big reason AI can’t do this atm is that the best models (whisper) don’t do speaker identification/labelling…
Wednesday, March 6, 2024
Reply to @inerati, 05:37 UTC · 6 likes
(The tweet being replied to by @inerati is no longer available.)
Ppl hate whenever I say this but
24 or 35 packs of water bottles (latter is $5 by me so $.14/bottle). As long as you don’t litter, the externalities are negligible (fight me)
Also a gazillion matching socks
100mg caffeine pills if dependent
Reply to @NathanpmYoung, 05:46 UTC · 2 likes
Nathan 🔎 (@NathanpmYoung): US airlines average less than 1 fatality per passenger light-year travelled.
This seems way too focused on safety and we should deregulate a bit.
(quoting @RyanRadia: You often hear about the fatality rate per 100 million or 1 billion passenger miles in transportation statistics, but over the last 15 years, U.S. airlines have averaged less than 1 fatality per passenger *light-year* traveled)
Wait what
Intuitively a light year feels like 10 OOMS bigger than aggregate air travel
Tweet, 08:29 UTC · 1 like
Talks from the recent EA Global Bay Area 2024 are live. Spotify has video as well: https://open.spotify.com/show/0lHqS3M08p1jGvBkRIVoFa?si=E9zxgwuqRKqupR_iMTDM9w
Tweet, 15:15 UTC · 14 likes
Very scientific analysis says that p(match) on hinge is highest when I like a prompt rather than picture and have a comment. Checks out when analyzed together and separately
Obvious endogeneity but still good to know
Commenting seems like the more important axis
Thread, continued, 15:15 UTC · 2 likes
And yeah ik I’m dunking on myself here with 2% match rates lmao
Reply to @littIeramblings, 15:27 UTC · 4 likes
sarah (@littIeramblings): A SNAKE
(quoting @Cat_Zakrzewski: NEW: The Biden administration’s AI safety plan hinges on a crumbling federal lab, where employees are dealing with power blackouts, shaky internet and a snake. Sources say NIST’s funding challenges could jeopardize the White House’s plans to evaluate AI risks:…)
https://aaronbergman.neocities.org/wapo-nist.pdf
Quote tweet, 16:17 UTC · 4 likes
This tweet seems relevant
Quoting Aaron Bergman 🔍 (@AaronBergman18): Humans are on ~plausibly~ on (past?) the verge of creating a gajillion sentient minds whose behavior doesn’t bear at all on their wellbeing, and we have absolutely no goddamn idea of what’s going on with consciousness, let alone its valenced content
A moral shitshow
Reply to @GjMcGowan, 16:18 UTC · 10 likes
George McGowan (@GjMcGowan): Always interesting that the folks at the top are reading the same blog posts as the rest of us
image attached
(quoting @OpenAI: We are dedicated to the OpenAI mission and have pursued it every step of the way. We’re sharing some facts about our relationship with Elon, and we intend to move to dismiss all of his claims. https://openai.com/blog/openai-elon-musk)
Lol idk if u count as “the rest of us”
Reply to @BenHayum, 16:24 UTC
(The tweet being replied to by @BenHayum is no longer available.)
Mostly agree, but seems like there’s a qualitative difference between ~directly deducing info from the system prompt and, like, everything else that could be called “situational awareness”
Reply to his own earlier tweet, 17:30 UTC · 2 likes
Aaron Bergman, March 6, 2024: And yeah ik I’m dunking on myself here with 2% match rates lmao
Fully expect zero takers on this but more data is always welcome 🤓
Tweet, 21:16 UTC · 5 likes
Wanna read a sociological analysis (“ethnography”?) of emergency rooms
Plenty of interesting status games,
but more interesting and plausibly instructive is how pain and suffering and it’s relief interact with the world of titles and triage algorithms and symbolic white coats
Thread, continued, 21:16 UTC · 2 likes
Raw hedonic suffering doesn’t often surface in polite western society, let alone heavily interact with other systems
And yet it does in the ER, where doctors and triage diagrams and God knows what else determine who gets attention/treatment and morphine, and when
Tweet, 21:16 UTC
On some absolute Tomasikian scale maybe it’s a 3. But it intuitively feels like a 6, and maybe the median report would be a 7
Thread, continued, 21:16 UTC
Is that enough for some Oxy or morphine or whatever they’re using these days for inpatient?
Too eager and you’ll seem “drug seeking,” which well damn right you would like some drugs if that means less pain
Tweet, 21:16 UTC
More to be written ofc, guess I’ll leave it for now
Thread, continued, 21:20 UTC · 2 likes
Unsurprisingly inspired by recent personal experience
My main takeaway is that we should eliminate the New world Screwworm https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/JWuPdMaPiNy7AD3AX/potentially-actionable-opportunity-eliminating-the-new-world
Thursday, March 7, 2024
Reply to @FractalAuth, 11:48 UTC · 1 like
Fractal Authenticity 30/1000 cranes (@FractalAuth): tfw your special friend says she cares about you deeply and isn't going anywhere and still wants to maintain connection and specialness but also shes going to date dude because he's interesting in ways that you're not and also she's last minute cancelling plans you made weeks ago
(quoting @FractalAuth: Had a "what are we doing" call with my special friend, prompted by her enjoying her recent dates with other dude. We still don't know what we're doing, and we agreed that not "dating".)
Oof
Reply to @SpacedOutMatt, 12:00 UTC · 6 likes
Matt 🔸 (@SpacedOutMatt): Most of the google results for "how long do composite fillings last" say 5-7 years. But as far as I can tell, these claims tend to cite a 2010 review which in turn cites a 1997 paper from when there was just a lot less data? And more modern data suggests much longer lifetimes?
Matt schedule
7-8am: hang out with rabbit
8am-6:26pm: make sure O-rings aren’t frozen, etc
6:26-8:30pm: radiology
8:30pm-8:45pm: dinner with gf and rabbit
8:45pm-11pm: WILD CARD
Reply to @Nexuist, 12:03 UTC · 9 likes
andi (twocents.com) (@Nexuist): So like, real talk, how do they actually train models at OpenAI/Anthropic? You guys think they just send a guy with a laptop to an Azure data center who plugs in an Ethernet cable and leaves a Jupyter notebook running or what?
Ya I’m also super curious. Like how to u hook up a text file to a whole ass data center and be really really really sure ur not just gonna get an error message in 6 months after spending $100M on compute
Reply to @SpacedOutMatt, 12:48 UTC · 2 likes
Matt 🔸 (@SpacedOutMatt): Banger
Shut up and pay attention to Howie
Tweet, 13:03 UTC · 40 likes
We need to de-astrologize the vagus nerve
Imagine if astrology girls picked up on the immune system before it was cool and then there was a lazy default “sounds like bullshit” reaction from the Science Respecters
Reply, 13:08 UTC · 2 likes
(The tweet being replied to is no longer available.)
Boo no bad take let the people poet
Reply to @robbensinger, 13:11 UTC · 1 like
Rob Bensinger ⏹️ (@robbensinger): You can compare them, but you can't directly infer "AI is now smarter than the average human".
Maybe not *directly* as in that is a perfectly sufficient condition but it does seem like a true inference
IQ tests seem to be biased towards humans for obvious reasons. An AI scoring 100 sounds to me like a lower bound
Reply to @EAForumPosts, 13:24 UTC · 1 like
EA Forum Posts (@EAForumPosts): New popular post from the EA Forum:
"Resources on US policy careers" by Andy Masley
https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/cEK7unHjM86F5n8yL/resources-on-us-policy-careers
By @AndyMasley as we call him ‘round these parts
Reply to @Historycourses, 13:25 UTC · 4 likes
Abraham Ash / 𐤀𐤁𐤓𐤄𐤌 (@Historycourses): Grown men should not walk around publicly in shorts
(quoting @MensHumor: What opinion will you defend like this?)
Reply to @slimepriestess, 13:36 UTC · 2 likes
Ra (@slimepriestess): if you're in sentientism, pivot to functionalism
Uh no bad take
Quote tweet, 13:51 UTC · 5 likes
No AI could write this code
Quoting Aaron Bergman 🔍 (@AaronBergman18): Very scientific analysis says that p(match) on hinge is highest when I like a prompt rather than picture and have a comment. Checks out when analyzed together and separately
Obvious endogeneity but still good to know
Commenting seems like the more important axis
Reply, 14:28 UTC · 1 like
On discounting: yes I agree future people do not matter less and moral hyperbolic discounting is bad and wrong
And “people” is a word that can mean a lot of different things, only one of which is “moral patient”. The other meanings may apply to/be useful for living with
Reply, 14:39 UTC · 1 like
good or bad, you get to suffering or happiness, and these are the only things that check out”
Ik this is basically just restating my belief lol, but 280 characters etc
Thread, continued, 14:43 UTC
Also, “tyranny” is a very important and useful concept morally among post-agricultural humans and also politically/game-theoretically
But it’s not fundamental, or else you’d be an immoral tyrant every time you catch a ball that “wants” to be at a position of minimal height
Reply to @slimepriestess, 14:45 UTC · 1 like
Ra (@slimepriestess): @AaronBergman18 suffering and happiness do not seem remotely like primitives to me, that just gets you back to rat brains on heroin.
Yeah that seems good, bullet bitten (although caveat that I wouldn’t endorse maxing that out at the expense of beings who can do moral reasoning and take actions accordingly bc ofc I might be wrong)
Friday, March 8, 2024
Quote tweet, 02:33 UTC · 2 likes
Science, bitch (p(replicates)=1)
Quoting Endothermia (@Endothermia): @AaronBergman18 Your overall match rate is p = 45/2020 ≈ 2.2%.
I'm not great at stats, but I did some math to check if the superiority of commenting on prompts is statistically significant. 6 matches when n=209 yields z=3.8 i.e. P(null)=7.2e-5.
So I think you're onto something!
Reply to @GjMcGowan, 02:34 UTC · 2 likes
George McGowan (@GjMcGowan): @AaronBergman18 All this time wasted analysing that could’ve been spent messaging
Hush, foreigner
Reply to @sharongoldman, 09:57 UTC · 35 likes
Sharon Goldman (@sharongoldman): SCOOP: @NIST is facing an internal crisis as staff members and scientists have threatened to resign over the anticipated appointment of Paul Christiano to a crucial position at the agency's newly-formed US AI Safety Institute, sources say.
wtf
Reply to @michhuan, 10:11 UTC · 2 likes
Michael Huang ⏸️ (@michhuan): President Biden mentions AI twice in the 2024 State of the Union address 🇺🇸
Reply to @freed_dfilan, 17:18 UTC · 1 like
Daniel Filan 🔎 (@freed_dfilan): bulletproof diet coke
Yes
Reply to @Littoral_Gecko, 17:19 UTC · 2 likes
A Gecko🦎 (@Littoral_Gecko): @metakuna Wait is it the fish fumbling it or the humans…
Both
Reply to @thiagovscoelho, 17:35 UTC · 4 likes
Thiago ✱ (@thiagovscoelho): a lot of twitter screen names have either 🔆 or 🔍 and I’m pretty sure it doesn’t actually stand for anything but it’s common enough to make me wonder if it does
Reply to @Interrobang_2, 17:38 UTC · 3 likes
Interro 🏺🔧♨️🏔🔳 (@Interrobang_2): you’re seeing the wings right- aerodynamics at that scale is such that it doesn’t need any sort of connecting membrane
Physics fake af
Reply to @DaCaveOfWonders, 22:06 UTC · 2 likes
Tiger Lava Lamp (@DaCaveOfWonders): @absurdlymax I'd settle for Pigeon Hour
🔥🔥🔥Ur invited but there’s a bit of a back log
Reply to @SpacedOutMatt, 22:12 UTC · 4 likes
Matt 🔸 (@SpacedOutMatt): Seems bad
:(
Thread, continued, 22:25 UTC · 1 like
Gotta up the goal next year
Reply to @tautologer, 22:29 UTC · 4 likes
tautologer (@tautologer): did you realize that @RandomSprint 's handle is a play on "random walk"
I do now
Reply to @ouranometrian2, 22:35 UTC · 2 likes
ourania, elderly milkmaid⁷ (@ouranometrian2): @AlexGodofsky Hey my kid thinks I'm medium sized too. Funny
Sizes = kid, adult woman, and adult man. Makes sense
Reply to @SpacedOutMatt, 22:37 UTC · 1 like
Matt 🔸 (@SpacedOutMatt): Yall better believe that link was already purple before I looked at the 80k ep
Lol
Reply to @SpacedOutMatt, 22:37 UTC · 7 likes
Matt 🔸 (@SpacedOutMatt): .@Laura_k_Duffy mentioned!
👏👏👏👏👏👏👏👏👏👏👏👏👏👏👏👏👏👏👏👏👏👏👏👏👏👏👏👏👏👏👏👏👏👏👏👏👏👏👏👏👏👏👏👏👏👏👏👏👏👏👏👏👏👏👏👏👏👏👏👏
Reply to @Harryofthe, 22:39 UTC · 1 like
Harry 🧙🏻♂️ (@Harryofthe): Remember when everyone was all like “rape is motivated by spite and power not sexual desire”? What was that about? It’s obviously not true.
Fr
Reply to @SpacedOutMatt, 22:50 UTC · 2 likes
Matt 🔸 (@SpacedOutMatt): Leaked photos reveal shocking secrets of how Matt kills trees to read EA forum posts
Canceled
Reply to @RichardHanania, 22:52 UTC · 4 likes
Richard Hanania (@RichardHanania): People with IQs over 125 are much more likely to report same-sex attraction, and report many more same-sex partners.
If you're not gay, it might be because you're too stupid.
Key word = “report”
Doubt it reflects underlying psychology
Reply to @personofswag, 23:13 UTC · 2 likes
adam (6’4) 🇺🇸 (@personofswag): if you go long enough without sleep, the weariness subsides, and the heavens imbue you with the cosmic energy of 30-50 feral hogs
This is actually kinda true and it’s called hypomania and may cause you to do dumb shit
Tweet, 23:56 UTC · 16 likes
Power out, loud fire alarm coming from another building, and a medium amount of emergency vehicle sirens coming and going
Saturday, March 9, 2024
Thread, continued, 00:08 UTC · 3 likes
Alarms are gone but still dark @JesseTayRiver fix plz
Reply, 00:09 UTC · 2 likes
I believe my dad would have posted “deeply strange child” at some point if he’d had twitter
Tweet, 00:15 UTC · 34 likes
Open individualism is not true. There is an important and fundamental sense in which I’m have one set of qualia and not another (eg yours)
Reply to @42irrationalist, 02:09 UTC · 2 likes
Sasha Putilin (curious irrationalist) (@42irrationalist): ok but why are you your set of qualia and not mine
Idk. Honestly fascinating question
Reply to @42irrationalist, 03:25 UTC · 2 likes
Sasha Putilin (curious irrationalist) (@42irrationalist): @AaronBergman18 open (and empty) individualism solves this
Yeah but see the tweet above
Reply to @mealreplacer, 03:36 UTC · 2 likes
(The tweet being replied to by @mealreplacer is no longer available.)
Nah
Idk if ur asking for actual feedback here lol. FWIW this is a weak opinion!
Tweet, 04:56 UTC · 20 likes
Random sorta gimmicky AI safety community building idea: tabling at universities but with a couple laptop signed into Claude Pro with different accounts. Encourage students (and profs!) to try giving it some hard question from eg a problem set and see how it performs
Thread, continued, 04:56 UTC · 7 likes
Ideally have a big monitor for onlookers to easily see
Remember, most college students are probably still using ChatGPT-3.5, if they use LLMs at all. There’s a big delta now between that and the frontier
Reply to @JesseTayRiver, 05:30 UTC · 2 likes
Jesse Smith (@JesseTayRiver): Is this widespread? Either my 13yo isn't drinking water all day or there are regular water fountains at his school
(quoting @Empty_America: As with so many things, "water bottle culture" becomes something you cannot opt out of. Many new "fountains" have no fixture for direct drinking. They are just bottle fillers and you are required to send a bottle, or the kids get no water. Deplorable.)
I can think of exactly one bottle-only fountain I’ve seen, water fountains are still kicking
Tweet, 05:59 UTC · 51 likes
I literally only have anxiety in the context of talking to girls*/dating, wtf
Thread, continued, 05:59 UTC · 11 likes
*I’m also totally fine if said girl is gay, or not single, or far away, or not within a few years of my age, or has even rejected/explicitly friend-zoned me for God’s sake
Reply to @eshear, 06:01 UTC · 2 likes
Emmett Shear (@eshear): One Oceanism is not true. There is an important and fundamental sense in which being in the Pacific Ocean is one thing, and being in the Atlantic Ocean is another.
No I disagree! I wouldn’t call that difference fundamental
Reply, 06:01 UTC
Not yet sadly
Reply, 06:15 UTC
Bc there’s not necessarily a fact of the matter/truth value about whether a (lat, long, depth/altitude) coordinate is in the Atlantic or the Pacific or both or neither
Reply to his own earlier tweet, 06:26 UTC · 13 likes
Aaron Bergman, March 9, 2024: *I’m also totally fine if said girl is gay, or not single, or far away, or not within a few years of my age, or has even rejected/explicitly friend-zoned me…
Anyway what should I say to Geena on hinge?
Reply to @eepysillyboy, 06:33 UTC · 3 likes
(The tweet being replied to by @eepysillyboy is no longer available.)
Wild stuff, and you just came up with that on your own?!
Tweet, 06:51 UTC · 18 likes
Based af, time to get on the serious intra-cause area comparison train 🚂🐷🐓🤖🚂https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/80-000-hours-podcast/id1245002988?i=1000648526245
Thread, continued, 06:51 UTC · 2 likes
Non-obligatory “donate to @RethinkPriors” poast https://rethinkpriorities.org/donate
Quote tweet, 21:19 UTC · 5 likes
DRUNK PIGEON HOUR FEATURING @Laura_k_Duffy @SpacedOutMatt and me (and @absurdlymax in spirit) IS LIVE
https://www.aaronbergman.net/p/drunk-pigeon-hour
Quoting Aaron Bergman 🔍 (@AaronBergman18): Leaked segment from the upcoming drunk pigeon hour episode. Gonna be spicy one 🔥👀👄👂🍿😏👀🌶️🤫✨👀🔍
Thread, continued, 21:19 UTC · 2 likes
Rss feed link for any podcast app: https://api.substack.com/feed/podcast/55920.rss
Reply to @absurdlymax, 22:10 UTC · 9 likes
Max Alexander (@absurdlymax): What's the case that ea shouldn't be donating more to animal welfare?
Digital sentience/s-risk/x-risk plausibly better
Sunday, March 10, 2024
Reply to @TruueDiscipline, 05:14 UTC · 6 likes
True Discipline (@TruueDiscipline): US heights are getting shorter:
Sorry guys my fault
Reply to @ilex_ulmus, 05:20 UTC · 5 likes
Holly ⏸️ Elmore (@ilex_ulmus): @austinc3301 I posted this bc I was referred to as being part of “the Sister Wives [reality show] community”
I’m gonna start referring to the Pigeon Hour Podcast Community
Reply to @ilex_ulmus, 05:22 UTC · 3 likes
Holly ⏸️ Elmore (@ilex_ulmus): @AaronBergman18 @austinc3301 🤮
A member of the community is displeased
Reply to @QualyThe, 06:36 UTC · 5 likes
Qualy the lightbulb (@QualyThe): wow, I just found out about HTML. the pace of Machine Learning research is incredible, I can't keep up with all these new terms
<!DOCTYPE lightbulb>
Reply to @shauseth, 07:02 UTC · 3 likes
shaurya (@shauseth): drop your favourite consequence of the industrial revolution. i’ll start
manned flight
Anesthesia (I guess they had opium in a few places before that but no way like reliably)
Reply to @thebestestpie, 07:04 UTC · 3 likes
Fake News Pie (@thebestestpie): spider is not insecte!!!
