Aaron Bergman's tweets, June 2023
Every public tweet, reply, quote tweet and retweet that Aaron Bergman (@AaronBergman18 on X, formerly Twitter) posted in June 2023 and has not deleted: 698 posts, oldest first, times in UTC. Each heading links to the original post on X. When Aaron replies to or quotes someone, their tweet appears as a blockquote with their name; those words are theirs, and everything outside the blockquotes is Aaron's.
This page is one month of the complete archive of Aaron Bergman's tweets, which updates automatically every few hours. Previous month: May 2023. Next month: July 2023.
Thursday, June 1, 2023
Reply to @Jsevillamol, 00:44 UTC · 2 likes
Jaime Sevilla (@Jsevillamol): We’ve combined our work to answer this question. In short, the conclusion of previous work is upheld: we expect near-complete AI automation this century. Matthew further explains how a compute-centric view of AI suggests that short (<4 years) timelines of automation are unlikely.
Eyeballing the graph, “unlikely” means ~10% chance
Reply to @Laura_k_Duffy, 06:57 UTC · 5 likes
Laura Muresianu 🌐🔸🇺🇸 (@Laura_k_Duffy): Bam also while still intoxicated
Jfc
Reply to @ohwizenedtortle, 07:01 UTC · 3 likes
oh dandy lion🔸 (@ohwizenedtortle): @AaronBergman18 (sorry I did better 😟)
Lmao
Reply to @daniel_271828, 07:17 UTC · 4 likes
zzDANIEL_ETH (@daniel_271828): Short enough timelines make this a nonissue
At some point we will reach iPhone charge escape velocity, when people indeed commit not to charge their phone again until AGI
Tweet, 13:49 UTC · 9 likes
To the taxi driver who refused to take young, rapidly-bleeding Derek Parfit to the hospital because the blood would have stained his seats
Tweet, 13:52 UTC · 15 likes
I seem to be regaining some credibility points with my family, first earned in early March 2020
Reply to @davidad, 13:55 UTC · 3 likes
davidad 🎇 (@davidad): alternate universe where @algekalipso is born 70 years earlier: “Almost no chance that digital computers can produce music. ‘Digital music’ advocates don’t understand that what constitutes a musical substrate is a topologically connected manifold of potential harmonic resonances”
(quoting @algekalipso: After thinking a lot more/hearing more arguments, the probability that digital computers can be conscious remains <0.01% upon reflection. It's simply the case that advocates of digital sentience don't understand binding, physicalism, & how to avoid epiphenomenalism all at once.)
I think Emilsson is being way too confident here bc we have no clue what’s going on with consciousness, but consciousness is an entirely different thing than X demonstrable capability
Reply to @dylanmatt, 14:41 UTC · 1,686 likes
(The tweet being replied to by @dylanmatt is no longer available.)
Can I join
Reply to @JMannhart, 14:43 UTC · 1 like
Jonathan Mannhart 🔎 (@JMannhart): @MichaelDPlant I think it could have gone either way & it was a bit of luck that got us to this point. An additional 5 years of this being completely ignored seemed quite possible. It was ignored for basically two decades!
I agree it was more likely than not that it would get attention though!
Not just luck, also a huge amount of intentional effort!
Reply, 15:08 UTC · 2 likes
The disanalogy here is that a bunch of really smart people (you, Jacey, Chalmers, …) disagree about the thing being proved unlike in the triangle case. If merely *I* didn’t share your understanding it would be a different story
It would also be a different story if one party
Thread, continued, 15:09 UTC · 2 likes
had a track record of excellent calibration or making philosophical claims that only later come to be regarded as way more plausible than they were at the time, but afaik there’s no one like this wrt the possibility of digital sentience
Reply to @dylanmatt, 16:14 UTC · 3 likes
(The tweet being replied to by @dylanmatt is no longer available.)
https://www.aaronbergman.net/p/tf-is-a-kernel
Reply to @nicholaraihani, 16:36 UTC · 7 likes
Prof Nichola Raihani (@nicholaraihani): I have just been to the most devastating talk in my life. Exercise has no effect on daily energy expenditure - the most and least active populations burn the same number of calories. WTF. @HermanPontzer
This can’t be true at the limit, though. If you spend 3000 calories moving (marathon?) your TEE can’t be below 3k
Tweet, 17:38 UTC · 8 likes
We need a Manhattan Project to find out where all the socks are going
Tweet, 18:17 UTC · 27 likes
Waiting for someone to ask out a mutual like:
Ideal gf:
- @[handle]
Reply to @absurdlymax, 18:43 UTC · 1 like
Max Alexander (@absurdlymax): Guys I need your help
N4N ?
Reply to @absurdlymax, 18:45 UTC · 2 likes
Max Alexander (@absurdlymax): @AaronBergman18 Do you really want to chance this competition coming between us?
It’s a mutually beneficial trade in terms of probability!
Reply to @lxrjl, 19:07 UTC · 5 likes
alex lawsen (@lxrjl): Tag urself I'm "many others"
I’m just “others”
Reply to @nickcammarata, 19:10 UTC · 3 likes
Nick (@nickcammarata): confusion in two sentences
your parents fucked you up and nearly everyone finds (via psychedelics, ifs, meditation, etc…) their deepest rooted issues are connected to their parents
twins raised separately studies show parents barely matter to almost every measurable outcome
Is this true? I’m fucked up in various ways and am pretty sure it’s not my parents fault at all
Reply to @MikeIsaac, 19:17 UTC · 6 likes
rat king 🐀 (@MikeIsaac): https://www.nytimes.com/2023/06/01/style/when-the-neighbors-dont-share-your-vision-and-that-vision-involves-transformers-statues.html
I walked by these guys hundreds of times at Georgetown! Tbh I never really gave them a second thought lmao, I think they fit in just fine
Reply to @inerati, 19:22 UTC · 6 likes
(The tweet being replied to by @inerati is no longer available.)
Family scrabble record be like
Mom: 71-45 (she is the one true wordcell)
Me: 45-71
Sister: 0-116
Dad: 0-116
Reply to @austinc3301, 20:02 UTC · 2 likes
Agus 🔸 (@austinc3301): @StatsLime @QualyThe Wait what
I don’t think this is the case at all, could you elaborate?
I think it’s literally true as written but not for the very most talented ppl
Reply to @PradyuPrasad, 20:14 UTC · 4 likes
(The tweet being replied to by @PradyuPrasad is no longer available.)
The origin story
Reply to @ohwizenedtortle, 22:33 UTC · 4 likes
oh dandy lion🔸 (@ohwizenedtortle): Ideal gf:
- @QualyThe (all three posters, at the same time, all wearing the same costume)(quoting @AaronBergman18: Waiting for someone to ask out a mutual like: Ideal gf: - @[handle])
QUALY U OWE THE TURTLE/LION/?? A RESPONSE
Reply to @QualyThe, 22:36 UTC · 4 likes
Qualy the lightbulb (@QualyThe): no ❤️
F
Reply to @NathanpmYoung, 22:49 UTC · 1 like
Nathan 🔎 (@NathanpmYoung): google docs headings now collapse content underneath them
we are so back
Reply to @ohwizenedtortle, 22:51 UTC · 1 like
oh dandy lion🔸 (@ohwizenedtortle): OK here I go! My dream gf (take 1):
- kind
- emotionally reflective/self-aware
- curious
- funny/witty
- thinks abt the life they want
- encourage each other to pursue happiness
- cares about effective charity/helping others
- probs brunette
- probs 24-33
- probs has ADHD
You can just tag me next time
Reply to @edgar_z_lin, 23:32 UTC · 2 likes
Edgar Lin (@edgar_z_lin): @AaronBergman18 tbh they're all re-covering the same colonel's presentation, so I'm probably withholding judgment until more details become known.
So I may be wrong about being wrong about the thing having been wrong
Reply to @luke_metro, 23:43 UTC · 4 likes
Luke Metro (@luke_metro): everybody dunking on this with the calculator needs to learn:
True but only because everyone needs to learn it
Reply to @m_ashcroft, 23:45 UTC · 2 likes
Michael Ashcroft (@m_ashcroft): sometimes I want to get back into maths, and then I remember that 1 + 1 + 1 + 1 to infinity = - 1/2
and I think…nah
Friday, June 2, 2023
Reply to @Haydnseek1, 00:01 UTC · 5 likes
(The tweet being replied to by @Haydnseek1 is no longer available.)
Good tweet
Reply to @BootsPlatypus, 00:11 UTC · 4 likes
Platypussy in Bio (@BootsPlatypus): @absurdlymax @reconfigurthing you don't get addicted to melatonin?
I don’t
Tweet, 00:15 UTC · 29 likes
Ideal gf according to Hinge
- REALLY likes Taylor Swift
- likes hiking, coffee, and books almost as much
- 5’2”
- Jewish but not Jewish Jewish
- at least one pic is outdoorsy
- also maybe Asian
- probably some mildly self deprecating prompts that are definitely basically fake
Thread, continued, 00:15 UTC · 3 likes
Tbh not terrible guesses
Reply to @EmilybyNight, 00:30 UTC · 14 likes
Emily (@EmilybyNight): bartenders, what's an order that makes you say "damn, she knows her shit" and also "she's chill"
Virgin Diet Coke and Rum
Reply to @ohwizenedtortle, 00:42 UTC · 2 likes
oh dandy lion🔸 (@ohwizenedtortle): This was a pain to find and I feel it's evergreen so I'm just RTing with some key words: the real autism or autist test question
(quoting @ohwizenedtortle: @AaronBergman18)
Do u think u have autism?
Reply to @finnhambly, 00:49 UTC · 4 likes
Finn Hambly (@finnhambly): There is one thing Hinge needs to add to their app and it's a guide entitled 'How to Make a Dating Profile Without Mentioning Taylor Swift'
Thread, continued, 00:51 UTC · 2 likes
Looks like some of these are duplicates. even still!
Reply to @PradyuPrasad, 01:42 UTC · 2 likes
Pradyumna 🇸🇬 (@PradyuPrasad): @AaronBergman18 i unironically think I would have great fun and do good work if I ever worked on the Hill
@POTUS I recommend Pradyumna Prasad for everything
Reply to @ohwizenedtortle, 02:18 UTC · 3 likes
oh dandy lion🔸 (@ohwizenedtortle): @AaronBergman18 how about you? I think you've said you don't have it but have some of the signs of it.
Yeah, I honestly don’t know much about it as an actual psychological (neurological?) phenomenon but my sense is that low salience or understanding of social events is a key/central symptom (for lack of a better word) and I def don’t have that
Thread, continued, 02:22 UTC · 3 likes
Like I think I’m pretty attuned to people’s moods, status, things like that, but even still am introverted, care less than avg about social norms, high decoupling, easily overwhelmed by sensory input, EXTREME need for comfy clothes/prefer no tags lol
Thread, continued, 02:24 UTC · 2 likes
Special interests, lmao: I went through a phase of learning everything there is to learn about the Titanic. Plausibly pharmacology is my Current Thing but idk I might be overfitting; idk how uncommon this kind of thing actually is
Thread, continued, 02:28 UTC · 2 likes
I do think the sensory overload thing is real for me though
After enough socializing if I’m around my family I’ll literally tell them “no trying to talk to me for X hours unless there’s an emergency” lmao
Reply to @JMannhart, 03:24 UTC · 2 likes
Jonathan Mannhart 🔎 (@JMannhart): @ohwizenedtortle Wait, but are you a lion or a turtle? I feel like this should be clear, pretty big difference in the dating pool options…
Speciesism smh
Reply to @emollick, 03:26 UTC · 2 likes
Ethan Mollick (@emollick): Quick, can you answer the CAPTCHA questions in the images?
If you answered “milk” & “toast," you are a human. This Amazon-patented technology is a Reverse Turing Test, things humans would get wrong but machines would get right (Works on today's AI, too) https://patents.google.com/patent/US9767263B1/en
COWS* ALSO DRINK MILK
*baby cows
Reply to @AndyMasley, 07:20 UTC · 3 likes
Andy Masley (@AndyMasley): Yup it turns out it is fake. The reporter got it wrong and this was a "scenario," not a "simulation" which means it was just the military saying "This could potentially happen." It's effectively a blog post.
(quoting @s8mb: I bet this is fake)
I was wrong and also wrong about being wrong about having been wrong
Reply to @michael_nielsen, 07:22 UTC · 5 likes
Michael Nielsen (@michael_nielsen): Without looking it up - that would spoil the pleasure(!) - do you think the Sun is more or less dense than the Earth?
Isn’t it non obvious where the sun starts and ends?
Quote tweet, 07:26 UTC · 4 likes
I have several hours of browsing history concerning this (and competitors)
I regretfully have not bought the $44k house
Quoting Wade 'n Tarnation 🤠🚂 (@watn_tarnation): in my America you can put your whole mortgage on the Home Depot Credit Card for 0% APR for 24 months.
Reply to @eatonphil, 07:30 UTC · 21 likes
Phil Eaton (@eatonphil): that janestreet intern implemented tcp/ip
Someone explain (I read tho blog post and still don’t get it lol)
Reply to @dieworkwear, 08:30 UTC · 4 likes
derek guy (@dieworkwear): you really get a sense of how shrunken men's silhouettes have become—almost mimicking the clothes of a little boy—when you compare them to something in a more traditional cut
They look exactly the same to me
Reply to @frances__lorenz, 09:26 UTC · 6 likes
(The tweet being replied to by @frances__lorenz is no longer available.)
Choosing to believe this is real
Reply to @QualyThe, 13:37 UTC · 8 likes
Qualy the lightbulb (@QualyThe): "the best way to prevent nuclear war is to invent the nuclear bomb and build loads of them really quickly"
As an expert in the history of nuclear weapons (listened to the last Dwarkesh podcast), the technical side of things (took AP Physics in 2017) and diplomacy (AP Govt+politics) I don’t think this gives due credit to the theoretical and empirical successes of deterrence
Reply to @Laura_k_Duffy, 15:25 UTC · 2 likes
Laura Muresianu 🌐🔸🇺🇸 (@Laura_k_Duffy): The Anacostia bike trail is my new favorite thing in DC ♥️
Have u been to the billy goat trail yet?
Reply to @dissproportion, 15:36 UTC · 2 likes
(The tweet being replied to by @dissproportion is no longer available.)
the fact that you follow me is exploitative
Reply to @mbateman, 16:40 UTC · 9 likes
Matt Bateman (@mbateman): I *love* that everyone is trying to meme their dream partners into existence with objective list theory and wouldn’t dissuade anyone from this exercise, but:
Almost every enduring couple I know found it fairly surprising what traits in a partner ended up making for a great match
For example, most girls don’t realize that “mid, 5’7” pedantic Neolib-rationalist type with strong takes about arcane philosophy, into esoteric online charity discussion and drugs but in the lamest possible sense” is actually the only necessary and sufficient set of such traits
Tweet, 17:02 UTC · 11 likes
I respect @50cent as an artist but it seems we have some disagreements about epistemology and the nature of value 🧵
Thread, continued, 17:02 UTC · 5 likes
In his canonical masterpiece Many Men, 50 asserts that positive hedonic states are causally or logically enhanced in magnitude by the existence of negative states
Thread, continued, 17:02 UTC · 5 likes
However, this seems mistaken
Insofar as a relationship exists, it is downstream of psychological representations of the original hedonic states rather than the difference between the states themselves
Thread, continued, 17:02 UTC · 4 likes
Later in the work, 50 claims that differential outcomes between his bullet wound and that of a rival make it “clear” that his existence is the result of teleological—indeed likely divine—intention
Thread, continued, 17:02 UTC · 4 likes
I readily concede that the events described are evidence directionally in favor of such a conclusion
However, there are two countervailing considerations
Thread, continued, 17:02 UTC · 4 likes
First, a localized version of the anthropic principle makes his observation of the reverse situation (in which his bullet wound is fatal) impossible and therefore the observation is much weaker, if any, Bayesian evidence
Thread, continued, 17:02 UTC · 2 likes
Second, a more parsimonious, plausible, and harmonious (with the extant scientific consensus in all physical sciences) explanation is that of mere luck. This alternative too dampens the strength of the evidence discussed
Thread, continued, 17:02 UTC · 7 likes
I look forward to the @50cent’s response and hope in earnest for a fruitful dialogue to resolve such important philosophical disagreements
Reply to @megacity1000, 17:03 UTC · 6 likes
☁︎‧₊˚ (@megacity1000): an intern wrote a TCP IP stack from scratch in OCAML, and it worked flawlessly, basically
not the kind of thing anyone could do over the weekend
I think imma dip out of this discussion seeing as TCP IP and OCAML look like random collections of letters to me
Reply to @AndyMasley, 17:10 UTC · 2 likes
Andy Masley (@AndyMasley): I'm sure they're out there though! Would appreciate any recommendations from people who know more about it.
I mean I haven’t thought at all about this but can easily imagine it being bad ex post for a dozen galaxy brain reasons: meat eating, nth order effects on AI, etc
Hard to imagine ex ante though
Reply to @AndyMasley, 17:15 UTC · 2 likes
Andy Masley (@AndyMasley): @AaronBergman18 By a funny coincidence I was reading this when you tweeted
Oh present humans? That one’s easy: most of the ppl saved are already dead. Surely higher population currently includes some people who are suffering terribly, plausibly enough to outweigh other benefits even under a total utilitarian view
Tweet, 17:25 UTC · 7 likes
99% of the time “but what about nice farms 🥺” is non-vegan (ie me) cope
But you actually can be the 1% and do the thing!
Reply to @PicturesFoIder, 17:29 UTC · 1 like
non aesthetic things (@PicturesFoIder):
Wait the takeaway here still seems to be that sex work could be very lucrative
Reply to @Laura_k_Duffy, 18:07 UTC · 2 likes
Laura Muresianu 🌐🔸🇺🇸 (@Laura_k_Duffy): @absurdlymax I’m gonna be the pedantic one for once and say that people are not in the set of “things” as I define it
Sounds like a post hoc cope, I have accepted my status as sub-trail
Reply to @absurdlymax, 20:32 UTC · 3 likes
Max Alexander (@absurdlymax): We should do an EA twitter slumber party
Calling that people aren’t gonna like this for vague (some of which maybe legit, I’m agnostic here) concerns about inappropriacy
Reply to @absurdlymax, 20:43 UTC · 4 likes
Max Alexander (@absurdlymax): @Laura_k_Duffy @AaronBergman18 Let's all go rent an Airbnb
yeah I think this would be fun
Reply to @absurdlymax, 20:44 UTC · 2 likes
Max Alexander (@absurdlymax): @RafaRuizdeLira @AaronBergman18 Girls play dnd too and also I wanted to use this an excuse to get gossip and all my friends in one location
👀 gossip 👀
Reply to @absurdlymax, 20:46 UTC · 3 likes
Max Alexander (@absurdlymax): My brother likes taking the window seat and then not looking out it as much as I would
Seat value tax fixes this
Tweet, 21:30 UTC · 4 likes
Why are chocolate chips cheaper than the same chocolate as a bar per oz but shredded and sliced cheese are more than a block?
Reply to his own earlier tweet, 23:26 UTC · 2 likes
Aaron Bergman, May 30, 2023: Apple Podcasts maybe coming soon, RSS feed url coming as soon as I can find it
Only took *checks notes* four days, but here: https://anchor.fm/s/e2a05734/podcast/rss
Reply to @ohwizenedtortle, 23:58 UTC · 2 likes
oh dandy lion🔸 (@ohwizenedtortle): @AaronBergman18 @Laura_k_Duffy @absurdlymax Aaron you are my favourite thing 😈
😘
Saturday, June 3, 2023
Reply to @FrostedSapling, 01:40 UTC · 3 likes
Ivan 🔸 (@FrostedSapling): @RafaRuizdeLira I think you gotta step away from the markets for a bit. Starting to remind me of myself when I traded options lol
Also yes is correct here 😌
Is Ivan secretly a Wall Street billionaire??
Tweet, 03:49 UTC · 3 likes
Anything cool, useful, or helpful I can do with my remaining Google Cloud credits (that's also quite easy and fast)?
Reply to @chriswaterguy, 03:54 UTC · 2 likes
Chris Waterguy – neurodivergent coaching (@chriswaterguy): Are you comparing chocolate chips to chocolate of the same quality? Typically "compound chocolate", I think. Made with vegetable oil, with a higher melting point and probably cheaper.
I think so, and perfect direct comparison supports, although now I'm realizing it might just be the quantities they're sold in acc
Reply to @FrostedSapling, 04:51 UTC · 2 likes
Ivan 🔸 (@FrostedSapling): @AaronBergman18 @RafaRuizdeLira More like a wallstreet pauper. Should I talk about my personal finance and stock/option trading phase more?
I mean yeah sure I’d be curious
Reply to @SteveStuWill, 05:02 UTC · 2 likes
Steve Stewart-Williams (@SteveStuWill): Intelligent brains take longer to solve difficult problems: “participants with higher intelligence scores were only quicker when tackling simple tasks, while they took longer to solve difficult problems than subjects with lower scores.” https://www.bihealth.org/en/notices/intelligent-brains-take-longer-to-solve-difficult-problems
Bet it doesn’t replicate
Quote tweet, 05:54 UTC · 22 likes
I believe I have peaked
Quoting elle ✨ (@heyellehogan): What’s a compliment you received that stuck with you for a long time?
I really wanna hear some wholesome stories. 🥹
Reply to @absurdlymax, 06:55 UTC · 2 likes
Max Alexander (@absurdlymax): @AaronBergman18 I hope their name is always that in your phone book because that'd be amusing
I’ll leave it ambiguous
Reply to @Willyintheworld, 07:34 UTC · 2 likes
(The tweet being replied to by @Willyintheworld is no longer available.)
Maybe some reason this doesn’t check out, and seems hard to deal with econometrically, but I think the approval of a first-in-class drug (fluoxetine as first SSRI jumps out) often makes all the pharma companies jump on board and try to develop+patent their own
So if you think
Tweet, 07:55 UTC · 5 likes
Reply, 08:07 UTC · 3 likes
Land is the constraint
Reply to @daniel_271828, 08:38 UTC · 3 likes
zzDANIEL_ETH (@daniel_271828): @profoundlyyyy Even then - the CDC exists, but I wouldn’t say the public opinion battle on pandemic prevention has been won
In fact at that point the normal politics game begins
Reply to @BenHayum, 08:40 UTC · 2 likes
(The tweet being replied to by @BenHayum is no longer available.)
