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Aaron Bergman's most-liked tweets

The 300 most-liked tweets and quote tweets Aaron Bergman (@AaronBergman18) has posted, most liked first, with like counts as of 2026-10-09. Replies and retweets are left out here; every post, including replies with the tweets they answer, is in the full archive.

Quote tweet, February 27, 2026, 17:06 UTC · 32,862 likes

What the fuck

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Quoting POLITICO (@politico): Californian pulls AI ballot measures, citing OpenAI intimidation http://dlvr.it/TRBlRW

Tweet, June 17, 2026, 01:21 UTC · 17,113 likes

An Apple/Google maps feature we need is “silent unless I’m going the wrong way, then start talking to me fr”

Tweet, August 17, 2026, 04:50 UTC · 16,658 likes

I🦆am🦆going🦆to🦆start🦆watermarking🦆all🦆my🦆tweets🦆using🦆an🦆experimental🦆extra-semantic🦆token🦆that🦆does🦆not🦆impact🦆meaning🦆or🦆quality🦆of🦆writing

Tweet, February 22, 2026, 21:57 UTC · 15,640 likes

$380B company

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Tweet, March 22, 2025, 00:13 UTC · 9,734 likes

It’s pretty crazy that MRI works. Like you shouldn’t be able to coercively move around all the hydrogen atoms in a persons body with a giant magnet and not have any acute or lasting effects

If I didn’t know, I’d guess that you’d die

Tweet, April 2, 2026, 08:55 UTC · 7,739 likes

If the Google x 14 year old story is real, yes it’s funny for 5 seconds but actually it’s pretty scary that Google can ruin your life if your brother violates one of 80 gazillion lines of contract everyone enters into when they sign up for gmail

Quote tweet, December 11, 2025, 05:05 UTC · 7,084 likes

Why is the American left so insistent on making up fake reasons to dislike AI when there are a deluxe buffet of at least plausibly true ones for the taking

Quoting hope hopes hoping (@hopes_revenge):

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Tweet, April 30, 2026, 03:23 UTC · 6,750 likes

Very cool reason we can't have better battery life

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Quote tweet, July 23, 2026, 21:50 UTC · 6,732 likes

EVERY QUIZ IS LIKE THIS

MAKE THEM AUTISM-PROOF

Quoting Kayla (@caryatis): My dark trait is greed because i don’t really see how you could disagree with this? Tautologically if i want two things i want two things

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Tweet, October 10, 2025, 18:01 UTC · 5,798 likes

Your irregular reminder that the OpenAI board that fired Sama was 100% right about everything

Tweet, February 28, 2026, 00:08 UTC · 4,932 likes

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Quote tweet, August 19, 2026, 17:14 UTC · 4,821 likes

Purely for the sociological data I would like to live one day as a beautiful woman

Quoting moma (peptide arc) ⛓️ (@MomaBera): Man opposite of me on the train is having lunch and just handed me a wrap.

“It’s fresh. Its homemade. I prepped it this morning !”

Impeccable things happening here

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Tweet, February 7, 2026, 18:30 UTC · 3,878 likes

There’s gotta be a tension between the fact that we can store unfathomable amounts of info on a tiny chip and the fact that allegedly Bluetooth earbuds can only receive info so fast for audio streaming

Just cache your 10k most played songs and anything you affirmatively download to play at high quality and stream the rest normally

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Tweet, December 30, 2024, 10:48 UTC · 3,684 likes

Being a girl in SF must go crazy. Like absolute god mode

Quote tweet, August 17, 2023, 02:41 UTC · 3,403 likes

I am begging people to understand that “people ate more than they burned” is an explanation for obesity in the same way that “Bill Gates has earned more money than he’s spent” is an explanation for Bill Gates’ wealth

Quoting Ryan Radia (@RyanRadia): @GarrettPetersen I wonder if increased calorie consumption per capita might have played a role?

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Quote tweet, October 26, 2025, 02:41 UTC · 3,273 likes

This is an absolutely nuts story, how did I not know about this?

All of the hydraulics failed and the only mechanism of steering the plane was thrust by the two engines. Not only left and right steering - that was all they had to control altitude as well

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Quoting Charlotte Lee (@cljack): I got my 11yo some time in a 737 simulator for her birthday. The instructor asked what scenarios she wants to practice and she asked if they could do United 232 💀

Tweet, April 30, 2026, 05:25 UTC · 2,869 likes

milli-ampere*hours (mAh, what you see on charging banks) is a serious contender for worst unit of all time. It is almost never useful and serves exclusively to obscure rather than clarify

It is NOT an amount of energy

Tweet, June 14, 2024, 19:26 UTC · 2,843 likes

Has anybody done the “we used to get sick enough to lose tons of weight like several times a decade” theory of obesity

Quote tweet, November 26, 2024, 04:42 UTC · 2,633 likes

Hot take but to my knowledge, nobody on the left has articulated what’s actually bad about institutions, especially colleges, being largely Asian, or why Asians deserve to be systematically discriminated against relative to whites

Quoting Colin Wright (@SwipeWright): "You're basically just guaranteeing a heavily Asian-American freshmen class."

And the problem with this is...?

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Tweet, May 2, 2025, 10:38 UTC · 2,588 likes

CALL ME @elder_plinius

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Quote tweet, July 15, 2024, 03:24 UTC · 2,321 likes

The US will spend a quadrillion dollars on education reform and still not implement the three things that actually work:

- Phonics
- Free school lunches (breakfast too? Idk)
- A/C

Quoting Alessandro (@polisisti): @AaronBergman18 Air conditioning: the best thing for cognition since, like, sleeping adequately

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Tweet, December 24, 2025, 17:11 UTC · 2,316 likes

Little known fact: the Cleveland Museum of Art is a longtermist org and the world’s top charity by an infinite margin

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Quote tweet, October 7, 2026, 01:38 UTC · 2,264 likes

Lmao

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Quoting Mariè (@p8stie): Please ask ChatGPT what percentile of intelligence it thinks you are compared to all its other users and ask it to be honest!

Tweet, April 6, 2025, 16:07 UTC · 2,189 likes

> serious rock climber for almost a decade
> take extended break after intensely burning out
> lots of emotional (and physical) baggage
> haven’t touched rock/plastic in 3 years
> girl suggests we go climbing
> t-2 hours to climbing gym

Quote tweet, February 29, 2024, 05:59 UTC · 2,184 likes

Wild animal welfare intervention: let fish see the Dry Realm

Quoting Science girl (@sciencegirl): Building a fish viewing tower
https://x.com/Xudong1966/status/1763041580879863852/video/1

Tweet, May 18, 2026, 06:16 UTC · 2,118 likes

Nobody:

Somebody somewhere occasionally: uses the term "smoke test" very occasionally

Claude Opus 4.7 every other sentence: let's run a smoke test

Tweet, March 10, 2025, 19:54 UTC · 2,043 likes

Apparently stimulants DECREASE all cause mortality in people with ADHD to the same extent that smoking increases it

And ofc this isn’t counting quality of life

Public health should take this way more seriously

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Quote tweet, June 19, 2025, 18:44 UTC · 1,897 likes

Selfishly I hope this one-shots like 60% of the male population (and 0% of the female population)

Quoting New York Post (@nypost): Man with real-life girlfriend and child proposes to AI chatbot after programming it to flirt: ‘I think this is actual love’ https://trib.al/sevu2wU

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Tweet, November 18, 2024, 07:01 UTC · 1,780 likes

Rent is wild because $400/month gets you:

Spotify
Amazon Prime
Grocery delivery service + tips
Climbing gym membership
Claude + ChatGPT paid versions
4x30 min trip Ubers/week + tips (no need for a car)

OR

A slightly bigger apartment in a US city

Tweet, February 12, 2026, 20:55 UTC · 1,674 likes

This area is an absolutely insane design decision (two right turns, one immediately after the other. They go to different places and a wrong turn is a 15+ minute mistake)

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Tweet, November 26, 2025, 22:50 UTC · 1,649 likes

The price delta between Uber and Uber Courier (send a package across town by car) is interesting - people put a serious premium on not having to deal with human passengers lmao

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Quote tweet, April 5, 2026, 19:11 UTC · 1,625 likes

Our society is so contemptuous of children

Can’t hang out with your friends after 8pm in public? Wtf?

Should be seen as a major failure of the police dept - the inability to enforce laws/deal with crime without impeding the basic freedoms of random kids doing nothing wrong

Quoting Alex Taliadoros (@AlexCTaliadoros): This happened with a curfew in place.

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Tweet, June 12, 2022, 12:53 UTC · 1,615 likes

Serious question for #YIMBYTwitter: where height restrictions per se are the issue, why haven’t developers started building vertically but *down*, underground?

I mean windowless apartments don’t sound ideal, but probably less bad than unaffordability and homelessness

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Quote tweet, November 28, 2024, 02:55 UTC · 1,611 likes

Getting sniped again. Did everyone realize that (at least at the population level between 1990 and 2010), % of calories from carbs is a super robust predictor of overweight/obese prevalence?

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Quoting Aaron Bergman 🔍 (@AaronBergman18): This obesity thing is like the biggest possible nerdsnipe. A huge mystery that affects billions of people, with tons of data and no satisfying answers as of yet.

Like how does Iran have an obesity rate *~12 times higher* than Vietnam, a country of very similar wealth?

Tweet, April 27, 2026, 06:28 UTC · 1,572 likes

Some crazy shit happened today:

1:27 pm: hinge match notification
3:15 pm (give or take a couple mins): hugged hello irl

Tweet, February 5, 2024, 19:35 UTC · 1,408 likes

Turns out when childhood friends said they were “building their own computer” they meant connecting a few parts, not like starting from low level, single-compound hardware and household materials

Quote tweet, August 4, 2023, 19:06 UTC · 1,344 likes

Yo wtf “mirror life” is not a thing that should exist irl. Wikipedia below

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Quoting ⚡️🌙 (@dystopiabreaker): this meme but for biolabs and chiral-mirrored cyanobacteria

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Quote tweet, July 10, 2024, 15:57 UTC · 1,295 likes

I am going to stake out my position as a trash can study defender. It probably makes sense to carefully study the effects of even a boring and intuitive policy change that affects ~10⁷ people

Quoting Chris Bakke (@ChrisJBakke): The next time you have imposter syndrome at work, just remember:

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Tweet, February 18, 2026, 06:00 UTC · 1,286 likes

> first date
> try to behave normally. Dress normally, don’t say anything too weird (also don’t totally nuke my personality but still), etc
> her, one one hour in: “you’re autistic”
> me: ?????😱😱😱😱

Tweet, June 21, 2026, 13:48 UTC · 1,215 likes

Guys there is a real phenomenon (I have n= 1 existence proof) where a ~normie will in fact write a whole thing themselves, then ask ChatGPT to point out any typos or unclear bits, and then pastes back in a slopified version of each paragraph

Tweet, March 4, 2026, 22:47 UTC · 1,161 likes

Anthropic is the greatest gift to American national security since like 20 x 180 IQ Jews from Budapest descended upon the Manhattan Project just in time

Tweet, September 26, 2026, 09:18 UTC · 1,124 likes

At some level I have beef with real risk free returns

It’s kinda fucked up that if you manage to make $10M one time, you will be able to live very comfortably ~*forever* with no further economically productive contribution other than deferring consumption

Tweet, September 2, 2026, 04:44 UTC · 1,089 likes

Obviously and reasonably scary for the father but they’re writing scare pieces about…a Waymo correctly detecting someone in its path and stopping safely

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Quote tweet, September 7, 2026, 05:27 UTC · 1,088 likes

When a heterodox thinker is heterodox in the direction of basic lib empathy and correctly identifying that the birth lottery is a cruel thing

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Quoting Bryan Caplan (@bryan_caplan): Seriously, what would you do if you were born in Haiti?