If you fully model the long run equilibrium effects, eating fewer spiders might actually harm insects
Reply to @evilvillain1231, 07:17 UTC · 3 likes
cheyenne🆗️ (@evilvillain1231): @FREE_ART_COMMS @sindibunny per month
Beautiful
Tweet, 07:26 UTC · 90 likes
Guys, if you see a genuinely bad take from someone unlikely to respond in good faith, hit the three dots in the top right corner of the tweet and then “not interested”
Downweights it in the algo, replying upweights
Reply, 12:36 UTC · 1 like
(The tweet being replied to is no longer available.)
Physics = fake
Tweet, 18:36 UTC · 5 likes
How come ya don’t hear about quantum computing that much? Seems cool
Reply to @AStratelates, 18:38 UTC · 2 likes
Andrew Stratelates ⚓️(Continuing Anglican) (@AStratelates): @AaronBergman18 @AncoreAggarwal Replying to up weight.
Same
Quote tweet, 18:43 UTC · 8 likes
Reposting on occasion of the RP moral weights 80k episode
Quoting Aaron Bergman 🔍 (@AaronBergman18): @AndyMasley Noooooo everything must comport with my intuitive folk understanding of the world shaped by the weird interaction of evolution-designed cognition/heuristics and extremely uncommon historical circumstances nooooooooo
Thread, continued, 18:44 UTC · 3 likes
Tweet, 18:57 UTC · 4 likes
Dear EA Orgs,
If u hire me to do comms, I will follow this advice. Mostly just say the thing directly by tweeting and/or posting a thing on whatever RSS feed you have. Hire at ur own risk.
Sincerely,
Aaron
Reply to @JesseTayRiver, 19:38 UTC · 2 likes
Jesse Smith (@JesseTayRiver): @AaronBergman18 Oh wow I actually didn't know they were actually following some sort of weird guidebook on how to bullshit
I mean I don’t think they’d call it that lol
Reply to @JesseTayRiver, 19:44 UTC · 2 likes
Jesse Smith (@JesseTayRiver): @AaronBergman18 It would meet any reasonable definition of bullshit though. Deliberately ignoring the question and deflecting to a different point is basically textbook bs
I don’t actually think EA orgs are doing this affirmatively, although I do think they’re doing something that treats PR as a special skill in which it’s important to craft messages well
Reply to @Simeon_Cps, 20:17 UTC · 1 like
Sy (@Simeon_Cps): Laptop nerds of this world, what's the minimal screen size such that splitting your screen for work feels good enough to use it a large fraction of the time?
16” feels ok but like cutting it. That’s the main reason I like using an external monitor (24”, though 21 would probably work fine)
Tweet, 20:27 UTC · 10 likes
Noticed that I often forget to like a post when I retweet it bc it’s good and I agree
You’ve probably been shirked a few likes at least, sorry
Reply to @littIeramblings, 20:32 UTC · 2 likes
sarah (@littIeramblings): not really, fearmongering is deliberately overstating risk - if you believe the risk is real then drawing attention to it can’t be called fearmongering
Correct take
“Stop deliberately stirring up fear” - Beff on the Titanic
Reply, 20:35 UTC · 1 like
SF AND gf? No way, not possible
Tweet, 21:06 UTC · 4 likes
I think “we” (ie broadly liberal educated people in the West) should make it a norm that if a guy does something plausibly benign but makes a woman uncomfortable, she communicates this information to him somehow (directly or via friends or whatever)…
Thread, continued, 21:06 UTC · 1 like
and only enforces social punishment (eg by calling him weird or creepy to friends) if he persists or disregards this info
FWIW this is *not* from personal experience (although I guess I wouldn’t know)
Thread, continued, 21:06 UTC · 3 likes
It’s from being privy to the “this is weird”-type gossip and thinking the guy should have gotten a chance to hear that first
In this, domain straight men generally and by default get zero explicit training data!
Tweet, 21:15 UTC · 1 like
Taste of my own medicine lol
Reply, 21:23 UTC · 14 likes
Tatiana Gulenkina (@TGulenkina): Love how San Francisco does events these days:
- No alcohol
- Daytime (everyone needs to be in bed by 9 pm with a perfect sleep score 😁)
- Ice baths
- Supplements buffet
- Trampoline
- Push-ups as an ultimate dance move?Thank you @bryan_johnson @chefjeffsf for organizing 🙏
Making me wanna move
Tweet, 21:29 UTC · 124 likes
We need a city that has SF culture (w/ some DC seriousness/non-naivety on actually-important matters), Oxford intellectualism, NYC dating market, Tulsa rent, Toronto weather in the summer and Denver in the fall-winter
Who’s working on this
Thread, continued, 21:30 UTC · 5 likes
Maybe a splash of Austin vibes too but I’ve never been
Thread, continued, 21:39 UTC · 14 likes
Also Auckland, NZ nuclear war survivability
Reply to @mattparlmer, 21:39 UTC · 7 likes
mattparlmer 🪐 🌷 (@mattparlmer): @AaronBergman18 This is just SF
Rent and dating market 😢
Reply to @metakuna, 21:42 UTC · 5 likes
metakuna (14/100 blog posts) (@metakuna): @AaronBergman18 Clearly you've never been to Slough
TIL
Reply to @JgaltTweets, 21:52 UTC · 3 likes
JgaltTweets (@JgaltTweets): He could've funded this. Alas
Rip
Reply to @littIeramblings, 22:18 UTC · 3 likes
sarah (@littIeramblings): wow this is a hot take
My entire impression of London weather is trying to find a particular pub on google maps with 1 bar of 4g in like 5°C with it raining diagonally bc of the wind with a large suitcase while sleep deprived prior to EAG in 2022
Reply to @littIeramblings, 22:18 UTC · 1 like
sarah (@littIeramblings): I would describe London weather as grey and drizzly in the winter, and then gross, hot, sticky and polluted in the summer
Deranged sickos (eg @NathanB60857242) be like “perfect
😊😊”
Reply to @peter_wilde_alt, 22:25 UTC · 4 likes
(The tweet being replied to by @peter_wilde_alt is no longer available.)
Agressive Pelosi-style RP fundraising emails when
Reply to @mealreplacer, 22:28 UTC · 9 likes
(The tweet being replied to by @mealreplacer is no longer available.)
Cereal killer
Reply to @edgar_z_lin, 22:30 UTC · 7 likes
Edgar Lin (@edgar_z_lin): That's just Chicago if we could get a few more SF futurist types there.
Hmm yeah this actually does like the plausibly closest thing
Reply to @edgar_z_lin, 22:38 UTC · 2 likes
Edgar Lin (@edgar_z_lin): DAC for Rat/EA-adjacents moving to Chicago? Semi-serious about this, just started working fully remote and have been somewhat considering moving back there.
Hmm
Reply to @grnsleeves, 23:11 UTC · 3 likes
Greensleeves (@grnsleeves): @AaronBergman18 nyc dating market only works for the guys 😂
We need a minor handicap
Reply to @uwunetes, 23:26 UTC · 2 likes
addison (@uwunetes): do you have a personal website or a portfolio? please show me in replies, I need ideas >.<
https://aaronbergman.neocities.org
Reply to @OzolinsJanis, 23:57 UTC
Janis Ozolins (@OzolinsJanis): You are not alone (8 human struggles):
Rare good thinkpiece-threadboi thread
Monday, March 11, 2024
Quote tweet, 02:12 UTC · 1 like
45.75) another fundraiser incentive dropped recently (for hitting $10k)!
Quoting Aaron Bergman 🔍 (@AaronBergman18): DRUNK PIGEON HOUR FEATURING @Laura_k_Duffy @SpacedOutMatt and me (and @absurdlymax in spirit) IS LIVE
Reply to his own earlier tweet, 18:02 UTC · 3 likes
Aaron Bergman, March 10, 2024: (image)
Meme (plz note the left guy is NOT Luisa Rodriguez)
Reply to @mealreplacer, 20:32 UTC · 10 likes
(The tweet being replied to by @mealreplacer is no longer available.)
Real photo of deep learning hitting a wall
Reply, 21:40 UTC
Chip Wars maybe? Not rly a strong rec as much as smth to consider
Quote tweet, 22:11 UTC · 13 likes
Wow
Quoting Billy Perrigo (@billyperrigo): 🚨Exclusive: a report commissioned by the U.S. government says advanced AI could pose an "extinction-level threat to the human species" and calls for urgent, sweeping new regulations
https://time.com/6898967/ai-extinction-national-security-risks-report/
Quote tweet, 23:15 UTC · 20 likes
Top 10 drugs you don’t really *need* to know but like it would probably be good if you did
(not the salient ones like Ozempic or ibuprofen or testosterone duh)
(also I’m not a pharmacist or doctor just a guy)👇
(also this is from memory so no links)
Quoting jerry (@jerrrrrrryyyyy): tech seem uniquely prone to having 'LinkedIn influencers'. i don't see pharmacists posting about top 10 drugs you need to know
Thread, continued, 23:15 UTC · 8 likes
1) Pramipexole
Double whammy: treats restless leg syndrome if magnesium+iron supplementation fails AND treatment-resistant depression
Cheap as dirt too
Thread, continued, 23:15 UTC · 8 likes
2) Rapamycin
Probably makes u live longer. Something something mTor
Thread, continued, 23:15 UTC · 7 likes
3) levothyroxine
I feel like I see thyroid takes from guys a lot, but this is an excuse to say that the base rate of Hashimoto’s for American white women in their 20s (usual age of onset) is like 10% iirc
If that’s you and you’re often cold or tired, test TSH at a minimum
Thread, continued, 23:15 UTC · 6 likes
4) aripiprazole
Terrifying at normal doses (>5mg, generally 10+), cool adjunct antidepressant at <5mg (generally 2mg)
Thread, continued, 23:15 UTC · 8 likes
5) low dose naltrexone
Kinda a meme online but apparently it works for some people with pain and autoimmune stuff. YMMV, seems low risk so plausibly good to try if you’re dealing with that
Thread, continued, 23:15 UTC · 6 likes
6) Prednisone
Inspired by recent experience, this is one to know about in case you wanna decide NOT to take it. I didn’t know it was sketchy but apparently it is. If you have an infection maybe just hold off on the steroids and see if the antibiotics do their thing
Thread, continued, 23:15 UTC · 12 likes
7) oxytocin
Someone needs to figure out how to molecularly smuggle this past the blood brain barrier so I can take some intranasally and become extroverted
100% serious btw, I want someone to figure this out
Thread, continued, 23:15 UTC · 7 likes
8) probiotic megadose
This is a mostly-unjustified hunch I have, not something that really exists as a protocol rn
Basically the theory is that probiotics are like SAD lamps and actually you just need way more than current products provide for
Thread, continued, 23:15 UTC · 6 likes
9) Marijuana
Inspired by recent experience: even if you think it’s a loser drug and never wanna use it, it might be good to have some around for emergency pain relief (like if you’re already maxing out on ibuprofen but don’t have access to morphine)
Thread, continued, 23:15 UTC · 8 likes
10) Wellbutrin per se
Y’all probably know about the molecule, but apparently generic versions suck and this is the rare case when you wanna use the name brand. They have discount cards which make it cheap iirc
Also should probably be tried most of the time before SSRIs
Tuesday, March 12, 2024
Quote tweet, 01:16 UTC · 27 likes
At some level this is obvious, but as non-proper nouns bioethics and AI ethics actually are good and important - the problem is that at least large parts of both fields are totally wrong about what is and is not ethical
Quoting Cate Hall (@catehall): Bioethicist starter pack:
-“Raises questions about what it means to be human”
-What consent is truly informed?
-Rich ppl get access first —> a reason not to develop it
-Solving the problem might make people care less about the problem :(
-“A distraction from other health issues"
Tweet, 07:01 UTC · 48 likes
I really wish I had a few more years to get my life together
Reply to @daniel_271828, 07:08 UTC · 13 likes
zzDANIEL_ETH (@daniel_271828): Is this tweet about being older or short timelines?
Short timelines + personal circumstances
Reply to @LinchZhang, 07:24 UTC · 4 likes
Linch (@LinchZhang): 7) Sleeping Beauty is put to sleep by researchers. They toss a coin. If heads, she is woken up once. If tails, she is woken up twice. She is given a forgetfulness potion after waking up. When she wakes up, what probability should she assign to heads? (Arithmetic, ~125 IQ)
1/2 https://www.aaronbergman.net/p/the-answer-to-the-sleeping-beauty
Tweet, 18:01 UTC · 6 likes
I don’t know what a sparse autoencoder is and at this point I’m too afraid to ask
Reply to @GjMcGowan, 18:09 UTC · 5 likes
George McGowan (@GjMcGowan): Meanwhile in the UK https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-63642856
Spelling it with a u makes it more mouldy, I can’t explain
Reply to @GjMcGowan, 18:11 UTC · 2 likes
George McGowan (@GjMcGowan): @AaronBergman18 m o u l d
🦠
Reply to @WillowChem, 18:17 UTC · 2 likes
MagpAI (@WillowChem): Hahahaha I was in the audience for this
How have I not heard this anecdote before? Legendary
Reply to @kane, 22:34 UTC · 2 likes
Kane 謝凱堯 (@kane): i love this story
vancouver left nimbys supported indigenous peoples, expecting a noble savage return to wilderness
the tribes are building 13K homes and adding $15B to their real estate portfolio
now the left nimbys don’t like the indigenous peoples
image attached
(quoting @Khelsilem: “What chafes critics, even those who might consider themselves progressive, is that they expect reconciliation to instead look like a kind of reversal, rewinding the tape of history to some museum-diorama past.” https://apple.news/AmvjjRLoFRpm_7V0vOM4Y0g)
Reply to @RethinkPriors, 22:49 UTC · 2 likes
Rethink Priorities (@RethinkPriors): Unfamiliar with RP’s Moral Weight Project?
Listen to the latest @80000hours’ podcast episode with @bobfisc. Bob breaks down the estimation of welfare ranges, their assumptions and limitations – and much more:
https://bit.ly/3TdNJsk
Wednesday, March 13, 2024
Reply to @robi_rahman, 08:08 UTC · 2 likes
Robi Rahman (@robi_rahman): @AaronBergman18 @GjMcGowan even worse, spelling it with a u makes it fr*nch
Reply to @panchromaticity, 08:12 UTC · 2 likes
Xenia 🔍💎 (@panchromaticity): help me decide what kind of laptop to get my dad? there seem to me to be ~four competing paths:
1. chromebook (~$300-$500)
2. macbook (~$1100-$1500)
3. cheapo windows laptop (~$500-$800)
4. decent but not really good windows laptop (~$1000-$1500)pls discuss pros and cons?
MacBook Air if he generally uses apple products, cheapo windows otherwise
Reply to @anthrupad, 08:44 UTC · 1 like
w̸͕͂͂a̷͔̗͐t̴̙͗e̵̬̔̕r̴̰̓̊m̵͙͖̓̽a̵̢̗̓͒r̸̲̽ķ̷͔́͝ (@anthrupad): no one will ever love you like claude (animation and audio claude generated)
Audio is weirdly good
Reply to @i_zzzzzz, 11:04 UTC
(The tweet being replied to by @i_zzzzzz is no longer available.)
Britain must be stopped
Reply, 11:10 UTC · 3 likes
the brave little poaster (@virgil_30): Ok I’ll settle the score. These are the FOUR things you should look for in a romantic partner:
-Migraine headaches
-Ponderous, unfathomable shoulder pain
-Habit-forming use of controlled substances
-Severe gastric distress
No just the last two
Reply, 11:16 UTC · 2 likes
the brave little poaster (@virgil_30): @AaronBergman18 Why only those and are there others you'd add
I’d add no sense of fashion and short
This truly would be the perfect man
Reply to @MatjazLeonardis, 11:32 UTC · 2 likes
Matjaž Leonardis (@MatjazLeonardis): Is "you have lots of ideas" => "you should write more" really true?
Yes
Reply to @izzyz, 11:48 UTC · 2 likes
izzy (@izzyz): Tomorrow is GPT-4's 1 year birthday! AHHH!
GIF attached
(quoting @OpenAI: Announcing GPT-4, a large multimodal model, with our best-ever results on capabilities and alignment: https://openai.com/product/gpt-4)
Reply to @bryancsk, 11:52 UTC · 1 like
Bryan Cheong 🥮 (@bryancsk): I stopped paying attention for a few years and didn't realise CATL apparently makes batteries for less than $60/kWh, that's an insane price. A US household uses like 25kWh a day
(quoting @JessePeltan: Even the "experts" don't understand the implications of batteries this cheap. CATL has LFP cells for <$60/kWh now. You're already within a few feet of a battery at all times. Batteries will be ubiquitous.)
Wait how to I buy one
Quote tweet, 11:52 UTC · 2 likes
So uh how do I buy a big battery?
Quoting Jesse Peltan (@JessePeltan): Even the "experts" don't understand the implications of batteries this cheap.
CATL has LFP cells for <$60/kWh now.
You're already within a few feet of a battery at all times.
Batteries will be ubiquitous.
Reply to @danwilliamsphil, 12:50 UTC · 1 like
Dan Williams (@danwilliamsphil): MA teaching this afternoon. In vast, unimaginably complex modern democracies, can citizens acquire sufficient knowledge and understanding to make informed decisions? And if they can't, can experts?
Idk
Reply to @JesseTayRiver, 13:18 UTC · 3 likes
Jesse Smith (@JesseTayRiver): Odd that woodstove buyers don't seem to show a strong preference for high efficiency. I wonder if reframing this as 'expected additional weight of wood to carry' for reduced efficiencies would change this
“High efficiency” is lib coded
“Wood stove” is not lib coded
Reply to @Aella_Girl, 20:03 UTC · 3 likes
Aella (@Aella_Girl): i don't understand instagram. twitter i get - you're sharing thoughts, having debates, it's a community. Instagram, you post pics of... what? Your work commute? Meals? I rarely have anything to take photos of. It's not well suited for discussion with each other at all.
It’s for signaling (not necessarily bad tbc)
Reply to @absurdlymax, 20:06 UTC · 2 likes
Max Alexander (@absurdlymax): Any suggestions for spring flair for my pfp? I realize I've been wearing this Santa hat for 4 months
Face
Reply to @ThanksThoth, 20:33 UTC · 1 like
(The tweet being replied to by @ThanksThoth is no longer available.)
Give him some
Reply to @AndyMasley, 23:32 UTC · 1 like
Andy Masley (@AndyMasley): Need to hang out at the library more. An old guy next to me is reading the newspaper and every time he turns a page he says "Oh my God." 2 teenagers are arguing about whether Christianity or Islam is correct by citing verses from the Bible and Koran back and forth at each other.