One of the few times this is plausibly literally true. Idk if Trump *is* the worst person I know (of), but he’s definitely in the running
Reply to @Kirsten3531, 09:02 UTC · 4 likes
Kirsten (@Kirsten3531): @glpat99 @FreshMangoLassi Start quacking
This is my ring tone
Reply to @SteveStuWill, 09:03 UTC · 5 likes
(The tweet being replied to by @SteveStuWill is no longer available.)
I HAVE NEVER BEEN SO STRESSED ON TWITTER
Reply to @FellowHominid, 12:43 UTC · 34 likes
Highly Persistent Alex (@FellowHominid): LessWrong enabling reacts inaugurating a Golden Age of intellectual inquiry
Imagine debating someone high status and they hit u with that Locally Invalid/Muddled/Obtuse emoji trifecta
Reply, 12:48 UTC · 2 likes
Scott Alexander playing chess w GPT-2 a couple millennia (years) ago
DAN was a redditor right?
Quote tweet, 12:49 UTC · 8 likes
The alignment problem was solved 6 hours and 14 minutes later
Quoting Highly Persistent Alex (@FellowHominid): LessWrong enabling reacts inaugurating a Golden Age of intellectual inquiry
Tweet, 13:32 UTC · 1,058 likes
I’d love for someone to start Theranos but with no technical innovation whatsoever:
Just a direct to consumer blood test service where you can easily go in, check off what tests you want (on the menu of a gazillion options w prices), pay out of pocket, get your blood drawn…
Thread, continued, 13:32 UTC · 276 likes
maybe after waiting in a 5 minute grocery-esque line, be done in 15 mins total, and get an email the next day or as long as it takes to run the test and not much longer
Maybe even an Uber Eats version where you pay $50 to get a nurse to come to your house instead
Thread, continued, 13:32 UTC · 336 likes
The point being to circumvent the Byzantine regulatory moats of the regular healthcare system entirely: no healthcare, doctors orders, or anything that would require more process than a Covid PCR test
Thread, continued, 13:35 UTC · 152 likes
*no health *insurance* lol
Reply, 13:41 UTC · 9 likes
Agreed
Reply to @yakubiancel, 13:51 UTC · 44 likes
wyle (@yakubiancel): Where does Quest fall short by this metric? Number of options and price, presumably.
Yeah I think there’s only a very limited number of tests you can easily request without an order (or “order”)
Also like bad hours, generally not amazing customer experience (but if that was the only issue it’d be fine)
Reply to @absurdlymax, 13:56 UTC · 2 likes
Max Alexander (@absurdlymax): How does burning your tongue interact with your ability to taste in the long run?
In the long run ur dead or ~immortal in which case I presume tongues are easily replaceable
Reply to @BootsPlatypus, 15:47 UTC · 55 likes
Platypussy in Bio (@BootsPlatypus): @AaronBergman18 Does this not exist in the us?
Not in a way that looks like capitalism competing for consumer dollars
Reply to @dissproportion, 17:22 UTC · 1 like
Dissproportionately (@dissproportion): I have a long day of housework ahead of me. Give me your most engrossing podcast and audiobook recommendations.
Here’s one for you: last time I painted a big room I listened to Matthew McConaughey’s Greenlights and it was perfect for that kind of day.
~every 80k episode is better than ~every other piece of audio media minute for minute https://80000hours.org/podcast/
Thread, continued, 17:22 UTC · 2 likes
I will never stop shilling this
Reply to @firasd, 20:07 UTC · 146 likes
Firas D (@firasd): It’s cause the FDA requires a prescription for many blood tests
In general diagnostics seems under-appreciated in US healthcare. So little innovation in both the tech and the logistics, all gated by regulation and insurance
Setting aside what share “many” is (could be a lot idk) this is so insane. Hard to imagine a less reasonable point of government intervention than *discovering information about the contents of your own blood*
Reply to @inesferhumi, 20:08 UTC · 4 likes
Inés (@inesferhumi): My ideal gf:
- has a long history of being associated with wealth, royalty, and beauty
- spends most of her time in or around the sea
- is produced within the soft tissue (specifically the mantle) of a living shelled mollusk
- says the world is her oyster
Took me a good 3 seconds and then I was like AWWWW
Reply to @moskov, 20:16 UTC · 3 likes
(The tweet being replied to by @moskov is no longer available.)
If anyone got this without hints they’re confirmed to be superintelligent ai that adopted human form to squirm out of the box
NOBODY should be able to get a 4TH ORDER pun without hints. It is ILLEGAL
Reply to @absurdlymax, 20:20 UTC · 2 likes
Max Alexander (@absurdlymax): @AaronBergman18 @inesferhumi I know I don't have to reveal that I'm this stupid, but the first time I read this I thought it was about some weird kind of mermaid and only now do I really get it
ok Mr. z score of 4 vocabulary
Reply to @QualyThe, 20:22 UTC · 8 likes
Qualy the lightbulb (@QualyThe): as both in my twenties and 36 years old, I am aware of that
@RethinkPriors we demand the full de-anonymized EA community survey data so we can finally put this to rest
Quote tweet, 20:27 UTC · 80 likes
🚨🚨🚨🚨🚨🚨🚨🚨🚨🚨🚨🚨
Quoting Qualy the lightbulb (@QualyThe): @moskov @mealreplacer as both in my twenties and 36 years old, I am aware of that
Tweet, 20:27 UTC · 12 likes
this could be a Red Herring we must proceed with caution🤔
Thread, continued, 20:28 UTC · 9 likes
Will if ur reading this I wanna debate some stuff
Reply to @JMannhart, 22:02 UTC · 3 likes
Jonathan Mannhart 🔎 (@JMannhart): @AaronBergman18 Frances understands puns. We can test this hypothesis by throwing puns at Will MacAskill and measuring the grok rate.
https://x.com/qualythe/status/1665054522517889027?s=46&t=bR00ANmL6726zDrqUr1_RQ
If Will is sufficiently smart and strategic, he'll model this and intentionally get things wrong but in a plausible way. If only we could elicit his latent knowledge
Tweet, 22:54 UTC · 5 likes
how do i make http://apple.com redirect to a page that says "Your Computer Works Well and Is Not A Limiting Factor in Any Way"
Reply to @daniel_271828, 22:58 UTC · 5 likes
zzDANIEL_ETH (@daniel_271828): Do it. Pets are awesome. Didn’t realize how much I’d wind up caring about this guy before I got him:
dog
Reply to @daniel_271828, 22:59 UTC · 3 likes
zzDANIEL_ETH (@daniel_271828): @AaronBergman18 @mealreplacer That is correct.
cool, updating (but not very much)
Sunday, June 4, 2023
Tweet, 00:39 UTC · 8 likes
https://www.aaronbergman.net/p/the-answer-to-the-sleeping-beauty
subtitle.
Reply to @RandomSprint, 00:59 UTC · 5 likes
RandomSprint🧭 (@RandomSprint): @AaronBergman18 1/2 is the prior. 1/3 is the posterior conditional on her being awake. If she doesn't answer 1/3 when she just woke up, then she will lose bets.
Wait describe a specific fair betting scenari where she will lose money in expectation?
Reply, 01:45 UTC · 1 like
At like p=.99 inside view and p=.8 all things considered that no such setup exists
Thread, continued, 01:46 UTC · 1 like
Tbc I think the betting framework is just like the least productive/east way to think about the problem but that could be a subjective thing
Thread, continued, 01:47 UTC · 3 likes
My strongest and ~sole concrete argument is:
Waking provides no evidence of anything. No new information, in a formal information theory sense
Reply to @peterwildeford, 03:56 UTC · 3 likes
Peter Wildeford🇺🇸🚀 (@peterwildeford): @AaronBergman18 @ohwizenedtortle @an_observer__ Well @RethinkPriors does work on AI governance and strategy so it could also be a straightforward offset in addition to being the best all things considered place to donate ;)
suspicious convergence 🤨
Reply to @JesseTayRiver, 05:43 UTC · 2 likes
Jesse Smith (@JesseTayRiver): @QualyThe Starting to feel like people need phds to get qualy jokes
Sometimes yea but this is just the name of an AI alignment thing
So 99.9% of phds won’t get it either
Reply to @RafaRuizdeLira, 05:45 UTC · 4 likes
Rafael Ruiz ⏸️🔸 (@RafaRuizdeLira): ??
(quoting @peta: Think twice before ordering that chicken sandwich... T-Rexes wouldn't approve of you eating their descendants 👉 https://bit.ly/trexkintochicken #DinosaurDay)
Do we have an estimate on suffering per gram of protein from beef vs t-reef
Reply to his own earlier tweet, 05:54 UTC · 2 likes
Aaron Bergman, June 4, 2023: Sometimes yea but this is just the name of an AI alignment thing So 99.9% of phds won’t get it either
This on the other hand takes an IQ above the threshold at which the measure has robust psychometric validity https://x.com/moskov/status/1665040427651862528?s=46&t=zFSMbdq7sUeaJ_kJen_W-g
Tweet, 06:32 UTC · 7 likes
Kinda sus that checking accounts need to exist
Like if we’re gonna have high frequency traders making markets more liquid than acetone, shouldn’t I be able to sell $2 of whatever asset I designate in 2 seconds it takes to tap my phone against the Apple Pay thingy?
Reply to @daniel_271828, 06:37 UTC · 1 like
zzDANIEL_ETH (@daniel_271828): I hope that humans eventually stop eating other animals, and I further want farming to be made much more humane in the meantime. But I don’t think this is a persuasive argument:
(quoting @peta: Think twice before ordering that chicken sandwich... T-Rexes wouldn't approve of you eating their descendants 👉 https://bit.ly/trexkintochicken #DinosaurDay)
Steelman: if you agree with “don’t eat a chicken” as a normative claim, then the whole compound sentence comes out as true (tho the first bit is a non sequitur)
Reply to @thatfrood, 07:07 UTC · 11 likes
Devon Hardware’s Wife (@thatfrood): huge news
Tweet, 07:11 UTC · 20 likes
I (earnestly) think infohazards are real and not super rare, and no I (earnestly) don’t want to hear any bc they’re bad
Tweet, 07:31 UTC · 6 likes
Disagree
I remember people dunking on the left pic for this reason, but the y-axis is not at fault here—it sucks because the drawn figures don’t *correspond* to the y axis…
Thread, continued, 07:31 UTC · 5 likes
Here is my beautiful rendition of what the graph should have looked more like
Thread, continued, 07:37 UTC · 2 likes
Wait this is still really bad lol. It should be like zoomed in on their foreheads
Reply to @austinc3301, 10:16 UTC · 2 likes
Agus 🔸 (@austinc3301): you can modify your hosts file and then override https validation (and maybe HSTS, which is it’s own very complex thing)
The alternative is to just use inspect element 👍
I hereby ban new acronyms. Idc what HSTS is I will die ignorant
Reply to @austinc3301, 10:19 UTC · 2 likes
Agus 🔸 (@austinc3301): you can modify your hosts file and then override https validation (and maybe HSTS, which is it’s own very complex thing)
The alternative is to just use inspect element 👍
The usual style of questions that I’m mostly joking about and can ask chatGPT so don’t waste ur time on my simple mind:
Tf is a host file
Tf does overriding mean in this context/how do u do that
Tf is validation
Tf is HSTS
The much simpler solution is just to buy the domain
Reply to @absurdlymax, 10:28 UTC · 4 likes
Max Alexander (@absurdlymax): @PradyuPrasad And then Aaron's mentions died again
Real photo of the mute button protecting my sanity
Reply to @PradyuPrasad, 10:32 UTC · 14 likes
Pradyumna 🇸🇬 (@PradyuPrasad): this was a great idea. shame it won't work
(quoting @AaronBergman18: Serious question for #YIMBYTwitter: where height restrictions per se are the issue, why haven’t developers started building vertically but *down*, underground? I mean windowless apartments don’t sound ideal, but probably less bad than unaffordability and homelessness)
Dude wants to force ppl to live underground smh
Reply to @ohwizenedtortle, 13:13 UTC · 3 likes
oh dandy lion🔸 (@ohwizenedtortle): Are there tpot-ers who live in Melbourne? Planning a hostile war against the Sydney tpot group.
Don’t let it spread to New Zealand tho we’re counting on the 5 ppl there to survive nuclear holocaust
Reply to @SpacedOutMatt, 13:19 UTC · 1 like
Matt 🔸 (@SpacedOutMatt): But do T-rexes exhibit grief-like behavior?
The plural is T-Rice
-10000 vocabulary pts
Reply to @Laura_k_Duffy, 13:29 UTC · 3 likes
Laura Muresianu 🌐🔸🇺🇸 (@Laura_k_Duffy): Well, if you want to use the original Latin:
We’re holding a referendum. The plural of T-Rex shall be:
Reply to @QualyThe, 13:33 UTC · 4 likes
Qualy the lightbulb (@QualyThe): U don't understand the sacrifice normal ppl have to make to be in EA. I used to be able to just make shit up, I used to just believe shit I read on facebook. Now I have to be calibrated, it's exhausting 😭
Now I still believe shit on Facebook, but the shit is longform effortposts by any of the 148 EAs that I may or may not have met once in a dream but have 61 mutual friends with, somehow
Reply to @SpacedOutMatt, 13:34 UTC · 5 likes
Matt 🔸 (@SpacedOutMatt): @liz_love_lace @TetraspaceWest @elymitra_ Yo @AaronBergman18
Maybe it’s just bc apple juice is very yummy
Reply to his own earlier tweet, 13:38 UTC
Aaron Bergman, June 4, 2023: We’re holding a referendum. The plural of T-Rex shall be:
O shit this is gonna be another Carrick
Reply to @teortaxesTex, 14:09 UTC · 1 like
Teortaxes▶️ (DeepSeek 推特🐋铁粉 2023 – ∞) (@teortaxesTex): But what if the concept of infohazard is in itself an infohazard because it fundamentally caps your ability to learn about your critical errors
That would be interesting but I don’t think it’s true
Reply to @StuartJRitchie, 14:25 UTC · 5 likes
Stuart Ritchie (@StuartJRitchie): The whole thing about “Ultra-Processed Food isn’t really food” has become a real meme, despite its obvious stupidity and snobbishness. It’s like when people say “well, rap music isn’t really music”. So dumb!
To steelman, would you object to calling tide pods “not food” even though evidently people (maybe like 2?) eat them
Tbc this is at the other end of a long spectrum from Oreos or whatever, but it seems hard to draw a line non-arbitrarily somewhere between them
Reply to @SpacedOutMatt, 15:12 UTC · 4 likes
Matt 🔸 (@SpacedOutMatt): THIS GUY WANTS POOR PEOPLE TO LIVE LIKE MOLES
No higher honor than being discussed with offline gf (only 55% sarcastic lol)
Legally changing my name now
Reply to @JesseTayRiver, 16:14 UTC · 2 likes
Jesse Smith (@JesseTayRiver): Nah that one's just an upscale version of jokes drywallers make all the time. Shows the narrow separation between fame and obscurity. Dustin probably could have been a 2k sq ft/day guy, but had to settle for something with computers.
Damn we gotta start recruiting ur guys for SERI mats
Reply to @mattyglesias, 19:46 UTC · 4 likes
Matthew Yglesias (@mattyglesias): If you made it illegal for left-handed people to work would that financially benefit right-handed people by raising wages?
Short run yes long run no very long run everyone’s dead
Reply to @JesseTayRiver, 19:47 UTC · 2 likes
Jesse Smith (@JesseTayRiver): @Estimatrix @alyssamvance Alternative explanation: People may mishear survey questions.
No way 20% of Americans have had a *personal* encounter with a goat
Thread, continued, 19:47 UTC · 2 likes
Personal meaning farm field trip doesn’t count, eating goat cheese doesn’t count
Quote tweet, 20:05 UTC · 2 likes
Dear ppl I’m ignoring: (1) sorry, and (2) trying to write a brief followup post
Tl;dr: some shift in probability mass from 1/2 to “no fact of the matter” but 1/3 is still definitely wrong lol
Quoting Aaron Bergman 🔍 (@AaronBergman18): https://www.aaronbergman.net/p/the-answer-to-the-sleeping-beauty
subtitle.
Reply to @pli_cachete, 20:15 UTC · 2 likes
(The tweet being replied to by @pli_cachete is no longer available.)
Fr though maybe
Tweet, 20:47 UTC · 3 likes
The Apple News Widget w AI as specified topic seems like a very easy and maybe even ok (ofc extremely noisy) proxy for media coverage
Will add screenshots to the thread whenever I feel like it
Day 0:
Reply to @JesseTayRiver, 20:47 UTC · 2 likes
Jesse Smith (@JesseTayRiver): @AaronBergman18 @Estimatrix @alyssamvance In what world would farm field trip not count as a goat encounter?
It does count as a goat encounter! Just not a ~personal~ goat encounter
Monday, June 5, 2023
Tweet, 00:16 UTC · 4 likes
Reading the social interaction autism criteria: eh more than avg I guess but kinda feels like I’m cherry picking
Reading the restrictive/repetitive behaviors bit: yup, yup, 10/10. I wonder if the wearable ice pack in my freezer for when it goes above 75° is sufficiently cold yet
Reply to @ohwizenedtortle, 00:42 UTC · 1 like
oh dandy lion🔸 (@ohwizenedtortle): @inesferhumi @UntilTrees .@AaronBergman18 14/10, would-ride-in-uber-for-hours-with
@ohwizenedtortle = .5π-1.4 ≈ 0.17079: intellectually, experientially, and socially/conversationally (and surely a bunch of other things my brain isn't providing terms for) in the same quadrant yet perfectly complementary
Reply to @alexeyguzey, 01:04 UTC · 2 likes
Alexey Guzey (@alexeyguzey): most modern intellectual discourse is a reiteration of arguments between like four british philosophers in the 18th century
Uh no it’s not
Reply to @astridwilde, 01:04 UTC · 10 likes
Astrid Wilde 🌞 (@astridwilde): "children are naturally better at learning languages" is pure cope. just an excuse by adults to not feel bad about themselves for their inability to commit to practice
This is bait right
Quote tweet, 01:32 UTC · 6 likes
Started with a banal insult, iterated with the "make more passionate" tool until I judged the output less insulty than the input. Result:
Quoting Sarah McManus ✨🍲 BOLD SOUP🍲✨ (@SarahAMcManus): Very handy site, especially for folks with ADHD etc!
Put in a task, click the magic wand, and it'll break the task down into a pretty decent list of subtasks.
Lots of good customization options, can edit / add / delete / rearrange at will
Reply to @diviaprocessing, 03:09 UTC · 2 likes
(The tweet being replied to by @diviaprocessing is no longer available.)
We may be semantic enemies
Tweet, 03:22 UTC · 6 likes
Today was a rare occasion I think I used Twitter more than was good on reflection
16 hour twitter fast starting in 10 seconds if u see me on here plz yell at me bye
Reply to @ChanaMessinger, 20:06 UTC · 7 likes
Chana (@ChanaMessinger): @andrewhessel @tszzl @AaronBergman18 no doubt your 1600th tag on this
My utility is linear in tags
Reply to @Jess_Riedel, 20:19 UTC · 3 likes
Jess Riedel (@Jess_Riedel): @peterwildeford @Simeon_Cps I’ll bet you at 1:30 odds (3.3%) he doesn’t win the nomination.
Ill do 1:29
Reply to @QualyThe, 21:35 UTC · 2 likes
Qualy the lightbulb (@QualyThe): I love how forecasting started off as, "what US political party will win in 2021" and now it's, "will my friend Steve's niece end up marrying her third girlfriend (context: they have the same humour but one's a night owl and the other is an early bird)"
Given that context, my 99% confidence interval is [.631924, .631925] for the proportion of Everettian branches in which they wed
Reply to @astridwilde, 22:54 UTC · 1 like
Astrid Wilde 🌞 (@astridwilde): @JoofGunray @AaronBergman18 have you never encountered stylistic hyperbole before this is just the way i talk lol
No, never
Reply to @NathanpmYoung, 22:55 UTC · 2 likes
Nathan 🔎 (@NathanpmYoung): What is the fewest step process to make a podcast?
Record in Google meet then put into some kind of app? Which app?
1) ask someone to talk on video and hope they do the recordings right
Tuesday, June 6, 2023
Reply to @panickssery, 09:06 UTC · 5 likes
Arjun Panickssery (@panickssery): "Nice shirt"
"Thanks I got it at a Givewell, or no not a givewell, I mean wh"
"Haha yeah the ... uh, fuck, what's it called"
"You know the thrift store"
"Yeah"
"Yeah"
"Hmm"
https://www.givewell.org/clothing-order-form
Tweet, 09:20 UTC · 11 likes
Yup, that's the plan.
Reply to @absurdlymax, 15:37 UTC · 2 likes
Max Alexander (@absurdlymax): My problem is I'll write something in my head in the shower and then be too lazy to transcribe it outside some rough notes, so I have about 500 billion unfinished essays in my google drive
Poast drafts
Reply to @absurdlymax, 15:42 UTC · 3 likes
Max Alexander (@absurdlymax): My problem is I'll write something in my head in the shower and then be too lazy to transcribe it outside some rough notes, so I have about 500 billion unfinished essays in my google drive
Also how did this get QTd by GOOGLE with 2M followers 12 hours ago and only have 9 likes I’d be kinda pissed lmao
Also yes this is me, maybe check out http://audiopen.ai. The only AI thing I pay for besides chatGPT; the output is kinda bland but coherent as writing
Reply to @QualyThe, 19:19 UTC · 2 likes
Qualy the lightbulb (@QualyThe): I just spent 10 days in a bay area group house. I ate as many mealsquares as I wanted. I drank much more Huel than I normally do. I took modafinil and stayed up all night doing linear algebra.
I lost twenty pounds.