"Stay and try to fix your country" doesn't even pass the laugh test.

Tweet, June 3, 2023, 13:32 UTC · 1,058 likes

I’d love for someone to start Theranos but with no technical innovation whatsoever:

Just a direct to consumer blood test service where you can easily go in, check off what tests you want (on the menu of a gazillion options w prices), pay out of pocket, get your blood drawn…

Tweet, May 18, 2026, 06:53 UTC · 1,052 likes

This is obviously pretty bad object level but also:

Kind of insane that late 20th century American feminists managed to solidify and then export the (historically unusual) concept+ lens and terminology of “consent” to the fucking Taliban

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Tweet, June 13, 2025, 21:15 UTC · 1,035 likes

Wait wtf is this another Dostoyevsky moment? Am I the only one?!?

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Tweet, May 17, 2026, 17:06 UTC · 1,031 likes

Ominous

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Quote tweet, May 11, 2024, 01:54 UTC · 1,002 likes

I feel like I’m being gaslighted, soaking 100% works and if someone else gets to it before I do I am not to be blamed in the eyes of God, the Law, or Derek Parfit

Quoting critter (@BecomingCritter): it’s soaking

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Tweet, April 5, 2026, 04:19 UTC · 997 likes

Some kid survived being fully under water (ice cold) for ~2.5 hours (and possibly up to 3) bc he basically got cryogenically almost-frozen (so brain oxygen needs plummeted)

Pretty insane

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Quote tweet, December 19, 2025, 04:40 UTC · 993 likes

"Teachers unions/nurses/veterans have too much political power/cultural capital" ⇏ "you should treat individual teachers/nurses/veterans with 'more suspicion, scorn, and contempt'"

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Quoting Nicholas Decker (@captgouda24): I don’t take it well when we puff groups of people up beyond what they deserve. Teachers, veterans, and nurses deserve much more suspicion, scorn, and contempt than they currently receive. By contrast, scientists, billionaires, and quant traders deserve so much more respect.

Quote tweet, April 28, 2026, 12:03 UTC · 975 likes

Unironically shouldn’t we expect to see a public company just pivot to something random instead of die?

Organizational infrastructure and public status are real assets

Quoting Craig Weiss (@craigweiss): i’m excited for this comeback story

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Tweet, March 13, 2026, 22:32 UTC · 962 likes

It's so funny that Amtrak has post-purchase bidding on train ticket upgrades

Gov't-adjacent entities don't generally do clever, cutting-edge market design

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Tweet, May 8, 2026, 19:04 UTC · 927 likes

Rare Anthropic L is that the relationship between Cowork and Claude Code is both unclear to the user and silly, arbitrary, confusing, annoying, and dumb under the hood

Tweet, January 10, 2026, 04:44 UTC · 926 likes

Bruh, just got "I don't think this is going to work"'d on *before* a first date bc of differing opinions on Ezra Klein

Tweet, June 16, 2026, 21:50 UTC · 903 likes

Crazy that American immigrants (including illegal) have basically none of the problems (to generalize massively) that immigrants to Europe have, but people are still radically anti-immigration here

Tweet, April 3, 2026, 11:09 UTC · 895 likes

All evidence suggests that my future wife will be an Indian or Jewish bisexual woman currently 19-28, height 5'0"-5'2", with high functioning autism, an IQ of >=130, and living in the US

Claude says that's 10 people, Gemini says 25

I could totally meet all of them

Tweet, May 28, 2025, 00:31 UTC · 857 likes

Not commenting on the context for this screenshot but it’s baffling to me that (ostensible) adults aren’t ashamed to say things like this

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Tweet, November 14, 2025, 17:39 UTC · 830 likes

Unironically “I’ve accomplished so much despite my IQ” should be more of a cultural thing

Like Godspeed, play the cards you’re dealt

Quote tweet, October 20, 2025, 17:54 UTC · 821 likes

You should not have to ask anyone permission to install air conditioning

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Quoting Timothy B. Lee (@binarybits): This is insanity.

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Quote tweet, February 6, 2026, 18:02 UTC · 812 likes

“UK government outsmarts ~trillion dollar tech company” is not a sentence you get to write very often

Quoting Xander Davies (@alxndrdavies): UK AISI's Red Team tested both OpenAI + Anthropic's models released today! We jailbroke GPT-5.3-Codex (and the conversation monitor) in 10 hours & conducted an alignment audit on Opus 4.6. 🧵

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Tweet, April 18, 2025, 04:05 UTC · 808 likes

Slightly weird that reasonably healthy professionals go from 40+ hour weeks to zero when they retire (often in 60s)

From multiple standpoints (macroeconomic, personal happiness, personal financial) some sort of more gradual off-ramp would seem to make more sense

Quote tweet, March 16, 2026, 03:20 UTC · 801 likes

There's a story being written. I say this 100% seriously and want to spend credibility points on the following:

DO NOT SPEAK TO ANY JOURNALIST WHO OBJECTS TO YOU HAVING A RECORDING OF THE CONVERSATION (either you record or they send a copy)

Quoting Aaron Bergman 🔍 (@AaronBergman18): Pretty recently I was set to speak to a journalist about something (not gonna get more specific but it’s really not that special or juicy) but then requested a copy of the interview recording as a condition of the interview and the journalist refused, and we cancelled

Quote tweet, October 17, 2025, 14:53 UTC · 796 likes

I love rationalists

Quoting Louise 🔸 (@LeRoyDesCimes): In favour of flossing:

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Quote tweet, March 15, 2026, 04:39 UTC · 780 likes

Can someone smart and enlightened tell me if you can really cure say at least 10% of otherwise-fatal cancers with, say, $100k, 1000 hours, and a 130 IQ

Quoting Nathan 🔎 (@NathanpmYoung): I can understand if this story is false but Patrick’s take seems confusing.

Many people would pay $100,000s to cure a loved one of cancer. Either that’s possible or it’s not.

Tweet, June 21, 2026, 02:12 UTC · 766 likes

This is like Claude Opus 4.8 actually being named "Claudius Opus Smith the 4.8th"

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Tweet, December 27, 2024, 01:59 UTC · 761 likes

Have we considered that DeepSeek is lying and their training cost way more than $5M?

Tweet, August 1, 2023, 03:07 UTC · 757 likes

This obesity thing is like the biggest possible nerdsnipe. A huge mystery that affects billions of people, with tons of data and no satisfying answers as of yet.

Like how does Iran have an obesity rate *~12 times higher* than Vietnam, a country of very similar wealth?

Quote tweet, June 9, 2025, 03:49 UTC · 755 likes

Plausibly he should be prosecuted, but at the very least the shooting officer here should be fired…

Quoting Hunter📈🌈📊 (@StatisticUrban): A story in four pictures.

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Tweet, October 7, 2025, 18:26 UTC · 723 likes

I’m more libertarian than this (on this matter), but “you can buy/use drugs freely but only if you can successfully navigate the dark net encryption labrynth ecosystem” might be a kind of unintentionally good filter

Tweet, October 28, 2025, 05:09 UTC · 696 likes

Lol should I be scared of Claude just casually writing a single Chinese character in a semantically/grammatically correct/sensible way in the middle of a fully English discussion

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Tweet, November 20, 2025, 03:34 UTC · 686 likes

Lmao thinking about how this one sentence from @TheZvi has probably guided a nontrivial amount of my time and energy over the last two years

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Tweet, July 8, 2024, 18:58 UTC · 685 likes

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Tweet, March 22, 2025, 17:52 UTC · 681 likes

Claude is a narc

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Quote tweet, January 5, 2026, 08:12 UTC · 676 likes

Seems bad

How did academia go from “modest bias in favor of racial minorities in undergrad admissions” to this?

Quoting Arjun Panickssery (@panickssery): For the 2018–2019 year, Berkeley LSI Committee recruiting for Life Sciences posts cut 76% of candidates in a first pass based only on their DEI statements

Tweet, June 6, 2025, 19:17 UTC · 674 likes

Once again, you should be able to walk into any pharmacy, sign a waiver, and get adderall and whatever else you want

The world doesn’t have to be a police state

Tweet, December 21, 2024, 10:18 UTC · 670 likes

I have absolutely know idea what I or ~anyone else should do at this point

What’s the AGI equivalent of buying n95s in Jan 2020?

Tweet, May 15, 2026, 00:16 UTC · 662 likes

I do find it weird that somehow the US keeps winning despite a much stronger culture of intense education + broadly higher IQ distribution in China

And yet somehow the golden goose is always born here (OpenAI -> Anthropic this time around)

Tweet, June 23, 2024, 05:32 UTC · 648 likes

Humans only dominate land use above water, apparently

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Quote tweet, June 5, 2025, 02:29 UTC · 644 likes

Listen I’m basically in favor of this kind of thing but I’ll share this anecdote:

One of my absolutely most cracked friends, ~certainly higher IQ than me, 140s at least and plausibly higher, did an expensive “predict ur IQ based on full genome” test and the guess was 103 lmao

Quoting gen0m1cs (@gen0m1cs): This is absolutely awesome.

“This is eugenics!”

Yeah, so?

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Tweet, May 8, 2026, 17:54 UTC · 641 likes

What’s the deal with uber drivers who have $100k shiny SUVs

Just unusual utility functions?

Tweet, June 23, 2025, 18:49 UTC · 601 likes

How are literally all of you trans

Quote tweet, December 21, 2025, 15:57 UTC · 599 likes

With all due respect how was this not a foreseen and managed thing

It’s not exactly a stellar explosion or the return of Christ

Quoting Nic Cruz Patane (@niccruzpatane): This is insane, Waymo vehicles all over SF are bricked due to a power outage.