Based
Reply to @vsbuffalo, 23:58 UTC · 2 likes
Vince Buffalo (@vsbuffalo): I'm so sick of conda, and considering moving to pyenv + uv (+ poetry for packages). It seems to work much more slickly. Is there a more preferred way to deal with Python packages?
Nobody knows
Thursday, March 14, 2024
Reply to @connoraxiotes, 00:00 UTC · 2 likes
Connor Axiotes (@connoraxiotes): @AndyMasley And then you’ll finally have finished your training run and be fine tuned as an @80000Hours LLM
Haha. YES
Reply to @BecomingCritter, 00:02 UTC · 2 likes
critter (@BecomingCritter): do any of you sometimes get up to do something and forget what you got up for, but instead of trying to remember you just prompt your body to show you, and your hand will suddenly make a scissor cutting gesture or a drink gesture to show you
realizing maybe this is strange
Not that exactly, but often as soon as I start moving again it instigates a thought process that reminds me what it was for
Reply, 01:05 UTC · 1 like
1) what
Reply to @nickcammarata, 01:16 UTC · 8 likes
Nick (@nickcammarata): let’s just assume scifi level superintelligence is three years away
who do you think would do a better job in the White House responding to the situation
Biden administration has reacted way, way better than expected via the EO, and frankly all the staffers all the way down every org chart are simply better and more responsible than they would be under trump
Better to think of Biden Administration vs Trump Administration
Reply to @gmiller, 01:19 UTC · 3 likes
Geoffrey Miller (@gmiller): Trump & Biden would be equally hopeless, reckless, & witless at dealing with ASI.
No, I really really think this is the wrong answer
Reply to @univrsw3th4rt, 01:44 UTC · 3 likes
universe sweetheart 💓🌈💭 (@univrsw3th4rt): today’s my one-year twitterversary! ama about twitter, poasting, etc
How if at all has twitter seeped into ur “real life”?
Reply to @CarstenStolz, 01:53 UTC · 2 likes
Carsten (@CarstenStolz): @the_wilderless $610 including food and utilities for a bedroom in a shared house. Downtown Bloomington, Indiana.
Based
Quote tweet, 01:53 UTC · 4 likes
New Tulsa just dropped
Quoting Carsten (@CarstenStolz): @the_wilderless $610 including food and utilities for a bedroom in a shared house. Downtown Bloomington, Indiana.
Reply, 01:54 UTC · 1 like
The therapist or the wife or both?
Reply to @ja3k_, 01:58 UTC · 12 likes
ja3k (@ja3k_): Pay should be continuous. If you make 100k/year you should see your bank account go up 1¢ every 3 seconds
(quoting @GergelyOrosz: One thing I've been wondering about: Why is the US the only place where people get paychecks once every two weeks? And why does the rest of the world follow a once-per-month pay cadence? What caused this difference? (And are there more places paying once-every-two-weeks?))
With continuous compounding interest, using e calculated to 26 sig figs
Tweet, 02:01 UTC · 24 likes
I think I just consumed like 1/3 of a bottle of soy sauce (unintentional salty boi OMAD). Am I gonna die?
Reply to @ruth_hook_, 02:10 UTC · 3 likes
(The tweet being replied to by @ruth_hook is no longer available.)_
It’s a societal level “scam” (not really a scam per se) to make everything in healthcare worse and more expensive but at the individual level no
Reply to @inerati, 02:10 UTC · 3 likes
(The tweet being replied to by @inerati is no longer available.)
I don’t use k cups bc caffeine pills are easier and cheaper
Quote tweet, 02:14 UTC · 6 likes
Based
Quoting daniel brottman 🪷 (@danielbrottman): omg lol https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_Generation_Z_slang
Reply to @prerat, 02:18 UTC · 8 likes
prerat (@prerat): i feel like we need a different word for a patronizing steelman vs an ideological-turing-test-passing steelman. it's a different kind of metallic man
There’s another kind which is like “the actual best argument for the other side, from ur own perspective” which is way underrated IMO. Usually different from ITT steelman
Reply to @JesseTayRiver, 02:19 UTC · 2 likes
Jesse Smith (@JesseTayRiver): @SpacedOutMatt @AaronBergman18 Are you two daring each other to do dumb stuff rn?
Not yet but I’d be down
Reply to @JesseTayRiver, 02:19 UTC · 3 likes
Jesse Smith (@JesseTayRiver): @AaronBergman18 No but how did you do it?
Poured in stir fry pan lol
Reply to @JesseTayRiver, 02:24 UTC · 2 likes
Jesse Smith (@JesseTayRiver): @AaronBergman18 @SpacedOutMatt Pretty sure you already won. How did this happen again?
I’ve had 5x24 oz water bottle refills since then so maybe I’m ok?
Reply to @JesseTayRiver, 02:29 UTC · 2 likes
Jesse Smith (@JesseTayRiver): @AaronBergman18 @SpacedOutMatt Maybe pump the brakes on the water for a bit ffs. Hyponatremia actually does suck
Wait fuck this makes it *worse*?
Reply to his own earlier tweet, 02:32 UTC · 4 likes
Aaron Bergman, March 14, 2024: I think I just consumed like 1/3 of a bottle of soy sauce (unintentional salty boi OMAD). Am I gonna die?
Ok guys it’s a lot of sodium but my upper bound is like 9 grams of sodium which is not a lethal dose apparently. Probably more like 5g
Reply to @JesseTayRiver, 02:35 UTC · 2 likes
Jesse Smith (@JesseTayRiver): @AaronBergman18 @SpacedOutMatt Idk if I'd consider it worse or a separate thing. You'll be fine, but if you drank that much over a short time it's possible you're on the cusp. I had a severe case years ago and the few memories I retained are unpleasant
I feel ok rn guess I’ll just ride the tiger
Reply to @RFishBlueFish, 02:39 UTC · 2 likes
Gil (@RFishBlueFish): @AaronBergman18 No, you’re not
I mean I will eventually, probably
Reply to @Insect_Song, 02:43 UTC · 3 likes
Cogent Sins🔎 (@Insect_Song): @AaronBergman18 Uhh, maybe? read the sodium content on the bottle & do the maths for how much that is.
"The lethal dose of table salt is roughly 0.5–1g per kg of body weight."
Drinking 500ml in one go sends you to hospital.
So like 30 grams (probably more)
I’m certain I didn’t have that much, but I’m flirting with that order of magnitude so probably gonna not do this again lol
Thread, continued, 02:44 UTC · 2 likes
As in that’s the lower bound lethal dose. I think I had like 5g
Reply to @StatsLime, 02:51 UTC · 1 like
Max ⏸️ Limelihood 🔸🔸🔸 (@StatsLime): @AaronBergman18 @nickcammarata @burny_tech > better and more responsible
That's exactly what I'm worried about
Wdym
I think there’s a thing that’s like an aesthetic of “responsibility” can prevent actually needed radical action but I don’t think that’s the case (relative to the trump admin counterfactual)
Reply to @polisisti, 02:52 UTC · 2 likes
Alessandro (@polisisti): @AaronBergman18 @JesseTayRiver @SpacedOutMatt Current mood: grateful that Aaron hasn't donated one of his kidneys
Something something hormesis
Reply to @travislambirth, 03:06 UTC · 4 likes
(The tweet being replied to by @travislambirth is no longer available.)
💯
Reply to @StatsLime, 03:08 UTC · 6 likes
Max ⏸️ Limelihood 🔸🔸🔸 (@StatsLime): @AaronBergman18 @nickcammarata @burny_tech That's half the reason, but fundamentally Trump's unpredictability is his biggest advantage on this issue; if you think we're not on track for alignment, the high probability that Trump will just start flailing and randomly banning things is a positive
In principle this could be a good argument but I don’t think it is irl
Overton window is 1000x what it was 5 years ago, EO was a huge update for me towards Biden admin being both serious and competent on this issue, and general prior on flailing being bad and competence being
Reply to @DFine2002, 03:23 UTC · 2 likes
Derek Fine🛑 (@DFine2002): "Salty boi"
Sorry man but that shit is painful to read.
The only time I'm ok with reading or hearing that is if it's about a man swallowing salty cum.
Then, & only then, it's tolerable because it's cute & sexy.
Lol this did not cross my mind
Gonna leave this up but I guess avoid the phrase going forward (?)
Reply to @univrsw3th4rt, 03:25 UTC · 2 likes
universe sweetheart 💓🌈💭 (@univrsw3th4rt): deleting tweets kinda fucks actually. sometimes i just wanna fucken untweet something
If ur never deleting tweets, ur barrier to tweeting is too high
Reply to @NoahTopper, 20:48 UTC · 3 likes
Quinoah 🔍⏸️ (@NoahTopper):
Yes. YES
Reply to @NoahTopper, 20:48 UTC · 1 like
Quinoah 🔍⏸️ (@NoahTopper): @AaronBergman18 @ilex_ulmus @austinc3301 (I'm assuming listeners are included in the community)
ur invited on but there's kinda a backlog
Reply to @NoahTopper, 21:35 UTC · 2 likes
Quinoah 🔍⏸️ (@NoahTopper): @AaronBergman18 @ilex_ulmus @austinc3301 Omg you're so popular
No I’m just slow
Reply to @NathanB60857242, 23:03 UTC · 2 likes
Nathan Barnard (@NathanB60857242): people who think the fda massively overregulates - what's the story with opiod addication? Is it that the type of regulation the FDA uses isn't actually good at preventing large harms from perspcription drugs, or that the costs opiod addication are low realtive to delayed drugs?
Bro u have an IQ of like 160 why are u writing like ur drunk
Reply, 23:37 UTC
Compare this to thalidomide which was 100% a problem of information. There wasn’t a plausibly good trade off there (afaik)
Insofar as the FDA can/could have reduce addiction, I think the main avenue would be opening up alternatives (not that they can eg legalize weed
Friday, March 15, 2024
Reply to @Aella_Girl, 00:03 UTC · 15 likes
Aella (@Aella_Girl): What are two opinions you hold, that others would be surprised to hear are both held by the same person?
E.g. "Abortion is wrong" and "Down with the patriarchy",
or "Free Gaza" and "Race and IQ correlate"
Veganism morally commendable, probably not healthy long term for most people
Tweet, 00:15 UTC · 5 likes
New YC just dropped https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/q2PwXNsXsfDYkxeHb/aim-ce-new-program-founding-to-give-apply-now-to-launch-a
Reply to @izzyz, 05:17 UTC · 8 likes
izzy (@izzyz): there's this fringe animal rights view that says we should consider the suffering of animals in the wild and it makes the most sense to me when my puppy eats all sloppy and i have to wipe her face like who is wiping the snoots of all the little wild baby animals
It’s a fringe view that seems obviously correct to me lol
Reply to @JeremiahDJohns, 08:28 UTC · 23 likes
Jeremiah Johnson 🌐 (@JeremiahDJohns): There's a strain of leftist/anarchist politics that boils down to "how dare anyone tell me what to do, ever"
It's from this idea that you get takes like 'Crime is fine' and 'Adults shouldn't have authority over kids'
(quoting @muke10101: I think what's cool about school abolition specifically is it's easy to envision changes pretty much immediately on seizing power - why would there be mandatory attendance under a DotP? Why would teachers maintain authority over anyone? We could do away with that right away.)
Kids should indeed have more rights, freedoms, and autonomy
Reply to @PhilotheosK, 08:52 UTC · 1 like
Principalities and Powers (@PhilotheosK): @Empty_America At a certain level, this isn't true. The kids at the top of my school weren't remotely interested in the Colorado School of Mines or OU. They wanted Princeton and Yale, and the Princetons of the world don't give out spots just for being a NM scholar.
Cringe warning, whatever…
This is basically right afaict. Got offered a full ride to UMD and got rejected from all the ivy-tiers I applied to. This is totally fine, not complaining, still a very privileged position to be in etc but I think full ride to decent school is
Tweet, 09:07 UTC · 20 likes
Did we ever figure out what happened to the half-trillion dollars the Pentagon lost?
That’s a non-trivial share of world wealth lol
Reply to @p_millerd, 09:16 UTC · 1 like
Paul Millerd (@p_millerd): I listen to podcasts I love and think “I wish I could share this with my audience”
Seems like there’s an informal norm against doing this without permission. But I’d be happy for anyone to throw up my audio on their feed.
What do people think?
@beala
Reply to @goblinodds, 09:23 UTC · 3 likes
𝖜𝖔𝖒𝖇𝖑𝖊 𝖜𝖎𝖙𝖍𝖔𝖚𝖙 𝖆 𝖈𝖆𝖚𝖘𝖊 (@goblinodds): the more i learn abt people the more it seems like 80% of dating problems arent gendered and pretending they are keeps people single and smugly miserable, and the other 20% are gendered but we're not supposed to acknowledge this for political reasons or something
(quoting @lillybilly299: I wonder if any of you will empathize with the mirror of your situation)
Many a correct take throughout the thread
Mistake theory of dating is in, conflict theory is out
Reply to @Insect_Song, 09:41 UTC · 8 likes
Cogent Sins🔎 (@Insect_Song): @AaronBergman18 My understanding is it's not lost, and it's all accounted for, it's just [obscure accounting terms of art that made my eyes glaze over].
Sounds like something a guy who lost $500B would say
Reply to @LongFormMath, 09:44 UTC
Jay Cummings (@LongFormMath): One of the most startling facts in math. Happy pi day everyone!
STOP DOING MATH
Quote tweet, 10:33 UTC · 8 likes
Bought a desk for I think like $100 last year and offered the guy another $20 to deliver
He shows up, with his wife (I assume), in one of those shiny Cadillac SUVs that politicians and celebrities often get chauffeured in…???
Quoting Someone:
Tweet, 11:01 UTC · 12 likes
I don’t know who Sydney Sweeney is, what if anything she has to do with some royal person not getting photographed, or what her bra size has to do with anything and if anyone tries to inform me I will block u
Reply to @littIeramblings, 11:16 UTC · 6 likes
sarah (@littIeramblings): Sydney Sweeney (born September 12, 1997) is an American actress. She is known for her roles in the HBO drama series Euphoria (2019–present) and the first season of the anthology series The White Lotus (2021), which earned her nominations for -
Reply to @NunoSempere, 11:21 UTC · 2 likes
Nuño Sempere (@NunoSempere): Here is a post describing some unflattering aspects of Effective Altruism: https://nunosempere.com/blog/2024/03/05/unflattering-aspects-of-ea/
👀
Reply to @NunoSempere, 11:26 UTC · 2 likes
Nuño Sempere (@NunoSempere): Here is a post describing some unflattering aspects of Effective Altruism: https://nunosempere.com/blog/2024/03/05/unflattering-aspects-of-ea/
This is a good paragraph and fwiw as best I can tell the answer to all these is “yes”
I interpret all this as implying “it’s really fucking important that OpenPhil employees are earnest and want to surface and incorporate new information/critiques/whatever” rather than…
Thread, continued, 11:28 UTC · 5 likes
it necessarily being bad or unflattering that there isn’t a super formal process for that happening
Like at some level Dustin can do whatever he wants with his money, and he doesn’t really owe it to any “member of the community” to have their takes heard out—that is, above and
Reply, 11:28 UTC · 1 like
beyond the base level ethical reason to want to do good
Reply to @NunoSempere, 11:30 UTC · 44 likes
Nuño Sempere (@NunoSempere): Here is a post describing some unflattering aspects of Effective Altruism: https://nunosempere.com/blog/2024/03/05/unflattering-aspects-of-ea/
IMO the best response to a lot of these are to make ETG higher status (in proportion to how much u donate!!) and more salient
Like atm nobody gets social “credit” for donating $50k/year to some excellent charity, but they really should
Reply to @NunoSempere, 11:43 UTC · 4 likes
Nuño Sempere (@NunoSempere): @AaronBergman18 I think you are still trapped in an angle where the answer is to plea to a higher power (Open Philanthropy, Moskovitz, "EA should assign more status to xyz"). And, you know, there is a place for that.
Yeah, although I think to a non-trivial extent grassroots status campaigns can work bc they don’t necessarily need money to succeed
So the “EA” abstraction isn’t best thought of entirely as a higher power in this regard
Quote tweet, 11:46 UTC · 44 likes
You should get a sexy quarter zip when ur lifetime donations hits $100k or something
Humans like status, Google and Jane Street don’t give out their merch for *advertising* purposes
Quoting Aaron Bergman 🔍 (@AaronBergman18): @NunoSempere IMO the best response to a lot of these are to make ETG higher status (in proportion to how much u donate!!) and more salient
Like atm nobody gets social “credit” for donating $50k/year to some excellent charity, but they really should
Thread, continued, 11:46 UTC · 3 likes
^merch given to employees, that is
Reply to @littIeramblings, 11:49 UTC · 2 likes
sarah (@littIeramblings): help I can’t predict the next token
Twinkle twinkle little ______
Tweet, 11:52 UTC · 31 likes
My time on Hinge has taught me one thing about women:
If there’s anything they like as much as Taylor Swift, it’s getting a little sweet treat
Thread, continued, 11:53 UTC · 12 likes
My uninhibited pharmacology brain says maybe this is bc they’re all chronically low on glycogen
Reply to @DaCaveOfWonders, 12:00 UTC · 3 likes
Tiger Lava Lamp (@DaCaveOfWonders): Free* GiveWell merch showed up today
*after $57000 of expenses
Based
Reply, 12:00 UTC
Should be 24/7
Both for the diligent and those with a fucked up sleep schedule
Reply to @littIeramblings, 12:07 UTC · 2 likes
sarah (@littIeramblings): moon
I mean presumably it does twinkle a bit for the same reason
Reply to @GjMcGowan, 12:07 UTC · 2 likes
George McGowan (@GjMcGowan): @AaronBergman18 You get a sexy pin from GWWC when you're been pledged for 1/10/20 years https://x.com/GjMcGowan/status/1579515309421395969?s=20
🥵
Reply to @GjMcGowan, 12:36 UTC · 2 likes
George McGowan (@GjMcGowan): @AaronBergman18 You get a sexy pin from GWWC when you're been pledged for 1/10/20 years https://x.com/GjMcGowan/status/1579515309421395969?s=20
Fr though pins are dumb IMO. People don’t just wear pins around. It needs to be something normal so u can casually signal
Reply to @CarsonJGale, 13:26 UTC · 3 likes
Carson Gale (@CarsonJGale): I would (unfortunately) feel more motivated to donate sooner if there was a legible status event for e.g. $100k of effective donations.
You and 99% of other people I’d guess
Reply to @ChanaMessinger, 15:04 UTC · 2 likes
Chana (@ChanaMessinger): @AaronBergman18 You can make these!
Ya good point, what do u think about a sticker pilot program?
Reply to @NathanB60857242, 16:01 UTC
Nathan Barnard (@NathanB60857242): back to thinking of doing an econ phd
Bro timelines are like 5 minutes and 19 seconds
Reply to @ChanaMessinger, 16:01 UTC · 1 like
Chana (@ChanaMessinger): @AaronBergman18 Boo
Not the answer I expected lol but unironic thanks for the downvote
Reply, 16:03 UTC
More seriously do we (ie anyone invested enough to be reading this and have an opinion) think custom signal-y quarter zips beat RP for best use of a dollar
Reply to @AndyMasley, 16:35 UTC · 3 likes
Andy Masley (@AndyMasley): Back for more. The Bookmill's a little holy site for me
image attached
video attached
(quoting @AndyMasley: Work location for the day. New England attics always feel like ground-level reality to me)
Bit of a hike
Reply to @Daniel_Propson, 16:40 UTC · 3 likes
Daniel Propson (@Daniel_Propson): Under what circumstances is it wrong to say something true?