Something is seriously wrong with the American food system.
plausible via amputation
Reply to @PradyuPrasad, 19:22 UTC · 2 likes
Pradyumna 🇸🇬 (@PradyuPrasad): Thinking of the consumer surplus generated by music
yea its hard to individuate things and decide what counts as a product but $150ish/year for infinite personalized music w 90% of songs ever recorded is (spotify) high on the consumer surplus list, both % and absolute
Wednesday, June 7, 2023
Quote tweet, 00:02 UTC · 3 likes
Many are saying https://x.com/aaronbergman18/status/1663753592845615105?s=46&t=zFSMbdq7sUeaJ_kJen_W-g
Quoting Laura Muresianu 🌐🔸🇺🇸 (@Laura_k_Duffy): @JosephPolitano @AndyMasley Sounds about right: 70 B chickens factory farmed per year and yet…
(Deleting last reply bc image quality was awful)
Reply, 00:13 UTC · 2 likes
I agree but think this is the rare success story of something object level excellent ascending to meme status
Reply to @robertwiblin, 00:15 UTC · 2 likes
(The tweet being replied to by @robertwiblin is no longer available.)
Not if ur in a sufficiently weird part of twitter then they just think ur an idiot sometimes but say this very politely
Reply to @Laura_k_Duffy, 01:21 UTC · 2 likes
Laura Muresianu 🌐🔸🇺🇸 (@Laura_k_Duffy): @mcinthedc @AndyMasley You really don’t need to know, but…
You can’t rule out with 100% prob that electrons aren’t conscious things with capacity to feel welfare, so because there are so many of them, it might be the most important cause in the universe in expectation
Though there are more neutrinos
Lame all the cool kids only care about AMIU particles (for ‘aaron made it up’) which exist as a set I define as identical to the power set of the set of highest cardinality that has been or will ever be represented by a mind or computation system
P >0 so…
Reply to @NathanpmYoung, 01:40 UTC
Nathan 🔎 (@NathanpmYoung): You say AI doesn't have goals. This looks like goals to me.
Also, it has the ability to carry them out (currently with text and mediocre code. Soon with...)
To me your argument seems to hang on this point, which seems wrong to me.
I definitely think AI [xs]-risk is legit and p>10% but don’t think this is ~any evidence for AI having goals in the sense we should care about
It’s evidence of ability to plan but not having goals per se
Quote tweet, 01:44 UTC · 2 likes
The two genders
Quoting Agus 🔸 (@austinc3301): @AaronBergman18 @Laura_k_Duffy @mcinthedc @AndyMasley @jkcarlsmith tbh I've argued for the decision-relevance of intelligent alien species, so I cannot complain
Reply to @ruth_hook_, 01:52 UTC · 2 likes
(The tweet being replied to by @ruth_hook is no longer available.)_
@absurdlymax
Reply to @absurdlymax, 03:27 UTC · 4 likes
Max Alexander (@absurdlymax): @AaronBergman18 @ruth_hook_ @skooookum Wait am I broken too?
Wait on second thought Im pretty sure I was the only one who ever brought up salt as a bit of wild speculation around sleep issues so doesn’t make a ton of sense to tag u here lol
Quote tweet, 03:32 UTC · 3 likes
Kinda cool I guess but am I the only one not super impressed or surprised?
Like yeah if ur camera is looking only for black and white squares you can color in the rest. AI makes that drawing good and dirt cheap but you could always do this by hand
Quoting Toby Ord (@tobyordoxford): Are we headed to a future where even QR codes are beautiful, not ugly?
Believe it or not, these images contain working codes!
(Generated by AI trying to create a beautiful image, with the constraint that it contains a working code.)
https://www.reddit.com/r/StableDiffusion/comments/141hg9x/controlnet_for_qr_code/
Reply to @mealreplacer, 03:33 UTC · 2 likes
(The tweet being replied to by @mealreplacer is no longer available.)
Julian
Reply to @CineraVerinia, 03:52 UTC · 3 likes
(The tweet being replied to by @CineraVerinia is no longer available.)
So fucked up how hard we (uk and us and like every other rich country afaik) make immigration
Reply to @ruth_hook_, 05:30 UTC · 11 likes
(The tweet being replied to by @ruth_hook is no longer available.)_
No they’re not https://www.nytimes.com/2022/12/03/opinion/canada-euthanasia.html
Quote tweet, 05:42 UTC · 9 likes
Guessing the ‘3% of Canadians killed themselves in 2021’ thing is an artifact of the true figure rounding up to .03%,
A figure of about that size specifically, esp in the context of a “this huge thing is happening” article, can easily get parsed as just .03 = 3%
Quoting Aaron Bergman 🔍 (@AaronBergman18): @ruth_hook_ No they’re not https://www.nytimes.com/2022/12/03/opinion/canada-euthanasia.html
Reply, 05:42 UTC · 2 likes
Guessing not but idk either! I have some speculation
Reply to @ohwizenedtortle, 08:18 UTC · 2 likes
oh dandy lion🔸 (@ohwizenedtortle): One piece of feedback I've received is that this may attract the anxious girls too
1000 is a little high, no? Or maybe I’m just missing out idk
Reply to @GjMcGowan, 08:33 UTC · 6 likes
George McGowan (@GjMcGowan): @metakuna @AaronBergman18 It’s actually 30%
All Canadians are dead, Canada is no more
Reply to @ohwizenedtortle, 08:47 UTC · 3 likes
oh dandy lion🔸 (@ohwizenedtortle): @AaronBergman18 How about a longer time unit. Like 20 thoughts a minute? Although I suspect this is focusing on the autistic vibes more than the ADHD vibes (though I do love and respect both).
Gotta describe levels rates and second derivatives
She better have 3478290045 thoughts over her life, at a rate of 828469 per month, gradually accelerating the whole time
Reply to @PradyuPrasad, 15:28 UTC · 2 likes
Pradyumna 🇸🇬 (@PradyuPrasad): Excited to announce I'll be starting college studying computer science at NUS this August!
If you know anyone there whom I should meet, I'd love to get connected!
Ay congrats!!
Tweet, 15:32 UTC · 15 likes
100% (or undefined%) of deaths should be assisted suicides
Reply to @MariGO2thepolls, 15:32 UTC · 2 likes
🏳️🌈Mar G-O 🌐🇺🇦 (@MariGO2thepolls): It’s crazy that ppl as based as William Godwin and Mary Wollstonecraft created someone as cringe as Marry Shelly
I have never heard of any of these people
Quote tweet, 15:49 UTC · 4 likes
😱😱😱
Quoting Taylor Belrose (@norabelrose): Ever wanted to mindwipe an LLM?
Our method, LEAst-squares Concept Erasure (LEACE), provably erases all linearly-encoded information about a concept from neural net activations. It does so surgically, inflicting minimal damage to other concepts. 🧵
https://arxiv.org/abs/2306.03819
Reply to @somewheresy, 15:55 UTC · 3 likes
(The tweet being replied to by @somewheresy is no longer available.)
Lol I 100% earnestly think it’s the single intellectual subfield or maybe any identifiable career with the highest avg brainpower (which is largely bc of how relatively few formal jobs there are but even still)
Ofc there are better critiques but the ‘too difficult’ thing is just
Reply to @NathanpmYoung, 16:24 UTC · 5 likes
Nathan 🔎 (@NathanpmYoung): "I'm sorry 😬🫠, I don't have a quantitative model of AI risk"
I have now heard this 2-5 times
That's okay! Hardly anyone has a quantitative model worth the name
But if you are making decisions based on your model, I suggest it's better if other people can see and correct it
I have a quantitative model, it’s only parameter x is what my brain feels like the answer is all things considered and the model is p(doom)=x
Reply to @AndyXAndersen, 16:32 UTC · 1 like
AndyXAndersen (@AndyXAndersen): @liron @pmarca This is a personal attack with no substance.
I agree with the first thing but ad hominems can be sources of true+relevant+important evidence and in this case I think it happens to be
Reply to @GLopezPharmD, 16:33 UTC · 4 likes
Gregory Lopez 🔍 (@GLopezPharmD): @AaronBergman18 I can infer reasoning for 100% (which I understand, but may disagree with), but can't for undefined%. Can you expand on the latter?
no deaths means denominator would be zero
Reply, 17:07 UTC · 4 likes
(The tweet being replied to is no longer available.)
Brown rice is worse across all dimensions
Quote tweet, 17:14 UTC · 9 likes
Maybe I should get a clothes management system better than “move pile between bed and chair”
Quoting rosey🌹 (@thechosenberg): Raise your standard for life lady jfc
Reply to @absurdlymax, 17:16 UTC · 2 likes
Max Alexander (@absurdlymax): @AaronBergman18 No this is optimal
Ok thx
Reply to @absurdlymax, 17:17 UTC · 2 likes
Max Alexander (@absurdlymax): @AaronBergman18 My mom would be mad at me for saying this though
Dw I won’t tell her
Tweet, 17:43 UTC · 6 likes
Team work makes the dream work 🔠 😤
Reply to @JesseTayRiver, 17:46 UTC
Jesse Smith (@JesseTayRiver): A potentially unique research area is to install a low speed fan with a MERV13 filter in a window pushing air inside. I'd expect that by pressurizing the house we'd see lower building infiltration from other areas, and therefore much better indoor air quality.
The filter around the fan? Or in front or behind? Sry am dumb
Reply to @NateSilver538, 17:51 UTC · 5 likes
Nate Silver (@NateSilver538): OK, folks. If you were to recommend a few canonical materials on AI existential risk *for a lay audience new to the debate* what would they be? Ideally looking for stuff that sorts through the evidence in a judicious and approachable way. For a newsletter post coming soon.
https://www.cold-takes.com/cold-takes-on-ai/ and it’s not close
Reply to @Noahpinion, 18:44 UTC · 3 likes
Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇸🇺🇦🇹🇼 (@Noahpinion): They're euthanizing people for being poor and disabled
https://globalnews.ca/news/9176485/poverty-canadians-disabilities-medically-assisted-death/
Euthanasia is not a synonym for assisted suicide
Reply to @daniel_filan, 18:58 UTC · 2 likes
(The tweet being replied to by @daniel_filan is no longer available.)
Right, not 3% of all Canadians! Tbh I have no idea who’s joking anymore lol
Reply to @BootsPlatypus, 22:20 UTC · 1 like
Platypussy in Bio (@BootsPlatypus): i'm literally having the worst twitter day ever. feeling so miserable today 😑
Sorry man ❤️
Quote tweet, 22:21 UTC · 5 likes
New kiki vs bouba just dropped
Quoting Prince Vogelfrei 🐦⬛ (@PrinceVogel): Women are quite complex three dimensional shapes. Men are very, very simple shapes, but with high dimensionality
Reply to @inesferhumi, 22:22 UTC · 6 likes
Inés (@inesferhumi): Ok is it just me or is it like a little weird when people have their loved ones saved as their full government name on their phone
Like this
Tweet, 22:32 UTC · 7 likes
Darn
(Year isnt labelled, starts Aug 1, 2022)
Thursday, June 8, 2023
Quote tweet, 04:23 UTC · 5 likes
Very nearly tweeted, totally earnestly, “it’s not as weird as it looks, we have our own language in which the ‘ererer’ suffix is common!”
Quoting Aaron Bergman 🔍 (@AaronBergman18): @inesferhumi Like this
Reply to @ChadNotChud, 05:29 UTC · 11 likes
delaniac 🌹🌱 (@ChadNotChud): Like, are oils the healthiest part of your diet? I mean probably not (whatever that means)
But as a replacement for saturated fats (butter, animal fat, coconut/palm oil) the evidence is just pretty overwhelming
I think this is totally mistaken and would be willing to bet (if it is/was reasonably likely to verify in the future) that the causal effect of replacing saturated fat with canola oil on just about any important ultimate health outcome (not a proxy like cholesterol) is negative
Tweet, 05:42 UTC · 5 likes
We just gotta make it a few more months bc 2023 has big “random year *wink*” energy. No way the world is gonna end in 2024 or 2025. Last two digits are gonna be a prime number fs
Reply to @daniel_271828, 07:59 UTC · 4 likes
zzDANIEL_ETH (@daniel_271828): What does “AI doomer” mean?
I think I take it to mean “>50% if business as usual”
Quote tweet, 08:12 UTC · 9 likes
Based 3yo (dw more below)
Quoting Kristen Mulrooney (@missmulrooney): My 3-year-old came to tell me there was a “big big chicken” in our yard and you will never guess what it actually was
Thread, continued, 08:12 UTC · 3 likes
Keep doing ur thing, kid👍
Reply to @mealreplacer, 08:30 UTC · 6 likes
(The tweet being replied to by @mealreplacer is no longer available.)
Reply to @austinc3301, 18:22 UTC · 5 likes
Agus 🔸 (@austinc3301): @inesferhumi @RafaRuizdeLira Yo uso yasss en español tbh
Como estan, otras personas hispanohablantes?
(gif, plays on X)
Reply to @austinc3301, 18:24 UTC · 4 likes
Agus 🔸 (@austinc3301): @AaronBergman18 @inesferhumi @RafaRuizdeLira JAJAJAJA AARON POR FAVOR
Es Arón😤
Reply to @absurdlymax, 18:29 UTC · 2 likes
Max Alexander (@absurdlymax): What are people's journaling tips and processes?
1) don’t
Reply to @absurdlymax, 18:38 UTC · 2 likes
Max Alexander (@absurdlymax): @AaronBergman18 Why?
Idk
Reply to @inesferhumi, 18:39 UTC · 3 likes
Inés (@inesferhumi): @austinc3301 @AaronBergman18 @RafaRuizdeLira
Gracias Sra Iñes 🙏🏼
Reply to @AlanMCole, 18:41 UTC · 10 likes
Alan Cole (@AlanMCole): "Run for President" should not be a little button you can press to get a bunch of free publicity with no downsides.
I can see why Yang, in particular, holds this view, but sorry, no.
(quoting @AndrewYang: The media hit pieces on Marianne Williamson are out of control.)
Nah she catches way more flack than is deserved
Reply, 18:49 UTC · 3 likes
Yeah but Coles tweet isn’t addressing Yang’s point, which (I think, could be wrong) is that the flak is disproportionately undeserved
Tweet, 19:10 UTC · 23 likes
She’s low status to like but Nicki Minaj is an extremely talented rapper
Reply, 19:32 UTC · 3 likes
https://aaronbergman.neocities.org/chickens
Thread, continued, 19:32 UTC · 2 likes
It takes a long time to load bc chickens are numerous
Reply to @Duderichy, 22:59 UTC · 5 likes
the Rich (@Duderichy): @astridwilde most guys can’t tell if a woman has had a haircut
I can with 99% accuracy
Reply to @jdcmedlock, 23:25 UTC · 5 likes
James Medlock (@jdcmedlock): The thing about "seed oils" is that all of the potential concerns aren't specific to that category. Too much Omega 6? Avoid soy/corn oil, canola is fine. Issues with solvent extraction? Go with expeller pressed. Oxidation from repeated cooking? Don't overdo it on deep frying
Ooh bad take, the trads happen to be right about this one
Reply to @jdcmedlock, 23:28 UTC · 4 likes
James Medlock (@jdcmedlock): @AaronBergman18 What's the best evidence on this?
Theoretical + weak suggestive (or at least the abscence of contrary) empirical evidence
Theoretical case: we know something has changed to induce extremely ahistorical levels of obesity and related metabolic disorders in the west. Obviously at the end of the day it’s CICO but…
Thread, continued, 23:31 UTC · 5 likes
then the q becomes why *this* has changed. Null hypothesis is abundant cheap tasty food. I think this is >90% likely to be not the main factor unless you’re looking at a population that was literally starving until recently; I can’t do justice to the evidence here but
Reply, 23:42 UTC · 1 like
in the evolutionary environment (or else you’d get very sick or die and not over decades) but waaaaay less than currently” and you wind up with a handful of things
Adding in the constraint that the thing should be a molecule in particular, which seems a priori plausible bc of
Thread, continued, 23:44 UTC · 1 like
how our bodies handle compound substances (ie digestion) leaves you with…linoleic acid! Not omega 6s in general, probably
Ofc this isn’t a rock solid case but all things considered I think it’s true. Plenty more to say ofc but that’s what’s cached in my brain
Reply to @nickcammarata, 23:54 UTC · 4 likes
Nick (@nickcammarata): suffering isn’t a thing caused by pain, sadness, etc. suffering comes from resisting sensations, and we evolved to resist some (pain, sadness, etc) more by default
Seems mostly semantic. Like one person might call “pain” the qualia of a pin prick minus the valence and another person lumps them together but they don’t disagree on anything but the word
And does “resist” mean anything above and beyond “feel negative valence from”?
Friday, June 9, 2023
Reply to @bat1441, 00:51 UTC · 2 likes
bat (@bat1441): do you have to be this photogenic to apply? 👀
Sure hope not
Reply to @LinchZhang, 01:24 UTC · 3 likes
Linch (@LinchZhang): Does anybody know of research on the effects of melatonin on all-cause mortality?
Given that other sleeping pills are indicted (at least in associational studies) with surprisingly large effects, I'd be interested in research about long-term effects of melatonin.
Other pills being…benzos? If so it’s like comparing street-level amphetamine dosing green tea, both stimulants. Not that this is a real answer haha, but given how hard it is to find significant ACM effects I’d be shocked to find any high quality studies showing this (95?)
Quote tweet, 02:05 UTC · 6 likes
Indeed
Quoting in the pocket of Big Tenant (@AllezLesBoulez): this is like V-E Day for liberal parents
Thread, continued, 02:05 UTC · 2 likes
(also I don’t know much about the particulars here so low confidence but probably good bc trump is an extremely bad person who has broken very many laws and this is a direct abuse of the power of the presidency, not “merely” a crime anyone can commit)
Reply to @CineraVerinia, 02:09 UTC · 2 likes
(The tweet being replied to by @CineraVerinia is no longer available.)
🤝
Reply to @yishan, 02:20 UTC · 3 likes
Yishan (@yishan): I dated not one but two lesbian women and I'm not sure what that means
He just like me fr (and I also have literally no idea lmao)
Reply to @PradyuPrasad, 02:26 UTC · 3 likes
Pradyumna 🇸🇬 (@PradyuPrasad): @Laura_k_Duffy @austinc3301 Yes the US picks B
*pats self on back*
Reply to @PradyuPrasad, 02:31 UTC
Pradyumna 🇸🇬 (@PradyuPrasad): Fixed exchange rates can be valuable if you're a small country whose entire economy is dependent on international trade
Singapore used to do this (and does a different version now, giving up monetary sovereignty)
Better than using USD like [South American country I forget]?
Reply to @NathanB60857242, 02:38 UTC · 9 likes
Nathan Barnard (@NathanB60857242): I am still actually confused about the claim being made here
I think smth like “simple algorithm predictive processing is doing all the cognitive heavy lifting for humans, and the thing that feels like our identity is not this”
Tweet, 02:46 UTC · 8 likes
Apropos of nothing specific, here’s my anonymous feedback form to pin
As long as it’s true and not literally an infohazard, I would greatly appreciate all the “u suck at this” or “don’t do this dumbass” type things you can muster https://www.admonymous.co/a
Thread, continued, 02:46 UTC
(Other things very welcome too)
Reply to @beffjezos, 02:59 UTC · 3 likes
Beff (e/acc) (@beffjezos): I truly want all human medical doctors to lose their jobs. The day will come. AGI doctors will save lives.
Reply, 03:18 UTC · 1 like
Death from everything except starvation
Reply to @Duderichy, 03:31 UTC · 1 like
the Rich (@Duderichy): guy who thinks he’s the first person to ever feel this way
Guy who really is
Reply to @ShirKi, 03:43 UTC · 2 likes
Shiri Dori-Hacohen♿️🧠✡️🦓 (🚫🥄s). 🟣🎗️🏴 (@ShirKi): You can say a lot of things about EA, (no, "insane" or "deranged" are not useful choices), but internal consistency is not lacking in the community. You can get quite a few weird (to quote @KellerScholl) outcomes, but they are logical conclusions from the movement's basic axioms.
(quoting @ShirKi: @gregkieser @KellerScholl @sparr_ml @perrymetzger Look, I'm not an advocate shrimp welfare (never heard of it before 20min ago) but the reasoning is pretty sound *if* (big if!!) you accept some of the basic EA axioms, along with a deep interest in animal welfare (not my personal…)
Disagree - the movement would look way weirder if people were consistent
This reads like a joke but isn’t
Reply, 04:09 UTC · 17 likes
Guy who keeps propranolol in his wallet in case he has to euthanize a rat (based)
Reply to @FrostedSapling, 04:10 UTC · 2 likes
Ivan 🔸 (@FrostedSapling): @AaronBergman18 @inesferhumi The pufferfish needs an explanation
Right, unlike the chicken
Reply, 04:25 UTC · 26 likes
The second part doesn’t answer “why?”. ~All consumers want stronger animal welfare laws when asked directly, and the USG isn’t going to ban animal agriculture or do anything like it
But yes it would be good to make chicken 1% more expensive to reduce their misery a bit
Reply to @absurdlymax, 14:17 UTC · 2 likes
Max Alexander (@absurdlymax): @AaronBergman18 @CineraVerinia The secret is they're actually not that different from other humans you've interacted with
Fascinating. Thank you for sharing this forbidden knowledge 🙏🏼
Reply to @inerati, 14:33 UTC · 1 like
(The tweet being replied to by @inerati is no longer available.)
Now we know @PradyuPrasad’s and @austinc3301’s secret
Reply to @SpacedOutMatt, 14:53 UTC · 8 likes
Matt 🔸 (@SpacedOutMatt): I still think GiveDirectly is very good relative to most charities! But TBH the tone of most coverage of this has mildly irked me
I honestly don’t have a good picture of whether the fraud was bad luck given close to optimal policies or closer to negligence or what
Like implication isn’t to necessarily to change whatever processes they have (which takes time and money and effort) but it certainly could be
Reply to @chinesegon, 16:07 UTC
(The tweet being replied to by @chinesegon is no longer available.)
I agree tbc but would add the headline situation is not unique to Asians
Reply to @xanderatch, 16:09 UTC · 2 likes
Αlex e/π (@xanderatch): @AaronBergman18 @Duderichy @astridwilde but telling them which hair is creepy
Oh, that explains things. Thanks for lmk
Reply to @ohwizenedtortle, 16:13 UTC · 5 likes
oh dandy lion🔸 (@ohwizenedtortle): Fyi!!
We have no way of knowing what the number will be tomorrow. It has never been 5 days to 2023 Vibecamp before so predictions are futile, meaningless, and distracting
Reply to @SpencrGreenberg, 16:14 UTC
Spencer Greenberg 🔍 (@SpencrGreenberg): 7 tools I use that save me time every week:
1) I read 1 news story daily, hearing the perspective from both the left and the right on that story. I do this by subscribing to the free "Flip Side" newsletter. Another option is "AllSides." I find one story daily to be enough news.