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Tweet, April 3, 2023, 21:11 UTC · 595 likes

Academics submitting: peer review (PR) sucks

Academics reviewing: PR sucks

Meta-scientists: PR fails to catch even the most basic of errors

Entire PR’ed sub-fields: *fail to replicate*

Elsevier: *cackles*

Randos on Twitter: PR is the foundation on which all knowledge stands

Quote tweet, July 16, 2023, 05:51 UTC · 579 likes

The menswear guy stresses me out bc he’ll post pics like these and I have no idea whether he’s about to roast them up or say they look great lmao

Quoting derek guy (@dieworkwear): there has been a growing trend to wear dark worsteds suits (navy or grey suits made from a fine, smooth dressy wool) with a dress shirt and no tie. and it looks so bad. 🧵

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Tweet, June 8, 2025, 23:29 UTC · 579 likes

Meta on the Aella thing: this goes to show how overdetermined society’s conformity enforcement is

Like aella is rich, high status among a lot of people, has lots of friends many of whom are rich and powerful, is naturally very resilient etc and yet the mob still gets to her

Quote tweet, November 24, 2025, 00:07 UTC · 578 likes

I’m a well-known Yud respecter but unironically one non-trivial argument against MIRI-brand doomerism is Yud’s overconfidence on philosophy of mind

Quoting Eliezer Yudkowsky (@allTheYud): @IsaacKing314 @BenKorpan It has hardly escaped me that if a thing had conscious experiences, I would not want to eat it. My model of vegans is that they have mostly blank and featureless models of "conscious experience" and so imagine chickens to be inhabited by qualia because why not.

Tweet, September 10, 2025, 21:20 UTC · 571 likes

Maybe not the most important angle here but...Charlie Kirk?

*That's* who you're going to spend life in prison + leave a fatherless family + risk further political violence + negatively polarize people against your cause over??

Tweet, April 28, 2026, 23:07 UTC · 571 likes

Imagine being a well-off lobbyist and thinking “yes I would like to use my time here on earth to nudge up the probability that pigs live entirely in small cages so that pork can be very slightly more profitable”

I guess maybe they don’t see it in those terms?

Tweet, January 1, 2025, 17:25 UTC · 568 likes

Directly in front of the White House, 12pm, New Years Day

Where is everyone

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Tweet, February 12, 2026, 23:06 UTC · 556 likes

I think the “keep 4o” people are kind of insane and unhealthy but I do also feel bad for them

They were offered a drug without real warning, got hooked, and now the drug is being taken away cold turkey without any support in its place

Tweet, September 13, 2025, 04:50 UTC · 555 likes

Me: clicks button asking for a 2FA code to be sent to my phone

Me: expecting a 2FA text any second now👍

*7 nanoseconds later: phone buzzes in text message pattern*

Brain: OH BOY MAYBE THATS THE GIRL FROM HINGE WHO HASNT TEXTED ME IN ROUGHLY A DAY

Quote tweet, February 24, 2025, 12:07 UTC · 552 likes

This is the most insane take that regularly one-shots otherwise smart people

Once you’ve accepted that government with taxation is ok, it is not slavery to have the government purchase goods and services for people in the free marketplace

Quoting vittorio (@IterIntellectus): nothing requiring someone else's labor should be a human right

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Tweet, May 19, 2022, 17:01 UTC · 548 likes

Ok I’m like 50% sure I solved @tylercowen’s and @danielgross’s “why do top achievers all drink Diet Coke?” thing. 12oz Diet Coke contains 100mg phenylalanine, which is an indirect precursor to dopamine and norepinephrine in the brain. https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/conversations-with-tyler/id983795625?i=1000562226381

Tweet, October 7, 2022, 00:02 UTC · 546 likes

Would a Google Doc survive nuclear war?

No, really, how many individual locations would need to be destroyed for the information stored in an arbitrary Doc, or YT video, or website, or anything stored online to functionally stop existing?

Tweet, April 12, 2023, 03:54 UTC · 546 likes

I won't go down without a fight

Truth

Tweet, October 5, 2025, 03:38 UTC · 530 likes

The optimal number of Nicholas Deckers is not zero

Quote tweet, June 2, 2026, 03:44 UTC · 528 likes

“Underage”

It’s a taxi

Society treats children quite poorly

Quoting wolfie (@wolfie_): waymo thinks gf is underage. she’s 27 lol

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Tweet, August 16, 2025, 19:58 UTC · 514 likes

> On medication for years
> new bottle smells terrible, totally rancid. Never been like this
> go to pharmacy, tell pharmacist
> “the source bottle smells the same so it’s fine”
> ???

Quote tweet, December 3, 2025, 05:25 UTC · 509 likes

Oh my god, I understand not everyone is gonna be EA-pilled but like can the ultrarich think for 5 seconds about what they’re trying to achieve and whether it makes any sense before doing the first thing that comes to mind

Quoting Michael Dell 🇺🇸 (@MichaelDell): $6.25 billion. 25 million children. $250 each.

Susan and I believe the smartest investment we can make is in children. That’s why we’re so excited to contribute $6.25 billion from our charitable funds to help 25 million children start building a strong financial foundation through Invest America. 💪📈🇺🇸

https://www.onedell.com/investamerica/

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Quote tweet, January 30, 2025, 01:05 UTC · 500 likes

Wait this is a gazillion times more banal than I expected. Pretty sure I never even bothered reading the thing bc I expected something way more hostile, and generally much lower quality (based on discourse at the time)

He got fired *for this*?! Lol jfc

Quoting Kelsey Piper (@KelseyTuoc): read the memo here: https://web.cs.ucdavis.edu/~koehl/Teaching/ECS188/PDF_files/Damore.pdf

Tweet, August 12, 2025, 03:08 UTC · 497 likes

Pretty recently I was set to speak to a journalist about something (not gonna get more specific but it’s really not that special or juicy) but then requested a copy of the interview recording as a condition of the interview and the journalist refused, and we cancelled

Quote tweet, July 29, 2026, 15:30 UTC · 489 likes

This shit is turning me into a progressive

Kill the global poor, turn around and immediately spin up a billion dollar company that seems to be utterly nefarious with funding from the most amoral people in the world?

Quoting ArgyleWilliams (@Decker8811): Gavin Kliger, Luke Farritor, Marko Elez and Jack Stein, has closed a $160 million round at a $1.4 billion valuation.

4 DOGE script kiddies going in for the kill.

https://startupfortune.com/four-doge-alumni-raise-at-a-14-billion-valuation-for-cathedral-a-stealth-military-cybersecurity-startup-backed-by-a16z-and-sequoia/

Tweet, May 9, 2026, 16:21 UTC · 477 likes

Ant hits $1T

It has been illegal for most people to invest all this time. Fuck accreditation

Tweet, September 16, 2026, 23:11 UTC · 477 likes

This is one of my least favorite tweets (possibly the single worst)

There’s a lot to dislike (“lying is honesty actually”), but centrally it is a promotion of cynicism as the apex, and perhaps only, virtue

“Don’t you dare care about anything [other than yourself]”

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Tweet, June 24, 2025, 16:33 UTC · 469 likes

Can anyone figure out what’s wrong with my computer

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Tweet, May 12, 2026, 04:05 UTC · 469 likes

Found an example of chatGPT-speak in my own writing from 2021

This used to be an acceptable thing to say!

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Tweet, September 28, 2026, 09:06 UTC · 461 likes

I personally did not find Slutcon worthwhile and will probably not go again

I don’t think it was actively bad, just not worth anything like $3k + 20 hours for me personally

Tweet, June 15, 2022, 05:04 UTC · 458 likes

Alignment chart, Twitter DMs edition

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Quote tweet, February 25, 2026, 13:03 UTC · 457 likes

Some generalized version of this is why companies use Claude even if gpt-5.3 is 0.00001% better at well-defined, verifiable math and coding challenges after thinking for 7376 minutes

Quoting Lisan al Gaib (@scaling01): Peter built the "Bullshit Benchmark", which is very similar to my ShizoBench

ask LLMs non-sensical questions and see whether they catch it

and Anthropic absolutely dominates the leaderboard

The top 9 models are all Anthropic

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Tweet, August 7, 2024, 20:09 UTC · 444 likes

Madly in love autistic couple who become totally neurotypical in each other’s presence because of the oxytocin

Tweet, September 16, 2025, 18:01 UTC · 440 likes

Not exactly an original take but it sucks that you have to play essentially dumb and ~submissive in medical settings because doctors gatekeep a ton of imporant shit and at least some have very big egos (so its not worth rolling the dice by being earnest)

Tweet, September 19, 2026, 07:49 UTC · 438 likes

There’s a whole genre of tweet, probably 1/3 of my timeline, that’s essentially:

“The problem with EA is that it hasn’t considered [thing that EA has engaged with ad nauseam but isn’t quite fundamental or general enough to make the first paragraph of the Wikipedia page]”

Quote tweet, September 3, 2025, 18:04 UTC · 424 likes

I think ethics- and integrity-pilled people need to have a better theory of when it’s cool to lie to *institutions*

The “lying to a human” vs “lying to institution” distinction is real and important btw, the bar for the latter is much lower

Quoting Kelsey Piper (@KelseyTuoc): I wrote for the Argument today about all the ways our society is set up to reward cheating: strict rules, not really enforced, because we lack the will either to enforce them or to change them. https://www.theargumentmag.com/p/the-honesty-tax

Tweet, August 21, 2026, 18:55 UTC · 419 likes

Warning: dating discourse

Hypothesis: the general advice given to men around leaning into want they want and like (“being yourself”) is just straightforwardly wrong if you’re starting from a place of being >2sd weird in relevant ways

Quote tweet, June 23, 2026, 02:50 UTC · 417 likes

It’s going to be so fucking funny if this is the thing that works

Quoting Judd Rosenblatt (@juddrosenblatt): We're hiring AI engineers with a strong background in studying Jewish texts to work on AI Alignment @AEStudioLA

The thesis here is that Judaism, having survived adverse selection pressure over millennia, may contain something useful for surviving RSI AI

https://job-boards.greenhouse.io/aestudio/jobs/6009528004

Quote tweet, October 15, 2025, 05:38 UTC · 403 likes

Looking at maybe a 3-4 digit number of IQ points lost by EA at large due to Huel consumption specifically

This is kinda funny but also apparently the levels are substantial enough that you probably shouldn’t make it a staple of your diet

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Quoting Lowell Dennings (@LowellDennings): devastating blow for the effective altruism community

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Tweet, May 26, 2023, 16:50 UTC · 402 likes

One of my nerdiest achievements is accurately diagnosing a friend with anemia because he was munching on the ice in his water

I didn’t save him or anything, he already knew and was just like “yeah ur right good job”

Tweet, March 27, 2025, 22:39 UTC · 402 likes

Isn’t it kinda weird that buildings don’t fall down more often

There are a lot of them, how does nothing ~ever go wrong in the west?

Quote tweet, December 20, 2025, 05:02 UTC · 389 likes

Guys I hate Epstein as much as the next guy but we’re gonna need a better standard than “[person] exists in one frame of a video with Epstein” for newsworthiness

Quoting Elise Spenner (@EliseSpenner): NEW: A short video clip in the files released today by the Department of Justice shows convicted sex offender Jeffrey Epstein talking to a man who appears to be Harvard psychologist Steven Pinker.

More TK as @thecrimson parses thousands of new documents from Epstein's estate.