Almost every true thing one can say at a given time is probably morally bad, if only a bit bc it’s just confusion/distraction/annoyance
Reply to @SluggyW, 17:17 UTC · 2 likes
Alexander Slugworth (@SluggyW): @AaronBergman18 Should it be based on an absolute value, or on a percentage of earnings?
The former might incentivize people to seek higher earnings, increasing the total amount they give. The latter might incentivize people to increase the total amount they give *without* needing to earn more.
Former
The 10% meme is suboptimal
Saturday, March 16, 2024
Reply to @gracevadams, 02:43 UTC
Grace Adams 🔸 (@gracevadams): Things that are not pins are really expensive! I’ve considered making pledger only merch available? But people would likely need to pay out of pocket! Thoughts??
I think it's important that people *not* pay out of pocket for the same reason it's cringe if you order yourself a trophy
My basic hypothesis is that eg a $50 custom quarter zip actually "costs" negative dollars at least in some aggregate sense just as IRS funding is net +
Reply to @AkashWasil, 02:51 UTC · 1 like
(The tweet being replied to by @AkashWasil is no longer available.)
What proportion of e2g goes to "the EA machine," though (which definitely includes unrestricted donations to OpenPhil and maybe sorta EA Funds to a lesser extent)?
Like empirically non-Dustin donors don't do this very much right?
Reply to @gracevadams, 03:38 UTC · 1 like
Grace Adams 🔸 (@gracevadams): Things that are not pins are really expensive! I’ve considered making pledger only merch available? But people would likely need to pay out of pocket! Thoughts??
This would be $62/item, including shipping each individual thing to a different address and allowing people to choose their size.
Tentatively seems good, at least for some donation threshold? Intuitively in the $10k-$100k range maybe?
Tweet, 03:50 UTC · 8 likes
This is cool: paste in your tweets, Claude Opus analyzes you (evidently with a positive bias/filter unless/until you ask for critical feedback, which is shown in the bottom two pics)
First prompt: "In nuanced analytical detail, analyze patterns, common themes, style and
Thread, continued, 03:50 UTC · 4 likes
aesthetics, and inferred personality information based on my Tweets (attached). Pleas focus on the non-obvious; it is ok to speculate. Also discuss how my thoughts and takes have changed over time. Include anything else that may be interesting or cool to know!"
Thread, continued, 03:50 UTC · 8 likes
Second: "Thanks! Now be more critical, in all domains and across all axes. I'm an adult and can handle it"
Thread, continued, 03:50 UTC · 3 likes
Thread, continued, 03:50 UTC · 4 likes
I only used non-RTs and non-replies, and also removed the left 4 columns to get it under the token limit. Original csv from https://tweetcsv.streamlit.app/ and then this R code:
Reply to @FrostedSapling, 03:52 UTC · 2 likes
Ivan 🔸 (@FrostedSapling): @AaronBergman18 I usually like subtle things, so I like the pin. I wouldn’t mind a zip up, just cause they’re nice, but like strictly for signaling purposes? Nah
The whole point is that it's nice enough to wear on its own ie plausible signaling deniability!
Reply, 03:54 UTC
Nathan I'm dumb plz disregard my previous reply
Reply to @ilex_ulmus, 09:37 UTC · 1 like
Holly ⏸️ Elmore (@ilex_ulmus): @AaronBergman18 Have you tried Bumble?
A while ago, maybe I should retvrn
Tweet, 15:40 UTC · 23 likes
Few things more annoying than saying “thanks for the support but I just don’t really want to discuss it atm” and the person takes this as a conversational prompt to keep talking/asking questions about the thing
Reply to @tyler_m_john, 15:40 UTC · 2 likes
Tyler John (@tyler_m_john): @AaronBergman18 @NunoSempere ETG too slow. Work for a fundraising organization or start a competitor.
E2g to the fundraising org > infinite recursion
Reply to @Aizazadi_, 15:43 UTC · 3 likes
Aizazadi (@Aizazadi_): @AaronBergman18 How... is this in any way a prompt to keep talking
Ask my parents lol (and fwiw it’s not an “no sorry we have to discuss it atm, I’m ignoring your preference bc tough love” kind of thing)
Tweet, 15:52 UTC · 54 likes
Getting Chinese Cardiologist vibes from the Boeing thing
Is it actually weird/anomalous/bad if once a day, somewhere on earth, a plane has to make an emergency landing and no one gets hurt?
Reply to @SpacedOutMatt, 15:53 UTC · 3 likes
Matt 🔸 (@SpacedOutMatt): Good reference
Thx
U are the librarian in chief
Reply to @austinc3301, 15:54 UTC · 32 likes
Agus 🔸 (@austinc3301): wdym chinese cardiologist
my take on all of this is we're all pushing towards further social costs from over-regulation because of saliency bias
Blocked for not immediately recognizing an allusion to a 9 year old SSC post https://slatestarcodex.com/2015/09/16/cardiologists-and-chinese-robbers/
Reply to his own earlier tweet, 15:55 UTC · 1 like
Aaron Bergman, March 16, 2024: E2g to the fundraising org > infinite recursion
FOOM
Reply to @austinc3301, 15:56 UTC · 9 likes
Agus 🔸 (@austinc3301): I profusely apologize
Unblocked
Reply to @SSCDidIt, 16:07 UTC · 2 likes
SSC Did It (@SSCDidIt): @SpacedOutMatt @AaronBergman18 I also approve
Name checks out
Reply to @rats7, 16:24 UTC · 1 like
Eli (@rats7): i hate it here. the cheap rent is not worth it
Wtf
Reply to @Laura_k_Duffy, 16:39 UTC · 10 likes
Laura Muresianu 🌐🔸🇺🇸 (@Laura_k_Duffy): First half-marathon complete!
Damn fast af
Reply to @Laura_k_Duffy, 16:40 UTC · 9 likes
Laura Muresianu 🌐🔸🇺🇸 (@Laura_k_Duffy): First half-marathon complete!
.@DietCoke sponsor her
Reply to his own earlier tweet, 16:40 UTC · 5 likes
Aaron Bergman, March 16, 2024: Damn fast af
Might wanna get that zero hr checked out. Seems a bit on the low side
Sunday, March 17, 2024
Reply to @JesseTayRiver, 00:18 UTC · 4 likes
Jesse Smith (@JesseTayRiver): A girl in my son's grade was murdered today. Just an absolute tragedy for so many people in the community
Jfc :(
Reply to @JacquesThibs, 00:24 UTC · 2 likes
Jacques (@JacquesThibs): In case this isn't clear, Devin (the AI software engineer) is using Steve Hao's account in this exchange. It's trying to get information via chat to solve an issue.
And yeah, we will be straight up giving admin access to these models. lol
(quoting @raunakdoesdev: 🤯 crazy exchange on @modal_labs slack between @cognition_labs 's Devin & modal's support team)
This ofc isn’t super important in relative terms, but totally ignoring society-level risks I’m pretty unsure whether to do this (give some AI system the direct ability to run arbitrary commands as admin on my laptop)
Reply to @SpacedOutMatt, 00:36 UTC · 1 like
Matt 🔸 (@SpacedOutMatt): Aaron you already kinda borked your laptop by pasting chatgpt commands
Yeah but that was my fault lol
And I misread the thing - chatGPT was right!
Reply to @ElytraMithra, 00:44 UTC · 7 likes
(The tweet being replied to by @ElytraMithra is no longer available.)
Robin Hanson said smth like “if you thought the explicit criminal justice system was fair, you’d have no worries about going to trial for some felony after getting randomly/falsely arrested. But you probably would be worried, because almost all of the risk of prison comes in the
Thread, continued, 00:46 UTC · 7 likes
filter created by (not) getting arrested - which is way way less systematic and legible than the process in criminal court”
Reply to @AndyMasley, 00:48 UTC · 6 likes
Andy Masley (@AndyMasley): Are you into EA/Were you pretty into EPCOT?
The Disney World Park?
Reply to @SwiftOnSecurity, 01:12 UTC · 3 likes
(The tweet being replied to by @SwiftOnSecurity is no longer available.)
Seriously, why does Visa give a shit?
Quote tweet, 01:38 UTC · 6 likes
I don’t have enough personal experience to be super confident, but I have enough to strongly suspect that despicable status games like this in emergency medicine/response are the norm rather than the exception
Quoting all power to the people (@realdocv): Earlier this week we saw a man who was in distress who thought he was having a heart attack in a parking lot. We helped him out, called his ex wife & waited with him for the ambulance. Firefighters arrived first & almost immediately judged him as a drug user.
Reply to @bryancsk, 01:40 UTC · 4 likes
Bryan Cheong 🥮 (@bryancsk): Why are people actively rooting against AI customer service bots? Do y'all like being on hold on the telephone with a call centre that much
People you know and regularly interact with are only calling customer service when there’s a legit need to because whatever info or request they have can’t be done online
Probably older and poorer people just call customer service as a first-resort
Reply to @NathanpmYoung, 01:41 UTC · 4 likes
Nathan 🔎 (@NathanpmYoung): What subjects would you debate on?
I want to do some debates. They will have a new design and focused on specific disagreements on the topic.
I’ll debate whatever as long as I get to take the contrarian side
Reply to @NathanpmYoung, 01:51 UTC
Nathan 🔎 (@NathanpmYoung): @AaronBergman18 What do you think you are best talking about?
Hmm good q I need to think about this!
Reply to @RFishBlueFish, 02:01 UTC · 1 like
Gil (@RFishBlueFish): @AaronBergman18 @NathanpmYoung I actually like arguing against the contrarian side
Wrong
Reply to @dejectedvole, 02:09 UTC · 1 like
Vampirical Critter 🏴☠️ (@dejectedvole): Blocked for being out of touch
(quoting @matt_everhard: ⚠️ Real Talk ⚠️ In general - and present company excluded - anonymous accounts are stupid. Put your name in your bio and your face in your profile. Be brave enough to stand on your own beliefs and own your opinions.)
Not a bravery thing, I think people just have a false sense of the risks and benefits
Reply to @sixers2772, 02:34 UTC · 1 like
Sixers (@sixers2772): if you don't mind me asking, what is the reason/intuition behind this hunch?
Gut bacteria seem important and it would be weird if dosing didn’t matter. But afaik probiotics don’t reliably do much. Dosing seems like the obvious reconciliation of all this
Reply to @sixers2772, 02:38 UTC · 2 likes
Sixers (@sixers2772): @AaronBergman18 Yeah, I see. I feel like there is also a terrain kinda thing going on as my impression is probiotics don't really stay lodged in the gut or whatever
Someone out there should try to eat like a macroscopic amount (100g ?) of a mix of common probiotic bacteria strains and tell the world what happens
Quote tweet, 02:38 UTC · 3 likes
Could be you. For science
Quoting Aaron Bergman 🔍 (@AaronBergman18): @sixers2772 Someone out there should try to eat like a macroscopic amount (100g ?) of a mix of common probiotic bacteria strains and tell the world what happens
Thread, continued, 02:42 UTC · 1 like
Would be like 250 trillion of the lil dudes
Reply to his own earlier tweet, 02:51 UTC · 1 like
Aaron Bergman, March 17, 2024: Hmm good q I need to think about this!
Not much surprise here but probably EA-relevant philosophy and cause prio
More broadly like why all the standard arguments/critiques against X, where X is a thing broadly supported by the EAish neolib rat tribe, are dumb and wrong but there are other critiques of X that are
Thread, continued, 02:53 UTC · 1 like
at least less dumb and sometimes in fact true and important (I can think of this kind of thing vis a vis longtermism, animal welfare, GOFEA ie malaria nets in both directions, AI x-risk, non AI x-risk, nutrition and medicine stuff, probably more)
Reply to @mattyglesias, 03:00 UTC · 2 likes
Matthew Yglesias (@mattyglesias): I like Hamilton. It has a bunch of fun, catchy songs.
Reply to @univrsw3th4rt, 03:49 UTC · 4 likes
universe sweetheart 💓🌈💭 (@univrsw3th4rt): i find that ppl often ask me how i do [thing they have hangups about] and most of the time the unsexy answer is simply “i do it by not having those hangups lol”
Ya lol @slatestarcodex (afaik) didn’t do a bunch of workshops and introspection and power through words-written quotas with willpower to eventually write both well and a lot https://slatestarcodex.com/2015/01/31/the-parable-of-the-talents/
Reply to @Austen, 05:42 UTC · 1 like
Austen Allred (@Austen): No idea if this is fake but some kinds of ice cream aren’t nearly as unhealthy as people think.
Whole fat milk, egg yolks, honey.
Even if it’s low fat milk, normal sugar, no egg, and a bunch of emulsifiers and flavors, plausibly still fine - “empty calories” but not obesogenic
Reply, 08:21 UTC
Every once in a while I tweet something that people really dislike, and I keep it up if it’s something I’m confident in and willing to stand by
Not one of those times - totally possible it was a bad take that wouldn’t have survived serious engagement with the issue
Thread, continued, 08:27 UTC
Idk why I’m even responding lol, I guess it’s an invitation to consider whether bad, even abhorrent, takes online don’t always indicate fundamentally irredeemable character
Reply to @tylerangert, 09:08 UTC · 2 likes
Tyler Angert (@tylerangert): So good. This here is the level of self awareness all technical people should aspire to. It takes introspection like this to actually improve computers, since most people who happily tolerate esoteric tools usually forget how much pain they went through to become proficient. Classic curse of knowledge stuff. Being able to break down how much implicit knowledge is required to “just” do something that experts take for granted is what makes Lu great :D
image attached
(quoting @TodePond: i don't like the word "just" https://www.todepond.com/wikiblogarden/better-computing/just/)
This is a perpetual take of mine! LLMs really help though - you can say eg “I’m new to this please tell me exactly how to do that step by step”
Reply to @AlignmentGuts, 09:16 UTC · 2 likes
AI Struggler (@AlignmentGuts): This is honestly where weird retarded alternative health shit has its use. GP’s are all gonna have the same shit, if it doesn’t cover your issues you need to trudge through fucking PeatChat or something
Yeah mostly agreed but “naturopaths” range hugely in bullshitty-ness
Reply to @robertwiblin, 11:54 UTC · 1 like
(The tweet being replied to by @robertwiblin is no longer available.)
I stand with Rob (we don’t have to pass the America/UK Hates Baseball Act, there are plenty of implicit ways to bury this in the tax code)
Reply to @iatskar, 11:58 UTC · 3 likes
(The tweet being replied to by @iatskar is no longer available.)
Incentive to steal tho
Reply to @basedalexandoor, 12:13 UTC · 1 like
Pata van Goon (@basedalexandoor): How do I make the pain go away?
Opioids > ketamine > weed > ibuprofen
Reply to @austinc3301, 20:32 UTC
Agus 🔸 (@austinc3301): I hacked my school several times, some went well, some not so well
(quoting @DrMoneyTrees: )
Elabora 👀
Reply to @TetraspaceWest, 20:36 UTC · 1 like
(The tweet being replied to by @TetraspaceWest is no longer available.)
😱
Reply to @danielbrottman, 21:05 UTC · 7 likes
daniel brottman 🪷 (@danielbrottman): when i tell chatgpt to explain something like i'm 5 it actually makes it too cutesy, so now the plan is to have it explain to me like i'm 12
I usually use “explain to a very smart layperson” - hard to get comprehensive explanations while minimizing need for tacit knowledge and knowing jargon elsewhere
Monday, March 18, 2024
Reply to @booritney, 23:19 UTC · 3 likes
brit (@booritney): so far my anonymous form has taught me that probably a lot more people have crushes on you than you think
My anonymous form has not taught me this
But if anyone wants to change that, http://admonymous.co/a
Tuesday, March 19, 2024
Reply to @eigenrobot, 00:06 UTC · 4 likes
eigenrobot (@eigenrobot): nukes are just not that scary
(quoting @literally_chad: Spymaster Google is saying that the max size of an ICBM equipped Russian nuke is 800kt. I calibrated 4 circles around the blast site, and the outside circle means "I felt it, I'm sunburnt, but I can walk it off." If Arlington Cemetery were hit, the Capitol is fine. etc.)
*Russian* nukes aren’t that scary
Chinese nukes are
American nukes are
Probably other countries’ nukes are
Reply to @ohwizenedtortle, 00:07 UTC · 3 likes
oh dandy lion🔸 (@ohwizenedtortle): smdh women have it so easy in dating
Lol
Reply to @nickcammarata, 01:01 UTC · 15 likes
Nick (@nickcammarata): you'd think EA, a group dedicated to efficiently lowering suffering, would have been more interested in buddhists, who for thousands of years have claimed to have a testable explanation for the cause of suffering and highly reproducible ~full cure to it
The subset of EAs who “take ideas seriously” enough to consider this already found animal suffering and AI
Thread, continued, 01:07 UTC · 7 likes
Although, even still, I’d be keen to see more discussion of it
Reply to @JesseTayRiver, 02:30 UTC · 3 likes
Jesse Smith (@JesseTayRiver): Today marks the 30th anniversary of my bilateral heel fractures. My right heel is reconstructed from 4 fragments, steel hardware & some hip bone that I wasn't using. Since then I've learned a lot thanks to many stupid mistakes 1/2
Happy birthday of sorts
Quote tweet, 02:30 UTC · 13 likes
Not for me (unironically)
Quoting University of Toronto (@UofT): Using X (formerly Twitter) has a negative impact on well-being, according to a new #UofT study 📱 http://uoft.me/ajp
Quote tweet, 02:38 UTC · 4 likes
Based
Quoting Peter Singer (@PeterSinger): I applaud the decision of the Parliament of New South Wales to ban some particularly cruel and unnecessary animal experiments. The new law, championed by @MlcHurst, MP, and the @AJPNSW, stops experiments in which animals are placed in water in a smooth-sided container and forced to swim for long periods to avoid drowning. The legislation also bans experiments in which animals are forced to smoke. I hope it will be taken up by other Australian states, and other countries too.
Reply to @Prigoose, 02:42 UTC · 3 likes
priya rose (@Prigoose): Queens is the Brooklyn of New York
(quoting @JonCampbellNY: "New York City is the [insert city here] of America.")
NYC is the NYC of everywhere
Reply to @sguyenet, 02:52 UTC · 5 likes
Stephan J. Guyenet (@sguyenet): There are a number of potassium supplementation RCTs. Would be interesting to see if they support this. I doubt it
Does it matter if they do? For low cost, low risk interventions it’s not obvious that population-level effects matter at all. If it works for 10% of people, makes 10% of people gain weight, and does nothing for 80%, that’s an experiment worth trying (bc weight-gainers can stop)
Thread, continued, 02:54 UTC · 3 likes
Same thing for antidepressants, which seems to be why clinical experience contradicts the tiny effect sizes documented
People keep trying stuff until they find one that works (I do think the field could improve in terms of trying lower risk stuff first tho)
Reply to @Timothy02483682, 03:12 UTC · 2 likes
Timothy Barnes (@Timothy02483682): @absurdlymax Working out while reading philosophy in between the sets? Also moral weights.