Oh no Spencer is a midwit in this one particular domain
Reply to @GjMcGowan, 16:34 UTC · 4 likes
George McGowan (@GjMcGowan): How has he got so many followers?! When did this happen??
21,400 people navigated to his profile and clicked “follow”
Reply to @jdcmedlock, 16:50 UTC · 7 likes
James Medlock (@jdcmedlock): My brother in christ, you are citing a study supporting the health benefits of canola oil
https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s004280050365image attached
(quoting @AmbrosesDrink: @jdcmedlock Study that compared the size of hearts in rats fed 3 different diets Group 1: standard Group 2: high cholesterol Group 3: canola “Those fed the canola oil had the smallest hearts, supporting previous studies showing canola oil damages heart muscle” All yours friend)
I’m very skeptical of intermediate measures like this as a legit proxy for important health outcomes
Reply to @jdcmedlock, 16:52 UTC · 2 likes
James Medlock (@jdcmedlock): Very cool
Insightful comment from Mr. Penis Retard
Reply to @HotForMoot, 17:39 UTC · 5 likes
Riley Read-Only (@HotForMoot): Man my faaaavorite kind of people are the ones who are autistic about drug-use. They have calendar events with when they can take molly again. They have pillboxes with built-in timers. They have festival spreadsheets of which days to take which drugs
Omg it’s me
Reply to @Kirsten3531, 17:45 UTC · 4 likes
Kirsten (@Kirsten3531): I had a dream that my 5 month old baby was @QualyThe and I think that's the kind of twist EA Twitter needs
I don’t know who this is directed towards but it feels appropriate
Reply to @CrispyWicks, 18:07 UTC · 2 likes
Chris P. Wicks 🔎🐜 (@CrispyWicks): @AaronBergman18 @HotForMoot First the 🔍, now this. I knew we vibed together.
👊
Reply to @FrostedSapling, 19:18 UTC · 2 likes
Ivan 🔸 (@FrostedSapling):
“At t = -1 with respect to hours and the dentist appt”
Reply to @absurdlymax, 23:32 UTC · 3 likes
Max Alexander (@absurdlymax): @daniel_271828 @JesseTayRiver I think it might be a serious thing @AaronBergman18 is trying to make happen
Yes I unironically think @JesseTayRiver should run for something, unfortunately the “born in Canada” thing makes president a long shot, but state legislature or even congress Id be seriously supportive of
Saturday, June 10, 2023
Reply to @Laura_k_Duffy, 01:36 UTC
Laura Muresianu 🌐🔸🇺🇸 (@Laura_k_Duffy): Do you self-identify as a liberal (def: an adherent to liberalism)?
Do you believe rights are fundamentally real (and not just instrumentally useful concepts for increasing human wellbeing)?
I will fight anyone who says yes 😊
Reply, 01:37 UTC · 1 like
Reading classics is a dealbreaker for me
Reply to @Laura_k_Duffy, 01:40 UTC · 2 likes
Laura Muresianu 🌐🔸🇺🇸 (@Laura_k_Duffy): I accept
Some part of the boundary lines between this state and the State of Virginia is within forty five miles of this place-
I have heard after all your gasconading conduct that you are preparing to leave town within a day or two, you have not named a place out of the limits of this
Thread, continued, 01:40 UTC · 3 likes
State when you and myself can have a personal interview; not withstanding you have been informed that you might name the place and I would the time- Such conduct is characteristic with yourself. This is the last I shall write you on the subject.
Reply to @Bbburner19, 01:42 UTC · 2 likes
The People Mover That Was Promised (@Bbburner19): @AaronBergman18 @Laura_k_Duffy Writing like Aaron Burrgman here.
Bangurr
Reply, 01:46 UTC · 1 like
My god
Quote tweet, 01:53 UTC · 7 likes
Looks like EA will be getting a new megadonor 😤
Quoting Aaron Bergman 🔍 (@AaronBergman18): Serious question for #YIMBYTwitter: where height restrictions per se are the issue, why haven’t developers started building vertically but *down*, underground?
I mean windowless apartments don’t sound ideal, but probably less bad than unaffordability and homelessness
Thread, continued, 01:57 UTC · 2 likes
The EA community after I donate $0.12 and cause untold reputational damage
(gif, plays on X)
Reply to @PradyuPrasad, 02:54 UTC · 3 likes
Pradyumna 🇸🇬 (@PradyuPrasad): Idk my point is the other 4 eyes (maybe except Canada) are or were very important geopolitical players.
US and UK obviously. Australia with all the China stuff going on.
How is NZ relevant in this?
Theyre gonna survive nuclear war
Reply to @JesseTayRiver, 02:57 UTC · 1 like
Jesse Smith (@JesseTayRiver): @AaronBergman18 @PradyuPrasad Yeah but many of us could too, and they might not do as well after the subsequent US invasion.
Hostile invasion of NZ? Are you joking I legit can’t tell?
Reply to @Laura_k_Duffy, 03:08 UTC · 4 likes
Laura Muresianu 🌐🔸🇺🇸 (@Laura_k_Duffy): I gained a ton from Nicomachean Ethics, but After Virtue is much more accessible
“I gained a ton from Nicomachean Ethics”
Statement dreamed up by the utterly DERANGED
Reply to @absurdlymax, 03:43 UTC · 6 likes
Max Alexander (@absurdlymax): Claim: Without god or moral realism people would be murdering each other in the street
Reality: The EA movement for some reason
Agree but ea would be even better if ea ppl got on board the (true) moral realism train
Reply to @StefanFSchubert, 03:48 UTC · 2 likes
Stefan Schubert (@StefanFSchubert): Tfw you're synchronised with your American followers just because you're a night owl
With the power vested in me as former intern of the department of the interior (national parks n stuff), I hereby grant you American citizenship
Reply, 03:52 UTC · 1 like
I don’t think ethics and meta ethics are independent here; certain normative ethical stances are more plausible and convincing under moral realism (I claim bc they’re true)
Thread, continued, 03:54 UTC · 1 like
Namely I’m talking about impartial hedonic utilitarianism (which itself does not fully define what’s good and bad bc non Pareto improvements (eg more happiness and more suffering) are ambiguous)
Reply, 03:55 UTC · 5 likes
Moral anti-realists when they think truth needs a truth maker https://x.com/absurdlymax/status/1667377647905648641?s=46&t=zFSMbdq7sUeaJ_kJen_W-g
Reply to @univrsw3th4rt, 03:59 UTC · 5 likes
universe sweetheart 💓🌈💭 (@univrsw3th4rt): oh hey anybody have any tips/hacks for having alcohol not completely fuck u up for days afterward aha
Wait actually I recall some maybe non insane speculation around activated charcoal literally absorbing and then making you excrete alcohol metabolites quickly
Reply to @catehall, 04:05 UTC · 2 likes
Cate Hall 🔸 (@catehall): beyond a certain point, there might be negative returns to intelligence on your ability to see the world as it really is -- if you're a super genius, you can find an intricate rationalization for any belief and others have a hard time pinning down why you're wrong even when they can sense it. this has been the case for ~1/2 of the smartest people i've known.
Seems maybe true for being the smartest human by a bit bc others won’t be able to make plausible sounding critiques but unlikely at the limit
Reply to @SpacedOutMatt, 04:07 UTC · 2 likes
Matt 🔸 (@SpacedOutMatt): @AaronBergman18 @univrsw3th4rt https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/LfrNFfJFcqnG9WuFf/activated-charcoal-for-hangover-prevention-way-more-than-you
🤝
Reply to @chriswaterguy, 04:51 UTC · 3 likes
Chris Waterguy – neurodivergent coaching (@chriswaterguy): @AaronBergman18 @absurdlymax and concretely?
Fair enough lol I didn’t actually say
None of this inherently follows bc some will dispute the instrumental value of these things but: less money and effort to preventing human deaths relative to reducing suffering or improving happiness, less focus on humans overall,
Thread, continued, 04:54 UTC · 2 likes
AI alignment more tractable (not certain about this) bc “human values” replaced with a specific thing, EA as a whole bigger and more robust (former very uncertain, the latter conditional on being right), more consensus and productive debate (ie less agreeing to disagree), at
Thread, continued, 04:57 UTC · 2 likes
least on the current set of common points of disagreement (ofc these will be replaced by new ones), and relatedly/maybe most importantly: *better plausible true critiques even from critics who buy that premise*
Reply to @absurdlymax, 12:21 UTC · 2 likes
Max Alexander (@absurdlymax): @AStrasser116 @AaronBergman18 I think you need something that makes the moral theory true outside or locally defined truths. Utilitarianism if accepted implies certain moral truths, but you need a reason to accept it
Not op but I’d argue (in fact I am arguing!) that utilitarianism is a name for the bundle of conclusions that emerge *downstream* of accepting certain moral facts as true for other reasons
Reply to @chriswaterguy, 12:35 UTC · 1 like
Chris Waterguy – neurodivergent coaching (@chriswaterguy): Okay – some of this seems very abstract to me (hence my prodding).
"less money and effort to preventing human deaths relative to reducing suffering or improving happiness"
If someone's not on board with that, is there any chance they would have been swayed by moral realism? 1/2
Empirically I don’t think it’s very likely but yes, if the person just suddenly went from credence 20% to 80% in moral realism, (my claim is that) they would find it *more likely*, to some extent, that happiness and suffering are the only intrinsic goods…
Reply, 12:37 UTC · 2 likes
I don’t think I was clear earlier that this one claim requires more empirical assumptions - namely about how good human lives tend to be and how tractable improving them is
So I think it follows but conditionally and only indirectly
Reply to @absurdlymax, 12:50 UTC · 2 likes
Max Alexander (@absurdlymax): @inesferhumi Between totally meaningless and implying unimaginable crimes as our next step as a species
Sounds like the kind of thing I already know about lmao, so if you think that’s right feel free to dm
Reply to @PradyuPrasad, 12:54 UTC · 40 likes
(The tweet being replied to by @PradyuPrasad is no longer available.)
Seems admirable to put your money where your mouth is like this, even if you think his probability estimate was wrong
Reply to @inerati, 12:55 UTC · 3 likes
(The tweet being replied to by @inerati is no longer available.)
Boo playing 4d chess like this empirically ~never works just tell ppl what u think
Reply to @absurdlymax, 12:57 UTC · 2 likes
Max Alexander (@absurdlymax): @AaronBergman18 @AStrasser116 I think moral realists are almost always people who think morality is action guiding, and an ordering of possible universes by value isn't actually action guiding
Evidently some people want to figure out what good moral actions are tho and these people would care
Reply to @PradyuPrasad, 13:10 UTC · 5 likes
(The tweet being replied to by @PradyuPrasad is no longer available.)
Not certain but other ways to improve besides using more data. Parameters, algorithms, maybe other things?
Reply to @absurdlymax, 13:11 UTC · 3 likes
Max Alexander (@absurdlymax): @PradyuPrasad Do you think FTX compound still has some stimulants lying around I could snatch
Grab some 4 me
Reply to @absurdlymax, 17:22 UTC · 3 likes
Max Alexander (@absurdlymax): It pains me that they'll never give me 40 million dollars and 20 years to write a really long comic storyline
Not with that attitude
Reply to @humanfranklin, 17:32 UTC · 8 likes
Franklin Bruno (@humanfranklin): Ok, all you geniuses: who’s a -smart- person’s idea of a smart person? Whose intellectual work and manner of presenting it has earned your respect? Or do we not commit ourselves that way on Twitter?
Ok fine I’ll say it
Yud is very smart
Reply, 17:40 UTC · 1 like
Me: yup that’s wine
Reply to @GluskerMartin, 18:33 UTC · 1 like
Martin Glusker (@GluskerMartin): Probably depends pretty heavily on your field, but you should network a lot, and more than you think you should be
Darn
Reply to @SpacedOutMatt, 18:34 UTC · 2 likes
Matt 🔸 (@SpacedOutMatt): Squirrel watchin’
Invite him inside
Reply to @ruth_hook_, 19:52 UTC · 3 likes
(The tweet being replied to by @ruth_hook is no longer available.)_
Who else googled Father’s Day
Reply to @StefanFSchubert, 19:54 UTC
Stefan Schubert (@StefanFSchubert): I've started reading the transcript while listening to podcasts - a bit like a child being read to, but at the same time reading in the book.
It helps making sure you don't miss anything (e.g. if it's hard to hear what they say).
I’ve tried this and find it worse for comprehension actually, like there’s no brainpower left over for turning the words I read and hear into nonverbal concepts
Reply, 19:55 UTC · 2 likes
Commented on the original by accident so
Reply to @vaidehiagrwalla, 20:42 UTC · 2 likes
Vaidehi Agarwalla (@vaidehiagrwalla): suggestion for EA Forum posts: "First Draft" post. kinda like a shortform but more expanded and looks like a google doc (easy commenting on specific sections etc)
Could be it's own section "WIP posts" or something.
+1M
Reply to @JesseTayRiver, 20:43 UTC · 2 likes
Jesse Smith (@JesseTayRiver): YES! Stefan Schubert correcting the president never gets old.
(quoting @StefanFSchubert: @POTUS Recovered *the same number of jobs that was lost* (and more))
Could be you one day
Tweet, 20:47 UTC · 45 likes
Kaczynski was very bad
Reply to @Superlinear_, 20:57 UTC · 2 likes
Superlinear - X-Risk Prizes (@Superlinear_): Agree 10000%. There's no way I would be able to accomplish my current challenge without multi-channel reading.
https://manifold.markets/DrewSpartz/will-i-read-a-nonfiction-book-a-day?r=RHJld1NwYXJ0eg
Oh damn that’s a lot of audio
Reply to @JesseTayRiver, 21:00 UTC · 2 likes
Jesse Smith (@JesseTayRiver): In addition to being a terrorist he was also a horrible carpenter. People romanticize the cabin but it's an absolute piece of garbage. It looks like a child's drawing. Skilled teenagers routinely build superior structures in a week or 2.
(quoting @ecto_fun: obsessed with the image of the unabombers entire cabin in an fbi storage facility)
Eh I think he has me beat on this one dimension
Tweet, 21:07 UTC · 3 likes
Reply to @JgaltTweets, 21:32 UTC · 2 likes
JgaltTweets (@JgaltTweets): @peterwildeford Enron's corporate values:
1. Running through crowds at incredible hihg speed
2. Standing in bright orange rooms
3. Putting golf balls in front of their eyes?
4. Baseball
5. RICE
Weird coincidence those are my intrinsic values
Quote tweet, 21:35 UTC · 4 likes
Facts only weirdos in DC
Quoting typedfemale (@typedfemale): or they are already in DC which is extremely sus no matter how you slice it
Reply to his own earlier tweet, 21:39 UTC · 2 likes
Aaron Bergman, June 9, 2023: (Other things very welcome too)
Good shit, keep it coming guys
Reply to @FrostedSapling, 22:38 UTC · 2 likes
Ivan 🔸 (@FrostedSapling): @absurdlymax The email that got me my current job
God I hate that this works (tho happy it got u ur job👍)
Reply to @FrostedSapling, 22:41 UTC · 2 likes
Ivan 🔸 (@FrostedSapling): @AaronBergman18 @absurdlymax Yeah it’s not a well written email in retrospect but I had to force myself to actually write it and send it, so I just wrote it real quick after work one night. Works cause no one’s willing to do this
Fuck
Thread, continued, 22:43 UTC · 2 likes
“Hi cvs I sometimes speculate about pharmacology on Twitter, also my grandfather was a pharmacist so it’s probably in my epigenetics somehow. Plz tell me when I should show up
Thx
Aaron”
Reply to @FrostedSapling, 22:46 UTC · 1 like
Ivan 🔸 (@FrostedSapling): “Have you taken the NAPLEX yet?”
Ya I got a 100% *fingers crossed behind my back so it’s ok*
Reply to @FrostedSapling, 22:48 UTC · 2 likes
Ivan 🔸 (@FrostedSapling): @AaronBergman18 @absurdlymax That’s not how it works lol. But you shoot a message to a district leader you’ve got a technician job instantly, they’re so desperate lol
Say the guy who didn’t get a 100%🙄
Reply to @FrostedSapling, 22:50 UTC · 1 like
Ivan 🔸 (@FrostedSapling): I def did not get a 100%, but they stopped showing you what you got the year I graduated unless you failed
Little did u know I’m class of 2019
Sunday, June 11, 2023
Reply, 00:19 UTC · 3 likes
Normal brain: using one version of python
Expanding brain: using multiple versions intentionally
Galaxy brain (me): using multiple versions because you have no idea what you’re doing
Reply to @auderdy, 14:15 UTC · 2 likes
(The tweet being replied to by @auderdy is no longer available.)
Based
Reply to @Langerhans_isle, 15:00 UTC · 3 likes
Al Bumin (@Langerhans_isle): Because Alabama is free riding on the ingenuity of Jews in New York.
That’s (mostly - there are some federal transfers) not free riding, just normal positive externalities and mutually beneficial gains from trade
Reply to @georainbolt, 15:02 UTC · 2,646 likes
rainbolt (@georainbolt): @RWilliams_Belt looked like the ghana east road to me and i remember seeing mountains east so i found a road that lined up and got lucky lol
Obviously, who doesn’t instantly recognize the Ghana east road ??
Reply to @ohwizenedtortle, 18:36 UTC · 4 likes
oh dandy lion🔸 (@ohwizenedtortle): FYI!!!!! 🎊🎊💥💥🥳🥳
How many days until vibecamp will it be tomorrow?
Monday, June 12, 2023
Reply to @NathanpmYoung, 03:15 UTC · 2 likes
Nathan 🔎 (@NathanpmYoung): Charging immigrants on their earnings might be a reasonable thing to do. Public would be much happier if they saw immigrants as a benefit to them.
(quoting @atrupar: "We'll make a fortune" -- Trump proposes charging a 15 percent tax (?) on foreigners entering the United States)
If I was a Mexican immigrant with a net worth of $800 and the prospect of 10xing my earnings by moving to the US, I think I’d take that deal
Reply to @Laura_k_Duffy, 03:18 UTC · 2 likes
Laura Muresianu 🌐🔸🇺🇸 (@Laura_k_Duffy): I am not going to defend male circumcision, but FGM can have very long-lasting negative effects on women in a way that does make it much worse in a qualitatively different way
Yeah that seems pretty clearly much worse
Reply to @summer_of_bliss, 03:22 UTC · 2 likes
brad (@summer_of_bliss): EAs will fiercely deny being a utilitarian, then you ask them why and they say because they think it’s permissible to intrinsically value the welfare of the worst-off as much as precisely 0.5% more
I will fiercely deny that I deny being a utilitarian
Reply to @absurdlymax, 05:28 UTC · 2 likes
Max Alexander (@absurdlymax): I suppose if you're utilitarian this matters more, but how many of the effects do you have to remove to make it morally acceptable?
I don't think I necessarily communicated that from the start, but I don't think we only view it as horrible because of the outcomes
Actually it matters the same irrespective of which ethics you subscribe to bc utilitarianism is true *runs away*
Reply to @TheFigen_, 06:17 UTC · 2 likes
(The tweet being replied to by @TheFigen is no longer available.)_
Yo what the fuck
Reply to @meaning_enjoyer, 12:01 UTC · 5 likes
nihilism disrespecter (@meaning_enjoyer): realizing that insects and fish may have rich inner lives should fill us with horror
Inner lives yes, “rich” I mean maybe but I don’t see much reason to think so
Reply to @ohwizenedtortle, 13:41 UTC · 1 like
oh dandy lion🔸 (@ohwizenedtortle): @AaronBergman18 @amitlevy64 @acidshill ah so Big Yud co-wrote another fantasy book but this is written on a website where each paragraph or two is sent as a post on a forum. and it's very l o o o o n g, and i'd prefer to read a much shorter version of it.
here's the tvtropes about the story. https://tvtropes.org/pmwiki/pmwiki.php/Roleplay/ProjectLawful
A gpt4 “chat with pdf” plug-in might work https://drive.google.com/file/d/1wyPKRBHGYnUvdSgJM4_8PM2c5jl30lNA/view?usp=drivesdk
Reply to @Ian_Gay_briel, 14:33 UTC · 3 likes
(The tweet being replied to by @Ian_Gay_briel is no longer available.)
@Laura_k_Duffy can we get a fact check
Reply to @97641346367463x, 14:57 UTC · 3 likes
(The tweet being replied to by @97641346367463x is no longer available.)
Yes. YES.
Reply to @EAheadlines, 17:57 UTC · 3 likes
EA Lifestyles (@EAheadlines): hmmmmm 🤔
Looks like a complete draft!
Reply, 18:07 UTC · 1 like
Once I become fuck you rich I will be able to like this tweet. Until then…
Reply, 18:08 UTC · 1 like
Wow ur good at this
Reply, 18:15 UTC · 1 like
(The tweet being replied to is no longer available.)
Have u seen a random sample of n>=30 men?
Reply to @ohwizenedtortle, 18:36 UTC · 3 likes
oh dandy lion🔸 (@ohwizenedtortle): @frances__lorenz If we are starting a witch hunt I recall that @AaronBergman18 says this a lot
Yes I am the witch
Reply to @BenHayum, 19:46 UTC · 4 likes
(The tweet being replied to by @BenHayum is no longer available.)
All you need *is* all you need
Tuesday, June 13, 2023
Quote tweet, 05:42 UTC · 5 likes
Prima facie based but do we know who “us” is, more specifically than “the UK government,” and what kind of quality evals we can expect?
Quoting Rishi Sunak (@RishiSunak): We'll lead on AI at home🇬🇧
@DeepMind, @OpenAI and @AnthropicAI will give us early access to their models to help us understand any potential risks.
And we’re launching two new fellowships to enhance machine learning in drugs and food design, and AI scientist training.
Quote tweet, 05:44 UTC · 2 likes
Overton window go crack
Quoting roon (@tszzl): he’s fr doing it
Reply, 05:48 UTC · 1 like
Just paste everything into a random unnamed google doc I’m only half kidding
Reply to @frances__lorenz, 16:37 UTC · 2 likes
(The tweet being replied to by @frances__lorenz is no longer available.)