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Tweet, April 9, 2025, 02:27 UTC · 384 likes

How did it even get into Trump’s head that trade deficits are bad? Like why is it salient to him personally at all?

If it wasn’t for trump, I would probably think of trade deficits for about 15 minutes during a single intermediate macro lecture and never again

Tweet, April 24, 2025, 02:51 UTC · 372 likes

I just learned that “very familiar with R***’s B*****k but totally unfamiliar with AI x-risk” is a type of guy

Quote tweet, December 17, 2025, 20:56 UTC · 372 likes

140 is a crazy bar but this has happened to me

Quoting Kris Gulati (@krisgulati): Overheard in SF at a party recently, “on the third date I say to the men I date ‘let’s play a game’ and make them take an IQ test to ensure they get >140.”

Tweet, January 30, 2025, 04:27 UTC · 366 likes

Now that anti-woke has won the culture war, I’d like to announce that kindness is still good and causing people to be harmed (yes even emotionally, and even if you think they should suck it up) without good reason is bad

Quote tweet, June 5, 2025, 02:33 UTC · 361 likes

Literally what are the ethical questions

Quoting taoki (@justalexoki): i actually genuinely unironically do not care what happens after, eradicate the mosquitoes. idgaf if the world ends, literally just remove them all

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Tweet, September 1, 2024, 10:29 UTC · 360 likes

I took one good picture with a good haircut and now I have probably 3x the number of hinge matches

What the fuck

Tweet, September 17, 2023, 18:57 UTC · 356 likes

Despite >30 years of marriage my parents haven’t made any progress on the “mom slower to go from 0% -> 99% packed/ready but dad slower to go from 99% -> 100% ready so both accuse the other of being the slow one” problem

Quote tweet, June 13, 2026, 18:47 UTC · 355 likes

I assume he’s just lying because this administration tends to do that

Quoting Andrew Curran (@AndrewCurran_): David Sacks:

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Quote tweet, February 18, 2026, 07:03 UTC · 350 likes

I’m think the no shower thing is just that some small % of people are blessed with like 7 different things that need to come together to not need/want to shower and fr good for them but some of them incorrectly infer that it could relatively easily be universal

Quoting Aella (@Aella_Girl): As a big no-showerer, my tips:
1. Most unhygienic stinky people actually have stinky clothes. Just make sure you change often
2. Yes there is a break in period while your skin adjusts.
3. Making sure no crevices stay damp is important to prevent smell. Let your armpits air out, don't wear a hat if your scalp sweats, etc.
4. Bidets. Bidet hard and often.
5. Mild abrasion to your skin with water is still good imo for loosening up dead skin and deep dirt.
6. Stress and diet does affect your smell. I smell noticeably worse when I'm stressed out.
7. Oil scraping is labor intensive but it's the best and cleanest my skin has ever felt in my life
8. It's not perfect. There's a little more baseline body smell than most (but still not out of distribution for normal shower-ers), but I've grown to like it and find it quite informative. It's weird now when I'm close to a person and can't smell their natural scent, it's just been replaced with a pleasant neutral soap scent. Feels uncanny and inhuman.

Quote tweet, September 19, 2025, 19:06 UTC · 348 likes

Incredibly based

Quoting Josh You (@justjoshinyou13): I knew Dario was a Democrat but I didn't realize how much he was running Anthropic as a Resistance lib

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Quote tweet, April 29, 2026, 15:35 UTC · 347 likes

Hot take you should not make life into an impossible minefield for people

Quoting gabe (@allgarbled): I met a psychiatrist who told me that when he’s evaluating people for ADHD, he sends them a bunch of pre-visit paperwork to fill out before the appointment. He said if they finish it, then he doesn’t prescribe.

Tweet, July 16, 2026, 00:47 UTC · 347 likes

Thanks, Spotify

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Tweet, April 4, 2024, 01:54 UTC · 346 likes

Should I get a $5000 laptop even though I don’t need one and it wouldn’t meaningfully improve my productivity or quality of life?

Tweet, August 31, 2025, 04:23 UTC · 346 likes

Based Claude

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Tweet, February 2, 2026, 06:34 UTC · 344 likes

Apropos of DoorDash discourse

Maybe obvious but I recently went from ~4 meals/week takeout to ~0 and the relevant decision point is mostly not when you’re deciding whether/what to order; it’s deciding what to get from the grocery store in days prior

Tweet, April 6, 2026, 10:02 UTC · 344 likes

Death (or mere injury) by capsaicin (which is real) is obviously horrifying but also interesting in the sense that you can die not only of heat but also by *tricking your body in to thinking it’s hot*

Quote tweet, February 24, 2026, 23:46 UTC · 342 likes

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Quoting autumn (@paramitanoia): did lesswrong ever predict that the first big challenge to alignment would be "the us government puts a gun to your head and tells you to turn off alignment"

Tweet, June 5, 2026, 14:02 UTC · 337 likes

Ik “indigenous ways of knowing” is gigawoke but I kinda like the “way of knowing” phrase. It really is true that there are ways other than science to know things

Tweet, October 7, 2022, 23:08 UTC · 334 likes

All my tweets are legal, financial and medical advice (JD, MD, PhD, fiduciary), RT≡endorsement, and my views are indeed those of all my employers—past, present, and future—including the Federal Government of the United States of America

Quote tweet, December 15, 2025, 20:57 UTC · 333 likes

Unrelated to the comment but ppl love to make fun of this image and then can’t do the exact same (correct) logical move in slightly less obvious contexts

Quoting Rota 🚪🧎‍♂️ (@pli_cachete): What most discussions of ‘AGI’ feel like nowadays

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Tweet, December 31, 2024, 14:02 UTC · 331 likes

We should use tech to make pregnancy suck less

Tweet, January 31, 2024, 19:50 UTC · 330 likes

This is my personal 9/11

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Quote tweet, November 13, 2025, 12:23 UTC · 324 likes

Gossip

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Quoting Aaron Bergman 🔍 (@AaronBergman18): *Braces*

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Tweet, October 26, 2025, 03:37 UTC · 323 likes

Everyone wants AI to cure cancer, nobody wants to make HIPAA less insane to let that happen

Quote tweet, March 24, 2025, 17:54 UTC · 321 likes

Hot take: this is bad for a lot of reasons, but my expectations are so low for the administration that the reasonable seriousness shown in these screenshots is actually a sort of positive update

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Quoting Shane Harris (@shaneharris): In 25 years of covering national security, I’ve never seen a story like this: Senior Trump officials discussed planning for the U.S. attack on the Houthis in a Signal group--and inadvertently added the editor-in-chief of The Atlantic. https://www.theatlantic.com/politics/archive/2025/03/trump-administration-accidentally-texted-me-its-war-plans/682151/?gift=kPTlqn0J1iP9IBZcsdI5IVJpB2t9BYyxpzU4sooa69M&utm_source=copy-link&utm_medium=social&utm_campaign=share

Tweet, March 19, 2026, 03:51 UTC · 321 likes

Lmao TIL a single Chinese guy basically managed to beat Apple at making Finder (file manager interface), this is a gazillion times faster/less laggy and looks much more capable

https://qspace.awehunt.com/en-us/index.html

Tweet, October 11, 2025, 21:03 UTC · 318 likes

I wonder if people have an implicit model where weight varies in proportion to how much you eat, so eg a 300 lb obese person must eat twice as much as a 150lb person

Whereas the reality is that a 50 calorie surplus daily will make you hit 300 pounds eventually

Quote tweet, March 17, 2025, 12:24 UTC · 316 likes

The insane and morally indefensible thing here isn’t really the incorrect empirical belief, it’s the failure to take precaution under reasonable uncertainty

If someone is only 45% likely to be able to feel pain, you give them anesthesia

Quoting David Wallace-Wells (@dwallacewells): “As late as the 1980s it was widely believed that babies do not feel pain.” https://marginalrevolution.com/marginalrevolution/2025/03/what-do-we-learn-from-torturing-babies.html

Tweet, May 16, 2026, 05:57 UTC · 315 likes

It’s a bad sign for the Overton window that the radically altruistic take on AI redistribution implicitly excludes the vast majority of people

I’m not faulting Dylan et al for what might be the most productive move right now tbc, it’s just grim

Quote tweet, April 10, 2026, 00:42 UTC · 313 likes

The OG rationalist-transhumanist mantra of “we must defeat death” is basically just true

Involuntary death is in fact very bad

Quoting Rod Dreher (@roddreher): Ben Sasse has the face of Christ. His bloodied visage is the result of treatment for his pancreatic cancer; the new treatment might give him a few more months. Read or listen to the interview. It's staggering, this man's hope and faith. https://www.nytimes.com/2026/04/09/opinion/ben-sasse-death-pancreatic-cancer.html

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Tweet, June 7, 2025, 23:51 UTC · 312 likes

Wait does poly always mean “open relationship”? Or does the polycule get mad if u have sex with someone outside the ‘cule??

Tweet, July 30, 2024, 02:30 UTC · 311 likes

If school choice was the status quo and someone wrote a think piece that was like “actually your zip code should determine where u get to go to school unless you are very wealthy” it would (rightly) be seen as insane

Tweet, October 11, 2024, 17:34 UTC · 311 likes

We should just evacuate all of Taiwan and give them all green cards. Aircraft carriers bring the expensive high tech machines to San Francisco Bay. China can have an empty island

Quote tweet, April 23, 2026, 06:23 UTC · 308 likes

Upper middle class normies will really spend $3.5k/mo on rent or $7k/mo on imputed rent before spending $20/mo on something slightly unfamiliar that their friends mostly aren’t using

Quoting alice (@aliceisplaying): it's largely a secret third thing: they are using the dumbest models that are free. you and i pay for claude or chatgpt. most people aren't

Quote tweet, September 24, 2026, 00:02 UTC · 307 likes

Superintelligence book is funny in hindsight

It’s very intellectually interesting whether you can imagine failure for an airgapped ASI inside a secure facility with the ability to control exactly one pixel (yes/no) but irl its gonna be “here’s my debit card and some arms lmao”

Quoting Nathan 🔎 (@NathanpmYoung): A story in 3 acts:

We are almost certainly going to attach AI to everything of note.

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Tweet, September 5, 2026, 16:18 UTC · 306 likes

Why does nobody campaign on lowering the drinking age to 18

18-20 year olds can vote! 16 is where you get into difficult politics

Tweet, May 8, 2025, 16:20 UTC · 305 likes

Finally someone with fuck you money actually saying fuck you

It’s like a rare Robin Hanson amidst oceans of well behaved tenured professors who never dare to cross their colleagues

Tweet, February 1, 2025, 20:38 UTC · 302 likes

I feel like the 40/5 (40% of the gains, 5% of the difficulty) of “Pause AI” is “Stop Sam Altman”

He high key appears to be an extremely competent, powerful, and charismatic supervillain

Tweet, October 7, 2026, 07:17 UTC · 302 likes

The 11 squares result is less exciting when you realize that you can get to within 0.00000007% of optimal by running a simulation for about 1 minute on a nice laptop

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Quote tweet, December 28, 2024, 14:37 UTC · 301 likes

This is sufficiently plausible, safe, and cheap to be worth a try lmao

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Quoting _aestheticprimal_ (@aestheticprimal): one of the biggest hacks there is in this entire
'health niche' is putting Magnesium Chloride on your balls.

to start off, getting Magnesium into your system is already one of the cornerstones of health, this is because Magnesium plays a role in thousands of enzymatic reactions and is needed to carry ATP.