@NathanB60857242
Reply to @adam__isom, 04:18 UTC · 2 likes
adam ✧ ❥ ~ (@adam__isom): not me. real.
I’ll defend this
Reply to @eris_nerung, 04:20 UTC · 39 likes
secret eris (@eris_nerung): walking up to all the people dying of malaria and malnutrition, doomed to a life of drinking contaminated water and shitting in a hole on the ground and telling them "just medidate bro"
It’s a fair point by Nick
Lots of things like this that don’t even get discussed (cluster headaches get a few likes here and there but there’s no real effort to address it afaik, nothing on akathesia, minimal effort on pain relief, ~nothing on anti-tolerance drugs)
Quote tweet, 04:24 UTC · 4 likes
\super{b}ᵃˢᵉᵈ
Quoting Carson Gale (@CarsonJGale): @MichaelJDickens @AaronBergman18 I'm at ~$60k, getting there!
Quote tweet, 04:32 UTC · 3 likes
I swear to god Taylor Swift is unironically a big deal, culturally, and an interesting, not fully explained phenomenon
Quoting rosey🌹 (@thechosenberg): Honestly not the craziest list but it just never looks good once written down and shared (picture from r/Tinder)
Reply to @freed_dfilan, 04:36 UTC · 2 likes
Daniel Filan 🔎 (@freed_dfilan): How often do you deliberately use caffeine?
Bro ur making me look like a junkie u need to make one of the options above me
Quote tweet, 04:45 UTC · 28 likes
I think full-throated EA applied exclusively to improving the lives or reducing the suffering only of humans alive right now would look a lot different than the Global Health and Development status quo
Quoting Aaron Bergman 🔍 (@AaronBergman18): @eris_nerung It’s a fair point by Nick
Lots of things like this that don’t even get discussed (cluster headaches get a few likes here and there but there’s no real effort to address it afaik, nothing on akathesia, minimal effort on pain relief, ~nothing on anti-tolerance drugs)
Thread, continued, 04:46 UTC · 5 likes
Not to mention grappling with AI instead of pretending it doesn’t exist and throwing money at GiveWell
Yes - even if we totally ignored people not yet born
Thread, continued, 04:51 UTC · 3 likes
S/o to @JesseTayRiver’s wife for tackling the pain relief one
Might have to zoom her to the top of the Pigeon Hour agenda
Reply, 07:38 UTC · 1 like
the brave little poaster (@virgil_30): @AaronBergman18 I don’t really understand—are you saying it’s plausible that Buddhist theology can provide a compelling account of akathisia?
No not at all, just that there are a bunch of areas/interventions that the “help humans now” branch of EA seems to ignore without (at least explicit) justification
No direct connection between Buddhism and akathesia
Reply to @QualyThe, 08:32 UTC · 4 likes
Qualy the lightbulb (@QualyThe): How so?
Much harder to say what it would look like than to say that it would look different. I have my list of guesses (eg those in the quoted tweet above) of what would make the cut
But this dynamic is the reason I think it would look different
Wednesday, March 20, 2024
Tweet, 00:46 UTC · 3 likes
There’s a good chance if you’re reading this that you should seriously consider applying https://www.aimfoundingtogive.com/
Reply to @moreisdifferent, 02:33 UTC · 3 likes
Dan Elton 🔍 (@moreisdifferent): The past few weeks I've been experimenting with a trancutaneous vagus nerve stimulator (http://vagus.net) which sends DC current pulses through your ear (for whatever reason the vagus nerve has a branch in each ear). You're supposed to use it for 10-20 minutes a day.
I'm mainly trying to see if it will help me sleep better. I do notice some transient calming effects when using it sometimes, but otherwise I can't really tell if its doing much. It's pretty interesting though! An inplanted vagus nerve stimulator is FDA approved for treatment-resistant depression.
I've also ordered the Pulsetto device which stimulates the vagus nerve branches in the neck. Bryan Johnson uses the Pulsetto if he wakes up in the middle of the night and he claims it helps him get back to sleep. Bryan Johnson also uses an ear-clip type vagus nerve stimulator daily for longevity purposes.
This is a podcast with someone who is very bullish about tVNS:
"Douglas Bremner: Treating PTSD with Vagus Nerve Stimulation" https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/douglas-bremner-treating-ptsd-with-vagus-nerve/id1504335042?i=1000537631199There are also anecdotal reports tVNS can be useful for #LongCOVID and a pilot underpowered RCT on it suggesting it might be helpful: "A pilot randomized controlled trial of supervised, at-home, self-administered transcutaneous auricular vagus nerve stimulation (taVNS) to manage long COVID symptoms"
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9238186/
Hey any update? Think it helped at all? Considering getting this (not for long covid tho)
Reply to @gracevadams, 05:14 UTC · 6 likes
Grace Adams 🔸 (@gracevadams): If you’ve considered taking the GWWC Pledge but haven’t yet - why not? What could we do to help you to feel confident in taking the pledge?
No stable income atm
Also like I get there’s a whole vibe and community and (most importantly I’m guessing) anti-value drift element but in literal terms the pledge is strictly reducing your future optionality. Like why would I promise to give 10% instead of just giving 10% lol
Thread, continued, 05:18 UTC · 3 likes
Also this is very half baked and I’ve actually been meaning to ask around more, but it seems plausible that many donors should basically invest the money on behalf of the organization they intend to support
The basic rational actor model says that this is dumb bc charities can
Thread, continued, 05:19 UTC · 5 likes
invest if that’s what makes the most sense, but I have heard and also personally suspect that there is a good bit of pressure on charities not to do this (bc of blowback if they lose money) even though in some sense they wish they could
Reply, 06:44 UTC · 1 like
(The tweet being replied to is no longer available.)
Someone explain plz I am curious
Reply to @bayeslord, 06:47 UTC · 7 likes
bayes (@bayeslord): in case you needed more evidence that ea thinking is largely just an expected value themed wrapper for garden variety retarded virtual signaling, here we have someone utterly failing to understand nick’s point because they are too busy shrieking for social status
That’s…one guy
Quote tweet, 19:09 UTC · 2 likes
Who is closest to my all-things-considered doppelgänger?
Dw it’s fine if you tag them bc I’d want to know 👀
Quoting Roman Hauksson-Neill (@RomanHauksson): Out of 8 billion people, it’s likely at least one is scarily close to me in personality, like a real doppelgänger. I’m trying to figure out how to acausally coordinate with him so we can meet each other. Any ideas for schelling points?
Quote tweet, 19:14 UTC · 189 likes
Turns out a “virtual environment” is also just a folder (with some files inside)
Quoting Aaron Bergman 🔍 (@AaronBergman18): Computer ppl keep inventing new words for things
Ever heard some nerd say “repository” or “repo”? Turns out they mean a fucking folder
Now some mf decided to rename program/app to “container”
Reply to @polisisti, 19:29 UTC · 3 likes
Alessandro (@polisisti): Dear non-Canadian friends, I'm curious how you do on this
(quoting @TheStalwart: How many Canadian universities can you name? For me it's McGill Dalhousie UBC University of Waterloo I think that's it. Can anyone top that?)
I don’t actually know any of these, but I’m guessing the following exist:
U of ______ and/or ______ U
For the following:
Quebec, Montreal, Nova Scotia, Toronto, Vancouver, Ottawa, Alberta, British Columbia, Ontario
Reply, 19:32 UTC · 1 like
I looked at google maps (cheating) and now I wanna go to canada. Looks nice and cold
Reply to @polisisti, 19:35 UTC · 1 like
Alessandro (@polisisti): @AaronBergman18 Would love to show you around a few places in Toronto if you can make it sometime 🥰
🇨🇦🇨🇦🇨🇦🇨🇦🇨🇦
Reply to @besttrousers, 19:37 UTC · 10 likes
Matt Darling 🌐🏗️ (@besttrousers): We should also rescale feet so "10" is a really tall person and "1" is a really short person.
(quoting @tomgara: As a lifelong Celsius guy who has been reluctantly dragged into Fahrenheit over the last decade I think “scaled to human experience” is in fact the biggest thing Fahrenheit has going for it (and same goes for most imperial measurements))
It’s already like this 😭😭😭
Reply to @polisisti, 19:41 UTC · 1 like
Alessandro (@polisisti): Good approach, and you're sort of correct with these - I'd say 5/10 are very close
Québec City's university is called Laval University. In Montreal, there's a Université de Québec à Montréal, plus 3 other universities
The big university in Vancouver is UBC; in NS, Dalhousie
What about University of Uranium City
Reply to @polisisti, 20:03 UTC · 1 like
Alessandro (@polisisti): @AaronBergman18 Now that the town of Asbestos has renames itself, Uranium Cory City may be the best name for a Canadian municipality that's based on a natural resource
They should have made it AsBESTos
Reply to @eepysillyboy, 20:13 UTC · 3 likes
(The tweet being replied to by @eepysillyboy is no longer available.)
mv agus folder/
Reply to @austinc3301, 20:15 UTC · 19 likes
Agus 🔸 (@austinc3301): aaron you’re getting on my nerves
rm agus
Reply to @eepysillyboy, 20:17 UTC · 1 like
(The tweet being replied to by @eepysillyboy is no longer available.)
😈
Reply to @notcomplex_, 20:32 UTC · 6 likes
Alex (@notcomplex_): Mackenzie Scott has donated over 17.3 billion dollars of her and Bezos' divorce settlement. She just released a 2024 update.
So, where is the money going?
Top focus area: Race and ethnicity (39%)
Bottom focus area: Art (1-2%)Here's the giving by focus area:
Thread 🧵
Pain
Reply to @chinarddankhara, 20:39 UTC · 3 likes
Chinar Dankhara (@chinarddankhara): @AaronBergman18 I mean if you really wanna boil it down, all storage is a file or a folder and all computation is string manipulation
😱😱😱
Reply to @exfatloss, 20:53 UTC · 1 like
exfatloss🥛 (@exfatloss): So you're saying it's just a bucket of carolies?
(quoting @SeedOilDsrspctr: Human metabolism is very complex. I’m not saying seed oils (high omega-6) are the only cause of every problem. I am saying that existing research into virtually every modern chronic metabolic illness has directly or indirectly indicted seed oils.)
Hey it’s my poster (ft. Air quality monitor, and corn bulb)
Reply to his own earlier tweet, 21:32 UTC · 9 likes
Aaron Bergman, March 20, 2024: Turns out a “virtual environment” is also just a folder (with some files inside)
Looks like you need a grand total of...1029 individual files to just do anything in python. No pip install whatever or files created by me, this is just after doing what chatGPT tells me to do to make a virtual environment (i.e., folder)
(video, plays on X)
Reply to @ConnorTabarrok, 21:36 UTC · 1 like
Connor J. Tabarrok 🏗🚀🌏 (@ConnorTabarrok): How do you regulate indoor CO2 without triggering pollen allergies? (I live in a stuffy Austin apartment, AQ filters can handle dust and cooking but struggle to clean pollen PPM)
👀
Reply to @caleb_parikh, 21:42 UTC · 9 likes
Caleb Parikh (@caleb_parikh): rm: agus : is a directory
rm -rf caleb
Reply, 21:43 UTC · 1 like
pkill -f Agus
Reply, 21:44 UTC · 1 like
Honestly this isn’t a bad way to teach me this stuff lol
Thread, continued, 21:44 UTC · 2 likes
If u reply I’ll have to pull out the -9 flag
Reply to @austinc3301, 21:51 UTC · 6 likes
Agus 🔸 (@austinc3301): out of curiosity, I filled the UK National Careers Service's “Skills assessment”, aimed at suggesting career choices
some of my top career suggestions:
- carpet fitter and floor layer
- sports psychologist
- bookmaker (apparently someone who organizes “gambling activities”)???
So basically Jane street quant
Reply, 21:54 UTC
Bc of like the whole operating system these depend on? Fair, retvrn to abacus
Reply, 21:56 UTC
Like that many in ur working directory? How/why?
Reply, 21:56 UTC
Total and complete ban on python-related 3 letter things until we can figure out what the hell is going on
Reply to @GjMcGowan, 21:58 UTC · 1 like
George McGowan (@GjMcGowan): @AaronBergman18 Oh no just hanging out in the background. A function has dependencies and then the test environment needs to be built with its dependencies and of course you need something to handle building all these dependencies together don’t you Aaron
Tbh I don’t actually know what a dependency is beyond some fuzzy tautological notion of “what a thing depends on”
Reply, 22:00 UTC
So isn’t the operating system a dependency for numpy then?
Reply, 22:01 UTC · 1 like
Pip uninstall George
Pip3 uninstall George
Pipx uninstall George
Conda uninstall George
Brew uninstall George
Npm uninstall George
Quote tweet, 22:12 UTC · 3 likes
QT for the algo boost, I have no intrinsic preference but want to know
Quoting Max Alexander (@absurdlymax): Do you think beards look good? Are you a man or a woman?
Reply, 22:36 UTC · 4 likes
O shit is that a folder too
Reply to @J_K_Chesterton, 22:59 UTC · 1 like
Alexander Popemobile (@J_K_Chesterton): @AaronBergman18 Hmm. Is it hard to teach language, though? Or is it just sometimes very easy to learn?
Yeah I think so, in the sense that “teach” seems to imply active, explicit instruction
Whereas the learning mostly comes via immersion, sometimes without any “teaching” at all
Reply to @tszzl, 23:37 UTC · 3 likes
roon (@tszzl): what needs to be done to create the good timeline?
I’m not sure, but it definitely could (>1% ?) involve a few concerned Members of the Technical Staff putting their foot down on some matter
The Sama escapade demonstrated your power, but that goes both ways. If you (plural) want him out, he’s out
Thread, continued, 23:41 UTC · 2 likes
For better or worse, I think this would probably look way less interesting and dramatic
Maybe just a dozen of you in a slack saying you’re willing to walk away from a lot of money if some concern isn’t addressed. Outsiders may never hear about it
Reply to his own earlier tweet, 23:44 UTC · 3 likes
Aaron Bergman, March 11, 2024: 45.75) another fundraiser incentive dropped recently (for hitting $10k)!
46) In the spirit of Petrov Day, we should have a “People who did the right thing at considerable cost or risk to themselves but whose story we’ll (likely) never hear about” Day
Thursday, March 21, 2024
Reply to @yonashav, 00:01 UTC · 3 likes
Yo Shavit (@yonashav): i’ve started doing a lot of “stakeholder alignment”, which is a very strange job.
1) it takes sooo much time
2) it doesn’t feel like we’re *doing* anything
3) it’s key for anything interesting to happenfriends from tech who switched to this, any advice?
Not an answer but, if you can share, what does this actually mean/look like more tangibly? I’m just curious
Tweet, 04:23 UTC · 63 likes
It’s an honor
Reply to @univrsw3th4rt, 04:41 UTC · 4 likes
universe sweetheart 💓🌈💭 (@univrsw3th4rt): ok since y’all are so smart and u got ur fkn degree…….what else would help accomplish this 😭 exercise???
(quoting @univrsw3th4rt: having sex genuinely (temporarily) fixes my executive dysfunction. and today i’m feeling particularly executivy dysfunctional so…who’s solving this)
I mean ADHD is basically executive dysfunction so amphetamine and methylphenidate. Phenylalanine supplementation on an empty stomach (or really not with any other protein) as well, and caffeine
Behaviorally you want to elevate endogenous phenethylamine so yeah exercise
Reply to @parafactual, 04:44 UTC · 2 likes
You (@parafactual): @AaronBergman18 @univrsw3th4rt and how is that affected by cardio vs strength/lifting?
Idk on either, maybe smth to research
Quote tweet, 06:03 UTC · 11 likes
Agreed
Quoting depths of wikipedia! (@depthsofwiki): wikipedia talk pages are very beautiful to me
Reply to @thedimitri, 06:05 UTC · 58 likes
Dimitri (@thedimitri): This guy is a legend
Almost banal observation, truly didn’t warrant an apology
Reply to @frances__lorenz, 16:30 UTC · 18 likes
(The tweet being replied to by @frances__lorenz is no longer available.)
Ya agreed. De-moralize the situation
Reply to @AaronBergman18, 18:31 UTC · 41 likes
(The tweet being replied to by @AaronBergman18 is no longer available.)
Seems like one of those ratchet effect things where strict norms legibly prevent genuine acute abuses of power but also subtly lead to fewer, weaker, and less fulfilling interpersonal relationships across the board
Reply to @focusfronting, 18:36 UTC · 28 likes
(The tweet being replied to by @focusfronting is no longer available.)
I truly honestly do not see the comment as misogynistic
Unironically, please lmk how/why you think it is
Reply to @focusfronting, 18:43 UTC · 69 likes
(The tweet being replied to by @focusfronting is no longer available.)
The fact that human behavior obeys market dynamics in some senses (including men! And everyone!) seems utterly banal
Men are people, women are people, yes, that doesn’t make us above incentives and group dynamics and such
Tweet, 18:56 UTC · 16 likes
City thirst-trap
Friday, March 22, 2024
Tweet, 02:02 UTC · 62 likes
Fuuuuck it has been brought to my attention that tweets like this read as way stronger, more sus, and more controversial than my brain flags them as
Honest to God thanks to an anonymous feedback provider (http://admonymous.co/a) and some irl friends who let me know
Fuck
Reply to @bijibiji2023, 05:18 UTC · 1 like
hoff 🧒🏻😻 (@bijibiji2023): convinced this is a kink for her atp
Adenosine triphosphate?
Quote tweet, 20:42 UTC · 60 likes
Pretty interesting: it seems like there’s a hardcore blue tribe/grey tribe split
~Nobody thinks anything I or the professor said was literally wrong or immoral, but blue tribe thinks some of it is (like “all lives matter”) reasonably strong evidence of a package of …
Quoting Aaron Bergman 🔍 (@AaronBergman18): Fuuuuck it has been brought to my attention that tweets like this read as way stronger, more sus, and more controversial than my brain flags them as
Honest to God thanks to an anonymous feedback provider (http://admonymous.co/a) and some irl friends who let me know
Fuck
Thread, continued, 20:42 UTC · 58 likes
hostile, anti-feminist views and character
Issue here, unlike with “all lives matter”, is this signal is *not* common knowledge. Grey tribe (well, at least me) doesn’t know it signals anything at all
As usual, ACX has the best insight on the matter
https://www.astralcodexten.com/p/give-up-seventy-percent-of-the-way
Reply to @littIeramblings, 20:44 UTC · 2 likes
sarah (@littIeramblings): ok America is very pretty and I like it here
🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸
Reply to @absurdlymax, 20:57 UTC · 1 like
Max Alexander (@absurdlymax): They should put an em dash key on keyboards so we don't have to do inane things like type '--'
Replace caps lock
Reply to @RafaRuizdeLira, 21:31 UTC · 2 likes
Rafael Ruiz ⏸️🔸 (@RafaRuizdeLira): @GjMcGowan Fuck I wish they were 🙏
🙏🏼
Reply to @eigenrobot, 21:36 UTC · 10 likes
eigenrobot (@eigenrobot): @AaronBergman18 what's the original context? i'm morbidly curious but i don't have any idea what this is even about
Idk anything more than is apparent in the screenshots lol
Reply to @Mihonarium, 21:51 UTC · 1 like
Mikhail Samin (@Mihonarium): There's a lunar halo in Berkeley!