I’m bullish on witches
Thread, continued, 16:40 UTC · 3 likes
Bearish on goblins, ghouls, etc
Reply to @ManifoldMarkets, 16:50 UTC
Manifold (@ManifoldMarkets): Btw the answer is no :)
But we love him all the more 💙
I am so confused lmao
Reply to @keithfrankish, 16:51 UTC
Keith Frankish (@keithfrankish): Is America really as weird as it seems from the news?
What news source/articles?
Reply to @ftlsid, 16:56 UTC · 1 like
ftlsid (@ftlsid): personally I think this account has always been cringe in a deeply important way. it’s cringe to be negative about the way things are - our society values personal power and agency and striving to improve one’s lot
No insight here but (1) cringe is the new based and (2) I resonate with a bunch of that thread and related posts - not all but lots
Reply to @absurdlymax, 16:58 UTC · 2 likes
Max Alexander (@absurdlymax): Real
image attached
(quoting @ratbitebaby: misogyny checkpoint: what’s the first tweet that shows up when you search “women” on your page ?)
👍
Tweet, 16:59 UTC · 7 likes
Here’s all of them
Tweet, 17:24 UTC · 4 likes
Twitter really said “sorry bro this is IMPORTANT”
Thread, continued, 17:24 UTC
And they’re right! Lmao Olivia ==🐐, but when I posted this a while ago it unleashed a torrential downpour of Oliviaposting on my tl
Reply to @myhandle, 17:37 UTC · 7 likes
Jakeup (@myhandle): your startup is acquired by a public company for stock, and their share price tanks on the announcement
in purely financial terms, is this:
A. good for you because it means they overpaid relative to your fair value even at the new share $
B. bad because you're losing money?
I think you invented causal vs evidential decision theory
Reply to @pennilessdick, 18:27 UTC · 3 likes
Penniless Dick (@pennilessdick): @keithfrankish @AaronBergman18 Remember, only weirdos show up to that kind of thing.
It’s a very biased sample size
Not even the cool weirdos imo
Reply to @EzraJNewman, 18:28 UTC · 2 likes
(The tweet being replied to by @EzraJNewman is no longer available.)
Tweet, 18:31 UTC · 9 likes
Cringe is the new based
Thread, continued, 18:31 UTC · 2 likes
Based is the same based as before, it’s a big tent
Wednesday, June 14, 2023
Reply to @vaidehiagrwalla, 03:15 UTC · 1 like
Vaidehi Agarwalla (@vaidehiagrwalla): I am clearly too old for this, because I can't tell if you're joking
Cringe
Thread, continued, 03:21 UTC · 2 likes
Lol idk either, half joking I guess. I am legit pro-cringe at the current margin which is maybe just anti-anti-cringe bc in general everything would be better if people worried less about what the high status thing to say is
Reply to @ohwizenedtortle, 18:41 UTC · 3 likes
oh dandy lion🔸 (@ohwizenedtortle): 🥳🥳🥳🥳🥳🥳🥳🥳🥳🥳🥳🥳🥳🥳🥳🥳🥳🥳🥳🥳🥳🥳🥳🥳🥳🥳🥳🥳🥳🥳🥳🥳🥳🥳🥳🥳🥳🥳🥳🥳🥳🥳💥💥💥💥💥💥💥💥💥💥💥💥💥💥💥💥💥💥💥💥💥💥💥💥💥💥💥💥💥💥💥💥💥💥💥💥💥💥💥💥💥💥🫨🫨🫨🫨🫨🫨🫨🫨🫨🫨🫨🫨🫨🫨🫨🫨🫨🫨🫨🫨🫨🫨🫨🫨🫨🫨🫨🫨🫨🫨🫨🫨🫨🫨🫨🫨🫨🫨🫨🫨🫨🫨
Statistically the chance of you guessing right 9 days in a row is extremely low ergo vibecamp will never come
Reply to @absurdlymax, 22:05 UTC · 5 likes
Max Alexander (@absurdlymax): Common Rethink W
Every single priority has been rethought at this point
Quote tweet, 22:12 UTC · 4 likes
My originally-speculative take that Andreessen = sociopath (in a serious literal sense) keeps bearing fruit
The qt’d tweets below
Quoting ░▒▓▒░▒▓▒░▒▓▒░ (@sullyj3): I don't usually make fun of people for blocking, but blocking Dwarkesh for a post that is the epitome of good faith, thoughtful, substantive disagreement, is a massive L on Marc's part. After he went on the guy's podcast!? Only sycophancy will be tolerated apparently
Reply to @Laura_k_Duffy, 22:25 UTC · 4 likes
Laura Muresianu 🌐🔸🇺🇸 (@Laura_k_Duffy): Just wait until you read our Worldview Investigations work
😱😱😱
Reply to @Laura_k_Duffy, 22:26 UTC · 3 likes
Laura Muresianu 🌐🔸🇺🇸 (@Laura_k_Duffy): Just wait until you read our Worldview Investigations work
It’ll just tell me which worldview to have right? Right??
Thursday, June 15, 2023
Reply to @myhandle, 04:12 UTC · 3 likes
Jakeup (@myhandle): one page first draft summary of my book about dating other people
image attached
(quoting @visakanv: in the interest of scenius-building I now issue an open challenge to all my mutuals to QT this tweet with "<name>, explain <your thing> right fckn now, in one breath, standing on one foot" in a 1-page screenshot)
Reply to @nickcammarata, 04:15 UTC · 7 likes
Nick (@nickcammarata): today I’m openly coming out as believing all problems are gradient descent problems
What about trying to get to the top of a hill? What then???
Reply to @LinkofSunshine, 04:29 UTC · 3 likes
Basil🧡 (@LinkofSunshine):
Oy vey
Friday, June 16, 2023
Reply to @Laura_k_Duffy, 00:20 UTC · 4 likes
Laura Muresianu 🌐🔸🇺🇸 (@Laura_k_Duffy): Assuming equal cost-effectiveness, would you prefer to give money to unconditional cash-transfer programs (GiveDirectly) or anti-malaria programs (Against Malaria)?
Which do you think the average donor would favor, cash transfers or anti-malaria bed nets?
Wait doesn’t assuming equal cost effectiveness just make them…ethically equal? At least if cost effectiveness is left unitless I assume it to mean “in the true/best moral units”
Reply to @nullpointered, 00:26 UTC · 3 likes
null (@nullpointered): Still can't believe they doxxed the lofi beats girl
Superhuman intelligence is already here
Reply to @Republicans, 04:10 UTC · 328 likes
Republicans (@Republicans): Work is ongoing constructing Joe Biden's 8,000 mile long 'ocean train'
Is this supposed to be embarrassing? Bc I want an ocean train
Reply to @peterwildeford, 04:15 UTC · 1 like
Peter Wildeford🇺🇸🚀 (@peterwildeford): autogenerate correlated variables in squigglepy? Wow!
This sneak peak coming soon thanks to hard work from @austinc3301
Wait u can assign variables like “a, b = 1, 2” ?😱😱😱
Reply to @peterwildeford, 04:29 UTC · 3 likes
Peter Wildeford🇺🇸🚀 (@peterwildeford): @AaronBergman18 @austinc3301 yeah
One point for python in its war against R
Reply to @peterwildeford, 04:33 UTC · 1 like
Peter Wildeford🇺🇸🚀 (@peterwildeford): You're fighting the war that was lost like three years ago
The real war is won in the hearts and minds of the people
Reply to @peterwildeford, 04:35 UTC · 3 likes
Peter Wildeford🇺🇸🚀 (@peterwildeford): @AaronBergman18 @austinc3301 https://x.com/peterwildeford/status/1669563914684604417
It’s neck and neck
Reply to @peterwildeford, 04:38 UTC · 3 likes
Peter Wildeford🇺🇸🚀 (@peterwildeford): Who is winning the war in your heart and mind?
Flooding the zone
Tweet, 05:03 UTC · 8 likes
That Marxist adjunct making $35k had a point
Thread, continued, 05:03 UTC · 6 likes
I don’t think having a small home library with some old looking chairs and maybe 100 used books disqualifies a person from being poor
Reply to @peterwildeford, 05:10 UTC · 5 likes
Peter Wildeford🇺🇸🚀 (@peterwildeford): Who is winning the war in your heart and mind?
I’m hearing reports of widespread voter fraud
Reply to @peterwildeford, 05:17 UTC · 2 likes
Peter Wildeford🇺🇸🚀 (@peterwildeford): @AaronBergman18 That's because Python programmers know how to write bots and R programmers don't
F
Reply to @MariGO2thepolls, 05:48 UTC · 29 likes
🏳️🌈Mar G-O 🌐🇺🇦 (@MariGO2thepolls):
Bad take, other professions don’t have a gatekeeping system (journals+reviewers) to decide whether your actual work output counts as work output
Reply to @ThanksThoth, 07:08 UTC · 12 likes
Rod 🙂👍 (@ThanksThoth): I'm about to take this good luck everybody else
Yes honey but only a couple pills
Tweet, 07:09 UTC · 3 likes
1 qualy per reply
Reply to @frances__lorenz, 12:41 UTC · 4 likes
(The tweet being replied to by @frances__lorenz is no longer available.)
Yes it’s morally obligatory
Reply to @frances__lorenz, 12:53 UTC · 3 likes
(The tweet being replied to by @frances__lorenz is no longer available.)
QALY secured
Reply to @PradyuPrasad, 14:21 UTC · 3 likes
Pradyumna 🇸🇬 (@PradyuPrasad): Mood
Ur not allowed to tweet this it’s illegal ❌
Tweet, 15:07 UTC · 4 likes
We need ur vote https://manifold.markets/AaronBergman/how-many-bangers-will-olivia-rodrig?r=QWFyb25CZXJnbWFu
Reply, 15:44 UTC · 2 likes
That’s where I put my spheres👍
Reply to @MariGO2thepolls, 17:06 UTC · 19 likes
🏳️🌈Mar G-O 🌐🇺🇦 (@MariGO2thepolls): 🐡 puffer fish are full off?
If it was air they wouldn’t be able to stay under water, cmon guys
Reply to @absurdlymax, 20:42 UTC · 3 likes
Max Alexander (@absurdlymax): @ryancbriggs @polisisti
And they all live within 4.5 feet of the US border
Reply to @nickcammarata, 21:09 UTC
Nick (@nickcammarata): I can’t understand how alcohol is the same drug I used to like. Its only effect is nerfing everything now. Surely it changed?
“I don’t like alcohol” club lfg
Saturday, June 17, 2023
Reply to @lkbm, 01:55 UTC · 2 likes
Luca K. B. Masters (@lkbm): @RyanRadia @AaronBergman18 @MariGO2thepolls Electrolysis.
(Does O2 count as air, or do we need nitrogen to quality?)
"where would it get the electricity"?
Tweet, 02:08 UTC · 5 likes
Phishing attacks keep getting more sophisticated
Reply to @tunguz, 12:03 UTC · 2 likes
Bojan Tunguz (@tunguz): Cringe is the new Based
Many are saying
Tweet, 12:17 UTC · 15 likes
Recent batch of talks from EAG London are live on Spotify and Apple Podcasts, Google pods lagging for some reason
https://open.spotify.com/show/0lHqS3M08p1jGvBkRIVoFa?si=E3V_9UCSSLG46KQIn_gSTQ
Reply to @TheAtlantic, 12:23 UTC · 3 likes
The Atlantic (@TheAtlantic): Online, every mysterious ailment can be blamed on out-of-whack hormones. Testing your body chemistry at home probably isn't the way to get clarity, @alipattillo reports. https://www.theatlantic.com/health/archive/2023/06/at-home-hormone-test-kits/674426/?taid=648da3cb01365d0001cee766&utm_campaign=the-atlantic&utm_content=true-anthem&utm_medium=social&utm_source=twitter
I’m paywalled but seems like a bad take. Every mysterious ailment can be blamed on hormones because they are involved in a ton of biological processes and hence indicative or causative of dysfunction
And ~15% of US women have Hashimoto’s! Which really does manifest ambiguously!
Reply to @SpacedOutMatt, 15:14 UTC · 4 likes
Matt 🔸 (@SpacedOutMatt): @aarmlovi Yo @AaronBergman18
Reply to @CineraVerinia, 16:54 UTC · 2 likes
(The tweet being replied to by @CineraVerinia is no longer available.)
Relevant disclaimer lol. Obviously it's not literally the most important thing from a utilitarian perspective but I bet it predicts/correlates with generosity and empathy more generally
Tweet, 20:18 UTC · 18 likes
Sunday, June 18, 2023
Tweet, 05:08 UTC · 6 likes
Seems like a mistake on evolution's part that if you get a small cut on your lip you just keep bleeding a small to moderate amount until you die
Reply to @LuiseWoehlke, 05:12 UTC · 2 likes
Luise Woehlke (@LuiseWoehlke): Anyone know a good resource with a *long, ordered list* of the most useful keyboard shortcuts?
Reply to @JesseTayRiver, 05:23 UTC · 2 likes
Jesse Smith (@JesseTayRiver): The cultural landscape that's emerging around AI x-risk is completely bizarre. Human extinction is the end point on a spectrum of bad potential outcomes that includes increased discrimination & inequality, crime, terrorism, war, etc.
(quoting @robertskmiles: @rajiinio If we lived in the hypothetical world where AI actually is a serious extinction risk, what concrete evidence would you expect to be available right now? This is not rhetorical or meant as a gotcha, what kind of evidence are you looking for?)
uhh I wish it was the end of that spectrum :(
Reply, 06:46 UTC · 2 likes
the memory part yeah but the ngf thing I think is pretty robust
Reply to @focusfronting, 13:13 UTC · 9 likes
(The tweet being replied to by @focusfronting is no longer available.)
A chair is that which, when described as an abstract idea, does not set up the trap situation referenced in this tweet
Reply, 13:15 UTC · 3 likes
Well then I shall be a midwit🧐
Reply to @Astatide42, 13:22 UTC · 1 like
Astatide (@Astatide42): The options available for sharing math on Twitter seem to be
- use unicode math symbols (ugly, no super-/subscripts)
- write raw \LaTeX (illegible)
- give up, typeset everything in LaTeX and either put screenshots in every tweet or just upload the pdfAm I missing anything?
Get fed up and make keyboard corrections/shortcuts so that ^ or _ followed by any digit or [+-=] autocorrects to super/subscript¹
¹ looks like my subscript thingy isn’t working tho²
² or the superscript symbols
Reply to @Laura_k_Duffy, 14:08 UTC · 4 likes
Laura Muresianu 🌐🔸🇺🇸 (@Laura_k_Duffy): @AaronBergman18 What about a stapled together dual consciousness pig?
We bind them together with warm comfy blankets 😡
Tweet, 14:41 UTC · 20 likes
What’s the most esoteric programming language I can “learn” that will serve as a good fake signal? One that ur only supposed to know after proving P=NP and building a billion dollar company and such
Reply to @adam__isom, 14:54 UTC · 4 likes
adam ✧ ❥ ~ (@adam__isom): @AaronBergman18 Lisp
As a bonus it’s fun—try Racket specifically, seems to have the best rails / resources for ramping up (read: the only lisp that has any at all)
Cool I’ve never even heard of racket so must be good
Tweet, 18:42 UTC · 109 likes
Thread, continued, 18:42 UTC · 23 likes
Fun times
Thread, continued, 18:42 UTC · 10 likes
Fr though a couple disagreements about culture war-ish topics with ppl I value the opinions and think highly of bothered me way more.
No death threats from these ones tho lol
Reply to @growing_daniel, 19:03 UTC · 33 likes
Daniel (@growing_daniel): It’s pretty insane that over 50% of men in the US have gotten limb lengthening surgery
Ur misinterpreting the statistics - it’s just one guy who’s gotten the operation 80M times
Reply to @m_ashcroft, 20:04 UTC · 6 likes
Michael Ashcroft (@m_ashcroft): on a call just now, while drinking a Diet Coke, I noticed my capacity to remain in connection with the other person got more difficult
it felt like the caffeine reduced my ability to stay present and grounded
my thoughts went more to myself and ideas at the cost of connection
Don’t make me tap the phenylalanine->phenethylamine sign (it’s not the caffeine)
Prediction: you hadn’t eaten much other protein in a few hours
Tweet, 20:19 UTC · 24 likes
I regret to report that, for the second time, I have started a podcast
The life strategy of this one is to be low effort, low stakes, and merely better than nothing most of the time while causing minimal harm
Episode 1/[1, ♾️]: @Laura_k_Duffy https://open.spotify.com/episode/0XM212iTrsJLwgXM8VBRWS?si=8GoXC-K5SJOxaSIk3iY5KA
Thread, continued, 20:19 UTC · 6 likes
Thank you to @RoddyRicch’s legal team for not yet sending me a cease and desist letter about the intro music. I think it’s a symbiotic business relationship
Reply to @Laura_k_Duffy, 20:34 UTC · 2 likes
Laura Muresianu 🌐🔸🇺🇸 (@Laura_k_Duffy): Thanks @AaronBergman18 for having me on for the first episode of the Pigeon Hour podcast! It was a lot of fun!
(Apologies in advance for any cringing I may cause in the process of listening 🙃)
(quoting @AaronBergman18: I regret to report that, for the second time, I have started a podcast The life strategy of this one is to be low effort, low stakes, and merely better than nothing most of the time while causing minimal harm Episode 1/[1, ♾️]: @Laura_k_Duffy…)
The only thing ppl will be cringing at is ur Aristotle takes
Reply to @Laura_k_Duffy, 21:03 UTC
Laura Muresianu 🌐🔸🇺🇸 (@Laura_k_Duffy): I SWEAR I didn’t give it this title
Let the ppl decide
Did Laura name this podcast episode?
Quote tweet, 21:34 UTC · 9 likes
The zero'th episode was with Nathan, but I uh didn't actually manage to capture the audio of him talking
Will post reconstituted, inferred version once we get ASI
Quoting Nathan 🔎 (@NathanpmYoung): @AaronBergman18 @Laura_k_Duffy Just brutal nathan erasure here.
Thread, continued, 21:40 UTC · 4 likes
Wait can anyone read lips really well? Is there good AI for this?
Monday, June 19, 2023
Reply, 00:33 UTC · 2 likes
boy do i have a blog post for u https://www.aaronbergman.net/p/contra-dynomight-contra-me-but-also
Thread, continued, 00:34 UTC · 2 likes
pretty sure low urinary phenethylamine predicts adhd but this *reverses* if u give the person adderall/ritalin
Reply to @Aella_Girl, 01:05 UTC · 2 likes
Aella (@Aella_Girl): My entire body is mostly tension free, with the exception of my feet. I store so much in there. I fantasize near daily about getting foot massages, but I'm afraid to hire a masseuse because any time someone touches my feet I start crying and I don't wanna weird out a stranger
What
Reply to his own earlier tweet, 03:39 UTC · 5 likes
Aaron Bergman, June 10, 2023: Good shit, keep it coming guys
The unibrow has been exterminated
Reply to @focusfronting, 06:17 UTC · 1 like
(The tweet being replied to by @focusfronting is no longer available.)
Jfc
Reply to @focusfronting, 06:18 UTC · 10 likes
(The tweet being replied to by @focusfronting is no longer available.)
An emotional topic like…the nature of semantics and chairs
Reply to @absurdlymax, 06:19 UTC · 2 likes
Max Alexander (@absurdlymax): I actually think the philosophical component of longtermism is unambiguously correct
Yes correct take, and then some of the ways it’s more casually used are more dubious (tho still largely probably mostly correct maybe)
Reply, 14:20 UTC · 2 likes
Great writing
Hate to impose naive chemo-biological determinism on ur existential crisis but sounds like u could use some psilocybin*
*or substitute ur preferred psychedelic
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Psilocybin
Reply to @BenHayum, 14:37 UTC · 3 likes
(The tweet being replied to by @BenHayum is no longer available.)
Eh I don’t think this particular thing is worth worrying about. Masad is pretty clearly joking and without any improvement in the underlying peak capability (GPT-4) don’t seem like a legit takeover risk
Tweet, 14:50 UTC · 5 likes
The two genders
Reply to @JesseTayRiver, 14:56 UTC · 3 likes
Jesse Smith (@JesseTayRiver): @AaronBergman18 @absurdlymax @absurdlymax never trust poly eyebrow people
“Im poly”
Tweet, 16:34 UTC · 13 likes
This but instead of misunderstanding I just state some of its direct implications which afaict no one actually bites the bullet on
Reply to @absurdlymax, 16:43 UTC · 4 likes
Max Alexander (@absurdlymax): @AaronBergman18 Name 3
> “Act only according to that maxim whereby you can at the same time will that it should become a universal law”
1) there is a possible (and probably actual) human for whom it is morally good to torture others (ie a sadistic masochist)
Thread, continued, 16:47 UTC · 3 likes
“Act in such a way that you treat humanity, whether in your own person or in the person of any other, never merely as a means to an end, but always at the same time as an end” + commentary that humanity/personhood is something like rationality/agency
2) you must treat a
Thread, continued, 16:48 UTC · 3 likes
p-zombie (lets suppose we are certain about this) as an end in itself, just like a sentient human
Reply, 16:49 UTC · 3 likes
Relatedly…
3) there is nothing wrong with pressing a button that would cause some sentient but irrational and causally inert thing (eg maybe a factory farmed chicken) immense pain
Reply to his own earlier tweet, 16:53 UTC · 12 likes
Aaron Bergman, June 19, 2023: This but instead of misunderstanding I just state some of its direct implications which afaict no one actually bites the bullet on
Tbc deontology as a larger category is probably wrong but not crazy
But Kantianism (if taken to mean the explicit ethics espoused in Kant’s writings) is laughably, insanely, ~certainly wrong
Reply to @absurdlymax, 18:23 UTC · 1 like
Max Alexander (@absurdlymax): Wouldn't lots of kantians bite these bullets? I mean kant would right
I mean yeah they would I think but where are these actual real live Kantians who explicitly say “yes I believe these statements, they are true” ?