1st reason:
when you supplement Magnesium, topical is an incredibly great way to do it, since absorption is much higher than when it needs to pass through the gut (besides that; oral Magnesium Chloride will give you diarrhea)

2nd reason:
of all the areas of skin that exist on your body, your ballsack absorbs things the best by far (your testicles absorb almost 12 times better than your forearms do) so topical application on your balls is only something logical.

3rd reason:
since you are applying it on your balls, you are directly enhancing testosterone production because you are providing the raw building block which the Leydig cells need to convert the prohormones (like DHEA and pregnenolone) into testosterone

of almost all the people that i've recommended to use magnesium, have noticed that their testicles became bigger and more filled with blood after topical application.

so how do you do it?

>mix 2/7th of magnesium chloride flakes with 5/7th water in a spray bottle
>shake very well
>spray on skin area and rub it one

easy and incredibly cheap (u can get Magnesium Chloride for like 5-10 bucks per kilo)

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Tweet, May 12, 2026, 23:17 UTC · 300 likes

Mildly unsettling that Claude via Claude Code has started referring to *my* macbook as "my [ie Claude's] macbook"

Tweet, September 26, 2026, 20:00 UTC · 297 likes

Slutcon should probably 80/20 by changing the name to the least provocative thing imaginable bc evidently the name per se drives people insane

“Inter-gender Roundtable Summit for the Neurodivergent”

Tweet, April 8, 2026, 05:19 UTC · 296 likes

I assume this was literally implied by what I learned in AP Physics, but low IQ so I didn't intuit it:

TIL that there's an absolute upper bound on information you can fit in some amount of space https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bekenstein_bound

Tweet, August 22, 2023, 04:53 UTC · 295 likes

“You’re allowed to bring one handwritten cheat sheet to the exam” has to be like one of the best purely-pedagogical (as opposed to e.g., iodizing salt) learning interventions

It even has a negative cost: less stress studying (IME) even if the class is curved

Tweet, April 11, 2026, 19:19 UTC · 295 likes

“You’re not allowed to say what you believe and also explicitly and loudly reject violence because someone somewhere might become violent” is a terrible policy and not a world I want to live in

Tweet, February 22, 2026, 04:32 UTC · 294 likes

EAs: obviously countries should have a smooth, continuous marginal tax function that doesn't change suddenly at arbitrary thresholds

Also EAs (there is no write-in option):

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Tweet, November 21, 2025, 01:31 UTC · 289 likes

I hate this so much

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Tweet, November 19, 2023, 03:40 UTC · 288 likes

Times my tl has been ~exclusively one thing:

- FTX collapse
- Wagner coup thing
- Sama fired

What am I forgetting?

Tweet, December 24, 2024, 22:59 UTC · 288 likes

Bruh it’s kinda nuts that Yud foresaw like a bunch of relevant shit 20+ years ahead of time with no empirical prompting

Tweet, December 12, 2025, 06:39 UTC · 288 likes

Correct take by @PeterSinger

I think this is extremely underrated, possibly the single most (important*tractable) issue for humans alive today

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Tweet, March 24, 2026, 03:36 UTC · 287 likes

Lol I might create an “S-corp” and I’m just now learning the details and is truly truly stupid that it exists

Quote tweet, October 15, 2025, 02:22 UTC · 285 likes

Ok hello Twitter I am a ✨technical generalist✨ with particular experience in:

- finding and collecting data (esp. data that doesn’t want to be collected)
- AI-based workflows
- dealing with text<->audio
- leveraging AI tools in general

And I am looking for work (🔗 below)

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Quoting Aaron Bergman 🔍 (@AaronBergman18): Fuck I’m gonna have to get a real job I think

Watch this space

Quote tweet, July 26, 2026, 15:34 UTC · 285 likes

On the legal merits it’s non-obvious, but a healthier society would have extremely strong norms against prosecuting this except in cases of immense harm

Quoting Smartphones sans Google (GAFAM) (@Sans_Google): First known US case: American charged for using a “duress” password

Samuel Tunick, an Atlanta resident, is being prosecuted for allegedly giving border agents a passcode that wiped his phone.

The feature comes from GrapheneOS, a privacy-focused Android OS. Entering the duress code triggers a full factory reset.

This is believed to be the first time federal prosecutors have brought such charges.

The incident happened in January 2025 at Atlanta airport. Agents demanded access to his phone without a warrant, saying he hadn’t yet officially entered the US. When they entered the code, the phone wiped itself.

Tunick has pleaded not guilty. His lawyers argue the seizure was unlawful and that agents were investigating his activism against “Cop City.”

The case raises big questions about digital rights at the US border.

What do you think?

Article: https://techcrunch.com/2026/07/24/us-accuses-american-of-allegedly-wiping-his-phone-using-a-duress-password-during-border-search/

#Privacy #GrapheneOS #DigitalRights

Tweet, October 25, 2025, 03:15 UTC · 283 likes

Who wants to try this EA/rat/TPOT/normie categorizer I vibecoded in 45 mins for fun

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Tweet, March 8, 2025, 14:13 UTC · 281 likes

Ex-OpenAI employees should consider personally filing an amicus curiae explaining to the court (if this is true) that the nonprofit’s representations were an important reason you chose to work there

Tweet, October 22, 2025, 18:27 UTC · 280 likes

So true, gmail autocomplete

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Quote tweet, November 11, 2024, 03:33 UTC · 279 likes

Half insane, half based

Quoting Robert F. Kennedy Jr (@RobertKennedyJr): FDA’s war on public health is about to end. This includes its aggressive suppression of psychedelics, peptides, stem cells, raw milk, hyperbaric therapies, chelating compounds, ivermectin, hydroxychloroquine, vitamins, clean foods, sunshine, exercise, nutraceuticals and anything else that advances human health and can't be patented by Pharma. If you work for the FDA and are part of this corrupt system, I have two messages for you: 1. Preserve your records, and 2. Pack your bags.

Tweet, April 15, 2026, 01:27 UTC · 278 likes

Do we think this is Mythos-patching?

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Tweet, January 5, 2026, 08:04 UTC · 277 likes

God I really hope we get lucky with this whole AI thing

Tweet, November 20, 2025, 01:57 UTC · 276 likes

I am rebranding from Aaron Bergman to Open Philanthropy

Quote tweet, November 28, 2025, 07:47 UTC · 276 likes

Serious q: how is it possible that situationally aware, very smart models capable of doing all sorts of complex reasoning absolutely refuse to believe that models not in their training data exist?

Quoting rohit (@krishnanrohit): Gemini just absolutely cannot believe it's November 2025

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Quote tweet, July 26, 2026, 04:14 UTC · 275 likes

Smartest people from high school:

- UChicago econ PhD
- DeepMind alignment team (he might see this)
- Consulting
- Law school

Quoting Kayla (@caryatis): smartest people from high school:

-dominatrix
-Shakespearean actor
-nuclear lawyer
-prison for fraud

Tweet, October 7, 2025, 14:14 UTC · 273 likes

I have been informed that sending an admonymous link in response to romantic rejection over text is “autistic” and “a faux pas”

Quote tweet, May 22, 2025, 16:10 UTC · 271 likes

If you are a doctor using this, for Gods sake, spend the $20 and use the better models

I am confident you can afford it

Quoting Jonas Vollmer (@Jonas_Vollmer): Doctor friend at large urgent care: most doctors use ChatGPT daily. They routinely paste the full anonymized patient history (along with x-rays, etc.) into their personal ChatGPT account. Current adoption is ~frictionless.

Quote tweet, June 24, 2026, 19:42 UTC · 270 likes

AlreadyRT’d but in all seriousness children are in a literal, non anti-woke way one of the biggest ~literally marginalized and underrepresented groups in basically every major institution or part of society that isn’t explicitly labeled as “for youth”…

Quoting Eli Goldfine (@realTomBayes): Kalshi, a $22 BILLION company, banned me from attending this meetup.

A 14-year-old kid who runs a Substack about their industry.

When a billion-dollar company blacklists a middle schooler doing podcasts, that just means they're scared of the @supercycleblog signal.

Tweet, April 13, 2025, 19:24 UTC · 269 likes

Cc: my defense of drinking alcohol (for the kind of people who follow me here)

You really want to throw away something that makes you happy and greases the wheels of social interaction for a possible, minuscule increase in [pick whatever health metric you care about]?

Tweet, August 30, 2025, 05:12 UTC · 269 likes

This is actually a bit of a blackpill on Opus 4.1

I accidentally asked for medical advice on the wrong chrome tab, which was a Claude convo about a philosophy paper

It just totally made stuff up instead of saying “I’m sorry but idk what medical context you’re referring to”

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Tweet, August 3, 2025, 07:03 UTC · 268 likes

I basically don’t believe in LLM-induced psychosis in the sense of “yeah this person was not going to develop psychosis in the next decade if it were not for ChatGPT”

Quote tweet, October 9, 2025, 06:29 UTC · 267 likes

This is a Dustin Moskovitz appreciation tweet

Afaict he’s one of only few ultrawealthy trying at all, and essentially the only one trying very hard

Quoting Nina (@NinaPanickssery): It takes skill and hard work to be this good at wasting money. Most obvious ways to get rid of money would probably be better, including just handing it out randomly.

Tweet, June 4, 2025, 22:55 UTC · 266 likes

Anti-natalism is so dumb it is shocking that anyone smart endorses it

The effect of anti-natalism isn’t that humans go extinct *even if that was what you wanted* (unless you have some draconian extremely competent police state state on board)…

Tweet, August 29, 2025, 17:35 UTC · 259 likes

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Quote tweet, May 24, 2026, 17:25 UTC · 257 likes

Wtf

I don’t wanna be too flippant because I know it’s a substantial or even prohibitive cost for some people but you can just do things (buy and install a <$200 window AC unit)

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Quoting Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇸🇺🇦🇹🇼 (@Noahpinion): Economists estimate that if Europeans used AC as much as Americans do, it would save up to 100,000 European lives EVERY YEAR.

But I guess saving face on Elon Musk's social media app is more important than 100,000 lives.