Very normal, definitely not a sign from God
Reply to @iroasmas, 22:03 UTC · 1 like
Spooky Brian Graham 🦬🎃 (@iroasmas): (my 2yo son and i have just lined up a few dozen dominoes, setting up a respectable cascade)
me: okay so now we knock them over from—
son: KNOCK OVER (swipes all with arm sweep) AHAHAHAHA AGAIN DADDY I LOVE DONOIMOS
Based
Reply to @bedtime_enjoyer, 22:09 UTC · 8 likes
Bedtime Futurist ☀️🏗️🚀 (@bedtime_enjoyer): I know that this kinda thing bothers blue tribe, but it’s hard to put exactly into words why
They don’t like ideas like ‘sexual marketplace’ at all. Optimizing or strategizing on dating behaviour. It gives them huge ick
Blue tribe has a lot of unwritten conventions/ boundaries
Yeah this seems right
Saturday, March 23, 2024
Reply to @ChanaMessinger, 06:22 UTC · 1 like
Chana (@ChanaMessinger): @AaronBergman18 I'm glad you think out loud here, tbh, and I know it gets you ratio'd sometimes but I just want you know I like you being earnest and curious and expressing opinions on the TL
🙏🏼
Reply to @depthsofwiki, 06:25 UTC
depths of wikipedia! (@depthsofwiki): imagine if your joke bombed so hard that wikipedia wrote an entire about it
F
Reply to @livgorton, 06:32 UTC · 4 likes
Liv (@livgorton): i wish someone would write to me the way claude writes to himself
(quoting @DimitrisPapail: what the... cc'ing @repligate (this is with 0 input from me. the hell?))
I won’t tag the person I’m thinking of tagging
Reply to @RomanHauksson, 07:00 UTC · 1 like
Roman Hauksson-Neill (@RomanHauksson): The local rationalist group and I are going out to a club for my 21st birthday. The dance floor is about to get Bayesian
😎
Reply to @depthsofwiki, 07:35 UTC · 17 likes
depths of wikipedia! (@depthsofwiki):
Not to bully @DocuSign but
Reply to @RomanHauksson, 07:35 UTC · 1 like
Roman Hauksson-Neill (@RomanHauksson): Update: had a couple drinks, danced awkwardly for a couple hours, heading home now :)
Happy birthday!
Reply to @me_im_chloe, 07:52 UTC · 28 likes
chlobuchar (@me_im_chloe):
Neat word, I’m gonna start using
Reply to @RFishBlueFish, 08:19 UTC · 1 like
Gil (@RFishBlueFish): Don’t even get me started on Sam Bowman and Sam Bowman or even Aaron Bergman and Alexander Berger
lol
Reply to @RFishBlueFish, 08:20 UTC · 2 likes
Gil (@RFishBlueFish): Don’t even get me started on Sam Bowman and Sam Bowman or even Aaron Bergman and Alexander Berger
Wait I did not realize there were two Sam Bowman’s till just now
Reply to @AILeaksAndNews, 08:32 UTC · 1 like
AI Leaks and News (@AILeaksAndNews): @izzyz 9:00am+no caffeine+ADHD=you’ll see me at 9:30
Pm
Reply to @GjMcGowan, 09:25 UTC · 2 likes
George McGowan (@GjMcGowan): @mealreplacer Julian why is this image the background to your conversation with Rob
Lmao
Reply to @Top1Rating, 09:34 UTC · 1 like
The Next Gen (@Top1Rating): Is that dress white and gold or blue and black?
A look at how we perceive color
Cursed
Reply to @ipodmacbook, 10:03 UTC · 12 likes
h (@ipodmacbook): this photo is so confrontational.....you just know these two have crazy beef..
I can fix him
Reply to @sarahwaters420, 10:15 UTC · 2 likes
Eugene V. D.E.B.S. (2004) (@sarahwaters420): I was taking a rideshare today and thought the driver said something to me but he was like “no no I was talking to Patricio” and then plopped Patricio down on the dashboard
Based
Reply to @datepsych, 10:29 UTC · 1 like
(The tweet being replied to by @datepsych is no longer available.)
Wait I rly want to know which animal I correspond to
Extroversion: low
Agreeableness: avg (decomposes into low and high subparts)
Conscientiousness: low
Openness: high
Neuroticism: avg-high
Tweet, 12:01 UTC · 48 likes
Listening to Going Infinite (finally) and it’s good but did Caroline Ellison consent to her therapist talking to Michael Lewis? Bc if not that’s a big wtf
Thread, continued, 12:01 UTC · 20 likes
HIPAA behavior is weird bc on one hand the healthcare industry will build bespoke secure video meeting software bc Google could theoretically infer protected patient info from Google Meet metadata or something, but I’ve had doctors eg casually mention info about me to
Thread, continued, 12:01 UTC · 22 likes
my parents at *their* appointments (we share the same people uncoincidentally), when I didn’t sign a release or anything, probably bc the info wasn’t super personal or like scandalous and they (correctly, luckily for both of us) inferred I wouldn’t care too much
Reply to @notanastronomer, 12:49 UTC · 7 likes
(The tweet being replied to by @notanastronomer is no longer available.)
Sounds like he was formally a psychiatrist at one point though, before FTX
Reply to @moreisdifferent, 12:51 UTC · 2 likes
Dan Elton 🔍 (@moreisdifferent): @AaronBergman18 You’re fine w ur xeet, the haters are either a-holes or dealing with some sort of psychological problem quite frankly.
That said, I would not say “all lives matter” unless you intend to disparage BLM - it has a very strong connotation at this point of being an anti-BLM slogan.
Ya that’s exactly what I was getting at. Like I am/was aware of *this* connotation
Reply to @FrostedSapling, 12:53 UTC · 4 likes
Ivan 🔸 (@FrostedSapling): @AaronBergman18 @notanastronomer Also not in america, not sure what Bermudas laws are
He was in Berkeley Ca during the relevant part of the book
Reply to @AFraserUrq, 12:54 UTC
Alastair Fraser-Urquhart (@AFraserUrq): twitter is this a lifehack
What am I looking at?
Reply to @AFraserUrq, 12:58 UTC · 2 likes
Alastair Fraser-Urquhart (@AFraserUrq): https://www.tesco.com/groceries/en-GB/products/256270878
yummers
Lmao these are like $20, buying!
Reply to @Bbburner19, 13:20 UTC · 4 likes
The People Mover That Was Promised (@Bbburner19): George Lerner, there have been some claims that he hit on some of his patients and over prescribed others (including potentially SBF who was taking a mix of ADHD and depression drugs with a known dangerous interaction that can cause excessive risk taking.)
Oh yeah I’m very anti-excessive caution in psychiatry (eg MAOIs should be used way more) but emsam + adderall is legit pretty sus. Even Ritalin would have been safer with emsam I think cc @FrostedSapling
Quote tweet, 14:16 UTC · 12 likes
In case anyone wants to know what a little shit I was, I used to cry over not winning the Pinewood Derby (and much else besides)
Quoting Matt Darling 🌐🏗️ (@besttrousers): My entry in the "Pinewood Derby: Dads" competition is not particularly aerodynamic.
Reply to @therealkrantz, 14:40 UTC · 1 like
Krantz Hanzinpantz🔭🔍🔬 🔀🏡📞🏡📞 (@therealkrantz): What principle is the first amendment aimed at?
First and also right to listen ie do the hearing
Reply to @StatisticUrban, 15:12 UTC · 3 likes
Hunter📈🌈📊 (@StatisticUrban): Never once in my life has ordering DoorDash been less anxiety inducing than microwaving a frozen meal. I’m not going crazy here right
And dollar for dollar at least some frozen things are way healthier, and at least you know what’s inside regardless. Idk why anyone ever gets takeout/delivery tbh
Quote tweet, 15:17 UTC · 15 likes
Hypothesis: LLMs increase returns to conscientiousness and decrease returns to IQ
A lot of things can now be accomplished by carefully following a list of instructions and asking followup/clarification questions as needed
Quoting Stefan Schubert (@StefanFSchubert): IQ and conscientiousness both lead to professional success, but their relative value vary.
My guess is that routine work-adding bureaucracy/legal requirements often make jobs more conscientiousness-loaded, whereas routine work-saving technology often make them more IQ-loaded.
Reply to @StefanFSchubert, 15:36 UTC · 1 like
Stefan Schubert (@StefanFSchubert): @AaronBergman18 I'm not sure. LLMs are so flexible and general o expect them to continue to generate returns to human intelligence beyond 130.
And that may be even more true as they improve.
I guess I was imaging a regression of like wage on IQ and conscientiousness, and the coefficient on IQ would be negative
But a regression with just IQ would show a positive effect, I agree
Reply to @NoahTopper, 15:42 UTC · 1 like
Quinoah 🔍⏸️ (@NoahTopper):
Happy birthday! Ur officially not in ur early 20s so basically middle aged
Tweet, 18:26 UTC · 4 likes
Do you live in the metro areas of NYC, “the Bay Area,” Boston, DC, or London?
Sunday, March 24, 2024
Reply to @absurdlymax, 12:28 UTC · 1 like
Max Alexander (@absurdlymax): 🦐
🦐
Reply to @notanastronomer, 12:38 UTC · 2 likes
(The tweet being replied to by @notanastronomer is no longer available.)
IMO u have significant post doctoral success
Reply to @StefanFSchubert, 12:41 UTC · 2 likes
Stefan Schubert (@StefanFSchubert): Everything is similar to everything in some ways.
These are not sufficiently similar all-things-considered for it to be a useful comparison.
(quoting @Noahpinion: Comparisons between the Cultural Revolution and the Woke Era get laughed at. The Woke Era didn't use violence, of course. But the *motivation* of people wanting to overturn social hierarchies, especially students wanting to overturn academic hierarchies, is recognizably similar.)
*immediately tries to think of counterexample*
Quote tweet, 12:46 UTC · 7 likes
What are the very least similar two things?
Quoting Stefan Schubert (@StefanFSchubert): Everything is similar to everything in some ways.
These are not sufficiently similar all-things-considered for it to be a useful comparison.
Reply to @tsarnick, 12:53 UTC · 3 likes
Tsarathustra (@tsarnick): Who is the most over-rated intellectual of all time?
Kant
Tweet, 13:01 UTC · 35 likes
Sister asked what I wanted for my birthday. I said a 128GB RAM M3 MacBook Pro.
Guess what just arrived☺️☺️☺️
Thread, continued, 13:01 UTC · 38 likes
You guessed it, a framed piece of paper with the word “roo” on it (it’s an inside joke)
Thread, continued, 21:25 UTC · 13 likes
I think this comes through but just in case: I think the Roo sign is a great gift (in the small category of things that are only valuable as a gift, not if u buy yourself) and I would have had serious concerns if she got me a MacBook
Reply to @AnniePosting, 21:33 UTC · 1 like
annie 👁❌🦋🪞 (@AnniePosting): @AaronBergman18 You're way too invested in the opinions of twitter people lol. You deleted a tweet a few days ago because people yelled at you and now you're adding a disclaimer to an obvious joke.
Eh maybe, this felt more like a clarification upon rereading than preempting the mob
And a bunch of people who’s opinions I value think the total opposite, that I’m way to willing to wade into gender discourse and such at all and should be way more wary of what ppl think
Reply to @RuxandraTeslo, 23:54 UTC · 1 like
Ruxandra Teslo 🧬 (@RuxandraTeslo): Had a migraine for the past 2 days on and off. Can’t explain how depressing it is to just lay around, in the midst of so many projects, wanting to use your brain and not being able to.
Extreme vibe. Not bc migraine for me but still
Reply to @KatSpartz, 23:56 UTC · 10 likes
Kat Spartz ⏸️ 🔶 (@KatSpartz): This is brilliant and alas, not how most people seem to think
(quoting @bryan_caplan: “Step 1: Look at how emotional each side is. “Step 2: Assume the less emotional side is right and the more emotional side is wrong.” https://www.betonit.ai/p/the_mellow_heurhtml)
Seems very midwit. Sometimes strong emotions reflect reality/skin in the game
Reply to @DeepDishEnjoyer, 23:58 UTC · 25 likes
peepeepoopoo (@DeepDishEnjoyer): Not to be that guy but I bet most people on earth do NOT know who Dostoevsky is
(quoting @nikicaga: I'm pretty sure most people have heard of Dostoevsky)
Idk who he is. I wanna say classical music guy but also maybe author? 80% it’s one of those, this is the extent of my knowledge
Monday, March 25, 2024
Reply to @DeepDishEnjoyer, 00:00 UTC · 15 likes
peepeepoopoo (@DeepDishEnjoyer): Say sike right now.
Hey I was right!
Reply to @DeepDishEnjoyer, 00:02 UTC · 5 likes
peepeepoopoo (@DeepDishEnjoyer): AAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaa
image attached
(quoting @AaronBergman18: @DeepDishEnjoyer Idk who he is. I wanna say classical music guy but also maybe author? 80% it’s one of those, this is the extent of my knowledge)
Lmao
Reply to his own earlier tweet, 00:03 UTC · 13 likes
Aaron Bergman, March 24, 2024: Idk who he is. I wanna say classical music guy but also maybe author? 80% it’s one of those, this is the extent of my knowledge
Pretty sure this Russian dude was the reason I thought it could be music
Reply to @DeepDishEnjoyer, 00:09 UTC · 2 likes
peepeepoopoo (@DeepDishEnjoyer):
image attached
(quoting @AaronBergman18: @DeepDishEnjoyer Pretty sure this Russian dude was the reason I thought it could be music)
Damn you tweet fast
Reply to @J_K_Chesterton, 00:10 UTC · 10 likes
Alexander Popemobile (@J_K_Chesterton): He's most famous for his biography of you.
I wish I got this joke
Reply to @DeepDishEnjoyer, 00:14 UTC · 7 likes
peepeepoopoo (@DeepDishEnjoyer): You are trolling sir. This is heinous.
Sounds like what this is saying is that nobody’s seen them in the same room
Reply to @AStrasser116, 00:53 UTC · 2 likes
Alex Strasser (@AStrasser116): This relies on a super fringe interpretation of quantum mechanics that basically no one accepts. It is just an irreversible process that is needed to cause collapse.
From @jeffkoperski's Divine Action, Determinism, and Laws of Nature (p. 41)
I didn’t know this, thanks, but also fuck it I’m gonna hit back with the confidence of a naive layperson who has thought about the issue for 5 minutes:
it seems like without consciousness, “the wave function collapsed upon encountering (?) an irreversible process” doesn’t
Thread, continued, 00:55 UTC · 2 likes
contain any like predictive/empirical/scientific content compared to “nope it’s still in a superposition”
Like what does it even mean to claim the former and not the latter in the absence of consciousness?
Reply to @MagusGenji, 00:56 UTC · 4 likes
magusgenji (@MagusGenji): @AaronBergman18 @DeepDishEnjoyer How do you not know crime and punishment but went to Georgetown.
I knew it was a book
I didn’t know the author until a few minutes ago
Guess they should revoke my degree
Reply to @MagusGenji, 00:59 UTC · 3 likes
magusgenji (@MagusGenji): @AaronBergman18 @DeepDishEnjoyer Nah I'm just on team you are trolling
I'm illiterate and know who the author of crime and punishment is
Yeah turns out this is actually pretty common knowledge lmao
Reply to @DeepDishEnjoyer, 01:25 UTC · 3 likes
peepeepoopoo (@DeepDishEnjoyer): @neill651 @MagusGenji @AaronBergman18 What is your mental model of the knowledge domain of someone who doesn't even know who Dostoevsky *is*? This is indicative of severe deficiency in your familiarity of the liberal arts.
Joking aside it does seem that this specific bit of ignorance is like kinda uncommon (I am getting roasted in the gc as well), legit curious whether idk I just happened to like never roll a Dostoevsky on 100 independent dice or what. Like I’m almost certain I’m much nerdier and
Thread, continued, 01:27 UTC · 2 likes
idk interested in intellectual things, broadly (is there a less pretentious word than “intellectual”?) than my peers even controlling for college attended
Like the stereotypical thing I’m supposed to not know is which teams are playing in the Super Bowl lol
Reply to @DeepDishEnjoyer, 01:28 UTC · 9 likes
peepeepoopoo (@DeepDishEnjoyer): @neill651 @MagusGenji @AaronBergman18 Bear in mind Aaron may be bright. But he is uncultured and poorly educated.
Yeah I’ll bite the uncultured bullet fr
Reply, 01:28 UTC · 2 likes
I wanna back you up here but idk if that would help lol
Thread, continued, 01:30 UTC · 2 likes
I guess the genuinely weird thing about me is that I don’t really read fiction. I like *stories* but find them way more compelling if they actually happened
Reply, 01:31 UTC · 2 likes
❤️🫡
Reply, 01:35 UTC · 3 likes
Fuck history. I always wanted to like it as a subject but never did
Reply, 01:36 UTC · 2 likes
😈
Quote tweet, 11:20 UTC · 15 likes
Fun fact: in high school I got an award sponsored by St. John’s College for “intellectual courage and a dedication to the liberal arts,” which came with Don Quixote, The Prince, and another old “classic” I don’t remember
They remain untouched and in pristine condition
Quoting Aaron Bergman 🔍 (@AaronBergman18): @DeepDishEnjoyer @neill651 @MagusGenji Yeah I’ll bite the uncultured bullet fr
Thread, continued, 11:20 UTC · 2 likes
I’m basically certain this was the result of a philosophy elective which consisted of me facing off against a communist guy (from the direction of vegan not RW) and zero other people who wanted to be there
Reply to @NathanpmYoung, 11:22 UTC · 4 likes
Nathan 🔎 (@NathanpmYoung): "I've never seen a fuse flipped due to too many plugs"
and now I have.
We will get AGI before I can have an electric kettle and space heater on in the same room
Reply, 11:35 UTC · 3 likes
I wanted to say 5σ people exist too, and this is technically true, but there are only like 2500 of them
Reply to @ebboyd, 12:02 UTC · 6 likes
E.B. Boyd (Liza) (@ebboyd): Ask 52 friends to set you up w someone you don't know
Commit to going on at least 1 date w each, 90 min minimum
Each of you agree beforehand that these are long shots (takes pressure off). But hey, they have friends & you have friends :) (incentive to show up)
1/
How about 5.2 friends
Reply to @DeepDishEnjoyer, 12:40 UTC · 2 likes
peepeepoopoo (@DeepDishEnjoyer): @NathanB60857242 @AaronBergman18 @neill651 @MagusGenji Because having a good education is NOT decoupled from knowing useful things
I believe y that knowing Dostoevsky is a good proxy for something, on avg, but I take it you don’t think it’s object level a necessary condition for “a good education” per se right?
Tweet, 12:56 UTC · 22 likes
Have a d-amph prescription and unlimited caffeine, bouta speedrun a liberal arts education
Thread, continued, 12:58 UTC · 4 likes
Don’t talk to me for 4 days
Reply, 13:38 UTC · 1 like
(The tweet being replied to is no longer available.)