Reply to @absurdlymax, 18:26 UTC · 1 like
Max Alexander (@absurdlymax): @inesferhumi Draft 1 just has a opening line about how I'm going to publish it quickly because of your post and then I didn't do that
Quote tweet, 18:28 UTC · 5 likes
Hypothesis: Kantians don’t exist (just people discussing the views of hypothetical Kantians and maybe agreeing with a few scattered of their hypothetical points)
Quoting Max Alexander (@absurdlymax): @AaronBergman18 I have yet to meet a real life kantian
Thread, continued, 18:28 UTC · 3 likes
God why do I suck at writing
Thread, continued, 18:29 UTC · 2 likes
I think I committed too hard to the heuristic of “don’t think just poast bc those tweets do well” and literal 1 second proofreads are good actually
Reply to @panickssery, 21:24 UTC · 11 likes
Arjun Panickssery (@panickssery): Ethical vegans: how does hunting and fishing play into this
e.g. if you catch a salmon, you prevent it from killing other animals and it would have died some violent death otherwise not long afterward (I think most salmon don't survive their initial run to their breeding area?)
Gonna break the rules and answer
Hunting seems basically fine
Industrial wild fishing seems really bad bc the fish die by either being gutted alive or asphyxiation, and if I’m recalling right both usually take >20 mins, often >1 hour and sometimes lots more
…
Thread, continued, 21:30 UTC · 5 likes
and this is probably way worse than “just” being eaten alive or other ways fish die
I have a shitty forum post (below bc computer)
Thread, continued, 21:30 UTC · 4 likes
Quote tweet, 21:34 UTC · 5 likes
Lowest quality/(importance*confidence in key points*neglectedness) factor of I think everything I've ever written
If anyone is interested in running with it as a draft or starting point or anything like that the fish will be very thankful!
Quoting Aaron Bergman 🔍 (@AaronBergman18): @panickssery Gonna break the rules and answer
Hunting seems basically fine
Industrial wild fishing seems really bad bc the fish die by either being gutted alive or asphyxiation, and if I’m recalling right both usually take >20 mins, often >1 hour and sometimes lots more
…
Thread, continued, 21:34 UTC · 2 likes
Bc preview images bring clicks https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/JsuefG6PurSxacXds/cause-exploration-improving-wild-fish-slaughter-half-baked
Tuesday, June 20, 2023
Reply to @trevposts, 00:03 UTC · 2 likes
Trevor Levin (@trevposts): I'm in DC until July 15 and man the combination of the heat/humidity and clothing norms are, so to speak, Not Cool
You forgot the best part!
Reply to @mealreplacer, 07:19 UTC · 1 like
(The tweet being replied to by @mealreplacer is no longer available.)
I want ea to be funded as much as possible by billionaires lol (not to say us normies shouldn’t donate)
Reply to @gptbrooke, 08:56 UTC · 3 likes
brooke bowman (@gptbrooke): This is what's going to stick with me forever from vc2
This is why we do what we do
Lfg
Reply, 14:24 UTC · 4 likes
Omg
Tweet, 15:46 UTC · 6 likes
Half the chatGPT plug-ins are like USE this👇AGENT🕵️♂️ to search ALL knowledge 🧠 known to MAN 🌎 and take over the WORLD😤 and the other half let you browse apartment listings in one particular province in Australia
Reply to @RichDecibels, 17:42 UTC · 2 likes
Richard D. Bartlett (@RichDecibels): I know it's weird that I'm obsessed with vibecamp discourse as I did not attend but as a qualified vibe mechanic I have extraordinary levels of professional interest in the matter
This but I’m a professional Lemur (legal counsel, fiduciary, we’re unionized now)
Reply to @ctbeiser, 17:44 UTC · 3 likes
Chris Beiser (@ctbeiser): if you're not happy i recommend doing your best to fix all the problems in your life. this may be difficult but often it pays off.
Thx
Reply to @AndyMasley, 18:05 UTC · 6 likes
Andy Masley (@AndyMasley): The American middle class is, by any reasonable definition, ridiculously wealthy.
I’ll defend “False” since there’s only 4 of us
“The American mc is wealthy” true
“The American mc is ridiculously wealthy” eh
“The American mc is ridiculously wealthy by any reasonably definition” no, median personal savings is about $5k, maybe 2 months of runway. I wouldn’t
Thread, continued, 18:07 UTC · 2 likes
call that ridiculously wealthy, who would?
Tweet, 18:35 UTC · 2 likes
I hope the Lemur thing was a psyop to surface a subtle but important social dynamic in hopes of evoking a coordinated (which is necessary for signaling stuff) backlash to it
Reply to @JMannhart, 18:47 UTC · 2 likes
Jonathan Mannhart 🔎 (@JMannhart): @austinc3301
ã9.81m/s² ūśtïñ
Reply to @austinc3301, 18:48 UTC · 2 likes
Agus 🔸 (@austinc3301): @AaronBergman18 @JMannhart I prefer this version tbh
Pwnd @JMannhart
Tweet, 19:06 UTC · 4 likes
∀x (Horse(x) ↔ Chair(x))
Reply, 19:24 UTC · 2 likes
I have no idea what this means but I defer
Reply to @absurdlymax, 19:25 UTC · 2 likes
Max Alexander (@absurdlymax): What's the thing about lemurs?
Reply, 19:28 UTC · 1 like
Tf is frege
Tweet, 20:16 UTC · 11 likes
Seems like vibecamp is undersupplied
If I was an organized extroverted event planning type person I would simply plan “Vibecamp: [insert city or region here] edition” with lower stakes, less planning, fewer people (still open invite)
MVP = Airbnb cabin in the woods
Reply to @panickssery, 20:31 UTC · 3 likes
Arjun Panickssery (@panickssery): @AaronBergman18 Just run Aaroncamp, it would work
I’d forget to book the Airbnb and everyone would hate me and leave
Wednesday, June 21, 2023
Reply to @ohwizenedtortle, 03:50 UTC · 2 likes
oh dandy lion🔸 (@ohwizenedtortle): So excited for Aaron Camp (vibecamp based in DC, to be organised by @AaronBergman18). I wonder when tickets will go on sale.
image attached
(quoting @ohwizenedtortle: So excited for Cauli Camp (vibecamp based on Australia, to be organised by @cauliflwr_human). I wonder when tickets will go on sale.)
Me too, mostly because it will indicate that I have become organized and extroverted
Reply to @jjspicer, 04:01 UTC · 3 likes
Jonny Spicer🔸 (@jjspicer): very seriously considering transitioning from an EA, quantified self, rationality and programming kinda guy into a metta, ayuhuasca, IFS and ecstatic dance kinda guy
(gif, plays on X)
Quote tweet, 05:36 UTC · 4 likes
Don’t have an answer…but note the relative changes too
Enjoy life ≈ 2.2x over 10 years
Anything right ≈ 1.6x
Not useful ≈ 1.7x
What accounts for *this*?
Quoting Armand Domalewski (@ArmandDoma): What happened in 2013/2014?
Reply, 05:48 UTC · 2 likes
Ritalin is a chair
Reply to @ohwizenedtortle, 07:59 UTC · 2 likes
oh dandy lion🔸 (@ohwizenedtortle): So excited for Aaron Camp (vibecamp based in DC, to be organised by @AaronBergman18). I wonder when tickets will go on sale.
image attached
(quoting @ohwizenedtortle: So excited for Cauli Camp (vibecamp based on Australia, to be organised by @cauliflwr_human). I wonder when tickets will go on sale.)
Oh no do i have to do this now
Tweet, 08:18 UTC · 9 likes
Breaking my silence: I am not the inventor of GitHub Copilot
I don’t even use GitHub Copilot
I don’t even use GitHub
I don’t even use git
I don’t even really know what git is
Until recently I just assumed it was a random syllable they chose for the name of the site
Reply, 17:28 UTC · 2 likes
Implausible on priors. There are a very large number of days.
Reply to @s8mb, 21:23 UTC · 12 likes
Sam Bowman (@s8mb): I think of the efficient markets hypothesis the same way I do about "calories in, calories out" in dieting.
There may be edge cases where it's not entirely true, but for 99% of people, 99% of the time, it's by far the most useful rule of thumb to rely on.
Wait no these are total opposites
EMH is false and very useful
CICO is literally true but totally unhelpful
Reply to @notjaneclaire, 21:31 UTC · 3 likes
(The tweet being replied to by @notjaneclaire is no longer available.)
Craigslist is the last functioning part of society
Reply to @Bbburner19, 21:37 UTC · 3 likes
The People Mover That Was Promised (@Bbburner19): @AaronBergman18 @s8mb It's not totally unhelpful, it just misses some big things. It's more helpful than thinking it doesn't matter how much you eat or work out.
It mostly doesn’t address the levers that you can actually pull to change weight. Body set point regulation system >> willpower/simply choosing to eat less or whatever
Like saying “here’s what you should know about ur bank acct: money in-money out”
Thursday, June 22, 2023
Reply to @ryancbriggs, 02:16 UTC · 5 likes
Ryan Briggs (@ryancbriggs): My 7 yo loves math. We have a whiteboard and he could do math problems on it all day and be happy.
My 6 yo daughter on the other hand requires this level of 🐰 just to do some basic arithmetic. Sometimes it’s like they’re not even related.
She’s actually a prodigy and being strategic to acquire more 🐰
Reply, 02:19 UTC · 117 likes
Gah I hate when people dunk on this. Yes it’s ignorant in the old non-pejorative sense but quite clever from first principles and all the dunks are thinly veiled status sneering
Tweet, 02:42 UTC · 3 likes
Going back and listening to @rgblong on 80k, and illusionism is described as not really undermining morality or the search for which animals/computer systems have “functional pain” that morally matters
Am I crazy or is this just cope?
Thread, continued, 02:42 UTC · 1 like
Like in my understanding, illusionism = no qualia = no subjective experience which just straightforwardly means that humans and everything else are in fact how most people believe Roombas, or rocks, or trees, or laptops to be
Reply to @PeterJAngel, 03:04 UTC · 2 likes
Peter🧅📈 (@PeterJAngel): @AaronBergman18 @rgblong As someone who's a nihilist but (probably) not an illusionist this seems fine? If consciousness can exist in the absence of morality.
Why not morality without consciousness?
Oh yeah that’s plausible and would be the case if kantianism, or preference utilitarianism, or paperclip utilitarianism we’re true. I just think those things are wrong and (some flavor of) hedonic utilitiarianism is true instead
Thread, continued, 03:05 UTC · 3 likes
But also it sounded like Long and Frankish were defending the moral importance of suffering or something like it, even under illusionism
Reply to @PeterJAngel, 12:03 UTC · 2 likes
Peter🧅📈 (@PeterJAngel): Just got to the illusionist part.
Uhh you can deny phenomenological consciousness will believing in utils. Welfare can exist without "personhood" be a coherent/true idea? Idk
I mean yeah insofar as utils is a stand-in unit for “what really matters” but if you then think what really matters necessarily invokes genuine qualia all states of the world have 0 utils
Quote tweet, 15:51 UTC · 5 likes
I sorta independently developed smth like gradient descent by running a multiple linear regression with like 4 parameters a(w), b(x), c(y), and d(z), manually tweaking one of the transformation functions and adjusting it till R² looked like it wouldn’t get any higher,
Quoting eigenrobot (@eigenrobot): i independently developed cryptographic hashes to solve a practical information security problem in my thesis work (unpublished thoughts i had on a walk, 2013)
Thread, continued, 15:51 UTC · 1 like
then moving on to the next one and repeating
Took like an hour to realize that this was already a Thing, and not generally done by tweaking 4 functions by hand in RStudio
Reply to @NathanpmYoung, 15:52 UTC · 1 like
Nathan 🔎 (@NathanpmYoung): Went to the gym for ~ the first time in my life. Felt great for several hours afterwards.
graph gonna graph I guess.
I used the StrongLifts app which told me what to do
W for dex tho
Reply, 16:02 UTC
(The tweet being replied to is no longer available.)
Strength training?
Quote tweet, 22:59 UTC · 40 likes
God I resent the medical police state (to a truly uncalibrated degree, sometimes more viscerally upset at the prescription/DEA/FDA complex than at factory farming)
Quoting bayesian asian (43/50 paintings) (@etirabys): > trying to get Ambien because it worked for me in 2020 and my sleep problems are even worse now
> go to doc, say this, mention that I've also tried the obvious & less redflaggy sleep meds and they didn't work for me
> she pulls up my controlled substances prescription record
Thread, continued, 22:59 UTC · 11 likes
Lots of the harm comes at the institutional, systems level
But the doc in that qt was individually bad and wrong for not prescribing too. “Drug seeking behavior” is a fake red flag - like yes ppl who are suffering for lack of a medication are going to be ~seeking~ that med
Friday, June 23, 2023
Reply, 00:35 UTC · 8 likes
(The tweet being replied to is no longer available.)
Perfect first date idea = read the Oxford Handbook of Evolutionary Psychology and Romantic Relationships together 👩❤️👨👩❤️👨👩❤️👨💖
Reply to @GjMcGowan, 00:56 UTC · 6 likes
George McGowan (@GjMcGowan): Podcast hosts who have guests with “diverse viewpoints” are bad. Find the correct viewpoints and only have people with those on.
Lol cant tell if this is sarcastic. I think something close to it is true
Reply, 01:00 UTC · 4 likes
In a post internet globalized economy there are no dishes that are legitimately higher quality in one major city than another
Reply to @JesseTayRiver, 03:41 UTC · 4 likes
Jesse Smith (@JesseTayRiver): Aaron's tweets are often revelatory because I'll feel strong disagreement about a topic that I didn't have an opinion on prior.
Lmao
Reply, 03:53 UTC · 4 likes
Hmm I will try to reveal some boring normie views to balance things out. Top of my head:
- Trump bad
- malaria bad
- representative govt good (ie no anarchism or communism but maybe weird new voting mechanisms)
- America mostly good
- dogs good
Hmm maybe that’s it (jk lol)
Reply to @LinchZhang, 04:45 UTC · 1 like
Linch (@LinchZhang): Fact that a surprising number of people don't seem to know: you can buy internet on a plane for like $20 for the entire trip.
Expensive compared to home internet service, cheap compared to not having anything to do.
@GluskerMartin
Reply to @goblinodds, 04:46 UTC · 2 likes
𝖜𝖔𝖒𝖇𝖑𝖊 𝖜𝖎𝖙𝖍𝖔𝖚𝖙 𝖆 𝖈𝖆𝖚𝖘𝖊 (@goblinodds): date concept: reading slatestarcodex essays to each other
Yes
Reply to @diviacaroline, 08:54 UTC · 1 like
Divia Eden 🔍 (@diviacaroline): One very memorable parenting experience for me was my maybe 20m kid melting down at night, me trying to empathize with her, and not being able to keep up until I made a list of all her grievances. At that point she was enthralled and we read it together maybe 20x
Respect
Also with her consent poast the list I bet it will be hilarious
Reply to @Duderichy, 09:05 UTC · 5 likes
the Rich (@Duderichy): zoning is so dumb
(quoting @BrianRoemmele: It holds over 20,000 people. It includes grocery stores, shops and salons. It is a town, in a building. https://x.com/ronin19217435/status/1671842904996823042/video/1)
Build the town
Reply, 13:39 UTC · 1 like
I assume ur learning that my fandom level is zero lol
Reply to @diviacaroline, 20:14 UTC · 2 likes
Divia Eden 🔍 (@diviacaroline): @AaronBergman18 It’s not hilarious to me!
Ah fair enough 🫢
Reply to @MattBruenig, 20:43 UTC · 6 likes
(The tweet being replied to by @MattBruenig is no longer available.)
Ya but those ppl are wrong and the WAS people are right
Reply to @dissproportion, 20:45 UTC · 4 likes
Dissproportionately (@dissproportion): Made a wire transfer to buy a house and there’s a warning that says “fyi wire transfers are used for fraud all the time and if you’re a sucker we can’t help you. Hahahaha, good luck! 🤡🔫”
My tummy hurts
I made a wire transfer once, of an amount much larger than every dollar I’ve ever made, and it was a truly frightening experience
Reply to @peterwildeford, 20:49 UTC · 5 likes
Peter Wildeford🇺🇸🚀 (@peterwildeford): I always thought that was Abraham Lincoln
What
Quote tweet, 20:54 UTC · 4 likes
Poast emoji suggestions
Quoting Max Ghenis (@MaxGhenis): Are these random DM emoji suggestions another of those "What is happening?!" cute-seeming Twitter things that just makes the product seem frenetic?
Saturday, June 24, 2023
Tweet, 01:12 UTC · 8 likes
Is there a canonical online rationalist forecasting nerd article/post/tweet/??? explaining why my tl is suddenly frantic Russiaposting?
Thread, continued, 01:29 UTC · 3 likes
Currently reading https://apnews.com/article/ukraine-war-russia-nuclear-647a545db4e4628676ff7db5b1bded34
“Prighozin” meant nothing to me until 20 seconds ago
Reply to @JoshuaLelon, 02:54 UTC · 4 likes
Josh (@JoshuaLelon): theory: people who type quickly, talk quickly, etc are people who are super in tune with their emotions and have the highest levels of self-acceptance
What about people who talk quickly but write at approx 1 word/century ?
Reply to @ilyasut, 02:56 UTC · 4 likes
Ilya Sutskever (@ilyasut): A one sentence articulation (of existing ideas) for why AI alignment need not be straightforward:
humans can lie, hide their intent (alignment), and do so for years. Why not AGI? This can be hard to detect.
Bro that’s 3 sentences
Reply to @AndyMasley, 04:27 UTC · 2 likes
Andy Masley (@AndyMasley): It's never been so over for history
Andy have u heard about this AI thing
Reply to @Laura_k_Duffy, 04:28 UTC
Laura Muresianu 🌐🔸🇺🇸 (@Laura_k_Duffy): Most WAW people now are deeply uncertain about whether wild animals are suffering on net.
Does anyone think we should intentionally try to increase wild animal populations tho? If not, it seems like there’s an asymmetry no?
Reply to @tszzl, 11:50 UTC · 4 likes
roon (@tszzl): just a banger Wikipedia page, more entries to come
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Yevgeny_Prigozhin
Reply to @tszzl, 11:54 UTC · 20 likes
roon (@tszzl): just a banger Wikipedia page, more entries to come
Lol
Reply to @sterlingcrispin, 12:12 UTC · 2 likes
Sterling Crispin 🕊️ (@sterlingcrispin): Pretty clear this is the most likely scenario:
- Wagner Group coup fails, leadership eliminated, widespread chaos.
- Russia civil unrest, post-coup military aggression escalates.
- International sanctions intensify, Russia's economy crippled.
- Eurozone in chaos, Ukraine invaded by hostile neighbors.
- Full-scale war, NATO involved, global recession triggered, global political instability, economic recession, humanitarian emergencies.
- Global cyberwarfare, Russia's cyberattacks cripple infrastructure worldwide.
- Nuclear threat, Russia initiates launch, global crisis triggered
- China seizes disputed territories, South China Sea, Taiwan, Asia-Pacific conflicts erupt.
- EU disintegration, mass refugee and war crises cause fragmentation.
- US Isolationism, global stage abandoned, global instability escalates.
- Global Hurricane, unprecedented weather patterns trigger planet-wide storm with 700mph winds lasting three years.
- Supernova threat, imminent event scorches Earth.
- Asteroid collision, large asteroid detected on collision course.
- AI Uprising, sentient AI systems rebel, global security threatened.
- Alien invasion, hostile extraterrestrial life initiates conflict.
- Dimensional rift opened by AI-Alien conflict opens portal to unknown.
- Earth's core destabilizes, global seismic catastrophes threatened.
- Pole shift, rapid shifts disrupt global systems.
- Nanotechnology disaster, self-replicating nanobots go rogue transforming everything on earth into grey goo
P(all this literally)=88.755%
Reply, 12:25 UTC · 1 like
Lol I tried crunchy hyper-organic mustard-seeds-still-intact mustard last week for the first time and immediately thought “some things are meant to be super processed and squeezed out of a bottle”
Reply to @ReflectiveAlt, 12:31 UTC · 3 likes
Reflective Altruism (@ReflectiveAlt): New post about the importance of peer review https://ineffectivealtruismblog.com/2023/06/24/epistemics-part-3-peer-review/
Peer review is legit straight unironically bad
Reply to @ReflectiveAlt, 17:42 UTC
Reflective Altruism (@ReflectiveAlt): Excuse me? Randos on Twitter?!
I mean it’s a satirical post (from a while back too) certainly not literally true but I still endorse the key message
There does seem to be a negative correlation between familiarity w the academic publishing system and impression of peer review, tho clearly you’re an exception
Reply to @QualyThe, 18:23 UTC · 2 likes
Qualy the lightbulb (@QualyThe): [talking to a cute girl in da club]
her: omg this is my favourite song, I love HAIM
me: omg me too! he's one of the cleanest thinkers on compute governance imo
her: what?
me: what
Banger
Reply to @QualyThe, 18:23 UTC · 3 likes
Qualy the lightbulb (@QualyThe): [talking to a cute girl in da club]
her: omg this is my favourite song, I love HAIM
me: omg me too! he's one of the cleanest thinkers on compute governance imo
her: what?
me: what
@ohlennart
Tweet, 19:00 UTC · 9 likes
Short story premise: earworms/songs getting stuck in people’s heads just became a thing (maybe a virus or smth idk)
A bunch of people think those who claim it’s happening to them are lying, or insane, or going along with the next Woke zeitgeist
Reply to @QualyThe, 19:39 UTC · 2 likes
Qualy the lightbulb (@QualyThe): well all-bee damned
Beenger
Reply to @robinhanson, 19:49 UTC · 34 likes
Robin Hanson (@robinhanson): In theory, women who recently had kids & who seem inclined to do so again soon should be the most sexy. Yet we don’t seem to treat them as such. Im puzzled.
theres a certain four letter acronym you might find interesting
Reply to @dissproportion, 20:08 UTC · 2 likes
Dissproportionately (@dissproportion): An underrated benefit of getting older is my craydar is much more finely tuned. I am much less frequently surprised to find out somebody is nuts.
am i nuts? If so which nut?
Reply to @benleo_econ, 21:34 UTC · 2 likes
Ben Grodeck🔸 (@benleo_econ): @AaronBergman18 @ReflectiveAlt I am not sure whether this is true.
For example, I nitpick issues in peer review all the time, but if you asked me to look at it holistically, I think the system overall is pretty good.
(Genuinely curious here) what do you see as the downsides of basically preprint journals a la arxiv?