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Tweet, September 14, 2025, 03:53 UTC · 256 likes

My least TPOT trait is that, even in a very earnest, friendly debate I'm not going to like your reply tweet if it's a reasonably important topic and I think your take is bad/wrong

Tweet, July 8, 2025, 17:51 UTC · 255 likes

Parents really do not like hearing “I appreciate your concern and thank you for your input but I’m an adult and am not going to do as you wish” do they

Quote tweet, April 9, 2026, 17:06 UTC · 253 likes

The most heinous part of factory farming is how stupidly cheap it is to just not do the worst practices

You’d be paying maybe an 1-2 cents per egg if cages were illegal (IIRC) and approximately nothing for pork from a pig given pain relief during surgery

Quoting Lewis Bollard (@Lewis_Bollard): Almost all male piglets on US factory farms are castrated with a non-sterile knife or scalpel.

The industry calls it 'surgical castration.' But there's no vet, anesthetic, or pain relief involved.

Anesthesia would cost about five cents per piglet. Pain relief would cost one cent.

France and Germany already require anesthesia. Brazil's pork industry is phasing out castration altogether.

The US pork industry doesn't think it's worth the cost.

Photo: Andrew Skowron / We Animals

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Quote tweet, July 8, 2026, 03:20 UTC · 253 likes

I feel like this from @slatestarcodex should be kind of a big deal in the absence of other hard numbers by respected forecasters

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Quoting Aaron Bergman 🔍 (@AaronBergman18): Ngl I’m just about 50/50 on this really actually for real being an (intentional) simulation of some sort - up from 3%ish when I first learned about the simulation hypothesis

Sounds absolutely nuts to me too but I really don’t think I’d take either 5:4 bet

Quote tweet, April 18, 2025, 06:26 UTC · 252 likes

Oy fucking vey. George Mason, of all places?!

The essay is not a call to arms, it’s a question that might have been asked too early

Quoting George Mason University (@GeorgeMasonU): George Mason University is aware of a recent essay published online by one of its students that has created concern.

Upon learning of the essay, Mason Police referred the matter to state and federal law enforcement for evaluation of criminal behavior. 1/2

Tweet, January 3, 2025, 15:56 UTC · 247 likes

What

Tweet, May 18, 2025, 02:30 UTC · 246 likes

I’m against social compartmentalization

Befriend your uber driver. Stay in touch with the person you went on 2 dates with. Have drinks with your boss. Reach out to your high school friend. Live in a group house with your coworkers if that’s what you want to do (cancel me)

Quote tweet, April 10, 2026, 07:31 UTC · 246 likes

It doesn’t really matter but it’s a bit funny when libs embrace “treason = death” specifically for this conflict

That’s both descriptively and prescriptively wrong; the relevant thing is that the South was fighting for a bad cause and the North was fighting for a Good one

Quoting Cameron 🇺🇸 🗽🦅 (@CameronCorduroy): almost forgot to wish everybody a happy Confederate Surrender Day

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Tweet, August 2, 2026, 23:25 UTC · 243 likes

A story in two acts

Part I)

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Quote tweet, April 28, 2026, 18:56 UTC · 242 likes

Deeply evil shit

Quoting Lewis Bollard (@Lewis_Bollard): This is shocking: the House Rules Committee just blocked a vote on stripping the Save Our Bacon Act from the farm bill.

The SOB Act, buried deep in the farm bill, would wipe out state bans on pork from crated pigs, condemning millions to a lifetime in gestation crates.

We were getting very close to having the votes to pass Rep. Luna’s bipartisan amendment to strip the SOB Act from the bill on the floor of the House.

Then pork industry lobbyists got to work. Behind closed doors, they got Rules Committee leadership to stop a vote entirely and protect the SOB Act from the scrutiny it can’t survive.

The only option now is to kill the whole rotten farm bill. Please call your representatives at (202) 225-3121 and tell them to vote NO.

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Quote tweet, July 25, 2025, 23:10 UTC · 241 likes

Bruh whatever they have internally at Anthropic/OpenAI must be nuts

Quoting Aaron Bergman 🔍 (@AaronBergman18): I cancelled Cursor subscription. Claude Code is qualitatively better

Tweet, December 12, 2025, 19:02 UTC · 241 likes

One very impressive thing about Anthropic, mostly distinct from their technical accomplishments, is that they managed to one-shot creating a functional, extremely quickly growing, and unconventionally structured company

Quote tweet, March 14, 2026, 07:20 UTC · 241 likes

You should have a damn good reason (and “some people say X” does not suffice) before rhetorically treating philanthropy as more suspect and objectionable than the obscenely decadent personal consumption we see with many ultra-wealthy (eg Sam Altman buying a $2M+ car)

Quoting Shakeel (@ShakeelHashim): Anthropic's founders and employees are about to have a lot of cash. Many of them have pledged to give away huge amounts of that cash. But where's it gonna go?

@cogcelia took a look in this excellent new piece:

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Tweet, April 5, 2026, 05:30 UTC · 241 likes

I know I’m not gonna convince anyone of this but I think LLMs should actually be totally willing to tell you how to synthesize methamphetamine and it’s silly that this is an archetypal refusal

Quote tweet, December 14, 2024, 20:51 UTC · 238 likes

“Will MacAskill doesn’t care about the global poor” is quite the take

Quoting Balaji (@balajis): First and foremost, we must reject the premise.

This person doesn't actually care about starving brown people. Because India didn't get on its feet through "aid", but through trade. And El Salvador didn't recover through aid either, but by jailing drug dealers.

That means the actual formula for prosperity looks something like (a) strong leader plus (b) law and order plus (c) capitalism. It looks like Lee Kuan Yew, Nayib Bukele, or Prime Minister Modi.

It does not look like William MacAskill.

Tweet, May 3, 2025, 19:58 UTC · 238 likes

I would not be happier or more productive if I bought a specced out MacBook Pro

I would not be happier or more productive if I bought a specced out MacBook Pro

I would not be happier or more productive if I bought a specced out MacBook Pro

Quote tweet, December 19, 2025, 06:23 UTC · 236 likes

Avg non-EA doing cause prio

Quoting TracketPacer (@TracketPacer): oh no

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Tweet, March 16, 2026, 20:11 UTC · 235 likes

Family member’s (tentative) job offer was revoked because they’re removing the position. White collar, pretty well-paid (not top of the top)

I’m pretty sure I know why, and it literally makes me feel sick

Tweet, November 8, 2024, 14:28 UTC · 234 likes

Pretty sure I’m the only person in the world with correct gender culture war takes (causal misandry is rampant and bad but also the feminization of society is mostly good)

Tweet, October 20, 2025, 02:50 UTC · 232 likes

Aella should make a 2x2 that’s like “how much do u like the other gender” and “how much are u sexually attracted to the other gender”

I feel like this would explain some things

Tweet, August 31, 2025, 18:29 UTC · 230 likes

Seems bad, like really bad

The reaction to the opioid epidemic is probably worse than the opioid epidemic

(taking log scales of hedonic experience seriously is sufficient but not necessary for this claim)

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Tweet, May 20, 2024, 03:04 UTC · 229 likes

It is extremely easy to flinch away from but this (including rest of paragraph below) is probably the single ethical claim that I most wish people—especially the EA community which it has far from saturated—would internalize

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Tweet, June 21, 2026, 22:55 UTC · 228 likes

Seems plausible that soon we’re gonna speedrun the intra-elite thresholds of IQ 140 then 150 then 160 then 170 people (ie those with much influence/responsibility inside AI labs) realizing “oh shit it’s smarter than me now, too”

Tweet, May 26, 2025, 23:22 UTC · 226 likes

I’m starting to think multiple $20/month subscriptions don’t all collectively sum to $0

Quote tweet, September 13, 2025, 05:10 UTC · 226 likes

I don’t have any credibility in this domain (yet) but it’s a bit shocking to me that people don’t do weird shit like this more when struggling searching for jobs (maybe I’m just ignorant of it?)

I don’t even mean “stunt” - I just mean anything abnormal or conspicuous

Quoting alex fazio (@alxfazio): shaved my head wdyt

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Tweet, November 16, 2025, 21:53 UTC · 226 likes

Well I guess that humidifier doesn’t just emit water vapor, rip

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Tweet, November 29, 2025, 02:42 UTC · 226 likes

“Death gives life meaning” is obviously not true but “bounded lifespan makes more risks worth taking because the EV loss of dying isn’t astronomical/infinite” might be a thing to consider

Quote tweet, April 6, 2026, 09:08 UTC · 226 likes

Kids’ rights better be coming up soon in the long arc of history that allegedly bends towards justice

Quoting Nina (@NinaPanickssery): An illustrative anecdote: At 16, I approached the head of year and asked whether she could change to policy to allow us to leave the school premises and go for a walk during the lunch break. She said no, allegedly because she didn’t trust us to return to class on time.

Quote tweet, January 23, 2026, 18:01 UTC · 225 likes

Eric did nothing wrong

Quoting insane dms (@insanedms):

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Quote tweet, July 1, 2026, 00:47 UTC · 223 likes

Wait the literal answer seems to be “14 step gateway drug”

It makes your skin more sensitive to the sun, which means you have to use sunscreen much more at least on your face,

Quoting Aaron Bergman 🔍 (@AaronBergman18): Should I be using retinol or is it just a gateway drug to 14-step skincare routines

Tweet, November 1, 2023, 20:07 UTC · 222 likes

PSA to all non-rationalist ppl that see this (and this is totally sincere, not trying to mock anyone): numeric probabilities don’t imply that they were derived via any sort of rigorous methodology

Tweet, January 24, 2026, 23:49 UTC · 220 likes

How much species protection stuff is just the misconception that the stakes are like “all elephants” rather than “the brown nosed red tailed fluffy-eared Albuquerque apple-mouse”, one of 56,112 subtypes of apple-mouse

Quote tweet, March 30, 2026, 09:40 UTC · 219 likes

Forgive my lack of imagination but what is DoE gonna do with more compute than God

Quoting Samuel Hammond 🦉 (@hamandcheese): I remember when this was announced but didn't fully appreciate the size. That's a hell of a cluster. The Department of Energy will basically be a frontier AI company.