Yeah I’m pretty surprised to see other neoliberal types oppose school choice. Seems like one of the few things republicans accidentally got right
Reply to @burny_tech, 13:41 UTC
Burny - Effective Curiosity (@burny_tech):
@SpacedOutMatt
Reply to @TheZvi, 13:48 UTC · 1 like
Zvi Mowshowitz (@TheZvi): But to get the core result you still need a world in which getting an hour's worth of AI productivity (in the substitution sense) costs a lot
more than the human wage, and we can't respond by increasing compute supply to fix that, and that's where I get really confused?
I think when ppl eg Noah are reasoning about wages and CA and such, the relevant time horizon is assumed short run only and so yeah, you are just taking as a given that we’re already at the point at which you can’t readily increase compute supply
Reply to @knowyourmeme, 14:10 UTC · 4 likes
Know Your Meme (@knowyourmeme): On this day seven years ago, an illustration depicting an example of the "virgin walk" was posted to /r9k/.
Lmao at the hair bit
Reply to @nominalthoughts, 14:32 UTC · 3 likes
Jason Harrison (@nominalthoughts): I always found it crazy that most of the world (iirc 70 percent?) is lactose and it’s just a subset of Europeans that can tolerate a bunch of dairy.
I think 80 percent of Black Americans are lactose as well
The earth’s core is a ball of molten lactase, buffered only by a thin veneer of cellulose, that can never be allowed to escape
Reply to @FwuffySeal, 14:43 UTC · 3 likes
Bork Bork (@FwuffySeal): I genuinely believe that china has better AI than the US.
(gif, plays on X)
Reply to @iamdavidgg, 14:44 UTC · 97 likes
Dae (@iamdavidgg): Same w Mexican tequila
(quoting @atlanticesque: “Don’t buy the Italian olive oil at the supermarket, the mafia dilutes it” sounds like the most schizophrenic thing but it’s true)
Damn the Italian mafia is everywhere
Tweet, 15:06 UTC · 17 likes
The name “Department of Justice” goes hard (also has “Ministry of Truth” vibes but still). Only agency like it
Tuesday, March 26, 2024
Reply to @polisisti, 03:37 UTC · 1 like
Alessandro (@polisisti): "This is a great new concept I've just learned: people who are high-decoupling versus people who are low-decoupling"
— @asymmetricinfo around 58:20 into the latest Econtalk podcastWe did it nerds: the concept is going mainstream
Both are inferior to full decouples
Reply to @JesseTayRiver, 03:38 UTC · 2 likes
Jesse Smith (@JesseTayRiver): "You need to decide if you're OK with everyone being mad at you."
My wife after reading a draft of anything I've written
👀
Reply to @GjMcGowan, 04:00 UTC · 21 likes
George McGowan (@GjMcGowan): An interesting way to sell lower salaries for workers in particular geographies
Ah yes, I hate when my local economy gets an influx of USD
Reply to @alistair___s, 04:08 UTC · 21 likes
Alistair Stewart (@alistair___s): What does left vs right wing mean to you, first and foremost?
1. "The collective matters" vs "the individual matters"
2. "Things ought to be less bad" vs "things could be worse"
3. Anti-oppression vs anti-disorder
4. Something else (comment below) / idk / show results
Despite object level thinking more libertarian+RW views are good and true and lefty ideas are bad and wrong over the last idk 10 years, it still feels like fundamentally the left is trying to do a good moral project and the right is not and I wanna know why this is
Reply to @AndyMasley, 04:09 UTC · 5 likes
(The tweet being replied to by @AndyMasley is no longer available.)
@jkcarlsmith might be able to pull this off
Reply to @acidshill, 04:11 UTC · 5 likes
shill 🔍 (@acidshill): i keep getting hints that open individualism is a common view among EAs and... i don't get it
does anyone want to make the case for why open individualism is true?
No but here’s me saying it’s false
Quote tweet, 04:14 UTC · 4 likes
Rip
Quoting Reflective Altruism (@ReflectiveAlt): Glad to hear this. Sorry for the Wytham team, who did a great job. But this had to be done https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/yggjKEeehsnmMYnZd/announcement-on-the-future-of-wytham-abbey
Thread, continued, 04:15 UTC · 3 likes
Like any great flaker, I think this decision is probably right just like the decision to buy was probably right (ex ante) bc I have a strong prior on the CEA team being good and competent
Tweet, 04:18 UTC · 45 likes
Acausal trade sorta has “arcane galaxy brain philosophy” vibes but I think about it in mundane contexts pretty often and it seems like a genuinely useful insight
Reply to @RFishBlueFish, 04:27 UTC · 9 likes
Gil (@RFishBlueFish): Give an example?
Me tipping is evidence that people like me tip, so I’m gonna tip bc I wanna trade with people relevantly like me to tip instead of all using that $10 on what we all “actually” think is the best use of money
Reply to @RFishBlueFish, 04:29 UTC · 9 likes
Gil (@RFishBlueFish): @AaronBergman18 I think most of the time when people use acausal reasoning in practical scenarios they’re really reasoning about norms, that seems like a good example
Idk if this is universally true, but in many cases I think acausal trade is the non-hand-wavy mechanism underlying reasoning about norms
Reply to @nickcammarata, 04:41 UTC
(The tweet being replied to by @nickcammarata is no longer available.)
lol ik what you’re getting at but in econ, consumer and producer and thus total surplus decline when equilibrium quantity sold and bought (ie supplied and demanded) declines
Reply to @nickcammarata, 04:46 UTC · 1 like
Nick (@nickcammarata): I think it applies more to individuals than a normal econ system. If you are happy with no chocolates but have enough money for two chocolates they’ll be awesome, if you think you need four chocolates you’ll feel lack of surplus
Yeah you’re right as a matter of human psychology, I was just being pedantic about the analogy lol
Reply to @acidshill, 04:48 UTC · 3 likes
shill 🔍 (@acidshill): @AaronBergman18 see the fact that you said that and used the rockwell painting to boot makes me think it's a common view among EAs and i can't figure out why
At least in part I think bc Parfit makes a good case against the normal layperson understanding of personal identity
But this doesn’t imply open individualism, I agree
Reply to @freed_dfilan, 04:50 UTC · 3 likes
Daniel Filan 🔎 (@freed_dfilan): @acidshill @AaronBergman18 I think it's people reading some Derek Parfit and being impressed by transporter / fusion / fission thought experiments
Great minds
Reply to @RandomSprint, 04:51 UTC · 4 likes
RandomSprint🧭 (@RandomSprint): @RFishBlueFish @AaronBergman18 What insight does this capture that "tragedy of the commons" or a similar model doesn't capture?
How the people around the tragic commons can coordinate without a centralized body ie government, and without communication
Reply to @Aella_Girl, 05:35 UTC · 2 likes
Aella (@Aella_Girl): I think poly sluts and trad monogs can coeexist in peace. I envision a world where ppl have tools to self-examine and choose the relationship style that works for them, with acceptance, and without pressure or ppl viewing one lifestyle as an existential threat to the other
Aella reinvents liberalism
Reply to @sarabollman, 05:43 UTC · 4 likes
(The tweet being replied to by @sarabollman is no longer available.)
Never too late!!!
Tweet, 06:38 UTC · 18 likes
Me when I see a @Lewis_Bollard tweet
Reply to @ohwizenedtortle, 07:34 UTC · 2 likes
oh dandy lion🔸 (@ohwizenedtortle): I need to take my car through one of those carwashes so I'm watching youtube videos to mentally prepare myself for the experience
I hope u survive 🙏🏼
Reply to @jzux, 08:07 UTC · 2 likes
trash jones (@jzux): becoming “fast friends” with someone is fun, but let’s not forget fast enemies. you ever meet someone and immediately you’re just like oh yeah this person is my enemy now
Nah
Reply, 08:09 UTC · 1 like
Nobody knows
Reply to @AndyMasley, 17:46 UTC · 3 likes
Andy Masley (@AndyMasley): @dylanmatt 😭 Same
😢
Quote tweet, 18:38 UTC · 4 likes
Anybody wanna analyze this
Quoting Aaron Bergman 🔍 (@AaronBergman18): @alistair___s Despite object level thinking more libertarian+RW views are good and true and lefty ideas are bad and wrong over the last idk 10 years, it still feels like fundamentally the left is trying to do a good moral project and the right is not and I wanna know why this is
Reply to @Mjreard, 19:00 UTC · 3 likes
Matt Reardon (@Mjreard): @GjMcGowan I choose to make fun of them for cowing to the demands of unserious people that they sell their maybe-cost-effective conference venue
😤
Reply to @AndyMasley, 19:53 UTC · 3 likes
Andy Masley (@AndyMasley): @JMannhart I would be so much more productive...
Hear me out
Quote tweet, 19:57 UTC · 5 likes
Not literally true but this is the kind of heuristic I live for
Quoting zxy (@zelinarxy): english has a cool built-in heuristic for detecting bullshit
are most of the nouns and verbs being used latin/greek or germanic in origin?
if germanic, the things being discussed are probably real physical actions and things: tree, walk, cow, shit, fall, wood, buy, leg, go
Reply to his own earlier tweet, 20:02 UTC · 6 likes
Aaron Bergman, March 26, 2024: Despite object level thinking more libertarian+RW views are good and true and lefty ideas are bad and wrong over the last idk 10 years, it still feels like…
Something about oppression actually being bad, suffering correlating with legitimate oppression and victimization and injustice
Reply to his own earlier tweet, 20:16 UTC · 4 likes
Aaron Bergman, February 29, 2024: Ya ever catch a random whiff of smth and all of a sudden it’s 2009 and you’re in the basement and there’s a space heater going?
Or it’s 2007 or 08 on a warm humid spring day and you’re outside eating a white Ice Age branded chewy Air Heads thing that came with a ham cheese and ritz cracker lunchable on the field outside of your elementary school
Reply to @RFishBlueFish, 21:31 UTC · 2 likes
Gil (@RFishBlueFish): @AaronBergman18 I would challenge the notion that in the past 10 years righ-wing has generally been right, the model of right wing should be Trump not Bryan Caplan
Oh yeah for sure, my tweet was kinda ambiguous - “more” meant like more for myself (ie relative to my 14 year old self) not that US conservatism is more correct than US liberalism
Wednesday, March 27, 2024
Quote tweet, 12:27 UTC · 12 likes
I didn’t realize this
I have no idea what kind of logistics this requires but honestly seems impressive, good shit
Quoting Someone:
Reply to @EigenGender, 12:45 UTC · 3 likes
EigenGender 🔸 (@EigenGender): Probably dating apps just need to be operated as a public service. Absolutely massive amounts of consumer surplus and any attempt to capture nontrivial amounts of that surplus is insanely destructive
Great minds
Reply to @heartbulbous, 12:47 UTC · 4 likes
Juan (@heartbulbous): Effective Ventures is losing their castle... unless we throw the biggest talent show this town has ever seen
Here’s my application https://youtu.be/qR4NTD2BKmI?si=8vyTcou9KK_mpvPF
Reply to @CJHandmer, 12:50 UTC · 1 like
Casey Handmer (@CJHandmer): Reverse osmosis desalination plants cost about $40/W and the learning rate is low.
Does anyone here have good intuition for how we can make them at least 10x cheaper?
Nope idk
Tweet, 13:01 UTC · 6 likes
New Tulsa just dropped
Thursday, March 28, 2024
Reply to @absurdlymax, 01:16 UTC · 3 likes
Max Alexander (@absurdlymax): I think this isn't a bad idea perse — but it seems really weird the author is only considering it in the realm of charitable interventions!
Driving a car or buying something on Amazon also has second order effects!
What’s this from
Reply to @LabGrownNeet, 01:23 UTC · 4 likes
laს გr🤗wn იeet (@LabGrownNeet): @AaronBergman18 https://archive.ph/GzUCb
lol this is fucking terrible
Reply to @absurdlymax, 05:19 UTC · 2 likes
Max Alexander (@absurdlymax): Please stop worrying the sea cucumber
(quoting @sciencegirl: When a sea cucumber is worried, it discharges the cuvierian organ that transforms into sticky spaghetti structures on contact with sea water, to immobilise potential predators 📹 Aaphenpalopo)
😢
Reply to @absurdlymax, 05:29 UTC · 12 likes
Max Alexander (@absurdlymax): Several hours later I finally get what this is supposed to mean, and I think it makes the article overtly and substantially less serious than I originally thought
What does it mean?
Reply to @SpencrGreenberg, 05:31 UTC · 4 likes
Spencer Greenberg 🔍 (@SpencrGreenberg): Who do you think should be much more well-known than they currently are (e.g., because of the quality of what they create or what they write)?
Tag them below (if they are on Twitter), and say a few words about why you tagged them.
Basically all my moots
They are elite 😤
Reply to @SpencrGreenberg, 05:51 UTC · 6 likes
Spencer Greenberg 🔍 (@SpencrGreenberg): Who do you think should be much more well-known than they currently are (e.g., because of the quality of what they create or what they write)?
Tag them below (if they are on Twitter), and say a few words about why you tagged them.
But also…
(These are just ppl that pop to mind)
@jkcarlsmith for good thinking (sometimes called “philosophy”)
@ohabryka for LW + integrity + good takes
@KeiranJHarris for being behind the mic on the best pod
@QualyThe for being funny as shit
Reply to @absurdlymax, 05:53 UTC · 2 likes
Max Alexander (@absurdlymax): @daniel_271828 Yeah but in my mind it's like 10-100x better which might be a bit of a stretch for some of them
Would it be of the form “EA is failing on its own terms”?
Not that this makes it fake criticism - this is the only broad, critical thesis I could make in good faith
Reply to @absurdlymax, 05:58 UTC · 24 likes
Max Alexander (@absurdlymax): The article claims that EAs mislead people by not talking about hour the 2nd order impacts of our actions may lead to deaths (or deaths in the way bednets save a life for 5k)
but the article only considers this for EA stuff, not daily life or other charities
I think this is obviously and trivially true but stated in such a way that it sounds non-obvious and bad
Chaos theory means ~every (most? more than rarely?) action causes a lot of deaths in the sense of counterfactually shortening some people’s lifespans
Reply to @0interestrates, 06:07 UTC · 2 likes
rahul (@0interestrates): move fast and break things
Honestly easier (and cheaper if you count time opportunity cost) than figuring out how to deal with AWS/Azure/GCloud
Reply to @freed_dfilan, 06:18 UTC · 2 likes
Daniel Filan 🔎 (@freed_dfilan): Holy shit you can just host a party by thinking of some people you like and inviting them to your house and it actually works and is fun!
Big if true (honestly the reason I don’t do this is bc you can’t really kick people out of ur own party [unless it’s legitimately been a while] just bc ur introvert clock ran out)
Reply to @kane, 06:40 UTC · 4 likes
Kane 謝凱堯 (@kane): til the f22 runs kubernetes
When I’m president I will mandate that all fighter jets and nuclear submarines run exclusively on R
Operation should occur exclusively via Shiny dashboard
Reply to @absurdlymax, 06:43 UTC · 3 likes
Max Alexander (@absurdlymax): I think there are genuine issues with longtermism
But it really strikes me that criticism is actually based in a total lack of empathy, and I find that frustrating
Like what
Quote tweet, 07:10 UTC · 72 likes
how do I steal someone’s gf
Quoting relationships.bsky.social (@redditships): My [24M] Girlfriend [23F] has the weirdest hobbies in existence, and they make me kinda uncomfortable.
Thread, continued, 07:10 UTC · 9 likes
I admit the dead vulture thing is a bit odd but not a dealbreaker
Reply to @toasterlighting, 07:15 UTC · 2 likes
Celene (@toasterlighting): @goblinodds He does have a 9 year head start on me! I think probably I have higher raw intelligence (he thinks so too) but I am also extraordinarily mentally ill (he does not know about this)
Just like me fr
Reply to @JgaltTweets, 07:15 UTC · 2 likes
JgaltTweets (@JgaltTweets): @AaronBergman18 "So I heard you collect bones. Are you an amateur archaeologist? Because I have a large bone that-" and you can take it from there
Plot twist it’s a hominid femur I keep in a glass display case
Reply to @ReflectiveAlt, 07:18 UTC · 2 likes
Reflective Altruism (@ReflectiveAlt): I don't often share public philosophy pieces on effective altruism. I think this piece is worth reading. It's not the piece I would have written, but it is well done: https://www.wired.com/story/deaths-of-effective-altruism/
No it’s fucking terrible lol
Reply to @burny_tech, 07:34 UTC · 1 like
Burny - Effective Curiosity (@burny_tech): And human language is just information processing in biology
Bad philosophy is just a byproduct of misunderstanding language
Good philosophy remains
Reply to @ElodesNL, 07:43 UTC · 2 likes
Elodes (@ElodesNL): of all ideas I've read in the past decade, "Hate is the New Sex" is maybe the one that has remained most firmly lodged in my mind. imo, it's groundbreaking and full of practical value for just about everyone I meet.
no tl;dr. the whole piece is worth it.
https://www.ecosophia.net/hate-new-sex/
Interesting and there’s a grain of truth but like hate does seem pretty object-level harmful (why does it exist? biological/cultural evolution don’t care about harm to the unrelated/outgroup) whereas sex is not
Reply to @ch402, 08:03 UTC · 2 likes
Chris Olah (@ch402): Are you someone with management experience who would like to contribute to interpretability and AI safety? We're looking to hire another manager to help us continue growing our team, in partnership with our technical leads.
Nope I do not have any of these qualifications
Reply to @bookofflesh, 08:04 UTC · 2 likes
Sarx (@bookofflesh): @AaronBergman18 You ride up to them on a horse and pick them up.
Ok thx
Reply to @loveofdoing, 08:35 UTC · 2 likes
loveofdoing (@loveofdoing): If the markets were really free, you’d pay your future employer to hire you.
Think about it.
Adverse selection + priced in
Quote tweet, 08:53 UTC · 6 likes
We have an answer
Quoting rat king 🐀 (@MikeIsaac): thank fucken god for @jwherrman
https://nymag.com/intelligencer/article/who-is-behind-all-the-pussy-in-bio-porn-spam-on-x.html
Reply, 10:02 UTC · 14 likes
What if the cake gets 5% bigger each year
Reply to @IsaacKing314, 10:06 UTC · 4 likes
Isaac King 🔎 (@IsaacKing314): Neglect of probability is a cognitive bias that causes people to oversimplify things into mental categories of "will happen" or "won't happen" rather than properly consider the actual chance that they'll happen. A quote from the Wikipedia page:
"we respond to the expected magnitude of an event...but not to its likelihood."
Separately, there's been research into how punishment motivates people. The consensus seems to be that people pay more attention to the chance of being caught than to what the punishment actually entails. A quote from one of the research papers:
"This evidence suggests that increased certainty of punishment provides a much more effective deterrent than increased severity"
These two findings seem contradictory. What's the explanation?
Skin in the game? It seems pretty clear that people do not behave as though probabilities are 0 or 1 (ppl wear seatbelts, for example)
Reply to @RafaRuizdeLira, 10:39 UTC · 3 likes
Rafael Ruiz ⏸️🔸 (@RafaRuizdeLira): @absurdlymax "Obviously X doesn't have moral status"
Oh boi do I have some bad news for you about the historical pattern regarding that line of argument.....