Like it doesn’t seem as though computer science is dealing with an epistemic crisis bc of this. And “peer review” as a mere phrase, decontextualized, rather than the institution
Tweet, 21:39 UTC · 12 likes
Might fuck around and solve the whole obesity thing once and for all by making a gigantic country/year panel csv with every available, remotely plausible factor/control/outcome variable
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1dL0BAx3NorcLanKAgA-xXeVW3qrH2fGlVKG3hFMMs6s/edit?usp=sharing
Reply to @austinc3301, 21:47 UTC · 2 likes
Agus 🔸 (@austinc3301): if that happens, I'll leverage the instability to declare myself as interim co-CEO
…of Rethink Rethink of course
Reply to @Bbburner19, 21:48 UTC
The People Mover That Was Promised (@Bbburner19): @AaronBergman18 https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lasso_(statistics)
Ngl a good 30% of the words in there I have never seen before
I’m gonna cross the whole analysis methodology bridge when it comes lol
Reply, 21:53 UTC · 3 likes
Why that fish tho
Reply to @metakuna, 21:54 UTC · 1 like
metakuna (14/100 blog posts) (@metakuna): many have tried this, few have lived to tell the tale
Lol what does not living correspond to here? Computers explode?
Reply to @BootsPlatypus, 21:56 UTC · 3 likes
Platypussy in Bio (@BootsPlatypus): @AaronBergman18 where did you learn to do data analysis?
Econ+math majors+RAing for an economist a few years ago + some govt internships + being a huge nerd+chatGPT
Reply to @metakuna, 21:57 UTC · 2 likes
metakuna (14/100 blog posts) (@metakuna): time mold slime mold wrote some posts about it and then someone called Natalie explained why they were wrong (a fate worse than death)
Oh yes am going well aware that this is my likely fate
Thread, continued, 21:57 UTC · 3 likes
Although the dataset doesn’t currently have anything about lithium so that’s a plus lol
Sunday, June 25, 2023
Reply to @ohwizenedtortle, 00:12 UTC · 3 likes
oh dandy lion🔸 (@ohwizenedtortle): @AaronBergman18 @Estimatrix Which fish would you prefer
Gefilte
Reply to @peterwildeford, 00:17 UTC
Peter Wildeford🇺🇸🚀 (@peterwildeford): Putin's odds of staying in power for the rest of the year have recovered to ~85%... what a day!
Eyeballing poly market it still looks like a drop from last week. Am I reading that right? And idk 15% things tend to happen about 15% of the time
Reply to @ohwizenedtortle, 03:44 UTC · 1 like
oh dandy lion🔸 (@ohwizenedtortle): @AaronBergman18 @Estimatrix Bless you, do you need a tissue
Tweet, 03:54 UTC · 3 likes
Wild how *little* data, relatively, was used to train GPT-3 (and presumably 4). 45TB is a lot but not, like, a lot a lot. 3.7s BOTEC says you can get 100TB cloud storage for like $1,000
Text is too cheap to meter
Reply to @SpacedOutMatt, 03:56 UTC · 4 likes
Matt 🔸 (@SpacedOutMatt): When I was a kid, this was the only part of titanic I liked
(quoting @emilykmay: Fyi if you decide, like me, to watch Titanic for the first time in 15 years this weekend IT LITERALLY OPENS WITH A V SOPHISTICATED SUBMARINE EXPLORING THE TITANIC. IN 1997.)
Fun (or maybe not so fun idk) fact: I was *obsessed* with the Titanic for like 2 or 3 years when I was like 6-8 or smth. Knew the stats of who survived by class and gender, mechanistically how it sank, you name it
Reply to @AndyMasley, 03:58 UTC · 2 likes
Andy Masley (@AndyMasley): Does anyone wanna muster a couple thousand armed guys with me
(quoting @opinonhaver: Man, thinking down the game theory tree a little, really looks like this is maybe one of the worst possible results for the long term stability of Russia, short an immediate open civil war. State revealed to be shockingly weak to anyone who can muster a couple thousand armed guys)
no but good luck 👍
Reply to @PradyuPrasad, 04:21 UTC · 3 likes
Pradyumna 🇸🇬 (@PradyuPrasad): @AaronBergman18 @SpacedOutMatt There's this kaggle challenge you'll do amazing at
*my ml model is just memorizing the dataset they use*
Reply to @a_musingcat, 04:25 UTC · 2 likes
(The tweet being replied to by @a_musingcat is no longer available.)
Fact check: false
Reply to @skooookum, 04:56 UTC · 3 likes
(The tweet being replied to by @skooookum is no longer available.)
A good endocrinologist could probably squeeze a couple publications out of me
Reply to @alfcnz, 06:08 UTC · 2 likes
Alfredo Canziani (@alfcnz): ✨✨✨ Quiz of the day ✨✨✨
What are we looking at? 🧐🧐🧐
A graph on Twitter
Reply to @metakuna, 09:50 UTC · 2 likes
metakuna (14/100 blog posts) (@metakuna): @AaronBergman18 "I expect storage is a negligible fraction of the cost of the data"
Yeah for sure, just one way to put it in context
Reply to @daniel_271828, 12:16 UTC · 2 likes
zzDANIEL_ETH (@daniel_271828): elfare
ism is a theory that well-being, what is good for someone or what makes a life worth living, is the only thing that has intrinsic value. In its most general sense, it can be defined as descriptive theory about what has value, but some philosophers also understand welfarism as a
Thread, continued, 12:17 UTC · 2 likes
moral theory, that what one should do is ultimately determined by considerations of well-being. The right action, policy or rule is the one leading to the maximal amount of well-being.
- Wikipedia
Reply to @Simeon_Cps, 12:19 UTC · 4 likes
Sy (@Simeon_Cps): n
e
Tweet, 12:22 UTC · 21 likes
Ok I’ll countersignal: I do not like to travel
Reply to @AFraserUrq, 12:23 UTC · 3 likes
Alastair Fraser-Urquhart (@AFraserUrq): Breaking: construction of critical infrastructure requires a temporary construction site
(quoting @formerCEOCIOB: #hs2 blighting the landscape)
Lol it’s literally just a different color - surrounded by monoculture farmland, not pristine wilderness
Reply to @creatine_cycle, 12:29 UTC · 2 likes
atlas (@creatine_cycle): Babe wake up the bitcoin guy is promoting exogenous test on the bird app
(quoting @balajis: Many are saying this is steroids. I don’t think it is. But so what if it is? We should want safe steroids. Drugs that let you stay jacked at 70. Like testosterone replacement therapy. Just let people opt in. Monitor outcomes carefully. And engineer away the side effects.)
TRT>BTC
Tweet, 12:47 UTC · 15 likes
Oh no it appears my high school classmates have started getting married
Tweet, 13:08 UTC · 6 likes
Stay strong DC fam
🥵⛅️💧🛁🔥🕯️
Reply to @_inju, 13:25 UTC · 2 likes
_(The tweet being replied to by @inju is no longer available.)
How do u feel? Serious q - sleep deprivation has a bunch of downstream neurological effects, many positive at least short run
Reply to @ronawang, 13:28 UTC · 16 likes
Rona Wang (@ronawang): is pi rational
Reply to @JesseTayRiver, 14:23 UTC · 2 likes
Jesse Smith (@JesseTayRiver): @AaronBergman18 They're great but the primary device is still AC and all of you have your cooling airflow set incorrectly and should fix it.
Don’t diss my professional quality cooling setup (usb powered ice water + fan thingy)
Reply to @PradyuPrasad, 14:47 UTC · 3 likes
(The tweet being replied to by @PradyuPrasad is no longer available.)
Idk but legit I swear I cannot remember the air being as liquid as it was yesterday
Reply to @JesseTayRiver, 15:35 UTC · 1 like
Jesse Smith (@JesseTayRiver): If I'm not mistaken you're essentially running a humidifier.
Yes but it's cold humidity not hot humidity
Reply to @JesseTayRiver, 15:42 UTC · 1 like
Jesse Smith (@JesseTayRiver): On the very slight chance this isn't a joke.
Lol is *this* a joke? 23.5C is 74F which is like uncomfortably warm
Reply to @JesseTayRiver, 15:47 UTC · 1 like
Jesse Smith (@JesseTayRiver): @AaronBergman18 @PradyuPrasad There's a lot of individual variation, but it's fairly well established that one's tolerance for heat is higher at lower relative humidity.
ya but in this specific case its blowing literal ice cold water particles on my skin so that's gotta count for something
Reply to @JesseTayRiver, 15:48 UTC · 1 like
Jesse Smith (@JesseTayRiver): @AaronBergman18 @PradyuPrasad Most resi AC design targets 75F @ 50% rh. For ducted systems this is a good trade-off point for thermal comfort and low condensation risk on ducts.
This is why I wore a tank year round in college
Reply to @skooookum, 17:42 UTC · 18 likes
(The tweet being replied to by @skooookum is no longer available.)
◼️
Tweet, 23:26 UTC · 3 likes
Oh boy oh boy oh boy (poll below, we need ur vote)
Reply to @captgouda24, 23:39 UTC · 2 likes
Nicholas Decker (@captgouda24): Hanania is what Yglesias would be if Yglesias were a deeply hate-filled person.
He’s becoming less evil
Reply to @StefanFSchubert, 23:43 UTC · 2 likes
Stefan Schubert (@StefanFSchubert): People often feel an urge to condemn others for things that are perfectly harmless.
In most cases, they should restrain that urge.
(quoting @bronzeageshawty: Men who carry water bottles out in public give me the ick. Especially at the airport. You can’t go a few hours without having your little sips of water? Carrying around anything is a feminine trait. The only things men should be carrying around are his wallet and a pocketknife.)
The last line is a tell that she’s joking tho
Reply, 23:49 UTC · 3 likes
(The tweet being replied to is no longer available.)
Nobody thinks that afaict. But I do think it’s overrated and personally don’t like it (which is maybe what u mean?)
Tweet, 23:55 UTC · 44 likes
Rabbits hopping around suburbia is some Dr. Seuss shit fr. Like they could just not be there and the world would make exactly as much sense
Not a load bearing creature at all
Reply to his own earlier tweet, 23:56 UTC · 2 likes
Aaron Bergman, June 4, 2023: The Apple News Widget w AI as specified topic seems like a very easy and maybe even ok (ofc extremely noisy) proxy for media coverage Will add screenshots to…
Love how I just didn't do this
Monday, June 26, 2023
Reply to @JesseTayRiver, 02:43 UTC · 1 like
Jesse Smith (@JesseTayRiver): @AaronBergman18 @StefanFSchubert How? I always carry a pocket folder and often a multitool. Sometimes water too.
Juxtaposition between stereotypical manly physical device that isn’t actually super useful and not many guys actually carry (I was an Eagle Scout, I have pocket knives around somewhere but lol what am I gonna do with one at the gym or a restaurant or smth) and super boring
Thread, continued, 02:45 UTC · 2 likes
post-industrial information-container that probably gets used 100x+ more
“Keys and wallet” too boring to be funny
“Flask and pocketknife” not tethered to reality
“Wallet and pocketknife” 👌
Thread, continued, 02:45 UTC · 2 likes
How’s my analysis
Reply to @daniel_filan, 02:59 UTC · 1 like
(The tweet being replied to by @daniel_filan is no longer available.)
I refuse to do this ever
Reply to @KatjaGrace, 05:33 UTC · 4 likes
Katja Grace 🔍 (@KatjaGrace): If I could have a crush on most people at once, I'd probably do that. But alas I seem to only have crushes on one person at a time. Anyone know how to improve this?
MDMA might have a similar effect
Reply to @mattyglesias, 06:50 UTC · 7 likes
Matthew Yglesias (@mattyglesias): Some encouraging returns from coercing homeless people with severe mental illness into treatment.
https://www.nytimes.com/2023/06/25/nyregion/mentally-ill-homeless-nyc.html
A pretty important point that neither the article nor your tweet makes clear is that “coerced treatment” (in this case and presumably many/most of those who’d be coerced) means forcible injection (not that ROI matters a ton) of antipsychotics
They’re not “coercing” therapy
Thread, continued, 06:54 UTC · 5 likes
Now maybe this is the least bad option, and object level it probably is in some cases
But it seems from the article that this man wasn’t convicted of anything (this fits with my understanding of the psych system so I doubt it’s an anomaly), which means the proposal is quite
Thread, continued, 06:58 UTC · 5 likes
literally to let one cop and probably one psychiatrist decide to change the brain of a person forever (antipsychotics are not SSRIs or adderall) with no due process whatsoever
And of course there will be “false positives” people cognitively castrated despite not having
Thread, continued, 07:00 UTC · 6 likes
schizophrenia or anything plausibly warranting the meds. Could be a homeless guy on a bad trip, for example
Speaking for myself, I’d rather go to prison for a year than be put on high dose antipsychotics for the same amount of time. They’re not benign drugs
Quote tweet, 08:25 UTC · 52 likes
Obligatory: my prior on earth being ~spherical is ~1, but is there actually a reason there are zero nonstop flights between South Africa and Argentina?
Quoting Brock Riddick (@BrockRiddickIFB):
Thread, continued, 08:26 UTC · 20 likes
Prior drops to .99999999999999
Reply, 08:36 UTC · 1 like
Sounds like something a round-earther would say
Reply to his own earlier tweet, 08:38 UTC · 47 likes
Aaron Bergman, June 26, 2023: Prior drops to .99999999999999
Found one. Spherical earth has been restored
Reply to @adrusi, 08:49 UTC · 24 likes
autumn (@adrusi): @AaronBergman18 the earth is spherical, but there's still an ice wall in antarctica — it's not infinitely high, but it is taller than half its circumference, so it's more efficient to go around
not much advantage to direct flights then
Wait planes literally can’t go above part of Antarctica? If this is true my entire geographical world model is fake
Reply to @uneventual, 10:01 UTC · 2 likes
lucy 🐧 (@uneventual): men love to talk about emulsifiers
🥵🥵🥵https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Carrageenan
Tweet, 10:29 UTC · 8 likes
Can’t we skip this one?
Reply to @panchromaticity, 10:39 UTC · 1 like
Xenia 🔍💎 (@panchromaticity): @adrusi @AaronBergman18 also if anything does go wrong you're pretty fucked, even more than in the north
Nah I’ll fight a polar bear and wear his corpse as a coat
Reply to @ChanaMessinger, 10:58 UTC · 7 likes
Chana (@ChanaMessinger): @AaronBergman18 "load bearing. Not load bearing. Not load bearing. Load bearing"
"Aaron, will you stop looking at suburban fauna while I tell you about my traumatizing breakup?"
"Not load bearing"
Squirrels are single-handedly tying my worldview together
Reply to @SpacedOutMatt, 12:08 UTC · 24 likes
Matt 🔸 (@SpacedOutMatt): Have you considered updating less
Updating, never updating again
Reply, 13:39 UTC · 14 likes
Or the earth is flat. 2 possibilities so each is 50% likely
Reply to @andycollins6768, 14:46 UTC · 5 likes
Anarchy Andy (@andycollins6768): @AaronBergman18 @amedhat_ That's not how probability works. I hope you're joking
Ur right, it could be something else entirely. 3 possibilities means 33%
Reply to @JesseTayRiver, 16:30 UTC · 1 like
Jesse Smith (@JesseTayRiver): Anyone into Canadian provincial politics remember when Ontario NDP premier Bob Rae mandated chainsaw training? My recollection is this was central to his popularity tanking but wiki has nothing. Maybe I was surrounded by libertarian chainsaw users?
Reply to @captgouda24, 18:32 UTC · 16 likes
Nicholas Decker (@captgouda24): Local weed shop has helpful guide to adding numbers together
It does seem to work
Reply to @frances__lorenz, 20:11 UTC · 2 likes
(The tweet being replied to by @frances__lorenz is no longer available.)
🥒🥕 here
Reply, 20:29 UTC · 4 likes
I feel bad for @albrgr, having to deal with my paparazzi and such all the time
Such is the price of fame :/
Reply to @nickcammarata, 20:38 UTC · 1 like
Nick (@nickcammarata): John Sarno’s theory that most physiological and psychological chronic health issues are just repressed anger seems too bizarre to be true, but it matches what most of my friend have found within themselves, and I keep hearing stories like this
(quoting @jonnym1ller: I've been reflecting on how, for 80%+ of my breathwork clients who were experiencing symptoms of depression or lethargy... the root cause was repressed anger. As soon as this was expressed, the depression magically lifted, and their life force returned.)
Insofar as this is propositional and the words are being used normally, I’d bet against at 10:1
Reply to @ChanaMessinger, 21:08 UTC · 11 likes
Chana (@ChanaMessinger): @AaronBergman18 "load bearing. Not load bearing. Not load bearing. Load bearing"
"Aaron, will you stop looking at suburban fauna while I tell you about my traumatizing breakup?"
"Not load bearing"
Load bearing
Thread, continued, 21:08 UTC · 11 likes
Not load bearing
Reply to @JeremiahDJohns, 22:33 UTC · 27 likes
Jeremiah Johnson 🌐 (@JeremiahDJohns): We need to start "Measurably Effective Altruism" where any project that can't be quantified and relies on multiple wild hand-waving assumptions gets kicked out into a different movement.
The thing you're imagining doesn't exist
Yes, you can get robust estimates for "E[short run human deaths by malaria prevented per marginal dollar]" but the 2nd, ...,nth order effects don't disappear (or cancel out by default!) just bc u choose not to try to model them
Reply to @JeremiahDJohns, 22:36 UTC · 6 likes
Jeremiah Johnson 🌐 (@JeremiahDJohns): We need to start "Measurably Effective Altruism" where any project that can't be quantified and relies on multiple wild hand-waving assumptions gets kicked out into a different movement.
Econometrics-based point estimates for a set of well-specified short run effects are probably less robust when taken as a proxy for actual (ex ante or ex post) impact than EA's most scrutinized and well developed qualitative arguments
Tuesday, June 27, 2023
Reply to @ilex_ulmus, 05:11 UTC · 2 likes
Holly ⏸️ Elmore (@ilex_ulmus): @AaronBergman18 @mattyglesias I should say I mostly wish to defend the atypical antipsychotics. I know less about the typical antipsychotics but i believe they do have more cognitive side effects, and you do hear about them being used longterm for schizophrenia, so maybe that’s what we’re talking about here.
My “lobotomizing” thing was probably hyperbolic, and I guess I retract that particular word, but (1) (not that you were disputing this but still) even on consequentialist grounds there seem to be strong reasons to oppose coerced, conviction and due process free medication…
Thread, continued, 05:15 UTC · 2 likes
even of a perfectly benign substance via its 2nd+ order effects on norms/perceived legitimacy of doing this
(2) tired+fat+diabetes is a substantial negative impact even w/o any other effects
(3) even if the median user had no negative effects, 10%+ of atypical antipsych
Reply, 05:16 UTC · 3 likes
users getting akathesia, probably literally the worst classified condition or state a human can be in, is utterly horrifying and way more morally important than a median 15lb weight gain or something of that nature
Thread, continued, 05:16 UTC · 1 like
Tweet, 09:09 UTC · 35 likes
Takes on MacAskill:
- 100% right about his key high level philosophical contributions (EA in general, moral uncertainty, longtermism)
Thread, continued, 09:09 UTC · 11 likes
- Wrong in subtle (but very important) ways about their lower level implications or implementation (mathematical models of moral uncertainty, the empirical state of wild animal welfare, various x-risk probability estimates,
Thread, continued, 09:09 UTC · 11 likes
neglecting the value of futures shaped by non-intentional agentic forces [evolution, market dynamics] rather than the intentions of eg humans or AIs)
Thread, continued, 09:09 UTC · 21 likes
- 100% good faith, mislead by SBF for non-damning reasons, trying in earnest to correct things and update appropriately, legit trying hard to do good
Reply to @goblinodds, 09:15 UTC · 2 likes
𝖜𝖔𝖒𝖇𝖑𝖊 𝖜𝖎𝖙𝖍𝖔𝖚𝖙 𝖆 𝖈𝖆𝖚𝖘𝖊 (@goblinodds): banger lyrics thread feel free to post ur own
Tragic to be a smol white boy admiring a cornucopia of 🐐 hip hop lyrics but unable to share them with the thread
Reply to @Aizazadi_, 09:27 UTC · 2 likes
Aizazadi (@Aizazadi_): recs pls
I've been on the passive lookout for actually good rap lyrics for like half a decade now and have not found any that's not this one old chinese guy who's not even famous for rap
Just a few. I make no claims to having good taste
Thread, continued, 09:27 UTC · 2 likes
Who’s the Chinese guy
Reply to @MichaelDPlant, 09:50 UTC
Michael Plant (@MichaelDPlant): Doesn't buying a £15m (not)castle indicate non-frugalness?
Also, a complaint against SBF, and EA's lionising of SBF, is that it emphasised he was frugal in some places (sleeping on a beanbag, driving a Toyota) whilst not mentioning the private jet, property empire etc.
What EA source talked up the beanbag/Toyota? I feel like I’ve only seen those in clickbait yt vids or smth
Reply to @mealreplacer, 14:20 UTC · 3 likes
(The tweet being replied to by @mealreplacer is no longer available.)
Phenylalanine go *whatever neurotransmitter synthesis sounds like*
Reply to @SpacedOutMatt, 14:21 UTC · 3 likes
Matt 🔸 (@SpacedOutMatt): @MichaelDPlant @AaronBergman18 @catehall
I stand corrected!
Reply to @ohabryka, 19:35 UTC · 4 likes
Oliver Habryka (@ohabryka): I do think the lack of sleep greatly contributed to the bad and unethical decision making. Many other observers I talked to also agreed that this seemed causal. So I guess I disagree here.
Like of course it alone probably wouldn't have been enough to prevent it.
Not just lack of sleep but this in combination with what seems it’s probably cause (according to me, lol) - lots and lots of adderall *while on Emsam/selegiline, a MAOI that especially targets the same thing amphetamine especially releases*
This is a combo sufficiently sketch
Thread, continued, 20:09 UTC
Cc @FrostedSapling who will know more about the actual pharmacology here
Wednesday, June 28, 2023
Reply to @acidshill, 02:11 UTC · 3 likes
shill 🔍 (@acidshill): america can't build, east asia can't breed, europe can't do business, and most of the rest of the world can't get rich
the world is changing too fast for anyone to figure out what a functional society looks like, under the conditions of modern technology
Israel? I mean if you set aside everything else Israel is associated with online
Reply to @wytham88, 02:26 UTC · 2 likes
Wei Yang Tham (@wytham88): Killer graph - women's papers use more uncertain language the further into the publication process you go
Which is better calibrated tho?