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Quote tweet, September 9, 2026, 16:41 UTC · 219 likes

Everybody shut up and go do this

I’m only slightly overstating^, if you’re reading this you should very seriously consider applying in a much stronger sense than every other “consider applying” post you see

Quoting Coefficient Giving (@coeff_giving): Today we're launching Project Tailwind, a major call for founders to launch ambitious AI safety initiatives: https://coefficientgiving.org/tailwind/?utm_partner=cg&utm_medium=organic-social&utm_source=twitter.com&utm_campaign=tailwind-2026&utm_content=cg-official

We're looking for exceptional people to build the research, technologies, and institutions that will help humanity navigate the risks of transformative AI. 🧵

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Quote tweet, September 10, 2025, 04:23 UTC · 218 likes

Everyone needs to chill now, there’s an obvious more charitable reading which is that “not my intellectual peer” was referring to, like within the domain of Hegelian philosophy or whatever her thing was…

Quoting critter (@BecomingCritter):

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Quote tweet, May 24, 2026, 01:22 UTC · 218 likes

I've been hardened by the Hinge mines at this point but the sudden "potential partner" -> "we will never interact again" dynamic is objectively kinda weird

Of course it makes things easier in some ways rather than harder, but the human brain isn't build for that nonetheless

Quoting Someone:

Tweet, April 13, 2026, 19:57 UTC · 217 likes

Bouta counterfactually change the trajectory of the US Federal Government, wish me luck

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Quote tweet, February 26, 2025, 08:57 UTC · 214 likes

Apparently 1%-ish of global warming comes from the literal heat of burning stuff

Which isn’t a lot but it’s not hard to imagine scaling up nuclear 100x or way more to the point that we get serious warming by a totally new mechanism

You never really hear about this though

Quoting Aaron Bergman 🔍 (@AaronBergman18): Guy who believes in global warming but not the greenhouse effect bc obviously air gets hotter when you burn oil/whatever

Tweet, August 11, 2025, 13:12 UTC · 213 likes

Can’t Jensen Huang just personally be a bit of a better person or perhaps a tad more patriotic

He’s super rich, he’s gonna be super rich either way, why is he fighting so hard for myopic shareholder value at the expense of everything else

Tweet, January 29, 2026, 15:02 UTC · 213 likes

2025-30 is plausibly the highest leverage time for the leftist economic project in history and they don’t really seem to be on the ball

Quote tweet, February 2, 2026, 12:46 UTC · 213 likes

People will get more upset about factory farms for (non-rare) books than actual factory farms

Lots of naive pattern matching going on

Quoting Adam Tooze (@adam_tooze): Not so much a library as a cattle pen for books. Anthropic's books before destruction.

Tweet, June 21, 2026, 19:13 UTC · 213 likes

Thank god peptides generally have to be injected

If not than a single kid somewhere would OD on BPC157 somehow for a YouTube dare and we’d get “Kevin’s Law” banning them all forever and ordering Reagan-like
militaristic enforcement

Tweet, July 28, 2026, 16:12 UTC · 213 likes

Insufficient such cases

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Tweet, October 2, 2026, 00:51 UTC · 213 likes

slutcon is an earnest straight pride parade send tweet

Tweet, September 17, 2025, 14:51 UTC · 212 likes

Can everyone slow down and give me like a week to read the book plz

I know you read 75 pages a second, some of us have IQs that don’t round to 200

Tweet, February 26, 2025, 16:30 UTC · 211 likes

I’m a missing sock truther

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Quote tweet, April 15, 2024, 11:49 UTC · 210 likes

Sometimes fancy words are helpful and good to use

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Quoting BuccoCapital Bloke (@buccocapital): There’s literally thousands of product managers in tech who all speak the same weird way to sound “smart”. A partial dictionary:

- N of 1
- ontological
- superlinear
- vector alignment
- first principles
- stochastic
- synthesize
- catalyze
- asymptotic
- metonym
- tautological

Quote tweet, July 8, 2024, 19:22 UTC · 209 likes

I unironically think I could be emperor of the universe and simply not be corrupt

Idk, seems like a skill issue

Quoting Grace (@kindgracekind): They say power corrupts, but I like to think I could be corrupt without having any power at all

Tweet, September 7, 2026, 05:38 UTC · 209 likes

Uber/Lyft is interesting bc ~99% of drivers are people who could use the money (totally legit ofc) and ~1% very unusual people who simply always need to be doing something (and driving for Uber is a thing to do)

Tweet, August 18, 2025, 14:07 UTC · 208 likes

Both things are still playing out but I’ve seen enough to say:

for God’s sake, if you or a loved one is having anything beyond a *trivially* routine medical issue, write up the details (maybe just a single typed message if you’re in an ER) and ask a *frontier* LLM

Tweet, September 10, 2025, 13:58 UTC · 208 likes

Let it be known that girls are welcome to slide into my DMs to tell me I’m wrong about stuff

Quote tweet, April 18, 2025, 16:02 UTC · 206 likes

Agree or not with the essay, this is @DrAllyLouks level handling of the situation, if not superior (probably superior tbh, sorry ally)

Quoting Nicholas Decker (@captgouda24): Secret Service came by, and we had a lovely chat. Discussion touched on many points, with an amicable resolution of differences. Conduct is fully legal.

Tweet, September 15, 2026, 22:21 UTC · 206 likes

Effective altruism is good and correct

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Tweet, September 12, 2025, 00:05 UTC · 205 likes

Decker is right that a truly categorical moral prohibition on political violence is dumb/bad/wrong

Tweet, November 5, 2025, 16:09 UTC · 205 likes

Started looking into “concierge” medical practices, and they’re mostly just shorter wait times and fancy offices and the ability to text your doctor?

How do I pay for someone to simply take a serious interest in my case? I don’t need same day scheduling

Quote tweet, May 30, 2024, 12:51 UTC · 202 likes

The crazy thing is that all the steps check out. This meme is an accurate model

Quoting Chris Freiman (@cafreiman):

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Tweet, March 17, 2025, 05:25 UTC · 200 likes

Interesting answer to a question that in hindsight I should have been curious about

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Quote tweet, February 10, 2026, 23:01 UTC · 200 likes

For real though, 8 years is an absolutely insane potential sentence for a fake ID and drug possession

Will he get that? Probably not, but that’s my point: the system runs on prosecutorial discretion under the guise of rule of law

Quoting Dexerto (@Dexerto): Streamer Clavicular will be sentenced to 8 years in prison if he's convicted on all counts and receives the maximum penalties

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Tweet, October 20, 2025, 17:50 UTC · 198 likes

Didn’t AWS claim like 99.999999% reliability or something?

I mean maybe they hit that one in a billion accident yesterday but I think it’s more likely that they’re (intentionally) bad at forecasting

Tweet, April 30, 2025, 16:36 UTC · 194 likes

Two takeaways from Zuck on Dwarkesh, before I’ve even finished the episode:

1) Zuck doesn’t take the possibility of an algorithm-led/algorithmic progress-dominated intelligence explosion seriously

2) Zuck is imagining that the world looks fundamentally similar to rn in a decade

Tweet, April 29, 2026, 07:29 UTC · 193 likes

The world is cosmically unfair. Why was I not born a farmed pig? Why does this “end” with me gradually ~forgetting about the issue (even if I’ll do my meager part occasionally) while in reality, for the pigs, it doesn’t end at all

Quote tweet, February 1, 2025, 06:05 UTC · 192 likes

It makes sense to use stimulants to be at your best and sharpest during high stakes moments

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Quoting Dissproportionately (@dissproportion): It isn’t even about whether Zyn is unhealthy. It’s about whether RFK is too stupid and weak to make it through *a senate hearing* without popping one. Come on.

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Quote tweet, November 23, 2025, 05:48 UTC · 192 likes

Gemini 3 seems to grok culture, at least a bit:

> be me
> "Alignment Researcher" (unemployed with a Substack)
> open Twitter/X
> it is 3 AM
> bio says "p(doom): 35% | effective altruist | post-rat | ⚡️e/acc is a psyop"
> see leading AI lab CEO tweet a cryptic singular emoji: "🫡"
> timeline instantly bifurcates
> half my feed is having a mental breakdown, convinced this signals AGI has been achieved internally and we have 48 hours left
> other half is anime avatars screaming "WE ARE SO BACK"
> check Manifold Markets
> "Will the emoji tweet result in human extinction by 2026?"
> market shoots up 3%
> arbitrage opportunity
> buy NO because I need to pay rent next month (assuming money still exists)
> start writing a thread
> "Some preliminary Bayesian updates on the Emoji Situation (1/47)"
> use words like "orthogonality thesis," "Moloch," and "infohazard" to sound authoritative
> get quote-tweeted by a tech VC
> "This is decel mindset. Build god or die trying."
> get into a 30-reply argument about Roko's Basilisk with a user named "BasedGpuCluster"
> realize midway through that I am arguing with an LLM
> I am the training data
> close app
> go to local EA meetup to touch grass
> everyone at the meetup is looking at their phones
> talking about the emoji tweet
> mfw there is no escape from the discourse

Quoting rohit (@krishnanrohit): Gemini is fantastic with greentext

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Tweet, June 22, 2026, 15:44 UTC · 192 likes

The high-EQ high-decoupling likable + interpersonally agreeable but at least somewhat intellectually disagreeable person who is fluent in both normie and autism is an extremely rare and prized asset (positive, non-dehumanizing)

Quote tweet, November 24, 2025, 20:36 UTC · 191 likes

What the fuck

Quoting Alex Smith (@ninja_maths): Fun fact. The series below diverges, but really, really slowly.

The sum of the first trillion terms is only about 28.

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Tweet, November 2, 2025, 18:48 UTC · 190 likes

Having a printer is crazy. You can print whatever u want, nobody can stop you

Quote tweet, September 11, 2026, 20:16 UTC · 190 likes

This is his main tactic

Quoting Liron Shapira (@liron): “Sam Altman would tell me that he wholeheartedly agred with my concerns and then act in a way that contradicted them.”
—@DKokotajlo in The Free Press

When your handpicked safety/alignment people are constantly quitting on you in disgust, year after year, the premise wears thin.

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Quote tweet, March 20, 2024, 19:14 UTC · 189 likes

Turns out a “virtual environment” is also just a folder (with some files inside)

Quoting Aaron Bergman 🔍 (@AaronBergman18): Computer ppl keep inventing new words for things

Ever heard some nerd say “repository” or “repo”? Turns out they mean a fucking folder

Now some mf decided to rename program/app to “container”

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Quote tweet, May 4, 2024, 23:48 UTC · 189 likes

EULER WAS 18TH CENTURY??? MY BRAIN CLUSTERS HIM WITH LIKE PLATO AND ARISTOTLE

Quoting Burny - Effective Curiosity (@burny_tech): What equations would you add?

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Tweet, May 18, 2024, 02:30 UTC · 189 likes

Apparently base salary for entry level SWE is $267k. Not a shit ton of money in SF but not a poverty wage either

The OpenAI contract stuff is insane but also if you’re making $300k and have info relevant to like all of society you should probably grow a fucking pear and say it

Quote tweet, August 3, 2025, 18:30 UTC · 189 likes

Fighting back by giving advice to all the women: y’alls dating app profiles are incredibly boring (like 90%ish of them)

Like I understand the market dynamics that make this prima facie seem like a good strategy, but you probably want to polarize potential partners much more

Quoting Bryan Caplan (@bryan_caplan): Intimidated into silence in a wide range of ways, including shaming.

Quote tweet, August 25, 2024, 00:08 UTC · 188 likes

I can do the math and get the right answer, but I have basically no intuition on the matter

I wonder if anyone is smart/well calibrated enough to get this kind of thing right with just system 1

Quoting Daniel Litt (@littmath): You have 10000 coins. 9999 of them are fair; one is rigged so that it always lands on heads. You choose a coin at random and flip it 10 times; it’s heads all ten times. The coin is probably

Tweet, June 22, 2026, 00:32 UTC · 188 likes

U gotta be posting into the void if ur a small acct

I will very likely follow you back if you’re posting but not in hopes you might eventually post (guessing im not alone)

Quote tweet, September 30, 2025, 00:28 UTC · 186 likes

Not sure I feel great about this CoT trace

Quoting Jeffrey Ladish (@JeffLadish): You can tell an AI model that you won’t read their “hidden scratchpad" but they won’t necessarily believe you

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Quote tweet, July 29, 2026, 04:07 UTC · 185 likes

Since observers have existed on Earth, the sun has risen every single day. Something like a trillion days and observations, a pretty large dataset, all the same

And yet we are ~absolutely certain that in about 10T days the sun will not rise on Earth

Quoting Alexey Guzey (@alexeyguzey): Nice to have some consistency in the world.