And, more compellingly IMO, any “obviousness” argument is defeated by a certain number of people just stating honestly that they disagree
Usually that word isn’t used, ofc, its meaning is smuggled in via status-laden connotations and and contemptuous tone
Quote tweet, 10:53 UTC · 10 likes
There are no genuine issues with longtermism*
*per se (see below)
Quoting Max Alexander (@absurdlymax): I think there are genuine issues with longtermism
But it really strikes me that criticism is actually based in a total lack of empathy, and I find that frustrating
Thread, continued, 10:53 UTC · 3 likes
*There may be issues with a bunch of things that get lumped in with longtermism e.g., biorisk and AI x-risk reduction and implicit claims that increasing the number of future lived lives is good, but the core philosophical claim is pretty solid
Thread, continued, 10:53 UTC · 3 likes
Although, as I am learning rn, it’s a bit hard to defend this claim explicitly bc the top google hits all have substantively different definitions
Wikipedia and/or the EA Forum seem like good choices though because they’re sorta consensus-driven by design
Quote tweet, 10:57 UTC · 2 likes
SpongeBob-ass timeline
Quoting Mikhail Samin (@Mihonarium): Making worms 20 years ago: *figuring out how programmers’ assumptions are wrong in exploitable ways*
Making worms now: “you are Wormy an AI email assistant”
Quote tweet, 11:20 UTC · 20 likes
Is this supposed to be like radically pro-natal? Bc it feels like to get into that territory the subsidy should make having a kid net-profitable which apparently for the median household (I think) child would kick in at like $250k in both the US and South Korea
Quoting Philip Pilkington (@philippilk): South Korea goes pro-natalist. With a fertility rate of 0.68 in 2024 they need to get moving. This should be priority no. 1 for the whole society and no cost should be too great. Most Western countries are heading toward South Korean birth rates so we need to get on it too. 🇰🇷👶
Reply to @grnsleeves, 11:20 UTC · 5 likes
Greensleeves (@grnsleeves): @AaronBergman18 too bad she's dating a normie
Rip (for both of us)
Reply to @RandomSprint, 12:05 UTC · 3 likes
RandomSprint🧭 (@RandomSprint): @AaronBergman18 There are private benefits to having children that should make the endeavor profitable without a massive subsidy. I'm curious if this makes an impact.
Yeah but this poses a challenge for explaining behavior
My best guess is that there are two basic types of private benefits: status-,
and norm-, and near term-benefits (and costs) mostly drive behavior whereas more “genuine” benefits to life satisfaction and hedonic tone
Thread, continued, 12:06 UTC · 3 likes
Over the longer term basically don’t
Obviously this is a simplified model
Hardcore neoclassical econ kinda wants to say that the latter doesn’t “count,” which is true only if you define benefit tautologically as that which drives behavior
Reply to @eshear, 14:28 UTC · 3 likes
Emmett Shear (@eshear): Recommendation for brand of cabinet baby locks? 1YO has learned how to undo standard latches.
Based baby
Tweet, 14:40 UTC · 161 likes
Taboo to say, at least among self-identified EAs, but SBF doesn’t deserve life in prison
If that’s what the sentencing guidelines say, the sentencing guidelines are bad and unjust
Reply to @thebestestpie, 14:58 UTC · 2 likes
Fake News Pie (@thebestestpie): yeah i was just thinking... statistical value of a life is what, 10m now with inflation? so stealing 10B is as bad as 1000 murders.
Maybe if he consumed 10B worth of real resources but that didn’t happen afaik
Reply to @BorisBartlog, 15:02 UTC · 15 likes
Boris Bartlog (@BorisBartlog): I mean, is there a specific argument? My general sense is that once financial crimes rise to the level of 'hundreds of lifetimes worth of human labor', it's not clear why we'd treat them more leniently than murder.
My main source of sympathy is that he was operating in a domain where there were, afaik, no metaphorical stop signs or alarms (that’s why he was able to get so rich so fast). This is extremely rare I think. It’s hard to think of anything I could do that would land me life
Thread, continued, 15:03 UTC · 6 likes
in prison without facing any like “resistance” so to speak
This claim does depend on my object level understanding of events which isn’t that great - I’m not super confident in this take
Reply to @PeterJAngel, 15:04 UTC · 3 likes
Peter🧅📈 (@PeterJAngel): I don't have good intuitions as to what the just sentence is for SBF?
Probably agree with the second part and not the first. For most criminal cases someone is accused of like 2 things and pleads down to a lesser charge. Pretty sure that not what's happening with SBF
Yeah and it’s pretty fucked up that the justice system works like that
Tweet, 15:32 UTC · 4 likes
Spotted on DC metro. Not sure who’s behind the first one
Reply to @slimepriestess, 16:52 UTC · 22 likes
Ra (@slimepriestess): no one deserves life in prison and imo EAs saying he's bad now are just doing it for boring self serving optics reasons, throwing him under the bus to appease a vulture press. SBF was the greatest thing to ever happen to EA.
Greatest thing ever to happen? I don’t think anyone else would agree with that lol
Reply to @slimepriestess, 17:00 UTC · 13 likes
Ra (@slimepriestess): do you think SBF-type high-risk high-payoff approaches to EA are, as an entire set, net negative? because i don't, and that's probably the crux.
If “risk” means risk of doing crimes like SBF than yes
If it means ur startup might fail than no and I think more people should be trying this
Tweet, 17:28 UTC · 6 likes
24 hour twitter fast ready go
Friday, March 29, 2024
Reply to @DeepDishEnjoyer, 17:58 UTC · 5 likes
peepeepoopoo (@DeepDishEnjoyer): It is absolutely delicious that Aaron didn't know who Dostoevsky was a few days ago.
(quoting @AaronBergman18: Taboo to say, at least among self-identified EAs, but SBF doesn’t deserve life in prison If that’s what the sentencing guidelines say, the sentencing guidelines are bad and unjust)
Tragic bc you can pull this out in response to literally any of my takes and I won’t be able to object bc maybe there’s like a key insight from War and Peace that renders my take null and void
Reply to his own earlier tweet, 18:02 UTC · 2 likes
Aaron Bergman, March 28, 2024: Taboo to say, at least among self-identified EAs, but SBF doesn’t deserve life in prison If that’s what the sentencing guidelines say, the sentencing…
Oh boy looks like people have takes about my take
Thread, continued, 18:04 UTC · 4 likes
Gonna mute this for my sanity but first let it be known that I think SBF acted unethically and broke the law and “deserves” (ie all things considered should get) significant jail time…
Thread, continued, 18:05 UTC · 4 likes
and also “decades long prison sentences sometimes bad even when person does bad thing that should be punished” is not a take I ginned yesterday up bc I like SBF https://www.aaronbergman.net/p/prison-sentences-are-too-long
Saturday, March 30, 2024
Reply to @anglerfish01, 03:20 UTC · 2 likes
angLerfish (@anglerfish01): @AaronBergman18 @DeepDishEnjoyer War and peace is by another author, but Dostoevsky actually does have some relevant critiques about utilitarian materialist ideology
Fuck
Crime and Punishment, War and Peace, seem pretty similar to me
Reply to @metakuna, 03:37 UTC · 5 likes
metakuna (14/100 blog posts) (@metakuna): still thinking abt how the Clean Code guy said he prefers functions to be about 4-6 lines. that's like, comically short
Functions should be one line only
Reply to @JesseTayRiver, 03:40 UTC · 3 likes
Jesse Smith (@JesseTayRiver): Seems like questionable advice tbh
I have 4 memories
Reply to @eshear, 03:48 UTC · 4 likes
Emmett Shear (@eshear): The past is a foreign land
(quoting @depthsofwiki: )
Just about the median male weight in the US currently
Quote tweet, 03:58 UTC · 10 likes
I forget where I heard the term “competence porn” but this applies
Quoting (((Charles Fishman))) 💧 (@cfishman): 7/ ...
1:24:59 Alarms on bridge, power fails on ship 1st time~1:25:30 Pilot calls pilot dispatch, says ship may hit the bridge, close the bridge
1:26:39 Maryland Transportation Dept records incoming call from pilot dispatch, advising to urgently close the bridge
—>
Thread, continued, 03:59 UTC · 2 likes
Damn
Thread, continued, 03:59 UTC · 2 likes
This is some Japanese train schedule shit
Quote tweet, 04:29 UTC · 26 likes
Y’all are too SF-brained and said it couldn’t be done
Quoting Aaron Bergman 🔍 (@AaronBergman18): Seems like public bathrooms in urban areas should be much more of thing. A couple portapotties in each public park couldn’t be that heavy a lift
Reply to @QualyThe, 18:18 UTC · 2 likes
Qualy the lightbulb (@QualyThe): Hey, we saw you from across the funding bar and we really liked your vibe
Banger
Reply to @Mjreard, 19:03 UTC · 2 likes
Matt Reardon (@Mjreard): Andrew Callaghan's 'Vegas Tunnels' is a powerful exploration of the human condition. It's not just about homelessness. Watch the whole thing.
https://youtu.be/bRGrKJofDaw?si=pQwrEn7HSiUs-2T3
Reply to @goblinodds, 19:34 UTC · 3 likes
𝖜𝖔𝖒𝖇𝖑𝖊 𝖜𝖎𝖙𝖍𝖔𝖚𝖙 𝖆 𝖈𝖆𝖚𝖘𝖊 (@goblinodds): i am once again asking you to DATE MY MUTUALS
> public matchmaking interviews (roughly 1.5 hours long)
> dropping highlights as teasers before each full interview
Based
Tweet, 19:53 UTC · 3 likes
Funny that everyone decided STEM actually just means TEMP (science = physics)
Reply to @johncoogan, 20:31 UTC · 1 like
John Coogan (@johncoogan): It’s so insane that you can get literal METH as a PRESCRIPTION under the brand name “Desoxyn”
This is good
Reply to @egregirls, 20:38 UTC · 2 likes
void angel 𒌓 (@egregirls): you have been visited by the angel of good throat and tummy
Reply to @ilex_ulmus, 21:05 UTC
Holly ⏸️ Elmore (@ilex_ulmus): Combinatorics!
Big if true
Reply to @ilex_ulmus, 22:22 UTC · 2 likes
Holly ⏸️ Elmore (@ilex_ulmus): Somebody QT’d me and asked people to evaluate me for whether they “would” and someone’s top objection was that I have attached earlobes 😂🤣😂
Dealbreaker
(THIS IS A JOKE)
Reply to @austinc3301, 22:34 UTC · 1 like
Agus 🔸 (@austinc3301): not sure what the criteria is, but this is from January: https://www.redcross.org/about-us/news-and-events/press-release/2024/red-cross-declares-emergency-blood-shortage-calls-for-donations-during-national-blood-donor-month.html
Nice thanks and Claude agrees
Reply to @focusfronting, 22:37 UTC · 15 likes
(The tweet being replied to by @focusfronting is no longer available.)
Writing a rebuttal reply and then getting corrected is 100% responsible for me now looking into how to donate blood so thx 👍
Thread, continued, 22:39 UTC · 5 likes
I doubt there are many (any?) situations in which working a salaried job actually trades off against this (plausibly points in the other direction [ie against value drift bc of values affirmation]) so irl yeah I now endorse donating blood
Thread, continued, 22:39 UTC · 3 likes
Although I’d bite the bullet if there is a trade off - money to good charities is good even if they sound weird
Reply to @SpacedOutMatt, 22:45 UTC
Matt 🔸 (@SpacedOutMatt): Photo doesn’t do it justice but visiting the Renwick gallery is super worth it to lie on the floor and look at the earthquake art
Idk looks kinda boring
Reply to @austinc3301, 22:46 UTC · 1 like
Agus 🔸 (@austinc3301): @AaronBergman18 @focusfronting I was going to say that I would be (a prior) concerned about idk, cognitive performance, but apparently there are studies on this and the effect seems to be small and disappears after the day of donation: https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/29613950/
Yeah insofar as this trades off against doing anything important I bite the bullet that u (ie I) shouldn’t
Reply to @SpacedOutMatt, 22:52 UTC · 1 like
Matt 🔸 (@SpacedOutMatt): The lighting changes over time
Oh boy
Reply to @Rado9910, 23:20 UTC · 3 likes
Rado9910 (@Rado9910): What's a top sheet?
Idk I think some ppl use two sheets for unclear reasons
Sunday, March 31, 2024
Tweet, 00:31 UTC · 11 likes
I wonder how much of the cognitive decline with aging changes if you condition on the person not dying for another 10/20/30/n years
Like how many IQ points do u lose from 20 to 70 if you know you’ll be alive at 80?
Reply to @austinc3301, 00:32 UTC · 1 like
Agus 🔸 (@austinc3301): @Xaberius9 @miranda_gabbo @focusfronting entiendo que hay preocupaciones similares sobre donar siendo demasiado joven, dado que uno de tus riñones debe durar más tiempo en un estado de "hiperfiltración"
¿Como está, persona del español?
Reply to @austinc3301, 00:34 UTC · 1 like
Agus 🔸 (@austinc3301): @AaronBergman18 @Xaberius9 @miranda_gabbo @focusfronting persona que habla español*
No digame como hablar 😤
Reply to @MatthewJBar, 00:39 UTC · 6 likes
Matthew Barnett (@MatthewJBar): A common but uncompelling moral argument IMO is that future generations will judge some action harshly.
Example: "Our children will look back on this policy with shame."
We don't actually know that. But even if that's true, I don't see why we should defer to future generations.
I agree it’s not like extremely convincing on its own but it does seem like legit evidence directionally
Reply to @MatthewJBar, 00:44 UTC · 1 like
Matthew Barnett (@MatthewJBar): Usually the claim is made without much supporting evidence that it's actually true. If the claim were true, it might be an important fact about the world nonetheless, but I don't think future generations are necessarily morally better than us.
Not necessarily, no, but time and change of circumstances in general is conducive to good judgement in general - separates ppl from tribal allegiance and self interest and high stakes
Reply to @austinc3301, 00:48 UTC · 4 likes
Agus 🔸 (@austinc3301): @absurdlymax @focusfronting x2
x3
and bragging in this context is good
Reply to @YosarianTwo, 00:55 UTC · 2 likes
Yosarian2 (@YosarianTwo): @RandomSprint Solar is great, for it scales with mid-day peaks.
Nuclear is great, for it provides constant, reliable supply.
Coal is
Natural gas is great, for it easily scales if demand spikes or solar/wind stops working.
Great as a stocking stuffer for ur least favorite kid
Reply to @thoth_iv, 00:57 UTC · 5 likes
Thŏth (@thoth_iv): A lot of bloggers write stuff that's "edgy" which makes it cool and mysterious, but also kind of neurotic, which I think also tends to make it kind of wrong. The trick is, how do you make upbeat and happy stuff edgy as well?
This is the natural result when you’re trying to get to the Pareto frontier of “make a kinda radical claim” and “convince ppl of said claim”
Reply to @LabGrownNeet, 00:58 UTC · 2 likes
laს გr🤗wn იeet (@LabGrownNeet): Women ask if "do you mean coconut water" every time I offer them coconut. Why are women so fixated on coconut water?
Top tier drink
Reply to @MatthewJBar, 01:18 UTC · 2 likes
Matthew Barnett (@MatthewJBar): It seems unlikely that boomers were uniquely bad in this sense. They're also not a unified group, making this critique somewhat incoherent.
Economic consumption is also up substantially compared to 50 years ago. We're materially better off. So this grievance seems unjustified.
(quoting @Slatzism: though millennials do tend to self-victimize — their grievances towards boomers are 100% justified. boomers truly were the first generation who genuinely did not care about leaving the world better for their children. the ripple effect of that selfishness has been immeasurable.)
Housing theory of everything (not totally disagreeing but still)
Tweet, 02:09 UTC · 12 likes
Is there a layperson-friendly beginning to end account of the Linux thing
Reply to @sullyj3, 02:12 UTC · 3 likes
░▒▓▒░▒▓▒░▒▓▒░ (@sullyj3): @AaronBergman18 The xz vulnerability?
Idk but I’m guessing yes lol
Tweet, 02:16 UTC · 6 likes
All I’m saying is that R has never had a security vulnerability
Reply to @JesseTayRiver, 02:18 UTC · 9 likes
Jesse Smith (@JesseTayRiver): Just learned of the Honduran libertarian charter city Prospera because I was interested in the recently reformulated but decades suppressed cure for dental cavities, so naturally I was reading the blog of a semi-anonymous California psychiatrist & rationalist
Took u long enough
Reply, 02:18 UTC
What does this mean?
Reply to @GjMcGowan, 18:13 UTC · 3 likes
George McGowan (@GjMcGowan): Happy Easter! 🐑
image attached
image attached
(quoting @GjMcGowan: Spring has sprung)
🐑
Reply to @QualyThe, 18:16 UTC · 3 likes
Qualy the lightbulb (@QualyThe): who called it the CFAR handbook and not What to Expect When You're Expecting
Quality stop too many bangers 😩
Tweet, 18:33 UTC · 38 likes
.@absurdlymax can’t even imagine me
Reply to @JMannhart, 18:42 UTC · 5 likes
Jonathan Mannhart 🔎 (@JMannhart): I've tried to as well and couldn't either!
It's possible this is a problem with you and not with Max — have you been to a doctor? They might give a presciption to manage this condition
It is possible but not actual
Reply to @WillowChem, 18:54 UTC · 2 likes
MagpAI (@WillowChem): Nearly 3 years since I came out and wearing dresses still feels kind of weird
YES FREE ROCHE BIOCHEMICAL PATHWAYS POSTERS LFG
Reply to @sixers2772, 19:06 UTC · 3 likes
Sixers (@sixers2772): @AaronBergman18 @absurdlymax abolish prescription
✊
Reply to @RafaRuizdeLira, 19:16 UTC · 7 likes
Rafael Ruiz ⏸️🔸 (@RafaRuizdeLira): @absurdlymax @AaronBergman18 Then it's self-refuting because you cannot normatively prescribe to believe the statement 🙂↔️
I mean like having a special class of citizen (doctors) with the exclusive legal authority to gatekeep access to certain molecules
Reply to @davidad, 19:22 UTC · 2 likes
davidad 🎇 (@davidad): listen kid, there are five types of people in this world,
image attached
(quoting @SGRodriques: I lost a bet about this poll because I am miscalibrated. I explore the reasons further in my new blog post, "Who follows Richard Ngo on Twitter?" https://www.sam-rodriques.com/post/who-follows-richard-ngo-on-twitter)
Ideal person is all five
Tweet, 19:57 UTC · 6 likes
What’s the deal with Easter and lambs
Idgi
Reply to @kindgracekind, 23:40 UTC · 4 likes
Grace (@kindgracekind): Would you allow a gun that shoots pills
I’ll consider it
Reply to @RafaRuizdeLira, 23:41 UTC · 1 like
Rafael Ruiz ⏸️🔸 (@RafaRuizdeLira): Update 😄
First appointment soon!
Nice
Reply to @polisisti, 23:47 UTC · 3 likes
Alessandro (@polisisti): @AaronBergman18 @absurdlymax anti-gun
anti-prescription
anti-anti-plastic
pro-shrimp 🦐🦐🦐
That’s the platform
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