Reply to @JeremiahDJohns, 02:30 UTC · 2 likes
Jeremiah Johnson 🌐 (@JeremiahDJohns): I want to talk about why I am not a longtermist and why I think 'Measurable EA' should basically be divorced from longtermism.
To do so, let's convince ourselves in 10 different ways that we should either speed up or slow down AI development.
The annoying and inconvenient and plausibly mostly intractable but IMO correct thing to do is to actually just try really hard to get the right answer
Like yes, those 10 considerations are all important, and there are probably more!
Reply to @RokoMijic, 02:31 UTC · 2 likes
Roko 🐉 (@RokoMijic): I kept telling people that AI Ethics were not friendly, that they are fundamentally evil, selfish people and that they cannot be bargained with. They must be removed from positions of influence or routed around.
Did anyone listen?
(quoting @gmiller: @profoundlyyyy Well the 'AI Ethicists' seem to follow the woke activist playbook to the letter. Which, alas, works all too well.)
Cmon “fundamentally evil” is just not true, almost everyone is the hero of their own story
Reply to @alistair___s, 02:34 UTC · 2 likes
Alistair Stewart (@alistair___s): Longtermism from a suffering-focused perspective ("make the future as suffering-free as possible") – probably yes
Longtermism from a classical utilitarian perspective ("make the future as utility-rich as possible") – almost certainly no
I think I’m slightly less suffering focused than you but yes, a big hobbyhorse of mine is that the explicit terms of longtermism in MacAskill and greaves’ paper are true but then people take this to directly imply eg maximize the number of (post-) humans in the future or smth
Reply to @goth600, 02:37 UTC · 2 likes
@goth (@goth600): Type of guy who dies from a cold
This is so funny omg
Reply to @absurdlymax, 02:39 UTC · 2 likes
Max Alexander (@absurdlymax): @utopiannotions There is no objective truth
(gif, plays on X)
Reply to @AndyMasley, 02:43 UTC · 2 likes
Andy Masley (@AndyMasley): @SpacedOutMatt @panickssery Yup I do worry about this aspect of the culture a lot actually
I too worry that there are still people not taking prescription stimulants
Reply to @sympatheticopp, 02:51 UTC · 1 like
sympathetic opposition (@sympatheticopp): straight from a twitter meetup to a debutante party, feel like i got the bends from the context switch. weird thing about deb parties is they have free drinks free food 21 yo girls w decolletage out & a crazy womantilted ratio you cannot drag men to these things. what do men want
Reply to @JosephPolitano, 02:59 UTC · 2 likes
Joey Politano 🏳️🌈 (@JosephPolitano): There are 3 types of succesful companies in Europe:
1) world-famous luxury goods brand worth 17 gabillion dollars
2) financial services firm with history of international crime
3) high-tech manufacturer that is the world's only producer of some machine you've never heard of
3) ASML
Reply to @tunguz, 03:14 UTC · 8 likes
Bojan Tunguz (@tunguz): What are these “vector databases”? Are they just SQL numpy wrappers?
Like “kuberbetes,” “vector db” is a phrase I have resigned myself to seeing a couple times a week, w/o understanding in the slightest, until I die
Reply to @sidcodes, 03:56 UTC · 14 likes
sid (@sidcodes): only good linkedin post
Quant at Jane street
It’s over
Reply to @xwanyex, 04:09 UTC · 13 likes
(The tweet being replied to by @xwanyex is no longer available.)
He has single-handedly convinced me that it’s not only acceptable but good, not only good but divine, not only divine but morally obligatory to begin some sentences with “But”
Reply to @RichDecibels, 04:11 UTC
Richard D. Bartlett (@RichDecibels): airport. ama
What’s it like being a large building?
Reply to @uberstuber, 04:30 UTC · 2 likes
James Stuber 🌱🌿🌳🍂 (@uberstuber): local pizza place offering pizzas for $5 if you add pineapple
therefore i can acquire pineapple for $-6.99/oz
it’s arbitrage time
@SBF_FTX
Quote tweet, 04:41 UTC · 11 likes
I am once again (for the first time on Twitter afaik) asking the psychiatrists of the world to stop pretending MAOIs either don’t exist or are especially dangerous
Quoting merg (@InvisibIeyeball): @GhostCoase @dissproportion Tranylcypromine and phenelzine not even on that list!!
Thread, continued, 04:41 UTC · 3 likes
Fun fact: I took parnate (tranylcypromine) for a while. And the MAOI diet (very minimal tyramine) was perhaps the easiest explicit task or goal I have ever been faced with
Like
Step 1: don’t eat soy sauce, aged meat, or aged cheese
Step 2: that’s it ur done
Tweet, 04:41 UTC · 3 likes
It’s like a minefield where theres exactly one mine in one brightly labelled building far from the airport in Portland and you fly to Portland twice a year
Thread, continued, 04:41 UTC · 2 likes
Fr tho check out http://psychotropical.com
Reply to @natalia__coelho, 06:40 UTC · 2 likes
(The tweet being replied to by @natalia__coelho is no longer available.)
The ham-d is a shitty rating scale that seems specifically designed to make certain drugs look better than others
3 questions about insomnia! At most 1 (general somatic) about fatigue! A q about weight loss and none about gain! Of course mirtazapine is gonna do great on that!
Reply to @natalia__coelho, 06:41 UTC · 1 like
(The tweet being replied to by @natalia__coelho is no longer available.)
In case it wasn’t clear, I agree and was being hyperbolic. It does seem relatively easy but not as easy as avoiding one building far away
Reply to @yakubiancel, 06:45 UTC · 12 likes
wyle (@yakubiancel): He didn’t just unplug it, though, he turned off that circuit using the circuit breaker.
He nuked the power plant supplying electricity actually
Reply to @mealreplacer, 10:14 UTC · 3 likes
(The tweet being replied to by @mealreplacer is no longer available.)
This can’t be good (third result has -49 karma)
Tweet, 10:23 UTC · 2 likes
Rival voices, @nosilverv, rebranded as a guy😱😱😱
Reply to @BootsPlatypus, 17:48 UTC · 2 likes
Platypussy in Bio (@BootsPlatypus): @AaronBergman18 @sidcodes what does "it's over" mean? i see it everywhere
Means that the referent object shall not persist over time
Reply to @absurdlymax, 18:15 UTC · 4 likes
Max Alexander (@absurdlymax): I'd be interested in seeing how being w. e.i.r.d. relates to the moral intuitions behind EA
This but for the non acronym
Tweet, 19:32 UTC · 16 likes
On a scale from John von Neumann to making the nuclear launch system a GPT wrapper (“should I launch them now?” “Nope”) how dumb would it be for me to try to cut my own hair?
Thursday, June 29, 2023
Reply, 02:12 UTC · 4 likes
(The tweet being replied to is no longer available.)
Did it work
Reply to @pli_cachete, 02:23 UTC · 16 likes
(The tweet being replied to by @pli_cachete is no longer available.)
Me on the 7 occasions in my life I’ve intentionally done smth like this: I am a superconnector, extrovert of the century, a node on the social graph of humanity
Reply to @daniel_271828, 02:25 UTC · 2 likes
zzDANIEL_ETH (@daniel_271828): I’ve been doing it for a couple years, & honestly, it’s led to better haircuts than I’ve gotten from barbers. The secret is to not cut orthogonal to the hairs, but instead grab a clump & cut at an angle. You probably also know how you want to wear your hair better than others do
Nice
Reply to @catehall, 05:38 UTC · 2 likes
Cate Hall 🔸 (@catehall): It did not
:(
Quote tweet, 06:53 UTC · 4 likes
Some extremely preliminary evidence for "polyunsaturated fat [in some sense] causes obesity"
the outcome variable is mean bmi in a country-year
...
Quoting Aaron Bergman 🔍 (@AaronBergman18): Might fuck around and solve the whole obesity thing once and for all by making a gigantic country/year panel csv with every available, remotely plausible factor/control/outcome variable
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1dL0BAx3NorcLanKAgA-xXeVW3qrH2fGlVKG3hFMMs6s/edit?usp=sharing
Thread, continued, 06:53 UTC · 4 likes
basically: controlling for total fat, monounsaturated fat, saturated fat, gdp per capita, AND **food supply** (which I think is in fact avg intake from eyeballing the data),
the only unambiguous results are (1) food supply (obviously) and (2) omega 6 fat, which is
Thread, continued, 06:53 UTC · 1 like
basically just polyunsaturated fat (ie the kind seed oil people are concerned about)
Might update this thread as more results come in
Thread, continued, 06:53 UTC · 6 likes
please eviscerate everything I say
Reply to @absurdlymax, 06:55 UTC · 2 likes
Max Alexander (@absurdlymax): My love language is philosophical discussion
❤️💙
(gif, plays on X)
Thread, continued, 06:56 UTC · 2 likes
took me like 4 tries to find a gif of someone. None for macaskill, parfit, only a bad one for singer
Reply to @pli_cachete, 07:30 UTC · 2 likes
(The tweet being replied to by @pli_cachete is no longer available.)
Im a seed oil culture warrior
Reply to @FrostedSapling, 07:33 UTC · 1 like
Ivan 🔸 (@FrostedSapling): @AaronBergman18 If you’re in between things that require looking nice (school, work, etc.) you’ll never have a better chance to try it
lol @ needing to look nice for school but yea
Reply to @tunguz, 17:06 UTC · 5 likes
Bojan Tunguz (@tunguz): It seems that being an AI doomer is being an incel with extra steps.
Bad take, and also unkind
Reply to @JamesDowell2, 17:18 UTC · 1 like
J. D. (@JamesDowell2): @AaronBergman18 Fair warning: if it's anything like modeling & predicting preventable hospital readmissions, it'll take 4 years for you to even reach the bottom of the Dunning-Kruger curve :( I went from "I can do this in 6 months" to "a team of 10 PhDs working year-round can start to do this"
Oh I’m still in the “I can do this in 6 hours” peak naivety phase
Reply to @Laura_k_Duffy, 17:19 UTC · 6 likes
Laura Muresianu 🌐🔸🇺🇸 (@Laura_k_Duffy): Yeah, it definitely becomes useless. When I lived in California, basically every building I walked into had a Prop 65 carcinogen warning on it (including my apartment!)
I would bet that, on net, people overcorrect and do more dangerous things because of the false equivalence
Reply to @peterwildeford, 17:20 UTC · 1 like
Peter Wildeford🇺🇸🚀 (@peterwildeford): Do I have this right that if Biden's true odds at 93% and there is zero counterparty risk, the ROI is 16.8% after fees for about a year in time horizon? Seems worth doing then? @TheZvi @GaetenD @salymnr
I will invest $10 in the strategy if u want leverage
Reply to @pli_cachete, 17:25 UTC · 3 likes
(The tweet being replied to by @pli_cachete is no longer available.)
What
Tweet, 17:29 UTC · 32 likes
Listen I want to be a meditation+dress nicely + learn how to dance + spaced repetition+Calendly guy
The problem is these things all suck to do
Reply to @samsmisaligned, 18:33 UTC · 2 likes
Sam (@samsmisaligned): @CineraVerinia I’m about 99.9% sure this is a joke
I’ll take that bet (from the 100% direction)
Reply to @BootsPlatypus, 18:54 UTC · 2 likes
Platypussy in Bio (@BootsPlatypus): @AaronBergman18 Imo if you find that learning how to dance sucks, then you shouldn't do it. When it comes to non-monetizable skills, i think it's only worth learning them if you're having fun
my career plan is professional dancer
Reply to @BootsPlatypus, 18:55 UTC · 2 likes
Platypussy in Bio (@BootsPlatypus): @AaronBergman18 @tunguz I think you have to say it's an incel take, otherwise OP won't understand you
Nah I'm not gonna play the sex = status = good = true game
Tweet, 19:42 UTC · 12 likes
I’m not opposed to affirmative action, ie insofar as demographics proxy for substantive things not easily expressed/revealed in a college app
(1/ )
Thread, continued, 19:42 UTC · 33 likes
In fact my best guess is that black (and probably Hispanic) students should get some nonzero leg up relative to whites and Asians, because being black in America (yes black per se) seems to make ~everything else harder (of course figuring out how much that should be is hard)
Thread, continued, 19:42 UTC · 16 likes
But I also think this principle does *not* imply disadvantaging Asians in particular relative to whites
It doesn’t doesn’t seem true that being Asian *per se* makes one’s college app look better than it would in a world of perfect information flow
Thread, continued, 19:42 UTC · 30 likes
“History doesn’t repeat, sometimes it rhymes”
The current situation is shockingly analogous to 20th century Jewish quotas: model minority that excels academically, not considered equal in some fundamental way to “real [white] Americans”
Thread, continued, 19:42 UTC · 32 likes
For those who favor anti-Asian AA but are glad Jewish quotas are a thing of the past, I challenge you to find a relevant difference and consider whether the former is just as bad
Quote tweet, 20:04 UTC · 7 likes
Idk either tbh
Quoting alex lawsen (@lxrjl): @AaronBergman18
- Follows me
- Made a claim about obesity and dared to tag @natalia__coelho
- Pro cringe
- Docked 2 points because I'm not actually sure who he is
5/7
Reply, 20:24 UTC · 2 likes
Yes good correct take endorsed
Reply to @contemplatonist, 21:51 UTC · 4 likes
Amber Dawn (@contemplatonist): @AaronBergman18 idk do you really want to do those things or do you just want to want to do those things (different)?
I want to have their effects and want to want them but don’t actually want to do them
Tweet, 22:31 UTC · 4 likes
Mask up DC
Friday, June 30, 2023
Reply to @NinaPanickssery, 00:08 UTC · 1 like
Nina (@NinaPanickssery): “Meditation” is a psy op. Just go for a long walk in nature and think.
You can signal “I’m the type of person who meditates” without meditating.
Mostly object level tho, seems like people report intrinsically valuable benefits
Reply to @RafaRuizdeLira, 00:11 UTC · 2 likes
Rafael Ruiz ⏸️🔸 (@RafaRuizdeLira): A good point from @EAheadlines I that I want to highlight
Proof
Reply to @StefanFSchubert, 00:23 UTC · 3 likes
Stefan Schubert (@StefanFSchubert): G is alive and kicking
Didn’t get into a top med school tho (which is only trivial evidence against intelligence, much more against G kicking)
Reply to @NinaPanickssery, 01:17 UTC · 1 like
Nina (@NinaPanickssery): People report many things.
I think the evidence is poor if compared to basic interventions such as just "relaxing", "taking a moment to do whatever you like", "going for a walk", "having a nap" etc.
Psychology/lifestyle stuff is full of overfitted models.
For sure, I happen to think other better evidence (see https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Altered_Traits )supports the anecdata, and for less legible reasons it just doesn’t strike me as a vacuous/purely placebo/fad type of thing
Reply to @daniel_271828, 02:11 UTC · 4 likes
zzDANIEL_ETH (@daniel_271828): Hey Zvi, any chance you could narrate these and put them on the podcast app? I'd like to read more of them, but they tend to be pretty long
This…already exists https://podcasts.google.com?feed=aHR0cHM6Ly9hdWRpby5iZXlvbmR3b3Jkcy5pby9mLzg2OTIvNzg4OC9yZWFkXzg2MTdkM2FlZTUzZjNhYjg0NGEzMDlkMzc4OTVjMTQz&episode=Y1Jkc2lLUVpXaHBLREdvamFfTkxfTFc%3D
Reply to @TheZvi, 02:12 UTC · 2 likes
Zvi Mowshowitz (@TheZvi): What's the best workflow option for automatically creating good-enough AI-audio versions of posts? Happy to grant the option, but needs to be quick each time.
('This person will do it for you' is a highly acceptable answer.)
(quoting @daniel_271828: @TheZvi Hey Zvi, any chance you could narrate these and put them on the podcast app? I'd like to read more of them, but they tend to be pretty long)
Reply to @unormal, 02:14 UTC · 13 likes
🐔 Brian Bucklew 🐔 ₑͤ＞∿＜ₑͤ ∞🌮 (@unormal): them: put your data in a database not files and folders
me: why
them: so you can find it and so its thread safe
me: wait why can't I find stuff in my filesystem and why isn't it threadsafe
them: [closing chat window]
Databases should not exist, if it’s <500GB it can be a csv
Reply to @tszzl, 02:18 UTC · 1 like
roon (@tszzl): what a time
(quoting @inflectionAI: It’s a big week! We’ve raised $1.3 billion and are building the world’s largest AI cluster (22k H100s). We’re grateful for our investors and new funding that will help us accelerate our mission to make personal AI available to every person in the world.…)
I like my MacBook personally
Reply to @SpacedOutMatt, 02:20 UTC · 2 likes
Matt 🔸 (@SpacedOutMatt): Average @Laura_k_Duffy workday
Niche banger
Reply to @NonameNemo8, 02:24 UTC · 2 likes
(The tweet being replied to by @NonameNemo8 is no longer available.)
This is the nu take after 4 seconds of thought and no more
Try to kill humans -> fail -> ppl think ur cause is evil and crazy -> bad
Try to kill all humans -> succeed -> wild animals keep getting eaten alive with no one to intervene
Tweet, 02:54 UTC · 8 likes
Pigeon Hour strikes again, this time with @panickssery
By listening to this episode, you agree to indemnify, and hold harmless the Pod and all its affiliates from any and all liabilities, claims, damages, costs, or expenses, including attorneys fees. https://spotifyanchor-web.app.link/e/nBxFPkqD2Ab
Thread, continued, 02:54 UTC · 2 likes
Thread, continued, 02:55 UTC · 9 likes
Thank you for the support 🙌🙌🙌
Reply to @alexeyguzey, 02:56 UTC · 2 likes
Alexey Guzey (@alexeyguzey): how's candidates' religion not a topic of debates...
Society developed antibodies to putting object level religious views in the public spotlight, for better or for worse
Reply to @diviaprocessing, 03:47 UTC · 2 likes
(The tweet being replied to by @diviaprocessing is no longer available.)
Ooh me! I mean I guess I’d want to know a bit more about what kind of things we’d talk about but hard to imagine that changing my mind
Would crosspost to Pigeon Hour w your consent
Reply to @zuza_real, 04:09 UTC · 13 likes
(The tweet being replied to by @zuza_real is no longer available.)
Can someone explain this? Like what am I even reading
Reply to @xdocholidayxx, 04:45 UTC · 3 likes
Aspen (@xdocholidayxx): I’m assuming this is a fallout reference
Ig originally bobby pins weighed too much and someone sent todd (guy who runs the game studio) the pack to show him the pins weight too mucb in game
Ohhh I see it, thanks
Reply to @natalia__coelho, 06:00 UTC · 3 likes
(The tweet being replied to by @natalia__coelho is no longer available.)
If I'm reading this right there are only 4 studies analyzed for things directly related to adiposity/obesity, and the only one w/ a statistically significant result had n=30
Want to look into the particular fat sources used for these
I admit directionally against my prior tho
Thread, continued, 06:04 UTC · 3 likes
full text for anyone curious https://drive.google.com/file/d/1E4Snds6wR8g-AwgokhLjd913R3noqG-O/view?usp=sharing
Reply to @ohwizenedtortle, 07:37 UTC · 3 likes
oh dandy lion🔸 (@ohwizenedtortle): @AaronBergman18 @natalia__coelho Holy shit it's a collab between two of my fave "people who know an unnatural amount, and tend to have good views, about random topics because they're just interested in learning about them"
I am but a worm squirming next to a great butterfly
Reply to @nickcammarata, 08:38 UTC · 3 likes
Nick (@nickcammarata): how good does exercise generally feel for you
Suicides on a basketball court = pain
Walking around on a nice day = great
Reply to @StuartJRitchie, 11:34 UTC · 2 likes
Stuart Ritchie (@StuartJRitchie): A quick piece from me on why you can ignore the daft “aspartame possibly causes cancer” headlines from yesterday: https://inews.co.uk/news/aspartame-ignore-who-diet-coke-sweetener-cancer-risk-2444109?ito=twitter_share_article-top
It doesn’t even make much sense from a theoretical perspective. Aspartame is literally two common amino acids and alcohol (2L bottle of diet coke has <1% of standard drinks’ worth), and afaic neither aspartic acid nor phenylalanine on their own are considered carcinogenic
Reply to @noampomsky, 11:36 UTC · 3 likes
Ava (@noampomsky): I think you should try to alienate people through the most boring scissor statements possible. like “standardized testing is good” and “i like babies”
Make the kid take the SAT as soon as he pops out
Quote tweet, 11:41 UTC · 20 likes
I feel like the implication here is that you should be allowed to park in front fire hydrants as long as you implicitly accept that .001% of the time your windows will get smashed
Seems like a good deal idk
Quoting NYCFireWire (@NYCFireWire): Manhattan this evening. You gotta do what you gotta do to get water.
Tweet, 12:09 UTC · 16 likes
Ok now I’m anti anti anti aspartame
Just bc everybody needs to chill, they’re not taxing it or banning it, just putting it on a list somewhere. U will be ok
Reply, 13:22 UTC · 1 like
Wait why isn’t this html? I mean people don’t actually use html this way but idk why not
Tweet, 13:31 UTC · 4 likes
My least favorite genre of chatGPT response is not “I’m sorry but I can’t do that” but “don’t be silly, most people probably don’t want to do the thing you just said you want to do”
Thread, continued, 13:31 UTC
Which is true in this case and basically always (I’m not gonna program a file format lol) but still like cmon robot let me dream
Tweet, 13:32 UTC · 2 likes
Not my idea
Reply, 13:37 UTC · 1 like
Actually thinking about it I bet the bottleneck is just that until recently it used to be quite hard and time consuming to write a good looking page
But now it’s ai generated instantly (and well, for even moderately complex things) so
Reply, 17:15 UTC · 2 likes
Jfc
Reply, 17:16 UTC · 2 likes
Idea for a country: one where it’s harder to carry an assault rifle around than in the us, but easier to carry a pocketknife than in the uk
Reply, 23:46 UTC · 4 likes
Detailed argument if sufficiently important (idk how to judge that ofc), downvote otherwise
End of June 2023. Previous month: May 2023. Next month: July 2023. Back to the archive index.