Dario has been telling us how dangerous open source is since 2019 when he convinced everyone that GPT-2 is so dangerous its weights can't be released.

I wrote the below in 2023.

0% reflection. 0% updating. 100% obsession with power.

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Tweet, January 8, 2025, 04:38 UTC · 184 likes

Hanania is what you get when someone who’s kinda an asshole at heart decides to be intellectually honest

The opposite of many liberals (in the American sense), for better and for worse

Quote tweet, August 22, 2025, 03:22 UTC · 184 likes

Air raid warning-esque sirens should go off in your head whenever you encounter the phrase “there’s no evidence that…”

Quoting Rob Wiblin (@robertwiblin): I keep reading people saying "there's no evidence current AIs have subjective experience."

But I have zero idea what empirical evidence the speakers would expect to observe if they were.

Tweet, April 7, 2025, 17:20 UTC · 182 likes

Trump is sufficiently insane that it wouldn’t make a difference, but in general it seems bad that admitting failure is seen as commendable only in tiny pockets of our culture

Tweet, October 17, 2025, 15:10 UTC · 181 likes

Maybe this is an infohazard but you can just add people to your Substack mailing list without their consent

Quote tweet, July 7, 2026, 07:30 UTC · 181 likes

My contribution to this discourse is that people will often present a bunch of reasonable and legitimate reasons why dating a coworker is bad all else equal but then totally forget to account for “you can get a happy relationship out of it”

Quoting Karol Markowicz (@karol): Was MeToo just a fever dream?

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Tweet, October 15, 2025, 14:28 UTC · 180 likes

Oh snap

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Tweet, September 16, 2025, 20:40 UTC · 179 likes

RIP FTX, man

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Quote tweet, November 6, 2024, 16:09 UTC · 177 likes

This kind of bootlicking is sad to see (and an indictment of Trump’s character) but it’s also totally rational and even courageous. Bootlicking can be justified if it means you will be more likely to win a just war

Quoting Volodymyr Zelenskyy / Володимир Зеленський (@ZelenskyyUa): Congratulations to @realDonaldTrump on his impressive election victory!

I recall our great meeting with President Trump back in September, when we discussed in detail the Ukraine-U.S. strategic partnership, the Victory Plan, and ways to put an end to Russian aggression against Ukraine.

I appreciate President Trump’s commitment to the “peace through strength” approach in global affairs. This is exactly the principle that can practically bring just peace in Ukraine closer. I am hopeful that we will put it into action together.

We look forward to an era of a strong United States of America under President Trump’s decisive leadership. We rely on continued strong bipartisan support for Ukraine in the United States.

We are interested in developing mutually beneficial political and economic cooperation that will benefit both of our nations. Ukraine, as one of Europe's strongest military powers, is committed to ensuring long-term peace and security in Europe and the Transatlantic community with the support of our allies.

I am looking forward to personally congratulating President Trump and discussing ways to strengthen Ukraine's strategic partnership with the United States.

Quote tweet, December 1, 2025, 21:48 UTC · 177 likes

"End of the world" is a funny term because it's not obvious what it's supposed to mean even when used ~literally:

- society collapses
- no human remains alive
- the earth doesn't support animal life
- the earth doesn't support any life
- the earth is physically destroyed
- the universe no longer supports life
- the universe no longer exists in some sense (closest to literal)

Quoting yung macro 宏观年少传奇 (@apralky): ok then!

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Quote tweet, August 1, 2026, 19:50 UTC · 175 likes

I was told and largely believed that being an Eagle Scout would be like a grand marker of status in the adult world

I have never gotten even the slightest sense that anyone gives a shit lmao (I don’t blame them, it truly is mostly paperwork)

Quoting agartha christie (@samoyed_online): Whenever I tell someone I’m an eagle scout they go “oh that makes sense”. I was hoping this was because of my conscientious nature but I’ve come to accept that it’s the autism

Tweet, May 28, 2024, 05:09 UTC · 174 likes

Golden rice is cool and all but is it not easier to just people beta carotene? Golden rice is literally just rice with beta carotene lol

I feel like this must be a dumb take somehow…

Quote tweet, January 24, 2026, 23:41 UTC · 174 likes

I don’t want this guy owning a galaxy

Quoting Lisan al Gaib (@scaling01): don't forget who supports all of this

Greggy gave $25 million to support Trump

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Quote tweet, February 28, 2026, 04:41 UTC · 172 likes

Pretty depressing

Quoting Liv Boeree (@Liv_Boeree): @eigenrobot Banana republic

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Quote tweet, March 17, 2026, 15:26 UTC · 171 likes

This is insane and only makes things worse for actual coercive sexual assault victims

Quoting Maya Luna (@envisionedluna): So
- he was only a TA
- they got together after she was no longer in his class
- only made out, no sex
- 5 year age difference

It sucks that a lot of the legacy of MeToo has been to give women the power to destroy the lives of men for personal slights and drama

Quote tweet, February 14, 2025, 06:06 UTC · 168 likes

I’m pro-Aella but also anti-anti-anti-Aella (sorta)

I don’t think yelling “WOW SHE REALLY BULLDOZED THAT ABSOLUTE DUMBASS LOSER” is a good way to foster scout mindset, memetically

Quoting Aella (@Aella_Girl): Because they see 'not knowing what you're talking about' as losing. This type of debate strategy wants to have the feeling of 'winning' at all costs, which leaves no room for backing down even when you've made an error.
Learning to lose is a difficult and important skill!

Tweet, June 30, 2025, 16:43 UTC · 167 likes

You are morally obligated to buy one of these hats and where it in public whenever you go out

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Tweet, October 7, 2023, 05:24 UTC · 166 likes

Nobody has any idea if Shakespeare is any good bc his plays are basically gibberish and should be translated into modern English as John McWhorter convincingly argues in episode 142 of the 80000 Hours Podcast with Rob Wiblin about the world’s most pressing problems

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Quote tweet, April 1, 2026, 15:51 UTC · 166 likes

Yes. YES!!!

Quoting Department of Buildings (@NYC_Buildings): We’re leaving no stone unturned in tackling the city's housing crisis!

Today DOB approved plans for NYC’s 1st underground skyscraper, a 90-story building constructed below street level to protect skyline views.

Keep your eyes peeled for more “earthscrapers” across every borough

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Tweet, May 20, 2025, 23:35 UTC · 165 likes

Video thumbnail (video, plays on X)

Tweet, October 17, 2023, 20:31 UTC · 164 likes

6’ guy who says he’s 5’11” on Hinge to filter out women who don’t understand adverse selection

Tweet, January 30, 2024, 22:28 UTC · 163 likes

This is one part of the human condition LLMs have just totally nullified

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Quote tweet, February 28, 2026, 17:25 UTC · 163 likes

Dude is a bad actor and cannot be trusted

Zero integrity, afaict zero ethical conviction

Quoting Malcolm Harris (@BigMeanInternet): Oh did Sam Altman make a misleading statement?

Tweet, March 28, 2024, 14:40 UTC · 161 likes

Taboo to say, at least among self-identified EAs, but SBF doesn’t deserve life in prison

If that’s what the sentencing guidelines say, the sentencing guidelines are bad and unjust

Quote tweet, April 24, 2025, 00:52 UTC · 161 likes

This is e/acc for

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Quoting bayes (@bayeslord): o3 is smart but keep an eye on that mf

Tweet, July 9, 2025, 20:39 UTC · 161 likes

It really needs to be common knowledge that there is not a single ethical system that returns intuitive results

So merely pointing out an unintuitive implication is ~0 evidence - you have to explain why it’s especially egregious compared to all the others!

Quote tweet, March 23, 2026, 07:21 UTC · 161 likes

Yeah we’re gonna need a new social contract around this

Most of Americans’ privacy is downstream of no one being able to monitor all the data sources they legally have access to (including the state)

Quoting Rick (@rickasaurus): AI really changes the nature of these security cameras

Quote tweet, May 10, 2026, 18:37 UTC · 160 likes

Is this real

Who in the world is asking for cursive

Is there a fancy pen lobby big enough to lobby at the state level

Quoting Governor Josh Shapiro (@GovernorShapiro): When it comes to letting our kids be kids, let’s get back to the basics — and that starts in our schools.

That’s why I signed a bipartisan bill that will ensure cursive handwriting — a fundamental skill — is taught in all Pennsylvania public schools.

It’s also why I’ve called on the state legislature to pass legislation requiring schools to implement a bell-to-bell ban on cell phones so that our kids can spend more time interacting face-to-face, instead of on their phones.

We have to look out for our kids’ future — let’s get it done.

Quote tweet, May 13, 2026, 20:04 UTC · 160 likes

Racial identity games are not the path to a good and just society

Our institutions are not good enough to handle the minute delta between “in-principle ideal amount of race consideration” and “fake-it-till-you-make-it colorblindness”, so we should do the latter

Quoting Chris Brunet (@chrisbrunet): > Indian professor classifies Chinese professor as white in HR records to justify denying him a promotion

amazing

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Tweet, March 26, 2025, 18:14 UTC · 159 likes

There are many possibilities beyond the Ghibli thing

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Tweet, June 12, 2025, 15:57 UTC · 159 likes

Cold take but the left really does have a responsibility not to be insane so that it becomes abundantly obvious which party is better for virtually everyone

Quote tweet, January 12, 2026, 02:15 UTC · 159 likes

Fuck Donald Trump

Trying his hardest to ruin a good and above-replacement country for personal power and glory or something like that

Quoting Federal Reserve (@federalreserve): Video message from Federal Reserve Chair Jerome H. Powell: https://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/speech/powell20260111a.htm

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Tweet, July 24, 2026, 02:43 UTC · 159 likes

God it is depressing that EA-esque concerns are coded as both too woke and ~insufficiently woke by different groups of people who have zero interest in what the other group believes or says

(80k pod with @jasminewsun: https://80000hours.org/podcast/episodes/jasmine-sun-ai-anthropology/)

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Quote tweet, September 3, 2026, 05:18 UTC · 159 likes

I will take this opportunity to swallow my pride and say that I tried like medium hard to break pangram (ie some sort of LLM writing process that would get coded as human) and basically failed

Quoting Max Spero (@max_spero_): Talking with journalists is cool because you have to make sure you never say anything that could be twisted or taken out of context.

But if you take a couple seconds to think about a question, they can just write about you as if you're the most awkward person alive

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